Matt Andriese
P
Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp
+0.1
WAR
Age 36
RHP
6'2" / 215 lbs
AAA
peak 0.1 · 2026
ERA4.56
FIP4.56
xFIP3.35
SIERA2.81
K%20.0%
BB%8.4%
K-BB%11.6%
IP40
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.1peak
2026
STUF5050
CTRL5050
CMD5555
K†4545
FB Velo
p1592.0
Whiff%
p3222.7%
K%
p5222.5%
xwOBA vs
p200.347
CT+0.9 (27%)
SI (16%)
CU (15%)
CH (1%)
FB-1.6 (57%)
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 25 | MLB | Tampa Bay Rays | 38 | 20 | 131 | 547 | 118 | 27 | 10 | 20.1% | 5.0% | 1.8% | 3.24 | 3.05 | +3.3 |
| 2016 | 26 | MLB | Tampa Bay Rays | 35 | 25 | 162 | 669 | 153 | 31 | 19 | 22.1% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 4.17 | 3.31 | +3.7 |
| 2017 | 27 | MLB | Tampa Bay Rays | 21 | 20 | 93 | 406 | 84 | 28 | 17 | 20.3% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 4.44 | 4.73 | +0.5 |
| 2018 | 28 | MLB | Arizona Diamondbacks | 42 | 6 | 82 | 354 | 83 | 22 | 15 | 22.9% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.03 | 4.45 | +0.7 |
| 2019 | 29 | MLB | Arizona Diamondbacks | 57 | 3 | 73 | 326 | 83 | 25 | 10 | 25.5% | 7.4% | 2.7% | 5.05 | 3.36 | +1.4 |
| 2020 | 30 | MLB | Los Angeles Angels | 16 | 1 | 32 | 126 | 33 | 11 | 5 | 26.2% | 8.7% | 3.4% | 4.50 | 3.87 | +0.4 |
| 2021 | 31 | MLB | Seattle Mariners | 37 | 0 | 52 | 237 | 54 | 13 | 7 | 22.5% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 4.82 | 3.74 | +0.7 |
| 2023 | 33 | AAA | Oklahoma City Dodgers | 21 | 19 | 94 | 419 | 78 | 25 | 21 | 16.4% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.05 | 5.52 | -0.3 |
| 2024 | 34 | MLB | Miami Marlins | 22 | 1 | 48 | 215 | 39 | 15 | 5 | 14.9% | 8.3% | 1.9% | 5.06 | 3.95 | +0.5 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 36 | MLB | MIA | 40 | — | 40 | 168 | 32 | 14 | 5 | 18.8% | 8.4% | 3.1% | 4.54 | 4.66 | +0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 37 | MLB | MIA | 37 | — | 37 | 156 | 28 | 14 | 5 | 18.0% | 8.7% | 3.2% | 4.72 | 4.83 | +0.1 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 289 | 95 | 767 | 3299 | 691 | 202 | 110 | 21.0% | 6.1% | 3.3% | 4.56 | 3.94 | +11.8 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 75 | 25 | 200 | 860 | 180 | 53 | 29 | 21.0% | 6.1% | 3.3% | 4.56 | 3.94 | +3.1 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Matt Andriese (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.66 | 18.8% | 8.4% | 3.1% | — | 4.83 | 18.0% | 9.3% | 37 | +0.17 | — | — | — |
| Jim Johnson R 2025 · 4.52 FIP | 35 | SW | 4.52 | 16.8% | 7.8% | 3.4% | .285 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.57 | 251 | 84 |
| Manny Acosta R 2025 · 4.09 FIP | 35 | SW | 4.09 | 18.1% | 9.1% | 2.5% | .273 | 3.07 | 23.2% | 9.9% | 44 | -1.02 | 3.07 | 102 | 83 |
| Mark Lowe R 2024 · 5.01 FIP | 34 | SU | 5.01 | 16.4% | 10.0% | 3.7% | .331 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.30 | 153 | 83 |
| Carlos Torres R 2026 · 4.29 FIP | 36 | SW | 4.29 | 17.8% | 9.0% | 2.8% | .311 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.89 | 326 | 83 |
| Jean Machi R 2025 · 4.11 FIP | 35 | SW | 4.11 | 18.6% | 6.6% | 3.2% | .285 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.11 | 186 | 82 |
| Josh Lueke R 2024 · 4.14 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.14 | 20.4% | 6.4% | 3.6% | .311 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.32 | 107 | 82 |
| Alexi Ogando R 2024 · 4.09 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.09 | 15.0% | 6.4% | 2.6% | .312 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.80 | 132 | 82 |
| Fernando Rodney R 2028 · 4.17 FIP | 38 | SW | 4.17 | 20.9% | 9.4% | 3.0% | .272 | 3.38 | 26.2% | 15.2% | 185 | -0.79 | 2.67 | 295 | 81 |
| Rudy Gonzalez R 2026 · 4.65 FIP | 36 | SU | 4.65 | 15.8% | 7.1% | 3.6% | .354 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.32 | 119 | 79 |
| Francisco Del Rosario R 2026 · 4.12 FIP | 36 | SW | 4.12 | 16.4% | 10.0% | 2.1% | .267 | 6.46 | 11.9% | -0.6% | 77 | +2.34 | 4.12 | 145 | 79 |
| Ramon E Ramirez R 2025 · 3.50 FIP | 35 | SU | 3.50 | 14.0% | 5.8% | 1.6% | .286 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.37 | 140 | 78 |
| Dustin McGowan R 2025 · 4.45 FIP | 35 | SW | 4.45 | 19.4% | 6.7% | 3.9% | .277 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.81 | 208 | 77 |
| Logan Ondrusek R 2026 · 4.34 FIP | 36 | SU | 4.34 | 19.2% | 7.3% | 3.5% | .312 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.34 | 138 | 76 |
| Carlos Fisher R 2024 · 3.94 FIP | 34 | SU | 3.94 | 18.1% | 12.9% | 1.3% | .333 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.48 | 147 | 75 |
| Ronald Belisario R 2026 · 4.18 FIP | 36 | SU | 4.18 | 12.7% | 3.9% | 3.0% | .322 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.10 | 126 | 75 |
| Matt Albers R 2026 · 4.19 FIP | 36 | SW | 4.19 | 22.1% | 10.1% | 3.0% | .269 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.13 | 244 | 75 |
| Jesus Adrian Castillo R 2025 · 4.99 FIP | 35 | SU | 4.99 | 13.1% | 7.8% | 3.6% | .319 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.23 | 173 | 74 |
| Blake Parker R 2026 · 3.78 FIP | 36 | SU | 3.78 | 20.0% | 7.6% | 2.6% | .295 | 5.73 | 26.0% | 14.0% | 27 | +1.95 | 2.41 | 339 | 74 |
| Brandon McCarthy R 2025 · 4.94 FIP | 35 | SW | 4.94 | 19.2% | 6.2% | 4.9% | .332 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.15 | 248 | 73 |
| Jason Motte R 2025 · 5.24 FIP | 35 | SU | 5.24 | 16.3% | 11.4% | 3.8% | .193 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.06 | 113 | 73 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.