Drew Millas

C Washington Nationals
Age 29 S/R 6'0" / 204 lbs MLB Svc 2.221 · Ctrl thru 2030 ILInjured 60-Day (D60)
Overview
MLBIL-6040-MANPre-ArbFA 2031
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202426AAAWSH241.311/.362/.518910105—.276/.312/.434
202426MLBWSH62.246/.306/.31614790.7
202527AAAWSH209.247/.309/.3744856—.219/.261/.321
202527MLBWSH55.306/.352/.449021230.9
202628MLBWSH152.185/.275/.2622053-0.3
2027PROJ29MLBWSH76.228/.294/.35322830.2
2028PROJ65% MLB30MLBWSH117.225/.290/.34522800.0
2029PROJ65% MLB31MLBWSH107.221/.286/.3352176-0.1
Last 3 seasons WAR 1.4  ·  Next 3 projected WAR 0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2030Service2.221First FA2031
2027Pre-Arb$0.8M2028Arb-1$0.2M2029Arb-2$0.4M2030Ext$1M
Skills · percentileStatcast 2024-2026
Speed52
xwOBA22
Bat Spd13
Barrel%10
Avg EV10
CompsChris Herrmann (age 29) · Eddy Garabito (age 29) · Brett Sullivan (age 30)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†83
AVG/OBP/SLG.228 / .294 / .353
PA76
HR2
K%20
BB%8
BABIP265
ISO130
MLB%100%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -1.5 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-2BATRUN: +0.4 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: -0.3 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)-0FLDPOS: +1.4 runs (Positional adjustment)+1POSREP: +1.6 runs (Replacement-level credit)+2REPTotal WAR: +0.20+0.2WAR
0.00.51.00.20.00.027282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$0M ctrl surplus
Tools · ContractCON 55 / POW 45
Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026
CONTACT55
xAVG
160.224
POWER45
Barrel%
102.8
Avg EV
1084.9
Bat Spd
1367.3
EYE40
scouting grade only
SPEED55
Sprint
5227.6
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   Pre-Arb
MLB Debut   2023
Service   2.221 yrs.days
Team Control Through   2030
First FA Year   2031
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027Pre-Arb$0.8M+0.2$0.8M+$0.0M
2028Arb-1$0.2M———
2029Arb-2$0.4M———
2030Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.8M $0.5M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202123 A+Wilmington Blue Rocks — 384322 851613 54534 153 264376348724 84304 1414 333 72 — — — — — —
202123 INTLSurprise Saguaros — 6451 10101 1340 31 196359275634 78196 620 307 94 — — — — — —
202224 AAHarrisburg Senators — 169152 32403 15530 11 211280296576 86299 319 263 38 — — — — — —
202224 A+Wilmington Blue Rocks — 9876 18821 22200 10 237408434842 197309 2022 380 74 — — — — — —
202224 AFredericksburg Nationals — 7561 15202 14130 62 246387377764 131283 1719 353 72 — — — — — —
202224 INTLPeoria Javelinas — 6359 18502 3100 12 305339492830 186333 165 359 129 — — — — — —
202325 MLBWashington Nationals — 3328 8201 450 00 286375464839 179318 1512 363 131 +1 +0 +0 +6 +1 0.9
202325 AAARochester Red Wings — 229196 531133 26334 41 270367403770 133307 1411 344 86 — — — — — —
202325 AAHarrisburg Senators — 9982 28404 16161 21 341455537991 195387 1616 439 130 — — — — — —
202426 MLBWashington Nationals — 6257 14101 5160 40 246306316622 70325 268 286 79 -2 +1 +1 +5 +1 0.7
202426 AAARochester Red Wings — 241222 691339 18340 101 311362518881 207333 147 384 105 — — — — — —
202527 MLBWashington Nationals — 5549 15510 470 20 306352449801 143357 137 345 123 +1 +0 +1 +5 +1 0.9
202527 AAARochester Red Wings — 209190 47634 17250 81 247309374683 126264 128 304 56 — — — — — —
202628 MLBWashington Nationals — 152130 24402 14373 01 185275262537 77239 249 247 53 -8 -0 +0 +3 +3 -0.3
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career— — 302264 611214 27653 61 231306330636 98291 229 285 79 -7 +1 +3 +19 +7 2.3
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202123 A+ MLEWilmington Blue Rocks — 384338 761413 38744 153 225311299609 74271 1910 275 72 — — — — — —
202224 AA MLEHarrisburg Senators — 169157 30402 11650 11 191244255499 64299 387 224 38 — — — — — —
202224 A+ MLEWilmington Blue Rocks — 9884 16721 14260 10 190306357663 167254 2714 278 74 — — — — — —
202224 A MLEFredericksburg Nationals — 7565 13201 10180 62 200307277584 77260 2413 275 72 — — — — — —
202325 MLB MLEWashington Nationals — 3328 8201 450 00 286375464839 179318 1512 361 131 +1 +0 +0 +6 +1 0.9
202325 AAA MLERochester Red Wings — 229203 50932 19404 41 246323350673 103282 178 295 86 — — — — — —
202325 AA MLEHarrisburg Senators — 9987 26303 11191 21 299384437821 138360 1911 361 130 — — — — — —
202426 MLB MLEWashington Nationals — 6257 14101 5160 40 246306316622 70325 268 285 79 -2 +1 +1 +5 +1 0.7
202426 AAA MLERochester Red Wings — 241228 631236 12430 101 276312434747 158312 185 323 105 — — — — — —
202527 MLB MLEWashington Nationals — 5550 15510 470 20 300352440792 140357 137 349 123 +1 +0 +1 +5 +1 0.9
202527 AAA MLERochester Red Wings — 209196 43533 11290 81 219261321582 102234 145 251 56 — — — — — —
202628 MLB MLEWashington Nationals — 152132 24402 14373 01 182275258533 76239 249 247 53 -8 -0 +0 +3 +3 -0.3
202123 A+ MLE2 teams — 448396 891713 44864 184 225309295604 71277 1910 275 72 — — — — — —
202123 A+ RAW2 teams — 448373 951714 67574 184 255374338712 83288 1315 329 72 — — — — — —
202224 AA MLE4 teams — 405363 691425 401300 95 190270281551 91278 3210 251 56 — — — — — —
202224 AA RAW4 teams — 405348 831928 54960 95 239340374714 135305 2413 323 56 — — — — — —
202325 AAA MLE3 teams — 361318 841436 34655 62 264345384728 119312 189 319 102 — — — — — —
202325 AAA RAW3 teams — 361306 891738 46545 62 291392444837 154328 1513 372 102 — — — — — —
202426 AAA MLE2 teams — 303285 771337 17590 141 270311411722 140318 196 315 100 — — — — — —
202426 AAA RAW2 teams — 303279 8314310 23500 141 297351477828 179332 178 364 100 — — — — — —
202527 AAA MLE2 teams — 264246 581043 15360 101 236280346625 110263 146 271 70 — — — — — —
202527 AAA RAW2 teams — 264239 621144 21320 101 259318389707 130283 128 312 70 — — — — — —
202628 MLB MLEWashington Nationals — 152132 24402 14373 01 182275258533 76234 249 247 53 -8 -0 +0 +3 +3 -0.3
202628 MLB RAWWashington Nationals — 152130 24402 14373 01 185275262537 77239 249 247 53 -8 -0 +0 +3 +3 -0.3
202123 A+ MLE2 teams — 448397 891713 44864 184 224309295603 71271 1910 275 72 — — — — — —
202224 AA MLE4 teams — 405362 691425 401300 95 191270282552 91278 3210 251 56 — — — — — —
202325 AAA MLE3 teams — 361319 841436 34655 62 263345382727 119307 189 319 102 — — — — — —
202426 AAA MLE2 teams — 303283 771337 17590 141 272311413725 141315 196 315 100 — — — — — —
202527 AAA MLE2 teams — 264247 581043 15360 101 235280344624 109260 146 271 70 — — — — — —
202628 MLB MLEWashington Nationals — 152134 24402 14373 01 179275254529 75239 249 247 53 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202426 AAA MLE2 teams — 303283 771337 17590 141 272311413725 141315 196 315 100 — — — — — —
202527 AAA MLE2 teams — 264247 581043 15360 101 235280344624 109260 146 271 70 — — — — — —
202628 MLB MLEWashington Nationals — 152134 24402 14373 01 179275254529 75239 249 247 53 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202729 MLB MLEWSH 100% 182164 38714 14352 41 229295355650 126265 198 291 83 -4 +0 -1 +3 +4 0.2
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202729 MLB CTXWSH 100% 7669 16302 6151 20 228294353647 125265 208 290 83 -2 +0 -0 +1 +2 0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202830 MLB MLEWSH 65% 180163 38714 14351 31 226291347638 122264 198 287 80 -4 +0 -3 +3 +4 0.0
202931 MLB MLEWSH 65% 164150 33613 12331 21 222286338623 116261 207 280 76 -5 +0 -3 +3 +4 -0.2
202830 MLB CTXWSH 65% 117106 24412 9231 21 225290345636 120263 208 286 80 -3 +0 -2 +2 +3 0.0
202931 MLB CTXWSH 65% 10797 22412 8211 10 221286335621 114260 207 280 76 -3 +0 -2 +2 +2 -0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 526467 1072038 441095 92 229301336637 107280 218 284 77 -13 +1 -1 +23 +11 2.2
/ 162G— A+C — 650577 13325410 541356 112 231301340641 109282 218 284 77 -16 +1 -1 +29 +14 2.7
Career— MLE — 23532122 488881535 19649615 6416 230300335635 105282 218 282 77 -18 +1 -3 +27 +16 2.3
/ 162G— MLE — 650586 13524410 541374 184 230299336635 106282 218 282 77 -16 +1 -3 +24 +14 2.1

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2025 AAARochester Red Wings · 209 PAwOBA .295 → .251 (−44)K% 12.0% → 14.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA11.96%÷1.028×1.200——13.97%
BB% (unintentional) /PA7.18%÷0.978×0.690—×1.0035.08%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.940—×1.0030.00%
Singles /BIP20.61%÷0.987×0.930×0.966×1.00318.81%
Doubles /BIP3.64%÷1.000×0.830×0.966×1.0032.93%
Triples /BIP1.82%÷1.150×0.970×0.966×1.0031.49%
Home runs /BIP2.42%÷0.960×0.700—×1.0031.77%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 92, 1B 97, 2B 100, 3B 130, K 106, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.966.

Result: wOBA .295 → .251; ISO .126 → .100; BABIP .264 → .234. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 AAARochester Red Wings · 241 PAwOBA .374 → .323 (−51)K% 14.1% → 17.7%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA14.11%÷0.958×1.200——17.66%
BB% (unintentional) /PA7.05%÷0.969×0.690—×1.0185.11%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.940—×1.0180.00%
Singles /BIP23.40%÷1.029×0.930×1.047×1.01822.54%
Doubles /BIP6.91%÷0.962×0.830×1.047×1.0186.36%
Triples /BIP1.60%÷1.150×0.970×1.047×1.0181.43%
Home runs /BIP4.79%÷0.986×0.700—×1.0183.46%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 97, 1B 106, 2B 92, 3B 130, K 92, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.047.

Result: wOBA .374 → .323; ISO .207 → .164; BABIP .333 → .312. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 AAARochester Red Wings · 229 PAwOBA .340 → .295 (−46)K% 14.4% → 17.6%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA14.41%÷0.980×1.200——17.64%
BB% (unintentional) /PA11.35%÷0.956×0.690—×1.0338.46%
HBP% /PA1.75%—×0.940—×1.0331.70%
Singles /BIP22.09%÷0.996×0.930×1.013×1.03321.59%
Doubles /BIP6.75%÷1.137×0.830×1.013×1.0335.15%
Triples /BIP1.84%÷1.150×0.970×1.013×1.0331.62%
Home runs /BIP1.84%÷1.058×0.700—×1.0331.26%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 112, 1B 99, 2B 127, 3B 130, K 96, BB 91 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.013.

Result: wOBA .340 → .295; ISO .133 → .103; BABIP .307 → .282. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 AAHarrisburg Senators · 99 PAwOBA .428 → .361 (−67)K% 16.2% → 19.6%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA16.16%÷1.005×1.220——19.63%
BB% (unintentional) /PA16.16%÷1.016×0.700—×0.99811.11%
HBP% /PA1.01%—×0.850—×0.9980.86%
Singles /BIP30.30%÷1.013×0.970×1.013×0.99829.35%
Doubles /BIP6.06%÷1.033×0.860×1.013×0.9985.10%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.935×0.950×1.013×0.9980.00%
Home runs /BIP6.06%÷1.115×0.780—×0.9984.23%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 123, 1B 103, 2B 107, 3B 87, K 101, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.013.

Result: wOBA .428 → .361; ISO .195 → .147; BABIP .387 → .360. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 AAHarrisburg Senators · 169 PAwOBA .258 → .224 (−34)K% 31.4% → 38.4%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA31.36%÷0.996×1.220——38.41%
BB% (unintentional) /PA8.88%÷0.980×0.700—×1.0126.42%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.850—×1.0120.00%
Singles /BIP25.25%÷1.016×0.970×1.047×1.01225.53%
Doubles /BIP4.04%÷0.936×0.860×1.047×1.0123.94%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.150×0.950×1.047×1.0120.00%
Home runs /BIP3.03%÷0.979×0.780—×1.0122.44%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 96, 1B 103, 2B 87, 3B 130, K 99, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.047.

Result: wOBA .258 → .224; ISO .086 → .069; BABIP .299 → .299. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 A+Wilmington Blue Rocks · 98 PAwOBA .372 → .278 (−94)K% 20.4% → 26.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA20.41%÷0.998×1.310——26.78%
BB% (unintentional) /PA22.45%÷0.963×0.600—×0.98813.82%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.770—×0.9880.00%
Singles /BIP12.50%÷0.990×0.870×1.010×0.98810.97%
Doubles /BIP14.29%÷0.974×0.780×1.010×0.98811.41%
Triples /BIP3.57%÷1.150×0.850×1.010×0.9882.63%
Home runs /BIP1.79%÷1.114×0.880—×0.9881.39%

Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 123, 1B 98, 2B 95, 3B 130, K 100, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.010.

Result: wOBA .372 → .278; ISO .197 → .160; BABIP .309 → .254. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 AFredericksburg Nationals · 75 PAwOBA .345 → .275 (−69)K% 17.3% → 24.4%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA17.33%÷0.966×1.360——24.40%
BB% (unintentional) /PA18.67%÷0.970×0.690—×0.98013.02%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.780—×0.9800.00%
Singles /BIP22.92%÷0.986×0.920×1.026×0.98021.50%
Doubles /BIP4.17%÷0.933×0.830×1.026×0.9803.73%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.910×0.910×1.026×0.9800.00%
Home runs /BIP4.17%÷1.074×0.800—×0.9803.04%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 115, 1B 97, 2B 87, 3B 82, K 93, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.0 → −2.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.026.

Result: wOBA .345 → .275; ISO .131 → .099; BABIP .283 → .260. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2021 A+Wilmington Blue Rocks · 384 PAwOBA .328 → .275 (−52)K% 13.8% → 19.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA13.80%÷0.965×1.350——19.30%
BB% (unintentional) /PA13.80%÷0.984×0.710—×0.9989.94%
HBP% /PA1.04%—×0.810—×0.9980.84%
Singles /BIP24.16%÷0.997×0.910×0.982×0.99821.62%
Doubles /BIP5.95%÷0.916×0.830×0.982×0.9985.28%
Triples /BIP0.37%÷0.900×0.820×0.982×0.9980.33%
Home runs /BIP1.12%÷0.906×0.830—×0.9981.02%

Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 81, 1B 99, 2B 83, 3B 80, K 93, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.982.

Result: wOBA .328 → .275; ISO .084 → .075; BABIP .304 → .271. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .