Ryan Raburn

PosLF

B/TR/R

Born1981-04-17

Age (2027)46

No MLB projection yet. Career stats below are historical.

Overview

AAALAST SEASON 2017

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2015	34	MLBCleveland Ind…	201	.301/.395/.543	8	0	156	1.3
2016	35	MLBCOL	256	.220/.312/.404	9	0	91	-0.3
2017	36	AAASyracuse Chie…	131	.274/.398/.443	4	1	82	—	.219/.305/.342
2017	36	MLBWSH	69	.262/.304/.431	2	0	112	-0.1
2018	37	No MLB games played
2019	38	No MLB games played
2020	39	No MLB games played
2021	40	No MLB games played
2022	41	No MLB games played
2023	42	No MLB games played
2024	43	No MLB games played
2025	44	No MLB games played
2026	45	No MLB games played

Last 3 seasons WAR 0.9

Contract

No contract data on file.

Skills · percentileStatcast 2015-2017

xwOBA56

Avg EV55

Speed43

Barrel%42

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2004	23	MLB	Detroit Tigers	—	31	29	4	1	0	0	2	15	0	1	0	138	194	172	366	34	286	48	6	174	4	-4	+0	+1	+0	+1	-0.2
2005	24	AAA	Toledo Mud Hens	—	524	471	119	22	4	19	45	109	5	8	3	253	324	437	762	185	290	21	9	336	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	25	AAA	Toledo Mud Hens	—	512	451	124	29	4	20	51	120	5	16	4	275	355	490	845	215	330	23	10	369	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	26	MLB	Detroit Tigers	—	148	138	42	12	2	4	8	33	0	3	0	304	342	507	850	203	373	22	5	367	131	+5	+1	-7	-6	+3	-0.3
2007	26	AAA	Toledo Mud Hens	—	373	315	92	21	3	17	51	73	4	12	4	292	397	540	937	248	329	20	14	407	114	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	27	MLB	Detroit Tigers	—	199	182	43	10	1	4	16	49	0	3	1	236	298	368	666	132	302	25	8	298	85	-3	+0	-8	-2	+4	-0.9
2008	27	AAA	Toledo Mud Hens	—	23	19	6	2	0	2	4	5	0	0	0	316	435	737	1.172	421	333	22	17	493	154	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	28	MLB	Detroit Tigers	—	291	261	76	11	2	16	26	60	2	5	4	291	360	533	892	241	323	21	9	388	145	+16	-1	-4	-4	+6	1.4
2009	28	AAA	Toledo Mud Hens	—	56	47	12	3	0	5	7	13	1	2	1	255	364	638	1.002	383	233	23	12	420	119	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	29	MLB	Detroit Tigers	—	410	371	104	25	1	15	27	92	8	2	2	280	342	474	817	194	333	22	7	358	133	+16	-0	-4	-5	+9	1.7
2010	29	AAA	Toledo Mud Hens	—	29	27	12	6	0	0	2	3	0	1	1	444	483	667	1.149	222	500	10	7	501	171	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	30	MLB	Detroit Tigers	—	418	387	99	22	2	14	21	114	3	1	1	256	299	432	731	176	324	27	5	317	103	+2	-0	-4	+1	+9	0.8
2012	31	MLB	Detroit Tigers	—	222	205	35	14	0	1	13	53	2	1	1	171	227	254	481	83	224	24	6	219	37	-17	-0	-3	+1	+5	-1.5
2012	31	AAA	Toledo Mud Hens	—	66	60	15	2	0	4	5	15	1	1	0	250	318	483	802	233	268	23	8	352	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	32	MLB	Cleveland Indians	—	277	243	66	18	0	16	29	67	4	0	0	272	359	543	902	272	311	24	10	392	150	+17	+0	-3	-3	+6	1.8
2014	33	MLB	Cleveland Indians	—	212	195	39	7	0	4	13	51	1	0	0	200	254	297	551	97	245	24	6	247	51	-12	+0	-2	-2	+5	-1.2
2014	33	AAA	Columbus Clippers	—	18	17	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	59	111	59	170		67	11	6	89	-69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	34	MLB	Cleveland Indians	—	201	173	52	16	1	8	23	44	4	0	0	301	395	543	938	243	361	22	11	409	156	+13	+0	-3	-2	+4	1.3
2016	35	MLB	Colorado Rockies	—	256	223	49	10	2	9	28	80	2	0	0	220	312	404	716	184	292	31	11	317	91	-3	+0	-3	-3	+6	-0.3
2017	36	MLB	Washington Nationals	—	69	65	17	1	2	2	4	25	0	0	1	262	304	431	735	169	395	36	6	324	112	+1	-0	-1	-2	+1	-0.1
2017	36	AAA	Syracuse Chiefs	—	131	106	29	4	1	4	20	38	2	1	0	274	398	443	842	170	373	29	15	371	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	2734	2472	626	147	13	93	210	683	26	16	10	253	318	436	754	183	311	25	8	332	111	+34	-1	-40	-26	+59	2.7
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2004	23	MLB MLE	Detroit Tigers	—	31	29	4	1	0	0	2	15	0	1	0	138	194	172	366	34	286	48	6	174	4	-4	+0	+1	+0	+1	-0.2
2005	24	AAA MLE	Toledo Mud Hens	—	524	485	115	20	4	17	31	131	5	8	3	237	290	400	690	163	284	25	6	296	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	25	AAA MLE	Toledo Mud Hens	—	512	466	110	24	4	17	36	144	5	16	4	236	298	414	712	178	295	28	7	307	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	26	MLB MLE	Detroit Tigers	—	148	139	42	12	2	4	7	33	0	3	0	302	336	504	839	201	373	22	5	362	131	+5	+1	-7	-6	+3	-0.3
2007	26	AAA MLE	Toledo Mud Hens	—	373	332	82	17	3	15	34	88	4	12	4	247	324	452	776	205	287	24	9	337	114	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	27	MLB MLE	Detroit Tigers	—	199	183	43	10	1	4	15	49	0	3	1	235	293	366	659	131	302	25	8	294	85	-3	+0	-8	-2	+4	-0.9
2008	27	AAA MLE	Toledo Mud Hens	—	23	20	6	2	0	2	3	6	0	0	0	300	391	700	1.091	400	287	26	13	396	154	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	28	MLB MLE	Detroit Tigers	—	291	263	76	11	2	16	24	60	2	5	4	289	353	529	881	240	323	21	8	383	145	+16	-1	-4	-4	+6	1.4
2009	28	AAA MLE	Toledo Mud Hens	—	56	49	11	3	0	4	5	16	1	2	1	224	309	531	840	306	200	29	9	344	119	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	29	MLB MLE	Detroit Tigers	—	410	371	107	26	1	16	27	92	8	2	2	288	350	493	843	205	333	22	7	365	133	+16	-0	-4	-5	+9	1.7
2010	29	AAA MLE	Toledo Mud Hens	—	29	28	10	5	0	0	1	4	0	1	1	357	379	536	915	179	430	14	3	421	171	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	30	MLB MLE	Detroit Tigers	—	418	389	102	23	2	15	19	114	3	1	1	262	302	447	749	185	324	27	5	320	103	+2	-0	-4	+1	+9	0.8
2012	31	MLB MLE	Detroit Tigers	—	222	205	35	14	0	1	13	53	2	1	1	171	227	254	481	83	224	24	6	223	37	-17	-0	-3	+1	+5	-1.5
2012	31	AAA MLE	Toledo Mud Hens	—	66	62	13	2	0	3	3	19	1	1	0	210	258	387	645	177	235	29	5	280	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	32	MLB MLE	Cleveland Indians	—	277	243	66	18	0	16	29	67	4	0	0	272	359	543	902	272	311	24	10	391	150	+17	+0	-3	-3	+6	1.8
2014	33	MLB MLE	Cleveland Indians	—	212	196	39	7	0	4	12	51	1	0	0	199	249	296	545	97	245	24	6	243	51	-12	+0	-2	-2	+5	-1.2
2014	33	AAA MLE	Columbus Clippers	—	18	17	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	59	111	59	170		57	11	6	66	-69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	34	MLB MLE	Cleveland Indians	—	201	176	52	16	1	8	20	44	4	0	0	295	380	534	914	239	361	22	10	398	156	+13	+0	-3	-2	+4	1.3
2016	35	MLB MLE	Colorado Rockies	—	256	223	46	10	1	8	28	80	2	0	0	206	300	368	668	161	292	31	11	302	91	-3	+0	-3	-3	+6	-0.3
2017	36	MLB MLE	Washington Nationals	—	69	65	17	1	2	2	4	25	0	0	1	262	304	431	735	169	395	36	6	333	112	+1	-0	-1	-2	+1	-0.1
2017	36	AAA MLE	Syracuse Chiefs	—	131	114	25	3	1	3	12	45	2	1	0	219	305	342	647	123	298	34	9	289	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2004	23	MLB MLE	Detroit Tigers	—	31	29	4	1	0	0	2	15	0	1	0	138	194	172	366	34	286	48	6	174	4	-4	+0	+1	+0	+1	-0.2
2004	23	MLB RAW	Detroit Tigers	—	31	29	4	1	0	0	2	15	0	1	0	138	194	172	366	34	286	48	6	174	4	-4	+0	+1	+0	+1	-0.2
2005	24	AAA MLE	Toledo Mud Hens	—	524	485	115	20	4	17	31	131	5	8	3	237	290	400	690	163	289	25	6	296	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2005	24	AAA RAW	Toledo Mud Hens	—	524	471	119	22	4	19	45	109	5	8	3	253	324	437	762	185	290	21	9	336	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	25	AAA MLE	Toledo Mud Hens	—	512	466	110	24	4	17	36	144	5	16	4	236	298	414	712	178	301	28	7	307	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	25	AAA RAW	Toledo Mud Hens	—	512	451	124	29	4	20	51	120	5	16	4	275	355	490	845	215	330	23	10	369	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	521	471	124	29	5	19	41	121	4	15	4	263	328	467	795	204	313	23	8	344	119	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	26	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	521	453	134	33	5	21	59	106	4	15	4	296	382	530	912	234	342	20	11	396	119	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	27	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	222	203	49	12	1	6	18	55	0	3	1	241	303	399	702	158	303	25	8	305	93	-2	+0	-8	-2	+5	-0.7
2008	27	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	222	201	49	12	1	6	20	54	0	3	1	244	312	403	715	159	305	24	9	318	93	-2	+0	-8	-2	+5	-0.7
2009	28	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	347	312	87	14	2	20	29	76	3	7	5	279	346	529	875	250	307	22	8	377	141	+17	-1	-4	-4	+8	1.6
2009	28	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	347	308	88	14	2	21	33	73	3	7	5	286	360	549	909	263	310	21	10	393	141	+17	-1	-4	-4	+8	1.6
2010	29	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	439	399	117	31	1	16	28	96	8	3	3	293	352	496	848	203	348	22	6	368	135	+19	-1	-4	-5	+10	2.0
2010	29	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	439	398	116	31	1	15	29	95	8	3	3	291	352	487	839	196	347	22	7	367	135	+19	-1	-4	-5	+10	2.0
2011	30	MLB MLE	Detroit Tigers	—	418	389	102	23	2	15	19	114	3	1	1	262	302	447	749	185	331	27	5	320	103	+2	-0	-4	+1	+9	0.8
2011	30	MLB RAW	Detroit Tigers	—	418	387	99	22	2	14	21	114	3	1	1	256	299	432	731	176	324	27	5	317	103	+2	-0	-4	+1	+9	0.8
2012	31	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	288	267	48	16	0	4	16	72	3	2	1	180	234	285	519	105	229	25	6	236	46	-19	+0	-3	+1	+6	-1.5
2012	31	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	288	265	50	16	0	5	18	68	3	2	1	189	248	306	554	117	233	24	6	250	46	-19	+0	-3	+1	+6	-1.5
2013	32	MLB MLE	Cleveland Indians	—	277	243	66	18	0	16	29	67	4	0	0	272	359	543	902	272	311	24	10	391	150	+17	+0	-3	-3	+6	1.8
2013	32	MLB RAW	Cleveland Indians	—	277	243	66	18	0	16	29	67	4	0	0	272	359	543	902	272	311	24	10	392	150	+17	+0	-3	-3	+6	1.8
2014	33	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	230	213	40	7	0	4	13	53	1	0	0	188	238	277	515	89	226	23	6	229	41	-16	+0	-2	-2	+5	-1.6
2014	33	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	230	212	40	7	0	4	14	53	1	0	0	189	242	278	521	90	228	23	6	235	41	-16	+0	-2	-2	+5	-1.6
2015	34	MLB MLE	Cleveland Indians	—	201	176	52	16	1	8	20	44	4	0	0	295	380	534	914	239	352	22	10	398	156	+13	+0	-3	-2	+4	1.3
2015	34	MLB RAW	Cleveland Indians	—	201	173	52	16	1	8	23	44	4	0	0	301	395	543	938	243	361	22	11	409	156	+13	+0	-3	-2	+4	1.3
2016	35	MLB MLE	Colorado Rockies	—	256	223	46	10	1	8	28	80	2	0	0	206	300	368	668	161	275	31	11	302	91	-3	+0	-3	-3	+6	-0.3
2016	35	MLB RAW	Colorado Rockies	—	256	223	49	10	2	9	28	80	2	0	0	220	312	404	716	184	292	31	11	317	91	-3	+0	-3	-3	+6	-0.3
2017	36	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	200	179	42	4	3	5	16	70	2	1	1	235	305	374	679	140	346	35	8	304	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	36	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	200	171	46	5	3	6	24	63	2	1	1	269	365	439	804	170	381	32	12	355	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2004	23	MLB MLE	Detroit Tigers	—	31	29	4	1	0	0	2	15	0	1	0	138	194	172	366	34	286	48	6	174	4	—	—	—	—	—	—
2005	24	AAA MLE	Toledo Mud Hens	—	524	483	115	20	4	17	31	131	5	8	3	238	290	402	691	164	284	25	6	296	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	25	AAA MLE	Toledo Mud Hens	—	512	466	110	24	4	17	36	144	5	16	4	236	298	414	712	178	295	28	7	307	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	521	471	124	29	5	19	41	121	4	15	4	263	328	467	795	204	311	23	8	344	119	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	27	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	222	202	49	12	1	6	18	55	0	3	1	243	303	401	704	158	301	25	8	305	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	28	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	347	312	87	14	2	20	29	76	3	7	5	279	346	529	875	250	303	22	8	377	141	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	29	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	439	400	117	31	1	16	28	96	8	3	3	292	352	495	847	203	340	22	6	368	135	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	30	MLB MLE	Detroit Tigers	—	418	393	102	23	2	15	19	114	3	1	1	260	302	443	744	183	324	27	5	320	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	31	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	288	267	48	16	0	4	16	72	3	2	1	180	234	285	519	105	226	25	6	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	32	MLB MLE	Cleveland Indians	—	277	242	66	18	0	16	29	67	4	0	0	273	359	545	904	273	311	24	10	391	150	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	33	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	230	214	40	7	0	4	13	53	1	0	0	187	238	276	514	89	230	23	6	229	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	34	MLB MLE	Cleveland Indians	—	201	175	52	16	1	8	20	44	4	0	0	297	380	537	917	240	361	22	10	398	156	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	35	MLB MLE	Colorado Rockies	—	256	224	46	10	1	8	28	80	2	0	0	205	300	366	666	161	292	31	11	302	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	36	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	200	180	42	4	3	5	16	70	2	1	1	233	305	372	677	139	331	35	8	304	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2734	2472	626	147	13	93	210	683	26	16	10	253	318	436	754	183	311	25	8	332	104	+34	-1	-40	-26	+59	2.7
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	588	149	35	3	22	50	162	6	4	2	253	318	435	754	182	311	25	8	332	104	+8	-0	-9	-6	+14	0.7
Career	—	MLE		—	4466	4055	1002	225	24	155	326	1138	44	57	23	247	310	429	739	182	303	25	7	322	104	+34	-1	-40	-26	+59	2.7
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	590	146	33	3	23	47	166	6	8	3	247	309	431	740	183	304	26	7	322	104	+8	-0	-9	-6	+14	0.7

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2017 AAASyracuse Chiefs · 131 PAwOBA .368 → .289 (−79)K% 29.0% → 34.6%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	29.01%	÷1.005	×1.200	—	—	34.64%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	14.50%	÷1.033	×0.690	—	×0.940	9.11%
HBP% /PA	1.53%	—	×0.940	—	×0.940	1.35%
Singles /BIP	29.41%	÷0.997	×0.930	×0.950	×0.940	24.49%
Doubles /BIP	5.88%	÷1.081	×0.830	×0.950	×0.940	4.03%
Triples /BIP	1.47%	÷1.150	×0.970	×0.950	×0.940	1.11%
Home runs /BIP	5.88%	÷0.980	×0.840	—	×0.940	4.74%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 96, 1B 99, 2B 116, 3B 130, K 101, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 36 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (8.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .368 → .289; ISO .170 → .139; BABIP .373 → .298. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2014 AAAColumbus Clippers · 18 PAwOBA .087 → .066 (−21)K% 11.1% → 13.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	11.11%	÷1.016	×1.200	—	—	13.12%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	5.56%	÷1.015	×0.690	—	×0.942	3.56%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.940	—	×0.942	0.00%
Singles /BIP	6.67%	÷1.034	×0.930	—	×0.942	5.65%
Doubles /BIP	0.00%	÷1.047	×0.830	—	×0.942	0.00%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.007	×0.970	—	×0.942	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷1.028	×0.840	—	×0.942	0.00%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 106, 1B 107, 2B 109, 3B 102, K 103, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 33 vs a level average of 27.2 → −5.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.8 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .087 → .066; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .067 → .057. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2012 AAAToledo Mud Hens · 66 PAwOBA .342 → .280 (−63)K% 22.7% → 28.6%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	22.73%	÷0.952	×1.200	—	—	28.65%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	7.58%	÷0.988	×0.690	—	×0.962	5.09%
HBP% /PA	1.52%	—	×0.940	—	×0.962	1.37%
Singles /BIP	20.00%	÷1.045	×0.930	×1.050	×0.962	17.97%
Doubles /BIP	4.44%	÷1.015	×0.830	×1.050	×0.962	3.67%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.900	×0.970	×1.050	×0.962	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	8.89%	÷0.913	×0.840	—	×0.962	7.87%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 83, 1B 109, 2B 103, 3B 80, K 90, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 31 vs a level average of 27.2 → −3.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .342 → .280; ISO .233 → .195; BABIP .268 → .235. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2010 AAAToledo Mud Hens · 29 PAwOBA .480 → .421 (−59)K% 10.3% → 12.2%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	10.34%	÷1.015	×1.200	—	—	12.24%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	3.45%	÷0.922	×0.690	—	×0.982	2.53%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.940	—	×0.982	0.00%
Singles /BIP	25.00%	÷1.059	×0.930	—	×0.982	21.56%
Doubles /BIP	25.00%	÷0.951	×0.830	—	×0.982	21.42%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.015	×0.970	—	×0.982	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷0.957	×0.840	—	×0.982	0.00%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 91, 1B 112, 2B 90, 3B 103, K 103, BB 84 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .480 → .421; ISO .222 → .196; BABIP .500 → .430. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2009 AAAToledo Mud Hens · 56 PAwOBA .415 → .344 (−71)K% 23.2% → 27.9%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	23.21%	÷1.000	×1.200	—	—	27.86%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	12.50%	÷1.000	×0.690	—	×0.992	8.56%
HBP% /PA	1.79%	—	×0.940	—	×0.992	1.67%
Singles /BIP	11.76%	÷1.000	×0.930	—	×0.992	10.85%
Doubles /BIP	8.82%	÷1.000	×0.830	—	×0.992	7.26%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.970	—	×0.992	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	14.71%	÷1.000	×0.840	—	×0.992	12.25%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .415 → .344; ISO .383 → .325; BABIP .233 → .200. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2008 AAAToledo Mud Hens · 23 PAwOBA .479 → .396 (−83)K% 21.7% → 26.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	21.74%	÷1.000	×1.200	—	—	26.09%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	17.39%	÷1.000	×0.690	—	×1.003	12.04%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.940	—	×1.003	0.00%
Singles /BIP	14.29%	÷1.000	×0.930	—	×1.003	13.33%
Doubles /BIP	14.29%	÷1.000	×0.830	—	×1.003	11.89%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.970	—	×1.003	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	14.29%	÷1.000	×0.840	—	×1.003	12.04%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .479 → .396; ISO .421 → .360; BABIP .333 → .287. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2007 AAAToledo Mud Hens · 373 PAwOBA .397 → .337 (−60)K% 19.6% → 23.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	19.57%	÷1.000	×1.200	—	—	23.49%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	12.87%	÷1.000	×0.690	—	×1.018	9.04%
HBP% /PA	1.07%	—	×0.940	—	×1.018	1.03%
Singles /BIP	21.07%	÷1.000	×0.930	×0.957	×1.018	19.10%
Doubles /BIP	8.68%	÷1.000	×0.830	×0.957	×1.018	7.02%
Triples /BIP	1.24%	÷1.000	×0.970	×0.957	×1.018	1.17%
Home runs /BIP	7.02%	÷1.000	×0.840	—	×1.018	6.01%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.957.

Result: wOBA .397 → .337; ISO .248 → .215; BABIP .329 → .287. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2006 AAAToledo Mud Hens · 512 PAwOBA .361 → .307 (−54)K% 23.4% → 28.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	23.44%	÷1.000	×1.200	—	—	28.12%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	9.77%	÷1.000	×0.690	—	×1.033	6.96%
HBP% /PA	0.98%	—	×0.940	—	×1.033	0.95%
Singles /BIP	21.45%	÷1.000	×0.930	×0.966	×1.033	19.90%
Doubles /BIP	8.76%	÷1.000	×0.830	×0.966	×1.033	7.26%
Triples /BIP	1.21%	÷1.000	×0.970	×0.966	×1.033	1.17%
Home runs /BIP	6.04%	÷1.000	×0.840	—	×1.033	5.24%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.966.

Result: wOBA .361 → .307; ISO .215 → .184; BABIP .330 → .295. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).