Jordan Diaz — OGILVIE

Jordan Diaz2B Gigantes del Cibao

Age 25 R/R 5'9" / 175 lbs INTL HR -4% Svc 4.000 · Ctrl thru 2027

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 350 proj PA

wRC+†99

AVG/OBP/SLG.241 / .297 / .409

PA350

HR13

K%23

BB%6

ISO170

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control

Tools · ContractCON 50 / POW 49

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2022-2023

CONTACT50

Whiff%

1215.3%

xwOBA

220.276

POWER49

Barrel%

295.5

Avg EV

5689.5

Bat Spd

6873.2

EYE37

Chase%

1041.6%

SPEED38

Sprint

1025.3

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Arb-2

MLB Debut 2022

Service 4.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2027

First FA Year 2028

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Arb-2	$1M	—	—	—
2027	Arb-3	$5M	+1.0	$7M	+$3M
Totals		$5M		$7M	+$3M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2017	16	ROK	DSL Athletics	—	177	166	31	5	0	0	4	38	3	3	0	187	220	217	437	30	235	21	2	191	4	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	16	ROK	DSL Athletics	—	177	164	40	7	0	0	6	26	3	3	0	244	283	287	570	43	282	15	3	256	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	17	ROK	AZL Athletics	—	186	166	35	8	1	1	12	32	6	0	2	211	288	289	577	78	252	17	6	256	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	17	ROK	AZL Athletics	—	186	159	44	11	2	1	19	22	6	0	2	277	375	390	765	113	312	12	10	345	123	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	19	INTL	Colombia	—	20	19	7	3	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	368	368	526	895	158	389	10	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	19	INTL	Colombia	—	20	19	7	3	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	368	368	526	895	158	389	10	0	374	144	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	20	A+	Lansing Lugnuts	—	365	338	88	18	1	11	20	78	2	2	3	260	306	417	723	157	303	21	5	310	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	20	A+	Lansing Lugnuts	—	365	333	96	24	1	13	25	58	2	2	3	288	342	483	825	195	311	16	7	359	133	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	AA	4 teams	—	618	586	171	34	1	27	24	113	5	2	0	292	325	491	817	200	321	18	4	349	125	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	AA	4 teams	—	618	574	182	40	1	20	36	88	5	2	0	317	363	495	857	178	345	14	6	377	147	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	MLB	2 teams	—	462	433	102	18	0	15	23	106	4	0	2	236	280	381	661	145	277	23	5	290	80	-10	-1	-6	+2	+13	-0.3
2023	22	MLB	2 teams	—	462	428	108	22	0	16	27	99	4	0	2	252	302	416	718	164	292	21	6	317	101	+1	-1	-6	+2	+13	0.9
2024	23	AAA	2 teams	—	527	488	127	19	1	20	32	116	5	1	0	260	312	426	739	166	302	22	6	319	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AAA	2 teams	—	527	481	139	26	1	23	39	98	5	1	0	289	349	491	839	202	320	19	7	369	140	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	INTL	Gigantes del Cibao	—	21	21	3	0	0	1	0	9	0	0	0	143	143	286	429	143	182	43	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	INTL	Gigantes del Cibao	—	21	21	3	0	0	1	0	9	0	0	0	143	143	286	429	143	182	43	0	185	0	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	25	MLB	OAK	—	350	321	78	13	1	13	22	79	4	2	1	243	300	411	711	168	281	23	6	314	99	-1	+0	-2	+1	+10	0.9
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	26	MLB	OAK	42%	415	382	93	16	1	16	26	94	4	2	1	243	299	416	715	173	281	23	6	315	100	-0	+0	-2	+1	+12	1.1
2028	27	MLB	OAK	58%	421	387	94	16	1	16	27	96	4	2	1	243	299	413	712	171	281	23	6	315	100	-0	+0	-2	+2	+12	1.1
2029	28	MLB	OAK	67%	422	387	94	16	1	16	28	96	4	2	1	243	301	413	714	171	280	23	7	314	99	-1	+0	-3	+2	+12	1.0
2030	29	MLB	OAK	69%	414	380	90	15	1	15	27	95	4	2	1	237	294	400	694	163	279	23	7	312	97	-1	+0	-4	+1	+12	0.8
2031	30	MLB	OAK	70%	407	373	89	15	1	15	27	95	4	1	1	239	297	405	702	166	278	23	7	310	95	-2	-0	-4	+1	+12	0.6
2032	31	MLB	OAK	71%	392	359	85	14	1	14	26	92	4	1	0	237	296	398	694	162	276	23	7	305	92	-4	+0	-5	+1	+11	0.4
2033	32	MLB	OAK	71%	373	341	79	13	1	13	25	89	4	1	0	232	292	390	682	158	272	24	7	300	88	-5	+0	-6	+1	+11	0.1
2034	33	MLB	OAK	71%	343	315	71	11	1	11	22	84	3	1	0	225	282	371	654	146	268	24	6	293	82	-7	+0	-6	+1	+10	-0.2
2035	34	MLB	OAK	67%	299	275	60	9	0	10	19	75	3	0	0	218	276	360	636	142	263	25	6	284	75	-8	+0	-7	+1	+8	-0.5
2027	26	MLB	OAK	42%	175	160	39	7	1	6	11	40	2	1	0	244	301	412	713	169	278	23	6	304	91	-2	+0	-1	+1	+5	0.3
2028	27	MLB	OAK	58%	245	224	54	9	1	9	16	56	3	1	0	241	300	411	711	170	278	23	7	304	91	-2	+0	-1	+1	+7	0.4
2029	28	MLB	OAK	67%	281	258	61	10	1	10	18	64	3	1	0	236	294	399	693	163	278	23	6	303	90	-3	+0	-2	+1	+8	0.4
2030	29	MLB	OAK	69%	285	261	62	10	1	10	19	66	3	1	0	238	297	398	695	161	277	23	7	302	89	-4	+0	-3	+1	+8	0.3
2031	30	MLB	OAK	70%	285	261	62	10	1	10	19	66	3	1	0	238	297	398	695	161	276	23	7	299	87	-4	+0	-3	+1	+8	0.2
2032	31	MLB	OAK	71%	278	255	60	10	1	10	18	66	3	1	0	235	293	400	693	165	273	24	6	295	84	-5	+0	-4	+1	+8	0.1
2033	32	MLB	OAK	71%	266	243	55	9	0	9	18	64	3	1	0	226	288	374	662	148	270	24	7	290	80	-6	+0	-4	+1	+8	-0.1
2034	33	MLB	OAK	71%	245	225	50	8	0	8	16	60	2	0	0	222	280	364	644	142	266	24	7	283	75	-7	+0	-4	+1	+7	-0.4
2035	34	MLB	OAK	67%	200	183	39	6	0	6	13	50	2	0	0	213	273	344	617	131	260	25	6	274	68	-7	+0	-4	+1	+6	-0.5
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	2604	2391	555	91	6	88	167	608	27	7	1	232	290	386	675	153	274	23	6	294	83	-50	+1	-35	+12	+74	0.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	597	138	23	1	22	42	152	7	2	0	231	289	384	673	152	273	23	6	294	83	-12	+0	-9	+3	+18	0.1
Career	—			—	6212	5737	1397	243	13	214	364	1389	63	22	13	244	296	402	698	159	284	22	6	304	91	-62	-1	-50	+22	+176	8.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	600	145	25	1	22	38	145	7	2	1	242	295	397	691	155	281	22	6	304	91	-7	+0	-5	+2	+18	0.9

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2017	16	ROK	DSL Athletics	—	177	164	40	7	0	0	6	26	3	3	0	244	283	287	570	43	282	15	3	256	54	-9	+1	—	—	+5	-0.4
2018	17	ROK	AZL Athletics	—	186	159	44	11	2	1	19	22	6	0	2	277	375	390	765	113	312	12	10	345	123	+5	-1	—	—	+5	0.9
2020	19	INTL	Colombia	—	20	19	7	3	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	368	368	526	895	158	389	10	0	374	144	+1	+0	—	—	+1	0.2
2021	20	A+	Lansing Lugnuts	—	365	333	96	24	1	13	25	58	2	2	3	288	342	483	825	195	311	16	7	359	133	+13	-1	—	—	+10	2.3
2022	21	MLB	Oakland Athletics	—	51	49	13	3	0	0	2	7	0	0	0	265	294	327	621	61	310	14	4	280	73	-2	+0	-3	+2	+1	-0.1
2022	21	AAA	Las Vegas Aviators	—	120	112	39	8	1	4	6	15	1	0	0	348	387	545	931	196	372	12	5	406	168	+9	+0	—	—	+3	1.3
2022	21	AA	Midland RockHounds	—	407	379	121	26	0	15	22	61	4	0	0	319	363	507	870	187	348	15	5	382	150	+23	+0	—	—	+12	3.5
2022	21	INTL	Colombia	—	40	34	9	3	0	1	6	5	0	2	0	265	375	441	816	176	286	12	15	366	138	+2	+0	—	—	+1	0.3
2023	22	MLB	Oakland Athletics	—	293	272	60	9	0	10	17	69	3	0	1	221	274	364	638	143	258	24	6	285	76	-8	-0	-6	+2	+8	-0.4
2023	22	AAA	Las Vegas Aviators	—	169	156	48	13	0	6	10	30	1	0	1	308	351	506	858	199	347	18	6	374	144	+8	-0	—	—	+5	1.3
2024	23	AAA	Las Vegas Aviators	—	436	395	119	22	1	22	34	78	5	0	0	301	364	529	893	228	327	18	8	390	157	+28	+0	—	—	+12	4.1
2024	23	INTL	Naranjeros de Hermosillo	—	91	86	20	4	0	1	5	20	0	1	0	233	275	314	589	81	292	22	5	267	62	-4	+0	—	—	+3	-0.1
2025	24	INTL	Gigantes del Cibao	—	21	21	3	0	0	1	0	9	0	0	0	143	143	286	429	143	182	43	0	185	0	-2	+0	—	—	+1	-0.2
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	344	321	73	12	0	10	19	76	3	0	1	227	277	358	635	131	267	22	6	284	76	-9	-0	-9	+4	+10	-0.5

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Maikel Francolast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,573 PA	9	3,573	130	5	244	293	414	+13	-5	9.3	9.6
	/162	664	24	1	244	293	414	+2.4	-1.0	1.7	pk7: 10
#2Brad Millerlast yr '23 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,531 PA	11	3,531	123	43	236	314	416	+7	-38	8.8	9.4
	/162	664	23	8	236	314	416	+1.4	-7.2	1.7	pk7: 10
#3Trevor Plouffelast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 3,178 PA	7	3,178	103	12	243	306	411	+14	-18	8.4	8.4
	/162	664	22	3	243	306	411	+2.8	-3.8	1.8	pk7: 8
#4Rick Ankiellast yr '13 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,092 PA	8	2,092	76	21	242	303	426	+2	-5	6.3	6.5
	/162	664	24	7	242	303	426	+0.7	-1.6	2.0	pk7: 7
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 9 projected seasons	9	2,955	104	9	237	290	396	+11	-41	5.9	5.6
	/162	664	23	2	237	290	396	+2.4	-9.2	1.3	pk7: 5
#5Conor Gillaspielast yr '17 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,503 PA	5	1,503	32	1	252	305	394	+5	-14	2.2	2.2
	/162	664	14	0	252	305	394	+2.4	-6.1	1.0	pk7: 2
#6John Mayberry Jr.last yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,506 PA	6	1,506	54	15	234	298	417	-6	-18	1.7	1.7
	/162	664	24	7	234	298	417	-2.8	-8.1	0.8	pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jordan Diaz (OGILVIE)	25	50	44→49	33→38	37	241/297/409	168	281	13	2	23%	6%	99	+1.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Luis Torrens 2022 · MLB	26	46→47	54→55	45→30	46	238/296/415	177	289	22	3	26%	8%	98	+1.6	234/288/383	149	306	17	3	28%	7%	87	+0.8	227/280/355	128	284	13	2	24%	6%	75	+0.0
✕Wilin Rosario 2014 · MLB	25	45→49	54→60	43→45	40	241/275/410	169	281	23	6	24%	4%	89	+0.9	234/271/374	140	277	16	5	22%	5%	77	+0.1	236/269/379	143	273	18	3	21%	4%	72	-0.1
✕Josmil Pinto 2014 · MLB	25	52→59	52→55	40	48	262/320/430	168	311	19	2	22%	8%	112	+2.6	237/297/384	147	289	17	2	23%	7%	91	+1.1	217/277/352	136	266	16	0	24%	7%	71	-0.1
✕Welington Castillo 2012 · MLB	25	41→51	55	41→30	38	222/267/400	178	272	24	3	29%	5%	83	+0.6	245/316/396	151	310	18	3	26%	8%	102	+1.9	252/308/433	181	306	25	1	26%	7%	105	+1.4
✕Luis Gonzalez 2005 · MLB	26	53→58	52→50	37→40	44	271/315/442	170	308	20	5	19%	5%	113	+2.6	264/308/398	134	298	13	6	16%	5%	98	+1.6	265/308/386	120	299	11	4	15%	4%	94	+0.8
✕Chance Sisco 2020 · MLB	25	44→54	51→50	41→40	44	222/308/378	155	297	19	3	30%	8%	95	+1.4	207/300/356	149	279	17	4	30%	9%	86	+0.8	174/281/301	128	241	13	0	31%	10%	63	-0.3
●Devin Mesoraco 2012 · MLB	24	44→49	53→60	42→40	44	230/284/406	176	271	20	3	24%	6%	92	+1.2	234/295/395	161	269	19	3	20%	7%	93	+1.3	233/324/433	200	262	26	1	22%	9%	110	+1.3
✕Maikel Franco 2018 · MLB	25	46→55	54→55	45→40	49	242/295/416	173	255	22	2	16%	7%	98	+1.6	246/300/426	180	255	24	2	15%	7%	103	+1.9	251/305/434	183	258	25	1	14%	7%	94	+0.9
●Sean Murphy 2020 · MLB	25	43→50	53→60	45→30	45	227/287/403	175	272	20	4	25%	7%	92	+1.2	237/322/431	194	286	23	3	25%	10%	114	+2.7	242/337/441	199	283	23	0	22%	10%	120	+2.6
●Renato Núñez 2020 · MLB	26	44→51	56→60	43→30	45	236/298/421	184	280	25	3	26%	7%	102	+1.8	242/310/452	210	289	29	3	27%	7%	115	+2.8	236/309/467	231	279	34	1	28%	7%	117	+1.6
✕Francisco Mejía 2021 · MLB	25	45→55	51→55	46→40	41	234/284/397	163	276	18	4	23%	5%	89	+1.0	242/288/399	157	286	16	3	21%	5%	91	+1.1	243/283/402	159	288	16	0	21%	4%	88	+0.4
✕James Darnell 2012 · MLB	25	49→53	55	46→40	50	253/318/440	188	288	23	4	21%	8%	115	+2.7	231/290/390	159	279	19	6	24%	7%	90	+1.0	208/285/376	168	235	23	3	23%	8%	83	+0.1
✕Jose Miranda 2023 · MLB	25	53→57	51→50	40	45	267/316/427	160	298	19	3	18%	5%	110	+2.4	245/293/371	126	283	13	4	18%	5%	85	+0.7	230/275/350	120	270	11	2	19%	4%	69	-0.2
✕Ryan Lavarnway 2013 · MLB	25	44→45	49→55	45→30	46	227/290/370	143	279	17	2	25%	7%	85	+0.7	236/298/339	103	290	10	3	21%	7%	79	+0.3	231/300/392	161	282	20	0	25%	7%	90	+0.4
✕Mike Brosseau 2020 · MLB	26	49→56	51→55	44→45	44	250/307/413	163	295	19	8	22%	6%	103	+1.9	238/312/407	169	302	21	8	27%	8%	104	+2.0	218/297/354	136	277	20	3	28%	8%	82	+0.2
✕Matthew Brown 2009 · MLB	26	45→49	52→55	41→45	42	235/285/407	172	292	19	6	27%	6%	92	+1.2	204/258/343	139	271	15	6	30%	6%	64	-0.8	180/239/303	123	244	13	4	31%	6%	43	-1.1
✕Oscar Gonzalez 2023 · MLB	25	52→56	55	40	39	271/300/455	185	313	24	3	22%	4%	111	+2.5	250/281/401	151	313	16	6	25%	4%	88	+0.9	243/274/385	142	311	14	5	26%	3%	78	+0.1
✕Dayan Viciedo 2015 · MLB	26	47→52	52→55	40	44	243/291/409	166	278	21	2	22%	6%	95	+1.4	244/296/384	140	291	15	4	21%	6%	90	+1.0	257/303/359	102	314	9	0	20%	5%	81	+0.2
✕Luis Urías 2023 · MLB	26	47→57	53→55	43→45	54	244/335/417	174	281	21	4	21%	10%	116	+2.8	221/317/358	137	264	16	6	22%	10%	94	+1.3	226/309/345	119	258	14	6	18%	9%	85	+0.4
●Jorge Cantu 2007 · MLB	25	51→61	54→60	45→40	44	262/301/440	178	288	22	3	18%	5%	108	+2.3	263/315/428	165	295	18	4	17%	6%	110	+2.4	271/326/436	165	299	18	3	16%	6%	111	+2.6