Pedro Ramírez
2B Chicago Cubs| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 20 | A+CHC | 515 | .284/.350/.381 | 4 | 14 | 83 | — | .264/.313/.348 |
| 2025 | 21 | AACHC | 563 | .280/.351/.386 | 8 | 28 | 95 | — | .273/.328/.370 |
| 2026 | 22 | AAACHC | 196 | .312/.397/.547 | 9 | 19 | 121 | — | .284/.351/.472 |
| 2026 | 22 | MLBCHC | 266 | .261/.323/.402 | 6 | 9 | 99 | 0.9 | |
| 2027PROJ | 23 | MLBCHC | 279 | .248/.310/.386 | 7 | 13 | 95 | 0.6 | |
| 2028PROJ92% MLB | 24 | MLBCHC | 507 | .250/.312/.391 | 12 | 24 | 97 | 1.4 | |
| 2029PROJ92% MLB | 25 | MLBCHC | 532 | .250/.313/.393 | 13 | 25 | 98 | 1.5 |
Tools · Recent Form · Contract
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 17 | ROK | DSL Cubs Red | — | 216 | 195 | 70 | 11 | 7 | 1 | 13 | 20 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 359 | 419 | 503 | 921 | 144 | 394 | 9 | 6 | 407 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 18 | A | Myrtle Beach Pelicans | — | 46 | 41 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 268 | 348 | 268 | 616 | 314 | 13 | 4 | 295 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2022 | 18 | ROK | ACL Cubs | — | 163 | 146 | 48 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 26 | 0 | 11 | 4 | 329 | 399 | 541 | 940 | 212 | 379 | 16 | 10 | 411 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 19 | A | Myrtle Beach Pelicans | — | 414 | 354 | 94 | 19 | 3 | 8 | 49 | 71 | 5 | 17 | 7 | 266 | 363 | 404 | 767 | 138 | 307 | 17 | 12 | 342 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 20 | A+ | South Bend Cubs | — | 515 | 464 | 132 | 19 | 7 | 4 | 43 | 93 | 4 | 14 | 6 | 284 | 350 | 381 | 732 | 97 | 345 | 18 | 8 | 329 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 21 | AA | Knoxville Smokies | — | 563 | 500 | 140 | 21 | 4 | 8 | 46 | 85 | 9 | 28 | 10 | 280 | 351 | 386 | 737 | 106 | 318 | 15 | 8 | 330 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 22 | MLB | Chicago Cubs | — | 266 | 241 | 63 | 12 | 2 | 6 | 20 | 49 | 2 | 9 | 1 | 261 | 323 | 402 | 726 | 141 | 303 | 18 | 8 | 321 | 99 | -0 | +1 | +0 | +2 | +6 | 0.9 |
| 2026 | 22 | AAA | Iowa Cubs | — | 196 | 170 | 53 | 11 | 1 | 9 | 21 | 32 | 3 | 19 | 2 | 312 | 397 | 547 | 944 | 235 | 338 | 16 | 11 | 410 | 121 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 266 | 241 | 63 | 12 | 2 | 6 | 20 | 49 | 2 | 9 | 1 | 261 | 323 | 402 | 726 | 141 | 303 | 18 | 8 | 321 | 104 | +1 | +1 | +0 | +2 | +6 | 1.0 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Cubs Red | — | 216 | 198 | 49 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 26 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 247 | 307 | 338 | 645 | 91 | 272 | 12 | 5 | 272 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 18 | A MLE | Myrtle Beach Pelicans | — | 46 | 42 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 262 | 326 | 262 | 588 | 311 | 17 | 2 | 261 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2022 | 18 | ROK MLE | ACL Cubs | — | 163 | 153 | 38 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 38 | 0 | 11 | 4 | 248 | 294 | 392 | 687 | 144 | 314 | 23 | 6 | 300 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 19 | A MLE | Myrtle Beach Pelicans | — | 414 | 367 | 85 | 17 | 2 | 7 | 36 | 96 | 5 | 17 | 7 | 232 | 309 | 346 | 655 | 114 | 285 | 23 | 9 | 291 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 20 | A+ MLE | South Bend Cubs | — | 515 | 477 | 126 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 30 | 117 | 4 | 14 | 6 | 264 | 313 | 348 | 661 | 84 | 335 | 23 | 6 | 291 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 21 | AA MLE | Knoxville Smokies | — | 563 | 513 | 140 | 23 | 3 | 7 | 33 | 104 | 9 | 28 | 10 | 273 | 328 | 370 | 698 | 97 | 319 | 18 | 6 | 309 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 22 | MLB MLE | Chicago Cubs | — | 266 | 243 | 63 | 12 | 2 | 6 | 18 | 49 | 2 | 9 | 1 | 259 | 316 | 399 | 715 | 140 | 303 | 18 | 7 | 314 | 99 | -0 | +1 | +0 | +2 | +6 | 0.9 |
| 2026 | 22 | AAA MLE | Iowa Cubs | — | 196 | 176 | 50 | 10 | 1 | 7 | 15 | 38 | 3 | 19 | 2 | 284 | 351 | 472 | 822 | 188 | 317 | 19 | 8 | 347 | 121 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Cubs Red | — | 216 | 198 | 49 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 26 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 247 | 307 | 338 | 645 | 91 | 279 | 12 | 5 | 272 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 17 | ROK RAW | DSL Cubs Red | — | 216 | 195 | 70 | 11 | 7 | 1 | 13 | 20 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 359 | 419 | 503 | 921 | 144 | 394 | 9 | 6 | 407 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 18 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 209 | 195 | 48 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 46 | 3 | 15 | 4 | 246 | 297 | 359 | 656 | 113 | 308 | 22 | 5 | 291 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 18 | ROK RAW | 2 teams | — | 209 | 187 | 59 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 19 | 32 | 3 | 15 | 4 | 316 | 388 | 481 | 869 | 166 | 364 | 15 | 9 | 385 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 19 | A MLE | Myrtle Beach Pelicans | — | 414 | 367 | 85 | 17 | 2 | 7 | 36 | 96 | 5 | 17 | 7 | 232 | 309 | 346 | 655 | 114 | 290 | 23 | 9 | 291 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 19 | A RAW | Myrtle Beach Pelicans | — | 414 | 354 | 94 | 19 | 3 | 8 | 49 | 71 | 5 | 17 | 7 | 266 | 363 | 404 | 767 | 138 | 307 | 17 | 12 | 342 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 20 | A+ MLE | South Bend Cubs | — | 515 | 477 | 126 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 30 | 117 | 4 | 14 | 6 | 264 | 313 | 348 | 661 | 84 | 339 | 23 | 6 | 291 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 20 | A+ RAW | South Bend Cubs | — | 515 | 464 | 132 | 19 | 7 | 4 | 43 | 93 | 4 | 14 | 6 | 284 | 350 | 381 | 732 | 97 | 345 | 18 | 8 | 329 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 21 | AA MLE | Knoxville Smokies | — | 563 | 513 | 140 | 23 | 3 | 7 | 33 | 104 | 9 | 28 | 10 | 273 | 328 | 370 | 698 | 97 | 324 | 18 | 6 | 309 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 21 | AA RAW | Knoxville Smokies | — | 563 | 500 | 140 | 21 | 4 | 8 | 46 | 85 | 9 | 28 | 10 | 280 | 351 | 386 | 737 | 106 | 318 | 15 | 8 | 330 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 22 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 462 | 419 | 112 | 21 | 3 | 13 | 33 | 87 | 5 | 28 | 3 | 267 | 328 | 425 | 753 | 158 | 307 | 19 | 7 | 328 | 108 | +4 | +4 | +0 | +2 | +10 | 2.1 |
| 2026 | 22 | MLB RAW | 2 teams | — | 462 | 411 | 116 | 23 | 3 | 15 | 41 | 81 | 5 | 28 | 3 | 282 | 354 | 462 | 817 | 180 | 318 | 18 | 9 | 359 | 108 | +4 | +4 | +0 | +2 | +10 | 2.1 |
| 2021 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Cubs Red | — | 216 | 197 | 49 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 26 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 249 | 307 | 340 | 647 | 91 | 272 | 12 | 5 | 272 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 18 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 209 | 193 | 48 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 46 | 3 | 15 | 4 | 249 | 297 | 363 | 659 | 114 | 313 | 22 | 5 | 291 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 19 | A MLE | Myrtle Beach Pelicans | — | 414 | 370 | 85 | 17 | 2 | 7 | 36 | 96 | 5 | 17 | 7 | 230 | 309 | 343 | 652 | 114 | 285 | 23 | 9 | 291 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 20 | A+ MLE | South Bend Cubs | — | 515 | 476 | 126 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 30 | 117 | 4 | 14 | 6 | 265 | 313 | 349 | 662 | 84 | 335 | 23 | 6 | 291 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 21 | AA MLE | Knoxville Smokies | — | 563 | 516 | 140 | 23 | 3 | 7 | 33 | 104 | 9 | 28 | 10 | 271 | 328 | 368 | 696 | 97 | 319 | 18 | 6 | 309 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 22 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 462 | 421 | 112 | 21 | 3 | 13 | 33 | 87 | 5 | 28 | 3 | 266 | 328 | 423 | 751 | 157 | 309 | 19 | 7 | 328 | 108 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 20 | A+ MLE | South Bend Cubs | — | 515 | 476 | 126 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 30 | 117 | 4 | 14 | 6 | 265 | 313 | 349 | 662 | 84 | 335 | 23 | 6 | 291 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 21 | AA MLE | Knoxville Smokies | — | 563 | 516 | 140 | 23 | 3 | 7 | 33 | 104 | 9 | 28 | 10 | 271 | 328 | 368 | 696 | 97 | 319 | 18 | 6 | 309 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 22 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 462 | 421 | 112 | 21 | 3 | 13 | 33 | 87 | 5 | 28 | 3 | 266 | 328 | 423 | 751 | 157 | 309 | 19 | 7 | 328 | 108 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 23 | MLB MLE | CHC | 100% | 572 | 520 | 128 | 23 | 3 | 14 | 41 | 112 | 6 | 27 | 6 | 246 | 308 | 384 | 692 | 138 | 285 | 20 | 7 | 309 | 95 | -3 | +3 | -1 | +2 | +12 | 0.8 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 23 | MLB CTX | CHC | 100% | 279 | 254 | 63 | 11 | 2 | 7 | 20 | 54 | 3 | 13 | 3 | 248 | 310 | 386 | 696 | 138 | 288 | 19 | 7 | 310 | 95 | -2 | +1 | -0 | +1 | +6 | 0.6 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 24 | MLB MLE | CHC | 92% | 551 | 500 | 124 | 22 | 3 | 14 | 40 | 106 | 6 | 26 | 6 | 248 | 311 | 389 | 700 | 141 | 286 | 19 | 7 | 312 | 97 | -2 | +3 | -1 | +2 | +12 | 1.4 |
| 2029 | 25 | MLB MLE | CHC | 92% | 578 | 525 | 130 | 23 | 3 | 15 | 42 | 111 | 6 | 27 | 6 | 249 | 312 | 391 | 703 | 143 | 286 | 19 | 7 | 313 | 98 | -1 | +3 | -0 | +2 | +13 | 1.6 |
| 2030 | 26 | MLB MLE | CHC | 92% | 560 | 508 | 126 | 22 | 3 | 15 | 41 | 108 | 6 | 26 | 6 | 248 | 312 | 391 | 703 | 143 | 286 | 19 | 7 | 313 | 98 | -1 | +3 | -0 | +2 | +12 | 1.6 |
| 2031 | 27 | MLB MLE | CHC | 92% | 543 | 492 | 122 | 22 | 3 | 14 | 40 | 105 | 6 | 24 | 5 | 247 | 311 | 388 | 699 | 141 | 285 | 19 | 7 | 311 | 97 | -2 | +3 | -0 | +2 | +12 | 1.4 |
| 2032 | 28 | MLB MLE | CHC | 92% | 528 | 479 | 118 | 21 | 3 | 13 | 39 | 103 | 5 | 21 | 5 | 245 | 309 | 384 | 693 | 138 | 284 | 20 | 7 | 309 | 95 | -3 | +2 | -1 | +2 | +11 | 1.2 |
| 2033 | 29 | MLB MLE | CHC | 92% | 515 | 468 | 115 | 20 | 3 | 13 | 37 | 102 | 5 | 18 | 4 | 243 | 306 | 377 | 684 | 134 | 283 | 20 | 7 | 305 | 93 | -5 | +2 | -2 | +2 | +11 | 0.9 |
| 2034 | 30 | MLB MLE | CHC | 92% | 500 | 455 | 109 | 19 | 2 | 12 | 36 | 101 | 5 | 14 | 4 | 240 | 302 | 370 | 672 | 130 | 281 | 20 | 7 | 300 | 89 | -6 | +1 | -2 | +2 | +11 | 0.5 |
| 2035 | 31 | MLB MLE | CHC | 92% | 466 | 426 | 99 | 17 | 2 | 10 | 33 | 96 | 4 | 9 | 3 | 236 | 298 | 360 | 657 | 124 | 279 | 21 | 7 | 294 | 85 | -8 | +1 | -3 | +2 | +10 | 0.1 |
| 2036 | 32 | MLB MLE | CHC | 92% | 444 | 406 | 94 | 16 | 2 | 9 | 31 | 93 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 230 | 291 | 347 | 639 | 117 | 275 | 21 | 7 | 287 | 80 | -11 | +0 | -4 | +2 | +10 | -0.3 |
| 2028 | 24 | MLB CTX | CHC | 92% | 507 | 459 | 114 | 21 | 3 | 12 | 37 | 98 | 6 | 24 | 5 | 250 | 312 | 391 | 704 | 142 | 289 | 19 | 7 | 313 | 97 | -2 | +3 | -1 | +2 | +11 | 1.4 |
| 2029 | 25 | MLB CTX | CHC | 92% | 532 | 482 | 121 | 22 | 4 | 13 | 39 | 102 | 6 | 25 | 5 | 250 | 313 | 393 | 707 | 143 | 289 | 19 | 7 | 314 | 98 | -1 | +3 | -0 | +2 | +12 | 1.5 |
| 2030 | 26 | MLB CTX | CHC | 92% | 515 | 466 | 116 | 21 | 3 | 13 | 38 | 99 | 6 | 24 | 5 | 250 | 313 | 393 | 706 | 143 | 289 | 19 | 7 | 314 | 98 | -1 | +3 | -0 | +2 | +11 | 1.4 |
| 2031 | 27 | MLB CTX | CHC | 92% | 500 | 454 | 112 | 20 | 3 | 12 | 37 | 97 | 5 | 22 | 5 | 249 | 312 | 390 | 703 | 141 | 288 | 19 | 7 | 313 | 97 | -2 | +2 | -0 | +2 | +11 | 1.3 |
| 2032 | 28 | MLB CTX | CHC | 92% | 486 | 442 | 110 | 20 | 3 | 12 | 36 | 95 | 5 | 20 | 4 | 247 | 310 | 385 | 696 | 138 | 287 | 20 | 7 | 310 | 95 | -3 | +2 | -1 | +2 | +11 | 1.1 |
| 2033 | 29 | MLB CTX | CHC | 92% | 474 | 432 | 106 | 19 | 3 | 11 | 34 | 94 | 5 | 16 | 4 | 245 | 308 | 379 | 687 | 135 | 286 | 20 | 7 | 306 | 93 | -4 | +2 | -2 | +2 | +10 | 0.8 |
| 2034 | 30 | MLB CTX | CHC | 92% | 460 | 420 | 101 | 18 | 3 | 10 | 33 | 93 | 4 | 13 | 3 | 242 | 304 | 371 | 675 | 130 | 284 | 20 | 7 | 302 | 89 | -6 | +1 | -2 | +2 | +10 | 0.5 |
| 2035 | 31 | MLB CTX | CHC | 92% | 429 | 392 | 92 | 16 | 2 | 9 | 30 | 88 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 237 | 299 | 361 | 660 | 124 | 282 | 21 | 7 | 296 | 85 | -7 | +1 | -3 | +2 | +9 | 0.1 |
| 2036 | 32 | MLB CTX | CHC | 92% | 408 | 373 | 86 | 15 | 2 | 8 | 28 | 86 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 232 | 293 | 349 | 642 | 117 | 278 | 21 | 7 | 288 | 80 | -10 | +0 | -3 | +1 | +9 | -0.3 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 4577 | 4161 | 1021 | 184 | 28 | 106 | 332 | 901 | 47 | 165 | 36 | 245 | 308 | 379 | 688 | 134 | 288 | 20 | 7 | 308 | 92 | -35 | +19 | -12 | +17 | +99 | 8.9 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 591 | 145 | 26 | 4 | 15 | 47 | 128 | 7 | 23 | 5 | 245 | 309 | 379 | 688 | 134 | 288 | 20 | 7 | 308 | 92 | -5 | +3 | -2 | +2 | +14 | 1.3 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 7343 | 6682 | 1660 | 284 | 47 | 157 | 512 | 1455 | 83 | 294 | 81 | 248 | 310 | 375 | 685 | 127 | 294 | 20 | 7 | 304 | 92 | -40 | +20 | -14 | +19 | +113 | 10.1 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 591 | 147 | 25 | 4 | 14 | 45 | 129 | 7 | 26 | 7 | 249 | 309 | 376 | 685 | 127 | 294 | 20 | 7 | 304 | 92 | -5 | +3 | -2 | +2 | +14 | 1.3 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 AAAIowa Cubs · 196 PAwOBA .399 → .347 (−52)K% 16.3% → 19.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.33% | ÷1.000 | ×1.200 | — | — | 19.59% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.20% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.050 | 7.39% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.53% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.050 | 1.51% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.19% | ÷1.000 | ×0.930 | ×1.002 | ×1.050 | 22.68% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.97% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×1.002 | ×1.050 | 6.96% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.72% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | ×1.002 | ×1.050 | 0.74% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.52% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.050 | 4.79% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.002.
Result: wOBA .399 → .347; ISO .235 → .188; BABIP .338 → .317. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AAKnoxville Smokies · 563 PAwOBA .325 → .309 (−16)K% 15.1% → 18.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.10% | ÷0.994 | ×1.220 | — | — | 18.53% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.99% | ÷0.988 | ×0.680 | — | ×1.050 | 5.78% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.60% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×1.050 | 1.41% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.78% | ÷0.996 | ×0.920 | ×1.026 | ×1.050 | 25.66% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.06% | ÷0.910 | ×0.910 | ×1.026 | ×1.050 | 5.45% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.96% | ÷1.150 | ×0.880 | ×1.026 | ×1.050 | 0.79% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.93% | ÷0.911 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.050 | 1.78% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 82, 1B 99, 2B 82, 3B 130, K 99, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 24.8 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.026.
Result: wOBA .325 → .309; ISO .106 → .104; BABIP .318 → .319. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 A+South Bend Cubs · 515 PAwOBA .322 → .291 (−32)K% 18.1% → 22.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.06% | ÷1.005 | ×1.270 | — | — | 22.82% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.16% | ÷1.021 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.042 | 5.91% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.78% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×1.042 | 0.64% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.49% | ÷1.009 | ×0.920 | ×1.047 | ×1.042 | 27.35% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.12% | ÷1.034 | ×0.810 | ×1.047 | ×1.042 | 4.38% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.89% | ÷0.979 | ×0.850 | ×1.047 | ×1.042 | 1.79% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.08% | ÷0.909 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.042 | 0.99% |
Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 82, 1B 102, 2B 107, 3B 96, K 101, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.047.
Result: wOBA .322 → .291; ISO .097 → .086; BABIP .345 → .335. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AMyrtle Beach Pelicans · 414 PAwOBA .338 → .291 (−47)K% 17.1% → 23.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.15% | ÷1.011 | ×1.360 | — | — | 23.08% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.84% | ÷0.967 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.045 | 8.82% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.21% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.045 | 0.98% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.61% | ÷1.046 | ×0.920 | ×1.023 | ×1.045 | 21.26% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.71% | ÷0.975 | ×0.830 | ×1.023 | ×1.045 | 6.11% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.06% | ÷1.150 | ×0.910 | ×1.023 | ×1.045 | 0.90% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.83% | ÷0.957 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.045 | 2.47% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 91, 1B 109, 2B 95, 3B 130, K 102, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 22.0 → +4.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.023.
Result: wOBA .338 → .291; ISO .138 → .120; BABIP .307 → .285. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 ROKACL Cubs · 163 PAwOBA .400 → .300 (−100)K% 16.0% → 23.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.95% | ÷0.981 | ×1.440 | — | — | 23.41% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.43% | ÷1.083 | ×0.620 | — | ×1.022 | 6.10% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×1.022 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.00% | ÷0.993 | ×0.820 | ×1.027 | ×1.022 | 21.67% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.50% | ÷0.970 | ×0.720 | ×1.027 | ×1.022 | 5.84% |
| Triples /BIP | 4.17% | ÷1.054 | ×0.720 | ×1.027 | ×1.022 | 2.99% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.33% | ÷0.963 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.022 | 2.76% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 93, 1B 99, 2B 94, 3B 111, K 96, BB 117 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 19.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.027.
Result: wOBA .400 → .300; ISO .212 → .158; BABIP .379 → .314. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AMyrtle Beach Pelicans · 46 PAwOBA .288 → .261 (−26)K% 13.0% → 18.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 13.04% | ÷0.978 | ×1.360 | — | — | 18.13% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.35% | ÷1.017 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.050 | 3.10% |
| HBP% /PA | 6.52% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.050 | 5.34% |
| Singles /BIP | 31.43% | ÷0.975 | ×0.920 | — | ×1.050 | 31.15% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.947 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.068 | ×0.910 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.942 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 88, 1B 95, 2B 89, 3B 114, K 96, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 22.0 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.0 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .288 → .261; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .314 → .311. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 DSLDSL Cubs Red · 216 PAwOBA .398 → .272 (−126)K% 9.3% → 12.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 9.26% | ÷0.939 | ×1.220 | — | — | 12.03% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.02% | ÷0.985 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.022 | 4.37% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.24% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×1.022 | 2.32% |
| Singles /BIP | 29.14% | ÷0.964 | ×0.680 | ×1.011 | ×1.022 | 21.24% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.29% | ÷1.001 | ×0.600 | ×1.011 | ×1.022 | 3.90% |
| Triples /BIP | 4.00% | ÷1.140 | ×0.600 | ×1.011 | ×1.022 | 2.18% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.57% | ÷0.915 | ×0.470 | — | ×1.022 | 0.30% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 83, 1B 93, 2B 100, 3B 128, K 88, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 18.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.011.
Result: wOBA .398 → .272; ISO .144 → .082; BABIP .394 → .272. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).