Austin Pruitt P Las Vegas Aviators
Age 36 RHP 5'10" / 185 lbs AAA
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 175 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 118109vR 100
ERA4.44
FIP4.78
K%16.4%
BB%7.4%
K-BB%9.0%
ROS IP175
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 175 IP
K: -7.7 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)-8KBB: +2.2 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)+2BBCONTACT: -6.2 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)-6CONTACTSTAM: +23.7 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+24STAMTotal WAR: +1.27 (175 IP)+1.3WAR
1.60.7-0.12628
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Scouting Grades
OFP50
STUF5560
CTRL5055
CMD5050
K†4040
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p1291.8
Whiff%
p1520.4%
K%
p1015.2%
xwOBA vs
p560.306
SI (15%)
CU (10%)
CH-0.6 (13%)
FB-0.7 (42%)
CT-1.3 (35%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
201525AAMontgomery Biscuits2626160658122383100%6.215.0%6.4%8.7%0.6%3.092.95
201525AAMontgomery Biscuits2626160658122383100%6.218.5%5.8%12.8%0.5%3.092.53
201626AAADurham Bulls28281636571492721100%5.820.0%4.3%15.6%2.6%3.763.41
201626AAADurham Bulls28281636571492721100%5.822.7%4.1%18.6%3.2%3.763.44
201727MIX2 levels391210846499221331%2.820.5%4.8%15.7%2.9%4.683.59+2.3
201727MIX2 levels391210846499221331%2.821.3%4.7%16.6%2.8%4.683.44+2.5
201828MIX2 levels3741094419122911%3.019.3%5.1%14.2%2.2%4.033.32+2.7
201828MIX2 levels3741094419122911%3.020.6%5.0%15.6%2.0%4.033.11+2.9
201929MIX2 levels3289540990221625%3.020.5%5.5%15.0%3.7%4.914.12+1.3
201929MIX2 levels3289540990221625%3.022.0%5.4%16.6%3.9%4.914.09+1.4
202131MIX3 levels21427114235419%1.321.1%5.9%15.2%4.0%4.674.27+0.1
202131MIX3 levels21427114235419%1.320.2%4.4%15.8%3.5%4.673.88+0.2
202232MIX2 levels511773155811112%1.517.7%3.5%14.1%3.7%3.964.06+0.8
202232MIX2 levels511773155811112%1.518.4%3.5%14.9%3.5%3.963.88+0.9
202333MIX2 levels496652624816712%1.317.5%6.2%11.3%2.8%2.923.97+0.5
202333MIX2 levels496652624816712%1.318.3%6.1%12.2%2.7%2.923.76+0.7
202434MIX3 levels254331612411816%1.313.9%7.9%6.1%4.6%8.105.43-0.3
202434MIX3 levels254331612411816%1.314.9%6.8%8.1%5.0%8.105.77-0.5
▸ 2026 Season
202636MLBTEX167017573912155230%1.016.4%7.4%9.0%3.2%4.444.78+1.3
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202737MLBTEX14501536459952230%1.115.3%8.1%7.2%3.6%4.885.18+0.4
202838MLBTEX12501315547849220%1.114.1%8.8%5.4%4.0%5.325.61-0.3
202737MLBTEX20281100%1.015.3%8.1%7.2%3.6%4.885.18-0.0
202838MLBTEX014.1%8.8%5.4%4.0%5.325.61
▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections)
Career155173171334222694611%2.016.6%5.1%11.5%3.5%4.544.25+4.3
/ 200 IP9811200843140442911%2.016.6%5.1%11.5%3.5%4.544.25+2.7
Career3089383734816421849130%2.718.4%5.3%13.2%2.6%4.073.64+17.2
/ 200 IP7422200831153442230%2.718.4%5.3%13.2%2.6%4.073.64+4.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Austin Pruitt (OGILVIE) 4.78 16.4%7.4%3.2% 5.38 14.8%6.4%284 +0.60
Jason Hammel R 2025 · 4.34 FIP 35 SW 4.34 15.8%6.0%3.3%.342 3.43 645 67
Chris Young R 2026 · 4.67 FIP 36 SP- 4.67 16.6%8.6%3.4%.209 6.29 21.1%11.4%119 +1.62 4.67 242 65
Kyle Lohse R 2026 · 4.98 FIP 36 SP- 4.98 16.2%6.0%4.5%.309 5.53 14.8%8.8%59 +0.55 4.98 211 65
Ryan Vogelsong R 2028 · 4.46 FIP 38 SP- 4.46 18.1%9.4%3.1%.295 4.67 16.7%6.3%82 +0.21 4.46 217 61
Jake Peavy R 2025 · 4.36 FIP 35 SP- 4.36 19.6%6.7%3.8%.318 4.09 262 55
Jean Machi R 2025 · 3.92 FIP 35 SU 3.92 18.6%6.6%2.8%.285 3.92 186 54
Carlos Torres R 2026 · 4.25 FIP 36 SU 4.25 17.8%9.0%2.7%.311 2.78 326 54
Jesse Estrada R 2025 · 4.91 FIP 35 SP- 4.91 14.4%6.6%4.0%.312 3.71 257 52
Tim Dillard R 2026 · 4.11 FIP 36 SP- 4.11 13.6%5.5%2.6%.298 3.15 352 51
Francisco Del Rosario R 2026 · 4.09 FIP 36 SU 4.09 16.4%10.0%2.0%.267 6.61 11.9%-0.6%77 +2.52 4.09 145 51
Dustin McGowan R 2025 · 4.59 FIP 35 SU 4.59 19.4%6.7%4.2%.277 3.83 208 50
Austin Bibens-Dirkx R 2026 · 4.17 FIP 36 SP- 4.17 15.8%5.6%3.1%.333 3.84 567 49
Jerome Williams R 2024 · 5.94 FIP 34 SW 5.94 11.7%6.1%5.6%.286 4.79 195 48
Jim Johnson R 2025 · 4.58 FIP 35 SU 4.58 16.8%7.8%3.5%.285 2.51 251 48
Chris Smith R 2026 · 5.11 FIP 36 SP- 5.11 15.6%7.5%4.3%.286 3.93 413 46
Daniel Guerrero R 2024 · 5.22 FIP 34 SW 5.22 14.7%11.1%3.6%.353 4.49 269 46
Manny Acosta R 2025 · 3.99 FIP 35 SU 3.99 18.1%9.1%2.3%.273 3.04 23.2%9.9%44 -0.95 3.04 102 45
Alexi Ogando R 2024 · 3.95 FIP 34 SW 3.95 15.0%6.4%2.4%.312 3.73 132 44
Fernando Rodney R 2028 · 4.26 FIP 38 SU 4.26 20.9%9.4%3.2%.272 3.34 26.2%15.2%185 -0.92 2.67 295 43
Jeremy Guthrie R 2026 · 5.42 FIP 36 SP- 5.42 12.7%6.5%4.7%.309 5.00 11.6%3.0%87 -0.42 5.00 235 43

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

PlayerYrsIP/yrK%BB%HR/9ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION315315.4%8.0%1.384.84
Miguel González ('17)314516.2%7.5%1.184.44
Matt Garza ('17)312215.5%8.5%1.265.10
Ricky Nolasco ('17)313918.1%6.5%1.384.85
Jason Vargas ('19)411618.5%8.2%1.384.57
Doug Fister ('18)411015.8%7.5%1.194.56
R.A. Dickey ('17)319116.0%7.9%1.244.19