Brant Hurter
P
Detroit Tigers
Age 27
LHP
6'6" / 250 lbs
MLB
peak 0.3 · 2026
ILInjured 60-Day (D60)
2026 ROS PROJECTION25 act + 24 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 8594vR 103
ERA3.37
FIP3.67
K%19.8%
BB%7.9%
K-BB%11.9%
ROS IP24
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 49 IP
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p1692.1
Whiff%
p1620.5%
K%
p2017.8%
xwOBA vs
p580.304
FB+2.2 (62%)
CH (11%)
SI (58%)
SL-0.7 (27%)
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 23 | MIX | 3 levels | 25 | 18 | 107 | 437 | 136 | 21 | 7 | 72% | 4.3 | 23.7% | 5.5% | 18.2% | 1.9% | 3.71 | 2.84 | — |
| 2022 | 23 | MIX | 3 levels | 25 | 18 | 107 | 437 | 136 | 21 | 7 | 72% | 4.3 | 31.1% | 4.8% | 26.3% | 1.6% | 3.71 | 1.99 | — |
| 2023 | 24 | AA | Erie SeaWolves | 26 | 26 | 118 | 498 | 133 | 33 | 7 | 100% | 4.5 | 21.6% | 7.3% | 14.3% | 1.5% | 3.28 | 3.03 | — |
| 2023 | 24 | AA | Erie SeaWolves | 26 | 26 | 118 | 498 | 133 | 33 | 7 | 100% | 4.5 | 26.7% | 6.6% | 20.1% | 1.4% | 3.28 | 2.46 | — |
| 2024 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 29 | 19 | 117 | 498 | 108 | 29 | 12 | 66% | 4.0 | 20.0% | 6.1% | 13.9% | 3.9% | 4.55 | 4.32 | +1.5 |
| 2024 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 29 | 19 | 117 | 498 | 108 | 29 | 12 | 66% | 4.0 | 21.7% | 5.8% | 15.9% | 2.4% | 4.55 | 3.33 | +2.8 |
| 2025 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 46 | 4 | 67 | 294 | 70 | 24 | 4 | 9% | 1.4 | 24.5% | 8.7% | 15.9% | 1.6% | 2.83 | 2.99 | +1.3 |
| 2025 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 46 | 4 | 67 | 294 | 70 | 24 | 4 | 9% | 1.4 | 23.8% | 8.2% | 15.6% | 1.4% | 2.83 | 2.86 | +1.4 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 27 | MLB | Detroit Tigers | 21 | 0 | 25 | 101 | 18 | 11 | 1 | 0% | 1.2 | 17.8% | 10.9% | 6.9% | 1.0% | 2.84 | 3.52 | +0.3 |
| ROS | 27 | MLB | DET | 23 | 0 | 24 | 100 | 20 | 8 | 2 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.8% | 7.9% | 11.9% | 2.3% | 3.37 | 3.67 | +0.2 |
| ROS | 27 | MLB | DET | 23 | 0 | 24 | 101 | 20 | 8 | 2 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.8% | 7.9% | 11.9% | 2.3% | 3.37 | 3.67 | +0.2 |
| 2026 TOT | 27 | MLB | DET | — | — | 49 | 201 | 38 | 19 | 3 | — | — | 18.8% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 1.6% | 3.10 | 3.59 | +0.5 |
| 2026 FULL | 27 | MLB | DET | — | — | 49 | 207 | 38 | 19 | 3 | — | — | 18.3% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 1.6% | 3.10 | 3.58 | +0.6 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | DET | 67 | 0 | 71 | 299 | 60 | 24 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.0% | 8.1% | 11.9% | 2.4% | 3.96 | 4.12 | +0.5 |
| 2028 | 29 | MLB | DET | 64 | 0 | 68 | 285 | 55 | 24 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.4% | 8.3% | 11.1% | 2.5% | 4.15 | 4.28 | +0.3 |
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | DET | 64 | 0 | 67 | 283 | 57 | 23 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.0% | 8.1% | 11.9% | 2.4% | 3.96 | 4.12 | +0.5 |
| 2028 | 29 | MLB | DET | 61 | 0 | 64 | 270 | 52 | 22 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.4% | 8.3% | 11.1% | 2.5% | 4.15 | 4.28 | +0.3 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 222 | 5 | 289 | 1207 | 253 | 94 | 25 | 2% | 1.3 | 21.0% | 7.8% | 13.1% | 2.1% | 3.31 | 3.45 | +6.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 154 | 3 | 200 | 837 | 175 | 65 | 17 | 2% | 1.3 | 21.0% | 7.8% | 13.1% | 2.1% | 3.31 | 3.45 | +4.6 | ||
| Career | — | 147 | 67 | 433 | 1828 | 401 | 127 | 41 | 46% | 2.9 | 21.9% | 7.0% | 15.0% | 2.2% | 3.63 | 3.36 | +10.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 68 | 31 | 200 | 844 | 185 | 59 | 19 | 46% | 2.9 | 21.9% | 7.0% | 15.0% | 2.2% | 3.63 | 3.36 | +4.8 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Brant Hurter (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.00 | 20.9% | 7.0% | 2.5% | — | 4.20 | 19.7% | 11.5% | 138 | +0.20 | — | — | — |
| Shinnosuke Ogasawara L 2026 · 4.83 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.83 | 16.6% | 9.0% | 3.6% | .308 | 3.98 | 22.0% | 15.2% | 59 | -0.85 | 3.98 | 122 | 80 |
| Buddy Baumann L 2026 · 2.83 FIP | 27 | SW | 2.83 | 22.5% | 7.4% | 1.3% | .278 | 4.41 | 23.5% | 13.1% | 78 | +1.58 | 2.83 | 155 | 78 |
| Hector Hernandez L 2027 · 3.57 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.57 | 20.2% | 9.0% | 1.9% | .290 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.17 | 121 | 77 |
| Andrew Barbosa L 2026 · 3.30 FIP | 27 | SW | 3.30 | 22.8% | 12.2% | 1.1% | .292 | 3.80 | 20.2% | 11.3% | 127 | +0.50 | 2.68 | 175 | 77 |
| Edgar Olmos L 2026 · 3.56 FIP | 27 | SW | 3.56 | 18.9% | 9.7% | 1.5% | .252 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.19 | 203 | 73 |
| Ryan Verdugo L 2027 · 3.62 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.62 | 19.8% | 10.8% | 1.5% | .281 | 3.41 | 22.7% | 17.3% | 82 | -0.21 | 3.41 | 153 | 73 |
| Jorge Ibarra L 2026 · 2.93 FIP | 27 | SW | 2.93 | 20.2% | 8.4% | 0.9% | .407 | 2.79 | 21.0% | 14.5% | 99 | -0.14 | 2.57 | 146 | 71 |
| Jason Gurka L 2026 · 3.09 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.09 | 17.5% | 7.0% | 1.1% | .303 | 3.22 | 23.4% | 17.6% | 95 | +0.13 | 2.59 | 183 | 71 |
| Matt Tracy L 2026 · 3.68 FIP | 27 | SW | 3.68 | 13.8% | 8.3% | 1.3% | .328 | 4.26 | 15.3% | 5.5% | 129 | +0.58 | 3.24 | 298 | 70 |
| Chad Bell L 2026 · 3.47 FIP | 27 | SW | 3.47 | 18.8% | 9.7% | 1.3% | .307 | 4.55 | 19.2% | 10.8% | 153 | +1.08 | 3.47 | 393 | 70 |
| Aaron Rozek L 2026 · 4.53 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.53 | 17.4% | 8.8% | 3.3% | .311 | 4.31 | 17.2% | 9.9% | 300 | -0.22 | 3.88 | 523 | 70 |
| Colton Turner L 2026 · 3.10 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.10 | 21.1% | 8.4% | 1.3% | .235 | 3.96 | 22.4% | 13.2% | 94 | +0.86 | 2.83 | 325 | 69 |
| Brian Johnson L 2026 · 4.52 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.52 | 20.0% | 8.8% | 3.6% | .300 | 4.82 | 17.1% | 7.0% | 116 | +0.30 | 3.38 | 506 | 69 |
| Carson Teel L 2025 · 4.22 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.22 | 17.7% | 7.1% | 3.1% | .355 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.44 | 248 | 69 |
| David Huff L 2029 · 3.63 FIP | 30 | SW | 3.63 | 17.1% | 3.8% | 2.7% | .271 | 4.00 | 19.5% | 14.6% | 52 | +0.37 | 3.63 | 158 | 69 |
| Nico Tellache L 2026 · 3.89 FIP | 27 | SP- | 3.89 | 16.3% | 7.3% | 2.3% | .373 | 4.65 | 13.4% | 4.8% | 78 | +0.76 | 3.89 | 160 | 69 |
| Jimmy Reyes L 2026 · 4.09 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.09 | 14.6% | 6.2% | 2.6% | .313 | 4.73 | 13.8% | 5.8% | 66 | +0.64 | 3.00 | 200 | 68 |
| Brendan Nail L 2026 · 4.43 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.43 | 19.5% | 11.4% | 2.8% | .262 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.67 | 165 | 67 |
| Juan Grullon L 2025 · 4.86 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.86 | 19.8% | 10.9% | 3.7% | .305 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.86 | 134 | 67 |
| Eric Jokisch L 2026 · 4.96 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.96 | 12.4% | 9.6% | 3.1% | .330 | 3.92 | 15.2% | 7.6% | 283 | -1.04 | 3.80 | 412 | 67 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 62 | 20.0% | 7.9% | 0.96 | 3.96 |
| Jim Johnson ('18) | 4 | 63 | 20.7% | 8.0% | 0.90 | 4.19 |
| Carlos Torres ('17) | 3 | 71 | 20.1% | 9.0% | 0.97 | 3.77 |
| Trevor Gott ('23) | 4 | 51 | 22.0% | 7.4% | 0.79 | 3.97 |
| Randall Delgado ('17) | 3 | 70 | 22.2% | 9.2% | 0.90 | 3.78 |
| Blaine Hardy ('19) | 5 | 50 | 18.6% | 7.7% | 1.11 | 3.91 |
| Adam Warren ('19) | 5 | 67 | 20.8% | 8.3% | 1.08 | 3.55 |