Luke Westphal — OGILVIE

Luke Westphal P El Paso Chihuahuas

Age 37 LHP 6'3" / 230 lbs AAA

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 1 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 117125vR 133

ERA5.25

FIP5.25

K%18.1%

BB%13.3%

K-BB%4.8%

ROS IP1

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 1 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4545

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2015	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	29	17	95	398	81	32	0	59%	3.3	15.5%	9.3%	6.1%	0.0%	2.74	2.97	—
2015	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	29	17	95	398	81	32	0	59%	3.3	20.4%	8.0%	12.3%	0.0%	2.74	2.41	—
2016	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	35	1	55	257	69	45	4	3%	1.6	21.2%	19.7%	1.6%	1.6%	4.61	4.69	—
2016	27	MIX RAW	2 levels	35	1	55	257	69	45	4	3%	1.6	26.8%	17.5%	9.3%	1.6%	4.61	4.00	—
2021	32	AAA MLE	El Paso Chihuahuas	18	10	49	225	58	28	8	56%	2.7	22.7%	13.1%	9.6%	3.4%	5.84	4.70	—
2021	32	AAA RAW	El Paso Chihuahuas	18	10	49	225	58	28	8	56%	2.7	25.8%	12.4%	13.3%	3.6%	5.84	4.56	—
2022	33	AAA MLE	El Paso Chihuahuas	29	14	69	298	82	38	9	48%	2.4	24.2%	13.4%	10.8%	2.9%	4.19	4.35	—
2022	33	AAA RAW	El Paso Chihuahuas	29	14	69	298	82	38	9	48%	2.4	27.5%	12.8%	14.8%	3.0%	4.19	4.08	—
2024	35	AAA MLE	El Paso Chihuahuas	13	3	26	126	23	23	3	23%	2.0	15.2%	16.4%	-1.3%	2.4%	7.27	5.24	—
2024	35	AAA MLE	El Paso Chihuahuas	13	3	26	126	23	23	3	23%	2.0	15.2%	16.4%	-1.3%	2.4%	7.27	5.24	—
2024	35	AAA RAW	El Paso Chihuahuas	13	3	26	126	23	23	3	23%	2.0	18.3%	18.3%	0.0%	2.4%	7.27	5.48	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	37	MLB	SD	1	0	1	4	1	1	0	0%	1.0	18.1%	13.3%	4.8%	2.9%	5.25	5.25	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	38	MLB MLE	SD	19	0	20	84	15	11	3	0%	1.1	17.9%	13.6%	4.3%	3.4%	5.40	5.56	-0.2
2027	38	MLB CTX	SD	—	—	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	17.9%	13.6%	4.3%	3.4%	5.40	5.56	—
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	MLE		124	45	294	1304	258	178	24	36%	2.4	19.8%	13.6%	6.2%	1.8%	4.35	4.14	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		84	31	200	887	176	121	16	36%	2.4	19.8%	13.6%	6.2%	1.8%	4.35	4.14	-2.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Luke Westphal (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.25	18.1%	13.3%	2.9%	—	5.56	17.9%	4.3%	20	+0.31	—	—	—
Tomas Solis L 2019 · 6.44 FIP	36	SW	6.44	8.9%	7.5%	5.7%	.346	—	—	—	—	—	4.20	327	59
Craig Breslow L 2018 · 5.13 FIP	37	SU	5.13	17.8%	15.1%	2.9%	.400	—	—	—	—	—	4.22	159	56
David Huff L 2021 · 6.26 FIP	36	SP-	6.26	14.5%	4.5%	7.0%	.310	—	—	—	—	—	3.40	158	50
Juan Antonio Pena L 2015 · 4.20 FIP	37	SP-	4.20	13.6%	9.9%	1.8%	.287	—	—	—	—	—	4.20	149	46
Jorge De La Rosa L 2018 · 4.07 FIP	37	SU	4.07	19.3%	9.5%	2.6%	.269	—	—	—	—	—	3.86	405	46
Scott Kazmir L 2021 · 4.58 FIP	37	SP	4.58	19.2%	8.8%	3.6%	.280	—	—	—	—	—	3.84	395	44
Francisco Del Rosario R 2017 · 4.15 FIP	36	SU	4.15	16.4%	10.0%	2.1%	.267	6.35	11.9%	-0.6%	77	+2.20	4.15	145	34
Francisley Bueno L 2017 · 4.44 FIP	36	SP	4.44	11.7%	8.4%	2.3%	.351	—	—	—	—	—	3.48	138	34
Salvador Valdez R 2019 · 4.30 FIP	36	SW	4.30	17.1%	8.2%	2.9%	.405	—	—	—	—	—	3.60	326	32
Jean Machi R 2017 · 4.12 FIP	35	SU	4.12	18.6%	6.6%	3.2%	.285	—	—	—	—	—	4.12	186	31
Jonathan Castellanos R 2019 · 5.24 FIP	37	SW	5.24	11.0%	9.0%	3.5%	.348	—	—	—	—	—	3.40	394	31
Zack Segovia R 2019 · 4.55 FIP	36	SU	4.55	17.6%	13.6%	2.2%	.353	—	—	—	—	—	3.33	144	31
Jason Motte R 2017 · 5.16 FIP	35	SU	5.16	16.3%	11.4%	3.6%	.193	—	—	—	—	—	3.18	113	29
Fernando Rodney R 2015 · 4.37 FIP	38	SU	4.37	20.9%	9.4%	3.4%	.272	3.37	26.2%	15.2%	185	-1.00	2.69	295	29
Rudy Gonzalez R 2017 · 4.72 FIP	36	SU	4.72	15.8%	7.1%	3.8%	.354	—	—	—	—	—	3.31	119	28
Chris Narveson L 2017 · 4.59 FIP	35	SP	4.59	12.2%	10.4%	2.2%	.264	—	—	—	—	—	4.59	249	28
Jonathan Sánchez L 2019 · 4.73 FIP	36	SP	4.73	18.1%	8.3%	3.9%	.339	—	—	—	—	—	4.73	109	28
Felipe Paulino R 2019 · 5.82 FIP	35	SU	5.82	19.2%	9.4%	5.7%	.385	—	—	—	—	—	4.55	150	28
Chien-Ming Wang R 2016 · 4.53 FIP	36	SU	4.53	13.0%	7.8%	2.8%	.305	—	—	—	—	—	4.23	183	27
Santiago Casilla R 2017 · 4.13 FIP	37	SU	4.13	22.0%	8.1%	3.4%	.289	4.14	16.8%	1.6%	44	+0.01	3.50	219	26