Ralphy Velazquez1B Columbus Clippers
Age 21 L/R 6'1" / 240 lbs AAA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2032
2026 ROS PROJECTION345 act + 230 ros · stats below = ROS only
wRC+†101
AVG/OBP/SLG.240 / .307 / .418
PA230
HR7
K%24
BB%7
BABIP295
ISO178
MLB%14%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -0.3 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-0BATRUN: -0.2 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)-0RUNFLD: -0.2 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)-0FLDPOS: -10.3 runs (Positional adjustment)-10POSREP: +16.3 runs (Replacement-level credit)+16REPTotal WAR: +0.60+0.6WAR
0.01.42.70.00.81.41.82.02.22.2+$60M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
projected WAR paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit post-control
Tools · ContractCON 50 / POW 60
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT50
scouting grade only
POWER60
scouting grade only
EYE52
scouting grade only
SPEED34
scouting grade only
DEFENSE47
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2027
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2032
First FA Year   2033
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2027
2027Pre-Arb$0.8M+0.8$3M+$2M
2028Pre-Arb$0.8M+1.4$10M+$9M
2029Pre-Arb$0.8M+1.8$11M+$11M
2030Arb-1$4M+2.0$12M+$9M
2031Arb-2$7M+2.2$12M+$8M
2032Arb-3$10M+2.2$11M+$6M
Totals $24M $59M +$45M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202318 ROKACL Guardians 2824 5201 270 10 208269417686 208222 257 324 106
202318 ROKACL Guardians 2823 8302 350 10 3484237391.162 391333 1811 458 209
202419 A2 teams 453404 7620113 391354 82 188266339605 151240 309 269 64
202419 A2 teams 453377 8723111 66954 82 231351385736 154274 2115 331 112
202520 A+2 teams 544498 10219818 371386 13 205268384652 179243 257 282 74
202520 A+2 teams 544483 12828922 521046 13 265344497841 232294 1910 367 139
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD21 AAACLE 345312 7815410 27866 10 250322420742 170315 258 314 99 -1 +0 +0 -6 +10 0.3
YTD21 AAACLE 345300 8818411 39696 10 293386490876 197350 2011 388 155 +21 +0 +0 -6 +10 2.6
ROS21 AAACLE 14% 230208 501037 17563 10 240307418725 178291 247 317 101 +0 +0 -0 -4 +7 0.3
ROS21 MLBCLE 14% 3230 6101 280 00 200250333583 133291 256 308 94 -0 +0 -0 -1 +1 0.0
FULL21 AAACLE 377342 8416411 29946 10 246316412728 167308 258 314 98 -1 +0 -0 -7 +11 0.3
TOT21 AAACLE 575520 12825717 441429 20 246316419735 173307 258 315 100 -0 +0 -0 -10 +16 0.6
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202722 MLBCLE 40% 568512 12524619 441367 21 244313426738 182289 248 321 104 +2 +0 -1 -10 +16 0.8
202823 MLBCLE 51% 597538 13325622 471397 21 247316439755 191291 238 331 112 +8 +0 -1 -11 +17 1.4
202924 MLBCLE 54% 615553 13926624 491418 21 251321450772 199292 238 337 116 +11 +0 -1 -11 +17 1.8
203025 MLBCLE 55% 627563 14126625 511438 21 250322451773 201292 238 341 119 +14 +0 -1 -11 +18 2.0
203126 MLBCLE 56% 634569 14427626 521448 31 253324459783 206292 238 343 121 +15 +0 -1 -11 +18 2.2
203227 MLBCLE 55% 634568 14427626 531458 31 254326460785 206292 238 343 121 +15 +0 -1 -11 +18 2.2
203328 MLBCLE 55% 629563 14226626 531458 21 252325458784 206291 238 342 120 +14 +0 -1 -11 +18 2.0
203429 MLBCLE 53% 619553 13826525 531448 21 250324450774 201290 239 340 118 +13 +0 -2 -11 +18 1.8
203530 MLBCLE 53% 609545 13425524 521437 21 246320442762 196288 239 337 116 +11 +0 -3 -11 +17 1.5
203631 MLBCLE 52% 595532 13024523 511417 21 244319438757 194285 249 332 112 +8 +0 -3 -11 +17 1.1
203732 MLBCLE 52% 576515 12322522 491397 11 239313429743 190281 249 326 108 +5 -0 -4 -10 +16 0.7
202722 MLBCLE 40% 228205 491027 18553 10 239310410719 171290 248 312 97 -1 +0 -0 -4 +6 0.2
202823 MLBCLE 51% 303272 6813311 24714 11 250320441761 191291 238 322 105 +2 -0 -0 -5 +9 0.4
202924 MLBCLE 54% 331297 7514313 27764 11 253323451774 199292 238 329 110 +4 -0 -0 -6 +9 0.7
203025 MLBCLE 55% 346311 7915314 28794 11 254324457780 203293 238 332 112 +5 -0 -0 -6 +10 0.8
203126 MLBCLE 56% 354318 8115315 29814 11 255325462787 208292 238 334 114 +6 -0 -0 -6 +10 0.9
203227 MLBCLE 55% 350314 7915314 29804 11 252323452775 201292 238 334 114 +6 -0 -0 -6 +10 0.9
203328 MLBCLE 55% 344308 7714314 29794 11 250323451774 201291 238 333 113 +5 -0 -1 -6 +10 0.8
203429 MLBCLE 53% 330295 7414313 28774 11 251324451775 200290 238 331 111 +4 -0 -1 -6 +9 0.7
203530 MLBCLE 53% 320286 7113313 27754 10 248322451773 203288 238 328 109 +3 +0 -1 -6 +9 0.6
203631 MLBCLE 52% 310277 6812312 26744 10 245319440760 195285 248 324 106 +2 +0 -2 -6 +9 0.4
203732 MLBCLE 52% 299269 6311211 25723 10 234306413719 178281 248 318 101 +0 +0 -2 -5 +8 0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career 35473182 79014731138 29282742 117 248320444764 196291 238 327 109 +35 -1 -9 -63 +100 6.4
/ 162G 650583 14527625 541528 21 249321444766 196293 238 327 109 +6 +0 -2 -12 +18 1.2
Career 79587145 172632974301 649189696 3416 242313435748 193285 248 328 109 +82 +0 -18 -142 +225 15.1
/ 162G 650584 14127625 531558 31 241314437750 195284 248 328 109 +7 +0 -1 -12 +18 1.3

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202318 ROKACL Guardians 2823 8302 350 10 3484237391.162 391333 1811 458 209 +3 +0 +1 0.5
202419 A+Lake County Captains 8068 12201 10200 00 176282250532 74224 2512 247 47 -5 +0 +2 -0.3
202419 ALynchburg Hillcats 373309 7521110 56754 82 243366414780 172285 2015 349 126 +11 +1 +11 2.3
202520 AAAkron RubberDucks 126112 37835 12192 01 330405589994 259364 1510 431 188 +13 -0 +4 1.6
202520 A+Lake County Captains 418371 9120617 40854 12 245325469794 224272 2010 347 124 +11 -1 +12 2.3

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Jeromy Burnitzlast yr '06
career totals — 7 seasons, 4,012 PA
74,01219232246330464-34-2415.515.5
/162664325-5.6-4.02.6pk7: 15
#2Tino Martinezlast yr '05
career totals — 6 seasons, 3,276 PA
63,27612614265339450-37-1512.412.4
/162664263-7.4-3.12.5pk7: 12
#3Travis Leelast yr '06
career totals — 6 seasons, 3,147 PA
63,1478434257336412-36-39.09.0
/162664187-7.6-0.71.9pk7: 9
#4C.J. Cronlast yr '23
career totals — 10 seasons, 4,043 PA
104,04318710260320471-72-468.98.9
/162664312-11.9-7.61.5pk7: 9
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons
63,56114013249317448-64-69.68.6
/162664262-11.9-1.01.8pk7: 8
#5Trey Mancinilast yr '23
career totals — 6 seasons, 3,367 PA
63,3671262262327445-47-486.36.3
/162664250-9.2-9.41.2pk7: 6
#6Brandon Mosslast yr '17
career totals — 8 seasons, 3,459 PA
83,45916011238315455-53-415.95.9
/162664312-10.2-7.91.1pk7: 6

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Ralphy Velazquez (OGILVIE) 21 43→50 55→60 34 52 246/316/419 173307 172 25% 8% 100 +0.6
Daniel Vogelbach
2014 · A
21 44→53 50→60 43→40 48 227/287/381 154262 194 22% 8% 86 +0.8 236/308/387 151292 173 24% 9% 96 +1.5 259/340/44318330124121%10%122+2.9
Josh Naylor
2019 · AA
22 47→57 50→60 44→55 45 243/290/389 146273 196 19% 6% 89 +1.0 248/301/402 154281 185 18% 7% 97 +1.5 278/342/467189295241615%8%123+3.2
Mike Carp
2007 · A
21 45→55 49→55 43→40 41 227/302/369 142299 173 29% 6% 90 +1.0 237/308/372 135295 153 24% 7% 93 +1.3 264/327/44918632523425%8%118+2.0
Ji Man Choi
2014 · AAA
23 48→50 49→55 41→45 49 240/314/400 160287 153 22% 8% 102 +1.9 241/311/375 134290 136 21% 8% 94 +1.3 247/337/43819030522325%11%119+2.2
Jake Bauers
2017 · AA
21 48→50 44→60 43→55 49 236/300/354 118285 127 21% 8% 84 +0.6 224/303/357 133282 1313 24% 10% 86 +0.8 233/340/432199302261730%13%117+1.5
Nomar Mazara
2017 · MLB
22 49→51 49→55 41→40 47 249/308/392 142296 182 22% 7% 97 +1.5 254/315/421 167298 203 21% 8% 108 +2.3 253/317/43017629621322%8%106+1.9
Chris Carter
2008 · A
21 42→52 52→65 43→45 42 220/282/383 163287 203 30% 7% 85 +0.7 230/301/435 205296 265 30% 8% 107 +2.2 213/311/46425225636332%11%114+2.5
Nick Weglarz
2010 · AA
22 43→47 50→55 43→45 52 219/309/374 155273 175 26% 10% 94 +1.3 217/305/375 158289 175 29% 10% 92 +1.2 201/293/35815728518334%10%82+0.2
Rowdy Tellez
2017 · AA
22 46→50 46→65 44→45 44 230/283/360 130289 145 25% 6% 79 +0.3 225/279/365 140281 156 25% 6% 79 +0.3 239/317/47323424833120%9%114+1.7
Logan Morrison
2008 · A
20 43→53 50→65 44→45 43 225/275/377 152269 193 25% 6% 80 +0.4 264/331/411 147319 136 20% 9% 111 +2.5 264/357/44918530216417%12%130+3.1
Franmil Reyes
2018 · AA
23 44→51 52→65 41→45 41 229/274/392 163288 204 28% 6% 83 +0.6 252/313/464 212315 302 29% 8% 119 +3.1 258/326/48322531634029%9%127+2.6
Matt Davidson
2013 · AA
22 41→44 48→60 38→30 43 211/281/355 143279 162 30% 7% 77 +0.1 190/257/311 121277 142 35% 7% 56 -1.3 221/293/42720629229034%7%99+1.3
Jesús Sánchez
2019 · AA
21 49→54 47→60 45→50 37 244/275/379 135311 146 26% 4% 79 +0.3 237/286/387 150310 185 29% 6% 87 +0.8 256/323/46821131926427%8%119+2.3
Eloy Jiménez
2019 · AAA
22 50→56 51→65 42→40 41 254/291/419 165306 193 24% 5% 97 +1.5 261/305/467 206311 282 25% 6% 117 +2.9 262/309/48121931132026%6%120+1.8
Matt Joyce
2008 · AA
23 42→52 47→60 41→50 44 214/270/357 142271 145 26% 7% 72 -0.2 230/304/416 186286 207 26% 9% 102 +1.9 250/345/45220229322922%12%121+2.5
Ike Davis
2010 · AA
23 48→54 52→60 41→40 44 242/302/414 172326 193 31% 8% 101 +1.8 255/334/446 191313 223 24% 11% 122 +3.3 252/339/46020829426123%11%122+2.5
Spencer Torkelson
2023 · MLB
23 41→46 52→60 41→40 50 216/300/381 165267 204 27% 10% 92 +1.2 232/313/435 203284 263 27% 10% 111 +2.5 236/320/45622028429227%10%116+3.1
Brandon Drury
2015 · AA
22 47→54 48→65 41→40 41 238/279/387 149285 153 22% 5% 84 +0.6 257/299/392 135307 133 20% 5% 93 +1.3 259/310/48522530429125%6%121+2.5
Tommy Joseph
2013 · AA
22 43→47 46→60 36→30 39 218/263/346 128281 152 28% 5% 66 -0.6 210/256/330 120267 143 26% 5% 59 -1.1 243/294/44620327428123%6%105+1.6
Ian Stewart
2007 · AA
22 47→52 48→60 40→45 43 230/291/387 157300 134 27% 7% 89 +0.9 240/308/415 175311 198 28% 8% 104 +2.0 239/315/43219330423928%9%108+2.0