Brady Shoemaker
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 27 | AAJacksonville … | 490 | .274/.379/.433 | 12 | 2 | 93 | — | .246/.321/.384 |
| 2015 | 28 | AAA/INTL2 orgs | 447 | .279/.362/.406 | 11 | 0 | 87 | — | .246/.306/.347 |
| 2016 | 29 | AAA/AA2 orgs | 382 | .222/.325/.353 | 9 | 0 | 55 | — | .192/.264/.305 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2009 | 22 | AAA | Charlotte Knights | — | 30 | 29 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 103 | 133 | 241 | 375 | 138 | 100 | 27 | 3 | 166 | -24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 22 | ROK | Bristol White Sox | — | 235 | 205 | 72 | 21 | 0 | 9 | 25 | 53 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 351 | 429 | 585 | 1.015 | 234 | 434 | 23 | 11 | 440 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 23 | A | Kannapolis Intimidators | — | 388 | 338 | 99 | 23 | 1 | 12 | 39 | 98 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 293 | 382 | 473 | 856 | 180 | 380 | 25 | 10 | 381 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 24 | A+ | Winston-Salem Dash | — | 77 | 66 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 273 | 360 | 318 | 678 | 45 | 346 | 21 | 12 | 308 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 24 | A | Kannapolis Intimidators | — | 432 | 373 | 119 | 28 | 2 | 11 | 43 | 78 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 319 | 401 | 493 | 895 | 174 | 375 | 18 | 10 | 392 | 103 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 25 | AA | Birmingham Barons | — | 240 | 189 | 48 | 12 | 1 | 4 | 45 | 59 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 254 | 410 | 392 | 802 | 138 | 346 | 25 | 19 | 369 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 25 | A+ | Winston-Salem Dash | — | 333 | 285 | 95 | 23 | 0 | 13 | 30 | 55 | 16 | 2 | 1 | 333 | 426 | 551 | 977 | 218 | 374 | 17 | 9 | 428 | 121 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 27 | AA | Jacksonville Suns | — | 490 | 413 | 113 | 26 | 2 | 12 | 67 | 90 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 274 | 379 | 433 | 812 | 160 | 319 | 18 | 14 | 360 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 28 | AAA | New Orleans Zephyrs | — | 365 | 324 | 92 | 14 | 1 | 9 | 36 | 49 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 284 | 361 | 417 | 778 | 133 | 310 | 13 | 10 | 348 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 28 | INTL | Aguilas Cibaenas | — | 82 | 70 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 257 | 366 | 357 | 723 | 100 | 296 | 17 | 12 | 335 | 113 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 29 | AAA | New Orleans Zephyrs | — | 82 | 71 | 17 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 239 | 333 | 437 | 770 | 197 | 259 | 17 | 12 | 339 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 29 | AA | Birmingham Barons | — | 300 | 258 | 56 | 11 | 0 | 6 | 35 | 64 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 217 | 322 | 329 | 652 | 112 | 263 | 21 | 12 | 300 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2009 | 22 | AAA MLE | Charlotte Knights | — | 30 | 29 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 103 | 133 | 241 | 375 | 138 | 92 | 33 | 3 | 133 | -24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 22 | ROK MLE | Bristol White Sox | — | 235 | 214 | 55 | 15 | 0 | 7 | 16 | 75 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 257 | 318 | 425 | 743 | 168 | 350 | 32 | 7 | 314 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 23 | A MLE | Kannapolis Intimidators | — | 388 | 353 | 82 | 19 | 1 | 9 | 24 | 135 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 232 | 300 | 368 | 668 | 136 | 337 | 35 | 6 | 285 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 24 | A+ MLE | Winston-Salem Dash | — | 77 | 69 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 24 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 217 | 280 | 246 | 526 | 29 | 310 | 31 | 8 | 244 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 24 | A MLE | Kannapolis Intimidators | — | 432 | 392 | 106 | 25 | 2 | 9 | 25 | 100 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 270 | 329 | 413 | 742 | 143 | 330 | 23 | 6 | 320 | 103 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 25 | AA MLE | Birmingham Barons | — | 240 | 203 | 48 | 12 | 1 | 4 | 31 | 72 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 236 | 351 | 365 | 716 | 128 | 338 | 30 | 13 | 318 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 25 | A+ MLE | Winston-Salem Dash | — | 333 | 297 | 82 | 19 | 0 | 11 | 18 | 80 | 16 | 2 | 1 | 276 | 350 | 451 | 802 | 175 | 335 | 24 | 5 | 347 | 121 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 27 | AA MLE | Jacksonville Suns | — | 490 | 435 | 107 | 26 | 2 | 10 | 45 | 109 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 246 | 321 | 384 | 705 | 138 | 293 | 22 | 9 | 305 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 28 | AAA MLE | New Orleans Zephyrs | — | 365 | 334 | 82 | 11 | 1 | 7 | 26 | 62 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 246 | 306 | 347 | 653 | 102 | 278 | 17 | 7 | 288 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 29 | AAA MLE | New Orleans Zephyrs | — | 82 | 74 | 15 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 203 | 272 | 378 | 650 | 176 | 220 | 22 | 9 | 270 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 29 | AA MLE | Birmingham Barons | — | 300 | 270 | 51 | 11 | 0 | 5 | 22 | 79 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 189 | 262 | 285 | 547 | 96 | 236 | 26 | 7 | 243 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 22 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 265 | 244 | 57 | 16 | 0 | 7 | 16 | 85 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 234 | 289 | 385 | 674 | 152 | 325 | 32 | 6 | 294 | 85 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 22 | ROK RAW | 2 teams | — | 265 | 234 | 75 | 22 | 0 | 10 | 26 | 61 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 321 | 395 | 543 | 938 | 222 | 394 | 23 | 10 | 409 | 85 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 23 | A MLE | Kannapolis Intimidators | — | 388 | 353 | 82 | 19 | 1 | 9 | 24 | 135 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 232 | 300 | 368 | 668 | 136 | 348 | 35 | 6 | 285 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 23 | A RAW | Kannapolis Intimidators | — | 388 | 338 | 99 | 23 | 1 | 12 | 39 | 98 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 293 | 382 | 473 | 856 | 180 | 380 | 25 | 10 | 381 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 24 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 509 | 461 | 121 | 27 | 2 | 9 | 31 | 124 | 9 | 7 | 4 | 262 | 321 | 388 | 710 | 126 | 335 | 24 | 6 | 309 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 24 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 509 | 439 | 137 | 31 | 2 | 11 | 52 | 94 | 9 | 7 | 4 | 312 | 395 | 467 | 862 | 155 | 371 | 18 | 10 | 379 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 25 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 573 | 500 | 130 | 32 | 1 | 15 | 49 | 152 | 21 | 4 | 2 | 260 | 351 | 418 | 769 | 158 | 342 | 27 | 9 | 335 | 113 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 25 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 573 | 474 | 143 | 35 | 1 | 17 | 75 | 114 | 21 | 4 | 2 | 302 | 419 | 487 | 907 | 186 | 364 | 20 | 13 | 403 | 113 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 27 | AA MLE | Jacksonville Suns | — | 490 | 435 | 107 | 26 | 2 | 10 | 45 | 109 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 246 | 321 | 384 | 705 | 138 | 301 | 22 | 9 | 305 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 27 | AA RAW | Jacksonville Suns | — | 490 | 413 | 113 | 26 | 2 | 12 | 67 | 90 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 274 | 379 | 433 | 812 | 160 | 319 | 18 | 14 | 360 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 28 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 447 | 409 | 101 | 14 | 1 | 9 | 31 | 76 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 247 | 308 | 352 | 660 | 105 | 282 | 17 | 7 | 288 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 28 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 447 | 394 | 110 | 15 | 1 | 11 | 46 | 63 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 279 | 362 | 406 | 768 | 127 | 307 | 14 | 10 | 346 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 29 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 382 | 344 | 65 | 15 | 0 | 8 | 30 | 96 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 189 | 264 | 302 | 566 | 113 | 236 | 25 | 8 | 249 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 29 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 382 | 329 | 73 | 16 | 0 | 9 | 45 | 78 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 222 | 325 | 353 | 677 | 131 | 262 | 20 | 12 | 308 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 22 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 265 | 244 | 57 | 16 | 0 | 7 | 16 | 85 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 234 | 289 | 385 | 674 | 152 | 321 | 32 | 6 | 294 | 85 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 23 | A MLE | Kannapolis Intimidators | — | 388 | 351 | 82 | 19 | 1 | 9 | 24 | 135 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 234 | 300 | 370 | 670 | 137 | 337 | 35 | 6 | 285 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 24 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 509 | 464 | 121 | 27 | 2 | 9 | 31 | 124 | 9 | 7 | 4 | 261 | 321 | 386 | 707 | 125 | 327 | 24 | 6 | 309 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 25 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 573 | 498 | 130 | 32 | 1 | 15 | 49 | 152 | 21 | 4 | 2 | 261 | 351 | 420 | 771 | 159 | 336 | 27 | 9 | 335 | 113 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 27 | AA MLE | Jacksonville Suns | — | 490 | 439 | 107 | 26 | 2 | 10 | 45 | 109 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 244 | 321 | 380 | 701 | 137 | 293 | 22 | 9 | 305 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 28 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 447 | 408 | 101 | 14 | 1 | 9 | 31 | 76 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 248 | 308 | 353 | 661 | 105 | 278 | 17 | 7 | 288 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 29 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 382 | 344 | 65 | 15 | 0 | 8 | 30 | 96 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 189 | 264 | 302 | 566 | 113 | 233 | 25 | 8 | 249 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 3054 | 2746 | 663 | 149 | 7 | 67 | 226 | 777 | 56 | 16 | 10 | 241 | 312 | 374 | 686 | 133 | 310 | 25 | 7 | 298 | 88 | -44 | -1 | +0 | -33 | +66 | -1.2 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 584 | 141 | 32 | 1 | 14 | 48 | 165 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 241 | 312 | 372 | 684 | 130 | 310 | 25 | 7 | 298 | 88 | -9 | -0 | +0 | -7 | +14 | -0.2 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2016 AABirmingham Barons · 300 PAwOBA .293 → .243 (−50)K% 21.3% → 26.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.33% | ÷0.991 | ×1.220 | — | — | 26.25% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.33% | ÷0.990 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.958 | 7.46% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.67% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.958 | 1.34% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.10% | ÷1.004 | ×0.920 | ×1.005 | ×0.958 | 17.73% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.67% | ÷0.897 | ×0.910 | ×1.005 | ×0.958 | 5.54% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.880 | ×1.005 | ×0.958 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.09% | ÷0.918 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.958 | 2.58% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 84, 1B 101, 2B 79, 3B 130, K 98, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 24.8 → −4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.005.
Result: wOBA .293 → .243; ISO .112 → .100; BABIP .263 → .236. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AAANew Orleans Zephyrs · 82 PAwOBA .330 → .270 (−60)K% 17.1% → 21.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.07% | ÷1.027 | ×1.290 | — | — | 21.44% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.20% | ÷0.964 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.982 | 8.82% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×0.982 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 15.79% | ÷1.041 | ×0.900 | ×1.004 | ×0.982 | 13.46% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.77% | ÷0.929 | ×0.810 | ×1.004 | ×0.982 | 7.55% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.057 | ×0.810 | ×1.004 | ×0.982 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.26% | ÷0.919 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.982 | 4.38% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 84, 1B 108, 2B 86, 3B 111, K 105, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.004.
Result: wOBA .330 → .270; ISO .197 → .167; BABIP .259 → .220. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AAANew Orleans Zephyrs · 365 PAwOBA .341 → .288 (−54)K% 13.4% → 17.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 13.42% | ÷1.016 | ×1.290 | — | — | 17.04% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.86% | ÷0.997 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.992 | 6.97% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.82% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×0.992 | 0.80% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.73% | ÷0.969 | ×0.900 | ×1.005 | ×0.992 | 22.90% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.09% | ÷1.012 | ×0.810 | ×1.005 | ×0.992 | 4.06% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.36% | ÷0.985 | ×0.810 | ×1.005 | ×0.992 | 0.30% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.27% | ÷0.975 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.992 | 2.60% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 95, 1B 94, 2B 102, 3B 97, K 103, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.005.
Result: wOBA .341 → .288; ISO .133 → .105; BABIP .310 → .278. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AAJacksonville Suns · 490 PAwOBA .356 → .305 (−50)K% 18.4% → 22.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.37% | ÷1.010 | ×1.220 | — | — | 22.19% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.67% | ÷0.995 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.978 | 9.14% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.61% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.978 | 0.50% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.60% | ÷1.012 | ×0.920 | ×1.025 | ×0.978 | 20.61% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.05% | ÷0.940 | ×0.910 | ×1.025 | ×0.978 | 7.81% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.62% | ÷1.064 | ×0.880 | ×1.025 | ×0.978 | 0.51% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.72% | ÷1.006 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.978 | 2.89% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 101, 1B 102, 2B 88, 3B 113, K 102, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 24.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.025.
Result: wOBA .356 → .305; ISO .160 → .142; BABIP .319 → .293. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 A+Winston-Salem Dash · 333 PAwOBA .420 → .347 (−73)K% 16.5% → 24.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.52% | ÷0.974 | ×1.420 | — | — | 24.07% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.01% | ÷1.016 | ×0.630 | — | ×0.978 | 5.46% |
| HBP% /PA | 4.80% | — | ×0.860 | — | ×0.978 | 4.04% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.65% | ÷1.034 | ×0.940 | ×1.026 | ×0.978 | 23.40% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.00% | ÷0.958 | ×0.830 | ×1.026 | ×0.978 | 8.69% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.030 | ×0.800 | ×1.026 | ×0.978 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.65% | ÷0.960 | ×0.900 | — | ×0.978 | 5.19% |
Factors used: league row CAR. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 92, 1B 107, 2B 92, 3B 106, K 95, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 22.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.026.
Result: wOBA .420 → .347; ISO .218 → .188; BABIP .374 → .335. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 AABirmingham Barons · 240 PAwOBA .362 → .318 (−44)K% 24.6% → 30.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.58% | ÷1.001 | ×1.220 | — | — | 29.96% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 18.75% | ÷0.997 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.998 | 12.76% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.08% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.998 | 1.75% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.85% | ÷0.995 | ×0.920 | ×1.047 | ×0.998 | 23.03% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.23% | ÷0.952 | ×0.910 | ×1.047 | ×0.998 | 9.22% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.77% | ÷0.910 | ×0.880 | ×1.047 | ×0.998 | 0.78% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.08% | ÷0.823 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.998 | 2.98% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 65, 1B 99, 2B 90, 3B 82, K 100, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.047.
Result: wOBA .362 → .318; ISO .138 → .139; BABIP .346 → .338. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2011 AKannapolis Intimidators · 432 PAwOBA .384 → .320 (−64)K% 18.1% → 23.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.06% | ÷1.042 | ×1.340 | — | — | 23.22% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.49% | ÷1.032 | ×0.660 | — | ×0.980 | 5.95% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.08% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×0.980 | 1.57% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.44% | ÷1.055 | ×0.920 | ×1.038 | ×0.980 | 23.47% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.49% | ÷0.945 | ×0.820 | ×1.038 | ×0.980 | 8.38% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.68% | ÷1.013 | ×0.940 | ×1.038 | ×0.980 | 0.64% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.73% | ÷1.023 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.980 | 2.93% |
Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 105, 1B 111, 2B 89, 3B 103, K 108, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.0 → −2.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.038.
Result: wOBA .384 → .320; ISO .174 → .148; BABIP .375 → .330. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2011 A+Winston-Salem Dash · 77 PAwOBA .309 → .244 (−65)K% 20.8% → 30.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.78% | ÷0.954 | ×1.420 | — | — | 30.92% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.69% | ÷0.985 | ×0.630 | — | ×0.988 | 7.39% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.860 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 30.00% | ÷1.054 | ×0.940 | ×1.038 | ×0.988 | 27.42% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.00% | ÷1.038 | ×0.830 | ×1.038 | ×0.988 | 4.92% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.032 | ×0.800 | ×1.038 | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.057 | ×0.900 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row CAR. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 111, 1B 111, 2B 108, 3B 106, K 91, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.038.
Result: wOBA .309 → .244; ISO .045 → .035; BABIP .346 → .310. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .