Cody Bradford
P
Round Rock Express
Age 28
LHP
6'4" / 197 lbs
AAA
peak 0.7 · 2027
ILInjured 60-Day (D60)
2026 ROS PROJECTION3 act + 47 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 8897vR 106
ERA4.01
FIP4.18
K%18.9%
BB%3.8%
K-BB%15.1%
ROS IP47
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 50 IP
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p1089.8
Whiff%
p3823.6%
K%
p5322.7%
xwOBA vs
p710.292
FB+9.2 (52%)
CH+1.6 (27%)
CU (13%)
SL-1.9 (7%)
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 20 | 20 | 96 | 408 | 128 | 21 | 10 | 100% | 4.8 | 24.6% | 5.9% | 18.7% | 3.9% | 4.11 | 3.89 | — |
| 2021 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 20 | 20 | 96 | 408 | 128 | 21 | 10 | 100% | 4.8 | 31.4% | 5.1% | 26.2% | 2.5% | 4.11 | 2.45 | — |
| 2022 | 24 | AA | Frisco RoughRiders | 26 | 26 | 119 | 503 | 124 | 33 | 18 | 100% | 4.6 | 20.0% | 7.2% | 12.8% | 5.2% | 5.01 | 5.17 | — |
| 2022 | 24 | AA | Frisco RoughRiders | 26 | 26 | 119 | 503 | 124 | 33 | 18 | 100% | 4.6 | 24.7% | 6.6% | 18.1% | 3.6% | 5.01 | 3.82 | — |
| 2023 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 34 | 22 | 130 | 539 | 116 | 28 | 17 | 65% | 3.8 | 20.1% | 5.3% | 14.7% | 3.1% | 4.35 | 3.80 | +2.4 |
| 2023 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 34 | 22 | 130 | 539 | 116 | 28 | 17 | 65% | 3.8 | 21.5% | 5.2% | 16.3% | 3.2% | 4.35 | 3.66 | +2.7 |
| 2024 | 26 | MIX | 3 levels | 17 | 15 | 82 | 327 | 76 | 13 | 10 | 88% | 4.8 | 22.7% | 4.2% | 18.5% | 3.2% | 3.29 | 3.45 | +1.5 |
| 2024 | 26 | MIX | 3 levels | 17 | 15 | 82 | 327 | 76 | 13 | 10 | 88% | 4.8 | 23.2% | 4.0% | 19.3% | 3.1% | 3.29 | 3.31 | +1.6 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 28 | AAA | Round Rock Express | 2 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 100% | 1.5 | — | — | — | — | 9.00 | — | — |
| ROS | 28 | MLB | TEX | 8 | 8 | 47 | 200 | 38 | 8 | 7 | 100% | 5.9 | 18.9% | 3.8% | 15.1% | 3.3% | 4.01 | 4.18 | +0.2 |
| ROS | 28 | MLB | TEX | 4 | 4 | 21 | 89 | 17 | 3 | 3 | 100% | 5.2 | 18.9% | 3.8% | 15.1% | 3.3% | 4.01 | 4.18 | +0.1 |
| 2026 TOT | 28 | MLB | TEX | — | — | 50 | 213 | 39 | 10 | 9 | — | — | 18.2% | 4.5% | 13.7% | 4.0% | 4.31 | 3.93 | +0.4 |
| 2026 FULL | 28 | MLB | TEX | — | — | 21 | 90 | 17 | 3 | 3 | — | — | 18.9% | 3.8% | 15.1% | 3.3% | 4.01 | 3.80 | +0.2 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | TEX | 11 | 11 | 67 | 284 | 52 | 11 | 10 | 100% | 6.1 | 18.3% | 4.0% | 14.3% | 3.5% | 4.21 | 4.34 | +0.3 |
| 2028 | 30 | MLB | TEX | 11 | 11 | 63 | 267 | 47 | 12 | 10 | 100% | 5.8 | 17.6% | 4.3% | 13.3% | 3.7% | 4.41 | 4.55 | +0.1 |
| 2029 | 31 | MLB | TEX | 10 | 10 | 59 | 249 | 42 | 12 | 10 | 100% | 5.9 | 16.9% | 4.7% | 12.2% | 3.9% | 4.63 | 4.78 | -0.2 |
| 2030 | 32 | MLB | TEX | 9 | 9 | 55 | 231 | 37 | 12 | 10 | 100% | 6.1 | 16.1% | 5.1% | 11.0% | 4.1% | 4.87 | 5.03 | -0.3 |
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | TEX | 7 | 7 | 41 | 173 | 32 | 7 | 6 | 100% | 5.9 | 18.3% | 4.0% | 14.3% | 3.5% | 4.21 | 4.34 | +0.1 |
| 2028 | 30 | MLB | TEX | 8 | 8 | 45 | 190 | 33 | 8 | 7 | 100% | 5.6 | 17.6% | 4.3% | 13.3% | 3.7% | 4.41 | 4.55 | 0.0 |
| 2029 | 31 | MLB | TEX | 8 | 8 | 47 | 198 | 33 | 9 | 8 | 100% | 5.9 | 16.9% | 4.7% | 12.2% | 3.9% | 4.63 | 4.78 | -0.1 |
| 2030 | 32 | MLB | TEX | 8 | 8 | 46 | 194 | 31 | 10 | 8 | 100% | 5.8 | 16.1% | 5.1% | 11.0% | 4.1% | 4.87 | 5.03 | -0.3 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 69 | 56 | 332 | 1386 | 268 | 63 | 53 | 81% | 4.8 | 19.3% | 4.5% | 14.8% | 3.8% | 4.40 | 4.12 | +5.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 42 | 34 | 200 | 834 | 161 | 38 | 32 | 81% | 4.8 | 19.3% | 4.5% | 14.8% | 3.8% | 4.40 | 4.12 | +3.0 | ||
| Career | — | 99 | 85 | 430 | 1790 | 384 | 105 | 71 | 86% | 4.3 | 21.5% | 5.9% | 15.6% | 4.0% | 4.31 | 4.21 | +6.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 46 | 40 | 200 | 832 | 179 | 49 | 33 | 86% | 4.3 | 21.5% | 5.9% | 15.6% | 4.0% | 4.31 | 4.21 | +2.8 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Cody Bradford (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.18 | 18.9% | 3.8% | 3.3% | — | 4.55 | 17.6% | 13.3% | 190 | +0.37 | — | — | — |
| Hyun Jin Ryu L 2027 · 3.94 FIP | 29 | SP | 3.94 | 15.2% | 1.6% | 3.5% | .241 | 3.49 | 23.2% | 18.4% | 392 | -0.45 | 2.87 | 725 | 72 |
| Shinnosuke Ogasawara L 2026 · 3.98 FIP | 28 | SP | 3.98 | 22.0% | 6.8% | 3.4% | .279 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.98 | 122 | 70 |
| John Lamb L 2026 · 4.76 FIP | 28 | SP | 4.76 | 22.5% | 7.2% | 4.8% | .319 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.38 | 390 | 67 |
| Sean Manaea L 2026 · 3.66 FIP | 28 | SP | 3.66 | 20.3% | 3.6% | 3.3% | .309 | 3.94 | 24.8% | 18.0% | 455 | +0.28 | 3.15 | 1,435 | 66 |
| Brent Suter L 2026 · 4.36 FIP | 28 | SP | 4.36 | 19.8% | 4.0% | 4.4% | .275 | 3.29 | 24.1% | 18.9% | 123 | -1.07 | 2.23 | 915 | 64 |
| Eric Surkamp L 2026 · 4.29 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.29 | 18.2% | 6.7% | 3.4% | .308 | 5.15 | 16.4% | 7.1% | 68 | +0.86 | 4.29 | 182 | 62 |
| Adam Wilk L 2026 · 3.13 FIP | 28 | SP | 3.13 | 18.7% | 3.6% | 2.1% | .296 | 4.85 | 13.8% | 6.0% | 223 | +1.72 | 3.13 | 455 | 60 |
| Derek Holland L 2026 · 4.87 FIP | 28 | SP | 4.87 | 16.7% | 6.1% | 4.4% | .270 | 4.62 | 18.8% | 9.6% | 414 | -0.25 | 3.76 | 686 | 60 |
| Roy Merritt L 2028 · 4.01 FIP | 30 | SP- | 4.01 | 13.3% | 5.9% | 2.3% | .293 | 3.88 | 16.2% | 10.4% | 116 | -0.13 | 3.88 | 129 | 59 |
| Felix Doubront L 2025 · 3.87 FIP | 27 | SP | 3.87 | 18.0% | 8.4% | 2.2% | .304 | 4.45 | 23.7% | 14.7% | 42 | +0.58 | 3.39 | 291 | 58 |
| Ryan Yarbrough L 2026 · 3.35 FIP | 28 | SP- | 3.35 | 18.8% | 4.7% | 2.3% | .282 | 4.19 | 18.2% | 13.4% | 367 | +0.84 | 3.08 | 1,304 | 58 |
| Matt Lujan L 2026 · 5.13 FIP | 28 | SP- | 5.13 | 14.3% | 6.4% | 4.4% | .348 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.25 | 227 | 57 |
| Chris O'Grady L 2025 · 4.44 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.44 | 21.4% | 9.0% | 3.6% | .280 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.50 | 232 | 57 |
| Andrew Albers L 2027 · 4.17 FIP | 29 | SP- | 4.17 | 12.4% | 7.2% | 2.2% | .354 | 3.55 | 17.9% | 12.6% | 303 | -0.62 | 3.01 | 508 | 57 |
| Brandon Walter L 2026 · 3.24 FIP | 28 | SP- | 3.24 | 24.4% | 2.9% | 3.3% | .234 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.94 | 391 | 57 |
| Tyler Skaggs L 2026 · 3.72 FIP | 28 | SP | 3.72 | 23.3% | 8.4% | 2.8% | .291 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.21 | 372 | 56 |
| Matt Tracy L 2026 · 4.88 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.88 | 16.1% | 9.4% | 3.6% | .325 | 3.24 | 13.9% | 3.5% | 49 | -1.64 | 3.24 | 298 | 56 |
| Braeden Fausnaught L 2024 · 4.91 FIP | 26 | SP | 4.91 | 17.6% | 7.8% | 4.2% | .335 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.57 | 242 | 56 |
| Nico Tellache L 2026 · 4.65 FIP | 28 | SP | 4.65 | 13.4% | 8.6% | 2.9% | .276 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.89 | 160 | 55 |
| Joey Lucchesi L 2026 · 3.19 FIP | 28 | SP- | 3.19 | 26.1% | 7.0% | 2.6% | .297 | 4.74 | 16.7% | 5.5% | 243 | +1.55 | 3.19 | 817 | 55 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 5 | 58 | 17.5% | 4.4% | 1.43 | 4.43 |
| Austin Pruitt ('23) | 5 | 61 | 16.9% | 5.6% | 1.22 | 4.45 |
| Dan Otero ('19) | 5 | 53 | 16.7% | 3.0% | 1.12 | 3.93 |
| Erasmo Ramírez ('24) | 8 | 78 | 18.1% | 5.8% | 1.40 | 4.33 |
| Adam Morgan ('21) | 6 | 59 | 20.5% | 7.1% | 1.56 | 4.77 |
| Fernando Salas ('18) | 4 | 59 | 22.5% | 6.6% | 1.22 | 4.42 |
| Yusmeiro Petit ('21) | 7 | 72 | 20.4% | 4.6% | 1.27 | 3.28 |