Eric Aguilera
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 27 | AATEX | 448 | .222/.324/.385 | 15 | 1 | 45 | — | .172/.243/.280 |
| 2019 | 29 | AAA/INTL2 orgs | 652 | .261/.346/.421 | 18 | 1 | 83 | — | .233/.290/.356 |
| 2020 | 30 | INTLAguilas de Me… | 105 | .250/.337/.402 | 3 | 0 | 110 | — |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2013 | 23 | ROK | Orem Owlz | — | 257 | 232 | 71 | 22 | 1 | 10 | 14 | 60 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 306 | 351 | 539 | 890 | 233 | 361 | 23 | 5 | 375 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 24 | A+ | Inland Empire 66ers | — | 46 | 43 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 279 | 311 | 349 | 660 | 70 | 364 | 22 | 4 | 291 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 24 | A | Burlington Bees | — | 524 | 469 | 137 | 22 | 4 | 14 | 35 | 101 | 7 | 17 | 3 | 292 | 350 | 446 | 796 | 154 | 336 | 19 | 7 | 346 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 25 | AA | Arkansas Travelers | — | 34 | 33 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 121 | 147 | 182 | 329 | 61 | 182 | 32 | 3 | 149 | -37 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 25 | A+ | Inland Empire 66ers | — | 520 | 462 | 151 | 38 | 3 | 17 | 47 | 110 | 6 | 14 | 6 | 327 | 396 | 532 | 929 | 206 | 394 | 21 | 9 | 405 | 103 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 25 | INTL | Mesa Solar Sox | — | 76 | 69 | 19 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 275 | 342 | 449 | 791 | 174 | 293 | 12 | 8 | 351 | 124 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 26 | AA | Arkansas Travelers | — | 495 | 459 | 124 | 25 | 4 | 14 | 27 | 130 | 4 | 0 | 9 | 270 | 316 | 434 | 750 | 163 | 344 | 26 | 5 | 329 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 26 | INTL | Charros de Jalisco | — | 51 | 40 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 225 | 380 | 425 | 805 | 200 | 292 | 29 | 16 | 359 | 129 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 27 | AA | Frisco RoughRiders | — | 448 | 387 | 86 | 18 | 0 | 15 | 53 | 120 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 222 | 324 | 385 | 709 | 163 | 278 | 27 | 12 | 319 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 29 | AAA | Tigres de Quintana Roo | — | 423 | 376 | 108 | 23 | 0 | 14 | 39 | 118 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 287 | 363 | 460 | 824 | 173 | 382 | 28 | 9 | 365 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 29 | INTL | Aguilas de Mexicali | — | 229 | 199 | 42 | 13 | 1 | 4 | 28 | 69 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 211 | 314 | 347 | 661 | 136 | 302 | 30 | 12 | 303 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 30 | INTL | Aguilas de Mexicali | — | 105 | 92 | 23 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 25 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 250 | 337 | 402 | 739 | 152 | 308 | 24 | 10 | 330 | 110 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2013 | 23 | ROK MLE | Orem Owlz | — | 257 | 238 | 49 | 14 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 86 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 206 | 238 | 361 | 599 | 155 | 260 | 33 | 3 | 251 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 24 | A+ MLE | Inland Empire 66ers | — | 46 | 44 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 227 | 244 | 273 | 517 | 45 | 318 | 28 | 2 | 227 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 24 | A MLE | Burlington Bees | — | 524 | 481 | 123 | 18 | 4 | 12 | 23 | 134 | 7 | 17 | 3 | 256 | 299 | 385 | 684 | 129 | 306 | 26 | 4 | 293 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 25 | AA MLE | Arkansas Travelers | — | 34 | 33 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 121 | 147 | 182 | 329 | 61 | 157 | 38 | 3 | 114 | -37 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 25 | A+ MLE | Inland Empire 66ers | — | 520 | 479 | 125 | 29 | 2 | 16 | 30 | 151 | 6 | 14 | 6 | 261 | 313 | 430 | 743 | 169 | 338 | 29 | 6 | 321 | 103 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 26 | AA MLE | Arkansas Travelers | — | 495 | 471 | 108 | 21 | 3 | 11 | 15 | 157 | 4 | 0 | 9 | 229 | 259 | 357 | 616 | 127 | 312 | 32 | 3 | 270 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 27 | AA MLE | Frisco RoughRiders | — | 448 | 407 | 70 | 14 | 0 | 10 | 33 | 153 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 172 | 243 | 280 | 523 | 108 | 237 | 34 | 7 | 234 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 29 | AAA MLE | Tigres de Quintana Roo | — | 423 | 390 | 91 | 18 | 0 | 10 | 25 | 140 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 233 | 290 | 356 | 646 | 123 | 329 | 33 | 6 | 285 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 23 | ROK MLE | Orem Owlz | — | 257 | 238 | 49 | 14 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 86 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 206 | 238 | 361 | 599 | 155 | 276 | 33 | 3 | 251 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 23 | ROK RAW | Orem Owlz | — | 257 | 232 | 71 | 22 | 1 | 10 | 14 | 60 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 306 | 351 | 539 | 890 | 233 | 361 | 23 | 5 | 375 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 24 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 570 | 525 | 133 | 20 | 4 | 12 | 24 | 147 | 7 | 17 | 3 | 253 | 295 | 375 | 670 | 122 | 320 | 26 | 4 | 288 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 24 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 570 | 512 | 149 | 25 | 4 | 14 | 37 | 111 | 7 | 17 | 3 | 291 | 347 | 438 | 785 | 146 | 338 | 19 | 6 | 341 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 25 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 630 | 583 | 146 | 35 | 2 | 18 | 35 | 187 | 7 | 15 | 6 | 250 | 301 | 410 | 711 | 160 | 334 | 30 | 6 | 308 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 25 | A+ RAW | 3 teams | — | 630 | 564 | 174 | 44 | 4 | 19 | 54 | 130 | 7 | 15 | 6 | 309 | 376 | 502 | 878 | 193 | 369 | 21 | 9 | 384 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 26 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 546 | 517 | 120 | 23 | 4 | 12 | 17 | 173 | 6 | 0 | 9 | 232 | 265 | 362 | 627 | 130 | 320 | 32 | 3 | 270 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 26 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 546 | 499 | 133 | 27 | 4 | 16 | 35 | 145 | 6 | 0 | 9 | 267 | 322 | 433 | 755 | 166 | 340 | 27 | 6 | 332 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 27 | AA MLE | Frisco RoughRiders | — | 448 | 407 | 70 | 14 | 0 | 10 | 33 | 153 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 172 | 243 | 280 | 523 | 108 | 243 | 34 | 7 | 234 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 27 | AA RAW | Frisco RoughRiders | — | 448 | 387 | 86 | 18 | 0 | 15 | 53 | 120 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 222 | 324 | 385 | 709 | 163 | 278 | 27 | 12 | 319 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 29 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 652 | 603 | 139 | 27 | 0 | 16 | 39 | 216 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 231 | 286 | 355 | 641 | 124 | 330 | 33 | 6 | 285 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 29 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 652 | 575 | 150 | 36 | 1 | 18 | 67 | 187 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 261 | 346 | 421 | 767 | 160 | 355 | 29 | 10 | 343 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 30 | INTL MLE | Aguilas de Mexicali | — | 105 | 92 | 23 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 25 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 250 | 337 | 402 | 739 | 152 | 308 | 24 | 10 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 30 | INTL RAW | Aguilas de Mexicali | — | 105 | 92 | 23 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 25 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 250 | 337 | 402 | 739 | 152 | 308 | 24 | 10 | 330 | 110 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 23 | ROK MLE | Orem Owlz | — | 257 | 245 | 49 | 14 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 86 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 200 | 238 | 351 | 589 | 151 | 260 | 33 | 3 | 251 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 24 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 570 | 534 | 133 | 20 | 4 | 12 | 24 | 147 | 7 | 17 | 3 | 249 | 295 | 369 | 664 | 120 | 307 | 26 | 4 | 288 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 25 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 630 | 583 | 146 | 35 | 2 | 18 | 35 | 187 | 7 | 15 | 6 | 250 | 301 | 410 | 711 | 160 | 327 | 30 | 6 | 308 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 26 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 546 | 518 | 120 | 23 | 4 | 12 | 17 | 173 | 6 | 0 | 9 | 232 | 265 | 361 | 626 | 129 | 312 | 32 | 3 | 270 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 27 | AA MLE | Frisco RoughRiders | — | 448 | 407 | 70 | 14 | 0 | 10 | 33 | 153 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 172 | 243 | 280 | 523 | 108 | 237 | 34 | 7 | 234 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 29 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 652 | 600 | 139 | 27 | 0 | 16 | 39 | 216 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 232 | 286 | 357 | 643 | 125 | 329 | 33 | 6 | 285 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 3208 | 2965 | 680 | 138 | 11 | 78 | 166 | 987 | 37 | 35 | 24 | 229 | 279 | 362 | 641 | 133 | 311 | 31 | 5 | 268 | 68 | -123 | -3 | +0 | -57 | +70 | -11.6 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 601 | 138 | 28 | 2 | 16 | 34 | 200 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 230 | 279 | 363 | 642 | 133 | 311 | 31 | 5 | 268 | 68 | -25 | -1 | +0 | -12 | +14 | -2.4 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2019 AAATigres de Quintana Roo · 423 PAwOBA .355 → .285 (−70)K% 27.9% → 33.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 27.90% | ÷1.008 | ×1.200 | — | — | 33.20% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.51% | ÷0.966 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.982 | 5.97% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.42% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.982 | 1.31% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.52% | ÷0.962 | ×0.930 | ×0.950 | ×0.982 | 24.83% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.91% | ÷0.990 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×0.982 | 6.97% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | ×0.982 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.43% | ÷0.898 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.982 | 4.15% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 80, 1B 92, 2B 98, 3B 80, K 102, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .355 → .285; ISO .173 → .130; BABIP .382 → .329. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 AAFrisco RoughRiders · 448 PAwOBA .313 → .234 (−79)K% 26.8% → 34.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.79% | ÷0.959 | ×1.220 | — | — | 34.07% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.83% | ÷1.095 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.978 | 7.39% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.12% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×0.978 | 0.95% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.85% | ÷1.022 | ×0.920 | ×1.011 | ×0.978 | 17.68% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.74% | ÷1.051 | ×0.840 | ×1.011 | ×0.978 | 5.33% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.017 | ×0.940 | ×1.011 | ×0.978 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.62% | ÷1.089 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.978 | 4.04% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 118, 1B 104, 2B 110, 3B 103, K 92, BB 119 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 24.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.011.
Result: wOBA .313 → .234; ISO .163 → .116; BABIP .278 → .237. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AAArkansas Travelers · 495 PAwOBA .319 → .270 (−49)K% 26.3% → 31.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.26% | ÷1.009 | ×1.220 | — | — | 31.75% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.44% | ÷0.979 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.988 | 3.14% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.81% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×0.988 | 0.69% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.62% | ÷0.995 | ×0.920 | ×1.023 | ×0.988 | 23.01% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.60% | ÷0.975 | ×0.840 | ×1.023 | ×0.988 | 6.61% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.22% | ÷1.150 | ×0.940 | ×1.023 | ×0.988 | 1.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.26% | ÷0.972 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.988 | 3.46% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 94, 1B 99, 2B 95, 3B 130, K 102, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.023.
Result: wOBA .319 → .270; ISO .163 → .132; BABIP .344 → .312. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 A+Inland Empire 66ers · 520 PAwOBA .396 → .321 (−74)K% 21.2% → 29.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.15% | ÷0.972 | ×1.340 | — | — | 29.15% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.46% | ÷1.013 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.978 | 5.80% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.15% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.978 | 0.89% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.42% | ÷1.021 | ×0.910 | ×1.014 | ×0.978 | 23.35% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.80% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | ×1.014 | ×0.978 | 8.78% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.85% | ÷1.150 | ×0.760 | ×1.014 | ×0.978 | 0.56% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.83% | ÷0.896 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.978 | 4.85% |
Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 79, 1B 104, 2B 100, 3B 130, K 94, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 22.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.014.
Result: wOBA .396 → .321; ISO .206 → .177; BABIP .394 → .338. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AAArkansas Travelers · 34 PAwOBA .145 → .114 (−31)K% 32.4% → 37.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 32.35% | ÷1.047 | ×1.220 | — | — | 37.69% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 2.94% | ÷0.985 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.998 | 2.09% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 9.09% | ÷1.002 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.998 | 8.33% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.09% | ÷1.033 | ×0.840 | — | ×0.998 | 7.38% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.940 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.022 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 104, 1B 100, 2B 107, 3B 130, K 109, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .145 → .114; ISO .061 → .046; BABIP .182 → .157. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 ABurlington Bees · 524 PAwOBA .343 → .293 (−50)K% 19.3% → 25.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.27% | ÷1.030 | ×1.360 | — | — | 25.45% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.30% | ÷0.998 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.980 | 4.27% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.34% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×0.980 | 1.02% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.36% | ÷0.994 | ×0.920 | ×1.030 | ×0.980 | 24.62% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.98% | ÷1.023 | ×0.830 | ×1.030 | ×0.980 | 4.90% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.09% | ÷0.923 | ×0.910 | ×1.030 | ×0.980 | 1.08% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.80% | ÷0.935 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.980 | 3.19% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 87, 1B 99, 2B 105, 3B 85, K 106, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.0 → −2.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.030.
Result: wOBA .343 → .293; ISO .154 → .129; BABIP .336 → .306. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 A+Inland Empire 66ers · 46 PAwOBA .283 → .227 (−56)K% 21.7% → 29.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.74% | ÷0.994 | ×1.340 | — | — | 29.29% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.35% | ÷1.048 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.988 | 2.91% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.27% | ÷0.984 | ×0.910 | — | ×0.988 | 24.91% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.09% | ÷1.063 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.988 | 6.93% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.108 | ×0.760 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.820 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 64, 1B 97, 2B 113, 3B 122, K 99, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .283 → .227; ISO .070 → .050; BABIP .364 → .318. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 ROKOrem Owlz · 257 PAwOBA .374 → .251 (−123)K% 23.3% → 33.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.35% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 33.62% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.45% | ÷1.000 | ×0.610 | — | ×0.965 | 3.21% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.78% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.965 | 0.54% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.09% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | ×0.974 | ×0.965 | 17.03% |
| Doubles /BIP | 12.79% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×0.974 | ×0.965 | 8.66% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.58% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×0.974 | ×0.965 | 0.39% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.81% | ÷1.000 | ×0.750 | — | ×0.965 | 4.21% |
Factors used: league row PIO. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 19.5 → −3.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.974.
Result: wOBA .374 → .251; ISO .233 → .153; BABIP .361 → .260. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .