Nick Fortes — OGILVIE

Nick FortesC Tampa Bay Rays

Age 29 R/R 5'11" / 198 lbs MLB HR +6%H +4% Svc 3.866 · Ctrl thru 2028

2026 ROS PROJECTION297 act + 10 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†vL 7272vR 69

AVG/OBP/SLG.200 / .200 / .200

PA10

HR0

K%10

BB%5

BABIP264

ISO101

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

2026 MLB RUNS · solid = so far · light = projected ROS (park-applied)

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$0M ctrl surplus

Tools · Recent Form · Splits · ContractCON 45 / POW 35

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026

CONTACT45

Whiff%

904.4%

xAVG

220.228

POWER35

Barrel%

102.5

Avg EV

1085.5

Bat Spd

5471.8

EYE45

Chase%

9022.7%

SPEED45

Sprint

3626.8

Recent Formrolling true talent ⓘ

K%15%▲15% over 75 PA (60d) · proj 16%

BB%5%·5% over 75 PA (60d) · proj 5%

ISO.115▲.147 over 68 AB (60d) · proj .101xISO .083 vs .084 prior — approach flat: likely noise/luck

HR/BB2.6%·3.5% over 57 BBE (60d) · proj 2.1%barrel% 2.1% vs 2.7% prior

BABIP.249▲.309 over 55 BIP (60d) · proj .245xBABIP .265 vs .247 prior — approach backs the move

SLASH.226/.279/.341▲proj .218/.270/.319

Platoon Splits2024-2026 · 650 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

250

400

—

wRC+

▶▶R

wOBA

248

295

▶▶R

ISO

086

116

▶▶R

BABIP

239

280

▶R

15.2%

14.8%

—

BB%

4.4%

4.0%

◀L

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Arb-1

MLB Debut 2021

Service 3.866 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2028

First FA Year 2029

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext	$0.2M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M
2027	Arb-2	$0.9M	+0.1	$0.4M	+$0.0M (cut)
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.2M		$0.6M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2018	21	A	Greensboro Grasshoppers	—	20	17	2	0	0	0	3	1	0	0	0	118	250	118	368		125	5	15	195	18	-2	+0	—	—	+0	-0.2
2018	21	ROK	GCL Marlins	—	45	35	7	2	0	0	6	4	1	0	0	200	333	257	590	57	206	9	13	267	67	-2	+0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2019	22	A+	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	297	263	57	11	2	3	25	49	5	1	1	217	297	308	605	91	251	16	8	275	73	-10	-0	—	—	+6	-0.4
2021	24	MLB	Miami Marlins	—	34	31	9	0	0	4	3	8	0	1	0	290	353	677	1.030	387	263	24	9	439	184	+3	+0	-2	+7	+1	1.0
2021	24	AAA	Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp	—	152	135	32	7	0	4	10	18	7	0	0	237	322	378	700	141	248	12	7	319	102	+0	+0	—	—	+3	0.4
2021	24	AA	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	—	226	195	49	10	1	3	22	36	5	5	2	251	341	359	700	108	289	16	10	316	100	-0	+0	—	—	+5	0.5
2022	25	MLB	Miami Marlins	—	240	217	50	6	1	9	18	45	5	5	3	230	304	392	696	161	252	19	8	313	98	-1	-0	+7	+6	+5	1.8
2022	25	AAA	Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp	—	120	105	27	4	0	3	11	17	3	1	0	257	345	381	725	124	279	14	9	328	108	+1	+0	—	—	+3	0.4
2023	26	MLB	Miami Marlins	—	323	294	60	10	0	6	17	59	7	4	2	204	264	299	563	95	234	18	5	254	58	-16	+0	+15	+6	+7	1.1
2024	27	MLB	Miami Marlins	—	335	308	70	16	0	4	11	41	4	0	1	227	263	318	581	91	246	12	3	253	57	-17	-0	+13	+6	+7	1.0
2025	28	MLB	Tampa Bay Rays	—	242	218	50	9	1	5	14	47	7	1	0	229	297	349	646	119	269	19	6	290	82	-5	+0	+8	+4	+5	1.3
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	1174	1068	239	41	2	28	63	200	23	11	6	224	282	345	626	121	249	17	5	279	75	-35	-0	+41	+30	+25	6.1
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2018	21	A MLE	Greensboro Grasshoppers	—	20	18	2	0	0	0	2	1	0	0	0	111	200	111	311		122	5	10	157	-8	-3	+0	—	—	+0	-0.2
2018	21	ROK MLE	GCL Marlins	—	45	37	7	2	0	0	4	6	1	0	0	189	286	243	529	54	165	13	9	218	34	-4	+0	—	—	+1	-0.3
2019	22	A+ MLE	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	297	269	47	10	1	3	19	69	5	1	1	175	242	253	495	78	216	23	6	226	39	-22	-0	—	—	+6	-1.6
2021	24	MLB MLE	Miami Marlins	—	34	31	9	0	0	4	3	8	0	1	0	290	353	677	1.030	387	263	24	9	449	190	+4	+0	-2	+7	+1	1.0
2021	24	AAA MLE	Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp	—	152	139	29	6	0	3	6	22	7	0	0	209	276	317	593	108	232	14	4	271	70	-6	+0	—	—	+3	-0.2
2021	24	AA MLE	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	—	226	203	43	8	1	2	15	45	5	5	2	212	283	291	573	79	256	20	7	262	63	-10	+0	—	—	+5	-0.5
2022	25	MLB MLE	Miami Marlins	—	240	217	51	6	1	9	18	45	5	5	3	235	308	396	705	161	252	19	8	318	101	+0	-0	+7	+6	+5	1.9
2022	25	AAA MLE	Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp	—	120	108	24	4	0	2	8	21	3	1	0	222	294	315	609	93	250	18	7	270	69	-4	+0	—	—	+3	-0.2
2023	26	MLB MLE	Miami Marlins	—	323	294	62	11	0	6	17	59	7	4	2	211	270	310	580	99	234	18	5	258	61	-15	+0	+15	+6	+7	1.3
2024	27	MLB MLE	Miami Marlins	—	335	308	72	17	0	4	11	41	4	0	1	234	269	328	597	94	246	12	3	258	61	-16	-0	+13	+6	+7	1.1
2025	28	MLB MLE	Tampa Bay Rays	—	242	218	49	9	1	5	14	47	7	1	0	225	293	344	637	119	269	19	6	280	76	-7	+0	+8	+4	+5	1.1
2018	21	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	65	55	9	2	0	0	6	7	1	0	0	164	258	200	458	36	176	11	9	199	21	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	21	ROK RAW	2 teams	—	65	52	9	2	0	0	9	5	1	0	0	173	306	212	518	38	180	8	14	245	21	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	22	A+ MLE	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	297	269	47	10	1	3	19	69	5	1	1	175	242	253	495	78	219	23	6	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	22	A+ RAW	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	297	263	57	11	2	3	25	49	5	1	1	217	297	308	605	91	251	16	8	275	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	24	AA MLE	3 teams	—	412	372	83	15	1	10	25	75	12	6	2	223	293	349	643	126	252	18	6	281	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	24	AA RAW	3 teams	—	412	361	90	17	1	11	35	62	12	6	2	249	335	393	728	144	271	15	8	327	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	25	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	360	325	76	10	1	12	26	66	8	6	3	234	306	382	688	148	258	18	7	302	90	-4	+0	+7	+6	+8	1.7
2022	25	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	360	322	77	10	1	12	29	62	8	6	3	239	318	388	706	149	261	17	8	318	90	-4	+0	+7	+6	+8	1.7
2023	26	MLB MLE	Miami Marlins	—	323	294	62	11	0	6	17	59	7	4	2	211	270	310	580	99	242	18	5	258	61	-15	+0	+15	+6	+7	1.3
2023	26	MLB RAW	Miami Marlins	—	323	294	60	10	0	6	17	59	7	4	2	204	264	299	563	95	234	18	5	254	61	-15	+0	+15	+6	+7	1.3
2024	27	MLB MLE	Miami Marlins	—	335	308	72	17	0	4	11	41	4	0	1	234	269	328	597	94	254	12	3	258	61	-16	-0	+13	+6	+7	1.1
2024	27	MLB RAW	Miami Marlins	—	335	308	70	16	0	4	11	41	4	0	1	227	263	318	581	91	246	12	3	253	61	-16	-0	+13	+6	+7	1.1
2025	28	MLB MLE	Tampa Bay Rays	—	242	218	49	9	1	5	14	47	7	1	0	225	293	344	637	119	263	19	6	280	76	-7	+0	+8	+4	+5	1.1
2025	28	MLB RAW	Tampa Bay Rays	—	242	218	50	9	1	5	14	47	7	1	0	229	297	349	646	119	269	19	6	290	76	-7	+0	+8	+4	+5	1.1
2018	21	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	65	58	9	2	0	0	6	7	1	0	0	155	258	190	448	34	152	11	9	199	21	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	22	A+ MLE	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	297	271	47	10	1	3	19	69	5	1	1	173	242	251	493	77	216	23	6	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	24	AA MLE	3 teams	—	412	372	83	15	1	10	25	75	12	6	2	223	293	349	643	126	248	18	6	281	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	25	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	360	323	76	10	1	12	26	66	8	6	3	235	306	384	690	149	251	18	7	302	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	26	MLB MLE	Miami Marlins	—	323	296	62	11	0	6	17	59	7	4	2	209	270	307	578	98	234	18	5	258	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	27	MLB MLE	Miami Marlins	—	335	317	72	17	0	4	11	41	4	0	1	227	269	319	588	91	246	12	3	258	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	28	MLB MLE	Tampa Bay Rays	—	242	219	49	9	1	5	14	47	7	1	0	224	293	342	635	119	269	19	6	280	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	26	MLB MLE	Miami Marlins	—	323	296	62	11	0	6	17	59	7	4	2	209	270	307	578	98	234	18	5	258	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	27	MLB MLE	Miami Marlins	—	335	317	72	17	0	4	11	41	4	0	1	227	269	319	588	91	246	12	3	258	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	28	MLB MLE	Tampa Bay Rays	—	242	219	49	9	1	5	14	47	7	1	0	224	293	342	635	119	269	19	6	280	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	29	MLB MLE	TB	—	297	274	71	15	0	4	10	38	8	0	0	259	305	358	662	99	288	13	3	293	85	-5	+0	+1	+5	+6	0.7
▸ 2026 season
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
SO FAR	29	MLB RAW	TB	—	297	274	72	15	0	4	10	38	8	0	0	263	308	361	670	99	292	13	3	298	85	-5	+0	+1	+5	+6	0.7
YTD	29	MLB RAW	TB	—	297	274	72	15	0	4	10	38	8	0	0	263	308	361	670	99	292	13	3	298	88	-4	+0	+1	+5	+6	0.8
ROS	29	MLB MLE	TB	100%	10	10	2	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	200	200	200	400		257	10	0	274	72	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
ROS	29	MLB CTX	TB	100%	10	10	2	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	200	200	200	400		264	10	0	264	72	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
FULL	29	MLB A+C	TB	—	307	284	74	15	0	4	10	39	8	0	0	261	305	356	660	95	289	13	3	297	84	-6	+0	+1	+5	+7	0.7
TOT	29	MLB MLE	TB	—	307	284	73	15	0	4	10	39	8	0	0	257	301	352	653	95	285	13	3	293	84	-6	+0	+1	+5	+7	0.7
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	30	MLB MLE	TB	82%	336	311	69	13	0	5	14	50	8	1	0	222	273	312	585	90	248	15	4	265	66	-14	+0	+1	+6	+7	0.1
2027	30	MLB CTX	TB	82%	276	256	58	11	0	4	12	41	6	1	0	227	277	316	594	90	254	15	4	254	66	-11	+0	+1	+5	+6	0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1460	1334	299	52	2	32	75	242	29	12	6	224	280	338	618	114	250	17	5	274	66	-47	+0	+42	+35	+32	6.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	594	133	23	1	14	33	108	13	5	3	224	280	337	616	113	250	17	5	274	66	-21	+0	+19	+16	+14	2.8
Career	—	MLE		—	2380	2162	469	87	4	45	132	415	52	19	9	217	278	323	602	106	246	17	6	266	66	-49	+0	+42	+36	+33	6.3
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	590	128	24	1	12	36	113	14	5	2	217	278	322	600	105	246	17	6	266	66	-21	+0	+18	+15	+14	2.7

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1René Riveralast yr '21 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,602 PA	2.4	1,602	42	1	221	273	354	+29	+90	11.7	11.8
/162	664	17	0	+11.9	+37.2	4.9	pk7: 12
#2Brendan Ryanlast yr '15 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,872 PA	4.3	2,872	19	67	234	295	315	+30	+85	10.6	11.0
/162	664	4	15	+6.9	+19.7	2.4	pk7: 11
#3Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#4Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#5Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	3.1	2,035	37	13	227	278	332	+36	+48	2.6	2.6
/162	664	12	4	+11.9	+15.7	0.8	pk7: 3
#6Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Nick Fortes (OGILVIE)	29	45	35	45	45	229/279/324	95	257	5	1	15%	4%	72	-0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Omir Santos 2010 · MLB	29	49→44	41→45	42→30	44	238/283/335	97	278	9	3	18%	5%	75	-0.5	221/255/314	93	265	8	4	20%	4%	59	-1.7	224/243/295	71	286	5	0	23%	2%	48	-0.9
✕Jhonatan Solano 2015 · MLB	29	44	42→40	46→40	43	213/253/311	97	241	10	4	17%	4%	58	-1.7	209/249/289	80	238	7	4	15%	4%	51	-2.2	199/236/253	55	225	4	0	13%	3%	37	-1.1
✕Audry Pérez 2018 · AAA	29	52	40	43→40	41	251/282/340	90	298	7	3	19%	4%	75	-0.5	235/276/380	145	268	18	7	20%	5%	83	+0.1	201/235/378	177	189	32	0	17%	4%	65	-0.3
✕Xorge Carrillo 2017 · AAA	28	47	40	40→30	46	227/285/316	89	265	8	3	18%	6%	72	-0.7	224/276/327	103	281	10	4	23%	5%	70	-0.8	226/276/327	101	282	11	1	23%	5%	67	-0.4
✕Spencer Kieboom 2019 · MLB	28	45	40	46→30	51	218/287/309	91	262	8	3	20%	8%	71	-0.8	209/270/301	92	262	8	6	22%	7%	62	-1.4	166/218/211	45	215	2	0	23%	6%	20	-1.4
✕Juan Graterol 2017 · MLB	28	50	38→40	45→30	42	241/274/318	78	278	6	5	16%	3%	67	-1.1	235/267/304	69	266	4	5	13%	3%	61	-1.5	242/278/290	48	268	3	0	10%	3%	59	-0.6
✕Rocky Gale 2017 · AAA	29	50→46	37→40	47→30	43	237/282/307	70	289	5	3	20%	5%	68	-1.0	232/270/309	77	288	5	3	20%	4%	63	-1.3	234/266/302	68	292	4	1	21%	4%	58	-0.9
✕Damaso Espino 2012 · AAA	29	49→50	38→30	48→40	47	231/277/300	69	264	6	5	15%	6%	64	-1.3	242/290/310	68	288	5	6	17%	6%	71	-0.8	260/307/291	31	307	0	2	14%	6%	69	-0.4
✕Wil Nieves 2007 · AAA	29	52→56	39→40	45→40	44	245/272/329	84	266	6	5	12%	3%	68	-1.0	236/278/314	78	273	5	5	15%	5%	68	-1.0	269/295/350	81	329	7	2	20%	3%	79	-0.1
✕Michel Hernandez 2009 · MLB	30	50	39→40	40	47	240/283/324	84	269	7	4	14%	5%	72	-0.7	235/288/315	80	269	6	6	14%	6%	72	-0.7	239/300/301	62	271	4	4	13%	7%	73	-0.2
✕Chris Stewart 2011 · AAA	29	48	41→45	46→45	49	232/297/331	99	262	8	4	15%	6%	80	-0.2	218/287/310	92	246	8	7	15%	8%	71	-0.8	265/334/313	48	316	1	0	15%	7%	84	+0.0
✕Austin Romine 2018 · MLB	29	46→53	42→45	46→45	44	226/272/328	102	271	9	4	20%	6%	69	-0.9	244/289/383	139	303	16	4	24%	6%	88	+0.5	252/290/393	141	316	18	2	26%	5%	90	+0.2
✕Mike Nickeas 2012 · MLB	29	45	39→40	41→40	50	217/283/302	85	256	7	4	18%	8%	68	-1.0	204/262/286	82	253	7	4	21%	6%	56	-1.9	186/243/250	64	233	5	1	22%	6%	40	-1.0
✕Jonathan Morales 2023 · AAA	28	45→48	42→40	46→30	46	222/278/315	94	269	11	4	22%	7%	68	-1.0	222/275/344	122	261	14	5	20%	7%	74	-0.5	205/254/326	121	230	15	1	19%	6%	61	-1.0
✕Jose Heberto Felix 2017 · AAA	29	52	38→40	40	43	245/271/319	74	265	7	6	11%	3%	65	-1.2	238/266/316	78	259	8	6	11%	3%	63	-1.4	240/264/300	60	259	7	2	10%	2%	55	-0.8
✕Wilfredo Tovar 2021 · MLB	29	50→54	40	44→60	45	241/279/333	92	280	7	9	17%	5%	72	-0.7	237/296/336	99	273	9	14	16%	7%	80	-0.2	238/302/318	79	270	7	16	14%	8%	75	-0.3
✕Nicolas Garcia 2009 · AAA	29	50→56	39→40	41→45	43	237/266/322	85	260	7	5	12%	3%	64	-1.3	222/259/304	82	248	6	7	13%	4%	58	-1.7	234/267/292	59	277	2	7	16%	3%	55	-0.7
✕Carlos Maldonado 2008 · MLB	29	47→50	41→40	47→40	47	226/287/317	90	283	9	4	23%	7%	72	-0.7	217/273/315	98	269	9	5	22%	7%	67	-1.1	197/260/278	81	258	6	2	25%	7%	52	-0.6
✕Jake Romanski 2019 · AAA	28	48	38→40	43→45	40	230/255/308	78	271	6	5	18%	3%	57	-1.8	210/253/294	84	281	6	8	27%	4%	54	-2.0	176/210/211	35	252	0	0	29%	2%	15	-1.0
✕Tony Cruz 2016 · MLB	29	44→39	42→45	40	46	214/263/319	106	255	9	4	20%	6%	63	-1.3	221/275/336	115	288	12	4	26%	6%	72	-0.7	222/278/325	103	292	11	2	27%	6%	69	-0.4

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps