Seth Beer — OGILVIE

Seth Beer1B Reading Fightin Phils

Age 29 L/R 6'2" / 225 lbs AA HR +4% Svc 4.000 · Ctrl thru 2027

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 200 proj PA

wRC+†77

AVG/OBP/SLG.219 / .286 / .344

PA200

HR5

K%28

BB%6

ISO126

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 36 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2021-2022

CONTACT36

Whiff%

3712.5%

xwOBA

370.294

POWER40

Barrel%

133.4

Avg EV

1186.1

EYE48

Chase%

3734.2%

SPEED27

Sprint

1024.7

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Arb-2

MLB Debut 2022

Service 4.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2027

First FA Year 2028

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Arb-2	$0.2M	—	—	—
2027	Arb-3	$0.7M	—	—	—
Totals		$0.0M		$-2M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2018	21	A	2 teams	—	246	225	60	9	0	7	14	57	7	1	1	267	329	400	729	133	329	23	6	312	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	21	A	2 teams	—	246	219	67	11	0	8	19	39	7	1	1	306	378	466	844	160	343	16	8	376	146	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	22	AA	3 teams	—	613	543	129	19	0	29	31	167	33	1	4	238	318	433	751	195	283	27	5	327	108	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	22	AA	3 teams	—	613	523	153	29	1	27	51	127	33	1	4	293	390	507	897	214	336	21	8	394	160	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	24	AAA	Reno Aces	—	435	373	82	22	0	15	28	93	30	0	0	220	325	399	724	180	249	21	6	316	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	24	AAA	Reno Aces	—	435	362	104	33	0	16	39	76	30	0	0	287	401	511	912	224	321	17	9	402	165	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	25	AAA	2 teams	—	528	457	90	20	1	13	40	118	24	0	1	197	296	330	626	133	231	22	8	280	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	25	AAA	2 teams	—	528	442	101	23	1	15	55	99	24	0	1	229	345	387	732	158	257	19	10	330	111	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	26	AA	2 teams	—	438	388	74	17	0	6	29	137	17	0	0	191	276	281	557	90	273	31	7	253	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	26	AA	2 teams	—	438	377	103	22	0	15	40	104	17	0	0	273	369	451	820	178	336	24	9	364	137	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	27	AA	2 teams	—	405	368	85	12	1	13	21	118	13	1	0	231	296	375	671	144	300	29	5	291	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	27	AA	2 teams	—	405	357	99	15	2	12	31	86	13	1	0	277	356	431	787	154	332	21	8	351	126	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	28	AA	Reading Fightin Phils	—	120	108	18	3	0	3	8	34	3	0	0	167	244	278	521	111	208	28	7	226	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	28	AA	Reading Fightin Phils	—	120	105	20	4	0	3	11	27	3	0	0	190	286	314	600	124	224	22	9	275	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	29	MLB	PHI	—	200	181	40	7	1	5	12	57	5	1	0	221	288	354	641	133	290	28	6	286	77	-5	+0	-0	-4	+6	-0.4
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	30	MLB	PHI	23%	286	259	57	10	1	7	18	80	7	1	0	220	289	347	636	127	289	28	6	287	78	-7	+0	-2	-5	+8	-0.6
2027	30	MLB	PHI	23%	65	59	13	2	0	2	4	18	2	0	0	220	292	356	648	136	291	28	6	271	66	-3	+0	-1	-1	+2	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	191	170	34	5	0	3	15	49	5	0	0	200	284	282	567	82	261	26	8	256	54	-10	+0	-1	-11	+5	-1.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	579	115	17	0	10	51	167	17	0	0	199	283	280	563	81	259	26	8	256	54	-34	+0	-5	-36	+18	-5.7
Career	—			—	3271	2902	635	119	4	98	201	861	139	5	6	219	301	364	665	145	273	26	6	293	82	-66	-1	-4	-58	+93	-3.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	577	126	24	1	19	40	171	28	1	1	218	301	362	663	144	273	26	6	293	82	-13	-0	-1	-12	+18	-0.7

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2018	21	A+	Buies Creek Astros	—	114	107	28	4	0	5	4	22	3	0	1	262	307	439	746	178	287	19	4	331	111	+1	-0	—	—	+3	0.4
2018	21	A	Quad Cities River Bandits	—	132	112	39	7	0	3	15	17	4	1	0	348	439	491	930	143	391	13	11	416	176	+11	+0	—	—	+4	1.6
2019	22	AA	Jackson Generals	—	381	322	88	16	0	17	32	83	24	0	1	273	381	481	862	208	316	22	8	382	151	+22	-0	—	—	+11	3.3
2019	22	A+	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	152	128	42	8	0	9	14	30	7	0	3	328	423	602	1.024	273	359	20	9	438	193	+16	-1	—	—	+4	1.9
2019	22	INTL	Salt River Rafters	—	80	73	23	5	1	1	5	14	2	1	0	315	375	452	827	137	379	18	6	369	141	+4	+0	—	—	+2	0.6
2021	24	AAA	Reno Aces	—	435	362	104	33	0	16	39	76	30	0	0	287	401	511	912	224	321	17	9	402	165	+32	+0	—	—	+12	4.5
2022	25	MLB	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	126	111	21	3	0	1	11	31	3	0	0	189	280	243	523	54	250	25	9	248	48	-7	+0	-1	-9	+4	-1.4
2022	25	AAA	Reno Aces	—	402	331	80	20	1	14	44	68	21	0	1	242	366	435	801	193	259	17	11	356	131	+14	-0	—	—	+11	2.6
2023	26	AAA	Reno Aces	—	79	70	14	2	0	2	6	23	1	0	0	200	273	314	587	114	255	29	8	262	59	-4	+0	—	—	+2	-0.1
2023	26	AA	Amarillo Sod Poodles	—	359	307	89	20	0	13	34	81	16	0	0	290	389	482	871	192	353	23	9	387	154	+22	+0	—	—	+10	3.3
2024	27	AAA	Indianapolis Indians	—	177	158	43	8	0	8	13	38	4	0	0	272	343	475	818	203	307	21	7	358	132	+6	+0	—	—	+5	1.2
2024	27	AA	Altoona Curve	—	228	199	56	7	2	4	18	48	9	1	0	281	366	397	763	116	351	21	8	345	122	+6	+0	—	—	+6	1.3
2025	28	AA	Reading Fightin Phils	—	120	105	20	4	0	3	11	27	3	0	0	190	286	314	600	124	224	22	9	275	69	-4	+0	—	—	+3	-0.1
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	126	111	21	3	0	1	11	31	3	0	0	189	280	243	523	54	250	25	9	248	48	-7	+0	-1	-9	+4	-1.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Seth Beer (OGILVIE)	29	36	40	27	48	219/286/344	125	290	5	1	28%	6%	77	+0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Mike Costanzo 2013 · MLB	29	41→48	46→50	38→40	42	208/267/338	130	292	14	4	33%	7%	66	-0.6	204/263/333	129	298	14	5	34%	7%	63	-0.8	188/250/318	130	273	15	2	35%	7%	53	-0.8
✕Jordan Lennerton 2015 · AAA	29	46→52	47→50	36→30	47	228/296/365	137	299	15	2	28%	8%	85	+0.7	215/272/330	115	288	11	5	28%	7%	66	-0.6	189/243/275	86	258	7	0	28%	6%	37	-1.4
✕Eric Aguilera 2019 · AA	29	40→50	46→50	37→45	37	204/255/329	125	298	14	4	36%	6%	59	-1.1	242/298/391	149	343	18	5	33%	7%	93	+1.3	252/309/409	156	355	20	1	33%	6%	100	+1.2
✕Matt Cepicky 2006 · MLB	28	44→43	48→50	40→30	42	224/274/370	147	291	15	5	28%	7%	77	+0.1	214/266/351	137	284	14	4	29%	7%	69	-0.4	203/256/337	134	267	14	2	29%	7%	61	-0.7
✕Norel González 2023 · AAA	29	45	50	41→40	41	230/284/385	155	294	18	6	28%	6%	86	+0.8	219/280/352	133	293	15	6	29%	7%	76	+0.0	193/264/308	115	257	13	2	29%	8%	54	-0.7
✕Larry Broadway 2009 · AAA	28	46→48	45→50	39→40	45	227/286/357	130	293	13	4	26%	7%	79	+0.3	221/272/353	132	301	14	6	30%	6%	72	-0.2	195/241/323	128	270	17	0	34%	5%	49	-0.7
✕Baltazar Lopez 2013 · AAA	29	44	47→50	41→45	34	220/258/352	132	319	15	5	35%	4%	66	-0.6	222/270/360	138	321	16	5	34%	5%	73	-0.1	222/290/321	100	349	12	1	37%	8%	70	-0.1
✕Viosergy Rosa 2018 · AA	28	37→47	47→45	39→30	41	194/256/325	131	278	15	2	35%	8%	59	-1.1	222/277/366	144	306	16	5	31%	7%	78	+0.2	247/310/412	165	335	16	0	29%	8%	100	+0.3
✕Preston Beck 2019 · AAA	28	43→44	42→45	41→45	41	213/262/315	101	277	9	4	26%	5%	57	-1.2	217/273/329	112	289	10	5	27%	7%	66	-0.6	213/272/324	111	281	9	3	26%	7%	61	-0.8
✕Jason Conti 2005 · MLB	30	47→41	44→45	40→50	45	231/290/355	124	304	11	8	27%	8%	80	+0.4	218/268/336	118	288	12	6	28%	6%	66	-0.6	209/257/318	109	276	12	4	28%	5%	54	-0.9
✕Michael Pérez 2022 · MLB	29	35	49→50	40	46	187/262/332	145	237	17	4	29%	8%	63	-0.8	186/260/320	134	240	17	4	29%	8%	59	-1.1	167/245/284	117	216	16	1	31%	8%	43	-0.9
✕Wes Bankston 2013 · AAA	29	46→53	45→50	36→40	47	228/284/350	122	260	13	4	18%	6%	76	+0.1	230/293/359	129	277	14	4	21%	7%	83	+0.6	225/294/353	128	273	13	1	22%	8%	80	+0.2
✕Michael Ryan 2006 · MLB	29	49	47→50	38→30	46	243/292/375	132	287	15	6	21%	7%	85	+0.7	222/263/358	136	272	15	4	24%	5%	69	-0.4	234/274/402	168	277	20	2	23%	5%	87	+0.5
✕Ben Lasater 2013 · AAA	29	50→49	45→50	39→30	40	242/291/367	126	326	12	4	29%	6%	83	+0.6	217/276/317	100	311	9	6	31%	7%	64	-0.8	176/242/236	61	259	6	0	33%	7%	26	-1.2
✕Luke Tendler 2019 · AA	27	41→42	45	38→40	39	208/258/327	118	279	13	3	30%	6%	59	-1.1	201/252/317	116	275	13	6	31%	6%	54	-1.4	176/228/284	108	235	14	4	31%	6%	33	-2.2
✕Chris McGuiness 2015 · MLB	27	44→47	47→50	38→30	51	222/295/365	144	270	14	2	23%	9%	85	+0.7	215/286/319	104	260	10	5	20%	9%	69	-0.4	193/271/249	56	232	6	1	18%	9%	43	-1.4
✕Dan Gamache 2019 · AAA	28	49→50	40	36→45	43	231/287/324	93	317	7	3	28%	7%	70	-0.3	211/280/296	85	298	6	6	29%	8%	60	-1.0	144/239/169	24	215	0	0	29%	10%	9	-1.3
✕Darick Hall 2022 · AAA	27	39→40	49→55	41→40	44	204/277/354	150	261	16	4	28%	7%	76	+0.0	222/276/398	176	271	24	4	27%	6%	86	+0.8	218/272/389	171	262	24	3	27%	6%	80	+0.3
✕Jeff Clement 2012 · MLB	28	43→48	50→55	40→30	41	224/271/379	155	281	17	4	27%	6%	79	+0.3	212/257/361	149	267	16	3	26%	6%	68	-0.5	202/248/353	151	250	16	1	26%	6%	59	-0.9
✕Jose Castaneda 2014 · AAA	29	46→50	45	38→40	38	231/273/348	117	289	14	5	25%	4%	71	-0.3	213/263/322	109	272	13	6	26%	5%	59	-1.1	199/254/291	92	254	11	3	26%	6%	46	-0.9