Alex Presley

PosLF

B/TL/L

Born1985-07-25

Age (2027)42

No MLB projection yet. Career stats below are historical.

Overview

AAALAST SEASON 2018

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2016	31	AAADET	228	.303/.375/.463	4	5	93	—	.260/.312/.389
2016	31	MLBDET	134	.198/.271/.289	3	0	59	-0.8
2017	32	AAADET	185	.216/.284/.299	2	4	27	—	.175/.230/.251
2017	32	MLBDET	264	.314/.352/.416	3	5	119	0.4
2018	33	AAACWS	232	.238/.307/.314	2	0	30	—	.189/.238/.240
2019	34	No MLB games played
2020	35	No MLB games played
2021	36	No MLB games played
2022	37	No MLB games played
2023	38	No MLB games played
2024	39	No MLB games played
2025	40	No MLB games played
2026	41	No MLB games played

Last 3 seasons WAR -0.5

Contract

No contract data on file.

Skills · percentileStatcast 2015-2017

Speed73

xwOBA42

Barrel%10

Avg EV10

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2007	22	A	Hickory Crawdads	—	553	495	145	22	8	11	45	108	0	18	10	293	352	436	788	143	351	20	8	343	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	23	A+	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	325	287	75	15	1	6	29	50	1	13	6	261	331	383	715	122	295	15	9	315	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	24	A+	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	456	417	107	17	11	4	30	87	0	9	5	257	306	379	685	122	314	19	7	300	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	25	MLB	Pittsburgh Pirates	—	25	23	6	1	0	0	1	8	0	1	1	261	292	304	596	43	400	32	4	260	61	-1	-0	-1	-6	+1	-0.9
2010	25	AAA	Indianapolis Indians	—	296	272	80	15	6	6	22	42	1	8	7	294	349	460	809	165	330	14	7	356	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	25	AA	Altoona Curve	—	269	246	86	13	7	6	19	33	2	5	1	350	401	533	933	183	385	12	7	407	141	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	26	MLB	Pittsburgh Pirates	—	231	215	64	12	6	4	13	40	1	9	3	298	341	465	806	167	349	17	6	352	123	+6	+1	-3	-7	+5	0.3
2011	26	AAA	Indianapolis Indians	—	376	342	114	18	5	8	28	54	4	22	8	333	390	485	876	152	376	14	7	387	123	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	27	MLB	Pittsburgh Pirates	—	370	346	82	14	7	10	18	72	2	9	7	237	279	405	683	168	273	19	5	298	90	-4	-1	-6	-6	+8	-0.9
2012	27	AAA	Indianapolis Indians	—	179	153	47	3	4	5	24	26	0	7	2	307	401	477	878	170	341	15	13	386	109	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	28	MLB	Minnesota Twins	—	195	185	51	5	2	3	9	39	1	1	4	276	313	373	686	97	336	20	5	308	94	-1	-1	-2	+2	+4	0.2
2013	28	AAA	Indianapolis Indians	—	391	342	102	17	6	5	40	56	4	17	6	298	378	427	805	129	343	14	10	357	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	29	MLB	Houston Astros	—	271	254	62	6	1	6	13	44	1	5	1	244	284	346	630	102	272	16	5	280	75	-8	+1	-4	-3	+6	-0.8
2015	30	AAA	Fresno Grizzlies	—	367	332	97	14	1	3	27	41	1	15	4	292	347	367	715	75	324	11	7	319	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	31	MLB	Detroit Tigers	—	134	121	24	2	0	3	11	25	1	0	2	198	271	289	560	91	223	19	8	257	59	-6	-1	+0	-4	+3	-0.8
2016	31	AAA	Toledo Mud Hens	—	228	201	61	12	4	4	21	34	2	5	6	303	375	463	838	159	343	15	9	366	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	32	MLB	Detroit Tigers	—	264	245	77	10	3	3	15	49	0	5	0	314	352	416	769	102	383	19	6	339	119	+6	+1	-4	-5	+6	0.4
2017	32	AAA	Toledo Mud Hens	—	185	167	36	6	1	2	12	36	4	4	2	216	284	299	584	84	264	19	6	266	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	33	AAA	Charlotte Knights	—	232	210	50	8	1	2	19	46	2	0	2	238	307	314	622	76	294	20	8	285	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	1490	1389	366	50	19	29	80	277	6	30	18	263	306	389	696	126	310	19	5	307	94	-10	-1	-19	-28	+32	-2.7
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2007	22	A MLE	Hickory Crawdads	—	553	512	127	18	7	9	28	145	0	18	10	248	287	363	650	115	314	26	5	280	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	23	A+ MLE	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	325	298	70	13	1	5	18	71	1	13	6	235	281	336	616	101	277	22	6	266	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	24	A+ MLE	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	456	428	94	14	9	3	19	124	0	9	5	220	253	315	568	96	290	27	4	243	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	25	MLB MLE	Pittsburgh Pirates	—	25	23	6	1	0	0	1	8	0	1	1	261	292	304	596	43	400	32	4	259	61	-1	-0	-1	-6	+1	-0.9
2010	25	AAA MLE	Indianapolis Indians	—	296	279	71	13	5	5	15	52	1	8	7	254	295	391	686	136	298	18	5	298	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	25	AA MLE	Altoona Curve	—	269	253	86	11	6	6	12	41	2	5	1	340	375	502	877	162	381	15	4	376	141	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	26	MLB MLE	Pittsburgh Pirates	—	231	216	63	11	6	4	12	40	1	9	3	292	332	454	786	162	349	17	5	350	123	+6	+1	-3	-7	+5	0.3
2011	26	AAA MLE	Indianapolis Indians	—	376	350	109	17	5	7	20	65	4	22	8	311	356	449	804	137	363	17	5	350	123	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	27	MLB MLE	Pittsburgh Pirates	—	370	346	82	13	7	11	18	72	2	9	7	237	279	410	689	173	273	19	5	301	90	-4	-1	-6	-6	+8	-0.9
2012	27	AAA MLE	Indianapolis Indians	—	179	162	46	3	4	4	15	31	0	7	2	284	345	426	771	142	317	17	8	330	109	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	28	MLB MLE	Minnesota Twins	—	195	185	51	5	2	3	9	39	1	1	4	276	313	373	686	97	336	20	5	308	94	-1	-1	-2	+2	+4	0.2
2013	28	AAA MLE	Indianapolis Indians	—	391	356	98	15	6	5	26	74	4	17	6	275	332	393	725	118	325	19	7	312	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	29	MLB MLE	Houston Astros	—	271	254	62	6	1	6	13	44	1	5	1	244	284	346	630	102	272	16	5	279	75	-8	+1	-4	-3	+6	-0.8
2015	30	AAA MLE	Fresno Grizzlies	—	367	341	89	11	1	2	18	52	1	15	4	261	300	317	617	56	293	14	5	271	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	31	MLB MLE	Detroit Tigers	—	134	122	24	2	0	3	10	25	1	0	2	197	263	287	550	90	223	19	7	256	59	-6	-1	+0	-4	+3	-0.8
2016	31	AAA MLE	Toledo Mud Hens	—	228	208	54	9	3	4	14	40	2	5	6	260	312	389	702	130	297	18	6	305	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	32	MLB MLE	Detroit Tigers	—	264	246	78	10	3	3	15	49	0	5	0	317	356	419	775	102	383	19	6	344	119	+6	+1	-4	-5	+6	0.4
2017	32	AAA MLE	Toledo Mud Hens	—	185	171	30	5	1	2	8	43	4	4	2	175	230	251	481	76	220	23	4	208	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	33	AAA MLE	Charlotte Knights	—	232	217	41	6	1	1	12	56	2	0	2	189	238	240	478	51	243	24	5	213	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	22	A MLE	Hickory Crawdads	—	553	512	127	18	7	9	28	145	0	18	10	248	287	363	650	115	324	26	5	280	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	22	A RAW	Hickory Crawdads	—	553	495	145	22	8	11	45	108	0	18	10	293	352	436	788	143	351	20	8	343	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	23	A+ MLE	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	325	298	70	13	1	5	18	71	1	13	6	235	281	336	616	101	289	22	6	266	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	23	A+ RAW	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	325	287	75	15	1	6	29	50	1	13	6	261	331	383	715	122	295	15	9	315	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	24	A+ MLE	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	456	428	94	14	9	3	19	124	0	9	5	220	253	315	568	96	300	27	4	243	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	24	A+ RAW	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	456	417	107	17	11	4	30	87	0	9	5	257	306	379	685	122	314	19	7	300	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	25	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	590	555	164	26	11	11	28	101	3	14	9	295	333	441	774	146	345	17	5	332	111	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	25	AAA RAW	3 teams	—	590	541	172	29	13	12	42	83	3	14	9	318	370	486	856	168	358	14	7	375	111	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	607	566	173	28	11	11	32	105	5	31	11	306	348	452	801	147	358	17	5	350	123	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	26	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	607	557	178	30	11	12	41	94	5	31	11	320	371	478	849	158	366	15	7	373	123	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	27	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	549	508	128	16	11	15	33	103	2	16	9	252	300	415	716	163	289	19	6	311	96	-2	-0	-6	-6	+12	-0.3
2012	27	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	549	499	129	17	11	15	42	98	2	16	9	259	319	427	745	168	295	18	8	327	96	-2	-0	-6	-6	+12	-0.3
2013	28	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	586	541	149	20	8	8	35	113	5	18	10	275	325	386	712	111	334	19	6	311	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	28	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	586	527	153	22	8	8	49	95	5	18	10	290	356	408	764	118	340	16	8	341	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	29	MLB MLE	Houston Astros	—	271	254	62	6	1	6	13	44	1	5	1	244	284	346	630	102	272	16	5	279	75	-8	+1	-4	-3	+6	-0.8
2014	29	MLB RAW	Houston Astros	—	271	254	62	6	1	6	13	44	1	5	1	244	284	346	630	102	272	16	5	280	75	-8	+1	-4	-3	+6	-0.8
2015	30	AAA MLE	Fresno Grizzlies	—	367	341	89	11	1	2	18	52	1	15	4	261	300	317	617	56	301	14	5	271	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	30	AAA RAW	Fresno Grizzlies	—	367	332	97	14	1	3	27	41	1	15	4	292	347	367	715	75	324	11	7	319	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	31	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	362	330	79	11	3	7	24	65	3	5	8	239	297	355	651	115	275	18	7	287	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	31	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	362	322	85	14	4	7	32	59	3	5	8	264	336	398	734	134	300	16	9	326	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	32	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	449	417	108	15	4	5	23	92	4	9	2	259	304	350	654	91	322	20	5	288	81	-10	+1	-4	-5	+10	-0.8
2017	32	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	449	412	113	16	4	5	27	85	4	9	2	274	324	369	693	95	335	19	6	309	81	-10	+1	-4	-5	+10	-0.8
2018	33	AAA MLE	Charlotte Knights	—	232	217	41	6	1	1	12	56	2	0	2	189	238	240	478	51	248	24	5	213	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	33	AAA RAW	Charlotte Knights	—	232	210	50	8	1	2	19	46	2	0	2	238	307	314	622	76	294	20	8	285	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	22	A MLE	Hickory Crawdads	—	553	520	127	18	7	9	28	145	0	18	10	244	287	358	645	113	314	26	5	280	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	23	A+ MLE	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	325	303	70	13	1	5	18	71	1	13	6	231	281	330	611	99	277	22	6	266	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	24	A+ MLE	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	456	434	94	14	9	3	19	124	0	9	5	217	253	311	564	94	290	27	4	243	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	25	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	590	554	164	26	11	11	28	101	3	14	9	296	333	442	775	146	340	17	5	332	111	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	607	565	173	28	11	11	32	105	5	31	11	306	348	453	801	147	358	17	5	350	123	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	27	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	549	509	128	16	11	15	33	103	2	16	9	251	300	415	715	163	287	19	6	311	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	28	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	586	541	149	20	8	8	35	113	5	18	10	275	325	386	712	111	329	19	6	311	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	29	MLB MLE	Houston Astros	—	271	255	62	6	1	6	13	44	1	5	1	243	284	345	629	102	272	16	5	279	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	30	AAA MLE	Fresno Grizzlies	—	367	345	89	11	1	2	18	52	1	15	4	258	300	313	613	55	293	14	5	271	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	31	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	362	332	79	11	3	7	24	65	3	5	8	238	297	352	649	114	270	18	7	287	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	32	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	449	419	108	15	4	5	23	92	4	9	2	258	304	348	653	91	316	20	5	288	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	33	AAA MLE	Charlotte Knights	—	232	216	41	6	1	1	12	56	2	0	2	190	238	241	479	51	243	24	5	213	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1490	1389	366	50	19	29	80	277	6	30	18	263	306	389	696	126	310	19	5	307	85	-10	-1	-19	-28	+32	-2.7
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	606	160	22	8	13	35	121	3	13	8	264	307	391	699	127	310	19	5	307	85	-5	-1	-8	-12	+14	-1.2
Career	—	MLE		—	5347	4967	1284	184	68	83	283	1071	27	153	77	259	302	373	675	115	313	20	5	294	85	-10	-1	-19	-28	+32	-2.7
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	604	155	22	8	10	34	130	3	19	9	257	299	369	668	113	310	20	5	294	85	-5	-1	-8	-12	+14	-1.2

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2018 AAACharlotte Knights · 232 PAwOBA .279 → .213 (−66)K% 19.8% → 24.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	19.83%	÷0.986	×1.200	—	—	24.12%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	8.19%	÷1.030	×0.690	—	×0.942	5.17%
HBP% /PA	0.86%	—	×0.940	—	×0.942	0.76%
Singles /BIP	23.78%	÷1.030	×0.930	×1.001	×0.942	20.24%
Doubles /BIP	4.88%	÷1.077	×0.830	×1.001	×0.942	3.55%
Triples /BIP	0.61%	÷1.150	×0.970	×1.001	×0.942	0.48%
Home runs /BIP	1.22%	÷1.319	×0.840	—	×0.942	0.73%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 164, 1B 106, 2B 115, 3B 130, K 97, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 33 vs a level average of 27.2 → −5.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.001.

Result: wOBA .279 → .213; ISO .076 → .052; BABIP .294 → .243. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2017 AAAToledo Mud Hens · 185 PAwOBA .259 → .208 (−52)K% 19.5% → 23.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	19.46%	÷1.004	×1.200	—	—	23.26%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	6.49%	÷0.996	×0.690	—	×0.952	4.28%
HBP% /PA	2.16%	—	×0.940	—	×0.952	1.93%
Singles /BIP	20.61%	÷1.054	×0.930	×0.992	×0.952	17.18%
Doubles /BIP	4.58%	÷0.916	×0.830	×0.992	×0.952	3.92%
Triples /BIP	0.76%	÷1.150	×0.970	×0.992	×0.952	0.61%
Home runs /BIP	1.53%	÷1.049	×0.840	—	×0.952	1.16%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 110, 1B 111, 2B 83, 3B 130, K 101, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 32 vs a level average of 27.2 → −4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.992.

Result: wOBA .259 → .208; ISO .084 → .067; BABIP .264 → .220. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2016 AAAToledo Mud Hens · 228 PAwOBA .361 → .305 (−56)K% 14.9% → 17.7%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	14.91%	÷1.009	×1.200	—	—	17.73%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	9.21%	÷1.004	×0.690	—	×0.962	6.09%
HBP% /PA	0.88%	—	×0.940	—	×0.962	0.79%
Singles /BIP	24.55%	÷1.001	×0.930	×1.015	×0.962	22.27%
Doubles /BIP	7.19%	÷1.092	×0.830	×1.015	×0.962	5.33%
Triples /BIP	2.40%	÷1.150	×0.970	×1.015	×0.962	1.97%
Home runs /BIP	2.40%	÷0.899	×0.840	—	×0.962	2.15%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 80, 1B 100, 2B 118, 3B 130, K 102, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 31 vs a level average of 27.2 → −3.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.015.

Result: wOBA .361 → .305; ISO .159 → .135; BABIP .343 → .297. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2015 AAAFresno Grizzlies · 367 PAwOBA .310 → .271 (−39)K% 11.2% → 14.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	11.17%	÷1.020	×1.290	—	—	14.13%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	6.81%	÷0.987	×0.710	—	×0.972	4.76%
HBP% /PA	0.27%	—	×0.980	—	×0.972	0.26%
Singles /BIP	27.15%	÷0.972	×0.900	×1.035	×0.972	25.29%
Doubles /BIP	4.81%	÷1.051	×0.810	×1.035	×0.972	3.73%
Triples /BIP	0.34%	÷1.021	×0.810	×1.035	×0.972	0.27%
Home runs /BIP	1.03%	÷1.060	×0.780	—	×0.972	0.74%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 112, 1B 94, 2B 110, 3B 104, K 104, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 27.2 → −2.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.035.

Result: wOBA .310 → .271; ISO .075 → .058; BABIP .324 → .293. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2013 AAAIndianapolis Indians · 391 PAwOBA .348 → .312 (−37)K% 14.3% → 18.9%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	14.32%	÷0.909	×1.200	—	—	18.91%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	9.72%	÷1.012	×0.690	—	×0.992	6.58%
HBP% /PA	1.02%	—	×0.940	—	×0.992	0.95%
Singles /BIP	25.87%	÷0.978	×0.930	×1.026	×0.992	25.03%
Doubles /BIP	5.94%	÷0.954	×0.830	×1.026	×0.992	5.26%
Triples /BIP	2.10%	÷1.080	×0.970	×1.026	×0.992	1.92%
Home runs /BIP	1.75%	÷0.901	×0.840	—	×0.992	1.62%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 80, 1B 96, 2B 91, 3B 116, K 82, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.026.

Result: wOBA .348 → .312; ISO .129 → .117; BABIP .343 → .325. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2012 AAAIndianapolis Indians · 179 PAwOBA .377 → .330 (−47)K% 14.5% → 17.2%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	14.53%	÷1.014	×1.200	—	—	17.19%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	12.85%	÷1.043	×0.690	—	×1.003	8.52%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.940	—	×1.003	0.00%
Singles /BIP	27.56%	÷1.038	×0.930	×1.050	×1.003	25.99%
Doubles /BIP	2.36%	÷0.945	×0.830	×1.050	×1.003	2.19%
Triples /BIP	3.15%	÷1.150	×0.970	×1.050	×1.003	2.80%
Home runs /BIP	3.94%	÷1.095	×0.840	—	×1.003	3.03%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 119, 1B 108, 2B 89, 3B 130, K 103, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .377 → .330; ISO .170 → .147; BABIP .341 → .317. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2011 AAAIndianapolis Indians · 376 PAwOBA .378 → .350 (−29)K% 14.4% → 17.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	14.36%	÷0.995	×1.200	—	—	17.31%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	7.45%	÷0.978	×0.690	—	×1.018	5.35%
HBP% /PA	1.06%	—	×0.940	—	×1.018	1.02%
Singles /BIP	28.82%	÷1.008	×0.930	×1.034	×1.018	27.98%
Doubles /BIP	6.25%	÷0.927	×0.830	×1.034	×1.018	5.89%
Triples /BIP	1.74%	÷0.984	×0.970	×1.034	×1.018	1.80%
Home runs /BIP	2.78%	÷0.955	×0.840	—	×1.018	2.49%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 91, 1B 102, 2B 85, 3B 97, K 99, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.034.

Result: wOBA .378 → .350; ISO .152 → .142; BABIP .376 → .363. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2010 AAAIndianapolis Indians · 296 PAwOBA .346 → .298 (−48)K% 14.2% → 17.6%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	14.19%	÷0.967	×1.200	—	—	17.61%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	7.09%	÷1.000	×0.690	—	×1.033	5.06%
HBP% /PA	0.34%	—	×0.940	—	×1.033	0.33%
Singles /BIP	23.04%	÷1.067	×0.930	×1.015	×1.033	21.07%
Doubles /BIP	6.52%	÷0.981	×0.830	×1.015	×1.033	5.79%
Triples /BIP	2.61%	÷1.148	×0.970	×1.015	×1.033	2.31%
Home runs /BIP	2.61%	÷1.048	×0.840	—	×1.033	2.16%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 110, 1B 113, 2B 96, 3B 130, K 93, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.015.

Result: wOBA .346 → .298; ISO .165 → .142; BABIP .330 → .298. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).