Brayan Rocchio — OGILVIE

Brayan RocchioSS Cleveland Guardians

Age 25 S/R 5'9" / 170 lbs MLB Svc 2.006 · Ctrl thru 2029

2026 ROS PROJECTION359 act + 239 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†vL 9390vR 80

AVG/OBP/SLG.246 / .316 / .376

PA239

HR5

SB8

K%17

BB%8

BABIP280

ISO130

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 45 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026

CONTACT45

Whiff%

857.4%

xwOBA

370.294

POWER40

Barrel%

133.4

Avg EV

1386.3

Bat Spd

3669.8

EYE45

Chase%

9023.2%

SPEED50

Sprint

4727.4

Platoon Splits2024-2026 · 924 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

269

655

—

wRC+

◀◀L

wOBA

302

281

◀L

ISO

159

093

◀◀L

BABIP

264

266

—

24.9%

16.9%

▶▶R

BB%

8.6%

7.9%

◀L

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2023

Service 2.006 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2029

First FA Year 2030

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext	$0.3M	+1.2	$10M	+$9M
2027	Arb-1	$4M	+1.8	$13M	+$10M
2028	Arb-2	$6M	+1.8	$12M	+$7M
2029	Arb-3	$9M	+1.6	$10M	+$4M
Totals		$19M		$46M	+$30M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2018	17	ROK	AZL Indians 2	—	269	248	63	8	3	2	9	45	8	22	13	254	302	335	637	81	300	17	3	272	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	17	ROK	AZL Indians 2	—	269	242	81	12	4	2	15	31	8	22	13	335	392	442	835	107	374	12	6	369	141	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	20	A+	3 teams	—	567	521	111	23	4	13	27	160	16	23	12	213	273	347	620	134	280	28	5	272	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	20	A+	3 teams	—	567	510	149	32	6	17	38	111	16	23	12	292	360	478	838	186	344	20	7	369	141	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	AA	3 teams	—	626	562	126	27	1	17	42	145	10	14	9	224	290	367	656	142	267	23	7	284	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	AA	3 teams	—	626	545	137	31	1	18	59	106	10	14	9	251	336	411	747	160	277	17	9	329	110	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	AAA	3 teams	—	694	629	164	37	8	6	51	117	9	27	10	261	325	374	699	113	310	17	7	304	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	AAA	3 teams	—	694	610	174	46	6	8	70	101	9	27	10	285	367	420	787	134	329	15	10	352	127	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	MLB	Cleveland Guardians	—	442	383	79	18	0	8	44	90	8	10	6	206	301	316	617	110	245	20	10	276	70	-15	-0	+7	+5	+13	0.8
2024	23	MLB	Cleveland Guardians	—	442	383	79	18	0	8	44	90	8	10	6	206	301	316	617	110	245	20	10	281	73	-13	-0	+7	+5	+13	1.0
2025	24	MLB	2 teams	—	571	511	113	27	4	10	37	113	11	15	7	221	288	348	636	127	261	20	6	277	70	-19	+0	+0	+6	+16	0.4
2025	24	MLB	2 teams	—	571	503	120	30	4	12	45	104	11	15	7	239	315	386	701	147	274	18	8	309	95	-3	+0	+0	+6	+16	2.0
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	25	MLB	CLE	—	359	319	88	14	2	8	27	49	7	15	5	276	346	408	753	132	302	14	8	330	111	+4	+1	+3	+4	+10	2.2
YTD	25	MLB	CLE	—	359	319	88	14	2	8	27	49	7	15	5	276	346	408	753	132	302	14	8	334	113	+5	+1	+3	+4	+10	2.4
ROS	25	MLB	CLE	100%	239	215	53	11	1	5	18	40	4	8	3	246	316	376	692	130	277	17	8	310	95	-1	+0	-1	+3	+7	0.8
ROS	25	MLB	CLE	100%	239	215	53	11	1	5	18	40	4	8	3	247	316	377	693	130	278	17	8	297	85	-4	+0	-1	+3	+7	0.5
FULL	25	MLB	CLE	—	598	534	141	25	3	13	45	89	11	23	8	264	334	395	729	131	294	15	8	317	100	+0	+1	+2	+6	+17	2.7
TOT	25	MLB	CLE	—	598	534	141	25	3	13	45	89	11	23	8	264	334	395	729	131	293	15	8	322	105	+3	+1	+2	+6	+17	3.0
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	26	MLB	CLE	92%	586	525	127	27	2	12	45	97	11	20	6	242	315	370	684	128	271	17	8	307	93	-5	+2	-3	+6	+17	1.7
2028	27	MLB	CLE	92%	575	514	124	26	2	12	45	95	11	19	6	241	316	370	685	128	271	17	8	307	93	-5	+1	-3	+6	+16	1.7
2029	28	MLB	CLE	92%	563	504	122	26	2	12	44	94	10	18	6	242	315	373	688	131	271	17	8	306	92	-5	+1	-3	+6	+16	1.5
2030	29	MLB	CLE	92%	552	493	117	25	1	11	44	93	10	16	5	237	313	359	672	122	270	17	8	304	91	-6	+1	-4	+6	+16	1.3
2031	30	MLB	CLE	92%	541	483	114	24	1	11	43	93	10	14	4	236	312	358	670	122	269	17	8	302	89	-7	+1	-5	+6	+15	1.1
2032	31	MLB	CLE	92%	507	453	105	22	1	10	40	89	9	12	4	232	307	351	658	119	267	18	8	297	86	-8	+1	-5	+5	+14	0.7
2033	32	MLB	CLE	92%	488	437	100	21	1	9	39	87	9	9	3	229	305	343	648	114	263	18	8	291	81	-10	+1	-6	+5	+14	0.4
2027	26	MLB	CLE	92%	539	483	117	25	2	11	41	89	10	18	6	242	315	371	685	128	272	17	8	293	83	-11	+1	-2	+6	+15	0.9
2028	27	MLB	CLE	92%	529	473	113	24	1	11	41	88	10	18	6	239	313	364	677	125	272	17	8	293	83	-10	+1	-2	+6	+15	0.9
2029	28	MLB	CLE	92%	518	462	111	24	1	11	41	87	10	17	5	240	316	368	684	128	271	17	8	293	82	-10	+1	-3	+6	+15	0.8
2030	29	MLB	CLE	92%	508	454	108	23	1	10	40	86	9	15	5	238	312	359	671	121	271	17	8	291	81	-11	+1	-4	+5	+14	0.6
2031	30	MLB	CLE	92%	498	446	105	22	1	10	40	86	9	13	4	235	311	357	668	121	270	17	8	288	79	-12	+1	-4	+5	+14	0.4
2032	31	MLB	CLE	92%	466	418	98	21	1	9	37	81	8	11	3	234	309	354	663	120	267	17	8	284	76	-13	+1	-5	+5	+13	0.2
2033	32	MLB	CLE	92%	449	402	92	19	1	8	36	80	8	9	3	229	305	341	646	112	264	18	8	278	71	-15	+1	-5	+5	+13	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	4657	4161	976	211	11	88	364	831	84	127	45	235	309	354	663	119	271	18	8	288	78	-114	+7	-22	+58	+132	6.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	581	136	29	2	12	51	116	12	18	6	234	309	353	662	119	271	18	8	288	78	-16	+1	-3	+8	+18	0.9
Career	—			—	7220	6478	1518	322	31	138	528	1358	136	227	94	234	306	357	663	123	274	19	7	294	83	-137	+8	-24	+77	+205	13.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	583	136	29	3	12	48	122	12	20	8	233	305	355	660	122	273	19	7	294	83	-12	+1	-2	+7	+18	1.2

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2018	17	ROK	AZL Indians 2	—	269	242	81	12	4	2	15	31	8	22	13	335	392	442	835	107	374	12	6	369	141	+12	-1	—	—	+8	2.0
2021	20	AA	Akron RubberDucks	—	203	184	54	13	4	6	13	41	6	7	4	293	360	505	865	212	350	20	6	380	149	+11	-0	—	—	+6	1.7
2021	20	A+	Lake County Captains	—	288	257	68	13	1	9	20	65	9	14	6	265	339	428	767	163	319	23	7	341	119	+6	+0	—	—	+8	1.5
2021	20	INTL	Tiburones de La Guaira	—	76	69	27	6	1	2	5	5	1	2	2	391	440	594	1.034	203	403	7	7	447	200	+9	-0	—	—	+2	1.1
2022	21	AAA	Columbus Clippers	—	152	137	32	6	0	5	12	21	1	2	3	234	300	387	687	153	241	14	8	304	91	-2	-1	—	—	+4	0.2
2022	21	AA	Akron RubberDucks	—	432	373	99	21	1	13	42	81	9	12	6	265	354	432	785	166	302	19	10	346	123	+11	+0	—	—	+12	2.4
2022	21	INTL	Tiburones de La Guaira	—	42	35	6	4	0	0	5	4	0	0	0	171	275	286	561	114	182	10	12	248	48	-2	+0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2023	22	MLB	Cleveland Guardians	—	86	81	20	6	0	0	4	27	0	0	0	247	282	321	603	74	364	31	5	269	64	-3	+0	-3	+7	+2	0.4
2023	22	AAA	Columbus Clippers	—	537	468	131	33	6	7	60	66	6	25	7	280	369	421	790	141	312	12	11	353	129	+17	+2	—	—	+15	3.6
2023	22	INTL	Tiburones de La Guaira	—	71	61	23	7	0	1	6	8	3	2	3	377	457	541	998	164	423	11	8	437	193	+7	-1	—	—	+2	0.9
2024	23	MLB	Cleveland Guardians	—	442	383	79	18	0	8	44	90	8	10	6	206	301	316	617	110	245	20	10	281	73	-13	-0	+7	+5	+13	1.0
2025	24	MLB	Cleveland Guardians	—	383	344	80	18	2	5	22	77	8	8	4	233	294	340	634	108	281	20	6	281	73	-11	+0	+0	+6	+11	0.6
2025	24	AAA	Columbus Clippers	—	188	159	40	12	2	7	23	27	3	7	3	252	357	484	841	233	260	14	12	365	138	+8	+0	—	—	+5	1.4
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	911	808	179	42	2	13	70	194	16	18	10	222	296	327	623	105	271	21	8	280	73	-28	-0	+4	+18	+26	2.0

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Freddy Galvislast yr '21 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,238 PA	10	4,238	109	57	246	292	387	+42	+68	18.0	17.6
	/162	664	17	9	246	292	387	+6.6	+10.6	2.8	pk7: 17
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 11 projected seasons	11	5,371	102	149	236	307	357	+58	+29	13.9	12.6
	/162	664	13	18	236	307	357	+7.1	+3.6	1.7	pk7: 11
#2Brad Ausmuslast yr '10 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,296 PA	11	4,296	39	39	244	319	326	+39	+43	12.4	12.0
	/162	664	6	6	244	319	326	+6.1	+6.6	1.9	pk7: 12
#3Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	7	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
	/162	664	15	8	238	305	374	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#4Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	8	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
	/162	664	20	13	221	297	378	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#5Royce Claytonlast yr '07 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,920 PA	8	3,920	54	70	256	311	365	+18	+17	10.1	10.0
	/162	664	9	12	256	311	365	+3.1	+2.9	1.7	pk7: 10
#6Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	10	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
	/162	664	8	18	243	310	341	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Brayan Rocchio (OGILVIE)	25	45	40	50	45	264/334/395	131	293	13	23	15%	8%	105	+3.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Josh Smith 2023 · MLB	25	48→52	45	52→50	51	232/323/359	127	290	12	17	23%	9%	96	+1.5	233/322/361	128	285	12	11	21%	9%	96	+1.5	238/326/362	125	285	12	10	20%	9%	95	+1.1
✕Brian Specht 2006 · AAA	25	48	47→50	51→55	45	238/289/379	140	285	13	18	22%	6%	85	+0.7	230/283/363	133	292	14	19	25%	7%	79	+0.3	207/266/316	108	269	13	34	27%	7%	55	-0.2
✕Gene Kingsale 2002 · MLB	25	49	42→40	49→55	47	237/292/339	102	277	9	16	18%	6%	76	+0.1	244/309/347	103	289	8	15	17%	8%	85	+0.7	241/302/323	82	290	4	13	17%	7%	74	-0.0
✕Bobby Hill 2004 · MLB	26	50	47→40	53→45	50	245/317/381	136	289	14	14	20%	8%	98	+1.6	248/329/336	88	304	6	5	19%	8%	92	+1.2	246/333/317	71	313	3	1	20%	8%	85	+0.3
✕Trevor Crowe 2009 · AAA	25	53→55	42→45	54→55	49	253/311/370	117	307	8	23	20%	7%	92	+1.2	243/296/342	99	294	6	23	18%	7%	78	+0.2	239/294/322	82	289	3	25	17%	7%	70	-0.3
✕Taylor Walls 2021 · AA	25	48→54	45	53→60	48	232/294/360	128	291	11	21	24%	8%	82	+0.5	204/293/328	124	272	12	19	27%	11%	76	+0.0	191/290/313	122	250	12	22	27%	12%	69	-0.3
✕Santiago Perez 2001 · MLB	25	46→56	43→45	56→55	56	224/313/340	116	258	11	19	17%	10%	87	+0.8	227/320/333	106	302	10	18	25%	12%	88	+0.9	251/311/363	113	337	7	19	26%	7%	87	+0.4
✕Callix Crabbe 2008 · AAA	25	51→53	40	50→55	53	244/310/339	95	284	7	19	16%	8%	84	+0.6	216/289/303	87	261	6	15	18%	9%	66	-0.6	198/266/288	90	232	8	16	18%	8%	50	-1.0
✕Kevin Estrada 2006 · AA	25	53	43→45	52→55	45	255/297/370	115	310	9	20	21%	6%	85	+0.7	227/284/321	94	290	7	17	23%	7%	69	-0.4	204/271/266	61	264	4	19	23%	8%	45	-1.0
✕Ruben Gotay 2008 · MLB	25	49→51	44→45	43→50	47	239/293/363	124	282	11	9	20%	6%	83	+0.6	238/324/363	125	298	11	6	22%	11%	97	+1.5	232/338/349	117	300	9	1	23%	13%	96	+1.0
✕Yairo Muñoz 2020 · MLB	25	52→55	46→50	49→55	44	259/306/390	130	314	14	16	22%	6%	95	+1.4	264/298/378	114	317	11	19	20%	4%	89	+0.9	271/296/374	103	321	10	23	18%	3%	82	+0.3
✕Alen Hanson 2019 · MLB	26	51	48→50	57→60	42	254/290/407	152	300	14	23	21%	4%	93	+1.3	224/268/349	125	284	12	16	25%	5%	69	-0.4	198/243/294	96	261	7	17	26%	5%	39	-0.8
✕Jemile Weeks 2012 · MLB	25	56→63	42→45	55	48	266/319/382	115	312	7	22	17%	7%	98	+1.6	248/319/344	96	298	4	18	17%	9%	89	+0.9	242/321/331	89	292	2	16	16%	9%	83	+0.5
✕Pablo Reyes 2019 · MLB	25	49→53	44→50	48→55	47	240/293/358	118	282	11	16	19%	7%	82	+0.5	236/291/382	146	280	15	12	21%	7%	88	+0.9	243/317/375	132	288	13	24	19%	9%	93	+0.8
✕Joe Sclafani 2015 · AAA	25	52→45	39→40	51→50	51	245/310/336	90	292	6	13	18%	8%	82	+0.5	251/311/327	76	310	4	11	19%	7%	80	+0.4	280/341/314	35	350	0	8	18%	8%	86	+0.3
✕Josh Johnson 2012 · AA	26	50→49	43→45	47→50	50	240/307/357	117	294	9	14	21%	8%	88	+0.9	243/310/343	100	290	8	14	18%	9%	85	+0.7	244/315/323	80	286	6	13	16%	9%	80	+0.2
✕Christian Lopes 2019 · AAA	26	47→50	44→45	50	51	231/300/349	118	270	11	16	19%	8%	82	+0.5	222/299/351	129	283	13	13	25%	8%	83	+0.6	204/286/322	118	279	12	11	29%	8%	69	-0.2
✕Ramon Santiago 2003 · MLB	23	49→52	45	52→50	46	238/304/366	128	281	12	16	20%	6%	89	+1.0	222/287/309	87	253	7	13	15%	6%	67	-0.5	258/335/358	100	299	10	3	16%	8%	97	+0.7
✕Carlos Febles 2002 · MLB	26	50→52	43→40	50→55	52	241/310/347	106	273	11	16	16%	8%	86	+0.8	239/313/333	94	277	8	19	16%	8%	84	+0.6	237/318/311	74	278	4	23	15%	9%	78	+0.1
✕Carlos Sosa 2007 · AAA	26	48	44→45	53→50	47	233/298/348	115	273	11	15	19%	6%	82	+0.5	242/303/347	105	273	10	13	15%	7%	83	+0.6	253/317/358	105	275	9	13	11%	7%	89	+0.5