John King
P
Miami Marlins
Age 31
LHP
6'2" / 215 lbs
MLB
ILInjured 15-Day (D15)
2026 ROS PROJECTION40 act + 6 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 93102vR 112
ERA3.82
FIP4.06
K%16.7%
BB%6.3%
K-BB%10.3%
ROS IP6
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 46 IP
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p1090.5
Whiff%
p4224.1%
K%
p3620.1%
xwOBA vs
p800.283
SL+2.3 (36%)
CH+1.3 (20%)
FB (34%)
SI (33%)
CU (10%)
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 23 | ROK | AZL Rangers | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 1.7 | 11.1% | 11.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5.40 | 3.57 | — |
| 2018 | 23 | ROK | AZL Rangers | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 1.7 | 11.1% | 11.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5.40 | 3.70 | — |
| 2019 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 19 | 19 | 97 | 383 | 91 | 13 | 5 | 100% | 5.1 | 18.1% | 3.9% | 14.1% | 1.3% | 2.40 | 2.76 | — |
| 2019 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 19 | 19 | 97 | 383 | 91 | 13 | 5 | 100% | 5.1 | 23.8% | 3.4% | 20.4% | 1.3% | 2.40 | 2.30 | — |
| 2020 | 25 | MLB | Texas Rangers | 6 | 0 | 10 | 51 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 0% | 1.7 | 17.6% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 3.8% | 6.10 | 4.70 | -0.0 |
| 2020 | 25 | MLB | Texas Rangers | 6 | 0 | 10 | 51 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 0% | 1.7 | 17.6% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 3.9% | 6.10 | 5.04 | -0.1 |
| 2021 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 29 | 0 | 48 | 201 | 42 | 12 | 3 | 0% | 1.7 | 20.7% | 5.7% | 15.0% | 1.5% | 3.38 | 2.90 | +0.9 |
| 2021 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 29 | 0 | 48 | 201 | 42 | 12 | 3 | 0% | 1.7 | 20.9% | 6.0% | 14.9% | 1.5% | 3.38 | 2.91 | +0.9 |
| 2022 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 53 | 0 | 69 | 302 | 48 | 18 | 10 | 0% | 1.3 | 15.2% | 6.1% | 9.1% | 3.6% | 4.85 | 4.57 | +0.1 |
| 2022 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 53 | 0 | 69 | 302 | 48 | 18 | 10 | 0% | 1.3 | 15.9% | 6.0% | 9.9% | 3.3% | 4.85 | 4.38 | +0.3 |
| 2023 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 47 | 3 | 59 | 254 | 33 | 16 | 3 | 6% | 1.3 | 12.4% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 1.2% | 3.51 | 3.52 | +0.7 |
| 2023 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 47 | 3 | 59 | 254 | 33 | 16 | 3 | 6% | 1.3 | 13.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 1.2% | 3.51 | 3.46 | +0.8 |
| 2024 | 29 | MIX | 2 levels | 62 | 0 | 65 | 270 | 43 | 13 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 15.3% | 5.2% | 10.1% | 2.0% | 2.89 | 3.58 | +0.8 |
| 2024 | 29 | MIX | 2 levels | 62 | 0 | 65 | 270 | 43 | 13 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 15.9% | 4.8% | 11.1% | 2.2% | 2.89 | 3.57 | +0.8 |
| 2025 | 30 | MIX | 3 levels | 55 | 0 | 52 | 239 | 32 | 15 | 9 | 0% | 0.9 | 12.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 4.67 | 4.82 | -0.2 |
| 2025 | 30 | MIX | 3 levels | 55 | 0 | 52 | 239 | 32 | 15 | 9 | 0% | 0.9 | 13.4% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 3.8% | 4.67 | 4.98 | -0.3 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 31 | MLB | Miami Marlins | 40 | 1 | 40 | 149 | 30 | 9 | 4 | 2% | 1.0 | 20.1% | 6.0% | 14.1% | 2.7% | 2.48 | 3.64 | +0.4 |
| ROS | 31 | MLB | MIA | 6 | 0 | 6 | 26 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 16.7% | 6.3% | 10.3% | 2.8% | 3.82 | 4.06 | +0.0 |
| ROS | 31 | MLB | MIA | 6 | 0 | 6 | 25 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 16.7% | 6.3% | 10.3% | 2.8% | 3.82 | 4.06 | +0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 31 | MLB | MIA | — | — | 46 | 175 | 34 | 11 | 5 | — | — | 19.6% | 6.1% | 13.5% | 2.7% | 2.65 | 3.69 | +0.5 |
| 2026 FULL | 31 | MLB | MIA | — | — | 46 | 195 | 34 | 11 | 5 | — | — | 17.6% | 5.5% | 12.2% | 2.4% | 2.65 | 3.64 | +0.5 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 32 | MLB | MIA | 44 | 0 | 46 | 196 | 30 | 13 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 15.0% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 3.1% | 4.56 | 4.76 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 33 | MLB | MIA | 41 | 0 | 43 | 180 | 26 | 13 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 14.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 3.4% | 4.85 | 5.04 | -0.2 |
| 2027 | 32 | MLB | MIA | 42 | 0 | 44 | 186 | 28 | 13 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 15.0% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 3.1% | 4.56 | 4.76 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 33 | MLB | MIA | 39 | 0 | 41 | 173 | 25 | 12 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 14.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 3.4% | 4.85 | 5.04 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 341 | 1 | 384 | 1626 | 252 | 99 | 41 | 0% | 1.1 | 15.5% | 6.1% | 9.4% | 2.5% | 3.86 | 3.95 | +6.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 177 | 1 | 200 | 846 | 131 | 52 | 21 | 0% | 1.1 | 15.5% | 6.1% | 9.4% | 2.5% | 3.86 | 3.95 | +3.4 | ||
| Career | — | 312 | 24 | 442 | 1858 | 300 | 104 | 42 | 8% | 1.4 | 16.1% | 5.6% | 10.5% | 2.3% | 3.48 | 3.69 | +8.9 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 141 | 11 | 200 | 840 | 135 | 47 | 19 | 8% | 1.4 | 16.1% | 5.6% | 10.5% | 2.3% | 3.48 | 3.69 | +4.0 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| John King (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.73 | 13.7% | 6.5% | 2.9% | — | 4.89 | 14.6% | 7.7% | 89 | +0.16 | — | — | — |
| Dan Jennings L 2026 · 3.99 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.99 | 16.6% | 8.1% | 2.3% | .303 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.09 | 244 | 74 |
| Tony Watson L 2026 · 4.22 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.22 | 21.3% | 7.0% | 3.7% | .227 | 3.50 | 21.4% | 16.9% | 187 | -0.72 | 2.22 | 405 | 74 |
| Craig Breslow L 2029 · 4.86 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.86 | 16.4% | 6.4% | 4.2% | .279 | 4.51 | 16.2% | 6.5% | 94 | -0.35 | 4.22 | 159 | 73 |
| Jeremy Bleich L 2026 · 3.70 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.70 | 20.3% | 6.6% | 2.7% | .296 | 4.51 | 20.1% | 13.1% | 33 | +0.81 | 3.21 | 241 | 73 |
| Phil Coke L 2028 · 4.00 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.00 | 18.8% | 9.1% | 2.4% | .373 | 3.04 | 18.0% | 11.3% | 70 | -0.96 | 3.04 | 101 | 72 |
| Adam Liberatore L 2026 · 4.29 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.29 | 18.6% | 9.1% | 2.9% | .354 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.44 | 124 | 71 |
| Mike Dunn L 2026 · 3.72 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.72 | 21.6% | 6.2% | 3.0% | .311 | 4.39 | 22.4% | 8.9% | 85 | +0.67 | 3.72 | 181 | 70 |
| Brian Duensing L 2027 · 4.46 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.46 | 11.5% | 8.1% | 2.4% | .252 | 3.70 | 20.2% | 11.8% | 137 | -0.76 | 2.59 | 198 | 70 |
| Kraig Sitton L 2024 · 4.04 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.04 | 14.7% | 6.1% | 2.6% | .312 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.81 | 166 | 69 |
| Andrew Barbosa L 2024 · 4.83 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.83 | 20.2% | 9.6% | 4.0% | .301 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.68 | 175 | 68 |
| Josh Outman L 2026 · 4.70 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.70 | 15.3% | 3.7% | 4.4% | .323 | 5.71 | 12.8% | -1.0% | 86 | +1.01 | 4.70 | 106 | 68 |
| Marc Rzepczynski L 2026 · 3.79 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.79 | 18.2% | 10.9% | 1.5% | .284 | 5.42 | 15.5% | 1.4% | 67 | +1.63 | 2.79 | 181 | 67 |
| Robbie Ross Jr. L 2027 · 4.87 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.87 | 15.2% | 7.0% | 4.0% | .312 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.79 | 159 | 67 |
| Nick Ramirez L 2026 · 3.56 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.56 | 20.2% | 8.0% | 2.1% | .305 | 3.19 | 17.9% | 11.8% | 169 | -0.37 | 2.93 | 478 | 67 |
| Chris Rusin L 2026 · 3.99 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.99 | 19.5% | 10.4% | 2.2% | .302 | 5.03 | 12.5% | 5.0% | 98 | +1.04 | 2.80 | 488 | 66 |
| Yuki Matsui L 2025 · 4.48 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.48 | 23.7% | 11.1% | 3.6% | .270 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.80 | 172 | 66 |
| Colt Hynes L 2026 · 3.85 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.85 | 22.3% | 4.8% | 3.7% | .353 | 3.52 | 14.1% | 9.5% | 56 | -0.33 | 3.44 | 152 | 65 |
| Edward Paredes L 2026 · 3.79 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.79 | 22.7% | 11.9% | 2.0% | .351 | 5.19 | 21.5% | 14.2% | 18 | +1.40 | 2.29 | 130 | 65 |
| Jason Gurka L 2026 · 5.09 FIP | 31 | SW | 5.09 | 15.5% | 7.6% | 4.3% | .382 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.59 | 183 | 64 |
| Buddy Boshers L 2026 · 3.73 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.73 | 25.3% | 10.4% | 2.6% | .294 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.81 | 223 | 64 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 45 | 14.3% | 6.8% | 1.21 | 4.63 |
| Austin Pruitt ('23) | 5 | 61 | 16.9% | 5.6% | 1.22 | 4.45 |
| JC Ramírez ('17) | 3 | 83 | 17.0% | 7.7% | 1.30 | 4.33 |
| Joe Biagini ('19) | 4 | 81 | 19.1% | 7.8% | 1.28 | 4.86 |
| Blaine Hardy ('19) | 5 | 50 | 18.6% | 7.7% | 1.11 | 3.91 |
| Josh Winckowski ('24) | 3 | 77 | 18.3% | 8.2% | 1.13 | 4.21 |
| Chris Rusin ('18) | 4 | 89 | 17.9% | 7.1% | 1.01 | 4.43 |