Jordan Diaz
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 22 | AAAOAK | 169 | .308/.351/.506 | 6 | 0 | 102 | — | .280/.310/.422 | |
| 2023 | 22 | MLBOakland Athle… | 293 | .221/.274/.364 | 10 | 0 | 83 | -0.4 | ||
| 2024 | 23 | AAA/INTL2 orgs | 527 | .289/.349/.491 | 23 | 1 | 105 | — | .278/.329/.447 | |
| 2025 | 24 | INTLGigantes del … | 21 | .143/.143/.286 | 1 | 0 | 12 | — | ||
| 2026 | 25 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2017 | 16 | ROK | DSL Athletics | — | 177 | 164 | 40 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 26 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 244 | 283 | 287 | 570 | 43 | 282 | 15 | 3 | 256 | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 17 | ROK | AZL Athletics | — | 186 | 159 | 44 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 19 | 22 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 277 | 375 | 390 | 765 | 113 | 312 | 12 | 10 | 345 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 19 | INTL | Colombia | — | 20 | 19 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 368 | 368 | 526 | 895 | 158 | 389 | 10 | 0 | 374 | 139 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 20 | A+ | Lansing Lugnuts | — | 365 | 333 | 96 | 24 | 1 | 13 | 25 | 58 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 288 | 342 | 483 | 825 | 195 | 311 | 16 | 7 | 359 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 21 | MLB | Oakland Athletics | — | 51 | 49 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 265 | 294 | 327 | 621 | 61 | 310 | 14 | 4 | 280 | 75 | -2 | +0 | -3 | +2 | +1 | -0.1 |
| 2022 | 21 | AAA | Las Vegas Aviators | — | 120 | 112 | 39 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 348 | 387 | 545 | 931 | 196 | 372 | 12 | 5 | 406 | 130 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 21 | AA | Midland RockHounds | — | 407 | 379 | 121 | 26 | 0 | 15 | 22 | 61 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 319 | 363 | 507 | 870 | 187 | 348 | 15 | 5 | 382 | 119 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 21 | INTL | Colombia | — | 40 | 34 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 265 | 375 | 441 | 816 | 176 | 286 | 12 | 15 | 366 | 134 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | MLB | Oakland Athletics | — | 293 | 272 | 60 | 9 | 0 | 10 | 17 | 69 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 221 | 274 | 364 | 638 | 143 | 258 | 24 | 6 | 285 | 83 | -6 | -0 | -6 | +2 | +6 | -0.4 |
| 2023 | 22 | AAA | Las Vegas Aviators | — | 169 | 156 | 48 | 13 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 30 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 308 | 351 | 506 | 858 | 199 | 347 | 18 | 6 | 374 | 102 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 23 | AAA | Las Vegas Aviators | — | 436 | 395 | 119 | 22 | 1 | 22 | 34 | 78 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 301 | 364 | 529 | 893 | 228 | 327 | 18 | 8 | 390 | 113 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 23 | INTL | Naranjeros de Hermosillo | — | 91 | 86 | 20 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 233 | 275 | 314 | 589 | 81 | 292 | 22 | 5 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 24 | INTL | Gigantes del Cibao | — | 21 | 21 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 143 | 143 | 286 | 429 | 143 | 182 | 43 | 0 | 185 | 12 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 344 | 321 | 73 | 12 | 0 | 10 | 19 | 76 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 227 | 277 | 358 | 635 | 131 | 267 | 22 | 6 | 284 | 79 | -9 | -0 | -9 | +4 | +7 | -0.7 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2017 | 16 | ROK MLE | DSL Athletics | — | 177 | 166 | 27 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 32 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 163 | 197 | 187 | 383 | 24 | 191 | 18 | 2 | 174 | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 17 | ROK MLE | AZL Athletics | — | 186 | 166 | 35 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 32 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 211 | 288 | 289 | 577 | 78 | 253 | 17 | 6 | 261 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 20 | A+ MLE | Lansing Lugnuts | — | 365 | 339 | 88 | 19 | 1 | 11 | 19 | 78 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 260 | 303 | 419 | 722 | 159 | 297 | 21 | 5 | 312 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 21 | MLB MLE | Oakland Athletics | — | 51 | 49 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 265 | 294 | 327 | 621 | 61 | 310 | 14 | 4 | 279 | 75 | -2 | +0 | -3 | +2 | +1 | -0.1 |
| 2022 | 21 | AAA MLE | Las Vegas Aviators | — | 120 | 114 | 38 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 333 | 361 | 491 | 853 | 158 | 364 | 15 | 3 | 361 | 130 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 21 | AA MLE | Midland RockHounds | — | 407 | 384 | 112 | 23 | 0 | 15 | 17 | 75 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 292 | 328 | 469 | 797 | 177 | 326 | 18 | 4 | 344 | 119 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | MLB MLE | Oakland Athletics | — | 293 | 272 | 61 | 9 | 0 | 11 | 17 | 69 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 224 | 277 | 379 | 656 | 154 | 258 | 24 | 6 | 291 | 83 | -6 | -0 | -6 | +2 | +6 | -0.4 |
| 2023 | 22 | AAA MLE | Las Vegas Aviators | — | 169 | 161 | 45 | 11 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 35 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 280 | 310 | 422 | 732 | 143 | 328 | 21 | 4 | 319 | 102 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 23 | AAA MLE | Las Vegas Aviators | — | 436 | 403 | 112 | 18 | 1 | 16 | 26 | 92 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 278 | 329 | 447 | 776 | 169 | 321 | 21 | 6 | 335 | 113 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 16 | ROK MLE | DSL Athletics | — | 177 | 166 | 27 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 32 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 163 | 197 | 187 | 383 | 24 | 196 | 18 | 2 | 174 | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 16 | ROK RAW | DSL Athletics | — | 177 | 164 | 40 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 26 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 244 | 283 | 287 | 570 | 43 | 282 | 15 | 3 | 256 | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 17 | ROK MLE | AZL Athletics | — | 186 | 166 | 35 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 32 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 211 | 288 | 289 | 577 | 78 | 252 | 17 | 6 | 261 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 17 | ROK RAW | AZL Athletics | — | 186 | 159 | 44 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 19 | 22 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 277 | 375 | 390 | 765 | 113 | 312 | 12 | 10 | 345 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 19 | INTL MLE | Colombia | — | 20 | 19 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 368 | 368 | 526 | 895 | 158 | 389 | 10 | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 19 | INTL RAW | Colombia | — | 20 | 19 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 368 | 368 | 526 | 895 | 158 | 389 | 10 | 0 | 374 | 139 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 20 | A+ MLE | Lansing Lugnuts | — | 365 | 339 | 88 | 19 | 1 | 11 | 19 | 78 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 260 | 303 | 419 | 722 | 159 | 302 | 21 | 5 | 312 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 20 | A+ RAW | Lansing Lugnuts | — | 365 | 333 | 96 | 24 | 1 | 13 | 25 | 58 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 288 | 342 | 483 | 825 | 195 | 311 | 16 | 7 | 359 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 21 | AA MLE | 4 teams | — | 618 | 585 | 173 | 35 | 1 | 19 | 25 | 107 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 296 | 330 | 456 | 786 | 161 | 333 | 17 | 4 | 342 | 117 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 21 | AA RAW | 4 teams | — | 618 | 574 | 182 | 40 | 1 | 20 | 36 | 88 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 317 | 363 | 495 | 857 | 178 | 345 | 14 | 6 | 377 | 117 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 462 | 433 | 105 | 19 | 0 | 15 | 23 | 104 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 242 | 287 | 390 | 677 | 148 | 285 | 23 | 5 | 302 | 90 | -5 | -1 | -6 | +2 | +10 | -0.1 |
| 2023 | 22 | MLB RAW | 2 teams | — | 462 | 428 | 108 | 22 | 0 | 16 | 27 | 99 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 252 | 302 | 416 | 718 | 164 | 292 | 21 | 6 | 317 | 90 | -5 | -1 | -6 | +2 | +10 | -0.1 |
| 2024 | 23 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 527 | 489 | 135 | 22 | 1 | 19 | 31 | 111 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 276 | 326 | 442 | 767 | 166 | 321 | 21 | 6 | 335 | 113 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 23 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 527 | 481 | 139 | 26 | 1 | 23 | 39 | 98 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 289 | 349 | 491 | 839 | 202 | 320 | 19 | 7 | 369 | 113 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 24 | INTL MLE | Gigantes del Cibao | — | 21 | 21 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 143 | 143 | 286 | 429 | 143 | 182 | 43 | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 24 | INTL RAW | Gigantes del Cibao | — | 21 | 21 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 143 | 143 | 286 | 429 | 143 | 182 | 43 | 0 | 185 | 12 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 16 | ROK MLE | DSL Athletics | — | 177 | 168 | 27 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 32 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 161 | 197 | 185 | 381 | 24 | 191 | 18 | 2 | 174 | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 17 | ROK MLE | AZL Athletics | — | 186 | 166 | 35 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 32 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 211 | 288 | 289 | 577 | 78 | 253 | 17 | 6 | 261 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 20 | A+ MLE | Lansing Lugnuts | — | 365 | 341 | 88 | 19 | 1 | 11 | 19 | 78 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 258 | 303 | 416 | 719 | 158 | 297 | 21 | 5 | 312 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 21 | AA MLE | 4 teams | — | 618 | 583 | 173 | 35 | 1 | 19 | 25 | 107 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 297 | 330 | 458 | 788 | 161 | 332 | 17 | 4 | 342 | 117 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 462 | 432 | 105 | 19 | 0 | 15 | 23 | 104 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 243 | 287 | 391 | 678 | 148 | 283 | 23 | 5 | 302 | 90 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 23 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 527 | 486 | 135 | 22 | 1 | 19 | 31 | 111 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 278 | 326 | 444 | 770 | 167 | 321 | 21 | 6 | 335 | 113 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 23 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 527 | 486 | 135 | 22 | 1 | 19 | 31 | 111 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 278 | 326 | 444 | 770 | 167 | 321 | 21 | 6 | 335 | 113 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 344 | 321 | 73 | 12 | 0 | 10 | 19 | 76 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 227 | 277 | 358 | 635 | 131 | 267 | 22 | 6 | 284 | 91 | -9 | -0 | -9 | +4 | +7 | -0.7 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 607 | 138 | 23 | 0 | 19 | 36 | 144 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 227 | 278 | 359 | 637 | 132 | 267 | 22 | 6 | 284 | 91 | -17 | -1 | -17 | +7 | +14 | -1.3 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2376 | 2218 | 573 | 110 | 4 | 66 | 114 | 475 | 25 | 8 | 7 | 258 | 302 | 401 | 703 | 142 | 299 | 20 | 5 | 303 | 91 | -9 | -0 | -9 | +4 | +7 | -0.7 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 607 | 157 | 30 | 1 | 18 | 31 | 130 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 259 | 302 | 400 | 703 | 142 | 300 | 20 | 5 | 303 | 91 | -17 | -1 | -17 | +7 | +14 | -1.3 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2024 AAALas Vegas Aviators · 436 PAwOBA .381 → .335 (−46)K% 17.9% → 21.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.89% | ÷1.022 | ×1.200 | — | — | 21.01% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.80% | ÷0.952 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.048 | 5.92% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.15% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.048 | 1.13% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.34% | ÷0.974 | ×0.930 | ×1.050 | ×1.048 | 24.52% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.94% | ÷1.088 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×1.048 | 5.83% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.32% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | ×1.050 | ×1.048 | 0.29% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.94% | ÷1.001 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.048 | 5.09% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 100, 1B 95, 2B 118, 3B 130, K 104, BB 90 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .381 → .335; ISO .228 → .172; BABIP .327 → .321. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AAALas Vegas Aviators · 169 PAwOBA .363 → .319 (−45)K% 17.8% → 20.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.75% | ÷1.017 | ×1.200 | — | — | 20.94% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.33% | ÷1.055 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.050 | 3.66% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.59% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.050 | 0.58% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.02% | ÷0.993 | ×0.930 | ×1.041 | ×1.050 | 23.56% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.32% | ÷1.124 | ×0.830 | ×1.041 | ×1.050 | 8.33% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.133 | ×0.970 | ×1.041 | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.76% | ÷0.996 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.050 | 3.52% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 99, 1B 99, 2B 125, 3B 127, K 103, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.041.
Result: wOBA .363 → .319; ISO .199 → .153; BABIP .347 → .328. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AAMidland RockHounds · 407 PAwOBA .373 → .344 (−29)K% 15.0% → 18.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.99% | ÷0.995 | ×1.220 | — | — | 18.37% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.41% | ÷0.968 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.042 | 4.08% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.98% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×1.042 | 0.89% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.16% | ÷1.067 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×1.042 | 23.73% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.18% | ÷1.007 | ×0.840 | ×1.050 | ×1.042 | 7.46% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.931 | ×0.940 | ×1.050 | ×1.042 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.72% | ÷0.793 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.042 | 4.96% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 59, 1B 113, 2B 101, 3B 86, K 99, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 24.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .373 → .344; ISO .187 → .184; BABIP .348 → .326. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AAALas Vegas Aviators · 120 PAwOBA .397 → .361 (−37)K% 12.5% → 14.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 12.50% | ÷1.009 | ×1.200 | — | — | 14.86% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.00% | ÷0.992 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.050 | 3.65% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.83% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.050 | 0.82% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.80% | ÷0.995 | ×0.930 | ×1.050 | ×1.050 | 27.61% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.25% | ÷1.088 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×1.050 | 6.94% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.03% | ÷0.900 | ×0.970 | ×1.050 | ×1.050 | 1.22% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.12% | ÷1.075 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.050 | 2.82% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 115, 1B 99, 2B 118, 3B 80, K 102, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .397 → .361; ISO .196 → .154; BABIP .372 → .364. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 A+Lansing Lugnuts · 365 PAwOBA .353 → .312 (−41)K% 15.9% → 21.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.89% | ÷0.998 | ×1.350 | — | — | 21.50% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.85% | ÷0.938 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.027 | 5.33% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.55% | — | ×0.810 | — | ×1.027 | 0.46% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.09% | ÷0.961 | ×0.910 | ×1.047 | ×1.027 | 21.46% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.73% | ÷1.066 | ×0.830 | ×1.047 | ×1.027 | 7.30% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.36% | ÷1.150 | ×0.820 | ×1.047 | ×1.027 | 0.28% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.73% | ÷0.959 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.027 | 4.20% |
Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 92, 1B 92, 2B 113, 3B 130, K 100, BB 88 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.047.
Result: wOBA .353 → .312; ISO .195 → .163; BABIP .311 → .297. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 ROKAZL Athletics · 186 PAwOBA .341 → .261 (−79)K% 11.8% → 17.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 11.83% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 17.03% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.22% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×1.022 | 6.48% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.23% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×1.022 | 2.37% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.90% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | ×1.007 | ×1.022 | 18.48% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.03% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×1.007 | ×1.022 | 5.95% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.46% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×1.007 | ×1.022 | 1.08% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.73% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.022 | 0.58% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 19.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.007.
Result: wOBA .341 → .261; ISO .113 → .085; BABIP .312 → .253. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 DSLDSL Athletics · 177 PAwOBA .255 → .174 (−81)K% 14.7% → 17.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.69% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 17.92% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 3.39% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.022 | 2.43% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.69% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×1.022 | 1.21% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.91% | ÷1.000 | ×0.680 | ×0.995 | ×1.022 | 16.54% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.07% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | ×0.995 | ×1.022 | 3.10% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | ×0.995 | ×1.022 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.470 | — | ×1.022 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 18.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.995.
Result: wOBA .255 → .174; ISO .043 → .026; BABIP .282 → .191. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .