Edwin Rios — OGILVIE

Edwin Rios1B Louisville Bats

Age 32 L/R 6'3" / 220 lbs AAA HR +9%K -4% Svc 7.000 · Ctrl thru 2026 peak 1.2 · 2026

wRC+†104

AVG/OBP/SLG.220 / .293 / .434

PA350

HR17

K%37

BB%8

MLB%10%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

40→40

PWR

60→60

SPD

45→45

EYE

50↗55

trajectory · 10 yrs

0.4peak

2026

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status FA

MLB Debut 2019

Service 7.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2026

First FA Year 2027

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	Ext / FA-deal	$2M	+1.2	$10M	+$8M
Totals		$2M		$10M	+$8M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2015	21	ROK	Ogden Raptors	82	78	12	4	0	2	4	43	0	0	1	.154	.195	.282	.477	.128	.303	52	5	.198	10	-8	-0	+0	+0	+2	-0.6
2016	22	A+	3 teams	451	426	101	20	1	23	16	145	4	3	1	.237	.271	.451	.722	.214	.297	32	4	.304	91	-5	+0	+0	+2	+13	1.0
2017	23	AA	2 teams	522	491	119	26	0	17	19	147	7	1	2	.242	.280	.399	.680	.157	.307	28	4	.296	85	-9	-1	+0	+2	+15	0.7
2018	24	AAA	Oklahoma City Dodgers	341	318	75	18	0	7	14	147	4	0	1	.236	.277	.358	.635	.123	.402	43	4	.277	70	-11	-0	+0	+1	+10	-0.1
2019	25	AAA	2 teams	500	451	88	18	3	24	35	216	8	2	2	.195	.265	.408	.673	.213	.295	43	7	.290	80	-11	-0	-1	-9	+14	-0.8
2020	26	MLB	Los Angeles Dodgers	83	76	18	6	0	7	4	18	2	0	0	.237	.293	.592	.885	.355	.212	22	5	.376	146	+4	+0	-0	+0	+2	0.7
2021	27	MLB	Los Angeles Dodgers	60	51	4	0	0	1	7	18	2	0	0	.078	.217	.137	.354	.059	.094	30	12	.179	-5	-7	+0	+1	-1	+2	-0.6
2022	28	AAA	2 teams	310	282	60	15	0	13	18	120	6	0	2	.213	.275	.404	.679	.191	.307	39	6	.295	84	-6	-1	-1	+1	+9	0.2
2023	29	AAA	3 teams	288	253	49	13	0	8	26	110	6	0	0	.194	.284	.340	.624	.146	.297	38	9	.279	72	-9	+0	+0	+1	+8	-0.0
2024	30	AAA	Louisville Bats	421	381	89	24	0	16	35	141	3	2	0	.234	.303	.423	.726	.189	.323	33	8	.317	101	+0	+0	+0	-8	+12	0.5
2025	31	AAA	2 teams	567	511	103	19	2	24	45	230	5	0	1	.202	.273	.387	.660	.186	.300	41	8	.287	78	-14	-0	+0	+2	+16	0.4
▸ 2026 Season
2026	32	MLB	CIN	350	314	69	14	1	17	29	131	4	1	1	.220	.294	.433	.727	.213	.310	37	8	.322	104	+2	-0	-0	+1	+10	1.2
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	33	MLB 20%	CIN	350	315	69	14	1	17	29	133	3	0	0	.219	.291	.432	.723	.213	.309	38	8	.315	100	-0	+0	-5	+1	+10	0.6
2028	34	MLB 33%	CIN	306	275	59	12	1	14	25	119	3	0	0	.215	.287	.418	.705	.204	.306	39	8	.308	94	-2	+0	-5	+1	+9	0.2
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			4631	4222	915	203	9	190	306	1718	57	9	11	.217	.279	.404	.683	.187	.308	37	7	.297	85	-77	-3	-12	-4	+131	3.6
/ 162G	—			650	593	128	28	1	27	43	241	8	1	2	.216	.278	.403	.681	.187	.305	37	7	.297	85	-11	-1	-2	-1	+18	0.5

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2015	21	ROK	Ogden Raptors	82	75	19	7	0	3	7	30	0	0	1	.253	.317	.467	.784	.213	.381	37	9	.345	122	+2	-0	—	—	+2	0.4
2016	22	AA	Tulsa Drillers	135	122	31	7	0	5	8	31	2	0	0	.254	.311	.434	.745	.180	.292	23	6	.323	106	+1	+0	—	—	+4	0.5
2016	22	A+	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	188	177	65	11	1	16	8	35	1	0	0	.367	.398	.712	1.110	.345	.383	19	4	.473	220	+25	+0	—	—	+5	3.1
2016	22	A	Great Lakes Loons	128	119	30	8	1	6	8	44	1	3	1	.252	.305	.487	.792	.235	.348	34	6	.346	123	+3	+0	—	—	+4	0.7
2017	23	AAA	Oklahoma City Dodgers	190	169	50	13	0	9	18	42	2	0	1	.296	.370	.533	.903	.237	.345	22	9	.394	159	+13	-0	—	—	+5	1.8
2017	23	AA	Tulsa Drillers	332	306	97	21	0	15	17	69	5	1	1	.317	.363	.533	.895	.216	.363	21	5	.388	155	+21	-0	—	—	+9	3.1
2018	24	AAA	Oklahoma City Dodgers	341	309	94	25	0	10	23	110	4	0	1	.304	.360	.482	.842	.178	.433	32	7	.367	139	+15	-0	—	—	+10	2.5
2019	25	MLB	Los Angeles Dodgers	56	47	13	2	1	4	9	21	0	0	0	.277	.393	.617	1.010	.340	.409	38	16	.432	189	+6	+0	-1	-9	+2	-0.3
2019	25	AAA	Oklahoma City Dodgers	444	393	106	23	2	31	37	153	8	2	2	.270	.345	.575	.920	.305	.349	34	8	.392	158	+29	-0	—	—	+13	4.2
2020	26	MLB	Los Angeles Dodgers	83	76	19	6	0	8	4	18	2	0	0	.250	.305	.645	.950	.395	.216	22	5	.399	164	+6	+0	-0	+0	+2	0.9
2021	27	MLB	Los Angeles Dodgers	60	51	4	0	0	1	7	18	2	0	0	.078	.217	.137	.354	.059	.094	30	12	.186	0	-7	+0	+1	-1	+2	-0.6
2022	28	MLB	Los Angeles Dodgers	92	86	21	1	0	7	5	36	1	0	1	.244	.293	.500	.793	.256	.326	39	5	.346	123	+2	-0	-1	+1	+3	0.4
2022	28	AAA	Oklahoma City Dodgers	218	189	49	17	0	9	20	66	5	0	1	.259	.346	.492	.838	.233	.339	30	9	.362	135	+9	-0	—	—	+6	1.5
2023	29	MLB	Chicago Cubs	34	28	2	1	0	1	5	16	1	0	0	.071	.235	.214	.450	.143	.091	47	15	.223	29	-3	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.1
2023	29	AAA	Iowa Cubs	176	152	40	11	0	6	20	54	4	0	0	.263	.364	.454	.818	.191	.370	31	11	.365	138	+8	+0	—	—	+5	1.3
2023	29	INTL	Indios de Mayaguez	78	67	17	4	0	0	7	23	1	0	0	.254	.333	.313	.647	.060	.362	29	9	.289	79	-2	+0	—	—	+2	0.0
2024	30	AAA	Louisville Bats	421	360	103	28	0	22	56	117	3	2	0	.286	.387	.547	.934	.261	.363	28	13	.406	169	+33	+0	—	—	+12	4.6
2025	31	AAA	Louisville Bats	546	472	116	23	2	26	63	180	5	0	1	.246	.341	.468	.809	.222	.331	33	12	.354	129	+18	-0	—	—	+15	3.4
2025	31	INTL	Indios de Mayaguez	21	17	2	0	0	2	4	7	0	0	0	.118	.286	.471	.756	.353	.000	33	19	.331	112	+0	+0	—	—	+1	0.1
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			325	288	59	10	1	21	30	109	6	0	1	.205	.293	.465	.758	.260	.239	34	9	.332	112	+5	-0	-2	-8	+9	0.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Edwin Rios (OGILVIE)	32	40	60	45	55	.220/.293/.434	.214	.310	17	1	37%	8%	104	+1.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Chris Carter 2019 · MLB	32	36→46	62→65	48→45	46	.208/.292/.435	.227	.267	31	4	35%	10%	103	+1.9	.232/.334/.505	.273	.301	38	4	35%	12%	138	+4.4	.225/.351/.543	.318	.271	46	1	35%	15%	153	+4.9
✕Mike Hessman 2010 · MLB	32	36→37	60→65	41→45	42	.205/.281/.420	.215	.274	29	5	36%	8%	95	+1.4	.201/.268/.397	.196	.259	26	4	33%	7%	83	+0.6	.195/.260/.385	.189	.236	26	3	30%	7%	75	-0.0
✕Trayce Thompson 2023 · MLB	32	43→47	63→65	48→50	45	.230/.307/.464	.234	.310	32	8	35%	9%	117	+2.9	.209/.284/.397	.188	.298	25	10	36%	9%	89	+1.0	.179/.252/.334	.155	.257	21	11	37%	8%	58	-0.6
✕Matt Adams 2021 · MLB	32	41→51	61→65	46→40	43	.232/.290/.448	.215	.276	31	3	29%	7%	105	+2.1	.219/.274/.371	.152	.290	19	6	30%	7%	78	+0.2	.190/.228/.322	.132	.260	19	0	35%	4%	42	-1.5
✕Matt Davidson 2022 · MLB	31	39→44	60	46→30	39	.220/.280/.427	.207	.285	29	3	34%	6%	96	+1.5	.233/.307/.446	.213	.306	31	4	33%	7%	112	+2.6	.218/.307/.433	.215	.280	34	0	34%	8%	105	+1.4
✕Patrick Wisdom 2023 · MLB	31	39→45	64→70	46→50	45	.219/.303/.462	.243	.291	33	9	36%	9%	115	+2.7	.218/.298/.468	.250	.284	34	10	35%	9%	115	+2.7	.202/.282/.474	.273	.244	39	11	36%	9%	109	+1.0
✕Dallas McPherson 2011 · MLB	31	41→44	60→65	48→50	40	.221/.283/.434	.213	.308	29	8	37%	8%	99	+1.7	.227/.272/.393	.166	.324	22	5	35%	6%	82	+0.5	.222/.267/.377	.156	.318	21	3	36%	6%	73	-0.1
✕Kyle Garlick 2023 · MLB	31	43→48	58→60	49→40	40	.234/.290/.430	.196	.296	27	6	31%	6%	101	+1.8	.197/.266/.352	.155	.282	21	4	36%	7%	70	-0.3	.170/.244/.307	.137	.246	19	2	38%	8%	49	-1.5
✕Chris Davis 2018 · MLB	32	43→53	63→70	41→40	52	.230/.330/.461	.230	.303	32	2	34%	12%	125	+3.5	.193/.279/.347	.154	.279	21	3	36%	10%	75	-0.0	.170/.256/.298	.128	.251	18	1	38%	9%	49	-1.3
●Brandon Moss 2016 · MLB	32	46→51	60→65	44→45	51	.244/.328/.463	.219	.295	28	3	27%	10%	124	+3.4	.229/.305/.455	.226	.281	31	3	30%	9%	114	+2.7	.216/.292/.459	.242	.257	35	2	31%	9%	106	+1.5
✕Daniel Palka 2023 · AAA	31	43	55→60	45→50	46	.231/.292/.412	.181	.284	24	5	28%	8%	96	+1.5	.221/.276/.380	.159	.283	21	6	29%	7%	82	+0.5	.199/.255/.342	.143	.252	20	4	29%	6%	58	-0.8
✕ByungHo Park 2017 · MLB	31	37→42	61→65	49→30	42	.215/.288/.433	.218	.262	30	5	31%	7%	102	+1.8	.217/.269/.375	.158	.297	20	4	33%	5%	77	+0.1	.211/.251/.339	.128	.301	16	0	34%	4%	56	-1.0
✕Mitch Jones 2010 · MLB	32	40	63→65	50→45	41	.229/.287/.465	.236	.280	32	10	32%	7%	109	+2.4	.214/.258/.397	.183	.267	23	9	29%	5%	79	+0.3	.191/.228/.354	.164	.234	20	7	28%	4%	53	-1.1
✕Victor Diaz 2013 · AAA	31	45→51	61→60	45→50	43	.238/.309/.453	.215	.323	30	11	35%	8%	115	+2.7	.225/.284/.370	.145	.378	18	8	42%	7%	82	+0.5	.218/.284/.340	.122	.460	16	0	51%	7%	69	-0.1
✕Pedro Álvarez 2018 · MLB	31	43→47	59→65	48→45	45	.235/.291/.437	.203	.277	28	3	27%	7%	103	+1.9	.232/.285/.414	.182	.285	26	4	28%	7%	94	+1.3	.224/.285/.403	.179	.268	29	0	28%	8%	89	+0.5
●Matt Clark 2019 · AAA	32	45	54→60	44→30	42	.236/.286/.411	.175	.295	23	5	28%	6%	93	+1.3	.245/.305/.459	.214	.291	28	5	26%	7%	115	+2.7	.242/.309/.492	.250	.271	34	0	25%	8%	127	+2.0
✕Lucas Duda 2019 · MLB	33	42→52	62→65	47→30	50	.234/.317/.462	.228	.274	30	3	27%	10%	120	+3.1	.217/.290/.388	.171	.280	22	5	30%	8%	89	+1.0	.161/.232/.282	.121	.215	16	0	33%	7%	37	-1.0
✕Bryan LaHair 2014 · MLB	31	50→54	59→65	46→40	46	.257/.320/.468	.211	.328	28	6	30%	9%	123	+3.3	.208/.271/.318	.110	.288	10	5	29%	8%	63	-0.9	.185/.249/.269	.084	.259	6	1	29%	8%	37	-2.0
✕Mark Trumbo 2018 · MLB	32	46→51	60→65	48→45	46	.250/.304/.457	.207	.288	29	2	25%	7%	114	+2.7	.245/.301/.433	.188	.291	26	3	25%	7%	105	+2.1	.257/.311/.440	.182	.302	27	0	24%	7%	109	+1.4
✕Luke Voit 2023 · MLB	32	45→55	57→60	43→30	46	.236/.313/.426	.191	.304	26	2	31%	9%	109	+2.4	.231/.319/.416	.185	.317	24	6	32%	10%	109	+2.4	.208/.318/.412	.204	.283	27	4	34%	12%	103	+0.9

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)