Danny Muno
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 27 | AAA/AA2 orgs | 257 | .223/.348/.307 | 1 | 1 | 63 | — | .206/.293/.281 |
| 2017 | 28 | AAASEA | 349 | .273/.388/.430 | 8 | 12 | 88 | — | .230/.316/.350 |
| 2018 | 29 | AAASEA | 241 | .195/.324/.265 | 1 | 1 | 38 | — | .174/.261/.239 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2012 | 23 | A+ | St. Lucie Mets | — | 352 | 289 | 81 | 16 | 2 | 6 | 50 | 53 | 3 | 19 | 3 | 280 | 392 | 412 | 804 | 131 | 321 | 15 | 14 | 355 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 23 | INTL | Surprise Saguaros | — | 38 | 31 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 226 | 368 | 290 | 659 | 65 | 292 | 18 | 16 | 316 | 100 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 24 | AA | Binghamton Mets | — | 561 | 449 | 112 | 27 | 2 | 9 | 92 | 97 | 9 | 15 | 11 | 249 | 387 | 379 | 766 | 129 | 296 | 17 | 16 | 347 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 25 | AAA | Las Vegas 51s | — | 435 | 359 | 93 | 13 | 1 | 14 | 60 | 82 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 259 | 376 | 418 | 793 | 159 | 296 | 19 | 14 | 352 | 85 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 25 | INTL | Yaquis de Obregon | — | 25 | 21 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 190 | 320 | 238 | 558 | 48 | 250 | 20 | 16 | 272 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 26 | MLB | New York Mets | — | 32 | 27 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 148 | 258 | 185 | 443 | 37 | 250 | 34 | 12 | 212 | 33 | -3 | +0 | -1 | +1 | +1 | -0.1 |
| 2015 | 26 | AAA | Las Vegas 51s | — | 314 | 274 | 76 | 14 | 1 | 3 | 35 | 50 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 277 | 363 | 369 | 732 | 91 | 329 | 16 | 11 | 332 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 27 | AAA | Charlotte Knights | — | 235 | 197 | 44 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 34 | 50 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 223 | 346 | 315 | 661 | 91 | 295 | 21 | 14 | 309 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 27 | AA | Jacksonville Suns | — | 22 | 18 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 222 | 364 | 222 | 586 | 286 | 18 | 18 | 291 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2017 | 28 | AAA | Tacoma Rainiers | — | 349 | 293 | 80 | 20 | 1 | 8 | 53 | 91 | 2 | 12 | 8 | 273 | 388 | 430 | 818 | 157 | 369 | 26 | 15 | 368 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 29 | AAA | Tacoma Rainiers | — | 241 | 200 | 39 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 36 | 63 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 195 | 324 | 265 | 589 | 70 | 275 | 26 | 15 | 279 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 32 | 27 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 148 | 258 | 185 | 443 | 37 | 250 | 34 | 12 | 212 | 30 | -3 | +0 | -1 | +1 | +1 | -0.1 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2012 | 23 | A+ MLE | St. Lucie Mets | — | 352 | 303 | 73 | 15 | 2 | 4 | 36 | 81 | 3 | 19 | 3 | 241 | 327 | 343 | 671 | 102 | 293 | 23 | 10 | 293 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 24 | AA MLE | Binghamton Mets | — | 561 | 477 | 119 | 26 | 2 | 7 | 64 | 114 | 9 | 15 | 11 | 249 | 349 | 356 | 705 | 107 | 302 | 20 | 11 | 315 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 25 | AAA MLE | Las Vegas 51s | — | 435 | 378 | 85 | 10 | 1 | 12 | 41 | 112 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 225 | 312 | 352 | 664 | 127 | 274 | 26 | 9 | 294 | 85 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 26 | MLB MLE | New York Mets | — | 32 | 27 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 148 | 258 | 185 | 443 | 37 | 250 | 34 | 12 | 217 | 33 | -3 | +0 | -1 | +1 | +1 | -0.1 |
| 2015 | 26 | AAA MLE | Las Vegas 51s | — | 314 | 284 | 67 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 25 | 66 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 236 | 302 | 303 | 605 | 67 | 294 | 21 | 8 | 270 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 27 | AAA MLE | Charlotte Knights | — | 235 | 209 | 43 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 22 | 57 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 206 | 291 | 287 | 578 | 81 | 278 | 24 | 9 | 265 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 27 | AA MLE | Jacksonville Suns | — | 22 | 19 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 211 | 318 | 211 | 529 | 259 | 23 | 14 | 231 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2017 | 28 | AAA MLE | Tacoma Rainiers | — | 349 | 309 | 71 | 17 | 1 | 6 | 37 | 114 | 2 | 12 | 8 | 230 | 316 | 350 | 666 | 120 | 340 | 33 | 11 | 298 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 29 | AAA MLE | Tacoma Rainiers | — | 241 | 213 | 37 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 79 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 174 | 261 | 239 | 500 | 66 | 255 | 33 | 10 | 225 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 23 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 390 | 336 | 80 | 16 | 2 | 5 | 40 | 89 | 4 | 19 | 3 | 238 | 326 | 342 | 669 | 104 | 305 | 23 | 10 | 293 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 23 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 390 | 320 | 88 | 18 | 2 | 6 | 56 | 60 | 4 | 19 | 3 | 275 | 389 | 400 | 789 | 125 | 318 | 15 | 14 | 351 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 24 | AA MLE | Binghamton Mets | — | 561 | 477 | 119 | 26 | 2 | 7 | 64 | 114 | 9 | 15 | 11 | 249 | 349 | 356 | 705 | 107 | 310 | 20 | 11 | 315 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 24 | AA RAW | Binghamton Mets | — | 561 | 449 | 112 | 27 | 2 | 9 | 92 | 97 | 9 | 15 | 11 | 249 | 387 | 379 | 766 | 129 | 296 | 17 | 16 | 347 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 25 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 460 | 401 | 90 | 11 | 1 | 13 | 43 | 118 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 224 | 310 | 354 | 665 | 130 | 281 | 26 | 9 | 294 | 85 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 25 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 460 | 380 | 97 | 14 | 1 | 14 | 64 | 87 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 255 | 373 | 408 | 780 | 153 | 293 | 19 | 14 | 348 | 85 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 26 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 346 | 311 | 71 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 29 | 77 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 228 | 298 | 293 | 591 | 64 | 296 | 22 | 8 | 265 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 26 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 346 | 301 | 80 | 15 | 1 | 3 | 39 | 61 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 266 | 354 | 352 | 706 | 86 | 324 | 18 | 11 | 321 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 27 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 257 | 228 | 46 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 62 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 202 | 289 | 276 | 565 | 75 | 273 | 24 | 10 | 262 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 27 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 257 | 215 | 48 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 38 | 54 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 223 | 348 | 307 | 655 | 84 | 294 | 21 | 15 | 307 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 28 | AAA MLE | Tacoma Rainiers | — | 349 | 309 | 71 | 17 | 1 | 6 | 37 | 114 | 2 | 12 | 8 | 230 | 316 | 350 | 666 | 120 | 342 | 33 | 11 | 298 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 28 | AAA RAW | Tacoma Rainiers | — | 349 | 293 | 80 | 20 | 1 | 8 | 53 | 91 | 2 | 12 | 8 | 273 | 388 | 430 | 818 | 157 | 369 | 26 | 15 | 368 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 29 | AAA MLE | Tacoma Rainiers | — | 241 | 213 | 37 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 79 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 174 | 261 | 239 | 500 | 66 | 267 | 33 | 10 | 225 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 29 | AAA RAW | Tacoma Rainiers | — | 241 | 200 | 39 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 36 | 63 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 195 | 324 | 265 | 589 | 70 | 275 | 26 | 15 | 279 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 23 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 390 | 343 | 80 | 16 | 2 | 5 | 40 | 89 | 4 | 19 | 3 | 233 | 326 | 335 | 662 | 102 | 293 | 23 | 10 | 293 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 24 | AA MLE | Binghamton Mets | — | 561 | 483 | 119 | 26 | 2 | 7 | 64 | 114 | 9 | 15 | 11 | 246 | 349 | 352 | 701 | 106 | 302 | 20 | 11 | 315 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 25 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 460 | 407 | 90 | 11 | 1 | 13 | 43 | 118 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 221 | 310 | 349 | 659 | 128 | 274 | 26 | 9 | 294 | 85 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 26 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 346 | 312 | 71 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 29 | 77 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 228 | 298 | 292 | 590 | 64 | 290 | 22 | 8 | 265 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 27 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 257 | 227 | 46 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 62 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 203 | 289 | 278 | 567 | 75 | 276 | 24 | 10 | 262 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 28 | AAA MLE | Tacoma Rainiers | — | 349 | 307 | 71 | 17 | 1 | 6 | 37 | 114 | 2 | 12 | 8 | 231 | 316 | 352 | 668 | 121 | 340 | 33 | 11 | 298 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 29 | AAA MLE | Tacoma Rainiers | — | 241 | 214 | 37 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 79 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 173 | 261 | 238 | 499 | 65 | 255 | 33 | 10 | 225 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 32 | 27 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 148 | 258 | 185 | 443 | 37 | 250 | 34 | 12 | 212 | 79 | -3 | +0 | -1 | +1 | +1 | -0.1 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 548 | 81 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 81 | 223 | 0 | 20 | 0 | 148 | 257 | 184 | 441 | 36 | 249 | 34 | 12 | 212 | 79 | -54 | +4 | -12 | +25 | +14 | -2.4 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2604 | 2275 | 514 | 101 | 10 | 35 | 261 | 653 | 29 | 64 | 38 | 226 | 313 | 325 | 639 | 99 | 299 | 25 | 10 | 286 | 79 | -3 | +0 | -1 | +1 | +1 | -0.1 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 568 | 128 | 25 | 2 | 9 | 65 | 163 | 7 | 16 | 9 | 225 | 312 | 324 | 636 | 99 | 297 | 25 | 10 | 286 | 79 | -54 | +4 | -12 | +25 | +14 | -2.4 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2018 AAATacoma Rainiers · 241 PAwOBA .275 → .225 (−50)K% 26.1% → 32.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.14% | ÷1.031 | ×1.290 | — | — | 32.70% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.94% | ÷1.103 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.982 | 9.44% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.83% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×0.982 | 0.80% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.44% | ÷1.006 | ×0.900 | ×1.050 | ×0.982 | 18.86% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.57% | ÷0.885 | ×0.810 | ×1.050 | ×0.982 | 6.20% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.73% | ÷0.900 | ×0.810 | ×1.050 | ×0.982 | 0.68% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.73% | ÷0.918 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.982 | 0.61% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 84, 1B 101, 2B 77, 3B 80, K 106, BB 121 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .275 → .225; ISO .070 → .065; BABIP .275 → .255. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 AAATacoma Rainiers · 349 PAwOBA .359 → .298 (−62)K% 26.1% → 32.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.07% | ÷1.028 | ×1.290 | — | — | 32.70% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.90% | ÷0.979 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.992 | 10.72% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.57% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×0.992 | 0.56% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.25% | ÷0.978 | ×0.900 | ×1.050 | ×0.992 | 24.21% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.90% | ÷0.988 | ×0.810 | ×1.050 | ×0.992 | 8.46% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.50% | ÷0.900 | ×0.810 | ×1.050 | ×0.992 | 0.46% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.96% | ÷0.963 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.992 | 3.18% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 93, 1B 96, 2B 98, 3B 80, K 106, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .359 → .298; ISO .157 → .126; BABIP .369 → .340. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AAACharlotte Knights · 235 PAwOBA .298 → .265 (−33)K% 21.3% → 24.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.28% | ÷1.053 | ×1.200 | — | — | 24.25% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.62% | ÷0.990 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.003 | 9.52% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.28% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.003 | 1.20% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.41% | ÷1.031 | ×0.930 | ×1.050 | ×1.003 | 19.38% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.48% | ÷0.974 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×1.003 | 6.71% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.36% | ÷0.926 | ×0.970 | ×1.050 | ×1.003 | 1.50% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.68% | ÷0.950 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.003 | 0.60% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 90, 1B 106, 2B 95, 3B 85, K 111, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .298 → .265; ISO .091 → .089; BABIP .295 → .278. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AAJacksonville Suns · 22 PAwOBA .285 → .231 (−55)K% 18.2% → 22.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.18% | ÷0.986 | ×1.220 | — | — | 22.50% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 18.18% | ÷1.029 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.978 | 11.75% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.978 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.57% | ÷0.993 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.978 | 25.89% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.957 | ×0.910 | — | ×0.978 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.013 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.978 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.423 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.978 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 185, 1B 99, 2B 91, 3B 103, K 97, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 24.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .285 → .231; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .286 → .259. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AAALas Vegas 51s · 314 PAwOBA .325 → .270 (−55)K% 15.9% → 21.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.92% | ÷0.977 | ×1.290 | — | — | 21.02% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.15% | ÷1.010 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.018 | 7.97% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.64% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.018 | 0.64% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.89% | ÷0.983 | ×0.900 | ×0.995 | ×1.018 | 24.01% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.25% | ÷1.042 | ×0.810 | ×0.995 | ×1.018 | 4.92% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.45% | ÷1.061 | ×0.810 | ×0.995 | ×1.018 | 0.35% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.34% | ÷1.099 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.018 | 0.97% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 120, 1B 97, 2B 108, 3B 112, K 95, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.995.
Result: wOBA .325 → .270; ISO .091 → .069; BABIP .329 → .294. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AAALas Vegas 51s · 435 PAwOBA .346 → .294 (−52)K% 18.9% → 25.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.85% | ÷0.945 | ×1.290 | — | — | 25.72% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.56% | ÷1.060 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.033 | 9.38% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.61% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.033 | 1.63% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.47% | ÷0.991 | ×0.900 | ×1.021 | ×1.033 | 22.47% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.69% | ÷1.057 | ×0.810 | ×1.021 | ×1.033 | 3.79% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.36% | ÷0.900 | ×0.810 | ×1.021 | ×1.033 | 0.34% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.05% | ÷0.925 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.033 | 4.40% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 85, 1B 98, 2B 111, 3B 80, K 89, BB 112 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.021.
Result: wOBA .346 → .294; ISO .159 → .136; BABIP .296 → .274. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 AABinghamton Mets · 561 PAwOBA .342 → .315 (−27)K% 17.3% → 20.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.29% | ÷1.034 | ×1.220 | — | — | 20.41% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 16.40% | ÷1.019 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.012 | 11.40% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.60% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.012 | 1.38% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.02% | ÷0.949 | ×0.970 | ×1.032 | ×1.012 | 22.46% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.67% | ÷0.991 | ×0.860 | ×1.032 | ×1.012 | 6.95% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.57% | ÷0.900 | ×0.950 | ×1.032 | ×1.012 | 0.63% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.56% | ÷1.012 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.012 | 1.99% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 102, 1B 90, 2B 98, 3B 80, K 107, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.032.
Result: wOBA .342 → .315; ISO .129 → .118; BABIP .296 → .302. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 A+St. Lucie Mets · 352 PAwOBA .350 → .293 (−58)K% 15.1% → 22.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.06% | ÷0.933 | ×1.420 | — | — | 22.91% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.20% | ÷1.034 | ×0.750 | — | ×0.998 | 10.28% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.85% | — | ×0.930 | — | ×0.998 | 0.79% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.15% | ÷1.020 | ×0.920 | ×1.021 | ×0.998 | 22.20% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.78% | ÷1.036 | ×0.960 | ×1.021 | ×0.998 | 6.40% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.85% | ÷1.016 | ×0.810 | ×1.021 | ×0.998 | 0.69% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.54% | ÷1.239 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.998 | 1.80% |
Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 148, 1B 104, 2B 107, 3B 103, K 87, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.021.
Result: wOBA .350 → .293; ISO .131 → .106; BABIP .321 → .293. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .