Dylan Floro P Las Vegas Aviators
Age 35 RHP 6'2" / 212 lbs AAA peak 0.1 · 2026
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 59 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 112103vR 94
ERA4.14
FIP4.25
K%17.3%
BB%6.7%
K-BB%10.6%
ROS IP60
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 59 IP
K: -0.8 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)-1KBB: +0.4 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)+0BBCONTACT: -0.1 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)-0CONTACTSTAM: +2.5 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+2STAMTotal WAR: +0.21 (59 IP)+0.2WAR
0.1-0.1-0.3-0.5262829
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Scouting Grades
STUF3535
CTRL6060
CMD4040
K†4040
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p1089.7
Whiff%
p1018.4%
K%
p1617.2%
xwOBA vs
p510.311
FB+8.1 (64%)
SL+1.1 (27%)
SI (48%)
CH-0.7 (10%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
201524AAADurham Bulls252213357181211088%5.312.5%3.9%8.6%1.8%5.023.52
201524AAADurham Bulls252213357181211088%5.314.2%3.7%10.5%1.8%5.023.33
201625MIX2 levels44065279541360%1.517.6%4.8%12.8%1.8%3.183.19+1.1
201625MIX2 levels44065279541360%1.519.4%4.7%14.7%2.2%3.183.24+1.1
201726MIX2 levels362703064413116%1.912.8%4.4%8.4%3.9%4.524.71+0.0
201726MIX2 levels362703064413116%1.914.4%4.2%10.1%3.6%4.524.45+0.2
201827MIX2 levels57068289601740%1.221.4%6.3%15.1%1.2%2.252.73+1.6
201827MIX2 levels57068289601740%1.220.8%5.9%14.9%1.4%2.252.85+1.5
201928MIX3 levels58053229481340%0.920.9%4.5%16.4%2.1%3.913.06+0.9
201928MIX3 levels58053229481340%0.921.0%5.7%15.3%1.7%3.913.01+1.0
202029MLBLos Angeles Dodgers250249819310%1.019.4%3.1%16.3%1.1%2.592.44+0.6
202029MLBLos Angeles Dodgers250249819310%1.019.4%3.1%16.3%1.0%2.592.44+0.6
202130MLBMiami Marlins68064270622220%0.923.0%8.1%14.8%0.8%2.812.62+1.5
202130MLBMiami Marlins68064270622220%0.923.0%8.1%14.8%0.7%2.812.60+1.5
202231MIX3 levels61359242521445%1.021.8%5.5%16.4%1.9%3.223.00+1.1
202231MIX3 levels61359242521445%1.021.5%5.8%15.7%1.7%3.222.93+1.1
202332MLBMinnesota Twins62057248581430%0.923.4%5.6%17.7%1.2%4.762.50+1.4
202332MLBMinnesota Twins62057248581430%0.923.4%5.6%17.7%1.2%4.762.48+1.4
202433MLBArizona Diamondbacks66069279481750%1.017.2%6.1%11.1%1.7%3.803.36+1.1
202433MLBArizona Diamondbacks66069279481750%1.017.2%6.1%11.1%1.8%3.803.39+1.1
202534AAALas Vegas Aviators160157012530%1.015.1%7.5%7.6%3.5%7.044.67
202534AAALas Vegas Aviators160157012530%1.017.1%7.1%10.0%4.3%7.045.06
▸ 2026 Season
202635MLBOAK57060252441760%1.017.3%6.7%10.6%2.5%4.144.25+0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202736MLBOAK50053223361660%1.116.3%7.3%8.9%2.9%4.434.62-0.0
202837MLBOAK44046195301660%1.015.2%8.0%7.2%3.3%4.785.02-0.3
202938MLBOAK38040167231460%1.014.0%8.7%5.3%3.8%5.185.45-0.4
202736MLBOAK50053224361660%1.116.3%7.3%8.9%2.9%4.434.62-0.0
202837MLBOAK44046194291560%1.015.2%8.0%7.2%3.3%4.785.02-0.3
202938MLBOAK38040169241560%1.114.0%8.7%5.3%3.8%5.185.45-0.4
▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections)
Career52805412289444146430%1.019.4%6.4%13.0%1.9%3.813.31+13.3
/ 200 IP195020084616454160%1.019.4%6.4%13.0%1.9%3.813.31+4.9
Career518276762881520152535%1.318.0%5.3%12.8%1.8%3.873.26+16.9
/ 200 IP153820085215445165%1.318.0%5.3%12.8%1.8%3.873.26+5.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Dylan Floro (OGILVIE) 4.25 17.3%6.7%2.5% 4.99 15.3%7.3%138 +0.74
Jean Machi R 2026 · 3.92 FIP 35 SU 3.92 18.6%6.6%2.8%.285 3.92 186 82
Jim Johnson R 2026 · 4.58 FIP 35 SU 4.58 16.8%7.8%3.5%.285 2.51 251 81
Manny Acosta R 2026 · 3.99 FIP 35 SU 3.99 18.1%9.1%2.3%.273 3.04 23.2%9.9%44 -0.95 3.04 102 79
Peter Moylan R 2027 · 3.10 FIP 36 SU 3.10 18.4%8.2%0.9%.259 3.82 18.2%9.1%145 +0.72 3.10 174 77
Ryan Madson R 2026 · 3.86 FIP 35 SU 3.86 18.1%6.3%2.7%.284 2.47 27.2%22.6%112 -1.39 1.42 240 77
Francisco Del Rosario R 2027 · 4.09 FIP 36 SU 4.09 16.4%10.0%2.0%.267 6.61 11.9%-0.6%77 +2.52 4.09 145 76
Hector Navarro R 2026 · 4.75 FIP 35 SU 4.75 15.0%5.4%4.1%.281 2.93 15.2%9.0%81 -1.82 2.30 126 76
Matt Belisle R 2026 · 3.16 FIP 35 SU 3.16 16.8%8.7%0.7%.300 3.49 18.8%13.8%141 +0.33 2.51 174 76
Ramon E Ramirez R 2026 · 3.63 FIP 35 SU 3.63 14.0%5.8%1.8%.286 2.35 140 76
Brian Schlitter R 2026 · 4.76 FIP 35 SU 4.76 14.9%9.1%3.2%.318 3.20 244 75
Fernando Rodney R 2029 · 4.26 FIP 38 SU 4.26 20.9%9.4%3.2%.272 3.34 26.2%15.2%185 -0.92 2.67 295 74
Mark Lowe R 2025 · 4.79 FIP 34 SU 4.79 16.4%10.0%3.3%.331 2.37 153 74
Erubiel Gonzalez R 2027 · 3.54 FIP 36 SU 3.54 12.4%6.0%1.3%.328 3.35 14.8%10.4%69 -0.19 3.03 119 74
Dustin McGowan R 2026 · 4.59 FIP 35 SU 4.59 19.4%6.7%4.2%.277 3.83 208 74
Wade Davis R 2026 · 5.15 FIP 35 SU 5.15 20.0%10.0%4.5%.288 2.00 320 73
Logan Kensing R 2026 · 3.26 FIP 35 SU 3.26 16.5%7.9%1.0%.308 2.77 172 72
Juan Sandoval R 2026 · 3.17 FIP 35 SU 3.17 18.2%10.2%0.6%.288 4.50 16.3%9.1%116 +1.33 3.17 225 72
Blaine Boyer R 2026 · 3.76 FIP 35 SU 3.76 9.2%5.0%1.5%.319 4.35 15.3%7.3%78 +0.59 3.21 209 71
Josh Lueke R 2025 · 4.79 FIP 34 SU 4.79 20.4%6.4%4.8%.311 2.50 107 71
Ivan Maldonado R 2026 · 4.91 FIP 35 SW 4.91 12.8%8.7%3.3%.269 5.68 6.4%-3.3%104 +0.77 4.91 172 70

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

PlayerYrsIP/yrK%BB%HR/9ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION45015.9%7.6%1.184.57
Blaine Hardy ('19)55018.6%7.7%1.113.91
Joe Biagini ('19)48119.1%7.8%1.284.86
Robert Gsellman ('21)56718.4%7.8%0.964.38
JC Ramírez ('17)38317.0%7.7%1.304.33
Josh Winckowski ('24)37718.3%8.2%1.134.21
Matt Albers ('19)54920.3%8.3%1.374.21