Drew Millas — OGILVIE

Drew MillasC Washington Nationals

Age 28 S/R 6'0" / 204 lbs MLB Svc 1.221 · Ctrl thru 2030 ILInjured 10-Day (D10)

2026 ROS PROJECTION152 act + 145 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†82

AVG/OBP/SLG.227 / .292 / .348

PA145

HR3

K%22

BB%8

BABIP276

ISO121

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 55 / POW 45

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026

CONTACT55

Whiff%

904.1%

xwOBA

220.275

POWER45

Barrel%

102.8

Avg EV

1084.9

Bat Spd

1367.3

EYE40

Chase%

9012.1%

SPEED55

Sprint

5227.6

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2023

Service 1.221 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2030

First FA Year 2031

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext	$0.3M	+0.0	$0.2M	-$0.2M
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.8	$3M	+$2M
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$1M		$3M	+$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	23	A+	2 teams	—	448	395	90	18	1	4	45	90	4	18	4	228	313	309	622	81	282	20	10	281	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	A+	2 teams	—	448	373	95	17	1	4	67	57	4	18	4	255	374	338	712	83	288	13	15	329	110	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AA	4 teams	—	405	361	69	15	2	6	42	137	0	9	5	191	275	294	569	102	286	34	10	252	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AA	4 teams	—	405	348	83	19	2	8	54	96	0	9	5	239	340	374	714	135	305	24	13	323	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AAA	3 teams	—	361	318	79	13	2	6	34	67	5	6	2	248	331	358	689	110	294	19	9	308	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AAA	3 teams	—	361	306	89	17	3	8	46	54	5	6	2	291	392	444	837	154	328	15	13	372	143	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AAA	2 teams	—	303	284	76	13	2	9	18	61	0	14	1	268	311	423	734	155	312	20	6	314	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AAA	2 teams	—	303	279	83	14	3	10	23	50	0	14	1	297	351	477	828	179	332	17	8	364	137	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	AAA	2 teams	—	264	246	58	10	3	4	15	35	0	10	1	236	280	350	629	114	258	13	6	275	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	AAA	2 teams	—	264	239	62	11	4	4	21	32	0	10	1	259	318	389	707	130	283	12	8	312	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	28	MLB	WSH	—	152	132	24	4	0	2	14	37	3	0	1	182	275	258	533	76	234	24	9	244	45	-9	-0	+0	+3	+4	-0.3
YTD	28	MLB	WSH	—	152	130	24	4	0	2	14	37	3	0	1	185	275	262	537	77	239	24	9	247	47	-9	-0	+0	+3	+4	-0.2
ROS	28	MLB	WSH	100%	145	132	30	5	1	3	11	32	1	3	1	227	292	348	640	121	278	22	8	292	82	-3	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.4
ROS	28	MLB	WSH	100%	145	132	30	5	1	3	11	32	1	3	1	227	292	348	640	121	278	22	8	284	76	-4	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.3
FULL	28	MLB	WSH	—	297	264	54	9	1	5	25	69	4	3	2	205	283	303	586	98	255	23	8	264	60	-13	-0	+0	+5	+8	0.0
TOT	28	MLB	WSH	—	297	264	54	9	1	5	25	69	4	3	2	205	283	303	586	98	255	23	8	268	63	-12	-0	+0	+5	+8	0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	29	MLB	WSH	92%	336	304	69	12	2	7	26	75	3	7	2	227	294	349	643	122	278	22	8	291	81	-7	+1	-1	+6	+10	0.8
2027	29	MLB	WSH	92%	309	279	63	11	2	6	24	69	3	6	2	226	294	344	638	118	278	22	8	284	75	-9	+0	-1	+6	+9	0.5
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	604	545	130	24	4	11	48	129	4	15	3	239	304	358	662	119	292	21	8	294	83	-11	+2	+2	+25	+17	3.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	587	140	26	4	12	52	139	4	16	3	239	304	358	662	119	292	21	8	294	83	-12	+2	+2	+27	+18	3.8
Career	—			—	2262	2040	471	86	13	39	191	497	13	67	16	231	301	343	644	112	284	22	8	286	77	-58	+7	+2	+40	+64	5.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	586	136	25	4	11	55	143	4	19	5	232	302	345	647	113	287	22	8	286	77	-17	+2	+1	+12	+18	1.6

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	23	A+	Wilmington Blue Rocks	—	384	322	85	16	1	3	54	53	4	15	3	264	376	348	724	84	304	14	14	333	113	+6	+2	—	—	+11	1.9
2021	23	INTL	Surprise Saguaros	—	64	51	10	1	0	1	13	4	0	3	1	196	359	275	634	78	196	6	20	307	93	-0	+0	—	—	+2	0.2
2022	24	AA	Harrisburg Senators	—	169	152	32	4	0	3	15	53	0	1	1	211	280	296	576	86	299	31	9	263	60	-8	-0	—	—	+5	-0.3
2022	24	A+	Wilmington Blue Rocks	—	98	76	18	8	2	1	22	20	0	1	0	237	408	434	842	197	309	20	22	380	149	+5	+0	—	—	+3	0.9
2022	24	A	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	75	61	15	2	0	2	14	13	0	6	2	246	387	377	764	131	283	17	19	353	128	+2	+0	—	—	+2	0.5
2022	24	INTL	Peoria Javelinas	—	63	59	18	5	0	2	3	10	0	1	2	305	339	492	830	186	333	16	5	359	133	+2	-1	—	—	+2	0.4
2023	25	MLB	Washington Nationals	—	33	28	8	2	0	1	4	5	0	0	0	286	375	464	839	179	318	15	12	363	136	+1	+0	+0	+6	+1	0.9
2023	25	AAA	Rochester Red Wings	—	229	196	53	11	3	3	26	33	4	4	1	270	367	403	770	133	307	14	11	344	122	+6	+0	—	—	+6	1.3
2023	25	AA	Harrisburg Senators	—	99	82	28	4	0	4	16	16	1	2	1	341	455	537	991	195	387	16	16	439	194	+11	+0	—	—	+3	1.4
2024	26	MLB	Washington Nationals	—	62	57	14	1	0	1	5	16	0	4	0	246	306	316	622	70	325	26	8	286	77	-2	+1	+1	+5	+2	0.8
2024	26	AAA	Rochester Red Wings	—	241	222	69	13	3	9	18	34	0	10	1	311	362	518	881	207	333	14	7	384	152	+14	+2	—	—	+7	2.3
2025	27	MLB	Washington Nationals	—	55	49	15	5	1	0	4	7	0	2	0	306	352	449	801	143	357	13	7	345	122	+1	+0	+1	+5	+2	1.0
2025	27	AAA	Rochester Red Wings	—	209	190	47	6	3	4	17	25	0	8	1	247	309	374	683	126	264	12	8	304	91	-2	+1	—	—	+6	0.5
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	150	134	37	8	1	2	13	28	0	6	0	276	338	396	733	119	337	19	9	324	106	+1	+1	+3	+17	+4	2.7

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	9	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
	/162	664	10	9	246	289	354	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#2Ehire Adrianzalast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,519 PA	9	1,519	20	19	240	310	353	+10	+13	4.0	4.4
	/162	664	9	8	240	310	353	+4.2	+5.5	1.8	pk7: 5
#3Chad Moellerlast yr '09 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,524 PA	10	1,524	29	2	226	288	351	+19	+14	3.8	4.3
	/162	664	13	1	226	288	351	+8.5	+6.2	1.6	pk7: 5
#4Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	9	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
	/162	664	18	6	227	293	367	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#5Gary Bennettlast yr '07 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,703 PA	8	1,703	20	6	239	301	327	+17	+6	2.6	2.6
	/162	664	8	2	239	301	327	+6.7	+2.4	1.0	pk7: 3
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons	5	875	16	21	233	298	350	+16	+4	2.5	2.5
	/162	664	12	16	233	298	350	+11.9	+2.9	1.9	pk7: 2
#6Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#6Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Drew Millas (OGILVIE)	28	55	45	55	40	205/283/303	98	255	5	3	23%	8%	63	+0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Freddy Galvis 2018 · MLB	28	50→54	45→50	51→50	46	246/292/374	128	284	13	13	18%	6%	85	+0.7	250/299/401	151	300	17	8	22%	6%	95	+1.4	248/298/403	155	299	18	6	23%	6%	93	+1.0
✕Nick Franklin 2019 · MLB	28	47→50	46→50	53→50	48	231/295/360	129	275	13	16	21%	8%	84	+0.6	206/279/322	116	267	11	11	26%	8%	67	-0.5	170/251/269	99	226	8	8	27%	9%	41	-1.3
✕Ehire Adrianza 2018 · MLB	28	50→49	44→50	49→50	50	244/304/363	119	279	11	15	17%	7%	88	+0.9	245/308/370	125	297	11	9	20%	8%	92	+1.2	241/326/373	132	289	11	1	19%	10%	97	+0.5
✕Maxwell Leon 2013 · AAA	29	51→55	45→50	49→50	47	248/318/374	126	299	12	13	20%	7%	97	+1.5	249/306/347	98	305	8	13	20%	6%	85	+0.7	249/313/358	109	312	11	12	22%	6%	87	+0.5
✕Ronny Cedeno 2011 · MLB	28	49→57	45	51→50	44	241/284/366	125	287	12	12	21%	5%	79	+0.3	244/293/355	111	305	8	7	22%	6%	81	+0.4	243/295/341	98	309	6	4	22%	6%	71	-0.1
✕Josh Johnson 2014 · AAA	28	52→49	43→45	48→50	52	253/317/369	117	294	10	15	18%	8%	95	+1.4	230/300/305	75	277	5	11	17%	9%	71	-0.3	217/294/254	37	264	1	8	17%	10%	56	-0.6
✕Tim Torres 2012 · AAA	28	50→51	44→45	54→55	46	239/303/360	121	320	11	16	28%	8%	86	+0.8	206/264/305	99	315	8	16	35%	7%	56	-1.3	245/314/370	125	332	12	21	28%	9%	93	+0.5
✕Garrett Stubbs 2021 · MLB	28	46	44→45	54→50	47	229/290/350	121	273	12	17	21%	7%	79	+0.3	228/308/352	124	288	13	12	24%	10%	87	+0.8	220/310/331	111	279	11	10	23%	11%	81	+0.1
✕Drew Sutton 2011 · MLB	28	50→56	45→50	46→50	49	240/313/368	128	306	11	10	24%	9%	93	+1.3	232/297/340	108	304	7	6	24%	8%	79	+0.3	229/294/323	94	297	4	4	23%	7%	70	-0.2
✕Cliff Pennington 2012 · MLB	28	53→55	42→45	53→55	51	253/313/366	113	298	8	21	18%	8%	92	+1.2	239/304/337	98	289	7	15	19%	8%	81	+0.4	222/300/305	83	280	7	9	22%	9%	68	-0.2
●Kazuo Matsui 2005 · MLB	29	54→60	44→45	52→60	50	262/322/388	127	313	10	15	19%	8%	102	+1.8	257/309/370	113	303	8	19	17%	6%	91	+1.1	273/327/388	115	317	7	30	15%	7%	100	+1.2
✕Victor Reyes 2023 · MLB	28	55→58	45→50	50→55	42	267/309/404	137	330	11	11	22%	5%	100	+1.7	249/289/383	134	326	14	6	27%	5%	86	+0.8	249/283/375	127	332	14	3	28%	4%	79	+0.2
✕Andy Parrino 2013 · MLB	27	49→51	44→50	48→45	46	237/307/364	127	314	11	8	27%	8%	90	+1.0	212/276/302	90	298	7	6	29%	7%	60	-1.0	219/276/301	82	312	7	4	30%	7%	56	-0.7
✕Yorvit Torrealba 2006 · MLB	28	47→55	46→50	52→45	49	234/298/368	134	275	13	6	20%	8%	87	+0.8	240/298/381	141	281	13	6	19%	7%	90	+1.0	273/328/383	110	320	9	5	17%	7%	97	+0.9
✕Matt Kata 2005 · MLB	27	50→48	46→50	51→50	51	245/304/385	140	279	12	10	17%	8%	93	+1.3	248/287/370	122	284	10	9	16%	4%	82	+0.5	247/281/367	120	281	9	7	16%	3%	76	+0.1
✕Braden Bishop 2022 · MLB	28	50→56	50	53→50	44	251/307/415	163	305	16	13	23%	6%	102	+1.9	230/283/366	136	296	15	17	27%	6%	80	+0.4	198/252/301	104	261	13	22	29%	6%	46	-1.0
✕Tyler Heineman 2020 · AAA	29	49→43	45	52→50	47	243/299/372	129	284	12	8	19%	6%	89	+0.9	232/290/330	98	278	8	8	19%	6%	73	-0.1	221/315/323	103	271	11	14	21%	10%	81	+0.1
✕Steve Tolleson 2012 · MLB	28	48→53	42→45	52→50	47	233/293/341	108	285	10	16	21%	7%	78	+0.2	233/297/338	105	295	9	15	23%	8%	79	+0.3	236/304/337	101	299	9	14	22%	8%	80	+0.2
✕Jason Hagerty 2016 · AAA	28	46→50	45→50	46→40	44	230/293/356	126	298	13	6	27%	7%	82	+0.5	225/288/350	125	301	12	7	28%	6%	79	+0.3	206/275/327	120	279	9	0	28%	5%	63	-0.2
●Ryan Roberts 2009 · MLB	28	48→52	45→50	50→55	50	236/302/363	127	289	12	10	22%	8%	87	+0.8	238/312/372	134	286	13	16	20%	9%	94	+1.3	235/316/376	141	276	15	19	20%	10%	94	+1.0