Xorge Carrillo
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 32 | INTLAguilas de Me… | 182 | .204/.267/.241 | 1 | 0 | 43 | — |
| 2022 | 33 | INTLAguilas de Me… | 216 | .208/.269/.276 | 1 | 1 | 51 | — |
| 2023 | 34 | INTLAguilas de Me… | 152 | .215/.282/.269 | 1 | 1 | 50 | — |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2012 | 23 | A | Savannah Sand Gnats | — | 41 | 39 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 154 | 195 | 231 | 426 | 77 | 167 | 20 | 5 | 195 | -10 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 24 | AA | Binghamton Mets | — | 121 | 108 | 32 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 21 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 296 | 356 | 352 | 708 | 56 | 360 | 17 | 7 | 316 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 24 | INTL | Aguilas de Mexicali | — | 203 | 179 | 51 | 10 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 35 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 285 | 350 | 391 | 741 | 106 | 336 | 17 | 6 | 326 | 107 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 25 | AAA | Las Vegas 51s | — | 20 | 16 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 312 | 421 | 438 | 859 | 125 | 312 | 5 | 5 | 373 | 124 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 25 | AA | Binghamton Mets | — | 215 | 191 | 54 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 32 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 283 | 354 | 351 | 705 | 68 | 327 | 15 | 5 | 320 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 25 | INTL | Aguilas de Mexicali | — | 234 | 205 | 56 | 19 | 1 | 9 | 20 | 37 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 273 | 352 | 507 | 859 | 234 | 290 | 16 | 9 | 371 | 137 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 26 | AA | Binghamton Mets | — | 366 | 325 | 79 | 15 | 1 | 10 | 27 | 50 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 243 | 322 | 388 | 710 | 145 | 258 | 14 | 7 | 319 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 26 | INTL | Aguilas de Mexicali | — | 189 | 173 | 47 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 28 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 272 | 326 | 364 | 690 | 92 | 306 | 15 | 7 | 310 | 96 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 27 | AAA | Las Vegas 51s | — | 16 | 15 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 333 | 333 | 333 | 667 | 357 | 6 | 0 | 283 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2016 | 27 | AA | Binghamton Mets | — | 311 | 275 | 74 | 14 | 0 | 4 | 29 | 48 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 269 | 350 | 364 | 713 | 95 | 311 | 15 | 9 | 324 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 27 | INTL | Mexico | — | 226 | 189 | 54 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 30 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 286 | 386 | 402 | 788 | 116 | 319 | 13 | 10 | 351 | 123 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 28 | AAA | Las Vegas 51s | — | 272 | 252 | 68 | 12 | 0 | 9 | 17 | 62 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 270 | 321 | 425 | 746 | 155 | 324 | 23 | 6 | 331 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 28 | INTL | Aguilas de Mexicali | — | 222 | 199 | 53 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 42 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 266 | 333 | 342 | 675 | 75 | 318 | 19 | 7 | 306 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 29 | INTL | Aguilas de Mexicali | — | 204 | 169 | 48 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 32 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 284 | 401 | 367 | 768 | 83 | 336 | 16 | 11 | 354 | 126 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 30 | AAA | Toros de Tijuana | — | 242 | 212 | 65 | 12 | 1 | 6 | 20 | 33 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 307 | 385 | 458 | 842 | 151 | 339 | 14 | 8 | 373 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 30 | INTL | Aguilas de Mexicali | — | 194 | 168 | 40 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 31 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 238 | 323 | 292 | 614 | 54 | 283 | 16 | 9 | 281 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 31 | INTL | Aguilas de Mexicali | — | 187 | 163 | 48 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 30 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 294 | 382 | 380 | 762 | 86 | 353 | 16 | 10 | 347 | 121 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 32 | INTL | Aguilas de Mexicali | — | 182 | 162 | 33 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 24 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 204 | 267 | 241 | 508 | 37 | 232 | 13 | 5 | 231 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 33 | INTL | Aguilas de Mexicali | — | 216 | 192 | 40 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 32 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 208 | 269 | 276 | 545 | 68 | 242 | 15 | 5 | 243 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 34 | INTL | Aguilas de Mexicali | — | 152 | 130 | 28 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 215 | 282 | 269 | 551 | 54 | 221 | 7 | 3 | 241 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2012 | 23 | A MLE | Savannah Sand Gnats | — | 41 | 40 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 125 | 146 | 200 | 346 | 75 | 151 | 24 | 2 | 153 | -10 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 24 | AA MLE | Binghamton Mets | — | 121 | 110 | 35 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 25 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 318 | 364 | 373 | 737 | 55 | 379 | 21 | 5 | 315 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 25 | AAA MLE | Las Vegas 51s | — | 20 | 16 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 312 | 421 | 438 | 859 | 125 | 276 | 5 | 5 | 351 | 124 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 25 | AA MLE | Binghamton Mets | — | 215 | 194 | 54 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 39 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 278 | 340 | 340 | 680 | 62 | 321 | 18 | 4 | 291 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 26 | AA MLE | Binghamton Mets | — | 366 | 333 | 69 | 12 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 63 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 207 | 273 | 312 | 585 | 105 | 229 | 17 | 5 | 257 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 27 | AAA MLE | Las Vegas 51s | — | 16 | 15 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 333 | 333 | 333 | 667 | 324 | 6 | 0 | 262 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2016 | 27 | AA MLE | Binghamton Mets | — | 311 | 284 | 66 | 11 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 55 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 232 | 294 | 303 | 597 | 70 | 273 | 18 | 6 | 265 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 28 | AAA MLE | Las Vegas 51s | — | 272 | 258 | 51 | 9 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 84 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 198 | 236 | 291 | 527 | 93 | 268 | 31 | 4 | 233 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 30 | AAA MLE | Toros de Tijuana | — | 242 | 219 | 56 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 36 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 256 | 318 | 361 | 679 | 105 | 282 | 15 | 5 | 297 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 23 | A MLE | Savannah Sand Gnats | — | 41 | 40 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 125 | 146 | 200 | 346 | 75 | 138 | 24 | 2 | 153 | -10 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 23 | A RAW | Savannah Sand Gnats | — | 41 | 39 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 154 | 195 | 231 | 426 | 77 | 167 | 20 | 5 | 195 | -10 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 24 | INTL MLE | 2 teams | — | 324 | 292 | 92 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 66 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 315 | 365 | 366 | 732 | 51 | 400 | 20 | 5 | 315 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 24 | INTL RAW | 2 teams | — | 324 | 287 | 83 | 16 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 56 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 289 | 352 | 376 | 729 | 87 | 345 | 17 | 6 | 323 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 25 | INTL MLE | 3 teams | — | 469 | 428 | 115 | 15 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 80 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 269 | 321 | 325 | 646 | 56 | 319 | 17 | 3 | 296 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 25 | INTL RAW | 3 teams | — | 469 | 412 | 115 | 28 | 1 | 11 | 32 | 70 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 279 | 356 | 432 | 788 | 153 | 309 | 15 | 7 | 348 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 26 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 555 | 509 | 105 | 18 | 2 | 11 | 29 | 95 | 12 | 1 | 4 | 206 | 265 | 314 | 580 | 108 | 231 | 17 | 5 | 257 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 26 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 555 | 498 | 126 | 22 | 1 | 13 | 40 | 78 | 12 | 1 | 4 | 253 | 324 | 380 | 703 | 127 | 275 | 14 | 7 | 315 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 27 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 553 | 496 | 120 | 19 | 0 | 5 | 34 | 95 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 242 | 309 | 310 | 619 | 69 | 286 | 17 | 6 | 265 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 27 | AA RAW | 3 teams | — | 553 | 479 | 133 | 25 | 1 | 7 | 51 | 79 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 278 | 364 | 378 | 742 | 100 | 316 | 14 | 9 | 334 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 28 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 494 | 463 | 92 | 15 | 0 | 10 | 20 | 153 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 199 | 243 | 296 | 539 | 97 | 270 | 31 | 4 | 233 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 28 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 494 | 451 | 121 | 18 | 0 | 12 | 32 | 104 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 268 | 327 | 388 | 715 | 120 | 322 | 21 | 6 | 320 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 29 | INTL MLE | Aguilas de Mexicali | — | 204 | 169 | 48 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 32 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 284 | 401 | 367 | 768 | 83 | 336 | 16 | 11 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 29 | INTL RAW | Aguilas de Mexicali | — | 204 | 169 | 48 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 32 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 284 | 401 | 367 | 768 | 83 | 336 | 16 | 11 | 354 | 126 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 30 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 436 | 393 | 100 | 16 | 2 | 7 | 24 | 64 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 254 | 315 | 359 | 674 | 104 | 286 | 15 | 6 | 297 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 30 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 436 | 380 | 105 | 18 | 1 | 7 | 37 | 64 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 276 | 357 | 384 | 742 | 108 | 314 | 15 | 8 | 332 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 31 | INTL MLE | Aguilas de Mexicali | — | 187 | 163 | 48 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 30 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 294 | 382 | 380 | 762 | 86 | 353 | 16 | 10 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 31 | INTL RAW | Aguilas de Mexicali | — | 187 | 163 | 48 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 30 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 294 | 382 | 380 | 762 | 86 | 353 | 16 | 10 | 347 | 121 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 32 | INTL MLE | Aguilas de Mexicali | — | 182 | 162 | 33 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 24 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 204 | 267 | 241 | 508 | 37 | 232 | 13 | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 32 | INTL RAW | Aguilas de Mexicali | — | 182 | 162 | 33 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 24 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 204 | 267 | 241 | 508 | 37 | 232 | 13 | 5 | 231 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 33 | INTL MLE | Aguilas de Mexicali | — | 216 | 192 | 40 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 32 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 208 | 269 | 276 | 545 | 68 | 242 | 15 | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 33 | INTL RAW | Aguilas de Mexicali | — | 216 | 192 | 40 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 32 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 208 | 269 | 276 | 545 | 68 | 242 | 15 | 5 | 243 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 34 | INTL MLE | Aguilas de Mexicali | — | 152 | 130 | 28 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 215 | 282 | 269 | 551 | 54 | 221 | 7 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 34 | INTL RAW | Aguilas de Mexicali | — | 152 | 130 | 28 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 215 | 282 | 269 | 551 | 54 | 221 | 7 | 3 | 241 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 23 | A MLE | Savannah Sand Gnats | — | 41 | 40 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 125 | 146 | 200 | 346 | 75 | 151 | 24 | 2 | 153 | -10 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 24 | INTL MLE | 2 teams | — | 324 | 298 | 92 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 66 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 309 | 365 | 359 | 724 | 50 | 379 | 20 | 5 | 315 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 25 | INTL MLE | 3 teams | — | 469 | 433 | 115 | 15 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 80 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 266 | 321 | 321 | 642 | 55 | 317 | 17 | 3 | 296 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 26 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 555 | 509 | 105 | 18 | 2 | 11 | 29 | 95 | 12 | 1 | 4 | 206 | 265 | 314 | 580 | 108 | 229 | 17 | 5 | 257 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 27 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 553 | 500 | 120 | 19 | 0 | 5 | 34 | 95 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 240 | 309 | 308 | 617 | 68 | 275 | 17 | 6 | 265 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 28 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 494 | 464 | 92 | 15 | 0 | 10 | 20 | 153 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 198 | 243 | 295 | 538 | 97 | 268 | 31 | 4 | 233 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 30 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 436 | 398 | 100 | 16 | 2 | 7 | 24 | 64 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 251 | 315 | 354 | 670 | 103 | 282 | 15 | 6 | 297 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 3813 | 3437 | 826 | 132 | 5 | 43 | 205 | 692 | 101 | 8 | 10 | 240 | 302 | 319 | 622 | 79 | 286 | 18 | 5 | 205 | 25 | -341 | -2 | +0 | +68 | +83 | -19.7 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 586 | 141 | 23 | 1 | 7 | 35 | 118 | 17 | 1 | 2 | 241 | 303 | 319 | 622 | 78 | 287 | 18 | 5 | 205 | 25 | -58 | -1 | +0 | +12 | +14 | -3.4 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2019 AAAToros de Tijuana · 242 PAwOBA .365 → .297 (−68)K% 13.6% → 14.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 13.64% | ÷1.111 | ×1.200 | — | — | 14.72% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.26% | ÷1.007 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.972 | 5.51% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.89% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.972 | 2.64% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.70% | ÷0.989 | ×0.930 | ×0.950 | ×0.972 | 22.31% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.70% | ÷1.051 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×0.972 | 4.89% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.56% | ÷0.993 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | ×0.972 | 0.48% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.35% | ÷1.023 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.972 | 2.23% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 105, 1B 98, 2B 110, 3B 99, K 122, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 27.2 → −2.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .365 → .297; ISO .151 → .110; BABIP .339 → .282. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 AAALas Vegas 51s · 272 PAwOBA .322 → .233 (−88)K% 22.8% → 31.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.79% | ÷0.948 | ×1.290 | — | — | 31.01% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.88% | ÷1.015 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.992 | 4.08% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.74% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×0.992 | 0.71% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.74% | ÷0.994 | ×0.900 | ×0.958 | ×0.992 | 21.28% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.32% | ÷0.998 | ×0.810 | ×0.958 | ×0.992 | 4.87% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.111 | ×0.810 | ×0.958 | ×0.992 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.74% | ÷1.209 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.992 | 3.03% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 142, 1B 99, 2B 100, 3B 122, K 90, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.958.
Result: wOBA .322 → .233; ISO .155 → .097; BABIP .324 → .268. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AABinghamton Mets · 311 PAwOBA .318 → .265 (−53)K% 15.4% → 17.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.43% | ÷1.062 | ×1.220 | — | — | 17.73% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.32% | ÷0.996 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.978 | 6.41% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.61% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.978 | 1.34% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.67% | ÷1.034 | ×0.970 | ×0.989 | ×0.978 | 22.38% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.17% | ÷1.070 | ×0.860 | ×0.989 | ×0.978 | 4.79% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.956 | ×0.950 | ×0.989 | ×0.978 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.76% | ÷1.085 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.978 | 1.24% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 117, 1B 107, 2B 114, 3B 91, K 112, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 24.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.989.
Result: wOBA .318 → .265; ISO .095 → .072; BABIP .311 → .273. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AAALas Vegas 51s · 16 PAwOBA .275 → .262 (−13)K% 6.2% → 8.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 6.25% | ÷0.971 | ×1.290 | — | — | 8.30% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 0.00% | ÷0.962 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 35.71% | ÷0.994 | ×0.900 | — | ×1.003 | 32.43% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.128 | ×0.810 | — | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.980 | ×0.810 | — | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.088 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 118, 1B 99, 2B 126, 3B 96, K 94, BB 92 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .275 → .262; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .357 → .324. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AABinghamton Mets · 366 PAwOBA .312 → .257 (−55)K% 13.7% → 17.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 13.66% | ÷0.974 | ×1.220 | — | — | 17.11% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.38% | ÷0.988 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.988 | 5.16% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.01% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.988 | 2.52% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.27% | ÷1.030 | ×0.970 | ×0.985 | ×0.988 | 17.68% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.45% | ÷1.034 | ×0.860 | ×0.985 | ×0.988 | 4.41% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.36% | ÷0.900 | ×0.950 | ×0.985 | ×0.988 | 0.37% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.64% | ÷1.088 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.988 | 2.58% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 118, 1B 106, 2B 107, 3B 80, K 95, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.985.
Result: wOBA .312 → .257; ISO .145 → .109; BABIP .258 → .229. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AABinghamton Mets · 215 PAwOBA .315 → .291 (−24)K% 14.9% → 18.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.88% | ÷1.011 | ×1.220 | — | — | 17.97% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.12% | ÷1.032 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.998 | 3.46% |
| HBP% /PA | 4.65% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.998 | 3.95% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.30% | ÷0.990 | ×0.970 | ×1.030 | ×0.998 | 28.51% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.40% | ÷1.050 | ×0.860 | ×1.030 | ×0.998 | 3.71% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.036 | ×0.950 | ×1.030 | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.26% | ÷1.009 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.998 | 0.97% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 102, 1B 98, 2B 110, 3B 107, K 102, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.030.
Result: wOBA .315 → .291; ISO .068 → .056; BABIP .327 → .321. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AAALas Vegas 51s · 20 PAwOBA .382 → .351 (−32)K% 5.0% → 6.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 5.00% | ÷0.945 | ×1.290 | — | — | 6.82% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.00% | ÷1.060 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.033 | 3.46% |
| HBP% /PA | 10.00% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.033 | 10.12% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.00% | ÷0.991 | ×0.900 | — | ×1.033 | 18.76% |
| Doubles /BIP | 13.33% | ÷1.057 | ×0.810 | — | ×1.033 | 10.56% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.810 | — | ×1.033 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.925 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.033 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 85, 1B 98, 2B 111, 3B 80, K 89, BB 112 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .382 → .351; ISO .125 → .105; BABIP .312 → .276. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 AABinghamton Mets · 121 PAwOBA .314 → .315 (+1)K% 17.4% → 20.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.36% | ÷1.034 | ×1.220 | — | — | 20.49% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.61% | ÷1.019 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.012 | 4.60% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.65% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.012 | 1.42% |
| Singles /BIP | 29.89% | ÷0.949 | ×0.970 | ×1.047 | ×1.012 | 32.38% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.90% | ÷0.991 | ×0.860 | ×1.047 | ×1.012 | 6.34% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.950 | ×1.047 | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.012 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 102, 1B 90, 2B 98, 3B 80, K 107, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.047.
Result: wOBA .314 → .315; ISO .056 → .052; BABIP .360 → .379. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .