Jorge Barrosa
LF Houston Astros| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 23 | AAA/ROK/INTL2 orgs | 431 | .255/.339/.393 | 9 | 16 | 67 | — | .227/.295/.341 |
| 2024 | 23 | MLBARI | 18 | .176/.176/.294 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0.1 | |
| 2025 | 24 | AAAARI | 456 | .294/.381/.431 | 7 | 10 | 100 | — | .272/.339/.385 |
| 2025 | 24 | MLBARI | 77 | .141/.176/.225 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -0.3 | |
| 2026 | 25 | INTLTiburones de … | 59 | .388/.492/.571 | 1 | 1 | 203 | — | |
| 2026 | 25 | MLBHOU | 174 | .193/.287/.331 | 2 | 3 | 63 | -0.5 | |
| 2027PROJ | 26 | MLBHOU | 139 | .215/.288/.335 | 2 | 6 | 74 | -0.2 | |
| 2028PROJ65% MLB | 27 | MLBHOU | 133 | .214/.287/.332 | 2 | 5 | 73 | -0.2 |
Tools · Splits · Contract
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2018 | 17 | ROK | Missoula Osprey | — | 308 | 265 | 74 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 29 | 45 | 12 | 39 | 8 | 279 | 376 | 389 | 764 | 109 | 324 | 15 | 9 | 347 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 20 | A+ | Hillsboro Hops | — | 272 | 242 | 62 | 18 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 48 | 6 | 20 | 7 | 256 | 333 | 405 | 738 | 149 | 304 | 18 | 8 | 329 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 20 | A | Visalia Rawhide | — | 163 | 147 | 49 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 31 | 7 | 9 | 4 | 333 | 391 | 449 | 840 | 116 | 404 | 19 | 4 | 374 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 21 | AA | Amarillo Sod Poodles | — | 510 | 434 | 120 | 30 | 2 | 12 | 65 | 80 | 4 | 22 | 11 | 276 | 376 | 438 | 814 | 161 | 314 | 16 | 13 | 360 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 21 | A+ | Hillsboro Hops | — | 43 | 40 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 300 | 349 | 450 | 799 | 150 | 324 | 12 | 5 | 356 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | AAA | Reno Aces | — | 502 | 412 | 113 | 20 | 8 | 13 | 80 | 82 | 3 | 15 | 7 | 274 | 396 | 456 | 852 | 182 | 312 | 16 | 16 | 376 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 23 | MLB | Arizona Diamondbacks | — | 18 | 17 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 176 | 176 | 294 | 471 | 118 | 200 | 11 | 0 | 193 | 6 | -2 | +0 | +1 | +2 | +0 | 0.1 |
| 2024 | 23 | AAA | Reno Aces | — | 329 | 285 | 77 | 17 | 1 | 8 | 38 | 59 | 3 | 12 | 4 | 270 | 362 | 421 | 783 | 151 | 314 | 18 | 12 | 349 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 23 | ROK | ACL D-backs | — | 38 | 34 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 235 | 297 | 412 | 709 | 176 | 259 | 18 | 5 | 306 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 23 | INTL | Cangrejeros de Santurce | — | 64 | 58 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 190 | 242 | 241 | 483 | 52 | 244 | 22 | 6 | 216 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 24 | MLB | Arizona Diamondbacks | — | 77 | 71 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 141 | 176 | 225 | 401 | 85 | 176 | 29 | 3 | 175 | 2 | -9 | +0 | +3 | +2 | +2 | -0.3 |
| 2025 | 24 | AAA | Reno Aces | — | 456 | 394 | 116 | 29 | 2 | 7 | 54 | 95 | 1 | 10 | 4 | 294 | 381 | 431 | 812 | 137 | 369 | 21 | 12 | 360 | 100 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 25 | MLB | Houston Astros | — | 174 | 145 | 28 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 46 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 193 | 287 | 331 | 618 | 138 | 265 | 26 | 10 | 266 | 63 | -8 | +1 | +1 | -2 | +4 | -0.5 |
| 2026 | 25 | INTL | Tiburones de La Guaira | — | 59 | 49 | 19 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 388 | 492 | 571 | 1.063 | 184 | 429 | 10 | 15 | 468 | 203 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 269 | 233 | 41 | 17 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 70 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 176 | 247 | 296 | 543 | 120 | 232 | 26 | 7 | 235 | 45 | -18 | +1 | +5 | +1 | +6 | -0.5 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2018 | 17 | ROK MLE | Missoula Osprey | — | 308 | 276 | 60 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 18 | 65 | 12 | 39 | 8 | 217 | 294 | 290 | 584 | 72 | 270 | 21 | 6 | 262 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 20 | A+ MLE | Hillsboro Hops | — | 272 | 248 | 48 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 67 | 6 | 20 | 7 | 194 | 259 | 290 | 550 | 97 | 248 | 25 | 6 | 246 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 20 | A MLE | Visalia Rawhide | — | 163 | 149 | 43 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 43 | 7 | 9 | 4 | 289 | 342 | 389 | 731 | 101 | 373 | 26 | 3 | 311 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 21 | AA MLE | Amarillo Sod Poodles | — | 510 | 455 | 112 | 27 | 2 | 10 | 44 | 97 | 4 | 22 | 11 | 246 | 318 | 380 | 698 | 134 | 285 | 19 | 9 | 302 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 21 | A+ MLE | Hillsboro Hops | — | 43 | 40 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 275 | 326 | 400 | 726 | 125 | 296 | 14 | 5 | 305 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | AAA MLE | Reno Aces | — | 502 | 439 | 105 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 53 | 103 | 3 | 15 | 7 | 239 | 325 | 378 | 703 | 139 | 285 | 21 | 11 | 308 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 23 | MLB MLE | Arizona Diamondbacks | — | 18 | 17 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 176 | 176 | 294 | 471 | 118 | 200 | 11 | 0 | 177 | 6 | -2 | +0 | +1 | +2 | +0 | 0.1 |
| 2024 | 23 | AAA MLE | Reno Aces | — | 329 | 296 | 68 | 15 | 1 | 5 | 27 | 73 | 3 | 12 | 4 | 230 | 301 | 338 | 638 | 108 | 280 | 22 | 8 | 282 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 23 | ROK MLE | ACL D-backs | — | 38 | 35 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 200 | 243 | 371 | 615 | 171 | 195 | 26 | 3 | 218 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 24 | MLB MLE | Arizona Diamondbacks | — | 77 | 71 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 141 | 176 | 225 | 401 | 85 | 176 | 29 | 3 | 171 | 2 | -9 | +0 | +3 | +2 | +2 | -0.3 |
| 2025 | 24 | AAA MLE | Reno Aces | — | 456 | 408 | 111 | 24 | 2 | 6 | 40 | 111 | 1 | 10 | 4 | 272 | 339 | 385 | 723 | 113 | 349 | 24 | 9 | 316 | 100 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 25 | MLB MLE | Houston Astros | — | 174 | 145 | 27 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 46 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 186 | 280 | 317 | 598 | 131 | 265 | 26 | 10 | 261 | 63 | -8 | +1 | +1 | -2 | +4 | -0.5 |
| 2018 | 17 | ROK MLE | Missoula Osprey | — | 308 | 276 | 60 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 18 | 65 | 12 | 39 | 8 | 217 | 294 | 290 | 584 | 72 | 275 | 21 | 6 | 262 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 17 | ROK RAW | Missoula Osprey | — | 308 | 265 | 74 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 29 | 45 | 12 | 39 | 8 | 279 | 376 | 389 | 764 | 109 | 324 | 15 | 9 | 347 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 20 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 435 | 397 | 91 | 17 | 2 | 6 | 21 | 110 | 13 | 29 | 11 | 229 | 290 | 327 | 617 | 98 | 300 | 25 | 5 | 270 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 20 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 435 | 389 | 111 | 26 | 3 | 7 | 29 | 79 | 13 | 29 | 11 | 285 | 355 | 422 | 777 | 136 | 341 | 18 | 7 | 346 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 21 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 553 | 495 | 121 | 29 | 2 | 10 | 46 | 103 | 5 | 26 | 12 | 244 | 315 | 372 | 687 | 127 | 289 | 19 | 8 | 302 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 21 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 553 | 474 | 132 | 33 | 2 | 13 | 67 | 85 | 5 | 26 | 12 | 278 | 374 | 439 | 812 | 160 | 315 | 15 | 12 | 360 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | AAA MLE | Reno Aces | — | 502 | 439 | 105 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 53 | 103 | 3 | 15 | 7 | 239 | 325 | 378 | 703 | 139 | 289 | 21 | 11 | 308 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | AAA RAW | Reno Aces | — | 502 | 412 | 113 | 20 | 8 | 13 | 80 | 82 | 3 | 15 | 7 | 274 | 396 | 456 | 852 | 182 | 312 | 16 | 16 | 376 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 23 | AAA MLE | 4 teams | — | 449 | 405 | 89 | 20 | 2 | 7 | 33 | 100 | 4 | 17 | 5 | 220 | 285 | 331 | 616 | 111 | 272 | 22 | 7 | 271 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 23 | AAA RAW | 4 teams | — | 449 | 394 | 99 | 21 | 3 | 9 | 44 | 82 | 4 | 17 | 5 | 251 | 333 | 388 | 721 | 137 | 293 | 18 | 10 | 320 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 24 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 533 | 479 | 121 | 27 | 2 | 7 | 42 | 133 | 2 | 10 | 4 | 253 | 315 | 361 | 677 | 109 | 330 | 25 | 8 | 295 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 24 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 533 | 465 | 126 | 32 | 2 | 8 | 56 | 117 | 2 | 10 | 4 | 271 | 352 | 400 | 752 | 129 | 341 | 22 | 11 | 333 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 25 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 233 | 197 | 36 | 15 | 1 | 3 | 23 | 62 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 183 | 278 | 315 | 593 | 132 | 248 | 27 | 10 | 261 | 63 | -10 | +0 | +1 | -2 | +5 | -0.6 |
| 2026 | 25 | MLB RAW | 2 teams | — | 233 | 194 | 47 | 16 | 2 | 3 | 26 | 52 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 242 | 341 | 392 | 733 | 149 | 314 | 22 | 11 | 317 | 63 | -10 | +0 | +1 | -2 | +5 | -0.6 |
| 2018 | 17 | ROK MLE | Missoula Osprey | — | 308 | 275 | 60 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 18 | 65 | 12 | 39 | 8 | 218 | 294 | 291 | 585 | 73 | 270 | 21 | 6 | 262 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 20 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 435 | 398 | 91 | 17 | 2 | 6 | 21 | 110 | 13 | 29 | 11 | 229 | 290 | 327 | 617 | 98 | 295 | 25 | 5 | 270 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 21 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 553 | 497 | 121 | 29 | 2 | 10 | 46 | 103 | 5 | 26 | 12 | 243 | 315 | 370 | 685 | 127 | 286 | 19 | 8 | 302 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | AAA MLE | Reno Aces | — | 502 | 441 | 105 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 53 | 103 | 3 | 15 | 7 | 238 | 325 | 376 | 702 | 138 | 285 | 21 | 11 | 308 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 23 | AAA MLE | 4 teams | — | 449 | 409 | 89 | 20 | 2 | 7 | 33 | 100 | 4 | 17 | 5 | 218 | 285 | 328 | 613 | 110 | 268 | 22 | 7 | 271 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 24 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 533 | 484 | 121 | 27 | 2 | 7 | 42 | 133 | 2 | 10 | 4 | 250 | 315 | 357 | 673 | 107 | 324 | 25 | 8 | 295 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 25 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 233 | 205 | 36 | 15 | 1 | 3 | 23 | 62 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 176 | 278 | 302 | 580 | 127 | 265 | 27 | 10 | 261 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 23 | AAA MLE | 4 teams | — | 449 | 409 | 89 | 20 | 2 | 7 | 33 | 100 | 4 | 17 | 5 | 218 | 285 | 328 | 613 | 110 | 268 | 22 | 7 | 271 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 24 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 533 | 484 | 121 | 27 | 2 | 7 | 42 | 133 | 2 | 10 | 4 | 250 | 315 | 357 | 673 | 107 | 324 | 25 | 8 | 295 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 25 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 233 | 205 | 36 | 15 | 1 | 3 | 23 | 62 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 176 | 278 | 302 | 580 | 127 | 265 | 27 | 10 | 261 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB MLE | HOU | 100% | 224 | 201 | 43 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 19 | 55 | 2 | 9 | 2 | 212 | 286 | 330 | 616 | 118 | 269 | 25 | 8 | 278 | 74 | -7 | +1 | +1 | -2 | +5 | -0.1 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB CTX | HOU | 100% | 139 | 125 | 26 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 34 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 215 | 288 | 335 | 623 | 120 | 273 | 24 | 9 | 281 | 74 | -4 | +1 | +0 | -1 | +3 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 27 | MLB MLE | HOU | 65% | 205 | 184 | 39 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 51 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 211 | 284 | 327 | 612 | 116 | 268 | 25 | 8 | 277 | 73 | -7 | +1 | +1 | -2 | +4 | -0.3 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB CTX | HOU | 65% | 133 | 120 | 26 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 33 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 214 | 287 | 332 | 619 | 118 | 273 | 25 | 8 | 280 | 73 | -4 | +1 | +0 | -1 | +3 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 402 | 353 | 67 | 23 | 2 | 5 | 30 | 103 | 4 | 9 | 1 | 190 | 261 | 309 | 570 | 119 | 248 | 26 | 7 | 250 | 79 | -22 | +1 | +5 | -0 | +9 | -0.7 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 571 | 108 | 37 | 3 | 8 | 49 | 167 | 6 | 15 | 2 | 189 | 260 | 306 | 567 | 117 | 248 | 26 | 8 | 250 | 79 | -35 | +2 | +8 | -1 | +14 | -1.1 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 3357 | 2997 | 688 | 146 | 22 | 51 | 265 | 761 | 45 | 154 | 51 | 230 | 302 | 344 | 646 | 114 | 289 | 23 | 8 | 285 | 79 | -28 | +2 | +6 | -3 | +13 | -1.0 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 580 | 133 | 28 | 4 | 10 | 51 | 147 | 9 | 30 | 10 | 229 | 301 | 343 | 644 | 114 | 288 | 23 | 8 | 285 | 79 | -30 | +3 | +6 | -3 | +14 | -1.0 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2025 AAAReno Aces · 456 PAwOBA .352 → .316 (−36)K% 20.8% → 24.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.83% | ÷1.025 | ×1.200 | — | — | 24.38% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.62% | ÷0.964 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.048 | 8.72% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.22% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.048 | 0.22% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.09% | ÷0.994 | ×0.930 | ×1.011 | ×1.048 | 25.85% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.70% | ÷1.069 | ×0.830 | ×1.011 | ×1.048 | 7.98% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.67% | ÷0.902 | ×0.970 | ×1.011 | ×1.048 | 0.76% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.34% | ÷0.904 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.048 | 1.90% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 81, 1B 99, 2B 114, 3B 80, K 105, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.011.
Result: wOBA .352 → .316; ISO .137 → .117; BABIP .369 → .349. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AAAReno Aces · 329 PAwOBA .343 → .282 (−61)K% 17.9% → 22.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.93% | ÷0.964 | ×1.200 | — | — | 22.33% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.55% | ÷1.012 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.050 | 8.27% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.91% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.050 | 0.90% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.57% | ÷1.076 | ×0.930 | ×1.011 | ×1.050 | 20.70% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.52% | ÷1.025 | ×0.830 | ×1.011 | ×1.050 | 6.47% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.44% | ÷1.017 | ×0.970 | ×1.011 | ×1.050 | 0.45% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.54% | ÷1.124 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.050 | 2.31% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 125, 1B 115, 2B 105, 3B 103, K 93, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.011.
Result: wOBA .343 → .282; ISO .151 → .113; BABIP .314 → .280. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 ROKACL D-backs · 38 PAwOBA .306 → .218 (−88)K% 18.4% → 27.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.42% | ÷0.965 | ×1.440 | — | — | 27.49% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.26% | ÷1.069 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.965 | 2.95% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.63% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.965 | 1.83% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.52% | ÷1.009 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.965 | 14.52% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.70% | ÷1.031 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.965 | 2.50% |
| Triples /BIP | 3.70% | ÷0.984 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.965 | 2.62% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.70% | ÷0.875 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.965 | 3.19% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 75, 1B 102, 2B 106, 3B 97, K 93, BB 114 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 19.5 → −3.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .306 → .218; ISO .176 → .131; BABIP .259 → .195. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AAAReno Aces · 502 PAwOBA .369 → .308 (−61)K% 16.3% → 20.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.33% | ÷0.951 | ×1.200 | — | — | 20.61% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 15.94% | ÷1.096 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.050 | 10.53% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.60% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.050 | 0.59% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.82% | ÷1.026 | ×0.930 | ×1.001 | ×1.050 | 20.79% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.06% | ÷1.059 | ×0.830 | ×1.001 | ×1.050 | 4.99% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.42% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | ×1.001 | ×1.050 | 2.15% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.94% | ÷1.012 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.050 | 2.86% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 102, 1B 105, 2B 112, 3B 130, K 90, BB 119 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.001.
Result: wOBA .369 → .308; ISO .182 → .149; BABIP .312 → .285. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AAAmarillo Sod Poodles · 510 PAwOBA .352 → .302 (−50)K% 15.7% → 19.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.69% | ÷1.008 | ×1.220 | — | — | 18.99% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.55% | ÷1.061 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.050 | 8.70% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.78% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×1.050 | 0.72% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.47% | ÷1.048 | ×0.920 | ×1.008 | ×1.050 | 19.94% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.47% | ÷1.022 | ×0.840 | ×1.008 | ×1.050 | 7.37% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.56% | ÷0.938 | ×0.940 | ×1.008 | ×1.050 | 0.60% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.39% | ÷1.094 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.050 | 2.60% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 119, 1B 110, 2B 104, 3B 88, K 102, BB 112 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 24.8 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.008.
Result: wOBA .352 → .302; ISO .161 → .138; BABIP .314 → .285. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 A+Hillsboro Hops · 43 PAwOBA .346 → .305 (−41)K% 11.6% → 15.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 11.63% | ÷1.046 | ×1.350 | — | — | 15.00% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.65% | ÷0.974 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.027 | 3.48% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.33% | — | ×0.810 | — | ×1.027 | 1.93% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.86% | ÷0.965 | ×0.910 | — | ×1.027 | 22.14% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.57% | ÷1.100 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.027 | 6.64% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.006 | ×0.820 | — | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.86% | ÷0.848 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.027 | 2.87% |
Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 70, 1B 93, 2B 120, 3B 101, K 109, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .346 → .305; ISO .150 → .131; BABIP .324 → .296. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 A+Hillsboro Hops · 272 PAwOBA .322 → .246 (−75)K% 17.6% → 24.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.65% | ÷0.970 | ×1.350 | — | — | 24.57% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.09% | ÷1.011 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.042 | 5.92% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.21% | — | ×0.810 | — | ×1.042 | 1.86% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.07% | ÷1.033 | ×0.910 | ×0.986 | ×1.042 | 17.25% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.28% | ÷1.304 | ×0.830 | ×0.986 | ×1.042 | 6.07% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.55% | ÷1.108 | ×0.820 | ×0.986 | ×1.042 | 1.17% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.06% | ÷0.972 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.042 | 1.83% |
Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 94, 1B 107, 2B 161, 3B 122, K 94, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.986.
Result: wOBA .322 → .246; ISO .149 → .106; BABIP .304 → .248. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 AVisalia Rawhide · 163 PAwOBA .366 → .311 (−55)K% 19.0% → 26.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.02% | ÷0.988 | ×1.360 | — | — | 26.19% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.29% | ÷1.013 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.030 | 3.01% |
| HBP% /PA | 4.29% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.030 | 3.45% |
| Singles /BIP | 32.76% | ÷1.006 | ×0.920 | ×1.008 | ×1.030 | 31.13% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.90% | ÷1.056 | ×0.830 | ×1.008 | ×1.030 | 5.63% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.054 | ×0.910 | ×1.008 | ×1.030 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.59% | ÷0.923 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.030 | 2.31% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 85, 1B 101, 2B 111, 3B 111, K 98, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.008.
Result: wOBA .366 → .311; ISO .116 → .094; BABIP .404 → .373. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .