Carlos Ibarra
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 30 | AAAOlmecas de Ta… | 282 | .236/.292/.331 | 4 | 1 | 35 | — | .199/.237/.272 |
| 2015 | 31 | AAARieleros de A… | 188 | .262/.319/.333 | 2 | 0 | 42 | — | .223/.253/.269 |
| 2016 | 32 | AAARieleros de A… | 141 | .242/.302/.359 | 2 | 0 | 33 | — | .188/.223/.263 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2010 | 26 | AAA | Olmecas de Tabasco | — | 103 | 88 | 23 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 261 | 350 | 352 | 702 | 91 | 303 | 12 | 11 | 313 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 27 | AAA | Olmecas de Tabasco | — | 265 | 242 | 73 | 13 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 56 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 302 | 327 | 438 | 765 | 136 | 370 | 21 | 3 | 321 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 28 | AAA | Rojos del Aguila de Veracruz | — | 266 | 244 | 70 | 10 | 2 | 9 | 14 | 62 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 287 | 338 | 455 | 793 | 168 | 353 | 23 | 5 | 348 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 29 | AAA | Rojos del Aguila de Veracruz | — | 285 | 260 | 66 | 10 | 1 | 13 | 18 | 54 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 254 | 307 | 450 | 757 | 196 | 273 | 19 | 6 | 328 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 30 | AAA | Olmecas de Tabasco | — | 282 | 254 | 60 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 63 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 236 | 292 | 331 | 623 | 94 | 295 | 22 | 7 | 275 | 35 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 31 | AAA | Rieleros de Aguascalientes | — | 188 | 168 | 44 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 29 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 262 | 319 | 333 | 652 | 71 | 302 | 15 | 6 | 289 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 32 | AAA | Rieleros de Aguascalientes | — | 141 | 128 | 31 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 242 | 302 | 359 | 662 | 117 | 271 | 13 | 8 | 294 | 33 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2010 | 26 | AAA MLE | Olmecas de Tabasco | — | 103 | 93 | 23 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 15 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 247 | 300 | 333 | 633 | 86 | 290 | 15 | 6 | 281 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 27 | AAA MLE | Olmecas de Tabasco | — | 265 | 246 | 70 | 12 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 69 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 285 | 299 | 402 | 701 | 118 | 344 | 26 | 1 | 288 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 28 | AAA MLE | Rojos del Aguila de Veracruz | — | 266 | 250 | 63 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 74 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 252 | 289 | 368 | 657 | 116 | 332 | 28 | 3 | 285 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 29 | AAA MLE | Rojos del Aguila de Veracruz | — | 285 | 267 | 59 | 8 | 1 | 10 | 11 | 62 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 221 | 257 | 371 | 628 | 150 | 246 | 22 | 4 | 272 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 30 | AAA MLE | Olmecas de Tabasco | — | 282 | 261 | 52 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 80 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 199 | 237 | 272 | 509 | 73 | 259 | 28 | 5 | 220 | 35 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 31 | AAA MLE | Rieleros de Aguascalientes | — | 188 | 175 | 39 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 39 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 223 | 253 | 269 | 521 | 46 | 264 | 21 | 3 | 230 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 32 | AAA MLE | Rieleros de Aguascalientes | — | 141 | 133 | 25 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 24 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 188 | 223 | 263 | 486 | 75 | 222 | 17 | 4 | 217 | 33 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 26 | AAA MLE | Olmecas de Tabasco | — | 103 | 93 | 23 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 15 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 247 | 300 | 333 | 633 | 86 | 295 | 15 | 6 | 281 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 26 | AAA RAW | Olmecas de Tabasco | — | 103 | 88 | 23 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 261 | 350 | 352 | 702 | 91 | 303 | 12 | 11 | 313 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 27 | AAA MLE | Olmecas de Tabasco | — | 265 | 246 | 70 | 12 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 69 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 285 | 299 | 402 | 701 | 118 | 376 | 26 | 1 | 288 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 27 | AAA RAW | Olmecas de Tabasco | — | 265 | 242 | 73 | 13 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 56 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 302 | 327 | 438 | 765 | 136 | 370 | 21 | 3 | 321 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 28 | AAA MLE | Rojos del Aguila de Veracruz | — | 266 | 250 | 63 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 74 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 252 | 289 | 368 | 657 | 116 | 335 | 28 | 3 | 285 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 28 | AAA RAW | Rojos del Aguila de Veracruz | — | 266 | 244 | 70 | 10 | 2 | 9 | 14 | 62 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 287 | 338 | 455 | 793 | 168 | 353 | 23 | 5 | 348 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 29 | AAA MLE | Rojos del Aguila de Veracruz | — | 285 | 267 | 59 | 8 | 1 | 10 | 11 | 62 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 221 | 257 | 371 | 628 | 150 | 250 | 22 | 4 | 272 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 29 | AAA RAW | Rojos del Aguila de Veracruz | — | 285 | 260 | 66 | 10 | 1 | 13 | 18 | 54 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 254 | 307 | 450 | 757 | 196 | 273 | 19 | 6 | 328 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 30 | AAA MLE | Olmecas de Tabasco | — | 282 | 261 | 52 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 80 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 199 | 237 | 272 | 509 | 73 | 271 | 28 | 5 | 220 | 35 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 30 | AAA RAW | Olmecas de Tabasco | — | 282 | 254 | 60 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 63 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 236 | 292 | 331 | 623 | 94 | 295 | 22 | 7 | 275 | 35 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 31 | AAA MLE | Rieleros de Aguascalientes | — | 188 | 175 | 39 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 39 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 223 | 253 | 269 | 521 | 46 | 277 | 21 | 3 | 230 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 31 | AAA RAW | Rieleros de Aguascalientes | — | 188 | 168 | 44 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 29 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 262 | 319 | 333 | 652 | 71 | 302 | 15 | 6 | 289 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 32 | AAA MLE | Rieleros de Aguascalientes | — | 141 | 133 | 25 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 24 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 188 | 223 | 263 | 486 | 75 | 222 | 17 | 4 | 217 | 33 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 32 | AAA RAW | Rieleros de Aguascalientes | — | 141 | 128 | 31 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 242 | 302 | 359 | 662 | 117 | 271 | 13 | 8 | 294 | 33 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 26 | AAA MLE | Olmecas de Tabasco | — | 103 | 95 | 23 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 15 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 242 | 300 | 326 | 626 | 84 | 290 | 15 | 6 | 281 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 27 | AAA MLE | Olmecas de Tabasco | — | 265 | 258 | 70 | 12 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 69 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 271 | 299 | 384 | 683 | 112 | 344 | 26 | 1 | 288 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 28 | AAA MLE | Rojos del Aguila de Veracruz | — | 266 | 251 | 63 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 74 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 251 | 289 | 367 | 656 | 116 | 332 | 28 | 3 | 285 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 29 | AAA MLE | Rojos del Aguila de Veracruz | — | 285 | 270 | 59 | 8 | 1 | 10 | 11 | 62 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 219 | 257 | 367 | 624 | 148 | 246 | 22 | 4 | 272 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 30 | AAA MLE | Olmecas de Tabasco | — | 282 | 267 | 52 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 80 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 195 | 237 | 266 | 503 | 71 | 259 | 28 | 5 | 220 | 35 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 31 | AAA MLE | Rieleros de Aguascalientes | — | 188 | 179 | 39 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 39 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 218 | 253 | 263 | 515 | 45 | 264 | 21 | 3 | 230 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 32 | AAA MLE | Rieleros de Aguascalientes | — | 141 | 134 | 25 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 24 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 187 | 223 | 261 | 484 | 75 | 222 | 17 | 4 | 217 | 33 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 1530 | 1425 | 331 | 55 | 5 | 26 | 52 | 363 | 12 | 5 | 13 | 232 | 265 | 333 | 598 | 100 | 292 | 24 | 3 | 258 | 61 | -72 | -4 | +0 | -16 | +33 | -6.0 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 605 | 140 | 23 | 2 | 11 | 22 | 154 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 231 | 264 | 331 | 594 | 99 | 291 | 24 | 3 | 258 | 61 | -30 | -2 | +0 | -7 | +14 | -2.6 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2016 AAARieleros de Aguascalientes · 141 PAwOBA .284 → .217 (−67)K% 13.5% → 17.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 13.48% | ÷0.941 | ×1.200 | — | — | 17.18% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.09% | ÷1.053 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.942 | 4.38% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.942 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.35% | ÷1.053 | ×0.930 | ×1.021 | ×0.942 | 15.58% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.26% | ÷1.035 | ×0.830 | ×1.021 | ×0.942 | 6.37% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | ×1.021 | ×0.942 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.83% | ÷1.236 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.942 | 0.98% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 147, 1B 111, 2B 107, 3B 130, K 88, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 33 vs a level average of 27.2 → −5.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.021.
Result: wOBA .284 → .217; ISO .117 → .080; BABIP .271 → .222. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AAARieleros de Aguascalientes · 188 PAwOBA .275 → .230 (−45)K% 15.4% → 20.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.43% | ÷0.903 | ×1.200 | — | — | 20.50% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.26% | ÷0.997 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.952 | 2.80% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.06% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.952 | 0.95% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.90% | ÷1.007 | ×0.930 | ×1.023 | ×0.952 | 23.29% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.32% | ÷1.046 | ×0.830 | ×1.023 | ×0.952 | 3.34% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | ×1.023 | ×0.952 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.44% | ÷1.488 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.952 | 0.64% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 198, 1B 101, 2B 109, 3B 130, K 81, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 32 vs a level average of 27.2 → −4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.023.
Result: wOBA .275 → .230; ISO .071 → .045; BABIP .302 → .264. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AAAOlmecas de Tabasco · 282 PAwOBA .269 → .220 (−49)K% 22.3% → 28.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.34% | ÷0.939 | ×1.200 | — | — | 28.54% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.74% | ÷0.980 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.962 | 4.56% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.962 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.56% | ÷1.013 | ×0.930 | ×1.013 | ×0.962 | 21.08% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.24% | ÷0.974 | ×0.830 | ×1.013 | ×0.962 | 4.35% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.52% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×1.013 | ×0.962 | 0.47% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.09% | ÷0.935 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.962 | 1.51% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 87, 1B 103, 2B 95, 3B 100, K 88, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 31 vs a level average of 27.2 → −3.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.013.
Result: wOBA .269 → .220; ISO .094 → .073; BABIP .295 → .259. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 AAARojos del Aguila de Veracruz · 285 PAwOBA .317 → .272 (−45)K% 18.9% → 21.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.95% | ÷1.044 | ×1.200 | — | — | 21.77% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.61% | ÷1.011 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.972 | 3.72% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.70% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.972 | 0.64% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.39% | ÷0.995 | ×0.930 | ×1.034 | ×0.972 | 19.15% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.85% | ÷1.015 | ×0.830 | ×1.034 | ×0.972 | 3.99% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.49% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | ×1.034 | ×0.972 | 0.39% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.31% | ÷0.867 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.972 | 4.96% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 73, 1B 99, 2B 103, 3B 130, K 109, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 27.2 → −2.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.034.
Result: wOBA .317 → .272; ISO .196 → .159; BABIP .273 → .246. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 AAARojos del Aguila de Veracruz · 266 PAwOBA .337 → .285 (−52)K% 23.3% → 27.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.31% | ÷1.004 | ×1.200 | — | — | 27.87% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.89% | ÷1.087 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.982 | 3.05% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.88% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.982 | 1.74% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.92% | ÷0.959 | ×0.930 | ×1.050 | ×0.982 | 26.93% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.49% | ÷1.125 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×0.982 | 4.18% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.10% | ÷1.027 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×0.982 | 1.01% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.95% | ÷1.014 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.982 | 3.35% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 103, 1B 92, 2B 125, 3B 105, K 101, BB 117 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .337 → .285; ISO .168 → .119; BABIP .353 → .332. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2011 AAAOlmecas de Tabasco · 265 PAwOBA .310 → .288 (−22)K% 21.1% → 26.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.13% | ÷0.974 | ×1.200 | — | — | 26.04% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 1.89% | ÷1.032 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.992 | 1.25% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.75% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.992 | 0.70% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.49% | ÷1.019 | ×0.930 | ×1.050 | ×0.992 | 27.09% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.99% | ÷0.991 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×0.992 | 6.10% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.54% | ÷1.040 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×0.992 | 0.50% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.23% | ÷0.828 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.992 | 2.71% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 66, 1B 104, 2B 98, 3B 108, K 95, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .310 → .288; ISO .136 → .120; BABIP .370 → .344. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2010 AAAOlmecas de Tabasco · 103 PAwOBA .302 → .281 (−21)K% 11.7% → 14.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 11.65% | ÷0.965 | ×1.200 | — | — | 14.48% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.71% | ÷1.077 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.003 | 6.24% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.97% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.003 | 0.92% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.74% | ÷1.015 | ×0.930 | ×1.050 | ×1.003 | 19.04% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.53% | ÷0.927 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×1.003 | 9.93% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.022 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.904 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 81, 1B 103, 2B 85, 3B 104, K 93, BB 115 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .302 → .281; ISO .091 → .091; BABIP .303 → .290. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).