Dylan Floro — OGILVIE

Dylan Floro P Las Vegas Aviators

Age 35 RHP 6'2" / 212 lbs AAA peak 0.1 · 2026

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 5 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 111103vR 95

ERA4.17

FIP4.29

K%17.1%

BB%6.5%

K-BB%10.6%

ROS IP5

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 5 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF3535

CTRL6060

CMD4040

K†4040

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p1089.7

Whiff%

p1018.4%

p1617.2%

xwOBA vs

p510.311

FB+8.1 (64%)

SL+1.1 (27%)

SI (48%)

CH-0.7 (10%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2015	24	AAA MLE	Durham Bulls	25	22	133	571	81	21	10	88%	5.3	12.5%	3.9%	8.6%	1.9%	5.02	3.55	—
2015	24	AAA RAW	Durham Bulls	25	22	133	571	81	21	10	88%	5.3	14.2%	3.7%	10.5%	1.8%	5.02	3.33	—
2016	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	44	0	65	279	54	13	6	0%	1.5	17.6%	4.8%	12.8%	2.0%	3.18	3.33	+0.9
2016	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	44	0	65	279	54	13	6	0%	1.5	19.4%	4.7%	14.7%	2.2%	3.18	3.24	+1.0
2017	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	36	2	70	306	44	13	11	6%	1.9	12.8%	4.4%	8.4%	3.8%	4.52	4.68	-0.1
2017	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	36	2	70	306	44	13	11	6%	1.9	14.4%	4.2%	10.1%	3.6%	4.52	4.45	+0.1
2018	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	57	0	68	289	60	17	4	0%	1.2	21.4%	6.3%	15.1%	1.1%	2.25	2.67	+1.5
2018	27	MIX RAW	2 levels	57	0	68	289	60	17	4	0%	1.2	20.8%	5.9%	14.9%	1.4%	2.25	2.85	+1.4
2019	28	MIX MLE	3 levels	58	0	53	229	48	13	4	0%	0.9	20.9%	4.5%	16.4%	1.9%	3.91	2.95	+1.0
2019	28	MIX RAW	3 levels	58	0	53	229	48	13	4	0%	0.9	21.0%	5.7%	15.3%	1.7%	3.91	3.01	+1.0
2020	29	MLB MLE	Los Angeles Dodgers	25	0	24	98	19	3	1	0%	1.0	19.4%	3.1%	16.3%	1.0%	2.59	2.39	+0.6
2020	29	MLB RAW	Los Angeles Dodgers	25	0	24	98	19	3	1	0%	1.0	19.4%	3.1%	16.3%	1.0%	2.59	2.44	+0.6
2021	30	MLB MLE	Miami Marlins	68	0	64	270	62	22	2	0%	0.9	23.0%	8.1%	14.8%	0.8%	2.81	2.62	+1.5
2021	30	MLB RAW	Miami Marlins	68	0	64	270	62	22	2	0%	0.9	23.0%	8.1%	14.8%	0.7%	2.81	2.60	+1.5
2022	31	MIX MLE	3 levels	61	3	59	242	52	14	4	5%	1.0	21.8%	5.5%	16.4%	1.9%	3.22	3.00	+1.1
2022	31	MIX RAW	3 levels	61	3	59	242	52	14	4	5%	1.0	21.5%	5.8%	15.7%	1.7%	3.22	2.93	+1.1
2023	32	MLB MLE	Minnesota Twins	62	0	57	248	58	14	3	0%	0.9	23.4%	5.6%	17.7%	1.2%	4.76	2.50	+1.4
2023	32	MLB MLE	Minnesota Twins	62	0	57	248	58	14	3	0%	0.9	23.4%	5.6%	17.7%	1.2%	4.76	2.50	+1.4
2023	32	MLB RAW	Minnesota Twins	62	0	57	248	58	14	3	0%	0.9	23.4%	5.6%	17.7%	1.2%	4.76	2.48	+1.4
2024	33	MLB MLE	Arizona Diamondbacks	66	0	69	279	48	17	5	0%	1.0	17.2%	6.1%	11.1%	1.9%	3.80	3.46	+0.9
2024	33	MLB MLE	Arizona Diamondbacks	66	0	69	279	48	17	5	0%	1.0	17.2%	6.1%	11.1%	1.9%	3.80	3.46	+0.9
2024	33	MLB RAW	Arizona Diamondbacks	66	0	69	279	48	17	5	0%	1.0	17.2%	6.1%	11.1%	1.8%	3.80	3.39	+0.9
2025	34	AAA MLE	Las Vegas Aviators	16	0	15	70	12	5	3	0%	1.0	14.2%	6.4%	7.8%	4.0%	7.04	4.90	—
2025	34	AAA MLE	Las Vegas Aviators	16	0	15	70	12	5	3	0%	1.0	14.2%	6.4%	7.8%	4.0%	7.04	4.90	—
2025	34	AAA RAW	Las Vegas Aviators	16	0	15	70	12	5	3	0%	1.0	17.1%	7.1%	10.0%	4.3%	7.04	5.06	—
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			396	0	403	1704	355	100	24	0%	1.0	20.8%	5.9%	15.0%	1.4%	3.49	2.86	+8.2
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	35	MLB	OAK	5	0	5	21	4	1	1	0%	1.0	17.1%	6.5%	10.6%	2.6%	4.17	4.29	+0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	36	MLB MLE	OAK	50	0	53	223	36	16	7	0%	1.1	16.1%	7.1%	9.0%	3.0%	4.46	4.66	-0.1
2028	37	MLB MLE	OAK	44	0	46	195	29	15	7	0%	1.0	15.0%	7.8%	7.3%	3.4%	4.82	5.06	-0.3
2029	38	MLB MLE	OAK	38	0	40	167	23	14	6	0%	1.0	13.9%	8.5%	5.4%	3.8%	5.22	5.49	-0.4
2027	36	MLB CTX	OAK	50	0	53	224	36	16	7	0%	1.1	16.1%	7.1%	9.0%	3.0%	4.46	4.66	-0.1
2028	37	MLB CTX	OAK	44	0	46	194	29	15	7	0%	1.0	15.0%	7.8%	7.3%	3.4%	4.82	5.06	-0.3
2029	38	MLB CTX	OAK	38	0	40	169	23	14	6	0%	1.1	13.9%	8.5%	5.4%	3.8%	5.22	5.49	-0.4
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		528	0	541	2289	443	145	44	0%	1.0	19.4%	6.3%	13.0%	1.9%	3.82	3.32	+8.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		195	0	200	846	164	54	16	0%	1.0	19.4%	6.3%	13.0%	1.9%	3.82	3.32	+2.9
Career	—	MLE		518	27	676	2881	519	151	54	5%	1.3	18.0%	5.2%	12.8%	1.9%	3.87	3.28	+7.3
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		153	8	200	852	154	45	16	5%	1.3	18.0%	5.2%	12.8%	1.9%	3.87	3.28	+2.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Dylan Floro (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.29	17.1%	6.5%	2.6%	—	5.03	15.1%	7.4%	138	+0.74	—	—	—
Jim Johnson R 2018 · 4.48 FIP	35	SU	4.48	16.8%	7.8%	3.3%	.285	—	—	—	—	—	2.56	251	85
Jean Machi R 2017 · 4.12 FIP	35	SU	4.12	18.6%	6.6%	3.2%	.285	—	—	—	—	—	4.12	186	85
Ryan Madson R 2016 · 3.93 FIP	35	SU	3.93	18.1%	6.3%	2.9%	.284	2.40	27.2%	22.6%	112	-1.53	1.42	240	80
Manny Acosta R 2016 · 4.19 FIP	35	SU	4.19	18.1%	9.1%	2.7%	.273	3.08	23.2%	9.9%	44	-1.11	3.08	102	79
Hector Navarro R 2015 · 4.35 FIP	35	SU	4.35	15.0%	5.4%	3.3%	.281	3.00	15.2%	9.0%	81	-1.35	2.30	126	79
Dustin McGowan R 2017 · 4.58 FIP	35	SU	4.58	19.4%	6.7%	4.2%	.277	—	—	—	—	—	3.82	208	78
Mark Lowe R 2017 · 5.03 FIP	34	SU	5.03	16.4%	10.0%	3.7%	.331	—	—	—	—	—	2.37	153	77
Wade Davis R 2021 · 5.18 FIP	35	SU	5.18	20.0%	10.0%	4.5%	.288	—	—	—	—	—	2.00	320	76
Peter Moylan R 2015 · 3.11 FIP	36	SU	3.11	18.4%	8.2%	0.9%	.259	3.84	18.2%	9.1%	145	+0.73	3.11	174	76
Francisco Del Rosario R 2017 · 4.15 FIP	36	SU	4.15	16.4%	10.0%	2.1%	.267	6.35	11.9%	-0.6%	77	+2.20	4.15	145	76
Josh Lueke R 2019 · 4.11 FIP	34	SU	4.11	20.4%	6.4%	3.5%	.311	—	—	—	—	—	2.29	107	76
Matt Belisle R 2015 · 3.18 FIP	35	SU	3.18	16.8%	8.7%	0.7%	.300	3.50	18.8%	13.8%	141	+0.32	2.51	174	76
Ramon E Ramirez R 2017 · 3.49 FIP	35	SU	3.49	14.0%	5.8%	1.5%	.286	—	—	—	—	—	2.37	140	76
Brian Schlitter R 2021 · 4.70 FIP	35	SU	4.70	14.9%	9.1%	3.1%	.318	—	—	—	—	—	3.28	244	75
Fernando Rodney R 2015 · 4.37 FIP	38	SU	4.37	20.9%	9.4%	3.4%	.272	3.37	26.2%	15.2%	185	-1.00	2.69	295	74
Erubiel Gonzalez R 2015 · 3.43 FIP	36	SU	3.43	12.4%	6.0%	1.1%	.328	3.26	14.8%	10.4%	69	-0.17	2.99	119	73
Blaine Boyer R 2016 · 3.69 FIP	35	SU	3.69	9.2%	5.0%	1.4%	.319	4.39	15.3%	7.3%	78	+0.70	3.24	209	73
Logan Kensing R 2017 · 3.28 FIP	35	SU	3.28	16.5%	7.9%	1.0%	.308	—	—	—	—	—	2.73	172	73
Juan Sandoval R 2016 · 3.24 FIP	35	SU	3.24	18.2%	10.2%	0.7%	.288	4.40	16.3%	9.1%	116	+1.16	3.24	225	72
Casey Fien R 2017 · 5.10 FIP	33	SU	5.10	15.8%	4.0%	5.1%	.330	—	—	—	—	—	3.42	136	71

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.0	50	15.7%	7.4%	1.22	4.61
Austin Pruitt ('23)	1.5	61	16.9%	5.6%	1.22	4.45
Joe Biagini ('19)	1.6	81	19.1%	7.8%	1.28	4.86
Robert Gsellman ('21)	1.7	67	18.4%	7.8%	0.96	4.38
Josh Winckowski ('24)	1.2	77	18.3%	8.2%	1.13	4.21
Jarlín García ('22)	1.5	61	19.6%	7.8%	1.33	3.79
Alex Young ('23)	1.3	52	19.5%	8.6%	1.61	4.43