Logan Forsythe

Pos2B

B/TR/R

Born1987-01-14

Age (2027)40

No MLB projection yet. Career stats below are historical.

Overview

AAALAST SEASON 2021

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2019	32	MLBTEX	367	.227/.326/.353	7	2	87	-1.2
2020	33	MLBMIA	38	.118/.211/.235	1	0	33	-0.2
2021	34	AAAMIL	29	.250/.483/.400	0	0	104	—	.217/.379/.348
2022	35	No MLB games played
2023	36	No MLB games played
2024	37	No MLB games played
2025	38	No MLB games played
2026	39	No MLB games played

Last 3 seasons WAR -1.4

Contract

No contract data on file.

Skills · percentileStatcast 2018-2020

Speed46

xwOBA39

Avg EV39

Barrel%14

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2008	21	ROK	AZL Padres	—	35	26	6	0	0	0	5	8	4	0	0	231	429	231	659		333	23	14	339	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	22	AA	San Antonio Missions	—	290	244	68	9	3	3	41	63	2	5	0	279	387	377	764	98	361	22	14	347	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	22	A+	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	305	236	76	13	3	8	61	48	7	6	2	322	474	504	978	182	376	16	20	436	137	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	23	AA	San Antonio Missions	—	472	392	99	22	1	3	75	95	4	17	5	253	378	337	715	84	325	20	16	334	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	24	MLB	San Diego Padres	—	169	150	32	9	1	0	12	33	3	3	1	213	285	287	572	73	269	20	7	258	57	-9	+0	+6	+1	+4	0.2
2011	24	AAA	Tucson Padres	—	218	178	58	12	0	8	33	50	6	8	4	326	447	528	975	202	413	23	15	431	116	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	25	MLB	San Diego Padres	—	350	315	86	13	3	6	28	57	6	8	2	273	344	390	734	117	316	16	8	331	113	+5	+1	-4	+2	+8	1.1
2012	25	AAA	Tucson Padres	—	74	58	15	2	3	1	13	18	3	3	0	259	419	448	867	190	359	24	18	391	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	26	MLB	San Diego Padres	—	243	220	47	6	1	6	19	54	2	6	1	214	282	332	614	118	255	22	8	277	71	-8	+1	-4	+1	+5	-0.6
2013	26	AAA	Tucson Padres	—	33	25	9	2	2	2	8	7	0	0	0	360	515	840	1.355	480	438	21	24	553	173	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	27	MLB	Tampa Bay Rays	—	336	301	67	12	1	6	25	71	4	2	0	223	291	329	620	106	268	21	7	278	74	-11	+0	+0	+1	+7	-0.2
2015	28	MLB	Tampa Bay Rays	—	615	540	152	33	2	17	55	111	14	9	4	281	363	444	807	163	323	18	9	358	127	+20	+0	+3	+2	+13	3.9
2016	29	MLB	Tampa Bay Rays	—	567	511	135	24	4	20	46	127	8	6	6	264	335	444	779	180	314	22	8	345	120	+13	-1	+1	+2	+12	2.8
2017	30	MLB	Los Angeles Dodgers	—	439	361	81	19	0	6	69	109	4	3	2	224	355	327	682	102	299	25	16	316	104	+2	-0	-5	+2	+10	0.8
2017	30	A+	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	—	20	14	3	0	0	0	4	9	2	0	0	214	450	214	664		600	45	20	349	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	31	MLB	Minnesota Twins	—	416	371	86	16	0	2	41	83	3	3	0	232	313	291	604	59	293	20	10	281	75	-12	+1	-1	+1	+9	-0.2
2019	32	MLB	Texas Rangers	—	367	317	72	17	1	7	44	100	3	2	0	227	326	353	679	126	307	27	12	309	87	-6	+0	-8	-7	+8	-1.2
2020	33	MLB	Miami Marlins	—	38	34	4	1	0	1	4	12	0	0	0	118	211	235	446	118	143	32	11	210	33	-3	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.2
2021	34	AAA	Nashville Sounds	—	29	20	5	3	0	0	8	7	1	0	0	250	483	400	883	150	385	24	28	413	104	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	3540	3120	762	150	13	71	343	757	47	42	16	244	328	369	697	125	298	21	10	314	99	-5	+2	-13	+6	+77	6.9
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2008	21	ROK MLE	AZL Padres	—	35	28	5	0	0	0	3	12	4	0	0	179	343	179	521		269	34	9	238	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	22	AA MLE	San Antonio Missions	—	290	255	64	8	3	3	30	77	2	5	0	251	334	341	676	90	338	27	10	297	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	22	A+ MLE	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	305	255	72	11	2	8	42	64	7	6	2	282	398	435	833	153	348	21	14	370	137	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	23	AA MLE	San Antonio Missions	—	472	414	98	21	1	3	53	116	4	17	5	237	329	314	643	77	319	25	11	291	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	24	MLB MLE	San Diego Padres	—	169	153	33	10	1	0	9	33	3	3	1	216	273	294	567	78	269	20	5	252	57	-9	+0	+6	+1	+4	0.2
2011	24	AAA MLE	Tucson Padres	—	218	186	47	9	0	6	25	69	6	8	4	253	359	398	757	145	366	32	11	340	116	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	25	MLB MLE	San Diego Padres	—	350	315	87	14	3	6	28	57	6	8	2	276	347	397	744	121	316	16	8	335	113	+5	+1	-4	+2	+8	1.1
2012	25	AAA MLE	Tucson Padres	—	74	63	13	2	2	1	8	24	3	3	0	206	324	349	674	143	309	32	11	300	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	26	MLB MLE	San Diego Padres	—	243	222	47	6	1	6	17	54	2	6	1	212	274	329	603	117	255	22	7	273	71	-8	+1	-4	+1	+5	-0.6
2013	26	AAA MLE	Tucson Padres	—	33	27	8	2	1	2	6	10	0	0	0	296	424	667	1.091	370	359	30	18	424	173	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	27	MLB MLE	Tampa Bay Rays	—	336	301	66	12	1	6	25	71	4	2	0	219	288	326	613	106	268	21	7	277	74	-11	+0	+0	+1	+7	-0.2
2015	28	MLB MLE	Tampa Bay Rays	—	615	542	151	34	2	17	53	111	14	9	4	279	358	443	801	164	323	18	9	356	127	+20	+0	+3	+2	+13	3.9
2016	29	MLB MLE	Tampa Bay Rays	—	567	511	135	25	4	21	46	127	8	6	6	264	335	452	787	188	314	22	8	345	120	+13	-1	+1	+2	+12	2.8
2017	30	MLB MLE	Los Angeles Dodgers	—	439	362	83	20	0	6	68	109	4	3	2	229	357	334	691	105	299	25	15	322	104	+2	-0	-5	+2	+10	0.8
2017	30	A+ MLE	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	—	20	16	2	0	0	0	2	12	2	0	0	125	300	125	425		510	60	10	225	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	31	MLB MLE	Minnesota Twins	—	416	372	86	16	0	2	40	83	3	3	0	231	311	290	601	59	293	20	10	280	75	-12	+1	-1	+1	+9	-0.2
2019	32	MLB MLE	Texas Rangers	—	367	318	71	16	1	7	44	100	3	2	0	223	323	346	669	123	307	27	12	296	87	-6	+0	-8	-7	+8	-1.2
2020	33	MLB MLE	Miami Marlins	—	38	34	4	1	0	1	4	12	0	0	0	118	211	235	446	118	143	32	11	216	33	-3	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.2
2021	34	AAA MLE	Nashville Sounds	—	29	23	5	3	0	0	5	8	1	0	0	217	379	348	727	130	314	28	17	322	104	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	21	ROK MLE	AZL Padres	—	35	28	5	0	0	0	3	12	4	0	0	179	343	179	521		312	34	9	238	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	21	ROK RAW	AZL Padres	—	35	26	6	0	0	0	5	8	4	0	0	231	429	231	659		333	23	14	339	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	595	510	135	19	5	10	72	141	9	11	2	265	365	380	746	116	345	24	12	334	112	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	22	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	595	480	144	22	6	11	102	111	9	11	2	300	431	440	871	140	368	19	17	393	112	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	23	AA MLE	San Antonio Missions	—	472	414	98	21	1	3	53	116	4	17	5	237	329	314	643	77	321	25	11	291	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	23	AA RAW	San Antonio Missions	—	472	392	99	22	1	3	75	95	4	17	5	253	378	337	715	84	325	20	16	334	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	24	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	387	339	80	19	1	6	34	102	9	11	5	236	322	351	673	115	316	26	9	301	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	24	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	387	328	90	21	1	8	45	83	9	11	5	274	377	418	795	143	342	21	12	355	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	25	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	424	378	101	16	5	7	36	81	9	11	2	267	345	392	737	124	323	19	8	329	109	+4	+1	-4	+2	+9	1.2
2012	25	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	424	373	101	15	6	7	41	75	9	11	2	271	357	399	756	129	322	18	10	342	109	+4	+1	-4	+2	+9	1.2
2013	26	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	276	249	55	8	2	8	23	64	2	6	1	221	292	365	657	145	264	23	8	291	83	-5	+1	-4	+1	+6	-0.2
2013	26	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	276	245	56	8	3	8	27	61	2	6	1	229	310	384	694	155	271	22	10	310	83	-5	+1	-4	+1	+6	-0.2
2014	27	MLB MLE	Tampa Bay Rays	—	336	301	66	12	1	6	25	71	4	2	0	219	288	326	613	106	263	21	7	277	74	-11	+0	+0	+1	+7	-0.2
2014	27	MLB RAW	Tampa Bay Rays	—	336	301	67	12	1	6	25	71	4	2	0	223	291	329	620	106	268	21	7	278	74	-11	+0	+0	+1	+7	-0.2
2015	28	MLB MLE	Tampa Bay Rays	—	615	542	151	34	2	17	53	111	14	9	4	279	358	443	801	164	319	18	9	356	127	+20	+0	+3	+2	+13	3.9
2015	28	MLB RAW	Tampa Bay Rays	—	615	540	152	33	2	17	55	111	14	9	4	281	363	444	807	163	323	18	9	358	127	+20	+0	+3	+2	+13	3.9
2016	29	MLB MLE	Tampa Bay Rays	—	567	511	135	25	4	21	46	127	8	6	6	264	335	452	787	188	312	22	8	345	120	+13	-1	+1	+2	+12	2.8
2016	29	MLB RAW	Tampa Bay Rays	—	567	511	135	24	4	20	46	127	8	6	6	264	335	444	779	180	314	22	8	345	120	+13	-1	+1	+2	+12	2.8
2017	30	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	459	378	85	20	0	6	70	121	6	3	2	225	355	325	680	101	309	26	15	318	101	+1	-0	-5	+2	+10	0.7
2017	30	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	459	375	84	19	0	6	73	118	6	3	2	224	359	323	682	99	305	26	16	317	101	+1	-0	-5	+2	+10	0.7
2018	31	MLB MLE	Minnesota Twins	—	416	372	86	16	0	2	40	83	3	3	0	231	311	290	601	59	292	20	10	280	75	-12	+1	-1	+1	+9	-0.2
2018	31	MLB RAW	Minnesota Twins	—	416	371	86	16	0	2	41	83	3	3	0	232	313	291	604	59	293	20	10	281	75	-12	+1	-1	+1	+9	-0.2
2019	32	MLB MLE	Texas Rangers	—	367	318	71	16	1	7	44	100	3	2	0	223	323	346	669	123	300	27	12	296	87	-6	+0	-8	-7	+8	-1.2
2019	32	MLB RAW	Texas Rangers	—	367	317	72	17	1	7	44	100	3	2	0	227	326	353	679	126	307	27	12	309	87	-6	+0	-8	-7	+8	-1.2
2020	33	MLB MLE	Miami Marlins	—	38	34	4	1	0	1	4	12	0	0	0	118	211	235	446	118	143	32	11	216	33	-3	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.2
2020	33	MLB RAW	Miami Marlins	—	38	34	4	1	0	1	4	12	0	0	0	118	211	235	446	118	143	32	11	210	33	-3	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.2
2021	34	AAA MLE	Nashville Sounds	—	29	23	5	3	0	0	5	8	1	0	0	217	379	348	727	130	333	28	17	322	104	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	34	AAA RAW	Nashville Sounds	—	29	20	5	3	0	0	8	7	1	0	0	250	483	400	883	150	385	24	28	413	104	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	21	ROK MLE	AZL Padres	—	35	28	5	0	0	0	3	12	4	0	0	179	343	179	521		269	34	9	238	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	595	509	135	19	5	10	72	141	9	11	2	265	365	381	747	116	343	24	12	334	112	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	23	AA MLE	San Antonio Missions	—	472	412	98	21	1	3	53	116	4	17	5	238	329	316	645	78	319	25	11	291	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	24	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	387	341	80	19	1	6	34	102	9	11	5	235	322	349	671	114	324	26	9	301	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	25	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	424	376	101	16	5	7	36	81	9	11	2	269	345	394	739	125	315	19	8	329	109	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	26	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	276	249	55	8	2	8	23	64	2	6	1	221	292	365	657	145	267	23	8	291	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	27	MLB MLE	Tampa Bay Rays	—	336	304	66	12	1	6	25	71	4	2	0	217	288	322	610	105	268	21	7	277	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	28	MLB MLE	Tampa Bay Rays	—	615	543	151	34	2	17	53	111	14	9	4	278	358	442	800	164	323	18	9	356	127	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	29	MLB MLE	Tampa Bay Rays	—	567	508	135	25	4	21	46	127	8	6	6	266	335	455	789	189	314	22	8	345	120	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	30	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	459	380	85	20	0	6	70	121	6	3	2	224	355	324	678	100	308	26	15	318	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	31	MLB MLE	Minnesota Twins	—	416	370	86	16	0	2	40	83	3	3	0	232	311	292	603	59	293	20	10	280	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	32	MLB MLE	Texas Rangers	—	367	317	71	16	1	7	44	100	3	2	0	224	323	347	670	123	307	27	12	296	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	33	MLB MLE	Miami Marlins	—	38	34	4	1	0	1	4	12	0	0	0	118	211	235	446	118	143	32	11	216	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	34	AAA MLE	Nashville Sounds	—	29	23	5	3	0	0	5	8	1	0	0	217	379	348	727	130	314	28	17	322	104	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3540	3120	762	150	13	71	343	757	47	42	16	244	328	369	697	125	298	21	10	314	99	-5	+2	-13	+6	+77	6.9
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	573	140	28	2	13	63	139	9	8	3	244	329	368	697	124	299	21	10	314	99	-1	+0	-2	+1	+14	1.3
Career	—	MLE		—	5016	4397	1077	210	22	94	508	1149	76	81	27	245	333	367	700	122	309	23	10	314	99	-5	+2	-13	+6	+77	6.9
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	570	139	27	3	12	66	149	10	10	3	244	333	365	698	121	308	23	10	314	99	-1	+0	-2	+1	+14	1.3

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2021 AAANashville Sounds · 29 PAwOBA .405 → .322 (−83)K% 24.1% → 28.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	24.14%	÷1.024	×1.200	—	—	28.29%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	27.59%	÷0.946	×0.690	—	×0.940	18.91%
HBP% /PA	3.45%	—	×0.940	—	×0.940	3.05%
Singles /BIP	15.38%	÷0.966	×0.930	—	×0.940	13.92%
Doubles /BIP	23.08%	÷1.030	×0.830	—	×0.940	17.48%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.150	×0.920	—	×0.940	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷0.915	×0.700	—	×0.940	0.00%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 83, 1B 93, 2B 106, 3B 130, K 105, BB 89 — applied at half strength. Age: age 34 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (6.8 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .405 → .322; ISO .150 → .126; BABIP .385 → .314. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2017 A+Rancho Cucamonga Quakes · 20 PAwOBA .342 → .225 (−117)K% 45.0% → 60.9%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	45.00%	÷0.990	×1.340	—	—	60.93%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	20.00%	÷1.099	×0.710	—	×0.940	12.15%
HBP% /PA	10.00%	—	×0.790	—	×0.940	7.43%
Singles /BIP	60.00%	÷1.006	×0.910	—	×0.940	51.02%
Doubles /BIP	0.00%	÷1.064	×0.820	—	×0.940	0.00%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.150	×0.760	—	×0.940	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷1.085	×0.920	—	×0.940	0.00%

Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 117, 1B 101, 2B 113, 3B 130, K 98, BB 120 — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 22.8 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (7.2 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .342 → .225; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .600 → .510. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2013 AAATucson Padres · 33 PAwOBA .539 → .424 (−116)K% 21.2% → 29.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	21.21%	÷0.933	×1.290	—	—	29.33%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	24.24%	÷1.045	×0.710	—	×1.018	16.76%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.980	—	×1.018	0.00%
Singles /BIP	16.67%	÷1.023	×0.900	—	×1.018	14.92%
Doubles /BIP	11.11%	÷0.963	×0.810	—	×1.018	9.51%
Triples /BIP	11.11%	÷1.150	×0.810	—	×1.018	7.97%
Home runs /BIP	11.11%	÷0.901	×0.780	—	×1.018	9.80%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 80, 1B 105, 2B 93, 3B 130, K 87, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .539 → .424; ISO .480 → .390; BABIP .438 → .359. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2012 AAATucson Padres · 74 PAwOBA .378 → .300 (−78)K% 24.3% → 32.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	24.32%	÷0.979	×1.290	—	—	32.05%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	16.22%	÷1.052	×0.710	—	×1.033	11.31%
HBP% /PA	4.05%	—	×0.980	—	×1.033	4.10%
Singles /BIP	22.50%	÷1.007	×0.900	—	×1.033	20.76%
Doubles /BIP	5.00%	÷1.013	×0.810	—	×1.033	4.13%
Triples /BIP	7.50%	÷1.150	×0.810	—	×1.033	5.46%
Home runs /BIP	2.50%	÷1.050	×0.780	—	×1.033	1.92%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 110, 1B 101, 2B 103, 3B 130, K 96, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .378 → .300; ISO .190 → .139; BABIP .359 → .309. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2011 AAATucson Padres · 218 PAwOBA .422 → .340 (−82)K% 22.9% → 31.6%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	22.94%	÷0.935	×1.290	—	—	31.64%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	15.14%	÷0.997	×0.710	—	×1.048	11.30%
HBP% /PA	2.75%	—	×0.980	—	×1.048	2.83%
Singles /BIP	29.69%	÷1.022	×0.900	×0.990	×1.048	27.12%
Doubles /BIP	9.38%	÷1.001	×0.810	×0.990	×1.048	7.87%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.810	×0.990	×1.048	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	6.25%	÷0.968	×0.780	—	×1.048	5.28%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 94, 1B 104, 2B 100, 3B 100, K 87, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.990.

Result: wOBA .422 → .340; ISO .202 → .157; BABIP .413 → .366. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2010 AASan Antonio Missions · 472 PAwOBA .325 → .291 (−34)K% 20.1% → 24.6%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	20.13%	÷0.996	×1.220	—	—	24.65%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	15.47%	÷0.984	×0.700	—	×1.027	11.30%
HBP% /PA	0.85%	—	×0.870	—	×1.027	0.76%
Singles /BIP	24.58%	÷0.953	×0.920	×1.005	×1.027	24.48%
Doubles /BIP	7.41%	÷0.927	×0.840	×1.005	×1.027	6.93%
Triples /BIP	0.34%	÷1.129	×0.940	×1.005	×1.027	0.29%
Home runs /BIP	1.01%	÷0.869	×0.800	—	×1.027	0.95%

Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 74, 1B 91, 2B 85, 3B 126, K 99, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.005.

Result: wOBA .325 → .291; ISO .084 → .079; BABIP .325 → .319. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2009 A+Lake Elsinore Storm · 305 PAwOBA .424 → .370 (−55)K% 15.7% → 21.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	15.74%	÷1.000	×1.340	—	—	21.09%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	19.02%	÷1.000	×0.710	—	×1.012	13.66%
HBP% /PA	2.30%	—	×0.790	—	×1.012	1.83%
Singles /BIP	27.66%	÷1.000	×0.910	×1.036	×1.012	26.38%
Doubles /BIP	6.91%	÷1.000	×0.820	×1.036	×1.012	5.94%
Triples /BIP	1.60%	÷1.000	×0.760	×1.036	×1.012	1.27%
Home runs /BIP	4.26%	÷1.000	×0.920	—	×1.012	3.96%

Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.036.

Result: wOBA .424 → .370; ISO .182 → .167; BABIP .376 → .348. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2009 AASan Antonio Missions · 290 PAwOBA .341 → .297 (−44)K% 21.7% → 26.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	21.72%	÷1.000	×1.220	—	—	26.50%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	14.14%	÷1.000	×0.700	—	×1.042	10.31%
HBP% /PA	0.69%	—	×0.870	—	×1.042	0.63%
Singles /BIP	29.28%	÷1.000	×0.920	×0.990	×1.042	27.80%
Doubles /BIP	4.97%	÷1.000	×0.840	×0.990	×1.042	4.31%
Triples /BIP	1.66%	÷1.000	×0.940	×0.990	×1.042	1.61%
Home runs /BIP	1.66%	÷1.000	×0.800	—	×1.042	1.38%

Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 24.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.990.

Result: wOBA .341 → .297; ISO .098 → .087; BABIP .361 → .338. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).