Oswaldo Arcia

PosRF

B/TL/R

Born1991-05-09

Age (2027)36

No MLB projection yet. Career stats below are historical.

Overview

INTL

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR
2024	33	INTLLeones del Ca…	229	.272/.451/.556	14	0	179	—
2025	34	INTLLeones del Ca…	112	.198/.361/.349	3	1	102	—
2026	35	INTLNavegantes de…	17	.188/.235/.375	1	0	69	—

Contract

No contract data on file.

Skills · percentileStatcast 2015-2016

Speed60

Barrel%53

xwOBA34

Avg EV16

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2008	17	ROK	DSL Twins	—	248	229	67	12	4	4	16	27	2	8	7	293	344	432	776	140	317	11	6	344	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	18	ROK	GCL Twins	—	187	167	46	11	2	5	15	18	2	8	0	275	342	455	797	180	279	10	8	348	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	19	ROK	Elizabethton Twins	—	283	259	97	21	7	14	19	67	4	4	4	375	426	672	1.097	297	464	24	7	471	114	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	20	A+	Fort Myers Miracle	—	227	213	56	14	2	8	9	53	3	1	1	263	302	460	762	197	312	23	4	332	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	20	A	Beloit Snappers	—	81	71	25	8	1	5	9	16	0	2	2	352	425	704	1.129	352	392	20	11	476	136	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	21	AA	New Britain Rock Cats	—	299	262	86	20	5	10	28	62	5	3	2	328	403	557	961	229	392	21	9	414	135	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	21	A+	Fort Myers Miracle	—	235	207	64	16	3	7	23	45	1	1	3	309	381	517	898	208	361	19	10	388	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	21	INTL	Tigres de Aragua	—	222	198	51	9	2	10	15	49	4	0	0	258	323	475	797	217	287	22	7	343	118	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	22	MLB	Minnesota Twins	—	378	351	88	17	2	14	23	117	4	1	2	251	304	430	734	179	336	31	6	325	106	+3	-1	-10	-8	+8	-0.8
2013	22	AAA	Rochester Red Wings	—	155	128	40	6	0	10	22	37	4	2	1	312	429	594	1.022	281	366	24	14	442	138	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	22	INTL	Tigres de Aragua	—	171	141	37	9	0	8	26	46	3	0	0	262	388	496	885	234	330	27	15	390	150	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	23	MLB	Minnesota Twins	—	410	372	86	16	3	20	31	127	6	1	2	231	301	452	752	220	292	31	8	331	105	+2	-1	-8	-7	+9	-0.4
2014	23	AAA	Rochester Red Wings	—	85	77	24	7	0	5	5	17	2	1	0	312	369	597	966	286	339	20	6	414	120	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	23	INTL	Venezuela	—	146	119	33	8	1	8	23	30	2	0	0	277	403	563	966	286	301	21	16	415	167	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	24	MLB	Minnesota Twins	—	65	58	16	0	0	2	4	15	2	0	0	276	344	379	723	103	333	23	6	324	76	-2	+0	-2	-4	+1	-0.7
2015	24	AAA	Rochester Red Wings	—	311	282	56	13	0	12	18	82	6	0	1	199	261	372	634	174	228	26	6	279	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	25	MLB	San Diego Padres	—	222	202	41	7	1	8	18	80	1	1	1	203	271	366	638	163	287	36	8	285	80	-5	-0	-8	-3	+5	-1.2
2016	25	A+	Charlotte Stone Crabs	—	30	28	8	0	1	3	2	7	0	0	0	286	333	679	1.012	393	278	23	7	429	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	25	INTL	Caribes de Anzoategui	—	54	46	4	0	0	3	7	17	1	0	0	87	222	283	505	196	38	31	13	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	26	AAA	Reno Aces	—	400	341	111	25	5	24	45	86	8	0	0	326	416	639	1.056	314	367	22	11	447	111	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	28	AAA	Olmecas de Tabasco	—	300	244	63	14	1	13	46	84	8	5	0	258	393	484	876	225	336	28	15	388	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	28	INTL	Caribes de Anzoategui	—	120	100	22	2	0	3	15	29	4	2	1	220	345	330	675	110	275	24	12	313	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	29	INTL	Venezuela	—	117	91	21	3	0	2	21	19	3	0	0	231	391	330	721	99	264	16	18	336	114	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	30	INTL	Caribes de Anzoategui	—	102	70	15	3	0	5	26	20	4	0	0	214	450	471	921	257	213	20	25	409	163	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	31	INTL	Venezuela	—	199	149	45	11	0	11	41	39	6	2	1	302	469	597	1.067	295	333	20	21	457	195	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	32	INTL	Leones del Caracas	—	169	139	33	7	1	7	24	40	2	2	1	237	358	453	811	216	271	24	14	353	125	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	33	INTL	Leones del Caracas	—	229	169	46	6	0	14	44	38	11	0	0	272	451	556	1.007	284	264	17	19	433	179	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	34	INTL	Leones del Caracas	—	112	86	17	4	0	3	22	28	0	1	0	198	361	349	710	151	241	25	20	319	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	35	INTL	Navegantes del Magallanes	—	17	16	3	0	0	1	1	10	0	0	0	188	235	375	610	188	400	59	6	270	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	1075	983	231	40	6	44	76	339	13	3	5	235	299	422	721	187	310	32	7	319	102	+2	-1	-28	-22	+23	-2.6
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2008	17	ROK MLE	DSL Twins	—	248	234	44	7	2	2	11	33	2	8	7	188	231	261	491	73	213	13	4	223	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	18	ROK MLE	GCL Twins	—	187	172	36	8	1	4	10	26	2	8	0	209	261	337	598	128	219	14	5	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	19	ROK MLE	Elizabethton Twins	—	283	268	73	15	5	10	10	95	4	4	4	272	309	478	786	205	381	34	4	337	114	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	20	A+ MLE	Fort Myers Miracle	—	227	215	47	13	2	6	7	79	3	1	1	219	253	381	635	163	303	35	3	273	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	20	A MLE	Beloit Snappers	—	81	73	20	6	1	3	7	22	0	2	2	274	338	507	844	233	343	27	9	369	136	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	21	AA MLE	New Britain Rock Cats	—	299	271	80	16	5	10	19	77	5	3	2	295	353	502	854	207	367	26	6	367	135	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	21	A+ MLE	Fort Myers Miracle	—	235	214	54	15	2	6	16	67	1	1	3	252	307	425	733	173	326	29	7	321	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	22	MLB MLE	Minnesota Twins	—	378	351	88	17	2	14	23	117	4	1	2	251	304	430	734	179	336	31	6	325	106	+3	-1	-10	-8	+8	-0.8
2013	22	AAA MLE	Rochester Red Wings	—	155	134	35	5	0	9	16	45	4	2	1	261	357	500	857	239	321	29	10	372	138	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	23	MLB MLE	Minnesota Twins	—	410	376	86	16	3	20	27	127	6	1	2	229	291	447	738	218	292	31	7	323	105	+2	-1	-8	-7	+9	-0.4
2014	23	AAA MLE	Rochester Red Wings	—	85	79	22	6	0	4	3	20	2	1	0	278	321	506	828	228	307	24	4	346	120	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	24	MLB MLE	Minnesota Twins	—	65	62	16	0	0	2	0	15	2	0	0	258	281	355	636	97	333	23	0	281	76	-2	+0	-2	-4	+1	-0.7
2015	24	AAA MLE	Rochester Red Wings	—	311	287	52	11	0	11	13	95	6	0	1	181	232	334	567	153	215	31	4	246	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	25	MLB MLE	San Diego Padres	—	222	202	41	7	1	8	18	80	1	1	1	203	271	366	638	163	287	36	8	286	80	-5	-0	-8	-3	+5	-1.2
2016	25	A+ MLE	Charlotte Stone Crabs	—	30	29	6	0	1	2	1	10	0	0	0	207	233	483	716	276	227	33	3	287	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	26	AAA MLE	Reno Aces	—	400	354	85	17	3	17	32	121	8	0	0	240	317	449	766	209	299	30	8	332	111	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	28	AAA MLE	Olmecas de Tabasco	—	300	262	54	12	1	11	28	101	8	5	0	206	302	385	688	179	277	34	9	300	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	17	ROK MLE	DSL Twins	—	248	234	44	7	2	2	11	33	2	8	7	188	231	261	491	73	210	13	4	223	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	17	ROK RAW	DSL Twins	—	248	229	67	12	4	4	16	27	2	8	7	293	344	432	776	140	317	11	6	344	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	18	ROK MLE	GCL Twins	—	187	172	36	8	1	4	10	26	2	8	0	209	261	337	598	128	221	14	5	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	18	ROK RAW	GCL Twins	—	187	167	46	11	2	5	15	18	2	8	0	275	342	455	797	180	279	10	8	348	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	19	ROK MLE	Elizabethton Twins	—	283	268	73	15	5	10	10	95	4	4	4	272	309	478	786	205	384	34	4	337	114	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	19	ROK RAW	Elizabethton Twins	—	283	259	97	21	7	14	19	67	4	4	4	375	426	672	1.097	297	464	24	7	471	114	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	20	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	308	289	68	19	3	10	13	100	3	3	3	235	275	426	701	190	319	32	4	298	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	20	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	308	284	81	22	3	13	18	69	3	3	3	285	334	521	856	236	332	22	6	370	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	21	AA MLE	3 teams	—	756	683	191	44	10	23	50	204	10	4	5	280	338	474	812	195	360	27	7	347	121	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	21	AA RAW	3 teams	—	756	667	201	45	10	27	66	156	10	4	5	301	373	520	893	219	352	21	9	385	121	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	22	MLB MLE	3 teams	—	704	640	164	29	3	31	51	214	11	3	3	256	322	456	778	200	335	30	7	339	115	+13	-1	-10	-8	+15	1.0
2013	22	MLB RAW	3 teams	—	704	620	165	32	2	32	71	200	11	3	3	266	352	479	831	213	341	28	10	367	115	+13	-1	-10	-8	+15	1.0
2014	23	MLB MLE	3 teams	—	641	588	139	28	4	31	39	191	10	2	2	236	295	456	751	219	292	30	6	327	108	+6	-0	-8	-7	+14	0.5
2014	23	MLB RAW	3 teams	—	641	568	143	31	4	33	59	174	10	2	2	252	333	495	828	243	301	27	9	361	108	+6	-0	-8	-7	+14	0.5
2015	24	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	376	349	68	11	0	13	13	110	8	0	1	195	241	338	579	143	237	29	3	252	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	24	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	376	340	72	13	0	14	22	97	8	0	1	212	276	374	649	162	247	26	6	287	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	25	MLB MLE	3 teams	—	306	279	57	9	2	12	24	110	2	1	1	204	272	380	652	176	285	36	8	287	80	-7	-0	-8	-3	+7	-1.2
2016	25	MLB RAW	3 teams	—	306	276	53	7	2	14	27	104	2	1	1	192	269	384	653	192	245	34	9	290	80	-7	-0	-8	-3	+7	-1.2
2017	26	AAA MLE	Reno Aces	—	400	354	85	17	3	17	32	121	8	0	0	240	317	449	766	209	306	30	8	332	111	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	26	AAA RAW	Reno Aces	—	400	341	111	25	5	24	45	86	8	0	0	326	416	639	1.056	314	367	22	11	447	111	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	28	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	420	366	74	17	1	15	39	142	12	7	1	202	300	377	677	175	278	34	9	300	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	28	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	420	344	85	16	1	16	61	113	12	7	1	247	379	439	818	192	317	27	15	366	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	29	INTL MLE	Venezuela	—	117	91	21	3	0	2	21	19	3	0	0	231	391	330	721	99	264	16	18	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	29	INTL RAW	Venezuela	—	117	91	21	3	0	2	21	19	3	0	0	231	391	330	721	99	264	16	18	336	114	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	30	INTL MLE	Caribes de Anzoategui	—	102	70	15	3	0	5	26	20	4	0	0	214	450	471	921	257	213	20	25	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	30	INTL RAW	Caribes de Anzoategui	—	102	70	15	3	0	5	26	20	4	0	0	214	450	471	921	257	213	20	25	409	163	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	31	INTL MLE	Venezuela	—	199	149	45	11	0	11	41	39	6	2	1	302	469	597	1.067	295	333	20	21	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	31	INTL RAW	Venezuela	—	199	149	45	11	0	11	41	39	6	2	1	302	469	597	1.067	295	333	20	21	457	195	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	32	INTL MLE	Leones del Caracas	—	169	139	33	7	1	7	24	40	2	2	1	237	358	453	811	216	271	24	14	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	32	INTL RAW	Leones del Caracas	—	169	139	33	7	1	7	24	40	2	2	1	237	358	453	811	216	271	24	14	353	125	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	33	INTL MLE	Leones del Caracas	—	229	169	46	6	0	14	44	38	11	0	0	272	451	556	1.007	284	264	17	19	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	33	INTL RAW	Leones del Caracas	—	229	169	46	6	0	14	44	38	11	0	0	272	451	556	1.007	284	264	17	19	433	179	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	34	INTL MLE	Leones del Caracas	—	112	86	17	4	0	3	22	28	0	1	0	198	361	349	710	151	241	25	20	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	34	INTL RAW	Leones del Caracas	—	112	86	17	4	0	3	22	28	0	1	0	198	361	349	710	151	241	25	20	319	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	35	INTL MLE	Navegantes del Magallanes	—	17	16	3	0	0	1	1	10	0	0	0	188	235	375	610	188	400	59	6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	35	INTL RAW	Navegantes del Magallanes	—	17	16	3	0	0	1	1	10	0	0	0	188	235	375	610	188	400	59	6	270	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	17	ROK MLE	DSL Twins	—	248	233	44	7	2	2	11	33	2	8	7	189	231	262	493	73	213	13	4	223	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	18	ROK MLE	GCL Twins	—	187	173	36	8	1	4	10	26	2	8	0	208	261	335	596	127	219	14	5	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	19	ROK MLE	Elizabethton Twins	—	283	267	73	15	5	10	10	95	4	4	4	273	309	479	788	206	381	34	4	337	114	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	20	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	308	289	68	19	3	10	13	100	3	3	3	235	275	426	701	190	314	32	4	298	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	21	AA MLE	3 teams	—	756	690	191	44	10	23	50	204	10	4	5	277	338	470	807	193	349	27	7	347	121	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	22	MLB MLE	3 teams	—	704	636	164	29	3	31	51	214	11	3	3	258	322	459	781	201	332	30	7	339	115	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	23	MLB MLE	3 teams	—	641	587	139	28	4	31	39	191	10	2	2	237	295	457	752	220	295	30	6	327	108	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	24	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	376	352	68	11	0	13	13	110	8	0	1	193	241	335	576	142	235	29	3	252	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	25	MLB MLE	3 teams	—	306	277	57	9	2	12	24	110	2	1	1	206	272	383	655	177	280	36	8	287	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	26	AAA MLE	Reno Aces	—	400	357	85	17	3	17	32	121	8	0	0	238	317	445	763	207	299	30	8	332	111	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	28	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	420	366	74	17	1	15	39	142	12	7	1	202	300	377	677	175	277	34	9	300	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1075	983	231	40	6	44	76	339	13	3	5	235	299	422	721	187	310	32	7	319	61	+2	-1	-28	-22	+23	-2.6
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	594	140	24	4	27	46	205	8	2	3	236	299	426	725	190	310	32	7	319	61	+2	-1	-17	-13	+14	-1.6
Career	—	MLE		—	5574	4942	1179	238	35	211	471	1540	98	45	29	239	317	429	746	190	298	28	8	259	61	+2	-1	-28	-22	+23	-2.6
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	576	138	28	4	25	55	180	11	5	3	240	317	432	750	193	299	28	8	259	61	+2	-1	-17	-13	+14	-1.6

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2019 AAAOlmecas de Tabasco · 300 PAwOBA .378 → .300 (−78)K% 28.0% → 33.8%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	28.00%	÷0.994	×1.200	—	—	33.80%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	14.67%	÷1.078	×0.690	—	×0.992	9.31%
HBP% /PA	2.67%	—	×0.940	—	×0.992	2.49%
Singles /BIP	21.88%	÷1.056	×0.930	×0.950	×0.992	18.15%
Doubles /BIP	8.75%	÷0.900	×0.830	×0.950	×0.992	7.61%
Triples /BIP	0.62%	÷1.057	×0.920	×0.950	×0.992	0.51%
Home runs /BIP	8.12%	÷0.865	×0.700	—	×0.992	6.52%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 73, 1B 111, 2B 80, 3B 111, K 99, BB 116 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .378 → .300; ISO .225 → .189; BABIP .336 → .277. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2017 AAAReno Aces · 400 PAwOBA .441 → .332 (−109)K% 21.5% → 30.2%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	21.50%	÷0.919	×1.290	—	—	30.19%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	11.00%	÷1.007	×0.710	—	×1.018	7.89%
HBP% /PA	2.00%	—	×0.980	—	×1.018	2.00%
Singles /BIP	22.35%	÷0.992	×0.900	×0.967	×1.018	19.97%
Doubles /BIP	9.80%	÷1.089	×0.810	×0.967	×1.018	7.18%
Triples /BIP	1.96%	÷1.150	×0.810	×0.967	×1.018	1.36%
Home runs /BIP	9.41%	÷1.044	×0.780	—	×1.018	7.15%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 109, 1B 98, 2B 118, 3B 130, K 84, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.967.

Result: wOBA .441 → .332; ISO .314 → .220; BABIP .367 → .299. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2016 A+Charlotte Stone Crabs · 30 PAwOBA .416 → .287 (−129)K% 23.3% → 34.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	23.33%	÷0.971	×1.420	—	—	34.12%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	6.67%	÷1.040	×0.750	—	×0.978	4.70%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.930	—	×0.978	0.00%
Singles /BIP	19.05%	÷1.011	×0.920	—	×0.978	16.96%
Doubles /BIP	0.00%	÷1.290	×0.960	—	×0.978	0.00%
Triples /BIP	4.76%	÷1.150	×0.810	—	×0.978	3.28%
Home runs /BIP	14.29%	÷1.142	×0.880	—	×0.978	10.77%

Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 128, 1B 102, 2B 158, 3B 130, K 94, BB 108 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 22.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .416 → .287; ISO .393 → .255; BABIP .278 → .227. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2015 AAARochester Red Wings · 311 PAwOBA .275 → .246 (−30)K% 26.4% → 30.7%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	26.37%	÷1.030	×1.200	—	—	30.71%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	5.79%	÷0.980	×0.690	—	×1.048	4.27%
HBP% /PA	1.93%	—	×0.940	—	×1.048	1.90%
Singles /BIP	15.50%	÷0.979	×0.930	×0.986	×1.048	15.21%
Doubles /BIP	6.50%	÷0.987	×0.830	×0.986	×1.048	5.65%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.932	×0.970	×0.986	×1.048	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	6.00%	÷0.956	×0.840	—	×1.048	5.52%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 91, 1B 96, 2B 97, 3B 86, K 106, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.986.

Result: wOBA .275 → .246; ISO .174 → .155; BABIP .228 → .215. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2014 AAARochester Red Wings · 85 PAwOBA .407 → .346 (−61)K% 20.0% → 24.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	20.00%	÷1.002	×1.200	—	—	23.95%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	5.88%	÷1.125	×0.690	—	×1.050	3.79%
HBP% /PA	2.35%	—	×0.940	—	×1.050	2.32%
Singles /BIP	20.00%	÷1.010	×0.930	×1.005	×1.050	19.43%
Doubles /BIP	11.67%	÷1.059	×0.830	×1.005	×1.050	9.65%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.900	×0.970	×1.005	×1.050	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	8.33%	÷1.075	×0.840	—	×1.050	6.84%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 115, 1B 102, 2B 112, 3B 80, K 100, BB 125 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.005.

Result: wOBA .407 → .346; ISO .286 → .233; BABIP .339 → .307. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2013 AAARochester Red Wings · 155 PAwOBA .433 → .372 (−61)K% 23.9% → 29.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	23.87%	÷0.987	×1.200	—	—	29.02%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	14.19%	÷1.026	×0.690	—	×1.050	10.02%
HBP% /PA	2.58%	—	×0.940	—	×1.050	2.55%
Singles /BIP	26.37%	÷1.040	×0.930	×0.950	×1.050	23.52%
Doubles /BIP	6.59%	÷0.977	×0.830	×0.950	×1.050	5.59%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.900	×0.970	×0.950	×1.050	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	10.99%	÷0.938	×0.840	—	×1.050	10.33%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 88, 1B 108, 2B 95, 3B 80, K 97, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .433 → .372; ISO .281 → .259; BABIP .366 → .321. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2012 AANew Britain Rock Cats · 299 PAwOBA .408 → .367 (−41)K% 20.7% → 25.7%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	20.74%	÷0.983	×1.220	—	—	25.75%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	9.03%	÷1.036	×0.700	—	×1.050	6.41%
HBP% /PA	1.67%	—	×0.850	—	×1.050	1.49%
Singles /BIP	25.50%	÷1.015	×0.970	×0.972	×1.050	24.87%
Doubles /BIP	10.00%	÷1.067	×0.860	×0.972	×1.050	8.22%
Triples /BIP	2.50%	÷0.981	×0.950	×0.972	×1.050	2.47%
Home runs /BIP	5.00%	÷0.811	×0.780	—	×1.050	5.05%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 62, 1B 103, 2B 113, 3B 96, K 97, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 24.8 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.972.

Result: wOBA .408 → .367; ISO .229 → .214; BABIP .392 → .367. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2012 A+Fort Myers Miracle · 235 PAwOBA .380 → .321 (−58)K% 19.1% → 28.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	19.15%	÷0.956	×1.420	—	—	28.46%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	8.94%	÷0.977	×0.750	—	×1.027	7.04%
HBP% /PA	0.43%	—	×0.930	—	×1.027	0.41%
Singles /BIP	23.46%	÷1.095	×0.920	×1.020	×1.027	20.65%
Doubles /BIP	9.88%	÷1.022	×0.960	×1.020	×1.027	9.72%
Triples /BIP	1.85%	÷1.052	×0.810	×1.020	×1.027	1.49%
Home runs /BIP	4.32%	÷0.930	×0.880	—	×1.027	4.20%

Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 86, 1B 119, 2B 104, 3B 110, K 91, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.020.

Result: wOBA .380 → .321; ISO .208 → .184; BABIP .361 → .326. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .