Austin Pruitt — OGILVIE

Austin Pruitt P Las Vegas Aviators

Age 36 RHP 5'10" / 185 lbs AAA

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 14 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 116108vR 99

ERA4.43

FIP4.75

K%16.0%

BB%6.9%

K-BB%9.1%

ROS IP14

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 14 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

OFP—50

STUF5560

CTRL5055

CMD5050

K†3030

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p1291.8

Whiff%

p1520.4%

p1015.2%

xwOBA vs

p560.306

SI (15%)

CU (10%)

CH-0.6 (13%)

FB-0.7 (42%)

CT-1.3 (35%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2015	25	AA MLE	Montgomery Biscuits	26	26	160	658	122	38	3	100%	6.2	15.0%	6.4%	8.7%	0.6%	3.09	2.94	—
2015	25	AA RAW	Montgomery Biscuits	26	26	160	658	122	38	3	100%	6.2	18.5%	5.8%	12.8%	0.5%	3.09	2.53	—
2016	26	AAA MLE	Durham Bulls	28	28	163	657	149	27	21	100%	5.8	20.0%	4.3%	15.6%	3.0%	3.76	3.61	—
2016	26	AAA RAW	Durham Bulls	28	28	163	657	149	27	21	100%	5.8	22.7%	4.1%	18.6%	3.2%	3.76	3.44	—
2017	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	39	12	108	464	99	22	13	31%	2.8	20.5%	4.8%	15.7%	2.9%	4.68	3.56	+1.3
2017	27	MIX RAW	2 levels	39	12	108	464	99	22	13	31%	2.8	21.3%	4.7%	16.6%	2.8%	4.68	3.44	+1.4
2018	28	MIX MLE	2 levels	37	4	109	441	91	22	9	11%	3.0	19.3%	5.1%	14.2%	2.1%	4.03	3.29	+1.7
2018	28	MIX RAW	2 levels	37	4	109	441	91	22	9	11%	3.0	20.6%	5.0%	15.6%	2.0%	4.03	3.11	+1.9
2019	29	MIX MLE	2 levels	32	8	95	409	90	22	16	25%	3.0	20.5%	5.5%	15.0%	3.9%	4.91	4.21	+0.4
2019	29	MIX RAW	2 levels	32	8	95	409	90	22	16	25%	3.0	22.0%	5.4%	16.6%	3.9%	4.91	4.09	+0.5
2021	31	MIX MLE	3 levels	21	4	27	114	23	5	4	19%	1.3	21.1%	5.9%	15.2%	3.5%	4.67	3.99	+0.2
2021	31	MIX RAW	3 levels	21	4	27	114	23	5	4	19%	1.3	20.2%	4.4%	15.8%	3.5%	4.67	3.88	+0.2
2022	32	MIX MLE	2 levels	51	1	77	315	58	11	11	2%	1.5	17.7%	3.5%	14.1%	3.8%	3.96	4.16	+0.4
2022	32	MIX RAW	2 levels	51	1	77	315	58	11	11	2%	1.5	18.4%	3.5%	14.9%	3.5%	3.96	3.88	+0.6
2023	33	MIX MLE	2 levels	49	6	65	262	48	16	7	12%	1.3	17.2%	5.9%	11.2%	2.9%	2.92	4.01	+0.4
2023	33	MIX MLE	2 levels	49	6	65	262	48	16	7	12%	1.3	17.2%	5.9%	11.2%	2.9%	2.92	4.01	+0.4
2023	33	MIX RAW	2 levels	49	6	65	262	48	16	7	12%	1.3	18.3%	6.1%	12.2%	2.7%	2.92	3.76	+0.6
2024	34	MIX MLE	3 levels	25	4	33	161	24	11	8	16%	1.3	13.1%	6.8%	6.4%	4.6%	8.10	5.36	-0.3
2024	34	MIX MLE	3 levels	25	4	33	161	24	11	8	16%	1.3	13.1%	6.8%	6.4%	4.6%	8.10	5.36	-0.3
2024	34	MIX RAW	3 levels	25	4	33	161	24	11	8	16%	1.3	14.9%	6.8%	8.1%	5.0%	8.10	5.77	-0.5
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			154	17	315	1328	221	68	46	11%	2.0	16.6%	5.1%	11.5%	3.5%	4.54	4.24	+1.1
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	36	MLB	TEX	13	0	14	59	9	4	2	0%	1.1	16.0%	6.9%	9.1%	3.2%	4.43	4.75	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	37	MLB MLE	TEX	145	0	153	645	96	49	23	0%	1.1	14.9%	7.5%	7.3%	3.6%	4.86	5.15	-1.0
2028	38	MLB MLE	TEX	125	0	131	554	76	46	22	0%	1.1	13.7%	8.2%	5.5%	4.0%	5.30	5.59	-1.4
2027	37	MLB CTX	TEX	2	0	2	8	1	1	0	0%	1.0	14.9%	7.5%	7.3%	3.6%	4.86	5.15	-0.0
2028	38	MLB CTX	TEX	—	—	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	13.7%	8.2%	5.5%	4.0%	5.30	5.59	—
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		155	17	317	1334	222	68	46	11%	2.0	16.6%	5.1%	11.5%	3.5%	4.54	4.25	+1.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		98	11	200	843	140	43	29	11%	2.0	16.6%	5.1%	11.5%	3.5%	4.54	4.25	+0.7
Career	—	MLE		308	93	837	3481	640	181	93	30%	2.7	18.4%	5.2%	13.2%	2.7%	4.07	3.68	-1.5
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		74	22	200	831	153	43	22	30%	2.7	18.4%	5.2%	13.2%	2.7%	4.07	3.68	-0.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Austin Pruitt (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.75	16.0%	6.9%	3.2%	—	5.35	14.3%	6.5%	284	+0.60	—	—	—
Kyle Lohse R 2015 · 4.77 FIP	36	SP-	4.77	16.2%	6.0%	4.2%	.309	4.97	14.8%	8.8%	59	+0.20	4.77	211	66
Chris Young R 2015 · 4.69 FIP	36	SP-	4.69	16.6%	8.6%	3.5%	.209	6.33	21.1%	11.4%	119	+1.64	4.69	242	65
Ryan Vogelsong R 2015 · 4.45 FIP	38	SP-	4.45	18.1%	9.4%	3.1%	.295	4.79	16.7%	6.3%	82	+0.34	4.45	217	61
Jake Peavy R 2016 · 4.35 FIP	35	SP-	4.35	19.6%	6.7%	3.7%	.318	—	—	—	—	—	4.07	262	55
Jean Machi R 2017 · 4.12 FIP	35	SU	4.12	18.6%	6.6%	3.2%	.285	—	—	—	—	—	4.12	186	55
Carlos Torres R 2019 · 4.28 FIP	36	SU	4.28	17.8%	9.0%	2.8%	.311	—	—	—	—	—	2.89	326	53
Jesse Estrada R 2019 · 4.34 FIP	35	SP-	4.34	14.4%	6.6%	2.9%	.312	—	—	—	—	—	3.80	257	52
Tim Dillard R 2019 · 4.10 FIP	36	SP-	4.10	13.6%	5.5%	2.6%	.298	—	—	—	—	—	3.13	352	52
Francisco Del Rosario R 2017 · 4.15 FIP	36	SU	4.15	16.4%	10.0%	2.1%	.267	6.35	11.9%	-0.6%	77	+2.20	4.15	145	51
Dustin McGowan R 2017 · 4.58 FIP	35	SU	4.58	19.4%	6.7%	4.2%	.277	—	—	—	—	—	3.82	208	50
Austin Bibens-Dirkx R 2021 · 4.20 FIP	36	SP-	4.20	15.8%	5.6%	3.1%	.333	—	—	—	—	—	3.97	567	49
Jerome Williams R 2016 · 5.81 FIP	34	SW	5.81	11.7%	6.1%	5.3%	.286	—	—	—	—	—	4.72	195	49
Chris Smith R 2017 · 5.08 FIP	36	SP-	5.08	15.6%	7.5%	4.3%	.286	—	—	—	—	—	3.79	413	46
Jim Johnson R 2018 · 4.48 FIP	35	SU	4.48	16.8%	7.8%	3.3%	.285	—	—	—	—	—	2.56	251	46
Manny Acosta R 2016 · 4.19 FIP	35	SU	4.19	18.1%	9.1%	2.7%	.273	3.08	23.2%	9.9%	44	-1.11	3.08	102	45
Alexi Ogando R 2018 · 4.10 FIP	34	SW	4.10	15.0%	6.4%	2.6%	.312	—	—	—	—	—	3.79	132	45
Daniel Guerrero R 2019 · 5.59 FIP	34	SW	5.59	14.7%	11.1%	4.2%	.353	—	—	—	—	—	4.61	269	45
Jeremy Guthrie R 2015 · 5.44 FIP	36	SP-	5.44	12.7%	6.5%	4.7%	.309	4.85	11.6%	3.0%	87	-0.59	4.85	235	43
Fernando Rodney R 2015 · 4.37 FIP	38	SU	4.37	20.9%	9.4%	3.4%	.272	3.37	26.2%	15.2%	185	-1.00	2.69	295	43
Mark Lowe R 2017 · 5.03 FIP	34	SU	5.03	16.4%	10.0%	3.7%	.331	—	—	—	—	—	2.37	153	42

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	2.3	153	15.0%	7.5%	1.38	4.82
Dan Straily ('19)	2.7	136	20.0%	8.9%	1.72	4.54
Cole Irvin ('24)	2.9	118	17.1%	5.6%	1.28	4.46
Mike Foltynewicz ('21)	4.0	134	21.4%	7.7%	1.46	4.45
Homer Bailey ('19)	1.9	96	18.5%	7.8%	1.34	5.56
Julio Teheran ('23)	5.2	147	20.4%	8.8%	1.34	4.12
James Kaprielian ('23)	1.6	105	20.5%	9.6%	1.26	4.58