John King
P
Miami Marlins
+0.1
WAR
Age 31
LHP
6'2" / 215 lbs
MLB
peak 0.1 · 2026
ERA4.27
FIP4.66
xFIP3.85
SIERA3.10
K%15.7%
BB%6.8%
K-BB%9.0%
IP40
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.1peak
2026
STUF3535
CTRL6060
CMD3535
K†3030
SL+2.3 (40%)
CH+1.3 (20%)
FB (33%)
SI (29%)
CU (7%)
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 23 | ROK | AZL Rangers | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | — | — | — | 5.40 | — | — |
| 2019 | 24 | A+ | Down East Wood Ducks | 19 | 19 | 97 | 383 | 91 | 13 | 5 | 18.1% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 2.40 | 2.83 | +2.7 |
| 2020 | 25 | MLB | Texas Rangers | 6 | 0 | 10 | 51 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 17.6% | 7.8% | 4.2% | 6.10 | 4.93 | +0.0 |
| 2021 | 26 | MLB | Texas Rangers | 29 | 0 | 48 | 201 | 42 | 12 | 3 | 20.7% | 5.7% | 1.4% | 3.38 | 2.86 | +1.1 |
| 2022 | 27 | MLB | Texas Rangers | 53 | 0 | 69 | 302 | 48 | 18 | 10 | 15.2% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 4.85 | 4.57 | +0.4 |
| 2023 | 28 | MLB | St. Louis Cardinals | 47 | 3 | 59 | 254 | 33 | 16 | 3 | 12.4% | 6.4% | 1.2% | 3.51 | 3.53 | +0.9 |
| 2024 | 29 | MLB | St. Louis Cardinals | 62 | 0 | 65 | 270 | 43 | 13 | 6 | 15.3% | 5.2% | 2.0% | 2.89 | 3.58 | +1.0 |
| 2025 | 30 | MLB | St. Louis Cardinals | 55 | 0 | 52 | 239 | 32 | 15 | 9 | 12.6% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 4.67 | 4.95 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 31 | MLB | Miami Marlins | 8 | 0 | 6 | 26 | 6 | 2 | 1 | — | — | — | 1.42 | — | — |
| ROS | 31 | MLB | MIA | 34 | — | 34 | 143 | 21 | 10 | 4 | 15.1% | 7.0% | 3.0% | 4.37 | 4.72 | +0.1 |
| 2026 Total | 31 | MLB | MIA | — | — | 40 | 169 | 27 | 12 | 5 | 16.3% | 7.1% | 3.1% | 3.90 | 3.97 | +0.4 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 32 | MLB | MIA | 38 | — | 38 | 163 | 25 | 12 | 5 | 15.4% | 7.2% | 3.1% | 4.60 | 4.79 | +0.1 |
| 2028 | 33 | MLB | MIA | 37 | — | 37 | 155 | 23 | 11 | 5 | 14.7% | 7.4% | 3.2% | 4.79 | 4.92 | +0.0 |
| 2029 | 34 | MLB | MIA | 35 | — | 35 | 148 | 21 | 11 | 5 | 14.0% | 7.6% | 3.3% | 4.95 | 5.06 | -0.0 |
| 2030 | 35 | MLB | MIA | 33 | — | 33 | 139 | 18 | 11 | 5 | 13.3% | 7.8% | 3.4% | 5.10 | 5.21 | -0.1 |
| 2031 | 36 | MLB | MIA | 31 | — | 31 | 130 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 12.5% | 8.1% | 3.5% | 5.26 | 5.37 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 280 | 23 | 409 | 1735 | 276 | 97 | 40 | 15.9% | 5.6% | 2.3% | 3.55 | 3.74 | +7.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 137 | 11 | 200 | 849 | 135 | 47 | 20 | 15.9% | 5.6% | 2.3% | 3.55 | 3.74 | +3.5 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| John King (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.72 | 15.1% | 7.0% | 3.0% | — | 4.92 | 14.7% | 7.3% | 110 | +0.20 | — | — | — |
| Francisley Bueno L 2029 · 3.78 FIP | 34 | SU | 3.78 | 14.8% | 7.1% | 1.9% | .315 | 3.99 | 13.3% | 6.6% | 110 | +0.21 | 3.51 | 138 | 76 |
| Fernando Abad L 2026 · 3.68 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.68 | 20.3% | 7.1% | 2.5% | .281 | 2.38 | 23.3% | 21.0% | 44 | -1.30 | 2.38 | 306 | 73 |
| Brian Duensing L 2027 · 4.46 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.46 | 11.5% | 8.1% | 2.4% | .252 | 3.76 | 20.2% | 11.8% | 137 | -0.70 | 2.63 | 198 | 73 |
| Phil Coke L 2028 · 3.85 FIP | 33 | SU | 3.85 | 18.8% | 9.1% | 2.1% | .373 | 3.04 | 18.0% | 11.3% | 70 | -0.81 | 3.04 | 101 | 72 |
| Dan Jennings L 2026 · 3.85 FIP | 31 | SW | 3.85 | 16.6% | 8.1% | 2.1% | .303 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.06 | 244 | 71 |
| Adam Liberatore L 2026 · 4.27 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.27 | 18.6% | 9.1% | 2.9% | .354 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.44 | 124 | 71 |
| Franklin Morales L 2026 · 4.03 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.03 | 15.0% | 8.0% | 2.2% | .267 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.33 | 101 | 71 |
| Brandon Mann L 2027 · 4.73 FIP | 32 | SW | 4.73 | 19.4% | 7.9% | 4.1% | .320 | 3.99 | 19.0% | 7.6% | 128 | -0.74 | 3.59 | 190 | 71 |
| Kwang Hyun Kim L 2027 · 3.69 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.69 | 15.6% | 6.5% | 2.0% | .214 | 4.23 | 17.7% | 9.5% | 107 | +0.54 | 3.69 | 146 | 71 |
| Jason Gurka L 2026 · 5.13 FIP | 31 | SU | 5.13 | 15.5% | 7.6% | 4.3% | .382 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.91 | 183 | 70 |
| Josh Outman L 2026 · 4.54 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.54 | 15.3% | 3.7% | 4.1% | .323 | 5.68 | 12.8% | -1.0% | 86 | +1.14 | 4.54 | 106 | 69 |
| Craig Breslow L 2029 · 5.04 FIP | 34 | SW | 5.04 | 16.4% | 6.4% | 4.6% | .279 | 4.48 | 16.2% | 6.5% | 94 | -0.56 | 4.28 | 159 | 69 |
| Tony Watson L 2026 · 4.48 FIP | 31 | SW | 4.48 | 21.3% | 7.0% | 4.2% | .227 | 3.50 | 21.4% | 16.9% | 187 | -0.98 | 2.22 | 405 | 68 |
| Jeremy Bleich L 2026 · 3.69 FIP | 31 | SW | 3.69 | 20.3% | 6.6% | 2.7% | .296 | 4.42 | 20.1% | 13.1% | 33 | +0.73 | 3.20 | 241 | 68 |
| Marc Rzepczynski L 2026 · 3.72 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.72 | 18.2% | 10.9% | 1.4% | .284 | 5.47 | 15.5% | 1.4% | 67 | +1.75 | 2.71 | 181 | 68 |
| Marlon Arias L 2025 · 4.30 FIP | 30 | SW | 4.30 | 16.8% | 12.2% | 2.0% | .330 | 3.73 | 17.2% | 9.5% | 22 | -0.57 | 3.73 | 154 | 68 |
| Mike Dunn L 2026 · 3.70 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.70 | 21.6% | 6.2% | 3.0% | .311 | 4.62 | 22.4% | 8.9% | 85 | +0.92 | 3.70 | 181 | 67 |
| Robbie Ross Jr. L 2027 · 4.97 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.97 | 15.2% | 7.0% | 4.1% | .312 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.79 | 159 | 67 |
| Kraig Sitton L 2024 · 3.89 FIP | 29 | SW | 3.89 | 14.7% | 6.1% | 2.3% | .312 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.81 | 166 | 67 |
| Andrew Barbosa L 2024 · 4.68 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.68 | 20.2% | 9.6% | 3.8% | .301 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.70 | 175 | 67 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.