Danny Wirchansky

Danny Wirchansky P Arkansas Travelers

Age 30 LHP 6'1" / 200 lbs AA peak 0.1 · 2027

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 68 ip · rates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 128136vR 144

ERA5.83

FIP5.83

K%12.4%

BB%13.1%

K-BB%-0.6%

ROS IP68

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 68 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF3030

CTRL4040

CMD3030

K†3030

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2024	27	AA MLE	Arkansas Travelers	27	17	111	446	89	30	10	63%	4.1	16.2%	7.4%	8.8%	3.3%	2.84	4.47	—
2024	27	AA MLE	Arkansas Travelers	27	17	111	446	89	30	10	63%	4.1	16.2%	7.4%	8.8%	3.3%	2.84	4.47	—
2024	27	AA RAW	Arkansas Travelers	27	17	111	446	89	30	10	63%	4.1	20.0%	6.7%	13.2%	2.2%	2.84	3.48	—
2025	28	AA MLE	Arkansas Travelers	24	11	68	292	47	34	8	46%	2.8	13.0%	12.8%	0.2%	4.1%	4.52	5.88	—
2025	28	AA MLE	Arkansas Travelers	24	11	68	292	47	34	8	46%	2.8	13.0%	12.8%	0.2%	4.1%	4.52	5.88	—
2025	28	AA RAW	Arkansas Travelers	24	11	68	292	47	34	8	46%	2.8	16.1%	11.6%	4.5%	2.7%	4.52	4.76	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	30	MLB	SEA	11	11	68	287	36	37	9	100%	6.2	12.4%	13.1%	-0.6%	3.2%	5.83	5.83	-0.7
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	31	MLB MLE	SEA	10	10	63	267	35	35	9	100%	6.3	13.1%	13.0%	0.1%	3.4%	5.80	5.88	-0.7
2029	32	MLB MLE	SEA	9	9	59	247	33	32	9	100%	6.5	13.4%	13.1%	0.3%	3.6%	5.87	5.99	-0.7
2028	31	MLB CTX	SEA	3	3	20	84	11	11	3	100%	6.7	13.1%	13.0%	0.1%	3.4%	5.80	5.88	-0.2
2029	32	MLB CTX	SEA	5	5	30	127	17	17	5	100%	6.0	13.4%	13.1%	0.3%	3.6%	5.87	5.99	-0.4
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		8	8	50	211	28	28	7	100%	6.2	13.3%	13.1%	0.2%	3.5%	5.84	5.57	-0.4
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		31	31	200	844	112	112	28	100%	6.4	13.3%	13.1%	0.2%	3.5%	5.84	5.57	-1.5
Career	—	MLE		51	28	179	738	110	70	27	55%	3.5	14.9%	9.5%	5.4%	3.6%	3.48	5.03	-1.4
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		57	31	200	826	123	79	30	55%	3.5	14.9%	9.5%	5.4%	3.6%	3.48	5.03	-2.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Danny Wirchansky (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.83	12.4%	13.1%	3.2%	—	5.93	13.3%	0.2%	122	+0.10	—	—	—
Enrique Lechuga L 2015 · 4.70 FIP	29	SP-	4.70	10.0%	10.5%	2.0%	.354	3.78	10.5%	4.4%	59	-0.92	3.78	137	81
Chris Michalak L 2001 · 4.92 FIP	30	SP-	4.92	11.0%	8.2%	3.1%	.291	4.71	7.0%	-4.3%	14	-0.21	4.71	186	70
Kelvin Marte L 2017 · 4.74 FIP	29	SW	4.74	16.1%	11.4%	2.8%	.300	5.25	12.0%	1.2%	71	+0.51	3.44	360	68
Tyler Alexander L 2021 · 5.27 FIP	29	SW	5.27	15.7%	10.7%	3.9%	.272	—	—	—	—	—	5.27	128	66
Edgar Osuna L 2017 · 5.05 FIP	29	SP	5.05	10.6%	8.2%	3.3%	.345	5.09	10.0%	2.8%	83	+0.04	5.05	175	66
John Rheinecker L 2007 · 5.13 FIP	28	SW	5.13	16.7%	10.9%	3.8%	.317	—	—	—	—	—	4.14	121	63
Luke Westphal L 2021 · 4.70 FIP	32	SP-	4.70	22.7%	13.1%	3.4%	.321	4.58	21.9%	7.6%	95	-0.12	2.97	294	62
Jack Snodgrass L 2016 · 5.01 FIP	28	SP-	5.01	15.7%	10.1%	3.6%	.305	—	—	—	—	—	4.66	118	61
Ron Villone L 2000 · 5.44 FIP	30	SP-	5.44	12.0%	11.7%	3.4%	.281	4.35	18.9%	9.6%	314	-1.09	3.26	1,168	58
Matt Lujan L 2017 · 4.69 FIP	28	SP-	4.69	14.3%	6.4%	3.6%	.348	—	—	—	—	—	4.06	227	57
Randy Keisler L 2005 · 5.07 FIP	29	SW	5.07	16.4%	9.9%	3.8%	.295	5.51	6.5%	0.0%	17	+0.44	5.07	135	56
Miguel Pena L 2019 · 5.08 FIP	28	SW	5.08	16.0%	7.0%	4.4%	.369	—	—	—	—	—	2.98	282	54
Brian Johnson L 2021 · 4.94 FIP	30	SP-	4.94	15.5%	9.1%	3.6%	.287	—	—	—	—	—	3.39	506	54
Daniel Camarena L 2023 · 4.94 FIP	30	SP-	4.94	14.0%	5.6%	4.2%	.342	6.81	13.2%	2.4%	51	+1.87	3.76	674	54
Eric DuBose L 2005 · 5.45 FIP	29	SW	5.45	12.6%	14.1%	3.0%	.253	—	—	—	—	—	3.92	178	53
Irwin Delgado L 2019 · 4.73 FIP	30	SP	4.73	15.6%	9.5%	3.2%	.404	—	—	—	—	—	3.52	383	53
Stephen Randolph L 2004 · 5.69 FIP	30	SU	5.69	15.8%	18.8%	2.8%	.252	5.97	28.2%	9.0%	13	+0.28	4.83	155	53
Jimmy Reyes L 2017 · 4.92 FIP	28	SU	4.92	13.8%	8.0%	3.6%	.294	—	—	—	—	—	3.02	200	53
Marco Tovar L 2019 · 4.78 FIP	30	SP	4.78	12.6%	5.6%	3.7%	.316	—	—	—	—	—	3.78	327	50
Bobby Jones L 2002 · 5.24 FIP	30	SU	5.24	14.3%	12.7%	3.2%	.295	—	—	—	—	—	4.01	321	50

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 754 reliever careers (1990-2025).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.9	63	13.0%	13.1%	1.31	5.83
Matt Perisho ('05)	1.4	69	15.2%	12.2%	1.37	6.39
C.J. Nitkowski ('05)	2.4	68	15.8%	11.9%	1.07	5.37
Luther Hackman ('03)	1.1	71	13.3%	10.9%	1.10	5.09
Mike Mohler ('01)	2.1	60	15.0%	12.4%	0.97	4.99
Richie Lewis ('98)	1.5	59	18.1%	14.1%	1.38	4.88
Brian Stokes ('10)	1.0	52	14.5%	10.1%	1.22	5.27