Kade Anderson
P
Arkansas Travelers
+1.2
WAR
Age 22
LHP
6'2" / 179 lbs
AA
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033
peak 0.2 · 2027
ERA4.28
FIP4.28
xFIP—
SIERA—
K%23.7%
BB%9.2%
K-BB%14.5%
IP9
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.2peak
2027
OFP—55
K†5560
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 22 | AA | Arkansas Travelers | 2 | 2 | 9 | 35 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 39.3% | 9.4% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 0.97 | +0.4 |
| ROS | 22 | MLB | SEA | 16 | 16 | 90 | 380 | 90 | 35 | 11 | 23.7% | 9.2% | 3.0% | 4.28 | 4.28 | +1.0 |
| 2026 Total | 22 | MLB | SEA | — | — | 99 | 415 | 107 | 38 | 11 | 25.8% | 9.1% | 2.7% | 3.89 | 3.98 | +1.5 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 23 | MLB | SEA | 21 | 21 | 113 | 479 | 116 | 41 | 14 | 24.2% | 8.6% | 2.9% | 4.19 | 4.14 | +1.5 |
| 2028 | 24 | MLB | SEA | 24 | 24 | 132 | 558 | 137 | 47 | 16 | 24.6% | 8.3% | 2.9% | 4.11 | 4.05 | +1.9 |
| 2029 | 25 | MLB | SEA | 27 | 27 | 146 | 616 | 153 | 50 | 18 | 24.9% | 8.2% | 2.9% | 4.06 | 4.01 | +2.1 |
| 2030 | 26 | MLB | SEA | 28 | 28 | 153 | 646 | 161 | 52 | 19 | 25.0% | 8.1% | 2.9% | 4.02 | 3.99 | +2.3 |
| 2031 | 27 | MLB | SEA | 28 | 28 | 156 | 658 | 164 | 54 | 19 | 25.0% | 8.2% | 2.9% | 4.01 | 4.00 | +2.3 |
| 2032 | 28 | MLB | SEA | 28 | 28 | 156 | 657 | 164 | 54 | 19 | 24.9% | 8.2% | 2.9% | 4.02 | 4.03 | +2.2 |
| 2033 | 29 | MLB | SEA | 28 | 28 | 152 | 642 | 159 | 53 | 19 | 24.8% | 8.3% | 3.0% | 4.05 | 4.07 | +2.1 |
| 2034 | 30 | MLB | SEA | 27 | 27 | 147 | 622 | 153 | 52 | 19 | 24.6% | 8.4% | 3.1% | 4.10 | 4.14 | +1.9 |
| 2035 | 31 | MLB | SEA | 26 | 26 | 142 | 600 | 146 | 51 | 19 | 24.4% | 8.5% | 3.1% | 4.17 | 4.21 | +1.8 |
| 2036 | 32 | MLB | SEA | 25 | 25 | 136 | 576 | 139 | 50 | 18 | 24.1% | 8.7% | 3.2% | 4.25 | 4.30 | +1.5 |
| 2037 | 33 | MLB | SEA | 24 | 24 | 130 | 551 | 131 | 49 | 18 | 23.8% | 8.8% | 3.3% | 4.34 | 4.40 | +1.3 |
| 2038 | 34 | MLB | SEA | 23 | 23 | 124 | 523 | 123 | 47 | 18 | 23.4% | 9.0% | 3.4% | 4.44 | 4.51 | +1.1 |
| 2039 | 35 | MLB | SEA | 21 | 21 | 117 | 493 | 114 | 46 | 17 | 23.1% | 9.3% | 3.5% | 4.55 | 4.63 | +0.9 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 2 | 2 | 9 | 35 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 39.3% | 9.4% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 0.97 | +0.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 44 | 44 | 200 | 778 | 311 | 67 | 0 | 39.3% | 9.4% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 0.97 | +9.8 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Kade Anderson (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.28 | 23.7% | 9.2% | 3.0% | — | 4.06 | 24.6% | 16.2% | 392 | -0.22 | — | — | — |
| Drew Parrish L 2027 · 3.45 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.45 | 24.1% | 7.9% | 2.5% | .261 | 5.90 | 16.8% | 6.5% | 354 | +2.45 | 3.45 | 522 | 91 |
| Jordan Wicks L 2026 · 3.85 FIP | 22 | SP- | 3.85 | 23.5% | 7.9% | 3.2% | .329 | 4.15 | 21.1% | 12.8% | 278 | +0.30 | 3.00 | 373 | 90 |
| Anthony Veneziano L 2027 · 4.27 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.27 | 24.9% | 10.8% | 3.5% | .298 | 5.02 | 18.7% | 8.0% | 358 | +0.75 | 4.27 | 501 | 89 |
| Will Dion L 2026 · 3.40 FIP | 22 | SP- | 3.40 | 22.7% | 7.9% | 2.2% | .285 | 4.12 | 20.6% | 11.1% | 332 | +0.72 | 3.39 | 448 | 89 |
| Adam Seminaris L 2026 · 3.95 FIP | 22 | SP- | 3.95 | 22.7% | 8.3% | 3.1% | .357 | 3.74 | 18.2% | 9.3% | 230 | -0.21 | 3.01 | 453 | 88 |
| Connelly Early L 2026 · 3.34 FIP | 22 | SP- | 3.34 | 24.1% | 9.8% | 1.9% | .292 | 2.66 | 27.5% | 17.6% | 139 | -0.68 | 2.56 | 243 | 88 |
| Will Johnston L 2027 · 3.96 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.96 | 24.8% | 11.6% | 2.7% | .290 | 4.18 | 23.6% | 9.9% | 70 | +0.22 | 3.96 | 162 | 88 |
| Nick Zwack L 2027 · 3.15 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.15 | 23.9% | 9.3% | 1.6% | .299 | 5.76 | 18.2% | 8.4% | 143 | +2.61 | 3.15 | 248 | 87 |
| A.J. Block L 2027 · 3.73 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.73 | 22.8% | 10.0% | 2.4% | .262 | 5.75 | 20.1% | 8.4% | 51 | +2.02 | 3.65 | 203 | 87 |
| Jonathan Santucci L 2026 · 3.63 FIP | 22 | SP- | 3.63 | 22.6% | 9.6% | 2.2% | .294 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.63 | 118 | 87 |
| Gage Jump L 2026 · 3.19 FIP | 22 | SP- | 3.19 | 22.6% | 7.9% | 1.8% | .286 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.19 | 113 | 87 |
| Trey Dombroski L 2026 · 4.48 FIP | 22 | SP- | 4.48 | 22.3% | 8.4% | 4.0% | .280 | 4.58 | 19.7% | 9.9% | 210 | +0.10 | 3.76 | 329 | 86 |
| Cade Povich L 2026 · 4.10 FIP | 22 | SP- | 4.10 | 23.9% | 9.2% | 3.4% | .293 | 4.05 | 23.8% | 13.8% | 414 | -0.05 | 3.75 | 528 | 86 |
| Ben Shields L 2029 · 3.23 FIP | 25 | SP- | 3.23 | 25.3% | 8.2% | 2.2% | .273 | 3.05 | 23.5% | 13.3% | 43 | -0.18 | 3.05 | 147 | 85 |
| Andrew Abbott L 2027 · 3.36 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.36 | 26.0% | 10.9% | 2.0% | .336 | 3.86 | 23.8% | 15.7% | 468 | +0.50 | 3.36 | 606 | 84 |
| Rodney Boone L 2026 · 4.57 FIP | 22 | SP- | 4.57 | 22.2% | 7.2% | 4.4% | .286 | 4.53 | 19.0% | 9.7% | 197 | -0.04 | 3.62 | 311 | 84 |
| James Reeves L 2027 · 3.34 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.34 | 21.9% | 8.7% | 1.8% | .237 | 3.30 | 23.0% | 13.1% | 146 | -0.04 | 2.02 | 280 | 84 |
| Ken Waldichuk L 2027 · 4.04 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.04 | 28.7% | 12.5% | 3.2% | .279 | 4.19 | 24.1% | 14.1% | 271 | +0.15 | 3.49 | 432 | 83 |
| Hayden Mullins L 2027 · 4.40 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.40 | 23.4% | 12.4% | 3.1% | .288 | 3.85 | 24.0% | 10.3% | 102 | -0.55 | 3.85 | 191 | 83 |
| Brandon Williamson L 2027 · 3.66 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.66 | 29.7% | 9.0% | 3.5% | .340 | 4.58 | 18.7% | 7.1% | 288 | +0.92 | 3.66 | 402 | 83 |
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2028
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2033
First FA Year 2034
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2028 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2028 | |||
| 2028 | Ext | beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate | |||
| 2029 | Ext | beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate | |||
| 2030 | Ext | beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate | |||
| 2031 | Ext | beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate | |||
| 2032 | Ext | beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate | |||
| 2033 | Ext | beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate | |||
| Totals | $0.0M | $0.0M | +$0.0M | ||