Jorge Barrosa — OGILVIE

Jorge BarrosaLF Houston Astros

Age 25 S/L 5'6" / 165 lbs MLB HR -6% Svc 0.407 · Ctrl thru 2031

2026 ROS PROJECTION162 act + 22 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†vL 7878vR 78

AVG/OBP/SLG.200 / .273 / .250

PA22

HR0

K%23

BB%9

BABIP278

ISO50

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

2026 MLB RUNS · solid = so far · light = projected ROS (park-applied)

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$1M ctrl surplus

Tools · Recent Form · Splits · ContractCON 50 / POW 35

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026

CONTACT50

Whiff%

904.3%

xAVG

100.176

POWER35

Barrel%

143.5

Avg EV

2387.0

Bat Spd

3369.6

EYE50

Chase%

9013.4%

SPEED55

Sprint

7328.4

DEFENSE60

scouting grade only

Recent Formrolling true talent ⓘ

K%23%▲21% over 33 PA (60d) · proj 24%

BB%9%▲12% over 33 PA (60d) · proj 8%

ISO.112·.043 over 23 AB (60d) · proj .122

BABIP.287·.353 over 17 BIP (60d) · proj .286

SLASH.228/.302/.340·proj .227/.295/.349

Platoon Splits2025-2026 · 140 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

—

wRC+

◀◀L

wOBA

277

181

◀◀L

ISO

187

103

◀◀L

BABIP

207

271

▶▶R

22.9%

38.6%

◀◀L

BB%

7.1%

0.0%

—

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2024

Service 0.407 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2031

First FA Year 2032

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext	$0.1M	—	—	—
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.1M		$-0.9M	-$0.2M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2018	17	ROK	Missoula Osprey	—	308	265	74	8	6	3	29	45	12	39	8	279	376	389	764	109	324	15	9	347	121	+8	+5	—	—	+7	1.9
2021	20	A+	Hillsboro Hops	—	272	242	62	18	3	4	22	48	6	20	7	256	333	405	738	149	304	18	8	329	109	+3	+1	—	—	+6	1.0
2021	20	A	Visalia Rawhide	—	163	147	49	8	0	3	7	31	7	9	4	333	391	449	840	116	404	19	4	374	139	+8	+0	—	—	+4	1.2
2022	21	AA	Amarillo Sod Poodles	—	510	434	120	30	2	12	65	80	4	22	11	276	376	438	814	161	314	16	13	360	130	+18	+0	—	—	+11	3.0
2022	21	A+	Hillsboro Hops	—	43	40	12	3	0	1	2	5	1	4	1	300	349	450	799	150	324	12	5	356	127	+1	+0	—	—	+1	0.3
2023	22	AAA	Reno Aces	—	502	412	113	20	8	13	80	82	3	15	7	274	396	456	852	182	312	16	16	376	141	+24	+0	—	—	+11	3.6
2024	23	MLB	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	18	17	3	2	0	0	0	2	0	1	0	176	176	294	471	118	200	11	0	193	17	-2	+0	+1	+2	+0	0.1
2024	23	AAA	Reno Aces	—	329	285	77	17	1	8	38	59	3	12	4	270	362	421	783	151	314	18	12	349	123	+9	+1	—	—	+7	1.7
2024	23	ROK	ACL D-backs	—	38	34	8	1	1	1	2	7	1	1	1	235	297	412	709	176	259	18	5	306	93	-0	-0	—	—	+1	0.0
2024	23	INTL	Cangrejeros de Santurce	—	64	58	11	1	1	0	4	14	0	3	0	190	242	241	483	52	244	22	6	216	32	-5	+1	—	—	+1	-0.3
2025	24	MLB	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	77	71	10	3	0	1	2	22	1	0	0	141	176	225	401	85	176	29	3	175	5	-9	+0	+3	+2	+2	-0.3
2025	24	AAA	Reno Aces	—	456	394	116	29	2	7	54	95	1	10	4	294	381	431	812	137	369	21	12	360	130	+16	+0	—	—	+10	2.7
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	95	88	13	5	0	1	2	24	1	1	0	148	176	239	414	91	182	25	2	179	7	-11	+0	+3	+4	+2	-0.1
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2018	17	ROK MLE	Missoula Osprey	—	308	276	58	6	4	2	18	65	12	39	8	210	288	283	570	72	260	21	6	253	57	-16	+5	—	—	+7	-0.4
2021	20	A+ MLE	Hillsboro Hops	—	272	248	47	11	2	3	16	67	6	20	7	190	256	286	542	97	238	25	6	237	47	-17	+1	—	—	+6	-1.0
2021	20	A MLE	Visalia Rawhide	—	163	149	41	6	0	2	5	43	7	9	4	275	329	356	685	81	362	26	3	302	91	-2	+0	—	—	+4	0.2
2022	21	AA MLE	Amarillo Sod Poodles	—	510	457	109	27	2	9	42	97	4	22	11	239	308	365	674	127	278	19	8	293	84	-9	+0	—	—	+11	0.2
2022	21	A+ MLE	Hillsboro Hops	—	43	41	10	2	0	1	1	7	1	4	1	244	279	366	645	122	273	16	2	281	76	-1	+0	—	—	+1	0.0
2023	22	AAA MLE	Reno Aces	—	502	440	96	16	6	10	52	111	3	15	7	218	305	350	655	132	261	22	10	287	80	-12	+0	—	—	+11	-0.1
2024	23	MLB MLE	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	18	17	3	2	0	0	0	2	0	1	0	176	176	294	471	118	200	11	0	181	9	-2	+0	+1	+2	+0	0.1
2024	23	AAA MLE	Reno Aces	—	329	296	61	13	1	5	27	79	3	12	4	206	279	307	587	101	258	24	8	263	64	-14	+1	—	—	+7	-0.6
2024	23	ROK MLE	ACL D-backs	—	38	35	7	1	1	1	1	10	1	1	1	200	243	371	615	171	202	26	3	225	38	-3	-0	—	—	+1	-0.2
2025	24	MLB MLE	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	77	71	10	3	0	1	2	22	1	0	0	141	176	225	401	85	176	29	3	171	2	-9	+0	+3	+2	+2	-0.3
2025	24	AAA MLE	Reno Aces	—	456	409	101	22	2	6	39	119	1	10	4	247	314	355	669	108	322	26	9	292	84	-9	+0	—	—	+10	0.1
2018	17	ROK MLE	Missoula Osprey	—	308	276	58	6	4	2	18	65	12	39	8	210	288	283	570	72	265	21	6	253	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	17	ROK RAW	Missoula Osprey	—	308	265	74	8	6	3	29	45	12	39	8	279	376	389	764	109	324	15	9	347	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	20	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	435	398	89	17	2	6	20	110	13	29	11	224	283	322	605	98	292	25	5	261	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	20	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	435	389	111	26	3	7	29	79	13	29	11	285	355	422	777	136	341	18	7	346	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	AA MLE	2 teams	—	553	498	119	29	2	10	43	104	5	26	12	239	306	365	671	127	282	19	8	292	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	AA RAW	2 teams	—	553	474	132	33	2	13	67	85	5	26	12	278	374	439	812	160	315	15	12	360	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	AAA MLE	Reno Aces	—	502	440	96	16	6	10	52	111	3	15	7	218	305	350	655	132	267	22	10	287	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	AAA RAW	Reno Aces	—	502	412	113	20	8	13	80	82	3	15	7	274	396	456	852	182	312	16	16	376	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AAA MLE	4 teams	—	449	406	82	18	2	7	32	107	4	17	5	202	267	308	575	106	253	24	7	255	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AAA RAW	4 teams	—	449	394	99	21	3	9	44	82	4	17	5	251	333	388	721	137	293	18	10	320	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	533	480	111	25	2	7	41	141	2	10	4	231	294	335	630	104	308	26	8	275	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	533	465	126	32	2	8	56	117	2	10	4	271	352	400	752	129	341	22	11	333	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	17	ROK MLE	Missoula Osprey	—	308	275	58	6	4	2	18	65	12	39	8	211	288	284	571	73	260	21	6	253	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	20	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	435	399	89	17	2	6	20	110	13	29	11	223	283	321	604	98	284	25	5	261	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	AA MLE	2 teams	—	553	500	119	29	2	10	43	104	5	26	12	238	306	364	670	126	278	19	8	292	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	AAA MLE	Reno Aces	—	502	442	96	16	6	10	52	111	3	15	7	217	305	348	653	131	261	22	10	287	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AAA MLE	4 teams	—	449	410	82	18	2	7	32	107	4	17	5	200	267	305	572	105	250	24	7	255	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	533	485	111	25	2	7	41	141	2	10	4	229	294	332	626	103	301	26	8	275	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	22	AAA MLE	Reno Aces	—	502	442	96	16	6	10	52	111	3	15	7	217	305	348	653	131	261	22	10	287	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AAA MLE	4 teams	—	449	410	82	18	2	7	32	107	4	17	5	200	267	305	572	105	250	24	7	255	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	533	485	111	25	2	7	41	141	2	10	4	229	294	332	626	103	301	26	8	275	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	25	MLB MLE	HOU	—	162	136	27	11	1	2	14	43	2	3	0	199	283	338	621	140	272	27	9	260	62	-7	+1	+1	-2	+4	-0.4
▸ 2026 season
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
SO FAR	25	MLB RAW	HOU	—	162	136	27	11	1	2	14	43	2	3	0	199	283	338	621	140	272	27	9	265	62	-7	+1	+1	-2	+4	-0.4
YTD	25	MLB RAW	HOU	—	162	136	27	11	1	2	14	43	2	3	0	199	283	338	621	140	272	27	9	265	65	-7	+1	+1	-2	+4	-0.3
ROS	25	MLB MLE	HOU	100%	22	20	4	1	0	0	2	5	0	1	0	200	273	250	523	50	275	23	9	284	78	-1	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
ROS	25	MLB CTX	HOU	100%	22	20	4	1	0	0	2	5	0	1	0	200	273	250	523	50	278	23	9	278	78	-1	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
FULL	25	MLB A+C	HOU	—	184	156	31	12	1	2	16	48	2	4	0	199	282	327	609	128	271	26	9	266	64	-8	+1	+1	-2	+4	-0.4
TOT	25	MLB MLE	HOU	—	184	156	31	12	1	2	16	48	2	4	0	199	282	327	609	128	271	26	9	263	64	-8	+1	+1	-2	+4	-0.4
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	26	MLB MLE	HOU	65%	415	373	80	20	2	8	35	103	4	15	3	214	289	343	632	129	273	25	8	284	78	-11	+2	+2	-4	+9	-0.3
2027	26	MLB CTX	HOU	65%	270	243	52	13	1	5	23	67	2	9	2	214	287	337	625	123	275	25	9	278	78	-7	+1	+1	-3	+6	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	387	351	69	19	1	6	27	96	3	11	2	197	260	308	568	111	249	25	7	254	72	-18	+1	+5	+0	+8	-0.3
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	590	116	32	2	10	45	161	5	18	3	197	259	308	568	112	249	25	7	254	72	-30	+2	+8	+1	+14	-0.6
Career	—	MLE		—	3217	2891	639	132	20	50	243	746	43	152	50	221	291	332	624	111	278	23	8	274	72	-22	+2	+5	-1	+12	-0.4
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	584	129	27	4	10	49	151	9	31	10	221	291	332	623	111	279	23	8	274	72	-27	+3	+7	-1	+14	-0.5

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#2Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	2.6	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
/162	664	18	6	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#3Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#4Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	2.4	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
/162	664	19	6	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	1.3	859	15	27	208	275	330	-9	+7	-1.0	-0.9
/162	664	11	21	-7.1	+5.0	-0.7	pk7: -1
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jorge Barrosa (OGILVIE)	25	50	35	55	50	214/287/338	124	275	6	12	25%	8%	78	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Clete Thomas 2010 · MLB	26	49→52	43→45	55	48	236/305/356	120	312	9	22	26%	9%	88	+0.5	213/273/339	126	308	12	23	33%	7%	72	-0.7	203/260/321	118	276	11	14	29%	7%	61	-1.0
✕Tim Raines Jr. 2005 · MLB	25	48→56	41→50	51→60	46	229/281/329	100	274	7	20	19%	6%	73	-0.6	241/278/347	106	313	9	28	25%	5%	75	-0.5	262/295/396	135	322	13	32	23%	4%	89	+0.4
✕Jamie Hoffmann 2010 · MLB	25	49→53	44→45	50→55	50	240/299/360	119	276	11	18	17%	7%	86	+0.3	226/280/336	110	279	11	14	22%	6%	74	-0.5	218/272/325	106	272	11	13	23%	6%	67	-0.9
✕Wilmer Difo 2018 · MLB	26	51→55	40→45	56→55	45	245/292/338	94	296	7	20	20%	6%	78	-0.3	234/296/338	104	290	9	14	21%	8%	80	-0.2	238/302/342	104	297	8	11	22%	8%	78	-0.2
✕Jeff Duncan 2005 · MLB	26	43→47	41→45	54→60	50	210/290/306	97	270	9	18	25%	9%	72	-0.7	233/299/330	97	301	9	19	24%	8%	80	-0.2	232/299/312	80	302	7	21	24%	7%	74	-0.3
✕Taylor Walls 2021 · AA	25	48→54	44→45	53→60	48	232/293/355	123	290	10	21	23%	8%	83	+0.1	202/292/321	119	272	11	19	27%	11%	76	-0.4	189/289/308	119	250	11	22	27%	12%	71	-0.5
✕Kaleb Cowart 2017 · MLB	25	44→51	42→45	53→50	41	215/263/326	111	291	8	15	29%	6%	65	-1.2	223/274/346	123	290	11	15	26%	6%	74	-0.5	220/273/343	123	279	11	14	25%	6%	70	-0.6
✕Nick Sogard 2023 · AAA	25	45→50	42→45	51→50	48	222/290/325	103	277	10	15	23%	8%	76	-0.4	229/302/326	97	292	8	16	23%	9%	80	-0.1	237/320/342	105	301	9	13	22%	10%	88	+0.4
✕Dalton Pompey 2018 · MLB	25	49→58	39→45	52→55	47	236/292/322	86	297	6	21	22%	7%	75	-0.5	228/293/329	101	309	9	16	27%	8%	78	-0.3	232/295/341	109	304	11	17	26%	7%	79	-0.1
✕Tyler Wade 2021 · MLB	26	46→55	42→40	53→60	45	221/283/326	105	287	9	19	25%	7%	73	-0.6	227/298/319	92	300	7	37	25%	9%	77	-0.3	228/299/304	76	306	5	50	25%	8%	71	-0.4
✕Darrell Ceciliani 2016 · MLB	26	51→53	43→45	56→55	39	247/287/361	114	322	10	24	26%	5%	82	-0.0	221/265/329	108	288	10	16	26%	5%	67	-1.1	204/246/299	95	263	8	13	25%	4%	50	-0.9
✕Freddy Guzman 2006 · MLB	25	47→57	44→45	51→70	48	231/290/348	117	268	11	18	18%	7%	80	-0.1	240/300/326	86	286	5	43	17%	7%	78	-0.3	279/331/390	112	331	8	77	17%	7%	102	+0.8
✕Junior Lake 2015 · MLB	25	47→55	47→45	49→55	38	234/277/367	133	314	14	17	30%	5%	80	-0.2	227/285/342	115	315	11	17	29%	7%	77	-0.3	228/299/358	130	286	13	19	24%	8%	84	+0.1
✕Nook Logan 2005 · MLB	25	52	40	55→60	53	248/313/346	98	292	7	21	17%	9%	88	+0.5	246/297/329	83	307	4	29	20%	7%	78	-0.3	249/296/322	73	320	1	35	21%	6%	71	-0.4
✕Alejandro Ortiz 2014 · AAA	24	48→58	42→40	56→50	44	229/289/337	108	300	8	20	26%	7%	78	-0.3	240/290/343	103	338	8	15	29%	6%	78	-0.3	274/326/366	92	370	7	11	26%	6%	96	+0.5
✕Jarred Ball 2008 · AAA	25	48→50	39→45	51→60	44	227/282/325	97	301	5	19	25%	6%	72	-0.7	228/288/337	109	313	6	19	27%	7%	77	-0.3	228/302/348	119	335	2	32	30%	9%	80	-0.1
✕Oscar Castaneda 2008 · AAA	25	50	42→40	55	43	242/302/345	103	305	9	20	23%	5%	84	+0.2	222/286/303	81	280	5	11	21%	7%	69	-0.9	202/270/243	41	257	0	4	20%	7%	46	-0.6
✕Adam Engel 2018 · MLB	26	39→48	43→50	57→60	40	194/257/310	116	274	9	24	32%	6%	60	-1.6	221/275/344	123	302	11	17	29%	5%	74	-0.5	223/283/355	132	299	13	23	29%	5%	77	-0.2
✕Rosell Herrera 2019 · MLB	26	50→60	40→45	53→55	46	237/290/338	101	296	6	19	21%	7%	78	-0.3	231/289/353	122	290	10	12	23%	7%	81	-0.1	228/287/347	119	287	11	11	24%	7%	75	-0.2
✕Greg Allen 2018 · MLB	25	51→57	39→45	56→65	47	243/315/331	88	294	6	27	19%	6%	86	+0.3	241/305/341	100	305	7	26	22%	6%	85	+0.2	252/325/355	103	322	6	35	22%	6%	93	+0.6

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps