T.J. McFarland
P
Athletics
+0.1
WAR
Age 37
LHP
6'3" / 200 lbs
MLB
peak 0.1 · 2026
ERA4.36
FIP4.24
xFIP4.39
SIERA3.98
K%18.1%
BB%6.9%
K-BB%11.3%
IP23
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.1peak
2026
STUF3535
CTRL6060
CMD3535
K†3030
FB Velo
p1087.3
Whiff%
p1017.1%
K%
p109.5%
xwOBA vs
p100.359
CH+0.8 (11%)
SI (51%)
SL-3.4 (37%)
FB-3.9 (52%)
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 26 | MLB | Baltimore Orioles | 46 | 9 | 93 | 398 | 57 | 27 | 4 | 13.4% | 7.0% | 0.9% | 3.77 | 3.35 | +2.0 |
| 2016 | 27 | MLB | Baltimore Orioles | 29 | 8 | 59 | 265 | 26 | 17 | 9 | 7.4% | 6.8% | 3.3% | 5.76 | 5.12 | -0.1 |
| 2017 | 28 | MLB | Arizona Diamondbacks | 50 | 1 | 65 | 280 | 38 | 15 | 4 | 12.0% | 4.6% | 1.6% | 4.43 | 3.53 | +1.1 |
| 2018 | 29 | MLB | Arizona Diamondbacks | 47 | 0 | 72 | 292 | 42 | 19 | 4 | 14.4% | 6.5% | 1.4% | 2.00 | 3.50 | +1.3 |
| 2019 | 30 | MLB | Arizona Diamondbacks | 54 | 0 | 60 | 266 | 42 | 16 | 7 | 14.0% | 6.0% | 2.5% | 4.80 | 4.04 | +0.6 |
| 2020 | 31 | MLB | Oakland Athletics | 23 | 0 | 21 | 92 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 9.8% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.35 | 6.07 | -0.3 |
| 2021 | 32 | MLB | St. Louis Cardinals | 60 | 0 | 70 | 276 | 55 | 14 | 6 | 18.4% | 5.2% | 2.4% | 3.49 | 3.53 | +1.2 |
| 2022 | 33 | MLB | St. Louis Cardinals | 45 | 0 | 51 | 217 | 31 | 15 | 7 | 13.5% | 7.0% | 3.1% | 5.68 | 4.58 | +0.2 |
| 2023 | 34 | MLB | New York Mets | 47 | 0 | 64 | 277 | 69 | 27 | 2 | 22.2% | 10.3% | 0.8% | 2.38 | 2.98 | +1.5 |
| 2024 | 35 | MLB | Oakland Athletics | 79 | 0 | 57 | 235 | 39 | 12 | 4 | 16.6% | 5.1% | 1.8% | 3.81 | 3.31 | +1.1 |
| 2025 | 36 | MLB | Athletics | 28 | 0 | 17 | 78 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 9.5% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 7.02 | 4.39 | +0.1 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 37 | MLB | OAK | 23 | — | 23 | 98 | 14 | 7 | 3 | 14.1% | 6.9% | 2.6% | 4.39 | 4.59 | +0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 38 | MLB | OAK | 21 | — | 21 | 90 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 13.2% | 7.2% | 2.7% | 4.62 | 4.78 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 508 | 18 | 628 | 2676 | 383 | 172 | 55 | 14.3% | 6.4% | 2.1% | 4.01 | 3.83 | +10.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 162 | 6 | 200 | 852 | 122 | 55 | 18 | 14.3% | 6.4% | 2.1% | 4.01 | 3.83 | +3.3 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| T.J. McFarland (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.59 | 14.1% | 6.9% | 2.6% | — | 4.78 | 13.2% | 6.1% | 21 | +0.19 | — | — | — |
| Jorge De La Rosa L 2026 · 4.12 FIP | 37 | SW | 4.12 | 19.3% | 9.5% | 2.6% | .269 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.99 | 405 | 71 |
| Heriberto Ruelas L 2024 · 3.42 FIP | 35 | SU | 3.42 | 17.2% | 6.7% | 1.7% | .294 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.97 | 117 | 70 |
| Francisley Bueno L 2025 · 4.42 FIP | 36 | SW | 4.42 | 11.7% | 8.4% | 2.3% | .351 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.51 | 138 | 66 |
| Craig Breslow L 2026 · 5.15 FIP | 37 | SU | 5.15 | 17.8% | 15.1% | 3.0% | .400 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.28 | 159 | 63 |
| Scott Kazmir L 2026 · 4.57 FIP | 37 | SW | 4.57 | 19.2% | 8.8% | 3.6% | .280 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.70 | 395 | 61 |
| Oscar Rivera L 2025 · 5.57 FIP | 36 | SU | 5.57 | 9.8% | 7.8% | 4.2% | .252 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.71 | 237 | 60 |
| Horacio Ramirez L 2026 · 4.06 FIP | 37 | SW | 4.06 | 8.6% | 4.5% | 2.0% | .306 | 4.64 | 5.7% | -0.3% | 35 | +0.58 | 3.35 | 199 | 59 |
| J.A. Happ L 2026 · 3.92 FIP | 37 | SU | 3.92 | 21.4% | 7.7% | 3.0% | .221 | 5.14 | 18.2% | 11.0% | 152 | +1.22 | 3.20 | 1,053 | 58 |
| Wandy Rodriguez L 2025 · 3.85 FIP | 36 | SP- | 3.85 | 19.4% | 8.5% | 2.4% | .312 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.85 | 101 | 43 |
| Chris Narveson L 2024 · 4.63 FIP | 35 | SP- | 4.63 | 12.2% | 10.4% | 2.3% | .264 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.62 | 249 | 42 |
| Tsuyoshi Wada L 2023 · 3.59 FIP | 34 | SP- | 3.59 | 16.8% | 7.1% | 1.8% | .307 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.59 | 119 | 41 |
| Juan Antonio Pena L 2026 · 4.17 FIP | 37 | SP- | 4.17 | 13.6% | 9.9% | 1.8% | .287 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.17 | 149 | 38 |
| Mauricio Lara L 2026 · 3.67 FIP | 37 | SP- | 3.67 | 12.1% | 7.6% | 1.1% | .294 | 4.32 | 12.2% | 5.6% | 219 | +0.65 | 3.59 | 444 | 37 |
| Jonathan Sánchez L 2025 · 4.73 FIP | 36 | SP- | 4.73 | 18.1% | 8.3% | 3.8% | .339 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.73 | 109 | 37 |
| Ramon E Ramirez R 2024 · 3.50 FIP | 35 | SU | 3.50 | 14.0% | 5.8% | 1.6% | .286 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.37 | 140 | 36 |
| Ronald Belisario R 2025 · 4.18 FIP | 36 | SU | 4.18 | 12.7% | 3.9% | 3.0% | .322 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.10 | 126 | 36 |
| Hector Navarro R 2026 · 3.47 FIP | 37 | SU | 3.47 | 11.5% | 5.6% | 1.1% | .283 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.30 | 126 | 36 |
| Rudy Gonzalez R 2025 · 4.65 FIP | 36 | SU | 4.65 | 15.8% | 7.1% | 3.6% | .354 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.32 | 119 | 35 |
| Arturo Lopez L 2025 · 5.45 FIP | 36 | SP- | 5.45 | 12.2% | 6.8% | 4.6% | .320 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.33 | 445 | 35 |
| Peter Moylan R 2026 · 3.61 FIP | 37 | SW | 3.61 | 17.7% | 7.9% | 1.8% | .263 | 4.02 | 18.5% | 8.6% | 88 | +0.41 | 3.11 | 174 | 35 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.