T.J. McFarland
P
Athletics
Age 37
LHP
6'3" / 200 lbs
MLB
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 49 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 103112vR 122
ERA4.37
FIP4.52
K%13.6%
BB%6.0%
K-BB%7.6%
ROS IP50
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 49 IP
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p1087.3
Whiff%
p1017.1%
K%
p109.5%
xwOBA vs
p100.359
CH+0.8 (11%)
SI (51%)
SL-3.4 (37%)
FB-3.9 (52%)
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 46 | 9 | 93 | 398 | 57 | 27 | 4 | 20% | 2.0 | 13.4% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 0.9% | 3.77 | 3.36 | +2.1 |
| 2015 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 46 | 9 | 93 | 398 | 57 | 27 | 4 | 20% | 2.0 | 14.3% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 1.0% | 3.77 | 3.30 | +2.1 |
| 2016 | 27 | MIX | 5 levels | 29 | 8 | 59 | 265 | 26 | 17 | 9 | 28% | 2.0 | 7.4% | 6.8% | 0.6% | 3.9% | 5.76 | 5.46 | -0.6 |
| 2016 | 27 | MIX | 5 levels | 29 | 8 | 59 | 265 | 26 | 17 | 9 | 28% | 2.0 | 9.8% | 6.4% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 5.76 | 5.06 | -0.4 |
| 2017 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 50 | 1 | 65 | 280 | 38 | 15 | 4 | 2% | 1.3 | 12.0% | 4.6% | 7.5% | 1.6% | 4.43 | 3.53 | +0.9 |
| 2017 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 50 | 1 | 65 | 280 | 38 | 15 | 4 | 2% | 1.3 | 13.6% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 1.4% | 4.43 | 3.42 | +0.9 |
| 2018 | 29 | MLB | Arizona Diamondbacks | 47 | 0 | 72 | 292 | 42 | 19 | 4 | 0% | 1.5 | 14.4% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 1.3% | 2.00 | 3.43 | +1.2 |
| 2018 | 29 | MLB | Arizona Diamondbacks | 47 | 0 | 72 | 292 | 42 | 19 | 4 | 0% | 1.5 | 14.4% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 1.4% | 2.00 | 3.45 | +1.1 |
| 2019 | 30 | MIX | 2 levels | 54 | 0 | 60 | 266 | 42 | 16 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 14.0% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 2.3% | 4.80 | 3.94 | +0.4 |
| 2019 | 30 | MIX | 2 levels | 54 | 0 | 60 | 266 | 42 | 16 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 15.8% | 6.0% | 9.8% | 2.6% | 4.80 | 4.02 | +0.4 |
| 2020 | 31 | MLB | Oakland Athletics | 23 | 0 | 21 | 92 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 0% | 0.9 | 9.8% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 4.35 | 6.09 | -0.4 |
| 2020 | 31 | MLB | Oakland Athletics | 23 | 0 | 21 | 92 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 0% | 0.9 | 9.8% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.35 | 6.10 | -0.4 |
| 2021 | 32 | MIX | 2 levels | 60 | 0 | 70 | 276 | 55 | 14 | 6 | 0% | 1.2 | 18.4% | 5.2% | 13.3% | 2.4% | 3.49 | 3.53 | +1.0 |
| 2021 | 32 | MIX | 2 levels | 60 | 0 | 70 | 276 | 55 | 14 | 6 | 0% | 1.2 | 19.9% | 5.1% | 14.9% | 2.2% | 3.49 | 3.24 | +1.2 |
| 2022 | 33 | MIX | 2 levels | 45 | 0 | 51 | 217 | 31 | 15 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 13.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 3.2% | 5.68 | 4.63 | -0.0 |
| 2022 | 33 | MIX | 2 levels | 45 | 0 | 51 | 217 | 31 | 15 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 14.3% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 3.2% | 5.68 | 4.56 | -0.0 |
| 2023 | 34 | MIX | 2 levels | 47 | 0 | 64 | 277 | 69 | 27 | 2 | 0% | 1.4 | 22.2% | 10.3% | 11.9% | 0.8% | 2.38 | 2.99 | +1.2 |
| 2023 | 34 | MIX | 2 levels | 47 | 0 | 64 | 277 | 69 | 27 | 2 | 0% | 1.4 | 24.9% | 9.7% | 15.2% | 0.7% | 2.38 | 2.62 | +1.5 |
| 2024 | 35 | MLB | Oakland Athletics | 79 | 0 | 57 | 235 | 39 | 12 | 4 | 0% | 0.7 | 16.6% | 5.1% | 11.5% | 1.8% | 3.81 | 3.32 | +0.8 |
| 2024 | 35 | MLB | Oakland Athletics | 79 | 0 | 57 | 235 | 39 | 12 | 4 | 0% | 0.7 | 16.6% | 5.1% | 11.5% | 1.7% | 3.81 | 3.28 | +0.8 |
| 2025 | 36 | MIX | 2 levels | 28 | 0 | 17 | 78 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 0% | 0.6 | 9.5% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 7.02 | 4.37 | +0.0 |
| 2025 | 36 | MIX | 2 levels | 28 | 0 | 17 | 78 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 0% | 0.6 | 10.3% | 3.8% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 7.02 | 5.02 | -0.1 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 37 | MLB | OAK | 47 | 0 | 50 | 210 | 29 | 13 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 13.6% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 2.6% | 4.37 | 4.52 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 38 | MLB | OAK | 41 | 0 | 43 | 180 | 22 | 12 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 12.5% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 4.72 | 4.96 | -0.2 |
| 2027 | 38 | MLB | OAK | 41 | 0 | 43 | 182 | 23 | 12 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 12.5% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 4.72 | 4.96 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 426 | 1 | 456 | 1964 | 255 | 118 | 46 | 0% | 1.1 | 13.0% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 2.3% | 4.41 | 4.04 | +7.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 187 | 0 | 200 | 862 | 112 | 52 | 20 | 0% | 1.1 | 13.0% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 2.3% | 4.41 | 4.04 | +3.2 | ||
| Career | — | 508 | 18 | 628 | 2676 | 383 | 172 | 56 | 4% | 1.2 | 14.3% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 2.1% | 4.01 | 3.85 | +11.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 162 | 6 | 200 | 852 | 122 | 55 | 18 | 4% | 1.2 | 14.3% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 2.1% | 4.01 | 3.85 | +3.6 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| T.J. McFarland (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.52 | 13.6% | 6.0% | 2.6% | — | 4.96 | 12.5% | 5.7% | 43 | +0.44 | — | — | — |
| Jorge De La Rosa L 2026 · 3.99 FIP | 37 | SU | 3.99 | 19.3% | 9.5% | 2.4% | .269 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.68 | 405 | 71 |
| Heriberto Ruelas L 2024 · 3.56 FIP | 35 | SU | 3.56 | 17.2% | 6.7% | 1.9% | .294 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.05 | 117 | 70 |
| Craig Breslow L 2026 · 5.02 FIP | 37 | SU | 5.02 | 17.8% | 15.1% | 2.7% | .400 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.22 | 159 | 60 |
| Wilfredo Ledezma L 2025 · 3.47 FIP | 36 | SU | 3.47 | 26.7% | 8.3% | 2.9% | .302 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.56 | 109 | 47 |
| Ramon E Ramirez R 2024 · 3.63 FIP | 35 | SU | 3.63 | 14.0% | 5.8% | 1.8% | .286 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.35 | 140 | 37 |
| Pat Neshek R 2026 · 3.40 FIP | 37 | SU | 3.40 | 14.9% | 4.0% | 1.9% | .263 | 5.82 | 11.4% | 8.9% | 18 | +2.42 | 1.48 | 206 | 36 |
| Juan Sandoval R 2025 · 3.53 FIP | 36 | SU | 3.53 | 16.7% | 7.2% | 1.7% | .298 | 5.49 | 15.9% | 8.7% | 57 | +1.96 | 3.17 | 225 | 36 |
| Hector Navarro R 2026 · 3.41 FIP | 37 | SU | 3.41 | 11.5% | 5.6% | 1.0% | .283 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.30 | 126 | 36 |
| Peter Moylan R 2026 · 3.58 FIP | 37 | SU | 3.58 | 17.7% | 7.9% | 1.8% | .263 | 3.98 | 18.5% | 8.6% | 88 | +0.40 | 3.10 | 174 | 35 |
| Ronald Belisario R 2025 · 4.74 FIP | 36 | SU | 4.74 | 12.7% | 3.9% | 4.0% | .322 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.10 | 126 | 35 |
| Chien-Ming Wang R 2025 · 4.52 FIP | 36 | SU | 4.52 | 13.0% | 7.8% | 2.8% | .305 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.13 | 183 | 35 |
| Rudy Gonzalez R 2025 · 4.56 FIP | 36 | SU | 4.56 | 15.8% | 7.1% | 3.5% | .354 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.32 | 119 | 35 |
| Jean Machi R 2024 · 3.92 FIP | 35 | SU | 3.92 | 18.6% | 6.6% | 2.8% | .285 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.92 | 186 | 35 |
| Francisco Del Rosario R 2025 · 4.09 FIP | 36 | SU | 4.09 | 16.4% | 10.0% | 2.0% | .267 | 6.61 | 11.9% | -0.6% | 77 | +2.52 | 4.09 | 145 | 34 |
| Matt Belisle R 2026 · 3.61 FIP | 37 | SU | 3.61 | 21.9% | 6.5% | 2.8% | .241 | 4.59 | 15.4% | 9.2% | 34 | +0.98 | 2.51 | 174 | 33 |
| Tony Pena Jr. R 2025 · 3.54 FIP | 36 | SU | 3.54 | 10.9% | 4.3% | 1.5% | .312 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.79 | 128 | 33 |
| Joe Smith R 2026 · 3.55 FIP | 37 | SU | 3.55 | 19.7% | 3.5% | 3.0% | .328 | 5.87 | 13.9% | 7.3% | 27 | +2.32 | 1.86 | 309 | 32 |
| Santiago Casilla R 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 37 | SU | 4.04 | 22.0% | 8.1% | 3.2% | .289 | 4.08 | 16.8% | 1.6% | 44 | +0.04 | 3.51 | 219 | 32 |
| Fernando Rodney R 2027 · 4.26 FIP | 38 | SU | 4.26 | 20.9% | 9.4% | 3.2% | .272 | 3.34 | 26.2% | 15.2% | 185 | -0.92 | 2.67 | 295 | 31 |
| Seunghwan Oh R 2026 · 5.30 FIP | 37 | SU | 5.30 | 18.2% | 6.8% | 5.2% | .383 | — | — | — | — | — | 1.81 | 226 | 31 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 2 | 46 | 13.1% | 6.4% | 1.09 | 4.53 |
| Austin Pruitt ('23) | 5 | 61 | 16.9% | 5.6% | 1.22 | 4.45 |
| JC Ramírez ('17) | 3 | 83 | 17.0% | 7.7% | 1.30 | 4.33 |
| Chris Rusin ('18) | 4 | 89 | 17.9% | 7.1% | 1.01 | 4.43 |
| Josh Winckowski ('24) | 3 | 77 | 18.3% | 8.2% | 1.13 | 4.21 |
| Vance Worley ('17) | 3 | 77 | 15.4% | 8.5% | 1.02 | 4.73 |
| Blaine Hardy ('19) | 5 | 50 | 18.6% | 7.7% | 1.11 | 3.91 |