Ralphy Velazquez

Ralphy Velazquez1B Columbus Clippers

Age 22 L/R 6'1" / 240 lbs AAA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2032

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 0 ros · stats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†109

AVG/OBP/SLG.243 / .314 / .430

PA45

HR2

K%22

BB%9

BABIP281

ISO200

MLB%14%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$13M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 51 / POW 60

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT51

scouting grade only

POWER60

scouting grade only

EYE53

scouting grade only

SPEED32

scouting grade only

DEFENSE48

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2027

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2032

First FA Year 2033

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027ROS	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.1	$0.4M	+$0.0M (cut)
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.5	$2M	+$1M
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.8	$3M	+$2M
2030	Arb-1	$4M	+0.9	$3M	+$0.2M
2031	Arb-2	$6M	+1.0	$6M	+$2M
2032	Arb-3	$9M	+1.0	$5M	+$0.2M
Totals		$21M		$19M	+$5M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	18	ROK	ACL Guardians	—	28	23	8	3	0	2	3	5	0	1	0	348	423	739	1.162	391	333	18	11	458	122	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A+	Lake County Captains	—	80	68	12	2	0	1	10	20	0	0	0	176	282	250	532	74	224	25	12	247	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	373	309	75	21	1	10	56	75	4	8	2	243	366	414	780	172	285	20	15	349	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	AA	Akron RubberDucks	—	126	112	37	8	3	5	12	19	2	0	1	330	405	589	994	259	364	15	10	431	146	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A+	Lake County Captains	—	418	371	91	20	6	17	40	85	4	1	2	245	325	469	794	224	272	20	10	347	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	AAA	Columbus Clippers	—	369	320	89	16	1	22	39	76	6	1	0	278	367	541	908	263	296	21	11	392	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	AA	Akron RubberDucks	—	169	145	46	9	3	7	22	31	2	1	0	317	414	566	980	248	364	18	13	427	133	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	18	ROK MLE	ACL Guardians	—	28	24	6	2	0	1	2	7	0	1	0	250	308	458	766	208	253	25	7	348	122	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A+ MLE	Lake County Captains	—	80	71	11	2	0	1	7	25	0	0	0	155	231	225	456	70	203	31	9	202	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A MLE	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	373	326	66	18	1	10	39	104	4	8	2	202	295	356	651	153	255	28	10	286	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	AA MLE	Akron RubberDucks	—	126	115	35	7	3	4	9	24	2	0	1	304	365	522	887	217	360	19	7	384	146	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A+ MLE	Lake County Captains	—	418	382	75	14	5	14	29	106	4	1	2	196	260	369	629	173	228	25	7	272	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	AAA MLE	Columbus Clippers	—	369	331	77	13	1	16	28	91	6	1	0	233	304	423	727	190	265	25	8	317	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	AA MLE	Akron RubberDucks	—	169	151	44	8	3	6	16	38	2	1	0	291	367	503	870	212	348	22	9	365	133	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	ACL Guardians	—	28	24	6	2	0	1	2	7	0	1	0	250	308	458	766	208	278	25	7	348	122	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK RAW	ACL Guardians	—	28	23	8	3	0	2	3	5	0	1	0	348	423	739	1.162	391	333	18	11	458	122	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A MLE	2 teams	—	453	397	77	20	1	10	46	128	4	8	2	194	284	325	609	131	253	28	10	271	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A RAW	2 teams	—	453	377	87	23	1	11	66	95	4	8	2	231	351	385	736	154	274	21	15	331	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	544	497	110	21	8	18	38	130	6	1	3	221	285	404	689	183	261	24	7	298	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	544	483	128	28	9	22	52	104	6	1	3	265	344	497	841	232	294	19	10	367	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	538	481	121	21	4	22	45	129	8	2	0	252	326	449	775	198	296	24	8	332	111	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	538	465	135	25	4	29	61	107	8	2	0	290	382	548	930	258	318	20	11	403	111	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	ACL Guardians	—	28	26	6	2	0	1	2	7	0	1	0	231	308	423	731	192	253	25	7	348	122	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A MLE	2 teams	—	453	400	77	20	1	10	46	128	4	8	2	193	284	323	607	130	246	28	10	271	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	544	495	110	21	8	18	38	130	6	1	3	222	285	406	691	184	259	24	7	298	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	538	480	121	21	4	22	45	129	8	2	0	252	326	450	776	198	291	24	8	332	111	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	19	A MLE	2 teams	—	453	400	77	20	1	10	46	128	4	8	2	193	284	323	607	130	246	28	10	271	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	544	495	110	21	8	18	38	130	6	1	3	222	285	406	691	184	259	24	7	298	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	538	480	121	21	4	22	45	129	8	2	0	252	326	450	776	198	291	24	8	332	111	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	22	MLB MLE	CLE	14%	648	583	141	26	5	24	52	146	8	4	1	244	315	433	747	189	281	23	8	329	109	+7	+0	-1	-12	+14	0.7
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	22	MLB CTX	CLE	14%	45	40	10	2	0	2	4	10	1	0	0	243	314	430	744	187	281	22	9	328	109	+0	+0	-0	-1	+1	0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	23	MLB MLE	CLE	49%	570	512	126	23	5	22	46	126	7	3	1	247	318	441	760	194	283	22	8	334	112	+8	+0	-0	-10	+12	1.0
2029	24	MLB MLE	CLE	61%	597	536	133	24	5	24	49	131	7	4	1	250	322	448	770	199	285	22	8	338	115	+11	+0	-0	-11	+13	1.3
2030	25	MLB MLE	CLE	66%	615	551	138	25	5	25	51	135	8	3	1	251	323	452	775	201	285	22	8	340	116	+12	+0	-0	-11	+13	1.5
2031	26	MLB MLE	CLE	69%	627	561	142	26	5	26	53	137	8	3	1	251	324	452	776	201	285	22	8	341	117	+12	+0	-0	-11	+14	1.5
2032	27	MLB MLE	CLE	68%	629	563	142	26	5	26	53	139	8	3	1	250	322	449	772	200	284	22	8	339	116	+12	+0	-0	-11	+14	1.4
2033	28	MLB MLE	CLE	68%	626	561	139	25	5	25	53	139	7	1	1	248	320	444	764	196	283	22	8	336	114	+10	-0	-1	-11	+14	1.1
2034	29	MLB MLE	CLE	67%	617	553	135	25	4	24	52	139	7	1	1	245	317	437	754	192	281	23	8	332	111	+8	-0	-2	-11	+13	0.8
2035	30	MLB MLE	CLE	66%	607	545	131	24	4	23	50	139	7	1	0	241	313	428	741	187	279	23	8	327	107	+5	+0	-2	-11	+13	0.5
2036	31	MLB MLE	CLE	65%	594	534	127	23	4	22	49	138	6	1	0	236	308	417	725	181	275	23	8	320	103	+2	+0	-3	-11	+13	0.1
2037	32	MLB MLE	CLE	65%	576	519	120	21	3	21	46	137	6	1	0	230	301	403	704	173	270	24	8	312	97	-2	+0	-4	-10	+12	-0.3
2028	23	MLB CTX	CLE	49%	279	250	62	12	2	11	23	62	4	2	1	247	318	438	757	192	283	22	8	333	112	+4	+0	-0	-5	+6	0.5
2029	24	MLB CTX	CLE	61%	362	325	81	15	2	15	30	79	4	2	1	250	322	446	767	196	284	22	8	337	115	+7	+0	-0	-6	+8	0.8
2030	25	MLB CTX	CLE	66%	406	364	92	17	3	17	34	89	5	2	1	251	323	449	772	198	285	22	8	339	116	+8	+0	-0	-7	+9	0.9
2031	26	MLB CTX	CLE	69%	430	386	97	18	3	18	36	94	5	2	1	251	323	450	773	199	285	22	8	340	117	+9	+0	-0	-8	+9	1.0
2032	27	MLB CTX	CLE	68%	430	386	97	18	3	18	36	95	5	2	1	249	322	447	769	197	284	22	8	338	116	+8	+0	-0	-8	+9	1.0
2033	28	MLB CTX	CLE	68%	427	383	95	18	3	17	36	95	5	1	1	247	320	442	762	194	283	22	8	335	114	+7	-0	-1	-8	+9	0.8
2034	29	MLB CTX	CLE	67%	411	369	90	17	2	16	34	93	5	1	0	244	317	435	752	190	281	23	8	331	111	+5	+0	-1	-7	+9	0.6
2035	30	MLB CTX	CLE	66%	398	358	86	16	2	15	33	91	4	1	0	241	313	426	739	185	278	23	8	326	107	+3	+0	-2	-7	+9	0.4
2036	31	MLB CTX	CLE	65%	386	347	82	15	2	14	32	90	4	0	0	236	307	415	723	179	275	23	8	319	103	+1	+0	-2	-7	+8	0.1
2037	32	MLB CTX	CLE	65%	373	336	77	14	2	13	30	88	4	0	0	230	301	401	702	171	270	24	8	311	97	-1	+0	-2	-7	+8	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3902	3504	859	160	24	154	324	876	45	13	6	245	317	436	753	191	283	22	8	331	107	+51	+0	-9	-70	+85	5.8
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	584	144	27	4	26	54	146	7	2	1	247	318	440	758	193	284	22	8	331	107	+8	+0	-2	-12	+14	1.0
Career	—	MLE		—	7941	7121	1717	319	61	301	659	1826	93	35	13	241	314	430	743	189	281	23	8	326	107	+82	+1	-14	-114	+138	9.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	583	141	26	5	25	54	149	8	3	1	242	315	432	747	190	281	23	8	326	107	+8	+0	-1	-12	+14	1.0

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jay Brucelast yr '20 career totals — 13 seasons, 6,603 PA	9.9	6,603	318	65	245	314	469	-71	-54	19.6	19.5
/162	664	32	7	-7.1	-5.4	2.0	pk7: 19
#2Kendrys Moraleslast yr '19 career totals — 13 seasons, 5,357 PA	8.1	5,357	213	6	265	327	453	-95	-16	14.9	15.2
/162	664	26	1	-11.8	-2.0	1.8	pk7: 16
#3C.J. Cronlast yr '23 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,043 PA	6.1	4,043	187	10	260	320	471	-72	-46	8.9	8.9
/162	664	31	2	-11.9	-7.6	1.5	pk7: 9
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	5.9	3,946	156	13	246	314	439	-70	-5	8.9	8.3
/162	664	26	2	-11.9	-0.8	1.5	pk7: 8
#4Mark Trumbolast yr '18 career totals — 8 seasons, 4,372 PA	6.6	4,372	218	23	250	303	462	-58	-63	6.2	6.6
/162	664	33	3	-8.9	-9.6	0.9	pk7: 7
#5Trey Mancinilast yr '23 career totals — 6 seasons, 3,367 PA	5.1	3,367	126	2	262	327	445	-47	-48	6.3	6.3
/162	664	25	0	-9.2	-9.4	1.2	pk7: 6
#6Brandon Mosslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,459 PA	5.2	3,459	160	11	238	315	455	-53	-41	5.9	5.9
/162	664	31	2	-10.2	-7.9	1.1	pk7: 6

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Ralphy Velazquez (OGILVIE)	22	44→51	55→60	32	53	241/312/429	188	281	12	2	22%	8%	109	+1.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Chris Carter 2006 · AA	23	48→58	56→55	37→40	48	252/307/441	189	265	25	2	17%	6%	109	+2.0	268/322/430	162	297	19	5	16%	7%	112	+2.2	275/327/435	160	306	18	4	16%	7%	112	+2.2
✕Kellen Kulbacki 2009 · A	23	47→46	56→60	38→30	50	248/319/433	185	284	25	4	22%	8%	112	+2.2	218/274/334	116	262	12	6	21%	7%	72	-0.7	189/233/258	68	230	4	5	19%	5%	35	-0.8
✕Nomar Mazara 2018 · MLB	23	49→53	50→55	40	48	251/312/402	151	291	18	3	21%	7%	101	+1.4	251/308/415	164	299	20	4	22%	7%	103	+1.5	250/306/413	163	300	20	3	23%	6%	101	+0.9
●Matt Joyce 2009 · MLB	24	45→52	53→60	39→50	47	232/298/416	184	289	20	4	27%	8%	99	+1.3	242/320/435	193	293	21	10	24%	10%	112	+2.2	249/336/447	198	291	22	9	21%	11%	122	+2.3
✕Seth Beer 2021 · AA	24	47→46	53→55	38→30	41	242/312/410	168	298	22	3	26%	5%	105	+1.7	220/309/361	141	268	15	2	23%	7%	93	+0.8	208/299/335	127	258	13	0	24%	7%	82	-0.0
✕Travis Snider 2010 · MLB	22	52→55	53→55	40→50	45	253/320/432	179	346	20	4	31%	8%	112	+2.2	255/309/419	164	324	18	12	26%	7%	104	+1.6	258/310/414	156	321	17	15	24%	7%	103	+1.1
●Kyle Manzardo 2024 · AAA	24	44→43	55→60	43→40	51	233/307/422	188	269	22	3	22%	9%	105	+1.7	228/306/417	189	276	23	4	26%	9%	103	+1.6	223/305/412	189	273	24	2	27%	9%	102	+1.3
✕Oswaldo Arcia 2014 · MLB	23	51→56	55→60	42→45	42	258/315/448	190	336	22	4	29%	7%	114	+2.3	230/288/414	184	297	24	3	30%	6%	96	+1.0	217/296/406	188	293	24	3	33%	8%	96	+0.5
✕Juan Yepez 2022 · AAA	24	44→49	57→60	39→45	47	237/307/438	201	277	26	4	25%	8%	109	+2.0	234/292/406	172	275	21	3	23%	7%	95	+1.0	232/290/385	153	271	19	3	22%	7%	88	+0.4
●Spencer Torkelson 2022 · AAA	22	43→45	57→60	45→40	51	229/318/434	206	277	25	6	27%	10%	112	+2.2	220/302/392	172	276	20	3	27%	10%	96	+1.0	227/317/425	198	291	25	1	30%	10%	110	+2.2
●Ike Davis 2010 · AA	23	50→55	51→60	41→40	45	248/309/415	168	332	18	3	30%	8%	103	+1.6	259/333/450	191	317	22	3	24%	10%	120	+2.8	257/336/466	210	300	26	1	23%	11%	126	+2.5
●Matt Adams 2012 · AA	23	48→56	55→65	44→40	42	255/294/438	183	287	25	3	21%	5%	103	+1.6	268/305/463	195	317	25	4	23%	5%	114	+2.3	277/313/472	195	328	24	3	23%	5%	119	+1.9
●Ji Man Choi 2014 · AAA	23	50	50→55	41→45	50	250/324/415	165	296	16	3	21%	8%	109	+2.0	249/322/386	137	300	13	6	20%	9%	101	+1.4	250/338/441	192	308	22	3	25%	11%	121	+2.1
✕MJ Melendez 2023 · MLB	24	41→48	57→60	41→50	54	224/310/424	200	262	26	5	26%	11%	106	+1.8	218/291/395	177	277	20	8	28%	9%	93	+0.8	208/276/381	172	269	19	10	29%	8%	83	+0.1
●Tyler Soderstrom 2023 · AAA	21	46→52	55→60	44→40	38	238/286/425	187	315	24	3	32%	6%	97	+1.1	231/289/416	185	291	24	4	29%	7%	97	+1.1	249/327/456	208	287	26	4	23%	9%	120	+2.2
●Josh Naylor 2020 · MLB	23	51→59	50→60	43→55	49	256/313/408	152	290	17	5	18%	7%	103	+1.6	250/304/404	154	280	17	6	17%	7%	99	+1.3	273/329/457	184	289	24	16	15%	7%	121	+2.8
●Mark Vientos 2022 · AAA	22	43→51	56→60	38→30	37	228/276/415	187	306	25	3	34%	6%	92	+0.7	246/303/435	189	333	25	2	32%	7%	107	+1.8	247/307/448	201	309	26	1	28%	7%	110	+1.8
✕Justin Foscue 2023 · AA	24	46→48	53→55	40→50	46	239/305/417	178	277	21	4	22%	7%	103	+1.6	232/316/389	157	262	16	9	18%	9%	101	+1.4	235/311/400	165	268	19	6	20%	9%	98	+0.8
✕Sergio Pedroza 2007 · A	23	42→46	56→60	38→45	48	221/315/416	195	294	24	3	32%	10%	107	+1.8	229/303/389	160	305	18	7	29%	8%	96	+1.0	227/297/375	148	293	16	7	27%	7%	88	+0.3
●Eloy Jiménez 2019 · AAA	22	53→57	53→65	42→40	41	269/306/444	175	321	20	3	23%	5%	109	+2.0	267/311/478	211	318	29	2	25%	6%	120	+2.8	265/311/488	223	313	32	0	26%	6%	123	+1.7

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps