Jordan Diaz — OGILVIE

Jordan Diaz3B Gigantes del Cibao

Age 25 R/R 5'9" / 175 lbs INTL HR -5% Svc 4.000 · Ctrl thru 2027

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 350 proj PA

wRC+†98

AVG/OBP/SLG.240 / .295 / .410

PA28

HR1

K%23

BB%6

ISO172

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control-$2M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 49 / POW 49

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2022-2023

CONTACT49

Whiff%

1215.3%

xAVG

120.220

POWER49

Barrel%

295.5

Avg EV

5689.5

Bat Spd

6873.2

EYE37

Chase%

1041.6%

SPEED38

Sprint

1025.3

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Arb-2

MLB Debut 2022

Service 4.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2027

First FA Year 2028

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Arb-2	$0.2M	—	—	—
2027	Arb-3	$5M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$0.0M		$1M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2017	16	ROK	DSL Athletics	—	177	164	40	7	0	0	6	26	3	3	0	244	283	287	570	43	282	15	3	256	59	-9	+1	—	—	+4	-0.4
2018	17	ROK	AZL Athletics	—	186	159	44	11	2	1	19	22	6	0	2	277	375	390	765	113	312	12	10	345	120	+4	-1	—	—	+4	0.8
2020	19	INTL	Colombia	—	20	19	7	3	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	368	368	526	895	158	389	10	0	374	139	+1	+0	—	—	+0	0.1
2021	20	A+	Lansing Lugnuts	—	365	333	96	24	1	13	25	58	2	2	3	288	342	483	825	195	311	16	7	359	129	+13	-1	—	—	+8	2.0
2022	21	MLB	Oakland Athletics	—	51	49	13	3	0	0	2	7	0	0	0	265	294	327	621	61	310	14	4	280	76	-1	+0	-3	+2	+1	-0.1
2022	21	AAA	Las Vegas Aviators	—	120	112	39	8	1	4	6	15	1	0	0	348	387	545	931	196	372	12	5	406	161	+9	+0	—	—	+3	1.1
2022	21	AA	Midland RockHounds	—	407	379	121	26	0	15	22	61	4	0	0	319	363	507	870	187	348	15	5	382	144	+21	+0	—	—	+9	3.1
2022	21	INTL	Colombia	—	40	34	9	3	0	1	6	5	0	2	0	265	375	441	816	176	286	12	15	366	134	+2	+0	—	—	+1	0.3
2023	22	MLB	Oakland Athletics	—	293	272	60	9	0	10	17	69	3	0	1	221	274	364	638	143	258	24	6	285	79	-7	-0	-6	+2	+6	-0.6
2023	22	AAA	Las Vegas Aviators	—	169	156	48	13	0	6	10	30	1	0	1	308	351	506	858	199	347	18	6	374	139	+8	-0	—	—	+4	1.1
2024	23	AAA	Las Vegas Aviators	—	436	395	119	22	1	22	34	78	5	0	0	301	364	529	893	228	327	18	8	390	150	+26	+0	—	—	+9	3.6
2024	23	INTL	Naranjeros de Hermosillo	—	91	86	20	4	0	1	5	20	0	1	0	233	275	314	589	81	292	22	5	267	67	-4	+0	—	—	+2	-0.1
2025	24	INTL	Gigantes del Cibao	—	21	21	3	0	0	1	0	9	0	0	0	143	143	286	429	143	182	43	0	185	12	-2	+0	—	—	+0	-0.2
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	344	321	73	12	0	10	19	76	3	0	1	227	277	358	635	131	267	22	6	284	79	-9	-0	-9	+4	+7	-0.7
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2017	16	ROK MLE	DSL Athletics	—	177	166	31	5	0	0	4	38	3	3	0	187	220	217	437	30	225	21	2	191	15	-18	+1	—	—	+4	-1.4
2018	17	ROK MLE	AZL Athletics	—	186	166	35	8	1	1	12	32	6	0	2	211	288	289	577	78	247	17	6	256	59	-9	-1	—	—	+4	-0.6
2021	20	A+ MLE	Lansing Lugnuts	—	365	339	87	19	1	11	19	78	2	2	3	257	300	416	716	159	289	21	5	305	93	-3	-1	—	—	+8	0.4
2022	21	MLB MLE	Oakland Athletics	—	51	49	13	3	0	0	2	7	0	0	0	265	294	327	621	61	310	14	4	279	75	-2	+0	-3	+2	+1	-0.1
2022	21	AAA MLE	Las Vegas Aviators	—	120	114	34	6	1	3	4	19	1	0	0	298	328	447	775	149	335	16	3	335	113	+2	+0	—	—	+3	0.5
2022	21	AA MLE	Midland RockHounds	—	407	385	111	23	0	15	16	75	4	0	0	288	323	465	788	177	320	18	4	334	112	+6	+0	—	—	+9	1.5
2023	22	MLB MLE	Oakland Athletics	—	293	272	61	9	0	11	17	69	3	0	1	224	277	379	656	154	258	24	6	290	83	-6	-0	-6	+2	+6	-0.5
2023	22	AAA MLE	Las Vegas Aviators	—	169	161	42	10	0	5	6	38	1	0	1	261	292	416	708	155	303	22	4	298	88	-2	-0	—	—	+4	0.1
2024	23	AAA MLE	Las Vegas Aviators	—	436	404	105	17	1	17	25	99	5	0	0	260	311	433	744	173	297	23	6	317	101	+0	+0	—	—	+9	1.0
2017	16	ROK MLE	DSL Athletics	—	177	166	31	5	0	0	4	38	3	3	0	187	220	217	437	30	235	21	2	191	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	16	ROK RAW	DSL Athletics	—	177	164	40	7	0	0	6	26	3	3	0	244	283	287	570	43	282	15	3	256	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	17	ROK MLE	AZL Athletics	—	186	166	35	8	1	1	12	32	6	0	2	211	288	289	577	78	252	17	6	256	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	17	ROK RAW	AZL Athletics	—	186	159	44	11	2	1	19	22	6	0	2	277	375	390	765	113	312	12	10	345	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	19	INTL MLE	Colombia	—	20	19	7	3	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	368	368	526	895	158	389	10	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	19	INTL RAW	Colombia	—	20	19	7	3	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	368	368	526	895	158	389	10	0	374	139	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	20	A+ MLE	Lansing Lugnuts	—	365	339	87	19	1	11	19	78	2	2	3	257	300	416	716	159	298	21	5	305	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	20	A+ RAW	Lansing Lugnuts	—	365	333	96	24	1	13	25	58	2	2	3	288	342	483	825	195	311	16	7	359	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	AA MLE	4 teams	—	618	586	170	35	1	19	24	108	5	2	0	290	324	451	774	160	327	17	4	329	109	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	AA RAW	4 teams	—	618	574	182	40	1	20	36	88	5	2	0	317	363	495	857	178	345	14	6	377	109	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	462	433	103	19	0	16	23	107	4	0	2	238	283	393	675	155	279	23	5	293	84	-9	-1	-6	+2	+10	-0.4
2023	22	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	462	428	108	22	0	16	27	99	4	0	2	252	302	416	718	164	292	21	6	317	84	-9	-1	-6	+2	+10	-0.4
2024	23	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	527	489	125	20	1	20	31	119	5	1	0	256	307	423	730	168	298	23	6	317	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	527	481	139	26	1	23	39	98	5	1	0	289	349	491	839	202	320	19	7	369	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	INTL MLE	Gigantes del Cibao	—	21	21	3	0	0	1	0	9	0	0	0	143	143	286	429	143	182	43	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	INTL RAW	Gigantes del Cibao	—	21	21	3	0	0	1	0	9	0	0	0	143	143	286	429	143	182	43	0	185	12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	16	ROK MLE	DSL Athletics	—	177	168	31	5	0	0	4	38	3	3	0	185	220	214	434	30	225	21	2	191	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	17	ROK MLE	AZL Athletics	—	186	166	35	8	1	1	12	32	6	0	2	211	288	289	577	78	247	17	6	256	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	20	A+ MLE	Lansing Lugnuts	—	365	341	87	19	1	11	19	78	2	2	3	255	300	413	713	158	289	21	5	305	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	AA MLE	4 teams	—	618	584	170	35	1	19	24	108	5	2	0	291	324	452	776	161	322	17	4	329	109	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	462	432	103	19	0	16	23	107	4	0	2	238	283	394	676	155	274	23	5	293	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	527	486	125	20	1	20	31	119	5	1	0	257	307	426	733	169	297	23	6	317	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	22	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	462	432	103	19	0	16	23	107	4	0	2	238	283	394	676	155	274	23	5	293	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	527	486	125	20	1	20	31	119	5	1	0	257	307	426	733	169	297	23	6	317	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	25	MLB MLE	OAK	0%	28	26	6	1	0	1	2	6	0	0	0	231	286	385	670	154	280	21	7	314	98	-0	+0	-0	+0	+1	0.9
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	26	MLB MLE	OAK	42%	415	382	92	16	1	16	26	94	4	2	1	241	296	414	710	173	280	23	6	315	99	-0	+0	-2	+1	+9	0.8
2028	27	MLB MLE	OAK	58%	421	387	94	17	1	16	27	96	4	2	1	243	299	416	715	173	279	23	6	315	99	-0	+0	-2	+2	+9	0.8
2029	28	MLB MLE	OAK	67%	422	388	94	17	1	16	27	97	4	2	1	242	298	415	713	173	279	23	6	314	98	-1	+0	-3	+2	+9	0.7
2030	29	MLB MLE	OAK	69%	414	380	90	16	1	15	27	96	4	2	1	237	294	403	697	166	278	23	7	312	97	-1	+0	-4	+1	+9	0.5
2031	30	MLB MLE	OAK	70%	407	374	89	16	1	15	26	95	4	1	1	238	295	406	701	168	277	23	6	309	95	-2	-0	-4	+1	+9	0.4
2032	31	MLB MLE	OAK	71%	392	360	85	15	1	14	25	93	4	1	0	236	293	400	693	164	274	24	6	305	92	-4	+0	-5	+1	+8	0.2
2033	32	MLB MLE	OAK	71%	373	342	79	14	1	13	24	90	4	1	0	231	289	392	681	161	271	24	6	299	89	-5	+0	-6	+1	+8	-0.1
2034	33	MLB MLE	OAK	71%	343	315	71	12	1	11	22	84	3	1	0	225	282	375	657	149	267	24	6	292	84	-7	+0	-6	+1	+7	-0.4
2027	26	MLB CTX	OAK	42%	175	160	39	7	1	6	11	40	2	1	0	244	301	412	713	169	285	23	6	309	99	-0	+0	-1	+1	+4	0.4
2028	27	MLB CTX	OAK	58%	245	224	55	10	1	9	16	56	3	1	0	246	305	420	724	174	285	23	7	309	99	-0	+0	-1	+1	+5	0.5
2029	28	MLB CTX	OAK	67%	281	258	63	12	1	10	18	64	3	1	0	244	301	415	716	171	284	23	6	308	98	-1	+0	-2	+1	+6	0.5
2030	29	MLB CTX	OAK	69%	285	261	64	12	1	10	19	66	3	1	0	245	304	414	718	169	283	23	7	307	97	-1	+0	-3	+1	+6	0.4
2031	30	MLB CTX	OAK	70%	285	261	63	12	1	10	19	67	3	1	0	241	300	410	710	169	282	24	7	304	95	-2	+0	-3	+1	+6	0.3
2032	31	MLB CTX	OAK	71%	278	255	61	11	1	10	18	66	3	1	0	239	297	408	705	169	280	24	6	300	92	-3	+0	-4	+1	+6	0.1
2033	32	MLB CTX	OAK	71%	266	244	57	10	1	9	17	64	3	1	0	234	292	393	685	160	276	24	6	294	89	-4	+0	-4	+1	+6	-0.1
2034	33	MLB CTX	OAK	71%	245	225	51	9	0	8	16	60	2	0	0	227	284	373	657	147	272	24	7	287	84	-5	+0	-4	+1	+5	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2404	2209	526	95	7	82	153	559	25	7	1	238	295	399	694	161	282	23	6	300	91	-23	+1	-31	+11	+52	1.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	597	142	26	2	22	41	151	7	2	0	238	294	399	693	161	282	23	6	300	91	-6	+0	-8	+3	+14	0.3
Career	—	MLE		—	5591	5173	1261	233	12	185	319	1244	56	20	12	244	295	401	696	157	285	22	6	302	91	-29	+0	-41	+15	+77	2.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	601	147	27	1	22	37	145	7	2	1	245	296	403	699	158	285	22	6	302	91	-5	+0	-8	+3	+14	0.4

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Brandon Drurylast yr '24 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,110 PA	4.7	3,110	109	5	246	298	425	+4	+2	9.5	10.6
/162	664	23	1	+0.8	+0.5	2.0	pk7: 12
#2Maikel Francolast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,573 PA	5.4	3,573	130	5	244	293	414	+13	-5	9.3	9.6
/162	664	24	1	+2.4	-1.0	1.7	pk7: 10
#3Brad Millerlast yr '23 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,531 PA	5.3	3,531	123	43	236	314	416	+7	-38	8.8	9.4
/162	664	23	8	+1.4	-7.2	1.7	pk7: 10
#4Trevor Plouffelast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 3,178 PA	4.8	3,178	103	12	243	306	411	+14	-18	8.4	8.4
/162	664	22	3	+2.8	-3.8	1.8	pk7: 8
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	4.1	2,755	98	9	237	290	400	+10	-37	5.9	5.6
/162	664	24	2	+2.4	-8.8	1.4	pk7: 5
#5Jose Castillolast yr '08 career totals — 5 seasons, 2,059 PA	3.1	2,059	39	13	254	296	379	+7	-14	1.9	1.9
/162	664	13	4	+2.4	-4.5	0.6	pk7: 2
#6John Mayberry Jr.last yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,506 PA	2.3	1,506	54	15	234	298	417	-6	-18	1.7	1.7
/162	664	24	7	-2.8	-8.1	0.8	pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jordan Diaz (OGILVIE)	25	49	44→49	33→38	37	240/295/410	170	280	13	2	23%	6%	98	+0.7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Welington Castillo 2012 · MLB	25	41→51	53→55	41→30	39	220/268/388	168	270	22	3	28%	5%	82	+0.0	246/317/396	150	312	18	3	26%	8%	103	+1.5	253/309/434	181	307	25	1	26%	7%	105	+1.1
✕Jose Miranda 2023 · MLB	25	53→58	50	40	45	268/317/424	156	299	18	3	18%	5%	109	+2.0	243/292/368	125	280	13	4	18%	5%	86	+0.3	227/273/345	119	265	11	2	19%	4%	71	-0.4
✕Wilin Rosario 2015 · MLB	26	50→54	53→60	44→45	43	259/296/431	171	293	22	5	20%	5%	103	+1.5	247/285/396	149	299	17	6	23%	5%	90	+0.6	244/273/387	143	291	17	3	23%	3%	80	-0.1
✕Brendan Rodgers 2022 · MLB	25	51→54	50	47→45	43	258/305/413	155	305	18	3	22%	5%	101	+1.4	252/307/385	133	301	14	2	20%	7%	95	+1.0	248/304/371	123	302	12	0	21%	7%	90	+0.4
✕Renato Núñez 2020 · MLB	26	44→51	54→60	43→30	45	235/297/411	177	281	23	3	26%	7%	99	+1.2	235/304/428	193	286	26	3	27%	7%	105	+1.7	224/297/427	203	273	28	1	29%	7%	101	+0.7
✕Maikel Franco 2018 · MLB	25	47→56	53→55	45→40	49	242/295/411	169	256	21	2	16%	7%	97	+1.1	245/299/421	176	255	23	2	15%	7%	101	+1.4	249/304/428	178	258	24	1	14%	7%	92	+0.5
✕Dayan Viciedo 2014 · MLB	25	50→53	51→55	41→40	44	255/301/413	158	294	20	2	21%	6%	100	+1.3	243/292/396	153	285	18	2	21%	6%	93	+0.8	237/287/386	149	276	18	0	21%	5%	84	+0.1
✕Zach Lutz 2011 · AAA	25	47→48	51→55	39→30	47	238/310/398	161	301	19	3	27%	8%	100	+1.3	238/308/383	145	328	16	2	30%	8%	96	+1.0	233/311/364	131	319	13	0	29%	9%	91	+0.4
●Jonathan Schoop 2017 · MLB	25	48→56	53→60	42→45	39	251/285/423	172	292	22	3	23%	4%	97	+1.1	260/302/448	188	301	25	2	22%	5%	109	+2.0	271/318/457	186	314	25	1	22%	5%	115	+1.7
✕Yohel Pozo 2022 · MLB	25	50→55	52→55	47→40	41	257/278/418	162	269	21	4	15%	3%	93	+0.8	263/286/418	155	282	19	3	14%	3%	95	+1.0	265/285/416	151	279	18	1	13%	2%	92	+0.4
✕Chris Gimenez 2008 · AA	25	41→51	53→50	41→45	45	218/295/389	171	261	21	5	25%	7%	93	+0.8	230/306/367	137	295	15	4	26%	9%	91	+0.7	227/305/348	121	293	13	2	25%	9%	85	+0.1
✕Oscar Gonzalez 2023 · MLB	25	51→55	53→55	40	39	264/293/433	169	307	21	3	22%	4%	102	+1.5	245/277/389	144	308	15	6	25%	4%	85	+0.2	238/269/374	135	306	13	5	26%	3%	76	-0.2
✕Andrew Young 2020 · AAA	26	42→46	53→55	45→40	41	223/299/391	168	274	21	5	27%	5%	95	+1.0	215/297/391	176	302	21	5	34%	7%	95	+0.9	192/275/364	172	301	21	4	41%	7%	77	-0.2
✕John Buck 2006 · MLB	26	46→53	51→60	42→30	43	240/287/400	160	288	20	5	24%	6%	92	+0.7	235/303/400	165	278	19	2	22%	7%	98	+1.2	250/311/435	184	300	23	1	24%	7%	104	+1.1
✕Luis Gonzalez 2005 · MLB	26	53→58	52→50	37→40	44	271/315/442	170	308	20	5	19%	5%	112	+2.2	264/308/398	134	298	13	6	16%	5%	99	+1.2	265/308/386	120	299	11	4	15%	4%	94	+0.5
✕Diego Castillo 2023 · MLB	25	42→52	51→45	43→50	44	223/276/379	157	256	20	7	22%	6%	83	+0.1	234/306/338	104	288	9	10	20%	9%	84	+0.2	234/312/321	87	289	6	10	20%	10%	80	-0.1
●Jedd Gyorko 2014 · MLB	25	48→53	55→60	42→45	44	253/302/437	184	294	24	5	23%	6%	106	+1.8	238/297/407	169	277	23	3	23%	7%	97	+1.1	260/334/474	214	289	30	4	21%	10%	125	+2.3
●Sean Murphy 2020 · MLB	25	45→50	53→60	46→30	45	232/292/408	175	276	20	4	24%	7%	96	+1.0	239/324/437	198	287	24	3	25%	10%	114	+2.4	242/337/444	202	282	24	0	22%	10%	119	+2.2
✕Austin Allen 2020 · MLB	26	45→53	56→60	38→40	41	240/286/431	191	285	25	2	26%	5%	99	+1.3	238/281/414	176	292	23	3	26%	5%	93	+0.8	212/264/382	170	253	23	0	27%	5%	76	-0.2
✕Cheslor Cuthbert 2019 · MLB	26	48→56	49→50	42→45	47	241/299/386	145	282	17	4	21%	7%	93	+0.8	230/287/377	147	278	17	4	23%	7%	86	+0.3	218/277/363	145	261	17	1	24%	7%	77	-0.3

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps