Nick Solak

2B El Paso Chihuahuas

Age 32 R/R 5'9" / 185 lbs AAA HR +5% Svc 2.012 · Ctrl thru 2030

Overview

AAAPre-ArbFA 2031

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2024	29	AAASEA	347	.311/.409/.446	9	10	97	—	.268/.342/.361
2025	30	AAAPIT	482	.332/.414/.492	14	10	114	—	.295/.351/.420
2026	31	AAA/INTL2 orgs	567	.312/.386/.474	16	9	101	—	.267/.319/.395
2027PROJ10% MLB	32	MLBSD	24	.270/.327/.414	1	0	111	0.1
2028PROJ33% MLB	33	MLBSD	78	.262/.317/.394	2	1	103	0.1

Next 2 projected WAR 0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2030Service2.012First FA2031

2027Pre-Arb$0.8M2028Arb-1$0.8M2029Ext$2M2030Ext$2M

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AAA

K%91

Z-Con%91

Whiff%88

Max EV64

Speed63

Chase%25

CompsDanny Bautista (age 32) · Masataka Yoshida (age 31) · Michael Cuddyer (age 32)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†111

AVG/OBP/SLG.270 / .327 / .414

PA24

HR1

K%17

BB%4

BABIP303

ISO174

MLB%10%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$0M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 60 / POW 50

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2023-2026

CONTACT60

xAVG

100.203

POWER50

Barrel%

336.0

Avg EV

1286.2

Bat Spd

2668.7

EYE50

scouting grade only

SPEED50

Sprint

3226.6

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2019

Service 2.012 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2030

First FA Year 2031

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2028	Arb-1	$0.8M	+0.1	$0.4M	+$0.0M (cut)
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.6M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2017	22	AA	Trenton Thunder	—	132	119	34	9	1	2	10	24	1	1	1	286	346	429	775	143	340	18	8	341	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	22	A+	Tampa Yankees	—	406	346	104	17	4	10	53	76	4	13	4	301	400	460	859	159	357	19	13	382	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	23	AA	Montgomery Biscuits	—	565	478	135	17	3	19	68	112	14	21	6	282	388	450	837	167	330	20	12	373	113	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	23	INTL	Leones del Escogido	—	46	37	7	0	1	0	6	11	1	1	2	189	318	243	561	54	250	24	13	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	24	MLB	Texas Rangers	—	135	116	34	6	1	5	15	29	4	2	0	293	393	491	884	198	354	21	11	393	139	+6	+0	-4	+2	+3	0.8
2019	24	AAA	Nashville Sounds	—	477	419	121	19	1	27	45	105	6	5	2	289	365	532	897	243	322	22	9	388	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	25	MLB	Texas Rangers	—	233	209	56	10	0	2	18	42	2	7	1	268	332	344	676	77	320	18	8	304	91	-2	+1	-7	-2	+5	-0.6
2021	26	MLB	Texas Rangers	—	511	458	111	18	2	11	34	107	15	7	5	242	316	362	678	120	292	21	7	306	91	-5	-1	+2	+2	+11	0.9
2021	26	AAA	Round Rock Express	—	93	85	30	6	0	1	7	16	1	0	1	353	409	459	867	106	426	17	8	389	120	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	27	MLB	Texas Rangers	—	95	82	17	1	0	3	7	19	5	3	2	207	309	329	638	122	233	20	7	293	81	-2	-0	-2	-4	+2	-0.6
2022	27	AAA	Round Rock Express	—	259	223	62	15	1	10	30	51	4	6	0	278	374	489	862	211	317	20	12	379	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	28	AAA	Toledo Mud Hens	—	411	345	82	15	2	8	53	80	10	4	4	238	355	362	718	125	285	19	13	329	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	29	AAA	Tacoma Rainiers	—	347	296	92	13	0	9	41	53	8	10	1	311	409	446	855	135	352	15	12	384	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	30	AAA	Indianapolis Indians	—	482	419	139	23	1	14	48	66	11	10	3	332	414	492	906	160	364	14	10	401	114	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	31	AAA	El Paso Chihuahuas	—	511	454	141	28	2	16	39	63	11	7	2	311	379	487	866	176	330	12	8	379	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	31	INTL	Naranjeros de Hermosillo	—	56	46	15	1	0	0	8	5	2	2	1	326	446	348	794	22	366	9	14	375	140	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	974	865	218	35	3	21	74	197	26	19	8	252	330	372	702	120	302	20	8	316	100	+0	+1	-11	-2	+21	0.9
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2017	22	AA MLE	Trenton Thunder	—	132	122	35	9	1	2	7	29	1	1	1	287	331	426	757	139	348	22	5	319	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	22	A+ MLE	Tampa Yankees	—	406	360	89	16	3	9	39	114	4	13	4	247	328	383	711	136	326	28	10	311	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	23	AA MLE	Montgomery Biscuits	—	565	500	137	17	3	16	46	129	14	21	6	274	352	416	768	142	329	23	8	335	113	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	24	MLB MLE	Texas Rangers	—	135	117	34	6	1	5	14	29	4	2	0	291	385	487	872	197	354	21	10	374	139	+6	+0	-4	+2	+3	0.8
2019	24	AAA MLE	Nashville Sounds	—	477	431	101	15	1	21	34	134	6	5	2	234	299	420	719	186	281	28	7	313	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	25	MLB MLE	Texas Rangers	—	233	209	56	10	0	2	18	42	2	7	1	268	332	344	676	77	320	18	8	303	91	-2	+1	-7	-2	+5	-0.6
2021	26	MLB MLE	Texas Rangers	—	511	458	111	19	2	10	34	107	15	7	5	242	316	358	674	116	292	21	7	303	91	-5	-1	+2	+2	+11	0.9
2021	26	AAA MLE	Round Rock Express	—	93	87	29	6	0	1	5	18	1	0	1	333	376	437	813	103	407	19	5	346	120	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	27	MLB MLE	Texas Rangers	—	95	82	17	1	0	3	7	19	5	3	2	207	309	329	638	122	233	20	7	287	81	-2	-0	-2	-4	+2	-0.6
2022	27	AAA MLE	Round Rock Express	—	259	232	58	14	1	7	21	60	4	6	0	250	323	409	732	159	304	23	8	323	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	28	AAA MLE	Toledo Mud Hens	—	411	362	77	11	2	6	36	97	10	4	4	213	301	304	605	91	265	24	9	274	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	29	AAA MLE	Tacoma Rainiers	—	347	310	83	11	0	6	27	64	8	10	1	268	342	361	703	94	315	18	8	312	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	30	AAA MLE	Indianapolis Indians	—	482	440	130	20	1	11	27	82	11	10	3	295	351	420	772	125	332	17	6	336	114	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	31	AAA MLE	El Paso Chihuahuas	—	511	468	125	23	2	11	25	76	11	7	2	267	319	395	715	128	292	15	5	311	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	538	481	122	25	4	10	47	143	5	14	5	254	326	385	711	131	337	27	9	313	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	22	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	538	465	138	26	5	12	63	100	5	14	5	297	386	452	838	155	353	19	12	372	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	23	AA MLE	2 teams	—	611	539	148	18	3	18	50	140	15	22	8	275	353	419	772	145	335	23	8	335	113	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	23	AA RAW	2 teams	—	611	515	142	17	4	19	74	123	15	22	8	276	382	435	817	159	324	20	12	365	113	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	24	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	612	548	135	21	2	26	48	163	10	7	2	246	318	434	753	188	299	27	8	326	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	24	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	612	535	155	25	2	32	60	134	10	7	2	290	371	523	895	234	329	22	10	389	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	25	MLB MLE	Texas Rangers	—	233	209	56	10	0	2	18	42	2	7	1	268	332	344	676	77	320	18	8	303	91	-2	+1	-7	-2	+5	-0.6
2020	25	MLB RAW	Texas Rangers	—	233	209	56	10	0	2	18	42	2	7	1	268	332	344	676	77	320	18	8	304	91	-2	+1	-7	-2	+5	-0.6
2021	26	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	604	545	139	24	2	11	39	125	16	7	6	255	323	367	690	112	311	21	6	310	96	-3	-1	+2	+2	+13	1.3
2021	26	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	604	543	141	24	2	12	41	123	16	7	6	260	330	378	708	118	315	20	7	319	96	-3	-1	+2	+2	+13	1.3
2022	27	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	354	314	75	15	1	10	28	79	9	9	2	239	319	389	708	150	286	22	8	313	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	27	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	354	305	79	16	1	13	37	70	9	9	2	259	356	446	802	187	295	20	10	356	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	28	AAA MLE	Toledo Mud Hens	—	411	362	77	11	2	6	36	97	10	4	4	213	301	304	605	91	271	24	9	274	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	28	AAA RAW	Toledo Mud Hens	—	411	345	82	15	2	8	53	80	10	4	4	238	355	362	718	125	285	19	13	329	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	29	AAA MLE	Tacoma Rainiers	—	347	310	83	11	0	6	27	64	8	10	1	268	342	361	703	94	318	18	8	312	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	29	AAA RAW	Tacoma Rainiers	—	347	296	92	13	0	9	41	53	8	10	1	311	409	446	855	135	352	15	12	384	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	30	AAA MLE	Indianapolis Indians	—	482	440	130	20	1	11	27	82	11	10	3	295	351	420	772	125	339	17	6	336	114	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	30	AAA RAW	Indianapolis Indians	—	482	419	139	23	1	14	48	66	11	10	3	332	414	492	906	160	364	14	10	401	114	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	31	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	567	519	139	26	2	12	28	84	13	9	3	268	321	395	716	127	297	15	5	311	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	31	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	567	500	156	29	2	16	47	68	13	9	3	312	386	474	860	162	333	12	8	379	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	538	481	122	25	4	10	47	143	5	14	5	254	326	385	711	131	331	27	9	313	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	23	AA MLE	2 teams	—	611	541	148	18	3	18	50	140	15	22	8	274	353	418	770	144	329	23	8	335	113	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	24	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	612	549	135	21	2	26	48	163	10	7	2	246	318	434	752	188	297	27	8	326	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	25	MLB MLE	Texas Rangers	—	233	211	56	10	0	2	18	42	2	7	1	265	332	341	673	76	320	18	8	303	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	26	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	604	544	139	24	2	11	39	125	16	7	6	256	323	368	691	112	310	21	6	310	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	27	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	354	314	75	15	1	10	28	79	9	9	2	239	319	389	708	150	285	22	8	313	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	28	AAA MLE	Toledo Mud Hens	—	411	362	77	11	2	6	36	97	10	4	4	213	301	304	605	91	265	24	9	274	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	29	AAA MLE	Tacoma Rainiers	—	347	309	83	11	0	6	27	64	8	10	1	269	342	362	704	94	315	18	8	312	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	30	AAA MLE	Indianapolis Indians	—	482	441	130	20	1	11	27	82	11	10	3	295	351	420	771	125	332	17	6	336	114	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	31	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	567	521	139	26	2	12	28	84	13	9	3	267	321	393	715	127	292	15	5	311	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	29	AAA MLE	Tacoma Rainiers	—	347	309	83	11	0	6	27	64	8	10	1	269	342	362	704	94	315	18	8	312	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	30	AAA MLE	Indianapolis Indians	—	482	441	130	20	1	11	27	82	11	10	3	295	351	420	771	125	332	17	6	336	114	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	31	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	567	521	139	26	2	12	28	84	13	9	3	267	321	393	715	127	292	15	5	311	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	32	MLB MLE	SD	10%	380	348	95	17	1	10	22	65	7	6	2	274	330	419	749	144	309	17	6	332	111	+5	+0	-0	+1	+8	0.5
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	32	MLB CTX	SD	10%	24	23	6	1	0	1	1	4	0	0	0	270	327	414	740	143	303	17	4	329	111	+0	+0	-0	+0	+1	0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	33	MLB MLE	SD	33%	238	219	59	10	1	6	13	42	4	2	1	265	320	399	719	133	301	18	5	320	103	+1	+0	-4	+1	+5	0.2
2028	33	MLB CTX	SD	33%	78	73	19	3	0	2	4	14	1	1	0	262	317	394	711	132	296	18	5	317	103	+0	+0	-1	+0	+2	0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1052	938	237	38	3	23	78	211	27	20	8	253	328	373	701	120	301	20	7	316	100	+1	+1	-12	-2	+23	1.0
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	580	146	23	2	14	48	130	17	12	5	252	328	371	698	119	300	20	7	316	100	+0	+0	-8	-1	+14	0.6
Career	—	MLE		—	5235	4704	1222	201	19	124	375	1101	107	105	37	260	329	390	718	130	312	21	7	316	100	+4	+1	-16	-0	+31	2.1
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	584	151	25	2	15	47	137	13	13	5	259	328	385	713	127	311	21	7	316	100	+2	+0	-7	-0	+14	0.9

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AAAEl Paso Chihuahuas · 511 PAwOBA .371 → .311 (−60)K% 12.3% → 14.8%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	12.33%	÷1.000	×1.200	—	—	14.79%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	7.44%	÷1.000	×0.690	—	×0.962	4.94%
HBP% /PA	2.15%	—	×0.940	—	×0.962	1.95%
Singles /BIP	24.30%	÷1.000	×0.930	×1.026	×0.962	22.29%
Doubles /BIP	7.16%	÷1.000	×0.830	×1.026	×0.962	5.86%
Triples /BIP	0.51%	÷1.000	×0.970	×1.026	×0.962	0.49%
Home runs /BIP	4.09%	÷1.000	×0.700	—	×0.962	2.76%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 31 vs a level average of 27.2 → −3.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.026.

Result: wOBA .371 → .311; ISO .176 → .133; BABIP .330 → .292. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 AAAIndianapolis Indians · 482 PAwOBA .391 → .336 (−55)K% 13.7% → 17.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	13.69%	÷0.965	×1.200	—	—	17.03%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	9.13%	÷1.112	×0.690	—	×0.972	5.51%
HBP% /PA	2.28%	—	×0.940	—	×0.972	2.09%
Singles /BIP	28.61%	÷1.008	×0.930	×1.046	×0.972	26.84%
Doubles /BIP	6.52%	÷0.995	×0.830	×1.046	×0.972	5.52%
Triples /BIP	0.28%	÷1.150	×0.970	×1.046	×0.972	0.24%
Home runs /BIP	3.97%	÷0.915	×0.700	—	×0.972	2.95%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 83, 1B 102, 2B 99, 3B 130, K 93, BB 122 — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 27.2 → −2.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.046.

Result: wOBA .391 → .336; ISO .160 → .129; BABIP .364 → .332. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 AAATacoma Rainiers · 347 PAwOBA .376 → .312 (−64)K% 15.3% → 18.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	15.27%	÷1.004	×1.200	—	—	18.26%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	11.53%	÷1.011	×0.690	—	×0.982	7.73%
HBP% /PA	2.31%	—	×0.940	—	×0.982	2.13%
Singles /BIP	28.81%	÷1.010	×0.930	×1.024	×0.982	26.66%
Doubles /BIP	5.35%	÷1.014	×0.830	×1.024	×0.982	4.40%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.900	×0.970	×1.024	×0.982	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	3.70%	÷1.142	×0.700	—	×0.982	2.23%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 128, 1B 102, 2B 103, 3B 80, K 101, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.024.

Result: wOBA .376 → .312; ISO .135 → .093; BABIP .352 → .315. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 AAAToledo Mud Hens · 411 PAwOBA .323 → .274 (−49)K% 19.5% → 23.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	19.46%	÷0.995	×1.200	—	—	23.47%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	12.90%	÷1.006	×0.690	—	×0.992	8.78%
HBP% /PA	2.43%	—	×0.940	—	×0.992	2.27%
Singles /BIP	21.51%	÷0.965	×0.930	×1.039	×0.992	21.38%
Doubles /BIP	5.66%	÷1.156	×0.830	×1.039	×0.992	4.19%
Triples /BIP	0.75%	÷1.150	×0.970	×1.039	×0.992	0.66%
Home runs /BIP	3.02%	÷0.901	×0.700	—	×0.992	2.33%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 80, 1B 93, 2B 131, 3B 130, K 99, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.039.

Result: wOBA .323 → .274; ISO .125 → .097; BABIP .285 → .265. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 AAARound Rock Express · 259 PAwOBA .372 → .323 (−49)K% 19.7% → 23.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	19.69%	÷1.015	×1.200	—	—	23.27%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	11.58%	÷0.997	×0.690	—	×1.003	8.04%
HBP% /PA	1.54%	—	×0.940	—	×1.003	1.46%
Singles /BIP	20.93%	÷0.986	×0.930	×1.046	×1.003	20.71%
Doubles /BIP	8.72%	÷0.938	×0.830	×1.046	×1.003	8.10%
Triples /BIP	0.58%	÷0.900	×0.970	×1.046	×1.003	0.66%
Home runs /BIP	5.81%	÷0.957	×0.700	—	×1.003	4.26%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 91, 1B 97, 2B 88, 3B 80, K 103, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.046.

Result: wOBA .372 → .323; ISO .211 → .173; BABIP .317 → .304. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2021 AAARound Rock Express · 93 PAwOBA .379 → .346 (−33)K% 17.2% → 19.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	17.20%	÷1.072	×1.200	—	—	19.26%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	7.53%	÷0.975	×0.690	—	×1.018	5.42%
HBP% /PA	1.08%	—	×0.940	—	×1.018	1.03%
Singles /BIP	33.33%	÷0.999	×0.930	×1.016	×1.018	32.10%
Doubles /BIP	8.70%	÷0.915	×0.830	×1.016	×1.018	8.16%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.150	×0.920	×1.016	×1.018	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	1.45%	÷0.958	×0.700	—	×1.018	1.08%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 92, 1B 100, 2B 83, 3B 130, K 114, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.016.

Result: wOBA .379 → .346; ISO .106 → .093; BABIP .426 → .407. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2019 AAANashville Sounds · 477 PAwOBA .381 → .313 (−68)K% 22.0% → 28.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	22.01%	÷1.015	×1.290	—	—	27.99%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	9.43%	÷0.988	×0.710	—	×1.048	7.10%
HBP% /PA	1.26%	—	×0.980	—	×1.048	1.29%
Singles /BIP	23.57%	÷1.007	×0.900	×0.961	×1.048	21.21%
Doubles /BIP	6.05%	÷0.967	×0.810	×0.961	×1.048	5.10%
Triples /BIP	0.32%	÷1.069	×0.810	×0.961	×1.048	0.24%
Home runs /BIP	8.60%	÷0.998	×0.780	—	×1.048	7.05%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 100, 1B 101, 2B 93, 3B 114, K 103, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.961.

Result: wOBA .381 → .313; ISO .243 → .194; BABIP .322 → .281. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2018 AAMontgomery Biscuits · 565 PAwOBA .367 → .335 (−32)K% 19.8% → 22.9%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	19.82%	÷1.055	×1.220	—	—	22.92%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	12.04%	÷1.031	×0.680	—	×1.027	8.15%
HBP% /PA	2.48%	—	×0.840	—	×1.027	2.14%
Singles /BIP	26.23%	÷0.965	×0.920	×1.039	×1.027	26.69%
Doubles /BIP	4.64%	÷1.007	×0.910	×1.039	×1.027	4.48%
Triples /BIP	0.82%	÷1.010	×0.880	×1.039	×1.027	0.76%
Home runs /BIP	5.19%	÷0.984	×0.800	—	×1.027	4.33%

Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 97, 1B 93, 2B 101, 3B 102, K 111, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.039.

Result: wOBA .367 → .335; ISO .167 → .150; BABIP .330 → .329. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Gavin Luxlast yr '25 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,993 PA	3.0	1,993	33	20	256	332	381	+3	-8	5.8	5.8
/162	664	11	7	+0.9	-2.6	1.9	pk7: 6
#2Chris Brown'84-'89 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,690 PA	2.5	1,690	38	21	267*	331*	418*	+6	-16	5.4	5.4
/162	664	15	8	+2.4	-6.4	2.1	pk7: 5
#3Ramón Vázquezlast yr '09 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,190 PA	3.3	2,190	22	20	255	330	352	+10	-15	4.1	4.6
/162	664	7	6	+3.0	-4.6	1.3	pk7: 5
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	1.6	1,076	24	20	254	326	376	+2	-11	3.2	3.2
/162	664	15	12	+1.3	-6.9	2.0	pk7: 3
#4Conor Gillaspielast yr '17 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,503 PA	2.3	1,503	32	1	252	305	394	+5	-14	2.2	2.2
/162	664	14	0	+2.4	-6.1	1.0	pk7: 2
#5Rick Schu'84-'96 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,729 PA	2.6	1,729	41	17	244*	309*	411*	+1	-22	1.4	1.8
/162	664	16	7	+0.2	-8.4	0.5	pk7: 2
#6Dave Berg'98-'04 * career totals — 7 seasons, 1,781 PA	2.7	1,781	21	8	258*	316*	360*	+4	-9	1.3	1.3
/162	664	8	3	+1.3	-3.4	0.5	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Nick Solak (OGILVIE)	32	60	50	50	50	272/328/415	143	309	6	4	17%	6%	111	+0.8	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Danny Bautista 2004 · MLB	32	56→58	46→50	48→45	48	275/324/410	135	307	13	9	15%	6%	107	+1.9	271/320/396	125	297	12	8	13%	6%	103	+1.5	283/328/396	114	306	11	6	11%	6%	106	+1.7
✕Masataka Yoshida 2024 · MLB	31	55→57	49→50	54→45	49	273/324/427	154	296	16	9	14%	6%	112	+2.2	266/327/402	136	288	14	7	13%	7%	107	+1.8	263/330/387	123	283	13	5	12%	7%	106	+0.9
●Michael Cuddyer 2011 · MLB	32	53→63	52→60	50	52	267/328/444	177	291	18	7	16%	8%	117	+2.6	274/332/453	179	308	19	10	17%	8%	120	+2.8	281/339/463	182	318	20	11	18%	8%	127	+2.8
✕Rob Refsnyder 2023 · MLB	32	53→63	49→50	48→50	50	257/340/409	152	330	16	7	26%	9%	114	+2.3	256/343/405	149	324	16	10	24%	10%	114	+2.4	257/348/410	153	321	17	9	24%	11%	117	+1.1
✕Gabe Kapler 2006 · MLB	31	54→60	46→55	47→55	46	268/312/402	134	302	13	10	16%	5%	101	+1.4	260/319/402	142	290	14	8	15%	7%	103	+1.6	262/330/432	170	288	17	8	15%	9%	115	+0.9
✕Brandon Guyer 2018 · MLB	32	52→58	46→55	48→55	48	251/346/388	136	295	13	9	19%	7%	112	+2.2	223/312/370	147	264	15	6	21%	7%	95	+1.0	189/284/348	159	208	20	2	20%	6%	81	-0.0
✕Mike Kinkade 2005 · MLB	32	49→58	50→45	42→45	47	246/343/402	156	286	17	8	20%	7%	115	+2.4	252/319/385	133	290	12	8	17%	5%	101	+1.4	259/324/387	128	299	11	7	17%	4%	101	+1.0
✕Gio Urshela 2024 · MLB	32	57→61	45→55	46→40	46	278/322/404	126	324	13	5	18%	6%	105	+1.7	250/295/362	112	293	10	4	18%	6%	85	+0.2	243/285/346	103	284	8	0	17%	5%	78	-0.2
●Sandy Madera 2013 · AAA	32	56→66	50→55	47→45	48	280/334/435	155	306	18	8	15%	6%	117	+2.6	287/334/440	153	322	18	4	16%	6%	118	+2.7	294/342/442	148	328	17	2	16%	6%	119	+1.9
✕Mario Valenzuela 2010 · AAA	33	53→57	50→55	50→40	43	268/305/419	150	303	19	10	19%	4%	103	+1.5	261/311/427	166	299	21	6	20%	6%	107	+1.9	263/316/431	167	299	22	2	20%	6%	108	+1.1
✕Todd Hollandsworth 2005 · MLB	32	54→55	52→55	43→50	50	271/329/453	182	312	19	7	19%	8%	119	+2.7	248/297/406	158	293	16	6	20%	6%	97	+1.1	242/284/392	150	288	14	4	21%	5%	89	+0.3
✕Jesus Valdez 2017 · AAA	32	52→61	50→55	42→45	43	266/302/419	153	296	19	5	18%	4%	102	+1.5	263/302/419	156	289	19	5	16%	5%	102	+1.5	267/304/422	155	288	19	3	15%	4%	100	+0.9
✕Kevin Pillar 2021 · MLB	32	51→61	51→55	50→55	43	260/294/430	170	283	18	13	16%	4%	101	+1.4	245/291/428	183	275	23	9	20%	5%	101	+1.4	235/278/425	190	261	26	8	22%	4%	96	+0.4
✕Adam Jones 2019 · MLB	33	54→56	50→60	47→50	44	273/309/422	150	301	18	5	16%	4%	105	+1.7	258/307/410	152	293	18	6	18%	6%	101	+1.4	252/304/404	152	286	19	2	19%	5%	100	+1.2
✕Darnell McDonald 2012 · MLB	33	49→55	51→55	49→55	47	250/307/418	168	296	18	12	22%	7%	103	+1.6	210/272/327	117	256	12	10	22%	7%	70	-0.9	186/247/276	90	230	8	9	22%	7%	47	-1.3
✕Xavier Nady 2011 · MLB	32	54→59	48→60	45	44	266/320/408	141	320	16	3	22%	6%	105	+1.7	227/278/350	123	281	14	5	24%	5%	77	-0.3	213/263/331	118	263	14	4	24%	5%	65	-0.7
●Marlon Byrd 2010 · MLB	32	57→63	51→60	47→50	48	283/338/457	174	317	17	8	17%	6%	124	+3.1	273/324/410	137	311	13	6	16%	5%	107	+1.9	265/308/466	201	329	25	2	27%	5%	117	+2.5
✕Cristhian Presichi 2012 · AAA	32	57→62	44→50	46→50	52	280/332/396	116	301	12	10	12%	7%	107	+1.8	248/291/353	105	273	11	8	13%	5%	82	-0.0	250/286/346	96	280	9	11	14%	5%	77	-0.2
✕Jean Segura 2022 · MLB	32	56→62	47→50	49→60	50	276/332/419	143	305	14	9	15%	7%	112	+2.2	250/309/355	105	283	12	14	16%	7%	89	+0.5	246/304/328	82	279	10	17	15%	7%	82	-0.0
✕Jose Amado 2007 · AAA	32	60→62	48→45	50	53	294/345/435	141	290	15	11	6%	6%	121	+2.9	261/319/375	114	274	11	12	9%	6%	98	+1.2	260/322/328	67	276	3	9	7%	6%	88	+0.2

Nick Solak

Career Stats + Projections

How the minor-league lines were translated

Career Comps

Career Path Comps