Blake Lalli

Pos1B

B/TL/R

Born1983-05-12

Age (2027)44

No MLB projection yet. Career stats below are historical.

Overview

AAALAST SEASON 2017

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2015	32	AAAARI	275	.260/.323/.337	3	0	50	—	.220/.260/.271
2016	33	AAAGwinnett Brav…	380	.256/.304/.328	1	1	42	—	.218/.250/.277
2017	34	AAAGwinnett Brav…	53	.167/.231/.271	1	0	9	—	.143/.192/.245

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2006	23	A	Peoria Chiefs	—	73	68	13	3	0	0	3	11	2	1	1	191	247	235	482	44	228	15	4	226	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	24	A	Peoria Chiefs	—	292	268	79	13	0	4	18	43	3	3	1	295	346	388	734	93	338	15	6	328	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	25	AA	Tennessee Smokies	—	74	70	20	5	0	3	4	18	0	0	0	286	324	486	810	200	347	24	5	356	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	25	A+	Daytona Cubs	—	309	283	97	29	0	7	19	34	3	0	0	343	390	519	910	177	367	11	6	396	120	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	25	A	Peoria Chiefs	—	49	46	13	4	0	1	2	9	0	0	0	283	312	435	747	152	324	18	4	324	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	26	AA	Tennessee Smokies	—	412	373	117	25	0	5	32	50	4	0	2	314	374	421	795	107	350	12	8	356	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	27	AA	Tennessee Smokies	—	524	453	141	23	0	4	68	53	2	0	2	311	403	389	792	77	345	10	13	362	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	28	AA	Tennessee Smokies	—	393	349	100	22	1	9	39	59	2	0	0	287	362	433	794	146	320	15	10	353	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	29	MLB	Chicago Cubs	—	16	15	2	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	133	188	133	321		167	19	6	157	-8	-2	+0	-2	+6	+0	0.3
2012	29	AAA	Sacramento River Cats	—	340	316	81	20	0	8	18	55	0	0	2	256	296	396	692	139	282	16	5	303	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	30	MLB	Milwaukee Brewers	—	24	24	3	0	0	0	0	7	0	0	0	125	125	125	250		176	29	0	113	-37	-4	+0	-1	-6	+1	-1.1
2013	30	AAA	Nashville Sounds	—	311	284	80	14	0	11	22	68	1	0	0	282	336	447	783	165	335	22	7	343	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	31	AAA	Reno Aces	—	312	284	78	17	1	3	27	57	1	0	2	275	340	373	713	99	335	18	9	323	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	31	INTL	Estrellas de Oriente	—	22	17	2	1	0	0	4	3	0	0	0	118	286	176	462	59	143	14	18	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	32	AAA	Reno Aces	—	275	246	64	10	0	3	21	28	2	0	2	260	323	337	661	77	279	10	8	296	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	33	AAA	Gwinnett Braves	—	380	348	89	22	0	1	22	60	2	1	1	256	304	328	631	72	302	16	6	281	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	34	AAA	Gwinnett Braves	—	53	48	8	2	0	1	4	9	0	0	0	167	231	271	502	104	179	17	8	226	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	40	39	5	0	0	0	1	10	0	0	0	128	150	128	278		172	25	2	131	-25	-6	+0	-3	+0	+1	-0.8
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2006	23	A MLE	Peoria Chiefs	—	73	69	11	2	0	0	2	15	2	1	1	159	205	188	394	29	213	21	3	187	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	24	A MLE	Peoria Chiefs	—	292	275	71	11	0	3	11	58	3	3	1	258	294	331	625	73	313	20	4	275	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	25	AA MLE	Tennessee Smokies	—	74	71	16	4	0	2	3	22	0	0	0	225	257	366	623	141	306	30	4	279	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	25	A+ MLE	Daytona Cubs	—	309	290	88	27	0	6	12	48	3	0	0	303	338	459	796	155	341	16	4	346	120	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	25	A MLE	Peoria Chiefs	—	49	47	11	3	0	1	1	12	0	0	0	234	250	362	612	128	278	24	2	256	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	26	AA MLE	Tennessee Smokies	—	412	388	112	24	0	4	17	61	4	0	2	289	325	381	707	93	327	15	4	311	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	27	AA MLE	Tennessee Smokies	—	524	484	136	20	0	3	37	68	2	0	2	281	335	341	676	60	319	13	7	305	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	28	AA MLE	Tennessee Smokies	—	393	366	93	21	1	8	22	76	2	0	0	254	300	383	683	128	290	19	6	293	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	29	MLB MLE	Chicago Cubs	—	16	15	2	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	133	188	133	321		167	19	6	156	-8	-2	+0	-2	+6	+0	0.3
2012	29	AAA MLE	Sacramento River Cats	—	340	323	73	15	0	7	11	69	0	0	2	226	251	337	589	111	255	20	3	255	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	30	MLB MLE	Milwaukee Brewers	—	24	24	3	0	0	0	0	7	0	0	0	125	125	125	250		176	29	0	114	-37	-4	+0	-1	-6	+1	-1.1
2013	30	AAA MLE	Nashville Sounds	—	311	294	67	10	0	9	12	90	1	0	0	228	261	354	614	126	292	29	4	265	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	31	AAA MLE	Reno Aces	—	312	295	60	12	1	2	16	76	1	0	2	203	247	271	518	68	269	24	5	232	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	32	AAA MLE	Reno Aces	—	275	255	56	7	0	2	12	37	2	0	2	220	260	271	531	51	242	13	4	242	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	33	AAA MLE	Gwinnett Braves	—	380	357	78	18	0	1	13	69	2	1	1	218	250	277	527	59	257	18	3	230	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	34	AAA MLE	Gwinnett Braves	—	53	49	7	2	0	1	3	11	0	0	0	143	192	245	437	102	153	21	6	181	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	23	A MLE	Peoria Chiefs	—	73	69	11	2	0	0	2	15	2	1	1	159	205	188	394	29	204	21	3	187	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	23	A RAW	Peoria Chiefs	—	73	68	13	3	0	0	3	11	2	1	1	191	247	235	482	44	228	15	4	226	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	24	A MLE	Peoria Chiefs	—	292	275	71	11	0	3	11	58	3	3	1	258	294	331	625	73	316	20	4	275	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	24	A RAW	Peoria Chiefs	—	292	268	79	13	0	4	18	43	3	3	1	295	346	388	734	93	338	15	6	328	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	25	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	432	408	116	35	0	9	16	82	3	0	0	284	316	436	752	152	333	19	4	324	106	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	25	A+ RAW	3 teams	—	432	399	130	38	0	11	25	61	3	0	0	326	370	504	874	178	360	14	6	381	106	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	26	AA MLE	Tennessee Smokies	—	412	388	112	24	0	4	17	61	4	0	2	289	325	381	707	93	332	15	4	311	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	26	AA RAW	Tennessee Smokies	—	412	373	117	25	0	5	32	50	4	0	2	314	374	421	795	107	350	12	8	356	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	27	AA MLE	Tennessee Smokies	—	524	484	136	20	0	3	37	68	2	0	2	281	335	341	676	60	321	13	7	305	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	27	AA RAW	Tennessee Smokies	—	524	453	141	23	0	4	68	53	2	0	2	311	403	389	792	77	345	10	13	362	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	28	AA MLE	Tennessee Smokies	—	393	366	93	21	1	8	22	76	2	0	0	254	300	383	683	128	298	19	6	293	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	28	AA RAW	Tennessee Smokies	—	393	349	100	22	1	9	39	59	2	0	0	287	362	433	794	146	320	15	10	353	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	29	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	356	338	75	15	0	7	12	72	0	0	2	222	249	328	577	107	257	20	3	251	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	29	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	356	331	83	20	0	8	19	58	0	0	2	251	291	384	675	133	277	16	5	296	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	30	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	335	318	70	10	0	9	12	97	1	0	0	220	251	336	587	116	286	29	4	254	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	30	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	335	308	83	14	0	11	22	75	1	0	0	269	320	422	742	153	323	22	7	327	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	31	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	334	315	65	13	1	2	17	81	1	0	2	206	249	273	522	67	272	24	5	232	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	31	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	334	301	80	18	1	3	31	60	1	0	2	266	336	362	698	96	324	18	9	317	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	32	AAA MLE	Reno Aces	—	275	255	56	7	0	2	12	37	2	0	2	220	260	271	531	51	245	13	4	242	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	32	AAA RAW	Reno Aces	—	275	246	64	10	0	3	21	28	2	0	2	260	323	337	661	77	279	10	8	296	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	33	AAA MLE	Gwinnett Braves	—	380	357	78	18	0	1	13	69	2	1	1	218	250	277	527	59	265	18	3	230	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	33	AAA RAW	Gwinnett Braves	—	380	348	89	22	0	1	22	60	2	1	1	256	304	328	631	72	302	16	6	281	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	34	AAA MLE	Gwinnett Braves	—	53	49	7	2	0	1	3	11	0	0	0	143	192	245	437	102	158	21	6	181	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	34	AAA RAW	Gwinnett Braves	—	53	48	8	2	0	1	4	9	0	0	0	167	231	271	502	104	179	17	8	226	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	23	A MLE	Peoria Chiefs	—	73	69	11	2	0	0	2	15	2	1	1	159	205	188	394	29	213	21	3	187	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	24	A MLE	Peoria Chiefs	—	292	276	71	11	0	3	11	58	3	3	1	257	294	330	624	72	313	20	4	275	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	25	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	432	410	116	35	0	9	16	82	3	0	0	283	316	434	750	151	328	19	4	324	106	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	26	AA MLE	Tennessee Smokies	—	412	388	112	24	0	4	17	61	4	0	2	289	325	381	707	93	327	15	4	311	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	27	AA MLE	Tennessee Smokies	—	524	480	136	20	0	3	37	68	2	0	2	283	335	344	678	60	319	13	7	305	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	28	AA MLE	Tennessee Smokies	—	393	366	93	21	1	8	22	76	2	0	0	254	300	383	683	128	290	19	6	293	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	29	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	356	341	75	15	0	7	12	72	0	0	2	220	249	326	574	106	251	20	3	251	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	30	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	335	319	70	10	0	9	12	97	1	0	0	219	251	335	586	116	284	29	4	254	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	31	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	334	313	65	13	1	2	17	81	1	0	2	208	249	275	524	67	269	24	5	232	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	32	AAA MLE	Reno Aces	—	275	259	56	7	0	2	12	37	2	0	2	216	260	266	527	50	242	13	4	242	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	33	AAA MLE	Gwinnett Braves	—	380	362	78	18	0	1	13	69	2	1	1	215	250	273	523	58	257	18	3	230	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	34	AAA MLE	Gwinnett Braves	—	53	50	7	2	0	1	3	11	0	0	0	140	192	240	432	100	153	21	6	181	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	40	39	5	0	0	0	1	10	0	0	0	128	150	128	278		172	25	2	131	71	-6	+0	-3	+0	+1	-0.8
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	634	81	0	0	0	16	162	0	0	0	128	149	128	277		172	25	2	131	71	-97	+0	-51	+6	+14	-13.0
Career	—	MLE		—	3859	3622	890	178	2	49	174	727	22	5	13	246	284	337	621	91	293	19	5	273	71	-6	+0	-3	+0	+1	-0.8
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	610	149	30	0	8	29	122	4	1	2	244	283	333	616	89	291	19	4	273	71	-97	+0	-51	+6	+14	-13.0

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2017 AAAGwinnett Braves · 53 PAwOBA .224 → .181 (−43)K% 17.0% → 20.6%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	16.98%	÷0.989	×1.200	—	—	20.61%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	7.55%	÷0.999	×0.690	—	×0.940	4.90%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.940	—	×0.940	0.00%
Singles /BIP	12.82%	÷1.005	×0.930	×0.999	×0.940	11.15%
Doubles /BIP	5.13%	÷0.936	×0.830	×0.999	×0.940	4.27%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.005	×0.970	×0.999	×0.940	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	2.56%	÷0.972	×0.840	—	×0.940	2.08%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 94, 1B 101, 2B 87, 3B 101, K 98, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 34 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (6.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.999.

Result: wOBA .224 → .181; ISO .104 → .087; BABIP .179 → .153. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2016 AAAGwinnett Braves · 380 PAwOBA .275 → .230 (−45)K% 15.8% → 18.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	15.79%	÷1.046	×1.200	—	—	18.11%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	5.26%	÷1.022	×0.690	—	×0.942	3.35%
HBP% /PA	0.53%	—	×0.940	—	×0.942	0.47%
Singles /BIP	22.92%	÷1.017	×0.930	×1.009	×0.942	19.92%
Doubles /BIP	7.64%	÷0.991	×0.830	×1.009	×0.942	6.08%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.150	×0.970	×1.009	×0.942	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.35%	÷1.132	×0.840	—	×0.942	0.24%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 126, 1B 103, 2B 98, 3B 130, K 109, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 33 vs a level average of 27.2 → −5.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.009.

Result: wOBA .275 → .230; ISO .072 → .058; BABIP .302 → .257. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2015 AAAReno Aces · 275 PAwOBA .287 → .242 (−45)K% 10.2% → 13.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	10.18%	÷0.969	×1.290	—	—	13.55%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	6.18%	÷0.997	×0.710	—	×0.952	4.19%
HBP% /PA	0.73%	—	×0.980	—	×0.952	0.68%
Singles /BIP	23.39%	÷0.964	×0.900	×1.013	×0.952	21.05%
Doubles /BIP	4.59%	÷1.083	×0.810	×1.013	×0.952	3.31%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.150	×0.810	×1.013	×0.952	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	1.38%	÷1.027	×0.780	—	×0.952	0.99%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 105, 1B 93, 2B 117, 3B 130, K 94, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 32 vs a level average of 27.2 → −4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.013.

Result: wOBA .287 → .242; ISO .077 → .057; BABIP .279 → .242. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2014 AAAReno Aces · 312 PAwOBA .313 → .232 (−80)K% 18.3% → 24.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	18.27%	÷0.965	×1.290	—	—	24.42%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	8.01%	÷1.049	×0.710	—	×0.962	5.22%
HBP% /PA	0.32%	—	×0.980	—	×0.962	0.30%
Singles /BIP	25.11%	÷1.047	×0.900	×1.001	×0.962	20.78%
Doubles /BIP	7.49%	÷1.047	×0.810	×1.001	×0.962	5.58%
Triples /BIP	0.44%	÷1.150	×0.810	×1.001	×0.962	0.30%
Home runs /BIP	1.32%	÷1.116	×0.780	—	×0.962	0.89%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 123, 1B 109, 2B 109, 3B 130, K 93, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 31 vs a level average of 27.2 → −3.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.001.

Result: wOBA .313 → .232; ISO .099 → .068; BABIP .335 → .269. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2013 AAANashville Sounds · 311 PAwOBA .331 → .265 (−66)K% 21.9% → 29.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	21.86%	÷0.971	×1.290	—	—	29.04%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	6.11%	÷1.054	×0.710	—	×0.972	4.00%
HBP% /PA	0.32%	—	×0.980	—	×0.972	0.31%
Singles /BIP	25.46%	÷1.001	×0.900	×1.050	×0.972	23.37%
Doubles /BIP	6.48%	÷1.119	×0.810	×1.050	×0.972	4.79%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.900	×0.810	×1.050	×0.972	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	5.09%	÷0.934	×0.780	—	×0.972	4.14%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 87, 1B 100, 2B 124, 3B 80, K 94, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 27.2 → −2.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .331 → .265; ISO .165 → .126; BABIP .335 → .292. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2012 AAASacramento River Cats · 340 PAwOBA .298 → .255 (−44)K% 16.2% → 20.2%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	16.18%	÷1.034	×1.290	—	—	20.19%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	5.00%	÷1.064	×0.710	—	×0.982	3.28%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.980	—	×0.982	0.00%
Singles /BIP	20.31%	÷0.940	×0.900	×1.020	×0.982	19.48%
Doubles /BIP	7.66%	÷1.045	×0.810	×1.020	×0.982	5.95%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.062	×0.810	×1.020	×0.982	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	3.07%	÷0.925	×0.780	—	×0.982	2.54%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 85, 1B 88, 2B 109, 3B 112, K 107, BB 113 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.020.

Result: wOBA .298 → .255; ISO .139 → .112; BABIP .282 → .255. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2011 AATennessee Smokies · 393 PAwOBA .344 → .293 (−51)K% 15.0% → 19.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	15.01%	÷0.951	×1.220	—	—	19.26%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	9.16%	÷1.090	×0.680	—	×0.968	5.53%
HBP% /PA	0.51%	—	×0.840	—	×0.968	0.41%
Singles /BIP	23.45%	÷1.029	×0.920	×1.050	×0.968	21.31%
Doubles /BIP	7.59%	÷1.001	×0.910	×1.050	×0.968	7.01%
Triples /BIP	0.34%	÷1.150	×0.880	×1.050	×0.968	0.27%
Home runs /BIP	3.10%	÷0.937	×0.800	—	×0.968	2.56%

Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 87, 1B 106, 2B 100, 3B 130, K 90, BB 118 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 24.8 → −3.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .344 → .293; ISO .146 → .128; BABIP .320 → .290. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2010 AATennessee Smokies · 524 PAwOBA .348 → .305 (−43)K% 10.1% → 12.9%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	10.11%	÷0.960	×1.220	—	—	12.86%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	11.26%	÷1.048	×0.680	—	×0.978	7.14%
HBP% /PA	0.38%	—	×0.840	—	×0.978	0.31%
Singles /BIP	28.50%	÷0.988	×0.920	×1.039	×0.978	26.98%
Doubles /BIP	5.75%	÷1.126	×0.910	×1.039	×0.978	4.72%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.006	×0.880	×1.039	×0.978	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	1.00%	÷1.049	×0.800	—	×0.978	0.75%

Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 110, 1B 98, 2B 125, 3B 101, K 92, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 24.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.039.

Result: wOBA .348 → .305; ISO .077 → .064; BABIP .345 → .319. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .