Drew Parrish
P
Chattanooga Lookouts
+0.0
WAR
Age 28
LHP
5'11" / 200 lbs
AA
peak 0.2 · 2029
ERA5.21
FIP5.21
xFIP—
SIERA—
K%18.5%
BB%9.4%
K-BB%9.1%
IP85
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.2peak
2029
STUF4545
CTRL5050
CMD4545
K†4050
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 23 | AA | Northwest Arkansas Naturals | 22 | 18 | 99 | 392 | 118 | 28 | 8 | 24.1% | 7.9% | 2.5% | 2.83 | 3.45 | +2.1 |
| 2022 | 24 | AAA | Omaha Storm Chasers | 27 | 25 | 129 | 545 | 99 | 58 | 20 | 15.4% | 11.3% | 4.3% | 4.13 | 5.58 | -0.4 |
| 2023 | 25 | AAA | Omaha Storm Chasers | 28 | 24 | 117 | 544 | 96 | 73 | 32 | 15.1% | 14.2% | 7.0% | 6.54 | 7.47 | -2.9 |
| 2024 | 26 | AAA | Gwinnett Stripers | 29 | 18 | 115 | 465 | 113 | 23 | 16 | 20.2% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.28 | 4.59 | +0.9 |
| 2025 | 27 | AAA | Louisville Bats | 29 | 9 | 70 | 310 | 57 | 29 | 9 | 15.2% | 10.1% | 3.5% | 4.37 | 5.02 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 28 | MLB | CIN | 15 | 15 | 85 | 360 | 64 | 35 | 14 | 17.9% | 9.8% | 3.8% | 5.31 | 5.31 | -0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | CIN | 15 | 15 | 83 | 352 | 64 | 34 | 13 | 18.2% | 9.6% | 3.8% | 5.23 | 5.25 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 30 | MLB | CIN | 15 | 15 | 81 | 341 | 62 | 33 | 13 | 18.3% | 9.6% | 3.8% | 5.20 | 5.24 | -0.1 |
| 2029 | 31 | MLB | CIN | 14 | 14 | 78 | 329 | 67 | 29 | 13 | 20.2% | 8.8% | 3.8% | 5.05 | 4.99 | +0.1 |
| 2030 | 32 | MLB | CIN | 14 | 14 | 75 | 316 | 63 | 28 | 12 | 20.0% | 9.0% | 3.9% | 5.05 | 5.06 | +0.0 |
| 2031 | 33 | MLB | CIN | 13 | 13 | 72 | 302 | 60 | 28 | 12 | 19.7% | 9.2% | 4.0% | 5.11 | 5.16 | -0.1 |
| 2032 | 34 | MLB | CIN | 12 | 12 | 68 | 287 | 56 | 27 | 12 | 19.4% | 9.4% | 4.1% | 5.20 | 5.27 | -0.2 |
| 2033 | 35 | MLB | CIN | 12 | 12 | 64 | 270 | 51 | 26 | 11 | 19.0% | 9.6% | 4.2% | 5.31 | 5.39 | -0.3 |
| 2034 | 36 | MLB | CIN | 60 | — | 60 | 252 | 47 | 25 | 11 | 18.6% | 9.8% | 4.3% | 5.44 | 5.52 | -0.4 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 135 | 94 | 530 | 2256 | 402 | 223 | 104 | 17.8% | 9.9% | 4.6% | 4.26 | 5.39 | -0.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 51 | 35 | 200 | 852 | 152 | 84 | 39 | 17.8% | 9.9% | 4.6% | 4.26 | 5.39 | -0.2 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Drew Parrish (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.31 | 17.9% | 9.8% | 3.8% | — | 5.16 | 18.9% | 9.5% | 242 | -0.15 | — | — | — |
| Matt Tracy L 2026 · 4.82 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.82 | 16.1% | 9.4% | 3.5% | .325 | 3.24 | 13.9% | 3.5% | 49 | -1.58 | 3.24 | 298 | 89 |
| Chad Bell L 2026 · 4.44 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.44 | 19.4% | 8.9% | 3.4% | .341 | 4.37 | 18.8% | 11.4% | 57 | -0.07 | 3.37 | 393 | 86 |
| Tyler Alexander L 2025 · 5.44 FIP | 27 | SP- | 5.44 | 21.7% | 9.8% | 5.3% | .289 | 5.28 | 15.7% | 5.0% | 26 | -0.16 | 5.28 | 128 | 83 |
| Everett Teaford L 2029 · 4.43 FIP | 31 | SP- | 4.43 | 13.9% | 7.6% | 2.8% | .324 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.43 | 103 | 81 |
| Orlando Lara L 2028 · 4.15 FIP | 30 | SP- | 4.15 | 15.2% | 10.3% | 1.9% | .348 | 4.07 | 14.2% | 7.2% | 230 | -0.08 | 3.83 | 426 | 79 |
| Alejandro Soto L 2027 · 4.38 FIP | 29 | SP- | 4.38 | 12.8% | 7.0% | 2.7% | .367 | 4.09 | 14.6% | 9.1% | 128 | -0.29 | 3.98 | 280 | 79 |
| Kramer Sneed L 2025 · 4.25 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.25 | 13.2% | 8.2% | 2.2% | .265 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.25 | 116 | 79 |
| John Anderson L 2025 · 4.19 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.19 | 14.3% | 8.7% | 2.2% | .367 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.11 | 235 | 77 |
| Austin Warner L 2026 · 4.85 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.85 | 16.9% | 9.0% | 3.7% | .319 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.83 | 491 | 77 |
| Aaron Laffey L 2028 · 4.11 FIP | 30 | SP- | 4.11 | 13.5% | 9.7% | 1.7% | .318 | 4.39 | 12.5% | 5.2% | 192 | +0.28 | 3.52 | 282 | 77 |
| T.J. Sikkema L 2025 · 4.14 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.14 | 16.2% | 9.2% | 2.3% | .276 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.50 | 300 | 77 |
| Reid VanScoter L 2024 · 5.39 FIP | 26 | SP- | 5.39 | 14.7% | 9.4% | 4.3% | .355 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.93 | 331 | 77 |
| Edgar Osuna L 2027 · 5.04 FIP | 29 | SP- | 5.04 | 10.6% | 8.2% | 3.3% | .345 | 5.08 | 10.0% | 2.8% | 83 | +0.04 | 5.04 | 175 | 76 |
| Michael Roth L 2026 · 4.83 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.83 | 12.1% | 8.5% | 3.0% | .328 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.98 | 483 | 76 |
| Easton Lucas L 2026 · 4.80 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.80 | 21.7% | 10.9% | 3.9% | .295 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.48 | 311 | 75 |
| Chris Reed L 2024 · 4.70 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.70 | 16.4% | 9.8% | 3.2% | .238 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.70 | 137 | 75 |
| Jordan Carr L 2025 · 4.47 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.47 | 13.1% | 8.8% | 2.5% | .295 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.48 | 223 | 74 |
| Kyle Hald L 2024 · 4.31 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.31 | 12.1% | 7.4% | 2.4% | .313 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.31 | 124 | 74 |
| Alejandro Astorga L 2026 · 4.36 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.36 | 11.5% | 10.2% | 1.7% | .283 | 3.88 | 14.7% | 6.1% | 220 | -0.48 | 3.73 | 311 | 74 |
| Daniel Camarena L 2026 · 4.45 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.45 | 14.9% | 8.3% | 2.8% | .273 | 5.73 | 13.7% | 5.3% | 121 | +1.28 | 3.76 | 674 | 72 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.