Luke Westphal
P El Paso Chihuahuas| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | G | GS | IP | ERA | FIP | K% | BB% | WAR | MLE rates |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 33 | AAASD | 29 | 14 | 69 | 4.19 | 4.08 | 27.5% | 12.8% | — | K 24.2% · BB 13.4% · FIP 4.35 |
| 2024 | 35 | AAASD | 13 | 3 | 26 | 7.27 | 5.48 | 18.3% | 18.3% | — | K 15.7% · BB 16.4% · FIP 5.19 |
| 2027PROJ | 38 | MLBSD | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4.82 | 4.82 | 20.5% | 11.4% | -0.0 | |
| 2028PROJMLE | 39 | MLBSD | — | — | 0 | 5.02 | 5.18 | 20.0% | 11.9% | — |
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to the standard WAR scale.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year) | |||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far) | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2015 | 26 | MIX MLE | 2 levels | 29 | 17 | 95 | 398 | 81 | 32 | 0 | 59% | 3.3 | 15.5% | 9.3% | 6.1% | 0.0% | 2.74 | 2.97 | — |
| 2015 | 26 | MIX RAW | 2 levels | 29 | 17 | 95 | 398 | 81 | 32 | 0 | 59% | 3.3 | 20.4% | 8.0% | 12.3% | 0.0% | 2.74 | 2.41 | — |
| 2016 | 27 | MIX MLE | 2 levels | 35 | 1 | 55 | 257 | 69 | 45 | 4 | 3% | 1.6 | 21.2% | 19.7% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 4.61 | 4.69 | — |
| 2016 | 27 | MIX RAW | 2 levels | 35 | 1 | 55 | 257 | 69 | 45 | 4 | 3% | 1.6 | 26.8% | 17.5% | 9.3% | 1.6% | 4.61 | 4.00 | — |
| 2021 | 32 | AAA MLE | El Paso Chihuahuas | 18 | 10 | 49 | 225 | 58 | 28 | 8 | 56% | 2.7 | 22.7% | 13.1% | 9.6% | 3.4% | 5.84 | 4.70 | — |
| 2021 | 32 | AAA RAW | El Paso Chihuahuas | 18 | 10 | 49 | 225 | 58 | 28 | 8 | 56% | 2.7 | 25.8% | 12.4% | 13.3% | 3.6% | 5.84 | 4.56 | — |
| 2022 | 33 | AAA MLE | El Paso Chihuahuas | 29 | 14 | 69 | 298 | 82 | 38 | 9 | 48% | 2.4 | 24.2% | 13.4% | 10.8% | 2.9% | 4.19 | 4.35 | — |
| 2022 | 33 | AAA RAW | El Paso Chihuahuas | 29 | 14 | 69 | 298 | 82 | 38 | 9 | 48% | 2.4 | 27.5% | 12.8% | 14.8% | 3.0% | 4.19 | 4.08 | — |
| 2024 | 35 | AAA MLE | El Paso Chihuahuas | 13 | 3 | 26 | 126 | 23 | 23 | 3 | 23% | 2.0 | 15.7% | 16.4% | -0.7% | 2.4% | 7.27 | 5.19 | — |
| 2024 | 35 | AAA MLE | El Paso Chihuahuas | 13 | 3 | 26 | 126 | 23 | 23 | 3 | 23% | 2.0 | 15.7% | 16.4% | -0.7% | 2.4% | 7.27 | 5.19 | — |
| 2024 | 35 | AAA RAW | El Paso Chihuahuas | 13 | 3 | 26 | 126 | 23 | 23 | 3 | 23% | 2.0 | 18.3% | 18.3% | 0.0% | 2.4% | 7.27 | 5.48 | — |
| ▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded) | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 38 | MLB | SD | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.5% | 11.4% | 9.1% | 3.0% | 4.82 | 4.82 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 39 | MLB MLE | SD | 14 | 0 | 14 | 61 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.0% | 11.9% | 8.1% | 3.4% | 5.02 | 5.18 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 39 | MLB CTX | SD | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 20.0% | 11.9% | 8.1% | 3.4% | 5.02 | 5.18 | — |
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | 124 | 45 | 294 | 1304 | 259 | 178 | 24 | 36% | 2.4 | 19.9% | 13.6% | 6.2% | 1.8% | 4.35 | 4.14 | -0.1 | |
| / 200 IP | — | MLE | 84 | 31 | 200 | 887 | 176 | 121 | 16 | 36% | 2.4 | 19.9% | 13.6% | 6.2% | 1.8% | 4.35 | 4.14 | -1.5 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2024 AAAEl Paso Chihuahuas · 26 IPFIP 5.18 → 5.19 (+0.01)K% 18.3% → 15.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /BF | 18.25% | — | ×0.860 | 15.70% |
| BB% (unintentional) /BF | 18.25% | — | ×0.900 | 16.43% |
| HR / BF /BF | 2.38% | ÷1.078 | ×1.100 | 2.43% |
Factors used: pitcher AAA level factors (Triple-A 2023+ robo-zone set: walks improve on promotion) — K ×0.86, BB ×0.90, HR ×1.10. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 116).
Result: FIP 5.18 → 5.19, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AAAEl Paso Chihuahuas · 69 IPFIP 4.05 → 4.35 (+0.30)K% 27.5% → 24.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /BF | 27.52% | — | ×0.880 | 24.21% |
| BB% (unintentional) /BF | 12.75% | — | ×1.050 | 13.39% |
| HR / BF /BF | 3.02% | ÷1.138 | ×1.100 | 2.92% |
Factors used: pitcher AAA level factors — K ×0.88, BB ×1.05, HR ×1.10. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 128).
Result: FIP 4.05 → 4.35, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 AAAEl Paso Chihuahuas · 49 IPFIP 4.45 → 4.70 (+0.25)K% 25.8% → 22.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /BF | 25.78% | — | ×0.880 | 22.68% |
| BB% (unintentional) /BF | 12.44% | — | ×1.050 | 13.07% |
| HR / BF /BF | 3.56% | ÷1.154 | ×1.100 | 3.39% |
Factors used: pitcher AAA level factors — K ×0.88, BB ×1.05, HR ×1.10. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 131).
Result: FIP 4.45 → 4.70, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AAChattanooga Lookouts · 30 IPFIP 4.10 → 4.62 (+0.53)K% 25.7% → 20.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /BF | 25.69% | — | ×0.810 | 20.81% |
| BB% (unintentional) /BF | 15.97% | — | ×1.100 | 17.57% |
| HR / BF /BF | 2.08% | ÷1.301 | ×1.200 | 1.92% |
Factors used: pitcher AA level factors — K ×0.81, BB ×1.10, HR ×1.20. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 160).
Result: FIP 4.10 → 4.62, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 A+Fort Myers Miracle · 25 IPFIP 3.66 → 4.78 (+1.12)K% 28.3% → 21.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /BF | 28.32% | — | ×0.770 | 21.81% |
| BB% (unintentional) /BF | 19.47% | — | ×1.150 | 22.39% |
| HR / BF /BF | 0.88% | ÷0.881 | ×1.250 | 1.26% |
Factors used: pitcher A+ level factors — K ×0.77, BB ×1.15, HR ×1.25. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 76).
Result: FIP 3.66 → 4.78, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 A+Fort Myers Miracle · 65 IPFIP 2.55 → 3.07 (+0.51)K% 18.6% → 14.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /BF | 18.60% | — | ×0.770 | 14.32% |
| BB% (unintentional) /BF | 8.07% | — | ×1.150 | 9.28% |
| HR / BF /BF | 0.00% | ÷1.106 | ×1.250 | 0.00% |
Factors used: pitcher A+ level factors — K ×0.77, BB ×1.15, HR ×1.25. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 121).
Result: FIP 2.55 → 3.07, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 ACedar Rapids Kernels · 30 IPFIP 2.02 → 2.74 (+0.73)K% 24.8% → 18.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /BF | 24.78% | — | ×0.740 | 18.34% |
| BB% (unintentional) /BF | 7.96% | — | ×1.180 | 9.40% |
| HR / BF /BF | 0.00% | ÷1.134 | ×1.300 | 0.00% |
Factors used: pitcher A level factors — K ×0.74, BB ×1.18, HR ×1.30. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 127).
Result: FIP 2.02 → 2.74, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).