CJ Alexander1B Sugar Land Space Cowboys
Age 30 L/R 6'3" / 215 lbs AAA H +4%HR -3% Svc 1.000 · Ctrl thru 2030
wRC+†75
AVG/OBP/SLG.212 / .267 / .368
PA250
HR8
K%32
BB%7
MLB%10%
BAT: -7.1 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-7BATRUN: -0.4 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)-0RUNFLD: -0.7 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)-1FLDPOS: -4.5 runs (Positional adjustment)-4POSREP: +7.1 runs (Replacement-level credit)+7REPTotal WAR: -0.60-0.6WAR
Scouting · nowfuture
HIT
4545
PWR
5555
SPD
4545
EYE
4450
trajectory · 10 yrs
-0.4peak
2027

Contract

ESTIMATED  ·  service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   Pre-Arb
MLB Debut   2025
Service   1.000 yrs.days
Team Control Through   2030
First FA Year   2031
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026Pre-Arb$0.8M
2027Pre-Arb$0.8M
2028Arb-1$0.3M
2029Arb-2$0.4M
2030Arb-3$0.7M
Totals $-17M $-17M +$0.0M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
201822 ROK2 teams 226205 56652 18611 42 .273.335.380.715 .107.375 278 .310 95 -1 +0 +0 -4 +6 0.1
201923 AA2 teams 152136 13202 15580 31 .096.185.154.340 .059.143 3810 .163 -17 -20 +0 +0 -3 +4 -1.9
202125 AAMississippi Braves 330314 5013411 141371 141 .159.198.331.529 .172.234 424 .226 31 -26 +2 +0 -6 +9 -2.0
202226 AANorthwest Arkansas Naturals 490463 10113224 181462 194 .218.251.410.661 .192.257 304 .281 73 -15 +2 +0 -9 +14 -0.8
202327 AAA3 teams 394363 6917117 231363 42 .190.244.383.627 .193.242 356 .265 61 -17 +0 +0 -7 +11 -1.3
202428 AAALas Vegas Aviators 411383 8718414 231074 23 .227.278.405.683 .178.278 266 .295 84 -7 -1 -2 +1 +12 0.3
202529 AAA2 teams 483448 8817412 331730 73 .196.252.333.584 .136.287 367 .254 53 -26 +0 -0 -9 +14 -2.1
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
202630 AAASugar Land Space Cowboys 8477 14105 5321 00 .182.241.390.631 .208.220 386 .286 77 -2 +0 +0 -1 +2 -0.1
ROS30 MLBHOU 166153 32616 11551 11 .209.267.379.646 .170.279 337 .281 74 -5 -0 -1 -3 +5 -0.4
TOT30 MLBHOU 250230 467111 16872 11 .200.258.383.641 .183.261 356 .283 75 -7 -0 -1 -4 +7 -0.6
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
202731 MLB 20%HOU 365334 7314213 26972 21 .219.279.389.668 .171.265 277 .298 86 -6 +0 -4 -7 +10 -0.6
202832 MLB 33%HOU 346316 6913212 25932 00 .218.280.386.666 .168.266 277 .295 84 -6 +0 -5 -6 +10 -0.8
202933 MLB 43%HOU 316288 6312211 23862 00 .219.281.389.670 .170.265 277 .291 81 -7 +0 -6 -6 +9 -0.9
203034 MLB 52%HOU 272248 531019 20762 00 .214.278.371.649 .157.264 287 .285 76 -7 +0 -6 -5 +8 -1.1
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career 39513651 75414128133 249122520 5618 .207.261.370.631 .163.268 316 .274 68 -144 +4 -23 -62 +112 -11.5
/ 162G 650601 12423522 412023 93 .206.260.371.632 .165.268 316 .274 68 -24 +1 -4 -10 +18 -1.9

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
201822 A+Florida Fire Frogs 8880 26511 8170 31 .325.386.450.836 .125.403 199 .374 144 +4 +0 +2 0.7
201822 ROKDanville Braves 138116 43361 19251 11 .371.463.526.989 .155.457 1814 .431 188 +14 -0 +4 1.8
201923 AAMississippi Braves 7868 7102 8250 00 .103.195.206.401 .103.119 3210 .188 2 -9 +0 +2 -0.7
201923 A+Florida Fire Frogs 7460 8100 14180 31 .133.297.150.447 .017.190 2419 .235 38 -5 +0 +2 -0.3
202125 AAMississippi Braves 330304 6017410 241051 141 .197.258.378.637 .181.263 327 .281 73 -10 +2 +9 0.2
202226 AANorthwest Arkansas Naturals 490455 12018225 261112 194 .264.306.477.783 .213.291 235 .338 117 +10 +2 +14 2.6
202327 AAAOmaha Storm Chasers 314286 6317113 24941 42 .220.283.423.706 .203.275 308 .309 94 -2 +0 +9 0.7
202327 ROKACL Royals 2517 7204 632 00 .412.6001.2351.835 .824.300 1224 .698 392 +8 +0 +1 0.9
202327 INTLSurprise Saguaros 5547 10513 6160 00 .213.302.553.855 .340.233 2911 .352 128 +2 +0 +2 0.3
202428 AAALas Vegas Aviators 411374 11327619 31854 23 .302.361.559.920 .257.347 218 .398 163 +29 -1 +12 4.1
202529 MLBAthletics 1717 3000 080 00 .176.176.176.353 .000.333 470 .160 -20 -2 +0 -0 -9 +0 -1.1
202529 AAAOklahoma City Comets 466413 10523615 511300 73 .254.336.448.784 .194.333 2811 .346 123 +12 +0 +13 2.6
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career 1717 3000 080 00 .176.176.176.353 .000.333 470 .160 -20 -2 +0 -0 -9 +0 -1.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
CJ Alexander (OGILVIE) 30 45 55 45 50 .212/.267/.368 .157.288 83 32% 7% 75 -0.0
Baltazar Lopez
2014 · AAA
30 46 50 41→45 38 .231/.279/.383 .152.320 184 33% 6% 82 +0.5 .226/.279/.354 .128.332 146 34% 6% 76 +0.0 .214/.285/.264.050.3744240%7%56-0.3
Danny Dorn
2014 · AAA
30 39→47 52→60 48→45 41 .212/.266/.374 .162.268 217 30% 6% 76 +0.0 .247/.301/.412 .165.307 186 25% 6% 100 +1.7 .276/.330/.446.171.33916223%6%119+1.6
Brett Carroll
2013 · MLB
30 42→45 47→55 47→50 43 .215/.279/.349 .135.272 1511 26% 6% 75 -0.0 .208/.273/.344 .136.278 1611 30% 7% 71 -0.3 .183/.263/.334.151.230221131%8%60-0.5
Matt Skole
2019 · AAA
30 37→39 48→50 47→40 44 .197/.260/.338 .141.252 174 29% 7% 64 -0.8 .206/.282/.350 .144.283 174 31% 9% 76 +0.1 .193/.282/.343.150.26020032%11%75-0.0
Ryan Mulhern
2011 · AAA
30 42→48 48→55 45→40 41 .216/.274/.356 .140.293 176 32% 7% 74 -0.1 .257/.311/.460 .203.311 277 26% 6% 118 +3.0 .250/.305/.446.195.30426326%5%108+0.9
Cory Aldridge
2009 · AAA
30 45→51 46→55 44→45 43 .223/.282/.357 .134.306 137 30% 8% 77 +0.1 .239/.288/.407 .168.316 204 30% 6% 93 +1.3 .218/.283/.396.178.29528535%8%87+0.4
Mike Costanzo
2014 · MLB
30 42→48 47→50 39→40 43 .212/.272/.351 .138.293 154 32% 8% 72 -0.2 .210/.267/.340 .130.307 146 34% 7% 66 -0.6 .160/.214/.255.096.24914040%6%23-0.9
Brad Nelson
2013 · AAA
30 43→48 51→50 44→50 48 .223/.288/.381 .157.268 194 25% 8% 86 +0.8 .217/.273/.354 .137.263 174 24% 7% 73 -0.1 .202/.256/.318.116.24015122%6%56-0.8
Clete Thomas
2014 · MLB
30 42→52 47→50 49→55 41 .212/.266/.350 .137.290 1514 32% 6% 69 -0.4 .220/.282/.336 .116.295 1114 27% 8% 72 -0.2 .214/.281/.286.072.29432126%8%56-0.5
Simon Pond
2006 · MLB
29 44→43 51→55 47→45 41 .226/.281/.383 .158.300 199 31% 7% 84 +0.6 .223/.278/.365 .142.303 156 30% 7% 78 +0.2 .215/.272/.351.136.29113329%7%71-0.2
D.J. Peterson
2022 · AAA
30 40→44 48→55 50→40 39 .209/.262/.347 .138.280 1610 31% 5% 67 -0.5 .208/.279/.374 .166.290 216 34% 7% 82 +0.5 .176/.257/.344.168.23623135%8%62-0.5
Christian Bethancourt
2022 · AAA
30 47→50 48→55 49→50 40 .240/.280/.382 .142.298 178 26% 5% 83 +0.6 .238/.272/.390 .152.296 198 26% 4% 82 +0.5 .230/.261/.382.153.28219726%4%73-0.1
Andy Wilkins
2019 · MLB
30 34→44 54→55 51→45 42 .192/.258/.362 .170.249 236 33% 8% 69 -0.4 .192/.261/.346 .154.301 206 41% 8% 66 -0.6 .130/.214/.248.118.22317048%9%22-1.3
Daniel Palka
2022 · MLB
30 40→43 53→60 49→50 48 .215/.286/.385 .171.264 226 28% 9% 87 +0.8 .225/.283/.396 .171.284 235 29% 7% 89 +0.9 .215/.272/.382.166.26924229%7%75+0.0
Norel González
2023 · AAA
29 45 51→50 41→40 41 .232/.286/.392 .160.290 196 27% 6% 89 +0.9 .222/.283/.362 .140.292 166 29% 7% 79 +0.3 .199/.272/.321.123.26315229%8%61-0.4
Brad Snyder
2012 · MLB
30 46→54 52→60 52→50 37 .232/.273/.400 .168.317 1913 33% 5% 85 +0.7 .236/.282/.392 .156.339 1813 34% 6% 86 +0.8 .225/.286/.425.200.29928334%8%95+0.5
Rafael Alvarez
2007 · AAA
30 48 48→50 49→45 44 .240/.295/.383 .143.312 167 28% 7% 89 +1.0 .237/.309/.351 .114.330 109 28% 9% 87 +0.8 .245/.339/.344.099.34661027%12%96+0.6
Nick Gorneault
2009 · AAA
30 43→48 49→55 46→50 43 .221/.279/.368 .147.284 1712 28% 7% 79 +0.3 .205/.258/.338 .133.274 1510 30% 6% 63 -0.9 .190/.240/.315.125.25513930%6%45-1.4
Roman Pena
2016 · AAA
29 37→47 50 43→45 41 .192/.265/.339 .147.299 187 40% 9% 66 -0.6 .201/.255/.324 .123.332 1310 41% 6% 57 -1.2 .232/.266/.344.113.35771636%4%65-0.1
Brandon Allen
2016 · AAA
30 43→47 48→55 48→50 47 .220/.281/.364 .143.271 166 25% 8% 79 +0.3 .204/.266/.321 .117.258 126 25% 7% 62 -0.9 .156/.229/.232.076.1939024%8%22-1.6