Brant Hurter
P
Detroit Tigers
+0.6
WAR
Age 27
LHP
6'6" / 250 lbs
MLB
Svc 1.0 · Ctrl thru 2030
peak 0.6 · 2026
ERA3.30
FIP3.84
xFIP3.88
SIERA3.93
K%22.8%
BB%7.8%
K-BB%15.0%
IP57
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.6peak
2026
K†5050
FB Velo
p1692.1
Whiff%
p5526.0%
K%
p6224.5%
xwOBA vs
p650.297
FB+2.2 (63%)
CH (10%)
SI (59%)
SL-0.7 (27%)
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 23 | AA | Erie SeaWolves | 25 | 18 | 107 | 437 | 136 | 21 | 7 | 23.7% | 5.5% | 2.0% | 3.71 | 2.88 | +2.9 |
| 2023 | 24 | AA | Erie SeaWolves | 26 | 26 | 118 | 498 | 133 | 33 | 7 | 21.6% | 7.3% | 1.6% | 3.28 | 3.08 | +3.0 |
| 2024 | 25 | MLB | Detroit Tigers | 29 | 19 | 117 | 498 | 108 | 29 | 12 | 20.0% | 6.1% | 3.1% | 4.55 | 3.87 | +1.9 |
| 2025 | 26 | MLB | Detroit Tigers | 46 | 4 | 67 | 294 | 70 | 24 | 4 | 24.5% | 8.7% | 1.4% | 2.83 | 2.88 | +1.6 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 27 | MLB | Detroit Tigers | 6 | 0 | 6 | 25 | 4 | 3 | 1 | — | — | — | 3.00 | — | — |
| ROS | 27 | MLB | DET | 51 | — | 51 | 216 | 45 | 17 | 5 | 21.0% | 7.8% | 2.3% | 3.18 | 3.96 | +0.6 |
| 2026 Total | 27 | MLB | DET | — | — | 57 | 241 | 49 | 20 | 6 | 20.5% | 8.2% | 2.5% | 3.16 | 3.54 | +0.9 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | DET | 56 | — | 56 | 237 | 48 | 19 | 6 | 20.4% | 8.1% | 2.4% | 3.80 | 4.12 | +0.5 |
| 2028 | 29 | MLB | DET | 55 | — | 55 | 232 | 46 | 19 | 6 | 20.0% | 8.2% | 2.5% | 4.04 | 4.19 | +0.5 |
| 2029 | 30 | MLB | DET | 53 | — | 53 | 225 | 44 | 19 | 6 | 19.4% | 8.3% | 2.5% | 4.19 | 4.28 | +0.4 |
| 2030 | 31 | MLB | DET | 51 | — | 51 | 217 | 41 | 18 | 6 | 18.8% | 8.4% | 2.6% | 4.31 | 4.39 | +0.3 |
| 2031 | 32 | MLB | DET | 49 | — | 49 | 208 | 38 | 18 | 6 | 18.2% | 8.6% | 2.7% | 4.43 | 4.50 | +0.3 |
| 2032 | 33 | MLB | DET | 47 | — | 47 | 199 | 35 | 17 | 6 | 17.5% | 8.7% | 2.8% | 4.55 | 4.63 | +0.2 |
| 2033 | 34 | MLB | DET | 45 | — | 45 | 189 | 32 | 17 | 5 | 16.8% | 8.9% | 2.9% | 4.68 | 4.77 | +0.1 |
| 2034 | 35 | MLB | DET | 42 | — | 42 | 178 | 29 | 16 | 5 | 16.1% | 9.2% | 3.0% | 4.82 | 4.92 | +0.0 |
| 2035 | 36 | MLB | DET | 39 | — | 39 | 166 | 25 | 16 | 5 | 15.3% | 9.4% | 3.1% | 4.98 | 5.09 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 132 | 67 | 414 | 1752 | 387 | 119 | 37 | 22.1% | 6.8% | 2.1% | 3.67 | 3.26 | +9.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 64 | 32 | 200 | 846 | 187 | 57 | 18 | 22.1% | 6.8% | 2.1% | 3.67 | 3.26 | +4.6 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Brant Hurter (OGILVIE) | — | — | 3.96 | 21.0% | 7.8% | 2.3% | — | 4.20 | 19.9% | 11.8% | 164 | +0.24 | — | — | — |
| Adam Liberatore L 2027 · 3.69 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.69 | 21.1% | 7.3% | 2.6% | .267 | 3.20 | 23.3% | 15.2% | 73 | -0.49 | 2.44 | 124 | 86 |
| Dan Jennings L 2027 · 3.06 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.06 | 18.9% | 7.4% | 1.1% | .294 | 3.79 | 17.8% | 8.5% | 188 | +0.73 | 3.06 | 244 | 84 |
| Jason Gurka L 2026 · 3.14 FIP | 27 | SW | 3.14 | 17.5% | 7.0% | 1.1% | .303 | 3.27 | 23.4% | 17.6% | 95 | +0.13 | 2.91 | 183 | 82 |
| Buddy Baumann L 2026 · 2.92 FIP | 27 | SW | 2.92 | 22.5% | 7.4% | 1.4% | .278 | 4.49 | 23.5% | 13.1% | 78 | +1.57 | 2.92 | 155 | 81 |
| Buddy Boshers L 2027 · 2.83 FIP | 28 | SW | 2.83 | 24.3% | 6.8% | 1.7% | .288 | 3.76 | 22.5% | 14.2% | 161 | +0.93 | 2.83 | 223 | 81 |
| Fabian Williamson L 2026 · 3.42 FIP | 27 | SW | 3.42 | 23.8% | 9.0% | 2.2% | .259 | 5.26 | 16.5% | -3.3% | 54 | +1.84 | 3.42 | 154 | 80 |
| Franklin Morales L 2028 · 3.33 FIP | 29 | SW | 3.33 | 15.9% | 5.4% | 1.6% | .271 | 4.03 | 15.0% | 7.0% | 39 | +0.70 | 3.33 | 101 | 80 |
| Keith Hessler L 2026 · 3.29 FIP | 27 | SW | 3.29 | 19.0% | 9.3% | 1.1% | .305 | 5.10 | 17.8% | 5.2% | 98 | +1.81 | 3.29 | 228 | 79 |
| Ryan Sherriff L 2026 · 2.97 FIP | 27 | SW | 2.97 | 20.7% | 5.7% | 1.6% | .257 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.97 | 245 | 79 |
| Christian Friedrich L 2027 · 3.77 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.77 | 16.7% | 8.5% | 1.8% | .355 | 3.86 | 17.6% | 8.8% | 129 | +0.09 | 3.77 | 188 | 79 |
| Robbie Ross Jr. L 2026 · 2.79 FIP | 27 | SW | 2.79 | 23.5% | 9.7% | 0.8% | .287 | 5.28 | 16.1% | -11.9% | 11 | +2.49 | 2.79 | 159 | 79 |
| James Pazos L 2026 · 3.09 FIP | 27 | SW | 3.09 | 21.3% | 6.6% | 1.7% | .291 | 4.56 | 20.6% | 9.4% | 97 | +1.47 | 2.55 | 261 | 78 |
| Ryan Verdugo L 2027 · 3.61 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.61 | 19.8% | 10.8% | 1.5% | .281 | 3.36 | 22.7% | 17.3% | 82 | -0.25 | 3.36 | 153 | 78 |
| Garrett Schoenle L 2026 · 4.18 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.18 | 17.9% | 8.5% | 2.8% | .281 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.32 | 304 | 78 |
| Luis Avilán L 2026 · 2.79 FIP | 27 | SW | 2.79 | 25.7% | 8.3% | 1.5% | .295 | 3.11 | 25.0% | 16.0% | 123 | +0.32 | 2.65 | 256 | 78 |
| Ozzie Mendez L 2026 · 4.15 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.15 | 14.6% | 6.7% | 2.6% | .269 | 3.94 | 11.3% | 3.0% | 68 | -0.21 | 3.90 | 161 | 78 |
| Colton Turner L 2026 · 3.31 FIP | 27 | SW | 3.31 | 21.1% | 8.4% | 1.7% | .235 | 4.33 | 22.4% | 13.2% | 94 | +1.02 | 2.79 | 325 | 78 |
| Cade Gibson L 2026 · 3.14 FIP | 27 | SW | 3.14 | 20.8% | 8.1% | 1.4% | .255 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.14 | 273 | 77 |
| Jimmy Reyes L 2026 · 3.83 FIP | 27 | SW | 3.83 | 14.6% | 6.2% | 2.2% | .313 | 4.88 | 13.8% | 5.8% | 66 | +1.05 | 3.03 | 200 | 77 |
| Carson Skipper L 2024 · 3.79 FIP | 25 | SW | 3.79 | 19.9% | 9.1% | 2.2% | .301 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.01 | 176 | 76 |
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status Pre-Arb
MLB Debut 2024
Service 1.244 yrs.days
Team Control Through 2030
First FA Year 2027
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | Pre-Arb | $0.8M | +0.6 | $2M | +$2M |
| 2027 | Pre-Arb | $0.8M | +0.5 | $2M | +$1M |
| 2028 | Arb-1 | $2M | +0.5 | $2M | +$0.6M |
| 2029 | Arb-2 | $2M | +0.4 | $2M | +$0.0M (cut) |
| 2030 | Arb-3 | $2M | +0.3 | $1M | +$0.0M (cut) |
| Totals | $6M | $10M | +$3M | ||