MJ MelendezLF
Syracuse Mets
Age 27
L/R
6'0" / 190 lbs
AAA
H +5%HR +3%
Svc 3.087 · Ctrl thru 2028
wRC+†vL -882vR 84
AVG/OBP/SLG.205 / .270 / .382
PA534
HR18
SB10
K%29
BB%7
MLB%45%
Scouting · now → future
HIT
45→45
PWR
50→50
SPD
50→50
EYE
45→45
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.0peak
2027
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status Arb-1
MLB Debut 2022
Service 3.087 yrs.days
Team Control Through 2028
First FA Year 2027
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | Arb-1 | $2M | — | — | — |
| 2027 | Arb-2 | $0.4M | — | — | — |
| 2028 | Arb-3 | $0.6M | — | — | — |
| Totals | $-8M | $-8M | +$0.0M | ||
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 18 | ROK | AZL Royals | 198 | 178 | 31 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 86 | 4 | 4 | 2 | .174 | .258 | .275 | .533 | .101 | .315 | 43 | 8 | .233 | 37 | -14 | +0 | +0 | -2 | +6 | -1.1 |
| 2018 | 19 | A | Lexington Legends | 472 | 437 | 78 | 17 | 6 | 15 | 25 | 187 | 4 | 4 | 6 | .178 | .230 | .348 | .577 | .169 | .261 | 40 | 5 | .249 | 49 | -27 | -2 | +0 | -5 | +13 | -2.1 |
| 2019 | 20 | A+ | Wilmington Blue Rocks | 419 | 382 | 42 | 15 | 1 | 8 | 25 | 228 | 5 | 7 | 5 | .110 | .175 | .217 | .392 | .107 | .227 | 54 | 6 | .174 | -9 | -51 | -1 | +0 | -4 | +12 | -4.6 |
| 2021 | 22 | AA | 2 teams | 531 | 470 | 113 | 17 | 3 | 37 | 53 | 144 | 1 | 3 | 6 | .240 | .319 | .526 | .844 | .285 | .257 | 27 | 10 | .355 | 130 | +18 | -2 | +0 | -6 | +15 | 2.6 |
| 2022 | 23 | MLB | 2 teams | 625 | 542 | 109 | 24 | 3 | 20 | 75 | 158 | 1 | 5 | 3 | .201 | .299 | .367 | .667 | .166 | .240 | 25 | 12 | .292 | 82 | -13 | -0 | -17 | +11 | +18 | -0.2 |
| 2023 | 24 | MLB | Kansas City Royals | 602 | 533 | 123 | 29 | 5 | 15 | 62 | 170 | 3 | 6 | 4 | .231 | .314 | .388 | .703 | .158 | .307 | 28 | 10 | .308 | 94 | -4 | -0 | -10 | -6 | +17 | -0.4 |
| 2024 | 25 | MLB | Kansas City Royals | 451 | 413 | 84 | 22 | 2 | 18 | 35 | 113 | 3 | 4 | 4 | .203 | .271 | .397 | .668 | .194 | .234 | 25 | 8 | .287 | 78 | -11 | -1 | -7 | -5 | +13 | -1.1 |
| 2025 | 26 | AAA | 3 teams | 610 | 564 | 105 | 30 | 3 | 19 | 35 | 206 | 5 | 20 | 9 | .186 | .240 | .351 | .591 | .165 | .249 | 34 | 6 | .259 | 57 | -30 | +0 | +1 | -7 | +17 | -1.8 |
| ▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 27 | AAA | 2 teams | 74 | 69 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 24 | 0 | 1 | 3 | .217 | .270 | .435 | .705 | .217 | .286 | 32 | 7 | .295 | 84 | -1 | -1 | +0 | -1 | +2 | -0.1 |
| ROS | 27 | MLB | NYM | 460 | 420 | 87 | 22 | 3 | 16 | 34 | 134 | 3 | 9 | 5 | .207 | .271 | .388 | .659 | .181 | .260 | 29 | 7 | .292 | 82 | -9 | -0 | -4 | -5 | +13 | -0.6 |
| TOT | 27 | MLB | NYM | 534 | 489 | 102 | 26 | 4 | 19 | 39 | 158 | 3 | 10 | 8 | .209 | .271 | .395 | .666 | .186 | .264 | 30 | 7 | .293 | 82 | -11 | -1 | -4 | -6 | +15 | -0.7 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB 54% | NYM | 526 | 477 | 100 | 26 | 4 | 18 | 41 | 128 | 3 | 9 | 5 | .210 | .276 | .394 | .671 | .184 | .244 | 24 | 8 | .296 | 85 | -9 | -0 | -5 | -6 | +15 | -0.5 |
| 2028 | 29 | MLB 65% | NYM | 514 | 465 | 97 | 25 | 3 | 18 | 41 | 126 | 3 | 8 | 5 | .209 | .277 | .391 | .668 | .183 | .243 | 25 | 8 | .294 | 83 | -10 | -0 | -6 | -6 | +15 | -0.7 |
| 2029 | 30 | MLB 74% | NYM | 502 | 454 | 93 | 24 | 3 | 17 | 40 | 125 | 3 | 7 | 4 | .205 | .274 | .383 | .657 | .178 | .241 | 25 | 8 | .291 | 81 | -11 | -0 | -6 | -5 | +14 | -0.9 |
| 2030 | 31 | MLB 82% | NYM | 487 | 443 | 89 | 23 | 3 | 16 | 38 | 123 | 3 | 4 | 3 | .201 | .269 | .375 | .643 | .174 | .240 | 25 | 8 | .287 | 78 | -12 | -0 | -7 | -5 | +14 | -1.1 |
| 2031 | 32 | MLB 89% | NYM | 468 | 425 | 85 | 22 | 3 | 15 | 37 | 121 | 3 | 2 | 2 | .200 | .269 | .372 | .641 | .172 | .238 | 26 | 8 | .282 | 74 | -14 | -0 | -7 | -5 | +13 | -1.3 |
| 2032 | 33 | MLB | NYM | 438 | 399 | 78 | 20 | 3 | 14 | 34 | 116 | 2 | 0 | 2 | .195 | .262 | .366 | .628 | .170 | .236 | 26 | 8 | .277 | 70 | -15 | -1 | -8 | -5 | +12 | -1.6 |
| 2033 | 34 | MLB | NYM | 392 | 357 | 67 | 17 | 2 | 12 | 30 | 107 | 2 | 0 | 1 | .188 | .254 | .347 | .602 | .160 | .233 | 27 | 8 | .270 | 65 | -16 | -0 | -8 | -4 | +11 | -1.8 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 7695 | 6959 | 1381 | 338 | 49 | 261 | 621 | 2272 | 48 | 92 | 66 | .198 | .269 | .374 | .642 | .175 | .250 | 30 | 8 | .282 | 74 | -229 | -8 | -85 | -65 | +218 | -17.2 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 588 | 117 | 29 | 4 | 22 | 52 | 192 | 4 | 8 | 6 | .199 | .268 | .374 | .642 | .175 | .251 | 30 | 8 | .282 | 74 | -19 | -1 | -7 | -5 | +18 | -1.5 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 18 | ROK | AZL Royals | 198 | 168 | 44 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 60 | 4 | 4 | 2 | .262 | .374 | .417 | .790 | .155 | .385 | 30 | 13 | .357 | 132 | +7 | +0 | — | — | +6 | 1.3 |
| 2018 | 19 | A | Lexington Legends | 472 | 419 | 105 | 26 | 9 | 19 | 43 | 143 | 4 | 4 | 6 | .251 | .326 | .492 | .818 | .241 | .327 | 30 | 9 | .353 | 128 | +15 | -2 | — | — | +13 | 2.7 |
| 2019 | 20 | A+ | Wilmington Blue Rocks | 419 | 363 | 59 | 23 | 2 | 9 | 44 | 165 | 5 | 7 | 5 | .163 | .262 | .311 | .573 | .149 | .259 | 39 | 11 | .259 | 56 | -21 | -1 | — | — | +12 | -1.0 |
| 2021 | 22 | AAA | Omaha Storm Chasers | 184 | 150 | 44 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 32 | 39 | 0 | 1 | 2 | .293 | .418 | .620 | 1.038 | .327 | .310 | 21 | 17 | .441 | 195 | +20 | -1 | — | — | +5 | 2.5 |
| 2021 | 22 | AA | Northwest Arkansas Naturals | 347 | 298 | 85 | 18 | 0 | 28 | 43 | 76 | 1 | 2 | 4 | .285 | .377 | .628 | 1.005 | .342 | .286 | 22 | 12 | .425 | 183 | +33 | -1 | — | — | +10 | 4.2 |
| 2022 | 23 | MLB | Kansas City Royals | 534 | 460 | 100 | 21 | 3 | 18 | 66 | 131 | 1 | 2 | 3 | .217 | .317 | .393 | .710 | .176 | .258 | 25 | 12 | .316 | 100 | -0 | -1 | -17 | +11 | +15 | 0.8 |
| 2022 | 23 | AAA | Omaha Storm Chasers | 91 | 78 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 22 | 0 | 3 | 0 | .167 | .286 | .295 | .581 | .128 | .204 | 24 | 14 | .271 | 66 | -4 | +1 | — | — | +3 | -0.0 |
| 2023 | 24 | MLB | Kansas City Royals | 602 | 533 | 125 | 29 | 5 | 16 | 62 | 170 | 3 | 6 | 4 | .235 | .318 | .398 | .715 | .163 | .311 | 28 | 10 | .319 | 102 | +1 | -0 | -10 | -6 | +17 | 0.2 |
| 2024 | 25 | MLB | Kansas City Royals | 451 | 412 | 85 | 23 | 3 | 17 | 35 | 113 | 3 | 4 | 4 | .206 | .273 | .400 | .673 | .194 | .241 | 25 | 8 | .298 | 86 | -7 | -1 | -7 | -5 | +13 | -0.7 |
| 2025 | 26 | MLB | Kansas City Royals | 65 | 60 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 23 | 2 | 0 | 0 | .083 | .154 | .167 | .321 | .083 | .111 | 35 | 5 | .154 | -24 | -9 | +0 | +1 | -7 | +2 | -1.3 |
| 2025 | 26 | AAA | Omaha Storm Chasers | 480 | 433 | 113 | 33 | 3 | 20 | 39 | 135 | 3 | 20 | 8 | .261 | .326 | .490 | .816 | .229 | .329 | 28 | 8 | .354 | 129 | +16 | +1 | — | — | +14 | 3.1 |
| 2025 | 26 | INTL | Criollos de Caguas | 65 | 55 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .164 | .281 | .200 | .481 | .036 | .209 | 20 | 14 | .234 | 37 | -5 | -0 | — | — | +2 | -0.3 |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | 1652 | 1465 | 315 | 75 | 11 | 52 | 166 | 437 | 9 | 12 | 11 | .215 | .299 | .388 | .686 | .173 | .266 | 26 | 10 | .306 | 92 | -15 | -2 | -33 | -7 | +47 | -1.0 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| MJ Melendez (OGILVIE) | 27 | 45 | 50 | 50 | 45 | .205/.270/.382 | .177 | .257 | 18 | 11 | 29% | 7% | 80 | +0.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕Luke Allen 2006 · AAA |
27 | 44→43 | 52→50 | 53→45 | 46 | .231/.282/.393 | .163 | .266 | 20 | 13 | 22% | 7% | 87 | +0.8 | .238/.285/.368 | .130 | .284 | 14 | 7 | 21% | 6% | 81 | +0.4 | .246/.293/.355 | .109 | .292 | 11 | 2 | 19% | 6% | 79 | +0.2 |
|
✕Travis Blankenhorn 2023 · MLB |
26 | 44→43 | 51→55 | 49→50 | 41 | .225/.284/.382 | .157 | .302 | 19 | 12 | 32% | 7% | 85 | +0.7 | .208/.276/.381 | .173 | .269 | 22 | 5 | 31% | 7% | 82 | +0.5 | .184/.258/.359 | .175 | .232 | 23 | 1 | 31% | 7% | 66 | -0.4 |
|
✕Daniel Johnson 2022 · MLB |
27 | 43→49 | 52→55 | 49→55 | 40 | .221/.277/.393 | .171 | .301 | 20 | 11 | 33% | 6% | 85 | +0.7 | .212/.265/.360 | .148 | .287 | 18 | 15 | 32% | 6% | 71 | -0.3 | .226/.279/.389 | .163 | .272 | 20 | 21 | 25% | 6% | 82 | +0.4 |
|
✕Kody Clemens 2023 · MLB |
27 | 38→43 | 53→60 | 50→45 | 40 | .209/.256/.380 | .171 | .257 | 22 | 8 | 29% | 6% | 72 | -0.2 | .218/.274/.407 | .189 | .260 | 24 | 9 | 26% | 7% | 88 | +0.9 | .216/.278/.416 | .200 | .247 | 26 | 8 | 25% | 7% | 88 | +0.6 |
|
✕Grant Witherspoon 2023 · AAA |
26 | 44→45 | 52→55 | 49→50 | 41 | .227/.279/.394 | .166 | .299 | 21 | 13 | 31% | 6% | 86 | +0.8 | .208/.274/.347 | .139 | .301 | 16 | 12 | 34% | 8% | 72 | -0.2 | .173/.252/.292 | .119 | .260 | 15 | 11 | 37% | 9% | 46 | -0.8 |
|
✕Billy McKinney 2022 · MLB |
27 | 41→51 | 50→55 | 47→45 | 49 | .212/.287/.375 | .163 | .262 | 17 | 5 | 26% | 9% | 85 | +0.7 | .215/.296/.367 | .152 | .289 | 18 | 6 | 30% | 9% | 86 | +0.8 | .214/.299/.363 | .149 | .288 | 18 | 4 | 31% | 9% | 83 | +0.3 |
|
✕Brandon Allen 2013 · MLB |
27 | 42→47 | 53→55 | 49→50 | 48 | .218/.300/.396 | .177 | .288 | 21 | 9 | 31% | 10% | 95 | +1.4 | .220/.283/.372 | .152 | .277 | 17 | 6 | 26% | 8% | 82 | +0.5 | .215/.279/.359 | .144 | .264 | 16 | 5 | 25% | 8% | 75 | +0.0 |
|
✕Weston Wilson 2022 · AAA |
27 | 40→43 | 55 | 51→55 | 45 | .219/.283/.402 | .182 | .267 | 25 | 13 | 28% | 8% | 90 | +1.0 | .216/.279/.378 | .162 | .291 | 21 | 21 | 32% | 8% | 82 | +0.5 | .215/.294/.402 | .188 | .269 | 26 | 25 | 30% | 10% | 92 | +0.8 |
|
✕Stuart Fairchild 2023 · MLB |
27 | 44→43 | 53→50 | 50→55 | 42 | .227/.302/.402 | .174 | .300 | 21 | 13 | 30% | 7% | 98 | +1.6 | .225/.303/.374 | .149 | .296 | 16 | 19 | 28% | 8% | 92 | +1.2 | .217/.302/.357 | .140 | .282 | 15 | 25 | 27% | 8% | 83 | +0.3 |
|
✕Luis Liberato 2023 · AAA |
27 | 42→51 | 49→50 | 52→50 | 43 | .216/.276/.370 | .154 | .295 | 17 | 8 | 32% | 8% | 79 | +0.3 | .219/.281/.353 | .134 | .307 | 14 | 12 | 31% | 8% | 76 | +0.1 | .217/.282/.332 | .115 | .306 | 10 | 13 | 31% | 8% | 68 | -0.2 |
|
✕Dalton Kelly 2022 · AAA |
27 | 44→54 | 52→50 | 50 | 46 | .225/.302/.387 | .162 | .302 | 21 | 15 | 32% | 9% | 95 | +1.4 | .201/.276/.356 | .155 | .305 | 20 | 13 | 38% | 8% | 76 | +0.0 | .162/.248/.289 | .127 | .263 | 16 | 10 | 42% | 9% | 43 | -1.3 |
|
✕Doug DeVore 2005 · MLB |
27 | 47 | 50→55 | 49→45 | 45 | .236/.294/.390 | .154 | .296 | 17 | 9 | 26% | 7% | 91 | +1.1 | .234/.283/.399 | .165 | .301 | 20 | 7 | 28% | 6% | 89 | +0.9 | .232/.276/.398 | .167 | .292 | 21 | 5 | 28% | 5% | 85 | +0.5 |
|
✕Corey Julks 2023 · AAA |
27 | 43→51 | 53→55 | 52→55 | 41 | .226/.282/.397 | .171 | .285 | 22 | 18 | 29% | 6% | 89 | +0.9 | .232/.293/.373 | .141 | .295 | 16 | 20 | 26% | 7% | 86 | +0.8 | .235/.298/.359 | .123 | .298 | 12 | 21 | 24% | 8% | 81 | +0.3 |
|
✕Jason Cooper 2008 · AAA |
27 | 42→39 | 50→55 | 50→45 | 42 | .214/.273/.375 | .161 | .282 | 16 | 8 | 30% | 7% | 79 | +0.3 | .214/.282/.355 | .141 | .270 | 12 | 8 | 24% | 7% | 77 | +0.1 | .209/.292/.354 | .145 | .250 | 13 | 3 | 21% | 8% | 80 | +0.2 |
|
✕Tyler Colvin 2012 · MLB |
26 | 41→51 | 53→60 | 53→45 | 41 | .218/.262/.397 | .179 | .267 | 20 | 6 | 27% | 5% | 79 | +0.3 | .226/.272/.396 | .170 | .294 | 18 | 8 | 29% | 6% | 83 | +0.6 | .228/.275/.387 | .160 | .303 | 15 | 8 | 29% | 6% | 79 | +0.2 |
|
✕Brad Nelson 2010 · MLB |
27 | 41→48 | 49→50 | 44→50 | 46 | .215/.270/.362 | .147 | .250 | 18 | 9 | 23% | 7% | 74 | -0.1 | .215/.279/.363 | .148 | .255 | 18 | 4 | 23% | 8% | 78 | +0.2 | .215/.284/.369 | .153 | .257 | 19 | 2 | 24% | 8% | 80 | +0.3 |
|
✕Brian O'Grady 2019 · AAA |
27 | 40→39 | 48→60 | 52→50 | 45 | .204/.276/.351 | .147 | .273 | 15 | 13 | 30% | 8% | 74 | -0.1 | .217/.278/.403 | .186 | .291 | 23 | 15 | 32% | 7% | 89 | +0.9 | .201/.267/.390 | .189 | .270 | 24 | 17 | 34% | 7% | 78 | +0.2 |
|
✕Drew Robinson 2018 · MLB |
26 | 39→41 | 52→55 | 49→50 | 46 | .205/.281/.375 | .170 | .279 | 20 | 13 | 33% | 9% | 82 | +0.5 | .216/.291/.369 | .153 | .343 | 16 | 13 | 38% | 9% | 84 | +0.6 | .187/.269/.319 | .133 | .348 | 14 | 13 | 46% | 10% | 60 | -0.4 |
|
●Corey Brown 2013 · MLB |
27 | 45→49 | 52→60 | 52→50 | 41 | .230/.288/.399 | .168 | .315 | 19 | 13 | 32% | 7% | 91 | +1.1 | .214/.266/.385 | .171 | .299 | 21 | 13 | 34% | 6% | 78 | +0.2 | .208/.265/.393 | .186 | .292 | 24 | 17 | 37% | 7% | 78 | +0.2 |
|
✕Matt Cepicky 2005 · MLB |
27 | 46→43 | 49→50 | 50→30 | 41 | .233/.279/.382 | .149 | .294 | 17 | 9 | 27% | 6% | 82 | +0.5 | .221/.274/.361 | .140 | .289 | 14 | 4 | 27% | 7% | 75 | -0.0 | .209/.263/.348 | .139 | .275 | 14 | 2 | 29% | 7% | 66 | -0.4 |