Ike Davis
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 28 | MLBOakland Athle… | 239 | .229/.304/.350 | 3 | 0 | 86 | -0.8 | ||
| 2016 | 29 | AAAScranton/Wilk… | 270 | .248/.341/.419 | 9 | 0 | 63 | — | .192/.258/.314 | |
| 2016 | 29 | MLBNYY | 15 | .214/.267/.214 | 0 | 0 | 40 | -0.6 | ||
| 2017 | 30 | AAAOklahoma City… | 93 | .212/.264/.412 | 4 | 0 | 23 | — | .149/.187/.287 | |
| 2018 | 31 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2019 | 32 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2020 | 33 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2021 | 34 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2022 | 35 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2023 | 36 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2024 | 37 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2025 | 38 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2026 | 39 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2009 | 22 | AA | Binghamton Mets | — | 233 | 207 | 64 | 14 | 0 | 13 | 26 | 60 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 309 | 386 | 565 | 951 | 256 | 381 | 26 | 11 | 415 | 116 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 22 | A+ | St. Lucie Mets | — | 255 | 222 | 64 | 17 | 3 | 7 | 31 | 52 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 288 | 378 | 486 | 864 | 198 | 348 | 20 | 12 | 381 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 23 | MLB | New York Mets | — | 601 | 523 | 138 | 33 | 1 | 19 | 72 | 138 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 264 | 354 | 440 | 794 | 176 | 321 | 23 | 12 | 352 | 125 | +18 | -0 | -0 | -11 | +13 | 1.9 |
| 2010 | 23 | AAA | Buffalo Bisons | — | 42 | 33 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 364 | 500 | 636 | 1.136 | 273 | 385 | 12 | 21 | 491 | 172 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 24 | MLB | New York Mets | — | 149 | 129 | 39 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 17 | 31 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 302 | 388 | 543 | 930 | 240 | 344 | 21 | 11 | 402 | 154 | +10 | +0 | -1 | -3 | +3 | 1.0 |
| 2012 | 25 | MLB | New York Mets | — | 584 | 519 | 118 | 26 | 0 | 32 | 61 | 141 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 227 | 310 | 462 | 772 | 235 | 246 | 24 | 10 | 338 | 117 | +12 | -1 | -13 | -10 | +13 | 0.0 |
| 2013 | 26 | MLB | New York Mets | — | 377 | 317 | 65 | 14 | 0 | 9 | 57 | 101 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 205 | 328 | 334 | 662 | 129 | 268 | 27 | 15 | 306 | 91 | -4 | +1 | -9 | -8 | +8 | -1.3 |
| 2013 | 26 | AAA | Las Vegas 51s | — | 92 | 75 | 22 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 17 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 293 | 424 | 667 | 1.091 | 373 | 300 | 20 | 18 | 464 | 117 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 27 | MLB | Pittsburgh Pirates | — | 427 | 360 | 84 | 19 | 0 | 11 | 63 | 78 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 233 | 348 | 378 | 725 | 144 | 265 | 18 | 15 | 328 | 107 | +3 | -2 | -9 | -8 | +9 | -0.5 |
| 2015 | 28 | MLB | Oakland Athletics | — | 239 | 214 | 49 | 17 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 44 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 229 | 304 | 350 | 654 | 121 | 272 | 18 | 10 | 294 | 86 | -4 | +0 | -4 | -5 | +5 | -0.8 |
| 2015 | 28 | AAA | Nashville Sounds | — | 21 | 21 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 238 | 238 | 286 | 524 | 48 | 312 | 24 | 0 | 234 | 12 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 29 | MLB | New York Yankees | — | 15 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 214 | 267 | 214 | 481 | 333 | 33 | 7 | 228 | 40 | -1 | +0 | -0 | -5 | +0 | -0.6 | |
| 2016 | 29 | AAA | Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders | — | 270 | 234 | 58 | 13 | 0 | 9 | 33 | 69 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 248 | 341 | 419 | 760 | 171 | 308 | 26 | 12 | 337 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 30 | AAA | Oklahoma City Dodgers | — | 93 | 85 | 18 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 32 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 212 | 264 | 412 | 676 | 200 | 275 | 34 | 6 | 291 | 23 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 2392 | 2076 | 496 | 117 | 2 | 81 | 294 | 538 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 239 | 334 | 414 | 749 | 175 | 281 | 22 | 12 | 334 | 112 | +34 | -2 | -36 | -50 | +52 | -0.2 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2009 | 22 | AA MLE | Binghamton Mets | — | 233 | 214 | 57 | 12 | 0 | 10 | 19 | 73 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 266 | 326 | 463 | 789 | 196 | 362 | 31 | 8 | 340 | 116 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 22 | A+ MLE | St. Lucie Mets | — | 255 | 232 | 54 | 15 | 2 | 6 | 21 | 74 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 233 | 299 | 392 | 691 | 159 | 315 | 29 | 8 | 306 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 23 | MLB MLE | New York Mets | — | 601 | 529 | 142 | 35 | 1 | 19 | 66 | 138 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 268 | 351 | 446 | 797 | 178 | 321 | 23 | 11 | 353 | 125 | +18 | -0 | -0 | -11 | +13 | 1.9 |
| 2010 | 23 | AAA MLE | Buffalo Bisons | — | 42 | 35 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 314 | 429 | 543 | 971 | 229 | 356 | 14 | 17 | 422 | 172 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 24 | MLB MLE | New York Mets | — | 149 | 132 | 40 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 31 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 303 | 374 | 538 | 912 | 235 | 344 | 21 | 9 | 396 | 154 | +10 | +0 | -1 | -3 | +3 | 1.0 |
| 2012 | 25 | MLB MLE | New York Mets | — | 584 | 522 | 122 | 28 | 0 | 32 | 58 | 141 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 234 | 312 | 471 | 783 | 238 | 246 | 24 | 10 | 341 | 117 | +12 | -1 | -13 | -10 | +13 | 0.0 |
| 2013 | 26 | MLB MLE | New York Mets | — | 377 | 322 | 67 | 15 | 0 | 9 | 52 | 101 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 208 | 320 | 339 | 659 | 130 | 268 | 27 | 14 | 302 | 91 | -4 | +1 | -9 | -8 | +8 | -1.3 |
| 2013 | 26 | AAA MLE | Las Vegas 51s | — | 92 | 80 | 17 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 212 | 315 | 463 | 778 | 250 | 243 | 26 | 13 | 341 | 117 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 27 | MLB MLE | Pittsburgh Pirates | — | 427 | 363 | 84 | 18 | 0 | 12 | 60 | 78 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 231 | 340 | 380 | 721 | 149 | 265 | 18 | 14 | 326 | 107 | +3 | -2 | -9 | -8 | +9 | -0.5 |
| 2015 | 28 | MLB MLE | Oakland Athletics | — | 239 | 214 | 48 | 16 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 44 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 224 | 300 | 341 | 641 | 117 | 272 | 18 | 10 | 295 | 86 | -4 | +0 | -4 | -5 | +5 | -0.8 |
| 2015 | 28 | AAA MLE | Nashville Sounds | — | 21 | 21 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 190 | 190 | 238 | 429 | 48 | 281 | 29 | 0 | 186 | 12 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 29 | MLB MLE | New York Yankees | — | 15 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 214 | 267 | 214 | 481 | 333 | 33 | 7 | 228 | 40 | -1 | +0 | -0 | -5 | +0 | -0.6 | |
| 2016 | 29 | AAA MLE | Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders | — | 270 | 245 | 47 | 9 | 0 | 7 | 22 | 83 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 192 | 258 | 314 | 573 | 122 | 256 | 31 | 8 | 262 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 30 | AAA MLE | Oklahoma City Dodgers | — | 93 | 87 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 41 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 149 | 187 | 287 | 474 | 138 | 216 | 44 | 4 | 202 | 23 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 22 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 488 | 446 | 112 | 27 | 2 | 16 | 40 | 147 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 251 | 314 | 428 | 742 | 177 | 338 | 30 | 8 | 322 | 104 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 22 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 488 | 429 | 128 | 31 | 3 | 20 | 57 | 112 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 298 | 382 | 524 | 906 | 226 | 362 | 23 | 12 | 397 | 104 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 23 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 643 | 564 | 154 | 37 | 1 | 21 | 73 | 144 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 273 | 357 | 454 | 811 | 181 | 329 | 22 | 11 | 357 | 128 | +21 | -0 | -0 | -11 | +14 | 2.4 |
| 2010 | 23 | MLB RAW | 2 teams | — | 643 | 556 | 150 | 36 | 1 | 21 | 81 | 143 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 270 | 364 | 451 | 815 | 182 | 325 | 22 | 13 | 361 | 128 | +21 | -0 | -0 | -11 | +14 | 2.4 |
| 2011 | 24 | MLB MLE | New York Mets | — | 149 | 132 | 40 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 31 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 303 | 374 | 538 | 912 | 235 | 344 | 21 | 9 | 396 | 154 | +10 | +0 | -1 | -3 | +3 | 1.0 |
| 2011 | 24 | MLB RAW | New York Mets | — | 149 | 129 | 39 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 17 | 31 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 302 | 388 | 543 | 930 | 240 | 344 | 21 | 11 | 402 | 154 | +10 | +0 | -1 | -3 | +3 | 1.0 |
| 2012 | 25 | MLB MLE | New York Mets | — | 584 | 522 | 122 | 28 | 0 | 32 | 58 | 141 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 234 | 312 | 471 | 783 | 238 | 256 | 24 | 10 | 341 | 117 | +12 | -1 | -13 | -10 | +13 | 0.0 |
| 2012 | 25 | MLB RAW | New York Mets | — | 584 | 519 | 118 | 26 | 0 | 32 | 61 | 141 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 227 | 310 | 462 | 772 | 235 | 246 | 24 | 10 | 338 | 117 | +12 | -1 | -13 | -10 | +13 | 0.0 |
| 2013 | 26 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 469 | 402 | 84 | 20 | 0 | 14 | 64 | 125 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 209 | 319 | 363 | 682 | 154 | 264 | 27 | 14 | 310 | 96 | -2 | +1 | -9 | -8 | +10 | -0.9 |
| 2013 | 26 | MLB RAW | 2 teams | — | 469 | 392 | 87 | 21 | 0 | 16 | 74 | 119 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 222 | 347 | 398 | 745 | 176 | 274 | 25 | 16 | 337 | 96 | -2 | +1 | -9 | -8 | +10 | -0.9 |
| 2014 | 27 | MLB MLE | Pittsburgh Pirates | — | 427 | 363 | 84 | 18 | 0 | 12 | 60 | 78 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 231 | 340 | 380 | 721 | 149 | 260 | 18 | 14 | 326 | 107 | +3 | -2 | -9 | -8 | +9 | -0.5 |
| 2014 | 27 | MLB RAW | Pittsburgh Pirates | — | 427 | 360 | 84 | 19 | 0 | 11 | 63 | 78 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 233 | 348 | 378 | 725 | 144 | 265 | 18 | 15 | 328 | 107 | +3 | -2 | -9 | -8 | +9 | -0.5 |
| 2015 | 28 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 260 | 235 | 53 | 17 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 50 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 226 | 295 | 336 | 631 | 111 | 272 | 19 | 9 | 286 | 80 | -6 | +0 | -4 | -5 | +6 | -0.9 |
| 2015 | 28 | MLB RAW | 2 teams | — | 260 | 235 | 54 | 18 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 49 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 230 | 298 | 345 | 643 | 115 | 276 | 19 | 9 | 289 | 80 | -6 | +0 | -4 | -5 | +6 | -0.9 |
| 2016 | 29 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 285 | 259 | 50 | 9 | 0 | 7 | 23 | 88 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 193 | 259 | 309 | 568 | 116 | 257 | 31 | 8 | 260 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 29 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 285 | 248 | 61 | 13 | 0 | 9 | 34 | 74 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 246 | 337 | 407 | 744 | 161 | 310 | 26 | 12 | 331 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 30 | AAA MLE | Oklahoma City Dodgers | — | 93 | 87 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 41 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 149 | 187 | 287 | 474 | 138 | 222 | 44 | 4 | 202 | 23 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 30 | AAA RAW | Oklahoma City Dodgers | — | 93 | 85 | 18 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 32 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 212 | 264 | 412 | 676 | 200 | 275 | 34 | 6 | 291 | 23 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 22 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 488 | 444 | 112 | 27 | 2 | 16 | 40 | 147 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 252 | 314 | 430 | 744 | 178 | 337 | 30 | 8 | 322 | 104 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 23 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 643 | 564 | 154 | 37 | 1 | 21 | 73 | 144 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 273 | 357 | 454 | 811 | 181 | 323 | 22 | 11 | 357 | 128 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 24 | MLB MLE | New York Mets | — | 149 | 133 | 40 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 31 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 301 | 374 | 534 | 908 | 233 | 344 | 21 | 9 | 396 | 154 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 25 | MLB MLE | New York Mets | — | 584 | 520 | 122 | 28 | 0 | 32 | 58 | 141 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 235 | 312 | 473 | 785 | 238 | 246 | 24 | 10 | 341 | 117 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 26 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 469 | 401 | 84 | 20 | 0 | 14 | 64 | 125 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 209 | 319 | 364 | 683 | 155 | 263 | 27 | 14 | 310 | 96 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 27 | MLB MLE | Pittsburgh Pirates | — | 427 | 364 | 84 | 18 | 0 | 12 | 60 | 78 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 231 | 340 | 379 | 720 | 148 | 265 | 18 | 14 | 326 | 107 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 28 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 260 | 235 | 53 | 17 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 50 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 226 | 295 | 336 | 631 | 111 | 273 | 19 | 9 | 286 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 29 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 285 | 260 | 50 | 9 | 0 | 7 | 23 | 88 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 192 | 259 | 308 | 567 | 115 | 260 | 31 | 8 | 260 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 30 | AAA MLE | Oklahoma City Dodgers | — | 93 | 89 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 41 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 146 | 187 | 281 | 468 | 135 | 216 | 44 | 4 | 202 | 23 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 2392 | 2076 | 496 | 117 | 2 | 81 | 294 | 538 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 239 | 334 | 414 | 749 | 175 | 281 | 22 | 12 | 334 | 105 | +34 | -2 | -36 | -50 | +52 | -0.2 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 564 | 135 | 32 | 1 | 22 | 80 | 146 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 239 | 335 | 417 | 752 | 177 | 282 | 22 | 12 | 334 | 105 | +9 | -0 | -10 | -14 | +14 | -0.1 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 3398 | 3010 | 712 | 167 | 4 | 115 | 359 | 845 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 237 | 319 | 409 | 728 | 173 | 288 | 25 | 11 | 323 | 105 | +34 | -2 | -36 | -50 | +52 | -0.2 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 576 | 136 | 32 | 1 | 22 | 69 | 162 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 236 | 319 | 410 | 729 | 174 | 287 | 25 | 11 | 323 | 105 | +9 | -0 | -10 | -14 | +14 | -0.1 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2017 AAAOklahoma City Dodgers · 93 PAwOBA .289 → .202 (−87)K% 34.4% → 44.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 34.41% | ÷1.000 | ×1.290 | — | — | 44.39% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.45% | ÷1.017 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.972 | 4.38% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×0.972 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 16.98% | ÷0.978 | ×0.900 | ×0.950 | ×0.972 | 14.44% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.43% | ÷1.038 | ×0.810 | ×0.950 | ×0.972 | 6.80% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.810 | ×0.950 | ×0.972 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.55% | ÷0.989 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.972 | 5.78% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 98, 1B 96, 2B 108, 3B 130, K 100, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 27.2 → −2.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .289 → .202; ISO .200 → .135; BABIP .275 → .216. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AAAScranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders · 270 PAwOBA .331 → .262 (−69)K% 25.6% → 30.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.56% | ÷0.994 | ×1.200 | — | — | 30.84% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.85% | ÷0.977 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.982 | 8.22% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.982 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.82% | ÷0.991 | ×0.930 | ×0.951 | ×0.982 | 19.13% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.88% | ÷1.059 | ×0.830 | ×0.951 | ×0.982 | 5.77% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.970 | ×0.951 | ×0.982 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.45% | ÷0.996 | ×0.840 | — | ×0.982 | 4.52% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 99, 1B 98, 2B 112, 3B 80, K 99, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.951.
Result: wOBA .331 → .262; ISO .171 → .136; BABIP .308 → .256. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AAANashville Sounds · 21 PAwOBA .227 → .186 (−41)K% 23.8% → 29.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.81% | ÷1.034 | ×1.290 | — | — | 29.69% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 0.00% | ÷1.018 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.992 | 0.00% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×0.992 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.00% | ÷0.953 | ×0.900 | — | ×0.992 | 23.41% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.25% | ÷1.063 | ×0.810 | — | ×0.992 | 4.72% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.952 | ×0.810 | — | ×0.992 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.843 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.992 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 69, 1B 91, 2B 113, 3B 90, K 107, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .227 → .186; ISO .048 → .033; BABIP .312 → .281. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 AAALas Vegas 51s · 92 PAwOBA .449 → .341 (−108)K% 19.6% → 26.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.57% | ÷0.952 | ×1.290 | — | — | 26.52% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 17.39% | ÷0.994 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.018 | 12.65% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 14.04% | ÷1.018 | ×0.900 | ×0.980 | ×1.018 | 12.38% |
| Doubles /BIP | 12.28% | ÷1.023 | ×0.810 | ×0.980 | ×1.018 | 9.70% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.810 | ×0.980 | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 12.28% | ÷1.078 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.018 | 9.05% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 116, 1B 104, 2B 105, 3B 130, K 90, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.980.
Result: wOBA .449 → .341; ISO .373 → .275; BABIP .300 → .243. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2010 AAABuffalo Bisons · 42 PAwOBA .479 → .422 (−57)K% 11.9% → 14.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 11.90% | ÷0.984 | ×1.200 | — | — | 14.52% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 21.43% | ÷0.958 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.050 | 16.20% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.00% | ÷0.969 | ×0.930 | — | ×1.050 | 25.20% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.71% | ÷1.133 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.050 | 8.24% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.14% | ÷1.026 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.050 | 6.14% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 105, 1B 94, 2B 127, 3B 130, K 97, BB 92 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .479 → .422; ISO .273 → .235; BABIP .385 → .356. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2009 A+St. Lucie Mets · 255 PAwOBA .369 → .306 (−63)K% 20.4% → 29.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.39% | ÷1.000 | ×1.420 | — | — | 28.96% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.98% | ÷1.000 | ×0.750 | — | ×1.012 | 8.33% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.39% | — | ×0.930 | — | ×1.012 | 0.37% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.76% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×0.972 | ×1.012 | 19.70% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.960 | ×0.972 | ×1.012 | 9.44% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.76% | ÷1.000 | ×0.810 | ×0.972 | ×1.012 | 1.41% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.12% | ÷1.000 | ×0.880 | — | ×1.012 | 3.67% |
Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.972.
Result: wOBA .369 → .306; ISO .198 → .167; BABIP .348 → .315. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2009 AABinghamton Mets · 233 PAwOBA .403 → .340 (−63)K% 25.8% → 31.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.75% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 31.42% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.16% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.042 | 8.14% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.042 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.17% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | ×0.989 | ×1.042 | 25.15% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.52% | ÷1.000 | ×0.860 | ×0.989 | ×1.042 | 8.44% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.950 | ×0.989 | ×1.042 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 8.84% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.042 | 7.19% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 24.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.989.
Result: wOBA .403 → .340; ISO .256 → .204; BABIP .381 → .362. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).