Juan Yepez — OGILVIE

Juan Yepez1B Rochester Red Wings

Age 28 R/R 6'0" / 235 lbs AAA HR -9% Svc 4.000 · Ctrl thru 2027

wRC+†vL 13098vR 106

AVG/OBP/SLG.245 / .306 / .395

PA334

HR9

K%19

BB%7

xwOBA.303

Barrel%5.9%

MLB%10%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

55→55

PWR

45→45

SPD

45→45

EYE

48↘40

trajectory · 10 yrs

0.3peak

2026

Barrel%

325.9

xwOBA

450.303

Avg EV

1786.6

Whiff%

620.097

Chase%

290.359

Speed

3326.7

Bat Spd

4270.5

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Arb-2

MLB Debut 2022

Service 4.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2027

First FA Year 2028

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	Arb-2	$0.4M	—	—	—
2027	Arb-3	$0.7M	—	—	—
Totals		$-2M		$-2M	+$0.0M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2015	17	ROK	Danville Braves	228	209	45	11	1	3	14	78	1	3	3	.215	.268	.321	.588	.105	.318	34	6	.262	59	-11	-1	+0	-4	+6	-0.9
2016	18	A	Rome Braves	100	95	20	4	0	1	4	32	1	0	0	.211	.250	.284	.534	.074	.306	32	4	.228	33	-8	+0	+0	-2	+3	-0.7
2017	19	A	Peoria Chiefs	480	453	99	23	1	6	20	125	3	10	2	.219	.256	.313	.570	.095	.285	26	4	.252	51	-27	+1	+0	-9	+14	-2.1
2018	20	A+	2 teams	348	326	76	20	2	3	16	89	3	6	2	.233	.275	.334	.610	.101	.309	26	5	.262	59	-16	+0	+0	-6	+10	-1.2
2019	21	A+	3 teams	275	250	54	10	0	8	18	77	3	3	1	.216	.277	.352	.629	.136	.274	28	7	.274	68	-10	+0	+0	-5	+8	-0.7
2021	23	AAA	3 teams	537	478	113	28	0	30	41	128	11	2	3	.236	.311	.483	.795	.247	.254	24	8	.337	116	+10	-1	+0	-10	+15	1.5
2022	24	MLB	3 teams	517	478	113	22	0	26	29	126	5	0	0	.236	.287	.446	.733	.209	.263	24	6	.309	94	-3	+0	-7	-6	+15	-0.1
2023	25	AAA	3 teams	515	470	101	22	3	11	31	125	6	3	3	.215	.272	.345	.617	.130	.263	24	6	.272	66	-20	-1	-2	-6	+15	-1.3
2024	26	AAA	2 teams	568	511	126	29	0	15	47	99	3	5	3	.247	.314	.391	.705	.145	.275	17	8	.305	92	-5	-0	-4	-10	+16	-0.4
2025	27	AAA	3 teams	386	359	68	12	0	10	23	58	1	0	0	.189	.240	.306	.547	.117	.197	15	6	.244	45	-24	+0	+0	-7	+11	-2.0
▸ 2026 Season
2026	28	MLB	WSH	334	304	75	16	1	9	25	62	2	2	1	.247	.308	.395	.703	.148	.279	19	7	.313	98	-1	+0	-3	-6	+9	-0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	29	MLB 20%	WSH	349	318	79	17	1	10	26	66	2	2	0	.248	.309	.403	.712	.154	.279	19	7	.311	96	-1	+0	-5	-6	+10	-0.2
2028	30	MLB 33%	WSH	358	326	80	17	1	10	27	68	2	1	0	.245	.307	.396	.703	.150	.277	19	8	.308	94	-2	+0	-6	-6	+10	-0.4
2029	31	MLB 43%	WSH	343	313	76	16	1	9	25	67	2	0	0	.243	.303	.387	.690	.144	.276	20	7	.304	91	-3	+0	-6	-6	+10	-0.6
2030	32	MLB 52%	WSH	324	295	70	15	1	8	24	65	2	0	0	.237	.299	.376	.675	.139	.275	20	7	.300	88	-5	+0	-7	-6	+9	-0.8
2031	33	MLB 70%	WSH	294	268	63	13	1	7	22	61	2	0	0	.235	.298	.369	.667	.134	.273	21	7	.294	83	-6	+0	-7	-5	+8	-1.0
2032	34	MLB 87%	WSH	251	230	52	11	0	6	18	54	1	0	0	.226	.285	.352	.637	.126	.271	22	7	.287	78	-6	+0	-7	-4	+7	-1.1
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			6207	5683	1310	286	13	172	410	1380	50	37	18	.231	.288	.376	.664	.146	.272	22	7	.290	80	-138	+0	-54	-103	+176	-12.1
/ 162G	—			650	595	137	30	1	18	43	145	5	4	2	.230	.288	.375	.663	.145	.272	22	7	.290	80	-14	+0	-6	-11	+18	-1.3

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2015	17	ROK	Danville Braves	228	201	60	16	2	4	22	55	1	3	3	.299	.371	.458	.828	.159	.384	24	10	.362	135	+9	-1	—	—	+6	1.5
2016	18	A	Rome Braves	100	92	24	5	0	1	7	23	1	0	0	.261	.320	.348	.668	.087	.338	23	7	.304	91	-1	+0	—	—	+3	0.2
2017	19	A	Peoria Chiefs	480	446	118	29	1	8	27	104	3	10	2	.265	.311	.388	.699	.123	.325	22	6	.310	96	-2	+1	—	—	+14	1.3
2018	20	A+	Palm Beach Cardinals	242	226	47	12	0	2	12	52	3	2	1	.208	.257	.288	.545	.080	.262	21	5	.248	48	-14	+0	—	—	+7	-0.8
2018	20	A	Peoria Chiefs	106	94	39	10	2	1	10	14	0	4	1	.415	.471	.596	1.067	.181	.469	13	9	.459	209	+13	+0	—	—	+3	1.7
2019	21	AA	Springfield Cardinals	59	52	12	2	0	2	5	14	0	0	0	.231	.298	.385	.683	.154	.263	24	8	.296	85	-1	+0	—	—	+2	0.1
2019	21	A+	Palm Beach Cardinals	115	102	28	4	0	4	10	21	2	1	0	.275	.351	.431	.782	.157	.312	18	9	.348	124	+3	+0	—	—	+3	0.7
2019	21	A	Peoria Chiefs	101	88	25	7	0	4	11	24	1	2	1	.284	.370	.500	.870	.216	.344	24	11	.380	149	+6	+0	—	—	+3	0.9
2021	23	AAA	Memphis Redbirds	357	304	88	25	0	22	42	69	6	1	3	.289	.385	.589	.974	.299	.304	19	12	.417	177	+31	-1	—	—	+10	4.1
2021	23	AA	Springfield Cardinals	77	63	17	4	0	5	9	13	3	0	0	.270	.377	.571	.948	.302	.267	17	12	.406	169	+6	+0	—	—	+2	0.8
2021	23	INTL	Glendale Desert Dogs	103	86	26	8	0	7	12	18	2	1	0	.302	.400	.640	1.040	.337	.297	17	12	.433	190	+10	+0	—	—	+3	1.4
2022	24	MLB	St. Louis Cardinals	274	253	64	13	0	12	16	61	1	0	0	.253	.300	.447	.747	.194	.283	22	6	.324	106	+2	+0	-7	-6	+8	-0.2
2022	24	AAA	Memphis Redbirds	208	188	52	9	0	16	17	46	2	0	0	.277	.343	.580	.923	.303	.283	22	8	.397	162	+15	+0	—	—	+6	2.1
2022	24	INTL	Tiburones de La Guaira	35	29	3	0	1	0	4	7	2	0	0	.103	.257	.172	.430	.069	.136	20	11	.220	26	-3	+0	—	—	+1	-0.2
2023	25	MLB	St. Louis Cardinals	65	60	11	1	0	2	4	20	1	0	1	.183	.246	.300	.546	.117	.237	31	6	.249	49	-4	-0	-2	-6	+2	-1.0
2023	25	AAA	Memphis Redbirds	384	341	87	21	3	9	33	73	4	2	2	.255	.328	.413	.742	.158	.294	19	9	.326	108	+3	-0	—	—	+11	1.4
2023	25	INTL	Cangrejeros de Santurce	66	58	11	1	1	0	5	13	1	1	0	.190	.266	.241	.507	.052	.234	20	8	.231	35	-5	+0	—	—	+2	-0.3
2024	26	MLB	Washington Nationals	249	226	64	15	0	6	18	42	1	2	1	.283	.339	.429	.768	.146	.320	17	7	.337	116	+5	+0	-4	-10	+7	-0.3
2024	26	AAA	Rochester Red Wings	319	274	72	15	0	11	40	45	2	3	2	.263	.361	.438	.799	.175	.276	14	13	.355	130	+11	-0	—	—	+9	2.0
2025	27	AAA	Rochester Red Wings	235	212	47	8	0	4	21	29	0	0	0	.222	.292	.316	.608	.094	.238	12	9	.276	70	-8	+0	—	—	+7	-0.1
2025	27	A+	Wilmington Blue Rocks	49	42	9	3	0	4	5	6	1	0	0	.214	.312	.571	.884	.357	.152	12	10	.372	143	+2	+0	—	—	+1	0.4
2025	27	INTL	Cardenales de Lara	102	94	25	6	0	4	8	12	0	0	0	.266	.324	.457	.781	.191	.269	12	8	.345	122	+3	+0	—	—	+3	0.6
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			588	539	139	29	0	20	38	123	3	2	2	.258	.310	.423	.733	.165	.295	21	6	.321	104	+3	-0	-12	-21	+17	-1.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Juan Yepez (OGILVIE)	28	55	45	45	40	.245/.306/.395	.150	.279	9	2	19%	7%	98	+0.9	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Rob Segedin 2017 · MLB	28	48→49	49→50	45	46	.242/.306/.396	.154	.293	17	5	23%	7%	98	+1.6	.231/.283/.377	.146	.286	16	6	25%	6%	83	+0.6	.205/.249/.313	.108	.250	13	0	23%	5%	50	-0.4
✕Rangel Ravelo 2021 · MLB	29	48→55	48→50	42→45	48	.241/.307/.385	.144	.277	16	3	20%	7%	95	+1.4	.266/.342/.439	.173	.300	20	6	18%	9%	124	+3.4	.297/.392/.464	.168	.334	21	0	16%	11%	151	+1.6
✕Dominic Smith 2023 · MLB	28	49→55	48→50	46→40	46	.244/.308/.391	.146	.294	15	5	22%	7%	98	+1.6	.242/.309/.368	.126	.289	13	4	20%	8%	92	+1.2	.243/.312/.368	.125	.289	13	4	20%	8%	91	+0.9
✕John Nogowski 2021 · AAA	28	50→53	47→45	41→45	55	.248/.326/.382	.133	.266	15	4	14%	9%	102	+1.9	.217/.302/.322	.105	.254	10	10	18%	9%	78	+0.2	.206/.297/.298	.092	.242	9	11	18%	10%	68	-0.4
✕Nick Evans 2013 · MLB	27	50→54	49→55	45→40	45	.251/.299/.399	.148	.299	16	4	22%	6%	95	+1.4	.236/.294/.384	.148	.294	17	3	25%	7%	89	+1.0	.241/.300/.386	.145	.301	17	1	25%	7%	90	+0.8
✕Jason Rogers 2016 · MLB	28	50→53	52→55	49→45	48	.253/.312/.420	.167	.295	20	5	22%	8%	106	+2.2	.247/.306/.373	.126	.300	14	4	21%	8%	92	+1.2	.243/.302/.349	.107	.295	11	3	21%	7%	80	+0.2
✕Drew Locke 2011 · AAA	28	51→59	48→50	47→45	43	.256/.296/.401	.145	.307	15	5	22%	6%	94	+1.3	.239/.283/.374	.135	.291	14	8	22%	5%	82	+0.5	.238/.284/.370	.132	.288	13	7	22%	5%	80	+0.2
✕Cheslor Cuthbert 2021 · MLB	28	46→54	49→50	45	44	.236/.289/.381	.145	.282	17	4	23%	6%	86	+0.8	.217/.286/.379	.162	.259	20	5	24%	8%	85	+0.7	.183/.263/.348	.164	.208	22	1	24%	8%	64	-0.4
✕Austin Dean 2021 · MLB	27	50→56	51→55	42→45	45	.256/.305/.422	.166	.297	19	6	21%	6%	104	+2.0	.223/.285/.380	.157	.292	17	9	29%	7%	85	+0.7	.211/.270/.358	.147	.269	17	12	28%	6%	69	-0.3
●Nick Solak 2022 · MLB	27	50→60	47→50	46→50	47	.249/.315/.381	.132	.302	15	9	22%	7%	98	+1.6	.241/.316/.366	.125	.296	13	10	22%	8%	94	+1.3	.262/.333/.375	.113	.315	13	10	20%	7%	101	+1.2
✕Yermín Mercedes 2022 · MLB	29	49→51	51→55	47→45	46	.250/.300/.404	.154	.282	20	5	20%	6%	98	+1.6	.230/.293/.369	.139	.281	17	9	24%	8%	85	+0.7	.204/.284/.341	.136	.255	17	10	26%	9%	73	-0.1
●Connor Joe 2021 · MLB	28	47→51	49→50	43→45	52	.233/.322/.384	.150	.294	16	5	25%	10%	102	+1.8	.239/.330/.388	.149	.293	15	6	22%	11%	106	+2.2	.238/.335/.390	.152	.293	14	5	22%	11%	106	+1.5
✕Brett Pill 2013 · MLB	28	48→52	50→55	43→45	43	.246/.281/.401	.155	.262	18	5	15%	4%	89	+0.9	.252/.291/.436	.184	.275	23	5	18%	4%	102	+1.9	.265/.301/.470	.205	.284	27	1	18%	4%	114	+1.7
✕Nate Freiman 2015 · MLB	28	48→49	52→55	42→30	46	.248/.308/.416	.168	.290	20	2	22%	7%	104	+2.0	.224/.285/.353	.129	.276	14	3	23%	7%	78	+0.2	.216/.282/.333	.117	.266	12	1	23%	7%	70	-0.2
✕Jeff Frazier 2011 · MLB	28	49→59	48→50	45	43	.247/.281/.388	.141	.275	16	5	17%	4%	85	+0.7	.215/.258/.342	.127	.242	15	5	18%	5%	63	-0.8	.198/.246/.295	.097	.222	11	1	17%	5%	44	-1.3
●Marquez Smith 2013 · AAA	28	48→50	49→55	46→40	42	.240/.290/.389	.150	.299	16	3	25%	6%	89	+1.0	.240/.308/.395	.155	.300	16	4	24%	8%	98	+1.6	.238/.317/.399	.161	.300	17	3	25%	9%	101	+1.3
✕Jason Coats 2018 · MLB	28	50	47→55	45	42	.250/.294/.392	.142	.302	14	8	22%	5%	92	+1.2	.219/.258/.377	.158	.275	18	7	27%	4%	72	-0.2	.203/.238/.362	.159	.252	20	6	28%	4%	57	-0.8
✕Chad Allen 2004 · MLB	29	50→54	48→50	47→50	50	.245/.312/.396	.151	.289	14	8	20%	8%	100	+1.7	.253/.291/.383	.130	.302	12	9	20%	5%	87	+0.8	.275/.304/.408	.133	.319	14	7	18%	4%	96	+1.0
●Robbie Tenerowicz 2023 · AAA	28	45→51	50	42→45	43	.225/.310/.384	.159	.298	18	5	29%	7%	98	+1.6	.233/.321/.380	.147	.284	17	4	24%	7%	102	+1.8	.228/.321/.368	.140	.274	18	3	23%	6%	96	+1.3
●Austin Hays 2023 · MLB	28	49→56	52→60	40→45	45	.250/.304/.418	.169	.284	19	5	20%	6%	103	+1.9	.258/.312/.422	.164	.318	17	6	23%	6%	107	+2.2	.261/.315/.423	.162	.331	16	7	25%	6%	104	+1.4

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)