Danny Wirchansky
P
Arkansas Travelers
Age 29
LHP
6'1" / 200 lbs
AA
peak 0.1 · 2026
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 68 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 137146vR 155
ERA6.10
FIP6.10
K%12.3%
BB%12.6%
K-BB%-0.3%
ROS IP69
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 68 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 27 | AA | Arkansas Travelers | 27 | 17 | 111 | 446 | 89 | 30 | 10 | 63% | 4.1 | 16.2% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 4.2% | 2.84 | 4.98 | — |
| 2024 | 27 | AA | Arkansas Travelers | 27 | 17 | 111 | 446 | 89 | 30 | 10 | 63% | 4.1 | 20.0% | 6.7% | 13.2% | 2.2% | 2.84 | 3.48 | — |
| 2025 | 28 | AA | Arkansas Travelers | 24 | 11 | 68 | 292 | 47 | 34 | 8 | 46% | 2.8 | 13.0% | 12.8% | 0.2% | 5.5% | 4.52 | 6.63 | — |
| 2025 | 28 | AA | Arkansas Travelers | 24 | 11 | 68 | 292 | 47 | 34 | 8 | 46% | 2.8 | 16.1% | 11.6% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 4.52 | 4.76 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 29 | MLB | SEA | 11 | 11 | 69 | 290 | 36 | 36 | 11 | 100% | 6.2 | 12.3% | 12.6% | -0.3% | 3.8% | 6.10 | 6.10 | -1.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 30 | MLB | SEA | 10 | 10 | 64 | 272 | 36 | 34 | 11 | 100% | 6.5 | 13.1% | 12.6% | 0.5% | 3.9% | 6.03 | 6.10 | -1.1 |
| 2028 | 31 | MLB | SEA | 9 | 9 | 60 | 254 | 34 | 32 | 10 | 100% | 6.7 | 13.4% | 12.7% | 0.8% | 4.0% | 6.06 | 6.17 | -1.1 |
| 2027 | 30 | MLB | SEA | 3 | 3 | 20 | 84 | 11 | 11 | 3 | 100% | 6.7 | 13.1% | 12.6% | 0.5% | 3.9% | 6.03 | 6.10 | -0.4 |
| 2028 | 31 | MLB | SEA | 5 | 5 | 31 | 131 | 18 | 17 | 5 | 100% | 6.2 | 13.4% | 12.7% | 0.8% | 4.0% | 6.06 | 6.17 | -0.6 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 8 | 8 | 51 | 216 | 29 | 27 | 9 | 100% | 6.4 | 13.3% | 12.6% | 0.7% | 4.0% | 6.05 | 5.76 | -0.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 32 | 32 | 200 | 844 | 114 | 106 | 35 | 100% | 6.3 | 13.3% | 12.6% | 0.7% | 4.0% | 6.05 | 5.76 | -0.9 | ||
| Career | — | 51 | 28 | 179 | 738 | 110 | 70 | 35 | 55% | 3.5 | 14.9% | 9.5% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 3.48 | 5.63 | -0.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 57 | 31 | 200 | 826 | 123 | 79 | 39 | 55% | 3.5 | 14.9% | 9.5% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 3.48 | 5.63 | -0.5 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Danny Wirchansky (OGILVIE) | — | — | 6.10 | 12.3% | 12.6% | 3.8% | — | 6.13 | 13.2% | 0.6% | 125 | +0.03 | — | — | — |
| Travis Blackley L 2029 · 4.97 FIP | 32 | SP- | 4.97 | 15.4% | 6.4% | 4.3% | .324 | 4.50 | 10.5% | 0.0% | 137 | -0.47 | 3.84 | 225 | 69 |
| Tyler Alexander L 2026 · 5.37 FIP | 29 | SW | 5.37 | 15.7% | 10.7% | 4.1% | .272 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.27 | 128 | 69 |
| Edgar Osuna L 2026 · 5.16 FIP | 29 | SP | 5.16 | 10.6% | 8.2% | 3.5% | .345 | 5.04 | 10.0% | 2.8% | 83 | -0.12 | 5.04 | 175 | 64 |
| Carlos Teller L 2026 · 5.14 FIP | 29 | SP- | 5.14 | 14.3% | 10.7% | 3.4% | .297 | 4.77 | 12.6% | 1.1% | 148 | -0.37 | 3.72 | 333 | 63 |
| Tommy Henry L 2026 · 5.91 FIP | 29 | SP- | 5.91 | 11.5% | 14.2% | 3.6% | .360 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.33 | 629 | 61 |
| Jack Snodgrass L 2025 · 5.20 FIP | 28 | SP- | 5.20 | 15.7% | 10.1% | 3.9% | .305 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.77 | 118 | 61 |
| Kyle Hart L 2026 · 5.32 FIP | 29 | SW | 5.32 | 17.4% | 9.9% | 4.4% | .286 | 4.42 | 18.7% | 8.6% | 196 | -0.90 | 3.64 | 856 | 61 |
| Drew Pomeranz L 2026 · 5.38 FIP | 29 | SP- | 5.38 | 17.9% | 13.2% | 3.8% | .305 | 3.89 | 31.2% | 21.1% | 148 | -1.49 | 2.29 | 773 | 60 |
| Marco Tovar L 2025 · 4.97 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.97 | 16.1% | 11.3% | 3.3% | .317 | 4.79 | 12.6% | 7.0% | 82 | -0.18 | 3.79 | 327 | 59 |
| Ross Detwiler L 2026 · 5.34 FIP | 29 | SW | 5.34 | 14.2% | 12.2% | 3.5% | .356 | 5.01 | 14.1% | 5.9% | 242 | -0.33 | 3.47 | 512 | 59 |
| Matt Lujan L 2025 · 5.13 FIP | 28 | SP- | 5.13 | 14.3% | 6.4% | 4.4% | .348 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.25 | 227 | 57 |
| John Michael Bertrand L 2025 · 4.91 FIP | 28 | SP | 4.91 | 12.7% | 12.1% | 2.5% | .324 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.72 | 463 | 56 |
| Jonathon Niese L 2026 · 5.29 FIP | 29 | SP- | 5.29 | 16.1% | 8.1% | 4.6% | .308 | 5.56 | 10.9% | 2.7% | 70 | +0.27 | 4.17 | 368 | 55 |
| Miguel Pena L 2025 · 5.94 FIP | 28 | SW | 5.94 | 16.0% | 7.0% | 6.0% | .369 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.86 | 282 | 55 |
| Colten Schmidt L 2024 · 5.14 FIP | 27 | SW | 5.14 | 14.4% | 8.0% | 4.1% | .337 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.12 | 163 | 55 |
| Phil Pfeifer L 2026 · 5.80 FIP | 29 | SW | 5.80 | 19.5% | 14.8% | 4.5% | .394 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.58 | 307 | 55 |
| Héctor Santiago L 2026 · 5.67 FIP | 29 | SP | 5.67 | 17.3% | 11.6% | 4.7% | .259 | 4.71 | 21.3% | 9.6% | 216 | -0.96 | 4.40 | 713 | 52 |
| Adam Wilk L 2026 · 5.61 FIP | 29 | SP- | 5.61 | 14.5% | 6.1% | 5.4% | .338 | 4.58 | 13.5% | 5.2% | 165 | -1.03 | 3.13 | 455 | 48 |
| Jordan Carr L 2026 · 7.18 FIP | 29 | SU | 7.18 | 11.4% | 15.1% | 5.7% | .297 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.39 | 261 | 48 |
| Brandon Leibrandt L 2026 · 5.20 FIP | 29 | SW | 5.20 | 19.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | .351 | 4.38 | 20.0% | 12.8% | 125 | -0.82 | 2.90 | 692 | 46 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 64 | 12.9% | 12.6% | 1.51 | 6.06 |
| Dylan Covey ('23) | 4 | 73 | 15.4% | 9.9% | 1.53 | 6.14 |
| Ross Detwiler ('22) | 5 | 51 | 17.3% | 9.5% | 1.76 | 6.03 |
| Eddie Butler ('18) | 4 | 62 | 13.3% | 9.8% | 1.49 | 5.74 |
| Edwin Jackson ('19) | 5 | 75 | 17.0% | 9.7% | 1.75 | 5.37 |
| Mike Wright Jr. ('19) | 5 | 52 | 17.7% | 8.4% | 1.53 | 6.00 |
| Roansy Contreras ('24) | 3 | 77 | 19.5% | 10.1% | 1.36 | 4.78 |