Rob Refsnyder — OGILVIE

Rob RefsnyderRF Seattle Mariners

Age 35 R/R 5'11" / 215 lbs MLB HR -5% Svc 7.279 · Ctrl thru 2026 ILInjured 10-Day (D10)

2026 ROS PROJECTION119 act + 79 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†vL 150130vR 79

AVG/OBP/SLG.242 / .328 / .412

PA79

HR3

K%25

BB%10

BABIP296

ISO171

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 50 / POW 55

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026

CONTACT50

Whiff%

728.7%

xwOBA

560.316

POWER55

Barrel%

6210.0

Avg EV

5989.7

Bat Spd

6673.0

EYE60

Chase%

9020.8%

SPEED45

Sprint

3726.9

Platoon Splits2024-2026 · 547 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

314

233

—

wRC+

153

◀◀L

wOBA

386

309

◀◀L

ISO

239

137

◀◀L

BABIP

332

330

—

24.2%

27.0%

◀L

BB%

11.5%

7.3%

◀◀L

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status FA

MLB Debut 2015

Service 7.279 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2026

First FA Year 2027

OPT

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext	$2M	—	—	—
Totals		$2M		$-1M	-$4M

Options · projected decision
2027	CLUB OPT	$6.2M / $0.0M buyout	DECLINE
2028	CLUB OPT	$2.0M / $0.0M buyout	DECLINE

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2012	21	A	Charleston RiverDogs	—	182	168	36	6	0	3	10	35	3	11	1	214	271	304	574	89	252	19	5	252	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	21	A	Charleston RiverDogs	—	182	162	39	8	0	4	16	25	3	11	1	241	320	364	685	123	261	14	9	310	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	22	A+	2 teams	—	573	486	133	33	3	6	69	107	13	23	6	274	379	391	769	117	338	19	12	341	119	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	22	A+	2 teams	—	573	467	137	32	3	6	84	82	13	23	6	293	412	413	825	120	343	14	15	373	143	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	23	AAA	2 teams	—	577	531	152	35	4	12	39	135	4	9	9	286	340	435	775	149	363	23	7	338	116	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	23	AAA	2 teams	—	577	515	164	38	6	14	55	105	4	9	9	318	389	497	886	179	377	18	10	390	156	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	24	AAA	2 teams	—	572	523	141	35	2	12	33	96	9	14	2	270	324	413	737	143	306	17	6	318	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	24	AAA	2 teams	—	572	493	135	31	2	11	59	80	9	14	2	274	359	412	771	138	304	14	10	343	120	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	25	AAA	2 teams	—	405	367	100	16	1	2	30	66	2	8	1	272	331	338	669	65	321	16	7	295	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	25	AAA	2 teams	—	405	361	104	19	1	2	35	60	2	8	1	288	353	363	716	75	334	15	9	322	104	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	26	AAA	3 teams	—	302	273	65	15	3	2	21	66	6	7	2	238	307	337	644	99	304	22	7	287	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	26	AAA	3 teams	—	302	265	73	17	3	2	28	53	6	7	2	275	357	385	742	109	335	18	9	334	114	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	27	AAA	2 teams	—	311	276	57	10	0	6	30	78	4	0	2	207	294	308	602	101	264	25	10	272	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	27	AAA	2 teams	—	311	268	66	13	0	6	36	72	4	0	2	246	342	362	704	116	314	23	12	321	104	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	28	AAA	Louisville Bats	—	338	317	74	14	1	9	16	113	1	0	2	233	272	369	642	136	327	33	5	279	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	28	AAA	Louisville Bats	—	338	302	94	21	2	10	31	87	1	0	2	311	377	493	871	182	402	26	9	380	149	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	29	MLB	Texas Rangers	—	34	30	6	1	0	0	2	11	1	0	0	200	273	233	506	33	300	32	6	229	34	-3	+0	+1	-1	+1	-0.2
2020	29	MLB	Texas Rangers	—	34	30	6	1	0	0	2	11	1	0	0	200	273	233	506	33	300	32	6	234	37	-2	+0	+1	-1	+1	-0.2
2021	30	MLB	2 teams	—	237	209	52	12	0	5	25	56	1	1	0	249	332	378	710	129	313	24	11	318	101	+0	+0	+1	+1	+7	1.0
2021	30	MLB	2 teams	—	237	205	55	12	0	7	29	53	1	1	0	268	362	429	791	161	327	22	12	352	128	+7	+0	+1	+1	+7	1.7
2022	31	AAA	2 teams	—	359	308	84	19	0	12	35	95	11	5	1	273	367	451	819	179	350	26	10	356	130	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	31	AAA	2 teams	—	359	300	92	25	0	12	43	88	11	5	1	307	412	510	922	203	390	25	12	404	167	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	32	MLB	Boston Red Sox	—	243	203	48	8	1	1	33	47	5	7	2	236	357	300	657	64	301	19	14	306	93	-2	+1	-2	-3	+7	0.1
2023	32	MLB	Boston Red Sox	—	243	202	50	9	1	1	33	47	5	7	2	248	365	317	682	69	316	19	14	318	101	+0	+1	-2	-3	+7	0.3
2024	33	MLB	Boston Red Sox	—	307	273	74	14	1	11	28	78	5	2	2	271	350	451	800	179	341	25	9	347	124	+8	-0	-4	-3	+9	0.9
2024	33	MLB	Boston Red Sox	—	307	272	77	16	1	11	28	78	5	2	2	283	359	471	830	188	359	25	9	367	139	+13	-0	-4	-3	+9	1.5
2025	34	MLB	Boston Red Sox	—	209	182	47	11	0	9	24	54	1	3	0	258	348	467	815	209	314	26	11	349	125	+6	+1	-2	-2	+6	0.9
2025	34	MLB	Boston Red Sox	—	209	182	49	12	0	9	24	54	1	3	0	269	357	484	841	214	331	26	11	368	140	+9	+1	-2	-2	+6	1.2
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	35	MLB	SEA	—	119	105	14	0	0	3	7	32	3	0	0	133	209	219	428	86	151	27	6	194	6	-13	+0	+0	-1	+3	-1.1
YTD	35	MLB	SEA	—	119	105	14	0	0	3	7	32	3	0	0	133	209	219	428	86	151	27	6	196	8	-12	+0	+0	-1	+3	-1.0
ROS	35	MLB	SEA	100%	79	70	17	3	0	3	8	20	1	1	0	242	328	412	740	171	296	25	10	326	108	+1	+0	+0	-1	+2	0.2
ROS	35	MLB	SEA	100%	79	70	17	3	0	3	8	20	1	1	0	243	329	414	743	171	293	25	10	312	97	-0	+0	+0	-1	+2	0.1
FULL	35	MLB	SEA	—	198	175	31	3	0	6	15	52	4	1	0	177	258	297	555	120	208	26	8	241	42	-13	+0	+0	-2	+6	-0.9
TOT	35	MLB	SEA	—	198	175	31	3	0	6	15	52	4	1	0	177	257	297	554	120	208	26	8	247	47	-12	+0	+0	-2	+6	-0.8
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	36	MLB	SEA	100%	176	155	39	7	0	6	16	45	3	1	0	252	333	413	746	161	310	26	9	328	109	+2	+0	-6	-2	+5	-0.1
2027	36	MLB	SEA	100%	176	155	38	7	0	5	16	45	3	1	0	245	328	387	715	142	307	26	9	313	98	-0	+0	-6	-2	+5	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1805	1570	398	83	3	41	190	421	24	24	9	254	342	389	730	135	318	23	11	326	108	+16	+1	-22	-22	+51	2.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	565	144	30	1	15	68	152	9	9	3	255	343	391	734	136	320	23	10	326	108	+6	+1	-8	-8	+18	0.9
Career	—			—	4904	4371	1125	239	16	99	419	1102	70	92	30	257	332	387	719	130	320	22	9	316	100	+1	+6	-22	-40	+139	8.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	579	149	32	2	13	56	146	9	12	4	257	332	387	719	130	320	22	9	316	100	+0	+1	-3	-5	+18	1.1

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2012	21	A	Charleston RiverDogs	—	182	162	39	8	0	4	16	25	3	11	1	241	320	364	685	123	261	14	9	310	95	-1	+2	—	—	+5	0.6
2013	22	A+	Tampa Yankees	—	511	413	117	28	2	6	78	70	11	16	6	283	407	404	811	121	326	14	15	367	139	+22	+1	—	—	+14	3.9
2013	22	A	Charleston RiverDogs	—	62	54	20	4	1	0	6	12	2	7	0	370	452	481	933	111	476	19	10	419	179	+6	+1	—	—	+2	0.9
2014	23	AAA	Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders	—	333	287	86	19	1	8	41	67	2	4	4	300	391	456	847	157	364	20	12	376	146	+17	-1	—	—	+9	2.6
2014	23	AA	Trenton Thunder	—	244	228	78	19	5	6	14	38	2	5	5	342	385	548	933	206	391	16	6	408	171	+19	-1	—	—	+7	2.6
2015	24	MLB	New York Yankees	—	47	43	13	3	0	2	3	7	0	2	0	302	340	512	852	209	324	15	6	369	141	+2	+0	-1	+2	+1	0.5
2015	24	AAA	Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders	—	525	450	122	28	2	9	56	73	9	12	2	271	361	402	763	131	302	14	11	340	119	+11	+2	—	—	+15	2.8
2016	25	MLB	New York Yankees	—	175	152	38	9	0	0	18	30	1	2	1	250	331	309	641	59	304	17	10	292	82	-4	+0	-3	-7	+5	-0.9
2016	25	AAA	Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders	—	230	209	66	10	1	2	17	30	1	6	0	316	370	402	772	86	356	13	7	344	122	+6	+1	—	—	+7	1.4
2017	26	MLB	Toronto Blue Jays	—	98	88	15	2	1	0	8	17	1	4	1	170	245	216	461	45	211	17	8	218	25	-8	+0	-2	+1	+3	-0.7
2017	26	AAA	Buffalo Bisons	—	174	150	48	12	2	2	18	32	4	2	1	320	407	467	874	147	390	18	10	387	154	+11	+0	—	—	+5	1.6
2017	26	INTL	Gigantes del Cibao	—	30	27	10	3	0	0	2	4	1	1	0	370	433	481	915	111	435	13	7	411	172	+2	+0	—	—	+1	0.4
2018	27	MLB	Tampa Bay Rays	—	103	84	14	3	0	2	18	26	0	0	2	167	311	274	584	107	214	25	17	279	72	-3	-1	-0	-3	+3	-0.5
2018	27	AAA	Durham Bulls	—	208	184	52	10	0	4	18	46	4	0	0	283	357	402	760	120	356	22	9	342	120	+5	+0	—	—	+6	1.1
2019	28	AAA	Louisville Bats	—	338	302	94	21	2	10	31	87	1	0	2	311	377	493	871	182	402	26	9	380	149	+19	-1	—	—	+10	2.8
2020	29	MLB	Texas Rangers	—	34	30	6	1	0	0	2	11	1	0	0	200	273	233	506	33	300	32	6	234	37	-2	+0	+1	-1	+1	-0.2
2021	30	MLB	Minnesota Twins	—	157	139	34	7	0	2	17	40	0	1	0	245	327	338	665	94	327	25	11	303	90	-2	+0	+1	+1	+4	0.5
2021	30	AAA	St. Paul Saints	—	80	66	21	5	0	5	12	13	1	0	0	318	430	621	1.052	303	327	16	15	449	201	+9	+0	—	—	+2	1.2
2022	31	MLB	Boston Red Sox	—	177	153	47	11	0	6	15	46	6	1	1	307	391	497	888	190	394	26	8	388	155	+11	-0	-3	-4	+5	0.9
2022	31	AAA	Worcester Red Sox	—	182	147	45	14	0	6	28	42	5	4	0	306	433	524	957	218	386	23	15	419	179	+16	+1	—	—	+5	2.3
2023	32	MLB	Boston Red Sox	—	243	202	50	9	1	1	33	47	5	7	2	248	365	317	682	69	316	19	14	318	101	+0	+1	-2	-3	+7	0.3
2024	33	MLB	Boston Red Sox	—	307	272	77	16	1	11	28	78	5	2	2	283	359	471	830	188	359	25	9	367	139	+13	-0	-4	-3	+9	1.5
2025	34	MLB	Boston Red Sox	—	209	182	49	12	0	9	24	54	1	3	0	269	357	484	841	214	331	26	11	368	140	+9	+1	-2	-2	+6	1.2
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	1550	1345	343	73	3	33	166	356	20	22	9	255	344	387	732	132	320	23	11	329	110	+17	+1	-16	-19	+44	2.7

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Fernando Tatislast yr '10 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,009 PA	8	2,009	60	13	252	334	421	-18	-2	6.7	6.9
	/162	664	20	4	252	334	421	-5.9	-0.8	2.2	pk7: 7
#2Wes Helmslast yr '11 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,009 PA	11	3,009	74	3	256	318	404	+0	-35	5.4	6.2
#2Wes Helmslast yr '11 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,009 PA	/162	664	16	1	256	318	404	+0.1	-7.6	1.2	pk7: 7
#3Steve Pearcelast yr '19 career totals — 12 seasons, 2,517 PA	12	2,517	91	13	253	331	440	-36	-35	4.8	6.0
	/162	664	24	3	253	331	440	-9.6	-9.1	1.3	pk7: 7
#4Greg Nortonlast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,860 PA	9	1,860	62	8	250	341	420	-13	-26	4.4	5.1
	/162	664	22	3	250	341	420	-4.7	-9.3	1.6	pk7: 6
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 11 projected seasons	11	1,956	46	24	247	333	383	-21	-19	4.2	5.1
	/162	664	16	8	247	333	383	-7.1	-6.5	1.4	pk7: 6
#5Nolan Reimoldlast yr '16 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,556 PA	8	1,556	56	18	246	323	422	-17	-27	1.6	1.9
	/162	664	24	8	246	323	422	-7.1	-11.6	0.7	pk7: 2
#6Travis Sniderlast yr '15 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,971 PA	8	1,971	54	22	244	311	399	-21	-17	1.4	1.8
	/162	664	18	7	244	311	399	-7.1	-5.8	0.5	pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Rob Refsnyder (OGILVIE)	35	50	55	45	60	177/257/297	120	208	6	1	26%	8%	47	-0.8	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Mark Reynolds 2019 · MLB	35	46→55	54→65	43→50	51	237/318/411	174	298	23	3	28%	10%	107	+2.2	219/309/376	157	297	19	8	31%	11%	95	+1.4	141/268/249	108	211	11	7	35%	14%	46	-0.5
✕Michael Cuddyer 2014 · MLB	35	53→58	51→60	50	51	266/328/432	166	302	18	11	19%	8%	116	+2.8	268/322/426	158	311	17	8	19%	7%	112	+2.6	272/322/428	155	315	17	5	19%	6%	111	+1.3
✕Dexter Fowler 2020 · MLB	34	45→55	52→55	45→55	57	232/333/399	168	278	19	9	24%	12%	110	+2.4	243/328/395	152	305	18	10	25%	10%	107	+2.2	234/317/390	156	293	24	6	28%	10%	100	+0.3
✕Fernando Tatis 2009 · MLB	34	48→54	53→55	47→45	50	248/315/422	174	286	20	7	21%	8%	108	+2.3	252/315/413	161	289	17	7	19%	7%	105	+2.1	276/335/428	152	308	13	6	14%	6%	111	+1.6
✕Eduardo Perez 2005 · MLB	35	49	55→60	47→50	54	255/334/444	189	285	23	8	20%	10%	122	+3.3	256/342/460	204	272	26	5	17%	10%	130	+3.8	251/345/469	217	255	30	0	16%	11%	129	+1.2
✕Ryan Raburn 2016 · MLB	35	49→59	54→60	47→50	51	253/330/441	188	300	21	3	23%	9%	119	+3.1	230/309/388	158	313	18	4	30%	10%	97	+1.5	208/292/351	143	295	17	1	33%	10%	80	+0.1
✕Jonny Gomes 2015 · MLB	34	49→52	50→60	46→50	54	242/339/393	151	311	19	3	27%	11%	111	+2.5	235/326/379	144	316	17	6	28%	11%	102	+1.9	217/319/358	140	301	17	2	31%	12%	90	+0.5
✕Charlie Blackmon 2021 · MLB	35	51→57	52→60	44→55	50	259/321/429	170	289	19	6	18%	7%	112	+2.6	239/309/366	127	273	12	5	17%	8%	91	+1.1	232/307/350	119	265	11	4	16%	8%	83	+0.5
●Casey Blake 2009 · MLB	35	54→56	53→60	45	51	271/341/450	180	311	20	5	20%	8%	127	+3.6	263/341/434	171	318	18	3	22%	9%	122	+3.3	258/341/422	163	317	17	2	23%	10%	112	+2.0
✕Chris Young 2018 · MLB	34	47→49	51→60	46→55	53	242/320/412	171	281	18	8	21%	10%	108	+2.3	228/306/403	175	275	21	10	25%	9%	100	+1.7	168/252/365	198	182	29	9	29%	9%	67	-0.1
✕Tommy Pham 2023 · MLB	35	46→56	49→55	48→55	53	232/320/377	145	290	17	11	25%	11%	99	+1.7	246/318/393	147	303	16	14	23%	9%	102	+1.9	248/322/392	143	302	15	15	22%	9%	99	+1.3
✕Rickie Weeks Jr. 2017 · MLB	34	47→57	53→55	50→55	50	241/325/417	176	298	21	10	26%	9%	111	+2.5	235/322/398	163	340	18	10	33%	10%	105	+2.1	205/312/342	136	376	14	5	43%	11%	85	+0.2
✕Cyle Hankerd 2019 · AAA	34	50→49	54→60	47→45	45	255/329/434	178	298	21	4	22%	6%	118	+3.0	233/297/369	136	329	15	8	32%	6%	87	+0.8	212/286/316	104	330	11	0	36%	6%	71	-0.1
✕Chris Iannetta 2018 · MLB	35	45→55	55→60	43→45	54	232/327/419	186	284	22	2	26%	11%	113	+2.6	217/320/375	158	278	18	3	27%	12%	99	+1.7	189/306/321	133	243	15	0	27%	13%	71	-0.1
✕Mark DeRosa 2010 · MLB	35	52→61	53→55	46→40	54	266/344/442	176	301	21	5	19%	10%	125	+3.5	243/317/365	122	289	13	6	20%	9%	95	+1.4	232/319/330	98	286	9	2	20%	11%	83	+0.2
✕John Mabry 2006 · MLB	35	49	53→60	43→30	50	252/316/426	175	295	21	3	22%	8%	110	+2.4	225/298/370	145	277	16	5	24%	9%	88	+0.9	202/283/319	117	252	13	0	24%	10%	67	-0.2
✕Justin Ruggiano 2017 · MLB	35	45→55	50→60	45→55	44	227/296/381	154	314	18	11	32%	8%	90	+1.0	228/279/382	154	296	18	9	29%	6%	83	+0.6	227/264/386	159	278	20	5	26%	3%	74	-0.0
✕Josh Willingham 2014 · MLB	35	45→53	58→60	45	57	237/348/447	210	283	26	4	25%	12%	129	+3.7	230/343/413	183	292	22	6	27%	13%	118	+3.0	212/340/397	185	268	24	3	28%	14%	108	+1.5
●Hunter Pence 2018 · MLB	35	55→63	51→60	42→50	50	278/337/436	158	323	18	4	20%	8%	120	+3.1	260/312/419	159	313	19	8	22%	7%	106	+2.2	266/313/427	161	324	20	9	23%	6%	106	+1.2
✕David Dellucci 2009 · MLB	35	48→46	51→65	45→50	49	245/315/416	172	282	18	6	20%	8%	107	+2.2	238/307/381	143	297	14	9	24%	7%	95	+1.4	232/298/339	108	314	8	9	27%	6%	74	-0.0