Luis González — OGILVIE

Luis GonzálezRF Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders

Age 30 L/L 5'11" / 185 lbs AAA HR +8% Svc 4.000 · Ctrl thru 2027

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 200 proj PA

wRC+†76

AVG/OBP/SLG.217 / .296 / .324

PA200

HR3

SB5

K%26

BB%9

ISO109

MLB%10%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractPOW 37

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2020-2022

CONTACT—

Whiff%

5910.0%

xwOBA

190.272

POWER37

Barrel%

102.4

Avg EV

1486.3

EYE58

Chase%

6828.2%

SPEED62

Sprint

6828.2

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Arb-2

MLB Debut 2022

Service 4.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2027

First FA Year 2028

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Arb-2	$0.2M	—	—	—
2027	Arb-3	$0.6M	—	—	—
Totals		$0.0M		$-2M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2017	21	A	2 teams	—	299	264	49	10	3	2	28	74	3	2	3	186	271	269	540	83	249	25	9	242	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	21	A	2 teams	—	299	250	59	14	4	2	42	53	3	2	3	236	353	348	701	112	291	18	14	319	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	22	A+	2 teams	—	543	501	125	34	3	11	30	155	3	10	7	250	296	395	691	146	332	29	6	299	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	22	A+	2 teams	—	543	482	148	40	5	14	48	103	3	10	7	307	373	498	871	191	359	19	9	377	147	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	23	AA	Birmingham Barons	—	535	483	101	14	3	8	37	113	5	17	9	209	272	300	573	91	250	21	7	257	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	23	AA	Birmingham Barons	—	535	473	117	18	4	9	47	89	5	17	9	247	322	359	681	112	281	17	9	304	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	25	AAA	Charlotte Knights	—	163	145	29	3	0	4	14	48	2	9	2	200	280	303	583	103	266	29	9	263	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	25	AAA	Charlotte Knights	—	163	137	33	4	0	7	22	41	2	9	2	241	354	423	777	182	289	25	13	346	123	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	26	MLB	2 teams	—	442	391	100	19	2	9	41	104	4	14	4	256	333	384	716	128	320	24	9	313	97	-1	+1	-5	-5	+13	0.2
2022	26	MLB	2 teams	—	442	387	100	18	2	10	45	97	4	14	4	258	342	393	735	134	315	22	10	328	109	+4	+1	-5	-5	+13	0.8
2023	27	AAA	Sacramento River Cats	—	110	97	22	4	1	1	10	22	2	6	2	227	312	320	632	93	280	20	9	281	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	27	AAA	Sacramento River Cats	—	110	94	24	5	1	1	13	20	2	6	2	255	358	362	720	106	311	18	12	328	109	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	28	AAA	2 teams	—	169	149	38	7	4	0	13	55	4	5	0	255	331	356	687	101	396	33	8	297	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	28	AAA	2 teams	—	169	147	45	8	2	3	15	33	4	5	0	306	386	449	835	143	372	20	9	368	139	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	30	MLB	NYY	—	200	177	39	8	1	3	18	52	3	5	1	220	303	328	631	107	289	26	9	284	76	-6	+1	-0	-2	+6	-0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	31	MLB	NYY	27%	185	165	36	7	1	3	16	49	2	4	1	218	295	327	622	109	286	26	9	280	72	-6	+0	-3	-2	+5	-0.5
2027	31	MLB	NYY	27%	51	46	10	2	0	1	4	14	1	1	0	217	294	326	620	109	287	27	8	273	67	-2	+0	-1	-1	+1	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	401	357	88	19	2	5	34	89	5	11	2	246	321	353	674	106	310	22	8	302	89	-5	+1	-6	-5	+11	-0.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	579	142	31	3	8	55	144	8	18	3	245	319	351	670	105	308	22	8	302	89	-8	+2	-10	-9	+18	-0.6
Career	—			—	2646	2372	539	106	18	41	207	672	28	72	29	227	297	339	636	112	295	25	8	281	73	-81	+3	-8	-28	+75	-4.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	583	132	26	4	10	51	165	7	18	7	226	297	336	633	110	293	25	8	281	73	-20	+1	-2	-7	+18	-1.0

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2017	21	A	Kannapolis Intimidators	—	277	233	57	13	4	2	38	50	3	2	3	245	358	361	718	116	302	18	14	326	108	+2	-1	—	—	+8	1.0
2017	21	ROK	Great Falls Voyagers	—	22	17	2	1	0	0	4	3	0	0	0	118	286	176	462	59	143	14	18	226	31	-2	+0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2018	22	A+	Winston-Salem Dash	—	288	252	79	24	3	6	27	46	2	3	5	313	383	504	887	190	354	16	9	382	151	+16	-1	—	—	+8	2.4
2018	22	A	Kannapolis Intimidators	—	255	230	69	16	2	8	21	57	1	7	2	300	361	491	852	191	365	22	8	371	142	+12	+1	—	—	+7	2.0
2019	23	AA	Birmingham Barons	—	535	473	117	18	4	9	47	89	5	17	9	247	322	359	681	112	281	17	9	304	91	-6	-0	—	—	+15	1.0
2021	25	AAA	Charlotte Knights	—	163	137	33	4	0	7	22	41	2	9	2	241	354	423	777	182	289	25	13	346	123	+4	+1	—	—	+5	1.0
2022	26	MLB	San Francisco Giants	—	350	311	78	17	2	4	30	75	4	10	2	251	325	357	682	106	312	21	9	306	92	-3	+1	-5	-5	+10	-0.2
2022	26	AAA	Sacramento River Cats	—	92	76	22	1	0	6	15	22	0	4	2	289	407	539	946	250	327	24	16	411	173	+8	+0	—	—	+3	1.0
2023	27	AAA	Sacramento River Cats	—	110	94	24	5	1	1	13	20	2	6	2	255	358	362	720	106	311	18	12	328	109	+1	+0	—	—	+3	0.5
2024	28	AAA	Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders	—	91	78	22	5	2	0	10	24	2	3	0	282	378	397	775	115	400	26	11	348	125	+3	+1	—	—	+3	0.6
2024	28	INTL	Naranjeros de Hermosillo	—	78	69	23	3	0	3	5	9	2	2	0	333	395	507	902	174	345	12	6	390	157	+5	+0	—	—	+2	0.8
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	350	311	78	17	2	4	30	75	4	10	2	251	325	357	682	106	312	21	9	306	92	-3	+1	-5	-5	+10	-0.2

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Damian Jacksonlast yr '06 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,930 PA	6	1,930	21	95	248	324	354	-6	-5	3.6	3.6
	/162	664	7	33	248	324	354	-1.9	-1.6	1.2	pk7: 4
#2Chris Singletonlast yr '05 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,909 PA	5	1,909	28	61	265	308	392	-9	-3	3.3	3.3
	/162	664	10	21	265	308	392	-3.0	-1.2	1.2	pk7: 3
#3Jose Offermanlast yr '05 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,767 PA	5	1,767	27	15	253	342	362	-14	-2	3.2	3.2
	/162	664	10	6	253	342	362	-5.4	-0.7	1.2	pk7: 3
#4Pokey Reeselast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,914 PA	5	1,914	29	78	242	303	347	-6	+6	2.7	2.7
	/162	664	10	27	242	303	347	-2.0	+2.2	1.0	pk7: 3
#5Raimel Tapialast yr '23 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,959 PA	6	1,959	28	60	275	319	389	-21	-13	2.1	2.1
	/162	664	9	20	275	319	389	-7.1	-4.4	0.7	pk7: 2
#6Doug Glanvillelast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 2,256 PA	5	2,256	35	90	259	290	356	-9	+3	1.3	1.3
	/162	664	10	26	259	290	356	-2.8	+0.9	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	1	421	5	11	245	316	351	-5	-2	0.2	0.3
	/162	664	8	18	245	316	351	-7.1	-3.3	0.4	pk7: 0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Luis González (OGILVIE)	30	—	37	62	58	217/296/324	108	289	3	5	26%	9%	76	+0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Daniel Nunez 2013 · AAA	31	49→50	40→30	54→50	47	230/316/331	100	315	6	17	27%	8%	85	+0.7	239/308/321	82	302	6	12	22%	7%	79	+0.3	237/304/301	64	299	4	10	20%	6%	69	-0.2
✕Francisco Rivera 2019 · AAA	30	46	40	48→40	47	222/274/315	93	266	7	8	20%	7%	63	-0.9	244/295/359	115	290	14	7	20%	7%	83	+0.6	254/306/350	95	298	13	2	19%	7%	84	+0.3
✕Nate Spears 2014 · AAA	29	42→52	42→45	50	48	205/276/309	104	265	9	10	25%	8%	63	-0.9	228/281/340	112	308	10	12	28%	7%	72	-0.2	252/289/359	107	350	8	13	29%	5%	79	+0.1
✕Roger Bernadina 2015 · MLB	31	43→53	43→45	53→60	48	210/295/321	111	283	10	15	28%	9%	74	-0.1	214/287/330	116	314	11	20	33%	8%	72	-0.2	221/290/331	110	319	11	20	32%	8%	71	-0.2
✕Eric Patterson 2013 · MLB	30	41→51	42→50	57→60	47	203/271/310	107	266	9	22	26%	8%	60	-1.0	209/274/302	93	278	8	15	26%	8%	59	-1.1	167/228/191	24	226	0	8	24%	7%	7	-0.9
✕Tyler Saladino 2019 · MLB	30	45→47	43→45	50→55	46	220/285/327	107	284	11	16	26%	8%	71	-0.3	219/288/382	163	284	20	14	29%	8%	87	+0.8	199/271/381	183	248	24	14	30%	8%	76	+0.1
✕Nolan Fontana 2019 · MLB	28	40→43	43→40	51→50	51	198/284/313	115	267	10	12	28%	10%	68	-0.5	202/287/326	124	291	12	10	32%	10%	72	-0.2	124/238/209	86	192	10	0	38%	12%	22	-0.8
✕Matthew den Dekker 2018 · MLB	30	39→49	45→50	51→55	41	199/254/325	125	267	12	18	30%	6%	57	-1.2	218/260/366	148	304	15	14	32%	5%	70	-0.3	215/249/377	162	301	17	11	34%	4%	65	-0.4
✕Josh Prince 2018 · AA	30	44→49	43→40	50→60	43	217/274/327	110	290	11	15	28%	7%	66	-0.6	231/299/344	113	331	11	14	31%	8%	81	+0.4	233/308/333	101	337	10	15	31%	10%	79	+0.2
✕Anthony Seratelli 2013 · AAA	30	46→49	45	55	46	230/292/350	120	292	13	21	25%	7%	79	+0.3	228/298/344	116	301	12	19	26%	8%	81	+0.4	220/299/325	105	294	10	21	26%	9%	74	-0.0
✕Jonathan Davis 2022 · MLB	30	40→50	44→45	52→55	48	198/302/313	116	269	11	19	29%	9%	77	+0.1	225/308/344	119	307	11	22	28%	9%	85	+0.7	224/306/341	117	313	11	22	29%	9%	81	+0.2
✕Kristopher Negrón 2016 · MLB	30	41→51	41→45	52→55	40	204/259/301	97	269	9	13	27%	5%	53	-1.5	218/271/338	120	294	12	17	29%	5%	68	-0.5	219/281/336	117	319	13	14	33%	6%	68	-0.4
✕Taylor Kohlwey 2023 · AAA	29	48→55	40→45	48→50	48	228/297/323	95	294	8	10	24%	8%	75	-0.0	227/307/336	109	294	9	12	24%	9%	82	+0.5	237/332/353	115	300	10	15	22%	11%	95	+1.2
✕Garrett Stubbs 2022 · MLB	29	45	43→45	53→50	53	220/304/331	110	272	10	15	22%	10%	80	+0.4	227/306/347	120	292	12	12	25%	9%	85	+0.7	217/300/315	98	284	9	12	25%	9%	73	-0.0
✕Brad Coon 2012 · AAA	29	47→57	37→40	52→60	49	223/289/301	78	286	4	16	22%	8%	66	-0.6	214/289/296	82	280	5	16	23%	9%	64	-0.8	199/283/258	58	262	3	18	22%	10%	50	-1.0
✕Jason Repko 2011 · MLB	30	46→48	46→50	53→55	44	230/291/359	129	285	14	20	24%	6%	82	+0.5	218/276/336	118	282	13	17	26%	6%	69	-0.4	197/255/299	102	260	11	18	28%	6%	49	-0.6
✕Pete Orr 2010 · MLB	31	47→45	41→45	56→55	41	226/268/330	104	276	8	20	21%	4%	63	-0.8	225/268/334	109	275	8	22	21%	4%	65	-0.7	242/269/332	90	309	6	16	23%	3%	59	-0.7
✕Jeff Salazar 2010 · MLB	29	47→51	45→50	57→55	50	233/297/360	127	273	12	17	20%	8%	84	+0.6	207/267/316	109	253	13	23	23%	7%	60	-1.0	192/255/290	99	234	12	25	23%	7%	46	-1.2
✕Jermaine Clark 2006 · MLB	29	45→43	42→45	51→60	54	215/288/323	109	242	9	20	16%	9%	71	-0.3	215/277/308	93	265	8	28	21%	8%	62	-0.9	204/266/270	66	258	5	39	22%	8%	46	-1.4
✕Bubba Crosby 2006 · MLB	29	45	43→40	51→50	44	221/271/329	108	253	12	13	18%	5%	66	-0.6	215/278/333	118	260	11	17	21%	6%	69	-0.4	205/272/313	108	250	8	28	21%	6%	59	-0.3