Drew Parrish — OGILVIE

Drew Parrish P Chattanooga Lookouts

Age 28 LHP 5'11" / 200 lbs AA peak 0.1 · 2026

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 6 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 119127vR 135

ERA5.38

FIP5.38

K%15.6%

BB%8.7%

K-BB%6.9%

ROS IP6

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 6 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4545

CTRL5050

CMD4545

K†3040

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2021	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	22	18	99	392	118	28	8	82%	4.5	24.1%	7.9%	16.3%	2.6%	2.83	3.47	—
2021	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	22	18	99	392	118	28	8	82%	4.5	30.1%	7.1%	23.0%	2.0%	2.83	2.61	—
2022	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	27	25	129	545	99	58	20	93%	4.8	15.4%	11.3%	4.1%	4.3%	4.13	5.59	—
2022	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	27	25	129	545	99	58	20	93%	4.8	18.2%	10.6%	7.5%	3.7%	4.13	4.93	—
2023	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	28	24	117	544	96	73	32	86%	4.2	14.5%	12.6%	1.9%	7.2%	6.54	7.41	—
2023	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	28	24	117	544	96	73	32	86%	4.2	14.5%	12.6%	1.9%	7.2%	6.54	7.41	—
2023	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	28	24	117	544	96	73	32	86%	4.2	17.6%	13.4%	4.2%	5.9%	6.54	6.89	—
2024	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	29	18	115	465	113	23	16	62%	4.0	20.2%	4.8%	15.4%	4.9%	3.28	4.66	—
2024	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	29	18	115	465	113	23	16	62%	4.0	20.2%	4.8%	15.4%	4.9%	3.28	4.66	—
2024	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	29	18	115	465	113	23	16	62%	4.0	24.3%	4.9%	19.4%	3.4%	3.28	3.54	—
2025	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	29	9	70	310	57	29	9	31%	2.4	15.0%	9.4%	5.6%	3.5%	4.37	4.94	—
2025	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	29	9	70	310	57	29	9	31%	2.4	15.0%	9.4%	5.6%	3.5%	4.37	4.94	—
2025	27	MIX RAW	2 levels	29	9	70	310	57	29	9	31%	2.4	18.4%	9.4%	9.0%	2.9%	4.37	4.39	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	28	MLB	CIN	1	1	6	25	4	2	1	100%	6.0	15.6%	8.7%	6.9%	3.9%	5.38	5.38	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	29	MLB MLE	CIN	11	11	66	280	45	25	11	100%	6.0	16.1%	9.0%	7.1%	3.9%	5.36	5.41	-0.4
2028	30	MLB MLE	CIN	10	10	62	263	43	24	11	100%	6.2	16.3%	9.3%	7.0%	4.1%	5.41	5.50	-0.4
2027	29	MLB CTX	CIN	4	4	21	89	14	8	3	100%	5.2	16.1%	9.0%	7.1%	3.9%	5.36	5.41	-0.1
2028	30	MLB CTX	CIN	5	5	32	135	22	13	5	100%	6.4	16.3%	9.3%	7.0%	4.1%	5.41	5.50	-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		9	9	53	222	36	20	9	100%	5.9	16.3%	9.2%	7.1%	4.0%	5.39	5.09	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		33	33	200	844	137	76	34	100%	6.0	16.3%	9.2%	7.1%	4.0%	5.39	5.09	-0.4
Career	—	MLE		135	94	530	2256	398	213	106	70%	3.9	17.6%	9.4%	8.2%	4.7%	4.26	5.38	-0.8
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		51	35	200	852	150	80	40	70%	3.9	17.6%	9.4%	8.2%	4.7%	4.26	5.38	-1.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Drew Parrish (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.38	15.6%	8.7%	3.9%	—	5.45	16.2%	7.1%	128	+0.07	—	—	—
Aaron Rozek L 2023 · 4.87 FIP	27	SP-	4.87	17.4%	8.8%	3.9%	.311	4.43	16.3%	8.9%	346	-0.44	3.70	569	84
Matt Tracy L 2017 · 4.82 FIP	28	SP-	4.82	16.1%	9.4%	3.5%	.325	3.24	13.9%	3.5%	49	-1.58	3.24	298	81
Everett Teaford L 2015 · 4.42 FIP	31	SP-	4.42	13.9%	7.6%	2.8%	.324	—	—	—	—	—	4.42	103	81
John Anderson L 2016 · 4.23 FIP	27	SP-	4.23	14.3%	8.7%	2.2%	.367	—	—	—	—	—	4.12	235	76
Miguel Cienfuegos L 2023 · 5.12 FIP	26	SP	5.12	13.6%	10.5%	3.4%	.257	4.56	14.1%	5.6%	242	-0.56	2.99	313	75
Tyler Alexander L 2019 · 5.56 FIP	27	SP-	5.56	21.7%	9.8%	5.6%	.289	5.27	15.7%	5.0%	26	-0.29	5.27	128	75
Edgar Osuna L 2017 · 5.05 FIP	29	SP	5.05	10.6%	8.2%	3.3%	.345	5.09	10.0%	2.8%	83	+0.04	5.05	175	73
Matt Lujan L 2017 · 4.69 FIP	28	SP-	4.69	14.3%	6.4%	3.6%	.348	—	—	—	—	—	4.06	227	73
Enrique Lechuga L 2015 · 4.70 FIP	29	SP-	4.70	10.0%	10.5%	2.0%	.354	3.78	10.5%	4.4%	59	-0.92	3.78	137	72
Jack Snodgrass L 2016 · 5.01 FIP	28	SP-	5.01	15.7%	10.1%	3.6%	.305	—	—	—	—	—	4.66	118	72
Chris Reed L 2016 · 4.67 FIP	26	SW	4.67	16.4%	9.8%	3.1%	.238	—	—	—	—	—	4.67	137	71
Tommy Shirley L 2016 · 4.93 FIP	27	SP-	4.93	13.0%	8.8%	3.3%	.366	—	—	—	—	—	3.35	147	70
Daniel Camarena L 2021 · 4.47 FIP	28	SP	4.47	14.9%	8.3%	2.9%	.273	5.75	13.5%	5.7%	121	+1.28	3.76	674	69
Amilcar Gaxiola L 2019 · 4.61 FIP	28	SP-	4.61	11.8%	10.0%	2.3%	.316	—	—	—	—	—	4.58	321	69
Michael Roth L 2018 · 4.83 FIP	28	SP	4.83	12.1%	8.5%	3.0%	.328	—	—	—	—	—	3.96	483	69
Yohan Flande L 2015 · 4.68 FIP	29	SP-	4.68	12.9%	5.5%	3.6%	.289	3.27	15.1%	8.4%	172	-1.41	3.18	335	68
Jeffry Antigua L 2015 · 4.60 FIP	25	SP-	4.60	11.4%	8.6%	2.5%	.271	—	—	—	—	—	4.60	133	68
Jason Wheeler L 2017 · 4.40 FIP	26	SP-	4.40	16.1%	5.8%	3.5%	.304	—	—	—	—	—	3.63	401	68
Darin Gorski L 2016 · 4.50 FIP	28	SP	4.50	15.0%	9.8%	2.6%	.299	—	—	—	—	—	4.50	206	67
Steven Moyers L 2022 · 5.24 FIP	28	SW	5.24	14.7%	8.1%	4.3%	.371	—	—	—	—	—	3.52	464	67

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.0	66	16.0%	9.0%	1.53	5.38
Joe Biagini ('19)	1.6	81	19.1%	7.8%	1.28	4.86
Alex Young ('23)	1.3	52	19.5%	8.6%	1.61	4.43
Roansy Contreras ('24)	1.2	77	19.5%	10.1%	1.36	4.78
Eddie Butler ('18)	1.2	62	13.3%	9.8%	1.49	5.74
Dylan Covey ('23)	1.5	73	15.4%	9.9%	1.53	6.14
Jharel Cotton ('22)	1.2	58	19.8%	9.2%	1.59	4.50