Rob Segedin
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 27 | AAAOklahoma City… | 424 | .319/.395/.598 | 21 | 3 | 107 | — | .249/.310/.459 | |
| 2016 | 27 | MLBLAD | 83 | .233/.309/.370 | 2 | 0 | 94 | -0.6 | ||
| 2017 | 28 | AAAOklahoma City… | 101 | .320/.347/.515 | 4 | 0 | 80 | — | .255/.277/.398 | |
| 2017 | 28 | MLBLAD | 20 | .200/.200/.300 | 0 | 0 | 40 | -0.3 | ||
| 2018 | 29 | AAAOklahoma City… | 134 | .211/.308/.325 | 3 | 0 | 34 | — | .160/.231/.235 | |
| 2019 | 30 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2020 | 31 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2021 | 32 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2022 | 33 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2023 | 34 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2024 | 35 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2025 | 36 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2026 | 37 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2011 | 22 | A+ | Tampa Yankees | — | 207 | 188 | 46 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 40 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 245 | 311 | 309 | 619 | 64 | 301 | 19 | 7 | 284 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 22 | A | Charleston RiverDogs | — | 260 | 226 | 73 | 15 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 39 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 323 | 402 | 482 | 885 | 159 | 366 | 15 | 9 | 388 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 22 | INTL | Phoenix Desert Dogs | — | 128 | 108 | 27 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 25 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 250 | 367 | 407 | 775 | 157 | 300 | 20 | 13 | 352 | 124 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 23 | AA | Trenton Thunder | — | 182 | 165 | 31 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 33 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 188 | 256 | 279 | 534 | 91 | 214 | 18 | 7 | 244 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 23 | A+ | Tampa Yankees | — | 326 | 290 | 86 | 21 | 1 | 7 | 29 | 53 | 3 | 9 | 4 | 297 | 366 | 448 | 815 | 152 | 338 | 16 | 9 | 359 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 24 | AA | Trenton Thunder | — | 82 | 71 | 24 | 10 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 18 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 338 | 405 | 606 | 1.011 | 268 | 396 | 22 | 7 | 423 | 115 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 25 | AAA | Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders | — | 85 | 77 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 143 | 195 | 208 | 403 | 65 | 154 | 16 | 5 | 181 | -5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 25 | AA | Trenton Thunder | — | 394 | 325 | 92 | 21 | 1 | 8 | 52 | 60 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 283 | 403 | 428 | 830 | 145 | 322 | 15 | 13 | 374 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 26 | AAA | Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders | — | 181 | 162 | 45 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 34 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 278 | 350 | 414 | 764 | 136 | 331 | 19 | 8 | 342 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 26 | AA | Trenton Thunder | — | 103 | 89 | 27 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 17 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 303 | 386 | 449 | 836 | 146 | 338 | 17 | 11 | 368 | 98 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 26 | INTL | Estrellas de Oriente | — | 38 | 34 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 206 | 289 | 235 | 525 | 29 | 250 | 16 | 8 | 251 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 27 | MLB | Los Angeles Dodgers | — | 83 | 73 | 17 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 22 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 233 | 309 | 370 | 679 | 137 | 294 | 27 | 7 | 300 | 94 | -1 | +0 | -2 | -5 | +2 | -0.6 |
| 2016 | 27 | AAA | Oklahoma City Dodgers | — | 424 | 373 | 119 | 23 | 9 | 21 | 40 | 81 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 319 | 395 | 598 | 993 | 279 | 356 | 19 | 9 | 426 | 107 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 28 | MLB | Los Angeles Dodgers | — | 20 | 20 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 200 | 200 | 300 | 500 | 100 | 308 | 35 | 0 | 219 | 40 | -1 | +0 | -0 | -2 | +0 | -0.3 |
| 2017 | 28 | AAA | Oklahoma City Dodgers | — | 101 | 97 | 31 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 320 | 347 | 515 | 862 | 196 | 351 | 16 | 4 | 378 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 29 | AAA | Oklahoma City Dodgers | — | 134 | 114 | 24 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 24 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 211 | 308 | 325 | 632 | 114 | 231 | 18 | 11 | 283 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 103 | 93 | 21 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 29 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 226 | 287 | 355 | 642 | 129 | 297 | 28 | 6 | 284 | 78 | -3 | +0 | -2 | -8 | +2 | -1.0 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2011 | 22 | A+ MLE | Tampa Yankees | — | 207 | 191 | 41 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 55 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 215 | 272 | 277 | 549 | 63 | 280 | 27 | 6 | 237 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 22 | A MLE | Charleston RiverDogs | — | 260 | 235 | 66 | 13 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 53 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 281 | 340 | 404 | 744 | 123 | 330 | 20 | 5 | 318 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 23 | AA MLE | Trenton Thunder | — | 182 | 168 | 29 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 41 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 173 | 228 | 238 | 466 | 65 | 208 | 23 | 5 | 212 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 23 | A+ MLE | Tampa Yankees | — | 326 | 302 | 70 | 17 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 77 | 3 | 9 | 4 | 232 | 280 | 354 | 634 | 123 | 283 | 24 | 5 | 280 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 24 | AA MLE | Trenton Thunder | — | 82 | 73 | 19 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 260 | 316 | 438 | 755 | 178 | 316 | 27 | 5 | 338 | 115 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 25 | AAA MLE | Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders | — | 85 | 78 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 141 | 183 | 205 | 388 | 64 | 142 | 20 | 4 | 161 | -5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 25 | AA MLE | Trenton Thunder | — | 394 | 341 | 85 | 18 | 1 | 7 | 36 | 74 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 249 | 344 | 370 | 713 | 120 | 287 | 19 | 9 | 314 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 26 | AAA MLE | Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders | — | 181 | 168 | 42 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 41 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 250 | 300 | 375 | 675 | 125 | 305 | 23 | 5 | 291 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 26 | AA MLE | Trenton Thunder | — | 103 | 93 | 26 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 22 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 280 | 337 | 387 | 724 | 108 | 323 | 21 | 7 | 313 | 98 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 27 | MLB MLE | Los Angeles Dodgers | — | 83 | 73 | 17 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 22 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 233 | 309 | 370 | 679 | 137 | 294 | 27 | 7 | 307 | 94 | -1 | +0 | -2 | -5 | +2 | -0.6 |
| 2016 | 27 | AAA MLE | Oklahoma City Dodgers | — | 424 | 386 | 96 | 18 | 6 | 17 | 27 | 107 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 249 | 310 | 459 | 768 | 210 | 293 | 25 | 6 | 326 | 107 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 28 | MLB MLE | Los Angeles Dodgers | — | 20 | 20 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 200 | 200 | 300 | 500 | 100 | 308 | 35 | 0 | 227 | 40 | -1 | +0 | -0 | -2 | +0 | -0.3 |
| 2017 | 28 | AAA MLE | Oklahoma City Dodgers | — | 101 | 98 | 25 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 21 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 255 | 277 | 398 | 675 | 143 | 293 | 21 | 3 | 286 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 29 | AAA MLE | Oklahoma City Dodgers | — | 134 | 119 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 32 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 160 | 231 | 235 | 466 | 76 | 187 | 24 | 7 | 219 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 22 | A MLE | 3 teams | — | 595 | 545 | 135 | 21 | 4 | 7 | 32 | 137 | 13 | 7 | 4 | 248 | 305 | 339 | 645 | 92 | 316 | 23 | 5 | 282 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 22 | A RAW | 3 teams | — | 595 | 522 | 146 | 25 | 5 | 10 | 55 | 104 | 13 | 7 | 4 | 280 | 363 | 404 | 767 | 125 | 330 | 17 | 9 | 344 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 23 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 508 | 470 | 100 | 22 | 1 | 9 | 27 | 117 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 213 | 263 | 321 | 584 | 109 | 260 | 23 | 5 | 256 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 23 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 508 | 455 | 117 | 27 | 1 | 10 | 42 | 86 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 257 | 327 | 387 | 714 | 130 | 293 | 17 | 8 | 318 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 24 | AA MLE | Trenton Thunder | — | 82 | 73 | 19 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 260 | 316 | 438 | 755 | 178 | 327 | 27 | 5 | 338 | 115 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 24 | AA RAW | Trenton Thunder | — | 82 | 71 | 24 | 10 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 18 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 338 | 405 | 606 | 1.011 | 268 | 396 | 22 | 7 | 423 | 115 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 25 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 479 | 419 | 95 | 20 | 1 | 8 | 39 | 91 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 227 | 314 | 337 | 650 | 110 | 266 | 19 | 8 | 287 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 25 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 479 | 402 | 103 | 23 | 1 | 9 | 56 | 74 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 256 | 367 | 386 | 752 | 129 | 288 | 15 | 12 | 339 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 26 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 322 | 296 | 76 | 12 | 1 | 7 | 18 | 72 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 257 | 310 | 375 | 685 | 118 | 315 | 22 | 6 | 299 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 26 | AAA RAW | 3 teams | — | 322 | 285 | 79 | 13 | 1 | 7 | 29 | 57 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 277 | 354 | 404 | 758 | 126 | 323 | 18 | 9 | 339 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 27 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 507 | 459 | 113 | 20 | 7 | 19 | 33 | 129 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 246 | 309 | 444 | 754 | 198 | 297 | 25 | 7 | 323 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 27 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 507 | 446 | 136 | 25 | 10 | 23 | 46 | 103 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 305 | 381 | 561 | 942 | 256 | 347 | 20 | 9 | 405 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 28 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 121 | 118 | 29 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 28 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 246 | 264 | 381 | 646 | 136 | 299 | 23 | 2 | 276 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 28 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 121 | 117 | 35 | 9 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 299 | 322 | 479 | 801 | 179 | 344 | 19 | 3 | 352 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 29 | AAA MLE | Oklahoma City Dodgers | — | 134 | 119 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 32 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 160 | 231 | 235 | 466 | 76 | 191 | 24 | 7 | 219 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 29 | AAA RAW | Oklahoma City Dodgers | — | 134 | 114 | 24 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 24 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 211 | 308 | 325 | 632 | 114 | 231 | 18 | 11 | 283 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 22 | A MLE | 3 teams | — | 595 | 545 | 135 | 21 | 4 | 7 | 32 | 137 | 13 | 7 | 4 | 248 | 305 | 339 | 645 | 92 | 308 | 23 | 5 | 282 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 23 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 508 | 471 | 100 | 22 | 1 | 9 | 27 | 117 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 212 | 263 | 321 | 584 | 108 | 256 | 23 | 5 | 256 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 24 | AA MLE | Trenton Thunder | — | 82 | 76 | 19 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 250 | 316 | 421 | 738 | 171 | 316 | 27 | 5 | 338 | 115 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 25 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 479 | 423 | 95 | 20 | 1 | 8 | 39 | 91 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 225 | 314 | 333 | 647 | 109 | 261 | 19 | 8 | 287 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 26 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 322 | 296 | 76 | 12 | 1 | 7 | 18 | 72 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 257 | 310 | 375 | 685 | 118 | 312 | 22 | 6 | 299 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 27 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 507 | 460 | 113 | 20 | 7 | 19 | 33 | 129 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 246 | 309 | 443 | 753 | 198 | 293 | 25 | 7 | 323 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 28 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 121 | 117 | 29 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 28 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 248 | 264 | 385 | 649 | 137 | 295 | 23 | 2 | 276 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 29 | AAA MLE | Oklahoma City Dodgers | — | 134 | 122 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 32 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 156 | 231 | 230 | 460 | 74 | 187 | 24 | 7 | 219 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 103 | 93 | 21 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 29 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 226 | 287 | 355 | 642 | 129 | 297 | 28 | 6 | 284 | 80 | -3 | +0 | -2 | -8 | +2 | -1.0 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 587 | 132 | 25 | 6 | 13 | 38 | 183 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 225 | 287 | 354 | 642 | 129 | 295 | 28 | 6 | 284 | 80 | -17 | +0 | -13 | -48 | +14 | -6.5 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2748 | 2499 | 586 | 112 | 14 | 57 | 166 | 628 | 49 | 23 | 15 | 234 | 295 | 359 | 654 | 124 | 287 | 23 | 6 | 286 | 80 | -3 | +0 | -2 | -8 | +2 | -1.0 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 591 | 137 | 26 | 3 | 13 | 39 | 149 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 232 | 293 | 352 | 645 | 120 | 284 | 23 | 6 | 286 | 80 | -17 | +0 | -13 | -48 | +14 | -6.5 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2018 AAAOklahoma City Dodgers · 134 PAwOBA .285 → .219 (−65)K% 17.9% → 23.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.91% | ÷0.970 | ×1.290 | — | — | 23.83% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.19% | ÷1.021 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.972 | 7.56% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.75% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×0.972 | 0.71% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.89% | ÷0.992 | ×0.900 | ×0.950 | ×0.972 | 15.82% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.44% | ÷1.029 | ×0.810 | ×0.950 | ×0.972 | 3.23% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.020 | ×0.810 | ×0.950 | ×0.972 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.33% | ÷1.020 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.972 | 2.48% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 104, 1B 98, 2B 106, 3B 104, K 94, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 27.2 → −2.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .285 → .219; ISO .114 → .085; BABIP .231 → .187. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 AAAOklahoma City Dodgers · 101 PAwOBA .367 → .286 (−81)K% 15.8% → 20.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.84% | ÷1.000 | ×1.290 | — | — | 20.44% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 3.96% | ÷1.017 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.982 | 2.71% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×0.982 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.69% | ÷0.978 | ×0.900 | ×0.973 | ×0.982 | 21.71% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.64% | ÷1.038 | ×0.810 | ×0.973 | ×0.982 | 6.44% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.810 | ×0.973 | ×0.982 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.94% | ÷0.989 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.982 | 3.82% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 98, 1B 96, 2B 108, 3B 130, K 100, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.973.
Result: wOBA .367 → .286; ISO .196 → .143; BABIP .351 → .293. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AAAOklahoma City Dodgers · 424 PAwOBA .418 → .326 (−92)K% 19.1% → 25.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.10% | ÷0.972 | ×1.290 | — | — | 25.34% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.43% | ÷1.059 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.992 | 6.28% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.65% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×0.992 | 1.60% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.60% | ÷1.017 | ×0.900 | ×0.978 | ×0.992 | 19.41% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.88% | ÷0.975 | ×0.810 | ×0.978 | ×0.992 | 6.35% |
| Triples /BIP | 3.08% | ÷1.104 | ×0.810 | ×0.978 | ×0.992 | 2.19% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.19% | ÷0.947 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.992 | 5.88% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 89, 1B 103, 2B 95, 3B 121, K 94, BB 112 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.978.
Result: wOBA .418 → .326; ISO .279 → .215; BABIP .356 → .293. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AAAScranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders · 181 PAwOBA .333 → .291 (−42)K% 18.8% → 22.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.78% | ÷0.991 | ×1.200 | — | — | 22.76% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.29% | ÷1.139 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.003 | 5.03% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.66% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.003 | 1.56% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.00% | ÷1.011 | ×0.930 | ×1.004 | ×1.003 | 23.17% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.25% | ÷0.903 | ×0.830 | ×1.004 | ×1.003 | 5.79% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.78% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | ×1.004 | ×1.003 | 0.66% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.12% | ÷0.878 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.003 | 3.00% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 76, 1B 102, 2B 81, 3B 130, K 98, BB 128 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.004.
Result: wOBA .333 → .291; ISO .136 → .127; BABIP .331 → .305. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AATrenton Thunder · 103 PAwOBA .365 → .313 (−52)K% 16.5% → 21.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.50% | ÷0.950 | ×1.220 | — | — | 21.19% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.68% | ÷1.067 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.978 | 6.85% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.97% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.978 | 0.81% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.78% | ÷0.977 | ×0.970 | ×1.016 | ×0.978 | 27.39% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.56% | ÷0.978 | ×0.860 | ×1.016 | ×0.978 | 4.85% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.950 | ×1.016 | ×0.978 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.17% | ÷1.153 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.978 | 2.76% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 131, 1B 95, 2B 96, 3B 130, K 90, BB 114 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 24.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.016.
Result: wOBA .365 → .313; ISO .146 → .108; BABIP .338 → .323. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AATrenton Thunder · 394 PAwOBA .367 → .314 (−53)K% 15.2% → 18.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.23% | ÷0.994 | ×1.220 | — | — | 18.69% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.94% | ÷0.977 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.988 | 9.16% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.30% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.988 | 2.77% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.40% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | ×0.956 | ×0.988 | 21.44% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.92% | ÷0.972 | ×0.860 | ×0.956 | ×0.988 | 6.62% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.38% | ÷1.150 | ×0.950 | ×0.956 | ×0.988 | 0.29% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.02% | ÷0.910 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.988 | 2.56% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 82, 1B 100, 2B 94, 3B 130, K 99, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.956.
Result: wOBA .367 → .314; ISO .145 → .125; BABIP .322 → .287. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AAAScranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders · 85 PAwOBA .183 → .161 (−23)K% 16.5% → 20.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.47% | ÷0.970 | ×1.200 | — | — | 20.38% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.71% | ÷0.985 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.018 | 3.35% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.18% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.018 | 1.13% |
| Singles /BIP | 12.70% | ÷0.984 | ×0.930 | ×0.971 | ×1.018 | 11.86% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.17% | ÷0.936 | ×0.830 | ×0.971 | ×1.018 | 2.78% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.954 | ×0.970 | ×0.971 | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.59% | ÷1.067 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.018 | 1.27% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 113, 1B 97, 2B 87, 3B 91, K 94, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.971.
Result: wOBA .183 → .161; ISO .065 → .055; BABIP .154 → .142. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 AATrenton Thunder · 82 PAwOBA .427 → .338 (−89)K% 22.0% → 26.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.95% | ÷1.003 | ×1.220 | — | — | 26.70% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.32% | ÷1.055 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.998 | 4.85% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.44% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.998 | 2.07% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.75% | ÷0.996 | ×0.970 | ×0.950 | ×0.998 | 19.16% |
| Doubles /BIP | 18.87% | ÷1.204 | ×0.860 | ×0.950 | ×0.998 | 12.78% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.140 | ×0.950 | ×0.950 | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.66% | ÷0.979 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.998 | 4.50% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 96, 1B 99, 2B 141, 3B 128, K 101, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .427 → .338; ISO .268 → .201; BABIP .396 → .316. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .