Jorge Barrosa — OGILVIE

Jorge BarrosaLF Arizona Diamondbacks

Age 25 S/L 5'6" / 165 lbs MLB HR +4% Svc 0.407 · Ctrl thru 2031

2026 ROS PROJECTION129 act + 103 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†vL 18-2vR -53

AVG/OBP/SLG.215 / .284 / .355

PA103

HR2

K%25

BB%8

BABIP273

ISO140

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 50 / POW 35

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026

CONTACT50

Whiff%

904.9%

xwOBA

100.219

POWER35

Barrel%

174.0

Avg EV

2086.8

Bat Spd

3369.6

EYE50

Chase%

9015.4%

SPEED55

Sprint

7628.5

DEFENSE60

scouting grade only

Platoon Splits2025-2026 · 140 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

—

wRC+

-3

◀◀L

wOBA

277

181

◀◀L

ISO

187

103

◀◀L

BABIP

207

271

▶▶R

22.9%

38.6%

◀◀L

BB%

7.1%

0.0%

—

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2024

Service 0.407 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2031

First FA Year 2032

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext	$0.3M	—	—	—
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.8	$3M	+$2M
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$1M		$3M	+$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2018	17	ROK	Missoula Osprey	—	308	276	58	6	4	2	18	65	12	39	8	210	288	283	570	72	265	21	6	253	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	17	ROK	Missoula Osprey	—	308	265	74	8	6	3	29	45	12	39	8	279	376	389	764	109	324	15	9	347	124	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	20	A+	2 teams	—	435	398	84	14	2	6	20	112	13	29	11	211	271	302	573	90	277	26	5	251	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	20	A+	2 teams	—	435	389	111	26	3	7	29	79	13	29	11	285	355	422	777	136	341	18	7	346	123	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	AA	2 teams	—	553	500	116	28	2	11	41	108	5	26	12	232	297	362	659	130	274	20	7	286	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	AA	2 teams	—	553	474	132	33	2	13	67	85	5	26	12	278	374	439	812	160	315	15	12	360	134	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	AAA	Reno Aces	—	502	444	92	15	5	10	48	117	3	15	7	207	289	331	620	124	256	23	10	273	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	AAA	Reno Aces	—	502	412	113	20	8	13	80	82	3	15	7	274	396	456	852	182	312	16	16	376	146	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AAA	4 teams	—	449	406	78	18	2	7	32	111	4	17	5	192	258	298	556	106	243	25	7	243	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AAA	4 teams	—	449	394	99	21	3	9	44	82	4	17	5	251	333	388	721	137	293	18	10	320	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AAA	2 teams	—	533	478	111	24	2	8	43	139	2	10	4	232	298	341	639	109	306	26	8	279	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AAA	2 teams	—	533	465	126	32	2	8	56	117	2	10	4	271	352	400	752	129	341	22	11	333	113	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	25	MLB	ARI	—	129	113	21	10	1	2	10	36	1	0	0	186	258	345	603	159	253	28	8	257	55	-7	+0	+1	-1	+4	-0.3
YTD	25	MLB	ARI	—	129	113	21	10	1	2	10	36	1	0	0	186	258	345	603	159	253	28	8	260	57	-6	+0	+1	-1	+4	-0.3
ROS	25	MLB	ARI	100%	103	93	20	5	1	2	8	26	1	3	1	215	284	355	639	140	274	25	8	283	74	-3	+0	+1	+0	+3	0.1
ROS	25	MLB	ARI	100%	103	93	20	5	1	2	8	26	1	3	1	215	284	355	639	140	277	25	8	280	72	-3	+0	+1	+0	+3	0.1
FULL	25	MLB	ARI	—	232	206	41	15	2	4	18	62	2	3	1	199	270	350	619	150	262	27	8	267	63	-10	+0	+2	-1	+7	-0.2
TOT	25	MLB	ARI	—	232	206	41	15	2	4	18	62	2	3	1	199	270	350	619	150	262	27	8	269	64	-10	+0	+2	-1	+7	-0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	26	MLB	ARI	65%	415	375	80	20	2	8	34	105	3	14	3	213	284	341	625	128	272	25	8	282	74	-12	+2	+4	+1	+12	0.7
2027	26	MLB	ARI	65%	270	244	52	13	2	5	22	68	2	9	2	213	284	344	628	131	274	25	8	279	72	-9	+1	+2	+1	+8	0.4
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	468	425	85	23	3	8	32	118	4	13	3	200	262	325	587	125	253	25	7	259	56	-23	+1	+7	+5	+13	0.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	590	118	32	4	11	44	164	6	18	4	200	263	324	586	124	254	25	7	259	56	-32	+2	+9	+7	+18	0.5
Career	—			—	3298	2970	639	130	20	54	244	783	43	153	51	215	284	327	611	112	271	24	7	269	64	-135	+10	+8	+12	+93	-1.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	585	127	26	4	11	48	154	8	30	10	217	285	332	617	115	274	24	7	269	64	-27	+2	+2	+2	+18	-0.2

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2018	17	ROK	Missoula Osprey	—	308	265	74	8	6	3	29	45	12	39	8	279	376	389	764	109	324	15	9	347	124	+8	+5	—	—	+9	2.2
2021	20	A+	Hillsboro Hops	—	272	242	62	18	3	4	22	48	6	20	7	256	333	405	738	149	304	18	8	329	110	+3	+1	—	—	+8	1.2
2021	20	A	Visalia Rawhide	—	163	147	49	8	0	3	7	31	7	9	4	333	391	449	840	116	404	19	4	374	144	+8	+0	—	—	+5	1.3
2022	21	AA	Amarillo Sod Poodles	—	510	434	120	30	2	12	65	80	4	22	11	276	376	438	814	161	314	16	13	360	134	+20	+0	—	—	+14	3.5
2022	21	A+	Hillsboro Hops	—	43	40	12	3	0	1	2	5	1	4	1	300	349	450	799	150	324	12	5	356	131	+1	+0	—	—	+1	0.3
2023	22	AAA	Reno Aces	—	502	412	113	20	8	13	80	82	3	15	7	274	396	456	852	182	312	16	16	376	146	+26	+0	—	—	+14	4.1
2024	23	MLB	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	18	17	3	2	0	0	0	2	0	1	0	176	176	294	471	118	200	11	0	193	6	-2	+0	+1	+2	+1	0.1
2024	23	AAA	Reno Aces	—	329	285	77	17	1	8	38	59	3	12	4	270	362	421	783	151	314	18	12	349	126	+10	+1	—	—	+9	2.0
2024	23	ROK	ACL D-backs	—	38	34	8	1	1	1	2	7	1	1	1	235	297	412	709	176	259	18	5	306	92	-0	-0	—	—	+1	0.1
2024	23	INTL	Cangrejeros de Santurce	—	64	58	11	1	1	0	4	14	0	3	0	190	242	241	483	52	244	22	6	216	24	-6	+1	—	—	+2	-0.3
2025	24	MLB	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	77	71	10	3	0	1	2	22	1	0	0	141	176	225	401	85	176	29	3	175	-8	-9	+0	+3	+2	+2	-0.3
2025	24	AAA	Reno Aces	—	456	394	116	29	2	7	54	95	1	10	4	294	381	431	812	137	369	21	12	360	133	+17	+0	—	—	+13	3.1
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	95	88	13	5	0	1	2	24	1	1	0	148	176	239	414	91	182	25	2	179	-5	-11	+0	+3	+4	+3	-0.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Chad Moellerlast yr '09 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,524 PA	10	1,524	29	2	226	288	351	+19	+14	3.8	4.3
	/162	664	13	1	226	288	351	+8.5	+6.2	1.6	pk7: 5
#2Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#2Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#3Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	9	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
	/162	664	18	6	227	293	367	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#4Juan Castrolast yr '10 career totals — 11 seasons, 2,352 PA	11	2,352	34	4	237	273	341	+10	+21	1.0	2.7
	/162	664	10	1	237	273	341	+3.0	+5.8	0.3	pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	4	708	13	19	204	267	330	-1	+7	-0.9	-0.8
	/162	664	12	18	204	267	330	-1.2	+6.1	-0.9	pk7: -1
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jorge Barrosa (OGILVIE)	25	50	35	55	50	199/270/350	150	262	4	3	27%	8%	64	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Nick Sogard 2023 · AAA	25	44→50	43→45	51→50	48	220/287/326	106	273	11	15	23%	8%	72	-0.2	228/300/331	103	288	9	16	22%	9%	78	+0.2	234/313/345	111	295	10	15	22%	10%	84	+0.5
✕Alejandro Ortiz 2014 · AAA	24	47→53	42→30	56→50	42	227/281/334	107	302	9	20	27%	6%	70	-0.3	227/275/324	97	330	8	15	31%	6%	65	-0.7	253/306/338	86	352	7	11	28%	6%	80	+0.2
✕Darnell Sweeney 2016 · MLB	25	45→48	45→50	51→55	42	222/276/353	131	299	12	21	29%	6%	73	-0.1	212/262/325	113	290	10	16	29%	6%	60	-1.0	198/252/314	116	294	12	14	35%	6%	51	-0.9
✕Jarred Ball 2008 · AAA	25	47→49	40→45	51→60	43	225/280/323	98	302	6	19	26%	6%	66	-0.6	226/286/335	109	316	6	19	28%	7%	72	-0.2	223/297/341	118	336	3	32	31%	9%	74	-0.0
✕Luis González 2022 · AAA	26	43→52	44→45	51→50	46	215/279/327	112	272	13	18	26%	7%	69	-0.4	240/311/358	118	312	11	18	25%	9%	90	+1.0	246/323/362	117	312	10	20	23%	9%	93	+0.6
✕Jason Romano 2004 · MLB	25	44	41→45	56→50	46	216/271/313	97	270	8	20	23%	7%	61	-1.0	226/276/341	115	281	11	11	23%	6%	70	-0.3	255/296/373	118	310	9	9	20%	5%	84	+0.3
✕Leo Rivas 2023 · AAA	25	44→54	40	53→65	46	213/282/304	90	289	8	20	28%	8%	63	-0.8	232/329/331	99	311	9	36	25%	12%	91	+1.1	239/352/335	95	318	9	44	24%	14%	101	+1.2
✕Dalton Pompey 2018 · MLB	25	49→59	39→45	52→55	45	235/288/323	88	299	6	21	23%	7%	70	-0.3	228/292/331	103	311	9	16	28%	8%	75	-0.0	234/297/344	110	309	11	17	26%	7%	79	+0.1
✕Kaleb Cowart 2017 · MLB	25	43→52	42→45	52→50	40	211/258/321	110	288	9	15	29%	6%	57	-1.2	220/271/344	124	286	11	15	26%	6%	69	-0.4	219/272/343	124	277	11	14	25%	6%	65	-0.5
✕Tyler Goeddel 2018 · MLB	25	45→50	41→45	53→55	45	217/280/317	100	275	8	16	23%	7%	66	-0.6	198/260/284	86	284	6	9	30%	6%	49	-1.8	175/236/245	70	265	4	5	34%	6%	26	-1.4
✕Juan Silva 2016 · AAA	25	47→46	39→45	55	51	221/296/313	92	288	5	23	24%	9%	72	-0.2	220/289/315	95	287	7	14	24%	8%	69	-0.4	200/265/266	66	279	4	6	28%	8%	46	-0.5
✕Cole Tucker 2021 · MLB	25	45→46	43→45	52→55	44	221/275/333	112	281	9	14	25%	7%	68	-0.5	206/270/307	101	289	9	13	30%	8%	59	-1.1	195/269/285	89	281	7	13	31%	9%	51	-0.9
✕Yancarlo Angulo 2012 · AAA	25	48→51	39→45	53→55	44	229/281/322	93	285	6	18	22%	6%	66	-0.6	240/290/350	110	306	9	13	24%	4%	79	+0.3	238/290/343	105	305	9	11	24%	4%	74	-0.0
✕Ben Copeland 2009 · AAA	25	50→55	41→45	55	49	236/297/346	110	288	6	16	20%	8%	79	+0.3	240/291/351	111	300	8	19	21%	7%	79	+0.3	244/295/358	114	305	8	21	22%	6%	80	+0.2
✕Drew Ferguson 2018 · AAA	25	49	43→45	51→55	44	234/298/348	114	315	10	19	28%	7%	82	+0.5	241/322/354	113	329	10	19	28%	9%	93	+1.3	231/324/331	100	329	9	23	29%	10%	86	+0.4
✕Clete Thomas 2009 · MLB	25	48→52	42→50	53→55	45	230/290/343	113	306	9	23	27%	7%	77	+0.1	227/297/358	131	320	12	24	30%	8%	84	+0.6	216/273/352	136	301	13	21	31%	7%	69	-0.3
✕Tyler Saladino 2014 · AAA	25	42→47	40→45	55	47	206/277/296	90	272	8	23	26%	8%	59	-1.1	239/290/343	104	296	9	23	21%	6%	76	+0.1	256/300/368	112	305	11	25	19%	5%	85	+0.4
✕Daniel Ortmeier 2007 · MLB	26	44→51	45→50	51→55	42	220/275/345	125	270	13	19	23%	5%	71	-0.3	225/279/344	119	287	11	16	25%	6%	72	-0.2	228/287/338	110	295	10	15	25%	6%	73	-0.1
✕Matt Rudick 2023 · AAA	25	42→44	39→45	54→50	49	201/285/293	92	253	5	16	22%	8%	63	-0.9	220/305/352	132	274	13	14	23%	9%	86	+0.8	206/302/338	132	254	15	16	24%	10%	78	+0.1
✕Elliot Johnson 2009 · MLB	25	43→53	44→45	52→60	38	214/259/338	124	292	11	16	30%	5%	63	-0.9	230/275/356	126	300	13	20	27%	5%	73	-0.1	234/287/347	113	305	11	30	26%	6%	73	-0.1