Nick Fortes

C Tampa Bay Rays
Age 30 R/R 5'11" / 198 lbs MLB HR -6%H +4% Svc 4.866 · Ctrl thru 2028
Overview
MLB40-MANArb-2FA 2029
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WAR
202427MLBMIA335.227/.263/.31840631.2
202528MLBTB242.229/.297/.34951771.1
202629MLBTB323.258/.305/.37660901.0
2027PROJ30MLBTB211.225/.279/.32931710.3
2028PROJ82% MLB31MLBTB155.221/.273/.3192167-0.1
Last 3 seasons WAR 3.3  ·  Next 2 projected WAR 0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2028Service4.866First FA2029
2027Arb-2$0.9M2028Arb-3$0.9M
Skills · percentileStatcast 2024-2026
Bat Spd54
Speed37
Barrel%10
xwOBA10
Avg EV10
Form.217/.274/.348 ▲ rolling true talent (60d window) · proj .223/.275/.330
CompsMichel Hernandez (age 30) · Cody Clark (age 30) · Mike Nickeas (age 30)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†vL 7171vR 68
AVG/OBP/SLG.225 / .279 / .329
PA211
HR3
K%16
BB%5
BABIP254
ISO93
MLB%100%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -7.3 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-7BATRUN: -0.1 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)-0RUNFLD: +1.3 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+1FLDPOS: +3.8 runs (Positional adjustment)+4POSREP: +4.6 runs (Replacement-level credit)+5REPTotal WAR: +0.30+0.3WAR
0.00.51.00.30.027282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$1M ctrl surplus
Tools · Recent Form · Splits · ContractCON 45 / POW 35
Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026
CONTACT45
xAVG
200.227
POWER35
Barrel%
102.6
Avg EV
1085.6
Bat Spd
5471.8
EYE45
scouting grade only
SPEED45
Sprint
3726.9
Recent Formrolling true talent ⓘ
K%20%▼▼26% over 42 PA (60d) · proj 16%
BB%5%▲7% over 42 PA (60d) · proj 5%
ISO.131▲.231 over 39 AB (60d) · proj .106
BABIP.252·.269 over 26 BIP (60d) · proj .251
SLASH.217/.274/.348▲proj .223/.275/.330
Platoon Splits2024-2026 · 650 PA
vs LHP
vs RHP
Edge
PA
250
400
—
wRC+
54
86
▶▶R
wOBA
248
295
▶▶R
ISO
086
116
▶▶R
BABIP
239
280
▶R
K%
15.2%
14.8%
—
BB%
4.4%
4.0%
◀L
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   Arb-2
MLB Debut   2021
Service   4.866 yrs.days
Team Control Through   2028
First FA Year   2029
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027Arb-2$0.9M+0.3$1M+$0.3M
2028Arb-3$0.9M———
Totals $0.9M $0.8M +$0.3M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
201821 AGreensboro Grasshoppers — 2017 2000 310 00 118250118368 125 515 195 -8 — — — — — —
201821 ROKGCL Marlins — 4535 7200 641 00 200333257590 57206 913 267 30 — — — — — —
201922 A+Jupiter Hammerheads — 297263 571123 25495 11 217297308605 91251 168 275 39 — — — — — —
202124 MLBMiami Marlins — 3431 9004 380 10 2903536771.030 387263 249 439 194 +4 +0 -2 +7 +1 1.0
202124 AAAJacksonville Jumbo Shrimp — 152135 32704 10187 00 237322378700 141248 127 319 75 — — — — — —
202124 AAPensacola Blue Wahoos — 226195 491013 22365 52 251341359700 108289 1610 316 63 — — — — — —
202225 MLBMiami Marlins — 240217 50619 18455 53 230304392696 161252 198 313 104 +1 -0 +7 +6 +5 2.0
202225 AAAJacksonville Jumbo Shrimp — 120105 27403 11173 10 257345381725 124279 149 328 72 — — — — — —
202326 MLBMiami Marlins — 323294 601006 17597 42 204264299563 95234 185 254 63 -14 +0 +15 +6 +7 1.4
202427 MLBMiami Marlins — 335308 701604 11414 01 227263318581 91246 123 253 63 -15 -0 +13 +6 +7 1.2
202528 MLBTampa Bay Rays — 242218 50915 14477 10 229297349646 119269 196 290 77 -7 +0 +8 +4 +5 1.1
202629 MLBTampa Bay Rays — 323298 771706 12458 00 258305376681 117286 144 302 90 -4 +0 +1 +6 +7 1.0
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career— — 14971366 31658234 7524531 116 231287351638 120257 165 284 78 -39 -0 +41 +36 +32 7.1
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
201821 A MLEGreensboro Grasshoppers — 2018 2000 210 00 111200111311 122 510 157 -8 — — — — — —
201821 ROK MLEGCL Marlins — 4537 7200 461 00 189286243529 54160 139 213 30 — — — — — —
201922 A+ MLEJupiter Hammerheads — 297269 471013 19695 11 175242253495 78216 236 226 39 — — — — — —
202124 MLB MLEMiami Marlins — 3431 9004 380 10 2903536771.030 387263 249 454 194 +4 +0 -2 +7 +1 1.0
202124 AAA MLEJacksonville Jumbo Shrimp — 152139 30603 6227 00 216283324607 108240 144 279 75 — — — — — —
202124 AA MLEPensacola Blue Wahoos — 226203 43812 15455 52 212283291573 79255 207 262 63 — — — — — —
202225 MLB MLEMiami Marlins — 240217 52719 18455 53 240312406718 166252 198 322 104 +1 -0 +7 +6 +5 2.0
202225 AAA MLEJacksonville Jumbo Shrimp — 120108 24402 8213 10 222294315609 93255 187 274 72 — — — — — —
202326 MLB MLEMiami Marlins — 323294 621106 17597 42 211270310580 99234 185 262 63 -14 +0 +15 +6 +7 1.4
202427 MLB MLEMiami Marlins — 335308 721704 11414 01 234269328597 94246 123 262 63 -15 -0 +13 +6 +7 1.2
202528 MLB MLETampa Bay Rays — 242218 48815 14477 10 220289335624 115269 196 282 77 -7 +0 +8 +4 +5 1.1
202629 MLB MLETampa Bay Rays — 323298 761706 12458 00 255302372674 117286 144 301 90 -4 +0 +1 +6 +7 1.0
201821 ROK MLE2 teams — 6555 9200 671 00 164258200458 36176 119 196 19 — — — — — —
201821 ROK RAW2 teams — 6552 9200 951 00 173306212518 38180 814 245 19 — — — — — —
201922 A+ MLEJupiter Hammerheads — 297269 471013 19695 11 175242253495 78219 236 226 39 — — — — — —
201922 A+ RAWJupiter Hammerheads — 297263 571123 25495 11 217297308605 91251 168 275 39 — — — — — —
202124 AA MLE3 teams — 412372 8415110 257512 62 226296352648 126255 186 284 78 — — — — — —
202124 AA RAW3 teams — 412361 9017111 356212 62 249335393728 144271 158 327 78 — — — — — —
202225 MLB MLE2 teams — 360325 7610112 26668 63 234306382688 148258 187 306 93 -3 +0 +7 +6 +8 1.9
202225 MLB RAW2 teams — 360322 7710112 29628 63 239318388706 149261 178 318 93 -3 +0 +7 +6 +8 1.9
202326 MLB MLEMiami Marlins — 323294 621106 17597 42 211270310580 99242 185 262 63 -14 +0 +15 +6 +7 1.4
202326 MLB RAWMiami Marlins — 323294 601006 17597 42 204264299563 95234 185 254 63 -14 +0 +15 +6 +7 1.4
202427 MLB MLEMiami Marlins — 335308 721704 11414 01 234269328597 94254 123 262 63 -15 -0 +13 +6 +7 1.2
202427 MLB RAWMiami Marlins — 335308 701604 11414 01 227263318581 91246 123 253 63 -15 -0 +13 +6 +7 1.2
202528 MLB MLETampa Bay Rays — 242218 48815 14477 10 220289335624 115257 196 282 77 -7 +0 +8 +4 +5 1.1
202528 MLB RAWTampa Bay Rays — 242218 50915 14477 10 229297349646 119269 196 290 77 -7 +0 +8 +4 +5 1.1
202629 MLB MLETampa Bay Rays — 323298 761706 12458 00 255302372674 117282 144 301 90 -4 +0 +1 +6 +7 1.0
202629 MLB RAWTampa Bay Rays — 323298 771706 12458 00 258305376681 117286 144 302 90 -4 +0 +1 +6 +7 1.0
201821 ROK MLE2 teams — 6558 9200 671 00 155258190448 34148 119 196 19 — — — — — —
201922 A+ MLEJupiter Hammerheads — 297271 471013 19695 11 173242251493 77216 236 226 39 — — — — — —
202124 AA MLE3 teams — 412372 8415110 257512 62 226296352648 126250 186 284 78 — — — — — —
202225 MLB MLE2 teams — 360323 7610112 26668 63 235306384690 149253 187 306 93 — — — — — —
202326 MLB MLEMiami Marlins — 323296 621106 17597 42 209270307578 98234 185 262 63 — — — — — —
202427 MLB MLEMiami Marlins — 335317 721704 11414 01 227269319588 91246 123 262 63 — — — — — —
202528 MLB MLETampa Bay Rays — 242219 48815 14477 10 219289333622 114269 196 282 77 — — — — — —
202629 MLB MLETampa Bay Rays — 323300 761706 12458 00 253302370672 117286 144 301 90 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202427 MLB MLEMiami Marlins — 335317 721704 11414 01 227269319588 91246 123 262 63 — — — — — —
202528 MLB MLETampa Bay Rays — 242219 48815 14477 10 219289333622 114269 196 282 77 — — — — — —
202629 MLB MLETampa Bay Rays — 323300 761706 12458 00 253302370672 117286 144 301 90 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202730 MLB MLETB 100% 322297 661415 15517 20 224277330607 106251 165 273 71 -11 +0 +2 +6 +7 0.3
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202730 MLB CTXTB 100% 211194 43903 10335 10 225279329608 104254 165 274 71 -7 +0 +1 +4 +5 0.3
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202831 MLB MLETB 82% 189174 38803 9314 10 219272319591 100248 165 267 67 -8 +0 -2 +3 +4 -0.1
202831 MLB CTXTB 82% 155144 31702 7253 10 221273319592 98250 165 267 67 -6 +0 -1 +3 +3 -0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 16521510 34765236 8227034 126 230285347632 117256 165 282 71 -45 +0 +40 +38 +36 7.0
/ 162G— A+C — 650594 13726114 3210613 52 231284348633 118257 165 282 71 -18 +0 +16 +15 +14 2.8
Career— MLE — 27572507 555107453 14947361 209 221282331612 109251 175 273 71 -54 +0 +41 +43 +41 7.2
/ 162G— MLE — 650591 13025112 3511214 52 220279327606 107250 175 273 71 -18 +0 +14 +15 +14 2.5

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2022 AAAJacksonville Jumbo Shrimp · 120 PAwOBA .322 → .274 (−48)K% 14.2% → 17.6%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA14.17%÷0.966×1.200——17.61%
BB% (unintentional) /PA9.17%÷0.978×0.690—×1.0186.59%
HBP% /PA2.50%—×0.940—×1.0182.39%
Singles /BIP22.73%÷1.054×0.930×1.020×1.01820.83%
Doubles /BIP4.55%÷0.898×0.830×1.020×1.0184.36%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.930×0.970×1.020×1.0180.00%
Home runs /BIP3.41%÷1.032×0.700—×1.0182.35%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 106, 1B 111, 2B 80, 3B 86, K 93, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.020.

Result: wOBA .322 → .274; ISO .124 → .096; BABIP .279 → .255. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2021 AAPensacola Blue Wahoos · 226 PAwOBA .312 → .262 (−51)K% 15.9% → 20.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA15.93%÷0.973×1.220——19.98%
BB% (unintentional) /PA9.73%÷0.985×0.690—×0.9986.80%
HBP% /PA2.21%—×0.850—×0.9981.88%
Singles /BIP22.01%÷1.011×0.940×0.976×0.99819.95%
Doubles /BIP6.29%÷1.026×0.870×0.976×0.9985.19%
Triples /BIP0.63%÷1.150×0.920×0.976×0.9980.49%
Home runs /BIP1.89%÷1.011×0.780—×0.9981.45%

Factors used: level-wide AA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 102, 1B 102, 2B 105, 3B 130, K 95, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.976.

Result: wOBA .312 → .262; ISO .108 → .087; BABIP .289 → .255. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2021 AAAJacksonville Jumbo Shrimp · 152 PAwOBA .308 → .279 (−28)K% 11.8% → 14.4%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA11.84%÷0.985×1.200——14.43%
BB% (unintentional) /PA5.92%÷0.994×0.690—×1.0334.25%
HBP% /PA4.61%—×0.940—×1.0334.47%
Singles /BIP17.95%÷0.971×0.930×1.002×1.03317.78%
Doubles /BIP5.98%÷0.933×0.830×1.002×1.0335.51%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.109×0.920×1.002×1.0330.00%
Home runs /BIP3.42%÷0.886×0.700—×1.0332.79%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 77, 1B 94, 2B 87, 3B 122, K 97, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.002.

Result: wOBA .308 → .279; ISO .141 → .120; BABIP .248 → .240. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2019 A+Jupiter Hammerheads · 297 PAwOBA .272 → .226 (−46)K% 16.5% → 23.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA16.50%÷1.007×1.420——23.27%
BB% (unintentional) /PA8.42%÷0.998×0.750—×0.9986.31%
HBP% /PA1.68%—×0.930—×0.9981.56%
Singles /BIP19.16%÷1.045×0.920×0.950×0.99815.99%
Doubles /BIP5.14%÷0.931×0.960×0.950×0.9985.03%
Triples /BIP0.93%÷1.120×0.810×0.950×0.9980.64%
Home runs /BIP1.40%÷0.803×0.880—×0.9981.53%

Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 61, 1B 109, 2B 86, 3B 124, K 101, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .272 → .226; ISO .091 → .085; BABIP .251 → .216. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2018 ROKGCL Marlins · 45 PAwOBA .280 → .213 (−67)K% 8.9% → 12.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA8.89%÷1.000×1.440——12.80%
BB% (unintentional) /PA13.33%÷1.000×0.620—×0.9758.06%
HBP% /PA2.22%—×0.720—×0.9751.56%
Singles /BIP16.13%÷1.000×0.820—×0.97512.90%
Doubles /BIP6.45%÷1.000×0.720—×0.9754.53%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.720—×0.9750.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.780—×0.9750.00%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 19.5 → −2.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.5 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .280 → .213; ISO .057 → .045; BABIP .206 → .160. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2018 AGreensboro Grasshoppers · 20 PAwOBA .192 → .157 (−34)K% 5.0% → 6.9%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA5.00%÷0.966×1.340——6.93%
BB% (unintentional) /PA15.00%÷1.006×0.660——9.84%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.770——0.00%
Singles /BIP12.50%÷0.945×0.920——12.17%
Doubles /BIP0.00%÷0.909×0.820——0.00%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.150×0.940——0.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.117×0.820——0.00%

Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 123, 1B 89, 2B 82, 3B 130, K 93, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .192 → .157; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .125 → .122. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).