T.J. McFarland — OGILVIE

T.J. McFarland P Athletics

Age 37 LHP 6'3" / 200 lbs MLB

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 4 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 103111vR 119

ERA4.37

FIP4.52

K%13.5%

BB%5.9%

K-BB%7.6%

ROS IP4

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 4 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF3535

CTRL6060

CMD3535

K†3030

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p1087.3

Whiff%

p1017.1%

p109.5%

xwOBA vs

p100.359

CH+0.8 (11%)

SI (51%)

SL-3.4 (37%)

FB-3.9 (52%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2015	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	46	9	93	398	57	27	4	20%	2.0	13.4%	7.0%	6.4%	0.9%	3.77	3.35	+1.3
2015	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	46	9	93	398	57	27	4	20%	2.0	14.3%	6.8%	7.5%	1.0%	3.77	3.30	+1.4
2016	27	MIX MLE	5 levels	29	8	59	265	26	17	9	28%	2.0	7.4%	6.8%	0.6%	3.1%	5.76	5.03	-0.3
2016	27	MIX RAW	5 levels	29	8	59	265	26	17	9	28%	2.0	9.8%	6.4%	3.4%	3.4%	5.76	5.06	-0.3
2017	28	MIX MLE	2 levels	50	1	65	280	38	15	4	2%	1.3	12.0%	4.6%	7.5%	1.6%	4.43	3.56	+0.8
2017	28	MIX RAW	2 levels	50	1	65	280	38	15	4	2%	1.3	13.6%	5.4%	8.2%	1.4%	4.43	3.42	+0.9
2018	29	MLB MLE	Arizona Diamondbacks	47	0	72	292	42	19	4	0%	1.5	14.4%	6.5%	7.9%	1.4%	2.00	3.51	+0.9
2018	29	MLB RAW	Arizona Diamondbacks	47	0	72	292	42	19	4	0%	1.5	14.4%	6.5%	7.9%	1.4%	2.00	3.45	+0.9
2019	30	MIX MLE	2 levels	54	0	60	266	42	16	7	0%	1.1	14.0%	6.0%	8.0%	2.5%	4.80	4.07	+0.3
2019	30	MIX RAW	2 levels	54	0	60	266	42	16	7	0%	1.1	15.8%	6.0%	9.8%	2.6%	4.80	4.02	+0.4
2020	31	MLB MLE	Oakland Athletics	23	0	21	92	9	5	5	0%	0.9	9.8%	5.4%	4.3%	6.0%	4.35	6.24	-0.4
2020	31	MLB RAW	Oakland Athletics	23	0	21	92	9	5	5	0%	0.9	9.8%	5.4%	4.3%	5.4%	4.35	6.10	-0.4
2021	32	MIX MLE	2 levels	60	0	70	276	55	14	6	0%	1.2	18.4%	5.2%	13.3%	2.4%	3.49	3.53	+0.8
2021	32	MIX RAW	2 levels	60	0	70	276	55	14	6	0%	1.2	19.9%	5.1%	14.9%	2.2%	3.49	3.24	+1.1
2022	33	MIX MLE	2 levels	45	0	51	217	31	15	7	0%	1.1	13.5%	7.0%	6.5%	3.4%	5.68	4.74	-0.1
2022	33	MIX RAW	2 levels	45	0	51	217	31	15	7	0%	1.1	14.3%	6.9%	7.4%	3.2%	5.68	4.56	-0.0
2023	34	MIX MLE	2 levels	47	0	64	277	69	27	2	0%	1.4	20.9%	8.8%	12.1%	0.8%	2.38	2.91	+1.3
2023	34	MIX MLE	2 levels	47	0	64	277	69	27	2	0%	1.4	20.9%	8.8%	12.1%	0.8%	2.38	2.91	+1.3
2023	34	MIX RAW	2 levels	47	0	64	277	69	27	2	0%	1.4	24.9%	9.7%	15.2%	0.7%	2.38	2.62	+1.5
2024	35	MLB MLE	Oakland Athletics	79	0	57	235	39	12	4	0%	0.7	16.6%	5.1%	11.5%	1.9%	3.81	3.37	+0.8
2024	35	MLB MLE	Oakland Athletics	79	0	57	235	39	12	4	0%	0.7	16.6%	5.1%	11.5%	1.9%	3.81	3.37	+0.8
2024	35	MLB RAW	Oakland Athletics	79	0	57	235	39	12	4	0%	0.7	16.6%	5.1%	11.5%	1.7%	3.81	3.28	+0.9
2025	36	MIX MLE	2 levels	28	0	17	78	8	3	3	0%	0.6	9.5%	4.1%	5.4%	2.8%	7.02	4.34	+0.0
2025	36	MIX MLE	2 levels	28	0	17	78	8	3	3	0%	0.6	9.5%	4.1%	5.4%	2.8%	7.02	4.34	+0.0
2025	36	MIX RAW	2 levels	28	0	17	78	8	3	3	0%	0.6	10.3%	3.8%	6.4%	3.8%	7.02	5.02	-0.1
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			385	1	413	1784	233	106	40	0%	1.1	13.1%	5.9%	7.1%	2.2%	4.38	4.00	+2.7
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	37	MLB	OAK	4	0	4	17	2	1	0	0%	1.0	13.5%	5.9%	7.6%	2.6%	4.37	4.52	+0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	38	MLB MLE	OAK	41	0	43	180	22	12	6	0%	1.0	12.3%	6.6%	5.8%	3.1%	4.72	4.95	-0.2
2027	38	MLB CTX	OAK	41	0	43	182	22	12	6	0%	1.0	12.3%	6.6%	5.8%	3.1%	4.72	4.95	-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		426	1	456	1964	255	118	46	0%	1.1	13.0%	6.0%	7.0%	2.3%	4.41	4.03	+2.8
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		187	0	200	862	112	52	20	0%	1.1	13.0%	6.0%	7.0%	2.3%	4.41	4.03	+1.2
Career	—	MLE		508	18	628	2676	379	167	56	4%	1.2	14.2%	6.3%	7.9%	2.1%	4.01	3.84	+2.5
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		162	6	200	852	121	53	18	4%	1.2	14.2%	6.3%	7.9%	2.1%	4.01	3.84	+1.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
T.J. McFarland (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.52	13.5%	5.9%	2.6%	—	4.95	12.3%	5.8%	43	+0.43	—	—	—
Heriberto Ruelas L 2017 · 3.42 FIP	35	SU	3.42	17.2%	6.7%	1.7%	.294	—	—	—	—	—	2.95	117	69
Jorge De La Rosa L 2018 · 4.07 FIP	37	SU	4.07	19.3%	9.5%	2.6%	.269	—	—	—	—	—	3.86	405	61
Craig Breslow L 2018 · 5.13 FIP	37	SU	5.13	17.8%	15.1%	2.9%	.400	—	—	—	—	—	4.22	159	60
Wilfredo Ledezma L 2017 · 3.35 FIP	36	SU	3.35	26.7%	8.3%	2.7%	.302	—	—	—	—	—	2.58	109	47
Ronald Belisario R 2019 · 4.16 FIP	36	SU	4.16	12.7%	3.9%	3.0%	.322	—	—	—	—	—	2.10	126	36
Ramon E Ramirez R 2017 · 3.49 FIP	35	SU	3.49	14.0%	5.8%	1.5%	.286	—	—	—	—	—	2.37	140	36
Pat Neshek R 2018 · 3.36 FIP	37	SU	3.36	14.9%	4.0%	1.8%	.263	5.70	11.4%	8.9%	18	+2.34	1.57	206	36
Hector Navarro R 2017 · 3.53 FIP	37	SU	3.53	11.5%	5.6%	1.3%	.283	—	—	—	—	—	2.30	126	36
Peter Moylan R 2016 · 3.59 FIP	37	SU	3.59	17.7%	7.9%	1.8%	.263	4.00	18.5%	8.6%	88	+0.41	3.11	174	35
Chien-Ming Wang R 2016 · 4.53 FIP	36	SU	4.53	13.0%	7.8%	2.8%	.305	—	—	—	—	—	4.23	183	35
Juan Sandoval R 2017 · 3.42 FIP	36	SU	3.42	16.7%	7.2%	1.5%	.298	5.41	15.9%	8.7%	57	+1.99	3.24	225	35
Jean Machi R 2017 · 4.12 FIP	35	SU	4.12	18.6%	6.6%	3.2%	.285	—	—	—	—	—	4.12	186	35
Rudy Gonzalez R 2017 · 4.72 FIP	36	SU	4.72	15.8%	7.1%	3.8%	.354	—	—	—	—	—	3.31	119	35
Matt Belisle R 2017 · 3.62 FIP	37	SU	3.62	21.9%	6.5%	2.8%	.241	4.60	15.4%	9.2%	34	+0.98	2.51	174	34
Francisco Del Rosario R 2017 · 4.15 FIP	36	SU	4.15	16.4%	10.0%	2.1%	.267	6.35	11.9%	-0.6%	77	+2.20	4.15	145	34
Tony Pena Jr. R 2017 · 3.43 FIP	36	SU	3.43	10.9%	4.3%	1.3%	.312	—	—	—	—	—	2.80	128	33
Joe Smith R 2021 · 3.51 FIP	37	SU	3.51	19.7%	3.5%	3.0%	.328	5.89	13.9%	7.3%	27	+2.38	1.86	309	32
Santiago Casilla R 2017 · 4.13 FIP	37	SU	4.13	22.0%	8.1%	3.4%	.289	4.14	16.8%	1.6%	44	+0.01	3.50	219	32
Fernando Rodney R 2015 · 4.37 FIP	38	SU	4.37	20.9%	9.4%	3.4%	.272	3.37	26.2%	15.2%	185	-1.00	2.69	295	31
Dustin McGowan R 2017 · 4.58 FIP	35	SU	4.58	19.4%	6.7%	4.2%	.277	—	—	—	—	—	3.82	208	31

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.5	46	12.9%	6.2%	1.09	4.53
Austin Pruitt ('23)	1.5	61	16.9%	5.6%	1.22	4.45
Alex Claudio ('21)	1.5	59	16.3%	6.1%	0.76	3.66
Josh Winckowski ('24)	1.2	77	18.3%	8.2%	1.13	4.21
Brandon Kintzler ('21)	1.5	50	16.2%	6.3%	0.91	3.57
Robert Gsellman ('21)	1.7	67	18.4%	7.8%	0.96	4.38
Josh Fleming ('24)	1.3	51	14.6%	7.5%	1.17	4.77