Juan Yepez — OGILVIE

Juan Yepez1B Rochester Red Wings

Age 28 R/R 6'0" / 235 lbs AAA Svc 4.000 · Ctrl thru 2027

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 334 proj PA

wRC+†vL 130123vR 106

AVG/OBP/SLG.246 / .307 / .397

PA334

HR10

K%19

BB%7

ISO152

MLB%10%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 55 / POW 45

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2022-2024

CONTACT55

Whiff%

4611.4%

xwOBA

400.297

POWER45

Barrel%

467.6

Avg EV

1085.8

Bat Spd

4270.5

EYE40

Chase%

1538.5%

SPEED45

Sprint

3326.7

Platoon Splits2024 · 249 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

161

—

wRC+

130

106

◀◀L

wOBA

355

324

◀L

ISO

152

143

◀L

BABIP

355

302

◀L

18.2%

16.2%

▶R

BB%

8.0%

6.8%

◀L

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Arb-2

MLB Debut 2022

Service 4.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2027

First FA Year 2028

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Arb-2	$0.4M	+0.0	$0.0M	+$0.0M (cut)
2027	Arb-3	$1M	+0.2	$0.7M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$0.0M		$0.8M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2015	17	ROK	Danville Braves	—	228	209	45	11	1	3	14	78	1	3	3	215	268	321	588	105	318	34	6	262	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	17	ROK	Danville Braves	—	228	201	60	16	2	4	22	55	1	3	3	299	371	458	828	159	384	24	10	362	135	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	18	A	Rome Braves	—	100	95	19	4	0	1	4	33	1	0	0	200	240	274	514	74	295	33	4	230	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	18	A	Rome Braves	—	100	92	24	5	0	1	7	23	1	0	0	261	320	348	668	87	338	23	7	304	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	19	A	Peoria Chiefs	—	480	453	99	24	1	7	20	130	3	10	2	219	256	322	579	104	287	27	4	248	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	19	A	Peoria Chiefs	—	480	446	118	29	1	8	27	104	3	10	2	265	311	388	699	123	325	22	6	310	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	20	A+	2 teams	—	348	327	75	21	2	3	15	87	3	6	2	229	270	333	603	104	301	25	4	267	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	20	A+	2 teams	—	348	320	86	22	2	3	22	66	3	6	2	269	322	378	700	109	328	19	6	312	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	21	A+	3 teams	—	275	251	53	9	0	8	17	78	3	3	1	211	269	343	612	131	268	28	6	270	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	21	A+	3 teams	—	275	242	65	13	0	10	26	59	3	3	1	269	347	446	793	178	312	21	9	349	125	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	AAA	3 teams	—	537	480	111	27	0	31	39	134	11	2	3	231	304	481	785	250	248	25	7	334	114	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	AAA	3 teams	—	537	453	131	37	0	34	63	100	11	2	3	289	387	596	983	307	298	19	12	418	178	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	MLB	3 teams	—	517	478	111	21	0	26	29	128	5	0	0	232	283	439	723	207	258	25	6	306	92	-4	+0	-7	-6	+15	-0.2
2022	24	MLB	3 teams	—	517	470	119	22	1	28	37	114	5	0	0	253	314	483	797	230	273	22	7	347	123	+14	+0	-7	-6	+15	1.6
2023	25	AAA	3 teams	—	515	471	101	23	2	12	30	126	6	3	3	214	270	348	618	134	261	24	6	270	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AAA	3 teams	—	515	459	109	23	4	11	42	106	6	3	3	237	310	377	687	139	280	21	8	305	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AAA	2 teams	—	568	511	125	28	0	15	47	101	3	5	3	245	312	387	699	143	274	18	8	307	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AAA	2 teams	—	568	500	136	30	0	17	58	87	3	5	3	272	351	434	785	162	296	15	10	347	124	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	AAA	3 teams	—	386	358	70	13	0	10	24	57	1	0	0	196	248	316	564	120	204	15	6	249	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	AAA	3 teams	—	386	348	81	17	0	12	34	47	1	0	0	233	303	385	688	152	236	12	9	307	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	28	MLB	WSH	—	334	304	76	16	1	10	25	63	2	2	1	250	311	408	719	158	281	19	7	315	99	-0	+0	-0	-6	+9	0.3
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	29	MLB	WSH	33%	582	529	131	27	1	17	44	111	4	4	1	248	310	399	709	151	280	19	8	313	97	-2	+0	-2	-10	+16	0.3
2028	30	MLB	WSH	46%	570	518	126	26	1	16	43	111	4	3	1	243	306	390	696	147	278	19	8	309	95	-3	+0	-3	-10	+16	0.0
2027	29	MLB	WSH	33%	190	173	42	9	0	5	14	36	1	1	0	243	303	382	685	139	280	19	7	308	94	-1	+0	-1	-3	+5	0.0
2028	30	MLB	WSH	46%	262	238	57	12	0	7	20	51	2	1	0	239	304	378	682	139	278	19	8	305	91	-3	+0	-1	-5	+7	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1040	950	238	50	0	32	72	210	6	4	2	251	307	404	712	154	287	20	7	315	99	-1	+0	-14	-29	+29	-1.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	594	149	31	0	20	45	131	4	2	1	251	308	404	712	153	287	20	7	315	99	-1	+0	-9	-18	+18	-0.9
Career	—			—	5440	4984	1142	250	9	159	351	1237	47	41	20	229	286	379	665	149	270	23	6	290	80	-120	+0	-17	-90	+154	-7.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	596	137	30	1	19	42	148	6	5	2	230	288	379	667	149	271	23	6	290	80	-14	+0	-2	-11	+18	-0.9

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2015	17	ROK	Danville Braves	—	228	201	60	16	2	4	22	55	1	3	3	299	371	458	828	159	384	24	10	362	135	+9	-1	—	—	+6	1.5
2016	18	A	Rome Braves	—	100	92	24	5	0	1	7	23	1	0	0	261	320	348	668	87	338	23	7	304	91	-1	+0	—	—	+3	0.2
2017	19	A	Peoria Chiefs	—	480	446	118	29	1	8	27	104	3	10	2	265	311	388	699	123	325	22	6	310	96	-2	+1	—	—	+14	1.3
2018	20	A+	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	242	226	47	12	0	2	12	52	3	2	1	208	257	288	545	80	262	21	5	248	48	-14	+0	—	—	+7	-0.8
2018	20	A	Peoria Chiefs	—	106	94	39	10	2	1	10	14	0	4	1	415	471	596	1.067	181	469	13	9	459	209	+13	+0	—	—	+3	1.7
2019	21	AA	Springfield Cardinals	—	59	52	12	2	0	2	5	14	0	0	0	231	298	385	683	154	263	24	8	296	85	-1	+0	—	—	+2	0.1
2019	21	A+	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	115	102	28	4	0	4	10	21	2	1	0	275	351	431	782	157	312	18	9	348	124	+3	+0	—	—	+3	0.7
2019	21	A	Peoria Chiefs	—	101	88	25	7	0	4	11	24	1	2	1	284	370	500	870	216	344	24	11	380	149	+6	+0	—	—	+3	0.9
2021	23	AAA	Memphis Redbirds	—	357	304	88	25	0	22	42	69	6	1	3	289	385	589	974	299	304	19	12	417	177	+31	-1	—	—	+10	4.1
2021	23	AA	Springfield Cardinals	—	77	63	17	4	0	5	9	13	3	0	0	270	377	571	948	302	267	17	12	406	169	+6	+0	—	—	+2	0.8
2021	23	INTL	Glendale Desert Dogs	—	103	86	26	8	0	7	12	18	2	1	0	302	400	640	1.040	337	297	17	12	433	190	+10	+0	—	—	+3	1.4
2022	24	MLB	St. Louis Cardinals	—	274	253	64	13	0	12	16	61	1	0	0	253	300	447	747	194	283	22	6	324	106	+2	+0	-7	-6	+8	-0.2
2022	24	AAA	Memphis Redbirds	—	208	188	52	9	0	16	17	46	2	0	0	277	343	580	923	303	283	22	8	397	162	+15	+0	—	—	+6	2.1
2022	24	INTL	Tiburones de La Guaira	—	35	29	3	0	1	0	4	7	2	0	0	103	257	172	430	69	136	20	11	220	26	-3	+0	—	—	+1	-0.2
2023	25	MLB	St. Louis Cardinals	—	65	60	11	1	0	2	4	20	1	0	1	183	246	300	546	117	237	31	6	249	49	-4	-0	-2	-6	+2	-1.0
2023	25	AAA	Memphis Redbirds	—	384	341	87	21	3	9	33	73	4	2	2	255	328	413	742	158	294	19	9	326	108	+3	-0	—	—	+11	1.4
2023	25	INTL	Cangrejeros de Santurce	—	66	58	11	1	1	0	5	13	1	1	0	190	266	241	507	52	234	20	8	231	35	-5	+0	—	—	+2	-0.3
2024	26	MLB	Washington Nationals	—	249	226	64	15	0	6	18	42	1	2	1	283	339	429	768	146	320	17	7	337	116	+5	+0	-4	-10	+7	-0.3
2024	26	AAA	Rochester Red Wings	—	319	274	72	15	0	11	40	45	2	3	2	263	361	438	799	175	276	14	13	355	130	+11	-0	—	—	+9	2.0
2025	27	AAA	Rochester Red Wings	—	235	212	47	8	0	4	21	29	0	0	0	222	292	316	608	94	238	12	9	276	70	-8	+0	—	—	+7	-0.1
2025	27	A+	Wilmington Blue Rocks	—	49	42	9	3	0	4	5	6	1	0	0	214	312	571	884	357	152	12	10	372	143	+2	+0	—	—	+1	0.4
2025	27	INTL	Cardenales de Lara	—	102	94	25	6	0	4	8	12	0	0	0	266	324	457	781	191	269	12	8	345	122	+3	+0	—	—	+3	0.6
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	588	539	139	29	0	20	38	123	3	2	2	258	310	423	733	165	295	21	6	321	104	+3	-0	-12	-21	+17	-1.5

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Nomar Mazaralast yr '22 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,690 PA	7	2,690	85	7	256	315	414	-29	-21	3.7	3.7
	/162	664	21	2	256	315	414	-7.1	-5.3	0.9	pk7: 4
#2Ben Franciscolast yr '13 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,771 PA	7	1,771	50	30	253	323	418	-19	-29	1.7	1.7
	/162	664	19	11	253	323	418	-7.1	-10.9	0.6	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	4	1,073	34	5	252	305	410	-19	-19	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	21	3	252	305	410	-11.9	-11.7	0.6	pk7: 1
#3Chad Pinderlast yr '22 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,740 PA	7	1,740	62	5	242	294	417	-17	-20	0.6	0.6
	/162	664	24	2	242	294	417	-6.5	-7.6	0.2	pk7: 1
#4Dayan Viciedolast yr '14 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,798 PA	5	1,798	66	2	254	298	424	-18	-29	0.3	0.3
	/162	664	24	1	254	298	424	-6.6	-10.7	0.1	pk7: 0
#5Brennan Boeschlast yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,713 PA	6	1,713	48	22	250	303	400	-17	-35	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	19	9	250	303	400	-6.6	-13.6	-0.4	pk7: -1
#6Domonic Brownlast yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,748 PA	6	1,748	54	23	246	305	405	-19	-39	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	21	9	246	305	405	-7.1	-14.7	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Juan Yepez (OGILVIE)	28	55	45	45	40	246/307/397	151	281	10	2	19%	7%	99	+0.9	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Rob Segedin 2017 · MLB	28	48→53	51→50	44→45	44	243/303/410	166	296	19	5	24%	6%	100	+1.7	229/279/372	143	285	16	6	25%	6%	80	+0.4	205/249/313	107	252	12	0	24%	5%	50	-0.4
✕John Nogowski 2021 · AAA	28	50→55	47→45	42→45	54	247/323/383	136	268	15	4	15%	9%	102	+1.8	220/304/329	109	255	10	11	17%	9%	80	+0.4	210/302/308	97	243	9	11	17%	10%	73	-0.1
✕Rangel Ravelo 2020 · MLB	28	50→56	49→50	40→45	47	249/312/396	147	291	16	2	20%	7%	100	+1.7	266/333/444	178	299	21	6	18%	8%	121	+3.2	314/409/486	172	357	21	0	17%	12%	163	+1.9
●Connor Joe 2021 · MLB	28	46→52	47→50	43→45	52	227/317/369	141	287	14	5	25%	10%	96	+1.5	230/322/373	143	281	14	6	22%	11%	98	+1.6	229/327/375	146	282	13	5	22%	11%	100	+1.2
✕Cheslor Cuthbert 2021 · MLB	28	47→57	49→50	46→45	44	239/290/385	146	288	17	4	24%	6%	88	+0.9	216/286/377	161	261	19	6	25%	8%	85	+0.7	182/261/344	163	209	21	1	25%	8%	62	-0.5
✕Yermín Mercedes 2022 · MLB	29	48→53	49→50	47→45	45	247/296/386	139	281	18	5	20%	6%	91	+1.1	232/297/373	141	287	17	9	24%	8%	88	+0.9	211/291/352	140	267	18	10	27%	9%	79	+0.2
✕Dominic Smith 2023 · MLB	28	49→52	47→50	46→40	46	242/306/381	139	293	14	5	22%	7%	94	+1.3	244/311/369	125	292	13	4	20%	8%	92	+1.2	245/313/369	124	291	13	4	20%	8%	91	+0.9
✕Austin Dean 2021 · MLB	27	50→56	52→55	42→45	44	254/301/424	170	299	19	6	22%	6%	103	+1.9	225/287/379	154	300	17	10	30%	7%	85	+0.7	217/278/367	150	282	17	12	28%	6%	75	-0.0
✕Drew Locke 2011 · AAA	28	50→60	48→50	48→45	42	252/291/395	143	305	15	5	23%	5%	90	+1.0	241/284/379	138	297	14	8	23%	5%	83	+0.6	246/290/386	140	299	13	7	22%	5%	86	+0.5
✕Jason Rogers 2016 · MLB	28	51→53	52→55	49→45	49	260/320/430	170	304	20	4	22%	8%	112	+2.6	255/313/390	135	306	15	5	21%	8%	98	+1.6	254/312/374	120	304	14	3	20%	7%	90	+0.6
✕Dustin Peterson 2022 · MLB	27	49→48	49→50	42→45	46	248/300/387	139	282	17	4	19%	6%	93	+1.3	211/267/344	133	275	16	6	28%	6%	68	-0.5	191/249/321	130	255	16	5	31%	6%	52	-0.9
✕Jimmy VanOstrand 2013 · AA	28	53→52	47→50	41→30	45	262/307/398	135	296	15	4	17%	5%	98	+1.6	249/298/397	148	277	15	5	16%	5%	95	+1.4	245/292/404	159	266	15	0	14%	5%	90	+0.6
✕Matt LaPorta 2012 · MLB	27	47→49	51→55	43→30	50	243/309/408	165	277	19	3	20%	8%	102	+1.9	223/283/378	155	262	19	3	22%	7%	84	+0.6	210/270/361	151	244	19	0	23%	6%	73	-0.1
✕Chad Allen 2003 · MLB	28	51→54	48→50	43→50	52	253/322/402	149	301	14	7	20%	9%	105	+2.1	246/294/379	133	296	12	9	20%	6%	88	+0.9	275/304/408	133	319	14	7	18%	4%	96	+1.0
✕Austin Hays 2023 · MLB	28	48→54	51→60	40→45	45	245/300/410	165	280	18	4	20%	6%	99	+1.7	254/308/412	158	315	16	6	24%	6%	102	+1.9	257/311/415	159	324	17	7	25%	6%	101	+1.3
●Nick Solak 2023 · MLB	28	50→60	47→50	47→50	47	247/318/382	134	298	14	11	22%	7%	99	+1.7	249/321/373	124	302	14	10	21%	8%	98	+1.6	279/339/406	128	322	15	11	18%	6%	111	+1.6
✕Nick Evans 2013 · MLB	27	49→55	47→55	45→40	45	246/294/386	140	295	15	4	22%	6%	89	+1.0	232/290/371	139	291	16	3	25%	7%	85	+0.7	235/295/369	135	296	16	1	25%	7%	83	+0.4
✕Tagg Bozied 2007 · AAA	28	46→48	52→55	43→45	44	235/302/403	167	287	20	5	25%	6%	98	+1.6	229/291/399	170	273	21	6	24%	7%	92	+1.2	242/304/415	173	298	20	5	25%	7%	98	+1.0
✕Matt McBride 2013 · MLB	28	48→50	47→55	45→40	42	242/275/384	142	273	14	3	18%	4%	81	+0.4	240/275/396	156	266	17	4	17%	4%	85	+0.7	237/275/399	162	256	19	3	16%	4%	84	+0.3
✕Tommy Everidge 2010 · MLB	27	50→56	52→55	41→40	46	255/312/421	166	303	20	2	23%	7%	107	+2.2	238/290/383	145	296	16	4	24%	6%	88	+0.9	218/268/353	135	275	15	0	26%	6%	67	-0.4