Nick Sogard — OGILVIE

Nick Sogard2B Boston Red Sox

Age 28 S/R 6'1" / 189 lbs MLB HR -5%K -4% Svc 2.000S2 · Ctrl thru 2029

2026 ROS PROJECTION437 act + 9 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†vL 100100vR 100

AVG/OBP/SLG.125 / .222 / .125

PA9

HR0

K%22

BB%11

BABIP305

ISO110

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

2026 MLB RUNS · solid = so far · light = projected ROS (park-applied)

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$3M ctrl surplus

Tools · Recent Form · Splits · ContractCON 55 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026

CONTACT55

Whiff%

904.4%

xAVG

550.255

POWER40

Barrel%

204.3

Avg EV

1986.7

Bat Spd

1867.9

EYE55

Chase%

9013.4%

SPEED55

Sprint

5227.6

Recent Formrolling true talent ⓘ

K%23%▼23% over 117 PA (30d) · proj 22%

BB%12%▲▲13% over 179 PA (45d) · proj 10%

ISO.128▲.147 over 156 AB (60d) · proj .110xISO .109 vs .124 prior — approach does NOT back the move

HR/BB2.8%·3.4% over 119 BBE (60d) · proj 2.3%barrel% 4.6% vs 5.6% prior

BABIP.307·.330 over 115 BIP (60d) · proj .304xBABIP .275 vs .315 prior

SLASH.244/.336/.373▲proj .243/.320/.353

Platoon Splits2024-2025 · 171 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

136

—

wRC+

139

◀◀L

wOBA

374

276

◀◀L

ISO

114

058

◀◀L

BABIP

500

332

◀◀L

25.7%

—

BB%

0.0%

7.4%

—

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb SUPER-2

MLB Debut 2024

Service 2.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2029

First FA Year 2030

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Arb-1	$0.0M	+0.1	$0.4M	+$0.4M
2027	Arb-2	$3M	+0.7	$3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2028	Arb-3	$5M	+0.5	$2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$5M	+$0.4M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	23	AA	Portland Sea Dogs	—	63	57	15	0	1	0	5	11	1	1	1	263	333	298	632	35	326	17	8	294	85	-1	-0	—	—	+1	0.0
2021	23	A+	Greenville Drive	—	275	240	67	12	1	13	27	48	2	7	3	279	357	500	857	221	292	17	10	369	136	+12	+0	—	—	+6	1.8
2022	24	AAA	Worcester Red Sox	—	237	201	52	13	1	0	30	45	2	9	1	259	361	333	694	75	327	19	13	317	101	+0	+1	—	—	+5	0.7
2022	24	AA	Portland Sea Dogs	—	235	200	50	9	1	4	31	43	4	9	3	250	362	365	727	115	301	18	13	335	113	+4	+1	—	—	+5	0.9
2022	24	INTL	Toros del Este	—	30	28	7	0	0	0	1	9	1	2	0	250	300	250	550		368	30	3	259	61	-1	+0	—	—	+1	-0.0
2023	25	AAA	Worcester Red Sox	—	460	391	104	20	4	7	63	79	3	17	7	266	372	391	763	125	316	17	14	345	120	+11	+1	—	—	+10	2.2
2024	26	MLB	Boston Red Sox	—	86	77	21	4	0	0	7	25	0	3	0	273	333	325	658	52	389	29	8	295	86	-1	+1	+2	+2	+2	0.5
2024	26	AAA	Worcester Red Sox	—	440	368	104	19	1	13	64	90	3	10	6	283	393	446	839	163	338	20	15	373	139	+20	-0	—	—	+10	3.0
2025	27	MLB	Boston Red Sox	—	104	96	25	8	0	0	5	24	3	2	1	260	317	344	661	83	347	23	5	301	90	-1	+0	-1	-9	+2	-0.9
2025	27	AAA	Worcester Red Sox	—	409	340	94	22	0	5	64	73	2	16	4	276	394	385	779	109	338	18	16	356	127	+13	+2	—	—	+9	2.4
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	190	173	46	12	0	0	12	49	3	5	1	266	324	335	660	69	365	26	6	299	88	-3	+1	+1	-7	+4	-0.5
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	23	AA MLE	Portland Sea Dogs	—	63	59	14	0	1	0	3	13	1	1	1	237	286	271	557	34	302	21	5	250	55	-3	-0	—	—	+1	-0.2
2021	23	A+ MLE	Greenville Drive	—	275	248	56	9	1	12	19	65	2	7	3	226	286	415	702	190	238	24	7	299	88	-4	+0	—	—	+6	0.2
2022	24	AAA MLE	Worcester Red Sox	—	237	210	46	9	1	0	21	53	2	9	1	219	296	271	568	52	284	22	9	260	62	-11	+1	—	—	+5	-0.4
2022	24	AA MLE	Portland Sea Dogs	—	235	210	45	7	1	3	21	53	4	9	3	214	298	300	598	86	271	23	9	269	68	-9	+1	—	—	+5	-0.3
2023	25	AAA MLE	Worcester Red Sox	—	460	411	91	13	4	5	43	92	3	17	7	221	300	309	609	88	271	20	9	274	72	-16	+1	—	—	+10	-0.5
2024	26	MLB MLE	Boston Red Sox	—	86	77	21	4	0	0	7	25	0	3	0	273	333	325	658	52	389	29	8	286	80	-2	+1	+2	+2	+2	0.4
2024	26	AAA MLE	Worcester Red Sox	—	440	391	93	17	1	9	41	107	3	10	6	238	315	355	670	118	297	24	9	300	89	-6	-0	—	—	+10	0.4
2025	27	MLB MLE	Boston Red Sox	—	104	96	25	8	0	0	5	24	3	2	1	260	317	344	661	83	347	23	5	290	83	-2	+0	-1	-9	+2	-1.0
2025	27	AAA MLE	Worcester Red Sox	—	409	361	83	19	0	4	43	86	2	16	4	230	315	316	631	86	286	21	11	280	76	-12	+2	—	—	+9	-0.1
2021	23	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	338	307	70	9	2	12	22	78	3	8	4	228	286	388	674	160	260	23	7	290	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	338	297	82	12	2	13	32	59	3	8	4	276	352	461	814	185	299	17	9	355	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	502	447	98	18	2	3	44	113	7	20	4	219	299	289	588	69	284	23	9	264	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AAA RAW	3 teams	—	502	429	109	22	2	4	62	97	7	20	4	254	357	343	700	89	317	19	12	322	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AAA MLE	Worcester Red Sox	—	460	411	91	13	4	5	43	92	3	17	7	221	300	309	609	88	272	20	9	274	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AAA RAW	Worcester Red Sox	—	460	391	104	20	4	7	63	79	3	17	7	266	372	391	763	125	316	17	14	345	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	526	468	114	21	1	9	48	132	3	13	6	244	318	350	668	107	315	25	9	298	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	526	445	125	23	1	13	71	115	3	13	6	281	383	425	808	144	347	22	13	360	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	513	457	107	26	0	4	48	110	5	18	5	234	314	317	631	83	299	21	9	282	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	513	436	119	30	0	5	69	97	5	18	5	273	378	376	755	103	340	19	13	345	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	338	310	70	9	2	12	22	78	3	8	4	226	286	384	670	158	250	23	7	290	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	502	446	98	18	2	3	44	113	7	20	4	220	299	289	588	70	278	23	9	264	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AAA MLE	Worcester Red Sox	—	460	411	91	13	4	5	43	92	3	17	7	221	300	309	609	88	271	20	9	274	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	526	470	114	21	1	9	48	132	3	13	6	243	318	349	667	106	312	25	9	298	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	513	455	107	26	0	4	48	110	5	18	5	235	314	319	632	84	298	21	9	282	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	25	AAA MLE	Worcester Red Sox	—	460	411	91	13	4	5	43	92	3	17	7	221	300	309	609	88	271	20	9	274	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	526	470	114	21	1	9	48	132	3	13	6	243	318	349	667	106	312	25	9	298	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	513	455	107	26	0	4	48	110	5	18	5	235	314	319	632	84	298	21	9	282	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	28	MLB MLE	BOS	—	437	371	91	22	2	8	56	87	2	6	4	245	347	380	727	135	296	20	13	320	103	+1	-0	+0	+2	+9	1.2
▸ 2026 season
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
SO FAR	28	MLB RAW	BOS	—	225	191	51	13	1	4	28	44	1	0	1	267	364	408	772	141	326	20	12	341	103	+1	-0	+0	+2	+5	0.7
YTD	28	AAA RAW	BOS	—	212	167	45	11	1	5	41	36	1	6	3	269	416	437	853	168	310	17	19	381	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	28	MLB RAW	BOS	—	225	191	51	13	1	4	28	44	1	0	1	267	364	408	772	141	326	20	12	341	117	+5	-0	+0	+1	+5	1.0
ROS	28	MLB MLE	BOS	100%	9	8	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	125	222	125	347		298	22	11	315	100	-0	+0	-0	+0	+0	0.0
ROS	28	MLB CTX	BOS	100%	9	8	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	125	222	125	347		305	22	11	315	100	-0	+0	-0	+0	+0	0.0
FULL	28	MLB A+C	BOS	—	234	199	52	13	1	4	29	46	1	0	1	261	358	397	755	136	320	20	12	340	103	+1	-0	-0	+1	+5	0.6
TOT	28	MLB MLE	BOS	—	446	379	92	22	2	8	57	89	2	6	4	243	345	375	719	132	294	20	13	320	103	+1	-0	-0	+2	+10	1.3
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	29	MLB MLE	BOS	65%	550	480	116	26	2	9	62	117	3	9	4	242	332	360	693	119	295	21	11	312	97	-2	+0	-2	+2	+12	1.0
2028	30	MLB MLE	BOS	65%	539	470	112	25	2	8	61	116	3	8	3	238	330	351	681	113	294	22	11	308	95	-3	+0	-3	+2	+12	0.8
2027	29	MLB CTX	BOS	65%	358	313	77	18	1	6	40	76	2	6	2	246	335	367	703	121	302	21	11	311	97	-1	+0	-1	+1	+8	0.7
2028	30	MLB CTX	BOS	65%	350	305	74	17	1	5	40	75	2	5	2	243	334	354	688	111	301	21	11	308	95	-2	+0	-2	+1	+8	0.5
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	907	799	198	47	2	11	93	202	7	16	5	248	331	353	684	105	316	22	10	307	83	-6	+1	-2	-5	+20	0.8
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	573	142	34	1	8	67	145	5	11	4	248	332	353	684	105	316	22	10	307	83	-4	+1	-2	-3	+14	0.6
Career	—	MLE		—	3437	3048	709	138	13	50	329	760	27	93	33	233	313	336	648	103	291	22	10	291	83	-8	+1	-4	-3	+28	1.4
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	576	133	26	2	9	62	144	5	18	6	231	311	330	641	99	290	22	10	291	83	-4	+1	-2	-2	+14	0.7

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Willie Harrislast yr '11 career totals — 10 seasons, 2,743 PA	4.1	2,743	39	106	241	331	351	-11	-2	5.3	6.2
/162	664	9	26	-2.7	-0.5	1.3	pk7: 7
#2Gabe Grosslast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,682 PA	2.5	1,682	40	22	239	330	385	-14	+11	5.1	5.1
/162	664	16	9	-5.7	+4.4	2.0	pk7: 5
#3Ramón Vázquezlast yr '09 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,190 PA	3.3	2,190	22	20	255	330	352	+10	-15	4.1	4.6
/162	664	7	6	+3.0	-4.6	1.3	pk7: 5
#4Tony Kemplast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,198 PA	3.3	2,198	35	52	238	326	354	-4	-3	4.3	4.3
/162	664	11	16	-1.3	-0.8	1.3	pk7: 4
#5Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	3.5	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
/162	664	13	9	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons	2.2	1,473	21	26	248	329	360	-10	+1	1.9	1.9
/162	664	9	12	-4.5	+0.7	0.9	pk7: 2
#6Travis Sniderlast yr '15 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,971 PA	3.0	1,971	54	22	244	311	399	-21	-17	1.4	1.8
/162	664	18	7	-7.1	-5.8	0.5	pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Nick Sogard (OGILVIE)	28	55	40	55	55	240/331/360	120	298	6	7	21%	11%	100	+0.8	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Cooper Hummel 2023 · MLB	28	46→49	48→50	48→55	53	227/318/379	152	299	14	10	27%	11%	99	+1.2	221/324/361	140	303	12	18	28%	12%	97	+1.1	215/328/356	141	293	12	19	28%	12%	96	+0.7
✕Nick Martini 2019 · MLB	29	53→58	41→50	51→45	52	251/329/351	100	319	7	7	22%	10%	96	+1.0	247/332/359	112	316	10	5	23%	10%	99	+1.2	236/326/369	133	296	14	1	23%	10%	96	+0.8
✕Ty Kelly 2015 · AAA	27	53→62	42→45	45	54	252/330/361	109	308	9	8	20%	10%	98	+1.2	232/304/323	91	279	7	7	18%	9%	80	-0.2	232/303/338	106	297	7	4	23%	9%	80	-0.1
✕Jeff Salazar 2009 · MLB	28	49→51	46→50	54→55	53	240/316/381	141	285	11	13	19%	10%	97	+1.1	217/279/327	110	262	12	22	21%	8%	72	-0.7	201/264/296	95	243	11	28	22%	7%	57	-1.2
✕Cole Gillespie 2012 · MLB	28	48→58	45→50	56→50	50	233/308/363	130	291	11	17	23%	9%	91	+0.6	237/306/365	128	292	12	13	22%	8%	91	+0.6	253/315/359	107	302	9	13	18%	8%	91	+0.4
✕Dan Black 2015 · AAA	28	49→53	46→50	46→45	48	243/307/373	130	303	14	5	24%	8%	93	+0.8	244/309/361	117	310	12	5	24%	8%	91	+0.6	256/323/361	105	322	12	2	23%	9%	97	+0.4
✕Ramón Flores 2018 · MLB	26	52→57	42→45	51→50	54	250/323/354	104	298	9	10	19%	9%	94	+0.9	234/302/337	103	290	9	10	21%	8%	82	+0.0	215/280/291	76	271	7	6	22%	8%	62	-0.4
✕Matthew den Dekker 2016 · MLB	28	49→58	45→50	51→55	46	241/299/371	131	300	11	14	23%	7%	89	+0.5	205/260/328	123	279	12	17	29%	6%	65	-1.2	191/241/312	122	265	12	18	32%	6%	52	-1.3
✕Pete Maestrales 2007 · AA	28	53→57	44→45	47→45	55	254/333/381	128	304	10	9	20%	10%	104	+1.6	222/288/314	92	280	7	9	22%	8%	72	-0.7	203/268/276	73	257	5	8	22%	8%	54	-1.6
✕Bryan Petersen 2014 · MLB	28	50→59	40→45	49→50	48	237/305/333	97	305	6	13	23%	8%	82	+0.0	206/261/310	104	312	9	8	34%	6%	61	-1.5	186/234/286	100	297	9	5	39%	6%	42	-1.5
✕Joey Rickard 2019 · MLB	28	48→58	44→45	50→55	46	235/293/355	120	284	12	11	21%	7%	84	+0.1	242/311/388	146	300	14	9	23%	8%	98	+1.2	245/320/399	154	306	14	6	23%	8%	101	+1.1
●Moisés Sierra 2017 · MLB	28	55→56	42→50	49→50	44	265/315/370	105	329	9	14	22%	6%	95	+0.9	249/308/367	118	310	11	14	22%	6%	92	+0.7	249/315/369	120	307	12	15	22%	7%	92	+0.6
✕Jason Conti 2003 · MLB	28	51→41	44→45	50	47	245/305/375	130	309	10	11	23%	8%	93	+0.8	229/284/359	130	302	13	7	27%	7%	81	-0.1	209/257/318	109	276	12	4	28%	5%	59	-1.0
✕Shane Peterson 2016 · MLB	28	52→58	43→50	49→50	46	248/309/366	117	335	10	7	28%	8%	91	+0.7	239/286/374	135	318	13	10	28%	6%	85	+0.2	213/256/343	130	291	13	8	30%	5%	64	-0.9
✕Juan Lagares 2017 · MLB	28	54→64	43→45	51→50	44	259/302/374	115	307	9	12	19%	5%	91	+0.6	248/299/361	113	306	9	13	21%	6%	86	+0.3	234/279/351	118	296	9	8	23%	5%	73	-0.3
✕Manuel Margot 2023 · MLB	28	53→52	43→50	48→60	50	258/315/372	113	300	10	15	17%	8%	95	+1.0	247/300/353	106	291	8	11	17%	6%	85	+0.2	239/292/332	93	284	6	10	17%	6%	75	-0.2
✕Victor Reyes 2023 · MLB	28	54→58	45→50	50→55	42	263/306/396	133	326	11	11	22%	5%	97	+1.1	245/287/375	130	319	13	6	26%	5%	85	+0.2	242/279/364	122	321	13	3	28%	4%	77	-0.3
✕Dalton Pompey 2021 · AAA	28	47→57	42→45	48→55	46	227/296/332	105	309	10	14	28%	8%	80	-0.2	231/292/355	124	298	13	10	26%	7%	84	+0.1	226/286/340	114	283	13	7	24%	7%	74	-0.1
✕Taylor Kohlwey 2022 · AAA	28	54→57	40→45	48→50	45	252/311/350	98	340	7	12	27%	8%	88	+0.5	233/309/340	107	297	9	11	23%	9%	86	+0.3	229/313/336	107	285	9	11	21%	9%	85	+0.2
✕Adron Chambers 2015 · MLB	28	50→60	41→45	47→55	46	243/302/341	98	309	9	13	24%	7%	83	+0.1	236/295/335	99	301	7	13	23%	7%	79	-0.2	238/292/333	95	322	2	14	25%	6%	75	-0.2

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps