Kade Anderson
P
Arkansas Travelers
Age 22
LHP
6'2" / 179 lbs
AA
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2032
peak 0.5 · 2027
2026 ROS PROJECTION73 act + 27 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 8897vR 106
ERA3.79
FIP3.79
K%26.8%
BB%7.4%
K-BB%19.4%
ROS IP27
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 100 IP
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Grades · Contract
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 22 | AA | Arkansas Travelers | 14 | 14 | 73 | 261 | 108 | 10 | 4 | 100% | 5.2 | 33.5% | 4.2% | 29.3% | 1.8% | 1.36 | 1.81 | +2.6 |
| ROS | 22 | MLB | SEA | 5 | 5 | 27 | 115 | 31 | 9 | 3 | 100% | 5.5 | 26.8% | 7.4% | 19.4% | 3.0% | 3.79 | 3.79 | +0.2 |
| ROS | 22 | MLB | SEA | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 1.0 | 26.8% | 7.4% | 19.4% | 2.9% | 3.75 | 3.75 | +0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 22 | MLB | SEA | — | — | 100 | 376 | 139 | 19 | 7 | — | — | 36.9% | 4.9% | 32.0% | 2.0% | 2.03 | 2.35 | +3.6 |
| 2026 FULL | 22 | MLB | SEA | — | — | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 26.8% | 7.4% | 19.4% | 2.9% | 3.75 | 3.37 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 23 | MLB | SEA | 26 | 26 | 138 | 582 | 158 | 42 | 17 | 100% | 5.3 | 27.1% | 7.1% | 20.0% | 2.9% | 3.76 | 3.70 | +2.7 |
| 2028 | 24 | MLB | SEA | 30 | 30 | 167 | 706 | 193 | 49 | 21 | 100% | 5.6 | 27.3% | 7.0% | 20.3% | 2.9% | 3.71 | 3.65 | +3.4 |
| 2029 | 25 | MLB | SEA | 30 | 30 | 175 | 739 | 203 | 51 | 21 | 100% | 5.8 | 27.4% | 6.9% | 20.6% | 2.9% | 3.67 | 3.62 | +3.6 |
| 2030 | 26 | MLB | SEA | 29 | 29 | 175 | 739 | 203 | 51 | 21 | 100% | 6.0 | 27.5% | 6.9% | 20.7% | 2.9% | 3.65 | 3.62 | +3.6 |
| 2031 | 27 | MLB | SEA | 29 | 29 | 172 | 728 | 200 | 50 | 21 | 100% | 5.9 | 27.5% | 6.9% | 20.6% | 2.9% | 3.65 | 3.66 | +3.5 |
| 2032 | 28 | MLB | SEA | 28 | 28 | 167 | 706 | 193 | 50 | 22 | 100% | 6.0 | 27.4% | 7.1% | 20.3% | 3.0% | 3.70 | 3.74 | +3.2 |
| 2033 | 29 | MLB | SEA | 27 | 27 | 160 | 674 | 183 | 49 | 22 | 100% | 5.9 | 27.1% | 7.3% | 19.8% | 3.2% | 3.80 | 3.87 | +2.9 |
| 2034 | 30 | MLB | SEA | 25 | 25 | 150 | 634 | 170 | 48 | 22 | 100% | 6.0 | 26.8% | 7.6% | 19.2% | 3.4% | 3.95 | 4.05 | +2.4 |
| 2035 | 31 | MLB | SEA | 23 | 23 | 140 | 591 | 156 | 47 | 21 | 100% | 6.1 | 26.4% | 8.0% | 18.4% | 3.6% | 4.13 | 4.25 | +1.9 |
| 2036 | 32 | MLB | SEA | 22 | 22 | 130 | 547 | 142 | 46 | 21 | 100% | 5.9 | 25.9% | 8.4% | 17.6% | 3.9% | 4.34 | 4.48 | +1.4 |
| 2037 | 33 | MLB | SEA | 20 | 20 | 119 | 502 | 128 | 44 | 21 | 100% | 5.9 | 25.4% | 8.8% | 16.6% | 4.2% | 4.57 | 4.73 | +0.9 |
| 2027 | 23 | MLB | SEA | 13 | 13 | 69 | 291 | 79 | 21 | 8 | 100% | 5.3 | 27.1% | 7.1% | 20.0% | 2.9% | 3.72 | 3.66 | +0.9 |
| 2028 | 24 | MLB | SEA | 21 | 21 | 118 | 498 | 136 | 35 | 14 | 100% | 5.6 | 27.3% | 7.0% | 20.3% | 2.8% | 3.67 | 3.61 | +2.5 |
| 2029 | 25 | MLB | SEA | 24 | 24 | 142 | 600 | 165 | 41 | 17 | 100% | 5.9 | 27.4% | 6.9% | 20.6% | 2.8% | 3.63 | 3.58 | +3.0 |
| 2030 | 26 | MLB | SEA | 26 | 26 | 153 | 646 | 178 | 44 | 18 | 100% | 5.9 | 27.5% | 6.9% | 20.7% | 2.8% | 3.61 | 3.58 | +3.3 |
| 2031 | 27 | MLB | SEA | 26 | 26 | 156 | 659 | 181 | 46 | 19 | 100% | 6.0 | 27.5% | 6.9% | 20.6% | 2.9% | 3.61 | 3.62 | +3.2 |
| 2032 | 28 | MLB | SEA | 26 | 26 | 154 | 650 | 178 | 46 | 19 | 100% | 5.9 | 27.4% | 7.1% | 20.3% | 3.0% | 3.66 | 3.70 | +3.1 |
| 2033 | 29 | MLB | SEA | 25 | 25 | 149 | 629 | 171 | 46 | 20 | 100% | 6.0 | 27.1% | 7.3% | 19.8% | 3.1% | 3.76 | 3.83 | +2.7 |
| 2034 | 30 | MLB | SEA | 24 | 24 | 141 | 595 | 159 | 45 | 20 | 100% | 5.9 | 26.8% | 7.6% | 19.2% | 3.3% | 3.90 | 4.00 | +2.3 |
| 2035 | 31 | MLB | SEA | 22 | 22 | 133 | 562 | 148 | 45 | 20 | 100% | 6.0 | 26.4% | 8.0% | 18.4% | 3.5% | 4.08 | 4.20 | +1.9 |
| 2036 | 32 | MLB | SEA | 20 | 20 | 123 | 519 | 135 | 43 | 20 | 100% | 6.2 | 25.9% | 8.4% | 17.6% | 3.8% | 4.29 | 4.43 | +1.4 |
| 2037 | 33 | MLB | SEA | 19 | 19 | 113 | 477 | 121 | 42 | 19 | 100% | 5.9 | 25.4% | 8.8% | 16.6% | 4.0% | 4.51 | 4.67 | +1.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 245 | 245 | 1451 | 6126 | 1651 | 454 | 194 | 100% | 5.9 | 26.9% | 7.4% | 19.5% | 3.2% | 3.84 | 3.50 | +32.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 34 | 34 | 200 | 844 | 228 | 63 | 27 | 100% | 5.9 | 26.9% | 7.4% | 19.5% | 3.2% | 3.84 | 3.50 | +4.4 | ||
| Career | — | 14 | 14 | 73 | 261 | 87 | 11 | 5 | 100% | 5.2 | 33.5% | 4.2% | 29.3% | 1.8% | 1.36 | 1.81 | +2.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 39 | 39 | 200 | 718 | 241 | 30 | 13 | 100% | 5.2 | 33.5% | 4.2% | 29.3% | 1.8% | 1.36 | 1.81 | +8.4 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Kade Anderson (OGILVIE) | — | — | 3.79 | 26.8% | 7.4% | 3.0% | — | 3.65 | 27.3% | 20.3% | 480 | -0.14 | — | — | — |
| Taylor Varnell L 2027 · 2.89 FIP | 23 | SP | 2.89 | 22.5% | 6.8% | 1.5% | .252 | 4.07 | 19.5% | 9.5% | 202 | +1.18 | 2.89 | 248 | 80 |
| Reid Detmers L 2026 · 3.95 FIP | 22 | SP | 3.95 | 29.9% | 9.1% | 4.0% | .335 | 4.27 | 25.4% | 16.6% | 443 | +0.32 | 2.84 | 690 | 78 |
| Andre Davis L 2026 · 4.14 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.14 | 19.3% | 5.4% | 3.6% | .320 | 5.00 | 17.0% | 8.8% | 98 | +0.86 | 4.14 | 154 | 76 |
| Jake Bennett L 2026 · 3.54 FIP | 22 | SP | 3.54 | 21.2% | 7.2% | 2.4% | .339 | 3.10 | 19.0% | 12.8% | 156 | -0.44 | 2.79 | 219 | 75 |
| Jake Eder L 2026 · 2.73 FIP | 22 | SP | 2.73 | 27.9% | 10.3% | 1.2% | .253 | 5.07 | 20.8% | 7.4% | 156 | +2.34 | 2.73 | 335 | 74 |
| Andrew Suárez L 2026 · 4.05 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.05 | 21.6% | 4.0% | 4.1% | .297 | 3.93 | 18.0% | 11.7% | 476 | -0.12 | 3.70 | 717 | 73 |
| Tyler Skaggs L 2029 · 3.21 FIP | 25 | SP | 3.21 | 26.1% | 9.2% | 2.1% | .300 | 3.81 | 23.0% | 15.2% | 290 | +0.60 | 3.21 | 372 | 73 |
| Adam Seminaris L 2026 · 3.90 FIP | 22 | SP | 3.90 | 22.7% | 8.3% | 3.0% | .357 | 3.75 | 18.2% | 9.3% | 230 | -0.15 | 3.11 | 524 | 72 |
| Brandon Williamson L 2027 · 3.75 FIP | 23 | SP | 3.75 | 29.7% | 9.0% | 3.7% | .340 | 4.60 | 18.7% | 7.1% | 288 | +0.85 | 3.75 | 414 | 72 |
| Jordan Wicks L 2026 · 3.89 FIP | 22 | SP | 3.89 | 23.5% | 7.9% | 3.2% | .329 | 4.07 | 21.1% | 12.8% | 278 | +0.18 | 2.93 | 431 | 71 |
| Austin Warner L 2027 · 4.06 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.06 | 18.6% | 8.1% | 2.7% | .291 | 4.43 | 17.6% | 9.4% | 284 | +0.37 | 3.88 | 491 | 70 |
| Drew Parrish L 2027 · 3.53 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.53 | 24.1% | 7.9% | 2.7% | .261 | 6.22 | 16.8% | 6.5% | 354 | +2.69 | 3.53 | 522 | 70 |
| Anthony Veneziano L 2027 · 4.24 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.24 | 24.9% | 10.8% | 3.4% | .298 | 5.19 | 18.7% | 8.0% | 358 | +0.95 | 4.24 | 501 | 70 |
| Sam Weatherly L 2026 · 3.86 FIP | 22 | SP | 3.86 | 24.0% | 12.8% | 2.1% | .323 | 4.14 | 21.9% | 8.9% | 41 | +0.28 | 3.86 | 189 | 69 |
| Austin Emener L 2026 · 4.86 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.86 | 19.4% | 9.3% | 4.1% | .306 | 5.42 | 23.7% | 8.9% | 49 | +0.56 | 4.86 | 109 | 69 |
| Brent Killam L 2027 · 4.35 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.35 | 29.1% | 14.5% | 3.4% | .284 | 7.12 | 18.4% | 9.6% | 80 | +2.77 | 4.35 | 121 | 69 |
| Nate Payne L 2024 · 4.87 FIP | 20 | SP | 4.87 | 25.5% | 9.5% | 5.0% | .321 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.44 | 131 | 69 |
| Carson Dorsey L 2026 · 2.99 FIP | 22 | SP | 2.99 | 24.5% | 11.5% | 0.9% | .313 | 5.47 | 18.3% | 5.8% | 65 | +2.48 | 2.99 | 107 | 69 |
| Noah Cameron L 2027 · 2.86 FIP | 23 | SP | 2.86 | 28.6% | 7.7% | 2.2% | .336 | 4.35 | 22.3% | 14.3% | 407 | +1.49 | 2.86 | 563 | 69 |
| Cody Bradford L 2027 · 3.89 FIP | 23 | SP | 3.89 | 24.6% | 5.9% | 3.9% | .345 | 4.22 | 20.7% | 14.9% | 325 | +0.33 | 3.45 | 422 | 68 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 12 | 143 | 27.0% | 7.4% | 1.24 | 3.87 |
| Lance Lynn ('24) | 9 | 154 | 23.9% | 8.1% | 1.20 | 3.86 |
| Jon Gray ('24) | 10 | 122 | 23.4% | 7.8% | 1.15 | 4.45 |
| Rich Hill ('23) | 9 | 104 | 25.0% | 8.0% | 1.12 | 3.65 |
| Joe Musgrove ('24) | 9 | 117 | 23.9% | 6.0% | 1.13 | 3.73 |
| Kenta Maeda ('24) | 8 | 122 | 25.9% | 6.9% | 1.30 | 4.17 |
| James Paxton ('24) | 8 | 106 | 25.8% | 7.7% | 1.12 | 3.89 |