Drew Parrish
P
Chattanooga Lookouts
Age 28
LHP
5'11" / 200 lbs
AA
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 69 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 127136vR 145
ERA5.63
FIP5.63
K%15.9%
BB%9.8%
K-BB%6.0%
ROS IP69
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 69 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 22 | 18 | 99 | 392 | 118 | 28 | 8 | 82% | 4.5 | 24.1% | 7.9% | 16.3% | 2.7% | 2.83 | 3.53 | — |
| 2021 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 22 | 18 | 99 | 392 | 118 | 28 | 8 | 82% | 4.5 | 30.1% | 7.1% | 23.0% | 2.0% | 2.83 | 2.61 | — |
| 2022 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 27 | 25 | 129 | 545 | 99 | 58 | 20 | 93% | 4.8 | 15.4% | 11.3% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.13 | 5.70 | — |
| 2022 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 27 | 25 | 129 | 545 | 99 | 58 | 20 | 93% | 4.8 | 18.2% | 10.6% | 7.5% | 3.7% | 4.13 | 4.93 | — |
| 2023 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 28 | 24 | 117 | 544 | 96 | 73 | 32 | 86% | 4.2 | 15.1% | 14.2% | 0.9% | 7.9% | 6.54 | 7.94 | — |
| 2023 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 28 | 24 | 117 | 544 | 96 | 73 | 32 | 86% | 4.2 | 17.6% | 13.4% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.54 | 6.89 | — |
| 2024 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 29 | 18 | 115 | 465 | 113 | 23 | 16 | 62% | 4.0 | 20.2% | 4.8% | 15.4% | 5.4% | 3.28 | 4.97 | — |
| 2024 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 29 | 18 | 115 | 465 | 113 | 23 | 16 | 62% | 4.0 | 24.3% | 4.9% | 19.4% | 3.4% | 3.28 | 3.54 | — |
| 2025 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 29 | 9 | 70 | 310 | 57 | 29 | 9 | 31% | 2.4 | 15.2% | 10.1% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 4.37 | 5.16 | — |
| 2025 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 29 | 9 | 70 | 310 | 57 | 29 | 9 | 31% | 2.4 | 18.4% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 2.9% | 4.37 | 4.39 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 28 | MLB | CIN | 12 | 12 | 69 | 293 | 46 | 29 | 12 | 100% | 5.8 | 15.9% | 9.8% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 5.63 | 5.63 | -0.7 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | CIN | 11 | 11 | 66 | 280 | 46 | 28 | 12 | 100% | 6.0 | 16.4% | 10.0% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 5.58 | 5.63 | -0.7 |
| 2028 | 30 | MLB | CIN | 10 | 10 | 62 | 263 | 44 | 27 | 11 | 100% | 6.2 | 16.6% | 10.2% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 5.62 | 5.71 | -0.8 |
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | CIN | 4 | 4 | 21 | 89 | 15 | 9 | 4 | 100% | 5.2 | 16.4% | 10.0% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 5.58 | 5.63 | -0.3 |
| 2028 | 30 | MLB | CIN | 5 | 5 | 32 | 135 | 22 | 14 | 6 | 100% | 6.4 | 16.6% | 10.2% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 5.62 | 5.71 | -0.4 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 9 | 9 | 53 | 222 | 37 | 23 | 9 | 100% | 5.9 | 16.5% | 10.2% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 5.60 | 5.29 | -0.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 33 | 33 | 200 | 844 | 141 | 87 | 34 | 100% | 6.0 | 16.5% | 10.2% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 5.60 | 5.29 | +0.2 | ||
| Career | — | 135 | 94 | 530 | 2256 | 402 | 223 | 115 | 70% | 3.9 | 17.8% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 4.26 | 5.64 | -1.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 51 | 35 | 200 | 852 | 152 | 84 | 43 | 70% | 3.9 | 17.8% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 4.26 | 5.64 | -0.6 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Drew Parrish (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.63 | 15.9% | 9.8% | 4.1% | — | 5.67 | 16.5% | 6.4% | 128 | +0.04 | — | — | — |
| Matt Tracy L 2026 · 4.88 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.88 | 16.1% | 9.4% | 3.6% | .325 | 3.24 | 13.9% | 3.5% | 49 | -1.64 | 3.24 | 298 | 81 |
| Garrett Gainey L 2024 · 5.52 FIP | 26 | SP- | 5.52 | 17.8% | 8.2% | 5.2% | .321 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.65 | 116 | 78 |
| Tyler Alexander L 2025 · 5.27 FIP | 27 | SP- | 5.27 | 21.7% | 9.8% | 5.0% | .289 | 5.37 | 15.7% | 5.0% | 26 | +0.10 | 5.27 | 128 | 78 |
| Nico Tellache L 2026 · 4.65 FIP | 28 | SP | 4.65 | 13.4% | 8.6% | 2.9% | .276 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.89 | 160 | 73 |
| Edgar Osuna L 2027 · 5.16 FIP | 29 | SP | 5.16 | 10.6% | 8.2% | 3.5% | .345 | 5.04 | 10.0% | 2.8% | 83 | -0.12 | 5.04 | 175 | 73 |
| Jack Snodgrass L 2026 · 5.20 FIP | 28 | SP- | 5.20 | 15.7% | 10.1% | 3.9% | .305 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.77 | 118 | 72 |
| Chris Reed L 2024 · 4.84 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.84 | 16.4% | 9.8% | 3.4% | .238 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.84 | 137 | 72 |
| Matt Lujan L 2026 · 5.13 FIP | 28 | SP- | 5.13 | 14.3% | 6.4% | 4.4% | .348 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.25 | 227 | 71 |
| Enrique Lechuga L 2027 · 4.64 FIP | 29 | SP- | 4.64 | 10.0% | 10.5% | 1.9% | .354 | 3.90 | 10.5% | 4.4% | 59 | -0.74 | 3.90 | 137 | 71 |
| Andy Oliver L 2026 · 4.44 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.44 | 19.9% | 9.9% | 3.2% | .321 | 7.40 | 16.6% | 2.7% | 21 | +2.96 | 4.08 | 165 | 70 |
| Easton Lucas L 2026 · 5.19 FIP | 28 | SP- | 5.19 | 21.7% | 10.9% | 4.6% | .295 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.49 | 311 | 70 |
| Tommy Shirley L 2025 · 4.86 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.86 | 13.0% | 8.8% | 3.2% | .366 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.30 | 147 | 70 |
| Michael Roth L 2026 · 4.86 FIP | 28 | SP | 4.86 | 12.1% | 8.5% | 3.1% | .328 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.22 | 483 | 68 |
| Marco Tovar L 2026 · 4.97 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.97 | 16.1% | 11.3% | 3.3% | .317 | 4.79 | 12.6% | 7.0% | 82 | -0.18 | 3.79 | 327 | 68 |
| Lael Lockhart L 2026 · 4.63 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.63 | 17.3% | 12.7% | 2.5% | .225 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.71 | 484 | 68 |
| Jeffry Antigua L 2023 · 4.65 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.65 | 11.4% | 8.6% | 2.6% | .271 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.65 | 133 | 68 |
| Nate Fisher L 2025 · 5.34 FIP | 27 | SP- | 5.34 | 15.5% | 10.7% | 4.0% | .313 | — | — | — | — | — | 1.42 | 229 | 67 |
| Steven Moyers L 2026 · 4.94 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.94 | 14.7% | 8.1% | 3.7% | .371 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.67 | 464 | 67 |
| Jason Wheeler L 2024 · 4.75 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.75 | 16.1% | 5.8% | 4.1% | .304 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.69 | 401 | 66 |
| David Parkinson L 2026 · 5.09 FIP | 28 | SP- | 5.09 | 14.0% | 9.2% | 3.7% | .294 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.08 | 517 | 66 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 66 | 16.3% | 10.0% | 1.60 | 5.61 |
| Ross Detwiler ('22) | 5 | 51 | 17.3% | 9.5% | 1.76 | 6.03 |
| Mike Wright Jr. ('19) | 5 | 52 | 17.7% | 8.4% | 1.53 | 6.00 |
| Dylan Covey ('23) | 4 | 73 | 15.4% | 9.9% | 1.53 | 6.14 |
| Edwin Jackson ('19) | 5 | 75 | 17.0% | 9.7% | 1.75 | 5.37 |
| Eddie Butler ('18) | 4 | 62 | 13.3% | 9.8% | 1.49 | 5.74 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |