Nick Fortes — OGILVIE

Nick FortesC Tampa Bay Rays

Age 29 R/R 5'11" / 198 lbs MLB HR -6%H +4% Svc 3.866 · Ctrl thru 2028

2026 ROS PROJECTION222 act + 148 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†vL 5057vR 73

AVG/OBP/SLG.226 / .279 / .314

PA148

HR2

K%15

BB%4

BABIP254

ISO88

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 45 / POW 35

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026

CONTACT45

Whiff%

904.8%

xwOBA

100.260

POWER35

Barrel%

102.5

Avg EV

1085.7

Bat Spd

5471.8

EYE45

Chase%

8524.8%

SPEED45

Sprint

3726.9

Platoon Splits2024-2026 · 650 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

250

400

—

wRC+

▶▶R

wOBA

248

295

▶▶R

ISO

086

116

▶▶R

BABIP

239

280

▶R

15.2%

14.8%

—

BB%

4.4%

4.0%

◀L

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Arb-1

MLB Debut 2021

Service 3.866 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2028

First FA Year 2029

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext	$1M	+0.3	$1M	+$0.3M
2027	Arb-2	$1M	+0.2	$0.7M	+$0.0M (cut)
2028	Arb-3	$1M	—	—	—
Totals		$1M		$2M	+$0.3M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2018	21	ROK	2 teams	—	65	55	9	2	0	0	6	7	1	0	0	164	258	200	458	36	176	11	9	201	12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	21	ROK	2 teams	—	65	52	9	2	0	0	9	5	1	0	0	173	306	212	518	38	180	8	14	245	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	22	A+	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	297	269	47	11	1	4	19	69	5	1	1	175	242	268	510	93	215	23	6	233	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	22	A+	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	297	263	57	11	2	3	25	49	5	1	1	217	297	308	605	91	251	16	8	275	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	24	AA	3 teams	—	412	372	84	15	1	11	25	79	12	6	2	226	296	360	656	134	256	19	6	287	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	24	AA	3 teams	—	412	361	90	17	1	11	35	62	12	6	2	249	335	393	728	144	271	15	8	327	109	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	25	MLB	2 teams	—	360	325	76	11	1	12	26	67	8	6	3	234	306	385	691	151	259	19	7	304	91	-4	+0	+7	+6	+10	2.0
2022	25	MLB	2 teams	—	360	322	77	10	1	12	29	62	8	6	3	239	318	388	706	149	261	17	8	318	101	+1	+0	+7	+6	+10	2.5
2023	26	MLB	Miami Marlins	—	323	294	61	10	0	6	17	59	7	4	2	207	267	303	570	95	238	18	5	259	57	-16	+0	+15	+6	+9	1.4
2023	26	MLB	Miami Marlins	—	323	294	60	10	0	6	17	59	7	4	2	204	264	299	563	95	234	18	5	254	53	-17	+0	+15	+6	+9	1.2
2024	27	MLB	Miami Marlins	—	335	308	73	17	0	4	11	41	4	0	1	237	272	331	604	94	257	12	3	259	56	-17	-0	+13	+6	+9	1.2
2024	27	MLB	Miami Marlins	—	335	308	70	16	0	4	11	41	4	0	1	227	263	318	581	91	246	12	3	253	52	-18	-0	+13	+6	+9	1.1
2025	28	MLB	Tampa Bay Rays	—	242	218	49	9	1	5	14	47	7	1	0	225	293	344	637	119	263	19	6	285	77	-6	+0	+8	+4	+7	1.3
2025	28	MLB	Tampa Bay Rays	—	242	218	50	9	1	5	14	47	7	1	0	229	297	349	646	119	269	19	6	290	80	-5	+0	+8	+4	+7	1.4
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	29	MLB	TB	—	222	206	53	11	0	2	6	27	7	0	0	257	301	340	641	83	287	12	3	284	76	-6	+0	+1	+4	+6	0.5
YTD	29	MLB	TB	—	222	206	53	11	0	2	6	27	7	0	0	257	301	340	641	83	287	12	3	287	78	-5	+0	+1	+4	+6	0.6
ROS	29	MLB	TB	100%	148	137	31	6	0	2	6	22	4	1	0	226	279	314	593	88	252	15	4	269	64	-6	+0	+2	+3	+4	0.3
ROS	29	MLB	TB	100%	148	137	31	6	0	2	6	22	4	1	0	226	279	314	593	88	255	15	4	252	51	-8	+0	+2	+3	+4	0.1
FULL	29	MLB	TB	—	370	343	84	17	0	4	12	49	11	1	0	245	292	329	622	85	274	13	3	271	66	-14	+0	+2	+7	+10	0.5
TOT	29	MLB	TB	—	370	343	84	17	0	4	12	49	11	1	0	245	292	329	622	85	274	13	3	278	71	-12	+0	+2	+7	+10	0.8
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	30	MLB	TB	82%	336	311	68	12	0	5	14	51	8	1	0	219	270	305	576	87	248	15	4	263	59	-15	+0	+2	+6	+10	0.2
2028	31	MLB	TB	82%	311	287	62	11	0	4	13	48	8	1	0	216	269	296	566	80	245	15	4	258	56	-15	+0	+1	+6	+9	-0.0
2027	30	MLB	TB	82%	276	256	57	10	0	4	11	42	7	1	0	223	274	309	582	86	251	15	4	246	47	-17	+0	+2	+5	+8	-0.2
2028	31	MLB	TB	82%	255	237	51	9	0	3	10	39	6	1	0	215	265	291	556	76	248	15	4	242	43	-16	+0	+1	+5	+7	-0.4
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1853	1698	378	66	2	37	90	303	40	14	6	223	278	329	607	107	249	16	5	266	62	-79	+0	+45	+42	+53	6.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	596	133	23	1	13	32	106	14	5	2	223	279	331	610	107	249	16	5	266	62	-28	+0	+16	+15	+18	2.2
Career	—			—	2829	2576	560	104	4	53	151	490	64	21	9	217	278	323	600	105	246	17	5	268	63	-118	+1	+45	+51	+80	6.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	592	129	24	1	12	35	113	15	5	2	218	279	323	602	105	247	17	5	268	63	-27	+0	+10	+12	+18	1.4

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2018	21	A	Greensboro Grasshoppers	—	20	17	2	0	0	0	3	1	0	0	0	118	250	118	368		125	5	15	195	8	-2	+0	—	—	+1	-0.2
2018	21	ROK	GCL Marlins	—	45	35	7	2	0	0	6	4	1	0	0	200	333	257	590	57	206	9	13	267	63	-2	+0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2019	22	A+	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	297	263	57	11	2	3	25	49	5	1	1	217	297	308	605	91	251	16	8	275	69	-10	-0	—	—	+8	-0.2
2021	24	MLB	Miami Marlins	—	34	31	9	0	0	4	3	8	0	1	0	290	353	677	1.030	387	263	24	9	439	194	+4	+0	-2	+7	+1	1.0
2021	24	AAA	Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp	—	152	135	32	7	0	4	10	18	7	0	0	237	322	378	700	141	248	12	7	319	102	+0	+0	—	—	+4	0.5
2021	24	AA	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	—	226	195	49	10	1	3	22	36	5	5	2	251	341	359	700	108	289	16	10	316	100	-0	+0	—	—	+6	0.7
2022	25	MLB	Miami Marlins	—	240	217	50	6	1	9	18	45	5	5	3	230	304	392	696	161	252	19	8	313	97	-1	-0	+7	+6	+7	2.0
2022	25	AAA	Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp	—	120	105	27	4	0	3	11	17	3	1	0	257	345	381	725	124	279	14	9	328	109	+1	+0	—	—	+3	0.5
2023	26	MLB	Miami Marlins	—	323	294	60	10	0	6	17	59	7	4	2	204	264	299	563	95	234	18	5	254	53	-17	+0	+15	+6	+9	1.2
2024	27	MLB	Miami Marlins	—	335	308	70	16	0	4	11	41	4	0	1	227	263	318	581	91	246	12	3	253	52	-18	-0	+13	+6	+9	1.1
2025	28	MLB	Tampa Bay Rays	—	242	218	50	9	1	5	14	47	7	1	0	229	297	349	646	119	269	19	6	290	80	-5	+0	+8	+4	+7	1.4
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	1174	1068	239	41	2	28	63	200	23	11	6	224	282	345	626	121	249	17	5	279	71	-38	-0	+41	+30	+33	6.7

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1René Riveralast yr '21 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,602 PA	10	1,602	42	1	221	273	354	+29	+90	11.7	11.8
	/162	664	17	0	221	273	354	+11.9	+37.2	4.9	pk7: 12
#2Brendan Ryanlast yr '15 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,872 PA	9	2,872	19	67	234	295	315	+30	+85	10.6	11.0
	/162	664	4	15	234	295	315	+6.9	+19.7	2.5	pk7: 11
#3Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#3Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#4Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	9	1,844	19	2	219	297	308	+17	+52	5.6	5.8
#4Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	/162	664	7	1	219	297	308	+6.1	+18.7	2.0	pk7: 6
#5John McDonaldlast yr '14 career totals — 13 seasons, 2,596 PA	13	2,596	28	34	233	273	324	+20	+54	4.2	5.1
	/162	664	7	9	233	273	324	+5.0	+13.9	1.1	pk7: 6
#6Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#6Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	8	2,255	39	14	224	275	325	+40	+55	1.7	1.8
	/162	664	12	4	224	275	325	+11.9	+16.2	0.5	pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Nick Fortes (OGILVIE)	29	45	35	45	45	245/292/329	85	274	4	1	13%	3%	71	+0.8	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Omir Santos 2010 · MLB	29	49→43	41→45	42→30	44	238/283/336	98	278	9	3	18%	5%	72	-0.2	220/253/314	94	266	9	4	20%	4%	53	-1.5	224/244/298	74	289	5	0	24%	2%	42	-0.8
✕Jhonatan Solano 2015 · MLB	29	43	43→45	46→40	43	214/253/318	104	242	11	4	17%	4%	55	-1.4	209/247/292	83	237	8	4	15%	4%	45	-2.1	199/234/255	56	224	4	0	13%	3%	28	-1.1
✕Rocky Gale 2017 · AAA	29	49→45	37→40	47→30	42	233/278/305	71	286	5	3	20%	5%	61	-1.0	229/268/306	77	285	5	3	21%	4%	56	-1.3	231/265/299	68	290	4	1	21%	4%	51	-0.8
✕Spencer Kieboom 2019 · MLB	28	45	41→40	46→30	51	217/286/311	94	261	9	3	20%	8%	67	-0.5	208/267/301	93	263	8	6	23%	7%	56	-1.3	164/215/211	46	217	2	0	24%	6%	7	-1.5
✕Juan Graterol 2017 · MLB	28	50	38→40	45→30	41	237/269/316	79	276	6	5	17%	3%	60	-1.0	231/262/301	70	262	4	5	13%	3%	53	-1.5	234/270/284	50	260	3	0	11%	3%	49	-0.7
✕Xorge Carrillo 2017 · AAA	28	46	41→40	40→30	46	222/281/313	91	261	9	3	18%	6%	66	-0.6	222/273/322	100	281	10	4	24%	5%	64	-0.8	226/276/325	100	283	11	1	24%	5%	62	-0.4
✕Damaso Espino 2012 · AAA	29	47→50	38→30	48→40	46	223/268/292	68	258	6	5	16%	5%	53	-1.5	237/284/305	68	285	5	6	17%	6%	63	-0.8	260/307/293	32	310	0	2	15%	6%	66	-0.3
✕John McDonald 2004 · MLB	29	48	38→40	46→50	45	225/271/308	83	261	5	8	16%	5%	59	-1.1	230/279/324	94	260	7	11	14%	6%	66	-0.6	236/266/360	124	253	13	4	13%	3%	69	-0.1
✕Mike Nickeas 2012 · MLB	29	45	40	41→40	50	215/280/302	87	255	7	4	18%	8%	63	-0.9	204/261/290	86	253	7	4	21%	6%	50	-1.7	187/244/256	69	235	6	1	22%	6%	34	-0.9
✕Drew Butera 2013 · MLB	29	41	41→40	47→40	45	201/254/300	98	237	8	3	19%	6%	50	-1.7	195/253/293	98	243	9	4	23%	6%	49	-1.8	238/290/357	119	300	12	0	24%	6%	78	+0.1
✕Michel Hernandez 2009 · MLB	30	50	40	40	47	241/283/329	88	269	7	4	14%	5%	69	-0.4	234/285/315	81	268	7	6	15%	6%	66	-0.6	237/299/302	64	271	4	4	13%	7%	69	-0.1
✕Wil Nieves 2007 · AAA	29	52→56	40	45→40	44	246/272/335	89	266	7	5	12%	3%	66	-0.6	236/277/316	80	272	6	5	15%	5%	63	-0.8	266/292/346	80	328	6	2	21%	3%	74	-0.0
✕Jose Heberto Felix 2017 · AAA	29	53	39→40	40	43	255/279/332	78	275	7	6	11%	3%	68	-0.5	240/266/323	83	260	9	6	11%	3%	60	-1.0	239/263/305	67	256	8	2	10%	2%	49	-0.7
✕Austin Romine 2018 · MLB	29	46→53	42→45	46→45	44	227/273/334	107	272	10	4	20%	5%	67	-0.5	244/289/381	137	303	16	4	24%	6%	86	+0.8	252/290/392	140	316	18	2	26%	5%	88	+0.3
✕Jonathan Morales 2023 · AAA	28	44→47	41→40	46→30	46	215/272/307	92	262	10	4	22%	7%	60	-1.0	216/269/333	117	257	14	5	21%	6%	66	-0.6	197/248/312	115	226	14	1	20%	6%	50	-1.2
✕Audry Pérez 2018 · AAA	29	51	42→40	43→40	40	251/281/353	102	297	10	3	20%	4%	75	-0.0	236/275/392	156	270	21	7	21%	5%	83	+0.6	206/241/405	199	193	36	0	18%	4%	69	-0.1
✕Dan Butler 2016 · MLB	29	43→38	39→45	45→40	45	205/267/297	91	264	6	3	24%	6%	56	-1.3	222/287/318	96	286	7	3	23%	7%	69	-0.4	216/286/307	90	275	7	0	23%	8%	63	-0.3
✕Brent Butler 2007 · AAA	29	48→51	40→45	42→40	45	230/263/326	96	252	7	6	12%	4%	60	-1.0	226/258/324	98	261	8	6	17%	4%	57	-1.2	223/249/309	86	259	7	2	17%	3%	46	-1.0
✕Jake Romanski 2019 · AAA	28	47	38→40	43→45	39	225/251/303	78	268	6	5	19%	3%	48	-1.9	207/251/292	85	282	6	8	28%	4%	46	-2.0	171/204/204	34	250	0	0	31%	2%	1	-1.0
✕Nicolas Garcia 2009 · AAA	29	50→56	40	41→45	43	238/266/329	91	260	8	5	12%	3%	62	-0.9	224/258/311	87	249	7	7	13%	4%	54	-1.4	226/260/288	62	270	3	7	17%	3%	46	-0.8