Nick Sogard

2B Boston Red Sox
Age 29 S/R 6'1" / 189 lbs MLB HR -5%K -4% Svc 1.082 · Ctrl thru 2031
Overview
MLB40-MANPre-ArbFA 2032
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202426AAABOS440.283/.393/.446131089—.238/.315/.355
202426MLBBOS86.273/.333/.32503800.4
202527AAABOS409.276/.394/.38551674—.229/.313/.315
202527MLBBOS104.260/.317/.3440281-1.0
202628AAABOS212.269/.416/.4375691—.221/.325/.348
202628MLBBOS277.255/.343/.385511000.8
2027PROJ29MLBBOS292.248/.333/.37055950.6
2028PROJ65% MLB30MLBBOS269.244/.329/.36144920.3
Last 3 seasons WAR 0.1  ·  Next 2 projected WAR 0.9Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2031Service1.082First FA2032
2027Pre-Arb$0.8M2028Pre-Arb$0.8M2029Ext$0.2M2030Ext$0.4M2031Ext$0.6M
Skills · percentileStatcast 2024-2026
Speed52
xwOBA50
Barrel%21
Avg EV19
Bat Spd18
Form.241/.307/.368 · rolling true talent (60d window) · proj .240/.323/.358
CompsCooper Hummel (age 29) · Nick Martini (age 29) · Abraham Almonte (age 29)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†vL 9595vR 95
AVG/OBP/SLG.248 / .333 / .370
PA292
HR5
SB5
K%21
BB%10
BABIP306
ISO124
MLB%100%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -1.6 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-2BATRUN: +1.0 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+1RUNFLD: -0.2 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)-0FLDPOS: +1.0 runs (Positional adjustment)+1POSREP: +6.3 runs (Replacement-level credit)+6REPTotal WAR: +0.10+0.1WAR
0.00.51.00.10.327282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$2M ctrl surplus
Tools · Recent Form · Splits · ContractCON 55 / POW 40
Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026
CONTACT55
xAVG
550.256
POWER40
Barrel%
214.4
Avg EV
1986.7
Bat Spd
1867.9
EYE55
scouting grade only
SPEED55
Sprint
5227.6
Recent Formrolling true talent ⓘ
K%22%▼23% over 108 PA (60d) · proj 21%
BB%8%▼▼6% over 108 PA (60d) · proj 10%
ISO.127·.141 over 99 AB (60d) · proj .118
HR/BB3.1%▲4.1% over 74 BBE (60d) · proj 2.5%
BABIP.296·.310 over 71 BIP (60d) · proj .295
SLASH.241/.307/.368·proj .240/.323/.358
Platoon Splits2024-2025 · 171 PA
vs LHP
vs RHP
Edge
PA
35
136
—
wRC+
139
73
◀◀L
wOBA
374
276
◀◀L
ISO
114
058
◀◀L
BABIP
500
332
◀◀L
K%
25.7%
25.7%
—
BB%
0.0%
7.4%
—
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   Pre-Arb
MLB Debut   2024
Service   1.082 yrs.days
Team Control Through   2031
First FA Year   2032
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027Pre-Arb$0.8M+0.1$0.4M+$0.0M (cut)
2028Pre-Arb$0.8M+0.3$1M+$0.4M
2029Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.8M $2M +$0.4M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202123 AAPortland Sea Dogs — 6357 15010 5111 11 263333298632 35326 178 294 57 — — — — — —
202123 A+Greenville Drive — 275240 6712113 27482 73 279357500857 221292 1710 369 86 — — — — — —
202224 AAAWorcester Red Sox — 237201 521310 30452 91 259361333694 75327 1913 317 68 — — — — — —
202224 AAPortland Sea Dogs — 235200 50914 31434 93 250362365727 115301 1813 335 71 — — — — — —
202224 INTLToros del Este — 3028 7000 191 20 250300250550 368 303 259 61 — — — — — —
202325 AAAWorcester Red Sox — 460391 1042047 63793 177 266372391763 125316 1714 345 75 — — — — — —
202426 MLBBoston Red Sox — 8677 21400 7250 30 273333325658 52389 298 295 80 -2 +1 +2 +2 +2 0.4
202426 AAAWorcester Red Sox — 440368 10419113 64903 106 283393446839 163338 2015 373 89 — — — — — —
202527 MLBBoston Red Sox — 10496 25800 5243 21 260317344661 83347 235 301 81 -2 +0 -1 -9 +2 -1.0
202527 AAAWorcester Red Sox — 409340 942205 64732 164 276394385779 109338 1816 356 74 — — — — — —
202628 MLBBoston Red Sox — 277239 611415 31561 11 255343385728 130313 2011 323 100 -0 -0 +0 +2 +6 0.8
202628 AAAWorcester Red Sox — 212167 451115 41361 63 269416437853 168310 1719 381 91 — — — — — —
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career— — 467412 1072615 431054 62 260336364700 104334 229 313 98 -1 +0 +1 -6 +10 0.5
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202123 AA MLEPortland Sea Dogs — 6359 14010 3131 11 237286271557 34306 215 252 57 — — — — — —
202123 A+ MLEGreenville Drive — 275248 558112 19652 73 222283407690 185235 247 296 86 — — — — — —
202224 AAA MLEWorcester Red Sox — 237209 481010 22532 91 230309287596 57294 229 269 68 — — — — — —
202224 AA MLEPortland Sea Dogs — 235210 46713 21534 93 219302305607 86277 239 273 71 — — — — — —
202325 AAA MLEWorcester Red Sox — 460410 921345 44923 177 224304312616 88276 2010 279 75 — — — — — —
202426 MLB MLEBoston Red Sox — 8677 21400 7250 30 273333325658 52389 298 286 80 -2 +1 +2 +2 +2 0.4
202426 AAA MLEWorcester Red Sox — 440391 931719 411073 106 238315355670 118298 249 300 89 — — — — — —
202527 MLB MLEBoston Red Sox — 10496 24700 5243 21 250308323631 73347 235 288 81 -2 +0 -1 -9 +2 -1.0
202527 AAA MLEWorcester Red Sox — 409362 831904 42862 164 229313315628 86284 2110 278 74 — — — — — —
202628 MLB MLEBoston Red Sox — 277239 581215 31561 11 243332364696 121313 2011 315 100 -0 -0 +0 +2 +6 0.8
202628 AAA MLEWorcester Red Sox — 212181 40914 27431 63 221325348673 127259 2013 302 91 — — — — — —
202123 A+ MLE2 teams — 338307 698212 22783 84 225283381664 156256 237 288 81 — — — — — —
202123 A+ RAW2 teams — 338297 8212213 32593 84 276352461814 185299 179 355 81 — — — — — —
202224 AAA MLE3 teams — 502446 1001823 451137 204 224305294599 70291 239 271 70 — — — — — —
202224 AAA RAW3 teams — 502429 1092224 62977 204 254357343700 89317 1912 322 70 — — — — — —
202325 AAA MLEWorcester Red Sox — 460410 921345 44923 177 224304312616 88276 2010 279 75 — — — — — —
202325 AAA RAWWorcester Red Sox — 460391 1042047 63793 177 266372391763 125316 1714 345 75 — — — — — —
202426 AAA MLE2 teams — 526468 1142119 481323 136 244318350668 107315 259 298 88 — — — — — —
202426 AAA RAW2 teams — 526445 12523113 711153 136 281383425808 144347 2213 360 88 — — — — — —
202527 AAA MLE2 teams — 513458 1062604 471105 185 231310314624 83296 219 280 76 — — — — — —
202527 AAA RAW2 teams — 513436 1193005 69975 185 273378376755 103340 1913 345 76 — — — — — —
202628 MLB MLE2 teams — 489420 1002229 58992 74 238333364698 126288 2012 310 96 -3 -0 +0 +2 +11 1.0
202628 MLB RAW2 teams — 489406 10625210 72922 74 261375406781 145312 1915 348 96 -3 -0 +0 +2 +11 1.0
202123 A+ MLE2 teams — 338310 698212 22783 84 223283377661 155248 237 288 81 — — — — — —
202224 AAA MLE3 teams — 502445 1001823 451137 204 225305294600 70286 239 271 70 — — — — — —
202325 AAA MLEWorcester Red Sox — 460410 921345 44923 177 224304312616 88276 2010 279 75 — — — — — —
202426 AAA MLE2 teams — 526470 1142119 481323 136 243318349667 106313 259 298 88 — — — — — —
202527 AAA MLE2 teams — 513456 1062604 471105 185 232310316626 83297 219 280 76 — — — — — —
202628 MLB MLE2 teams — 489426 1002229 58992 74 235333359692 124290 2012 310 96 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202426 AAA MLE2 teams — 526470 1142119 481323 136 243318349667 106313 259 298 88 — — — — — —
202527 AAA MLE2 teams — 513456 1062604 471105 185 232310316626 83297 219 280 76 — — — — — —
202628 MLB MLE2 teams — 489426 1002229 58992 74 235333359692 124290 2012 310 96 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202729 MLB MLEBOS 100% 507445 1082329 531074 92 240326358683 118295 2110 309 95 -3 +1 -0 +2 +11 0.1
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202729 MLB CTXBOS 100% 292258 641515 30622 51 248333370703 122306 2110 317 95 -2 +1 -0 +1 +6 0.6
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202830 MLB MLEBOS 65% 414365 861817 43893 62 236322349671 112292 2110 304 92 -4 +0 -2 +1 +9 0.5
202830 MLB CTXBOS 65% 269237 571314 28582 41 244329361690 117303 2210 312 92 -3 +0 -2 +1 +6 0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 736649 1643929 711636 103 253332361693 108322 2210 313 83 -4 +1 -1 -5 +16 0.8
/ 162G— A+C — 650573 1453428 631445 93 253332361694 108322 2210 313 83 -3 +1 -1 -4 +14 0.7
Career— MLE — 35343132 7281391354 33777528 9433 232313337649 104290 2210 291 83 -7 +1 -2 -3 +25 1.6
/ 162G— MLE — 650576 13426210 621435 176 233313337649 104290 2210 291 83 -4 +1 -1 -2 +14 0.9

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AAAWorcester Red Sox · 212 PAwOBA .376 → .302 (−75)K% 17.0% → 20.4%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA16.98%÷1.000×1.200——20.38%
BB% (unintentional) /PA18.87%÷1.000×0.690—×0.98212.78%
HBP% /PA0.47%—×0.940—×0.9820.44%
Singles /BIP21.37%÷1.000×0.930×0.952×0.98218.59%
Doubles /BIP8.40%÷1.000×0.830×0.952×0.9826.52%
Triples /BIP0.76%÷1.000×0.970×0.952×0.9820.69%
Home runs /BIP3.82%÷1.000×0.700—×0.9822.62%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.952.

Result: wOBA .376 → .302; ISO .168 → .133; BABIP .310 → .259. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 AAAWorcester Red Sox · 409 PAwOBA .348 → .278 (−70)K% 17.8% → 21.1%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA17.85%÷1.013×1.200——21.15%
BB% (unintentional) /PA15.65%÷1.042×0.690—×0.99210.28%
HBP% /PA0.49%—×0.940—×0.9920.46%
Singles /BIP25.09%÷1.060×0.930×0.979×0.99221.37%
Doubles /BIP8.24%÷0.991×0.830×0.979×0.9926.71%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.970×0.979×0.9920.00%
Home runs /BIP1.87%÷0.984×0.700—×0.9921.32%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 97, 1B 112, 2B 98, 3B 100, K 103, BB 108 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.979.

Result: wOBA .348 → .278; ISO .109 → .087; BABIP .338 → .284. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 AAAWorcester Red Sox · 440 PAwOBA .366 → .300 (−66)K% 20.5% → 24.4%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA20.45%÷1.004×1.200——24.44%
BB% (unintentional) /PA14.32%÷1.049×0.690—×1.0039.44%
HBP% /PA0.68%—×0.940—×1.0030.64%
Singles /BIP25.54%÷1.036×0.930×0.998×1.00322.95%
Doubles /BIP6.83%÷0.951×0.830×0.998×1.0035.97%
Triples /BIP0.36%÷1.143×0.970×0.998×1.0030.31%
Home runs /BIP4.68%÷0.996×0.700—×1.0033.30%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 99, 1B 107, 2B 90, 3B 129, K 101, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.998.

Result: wOBA .366 → .300; ISO .163 → .129; BABIP .338 → .298. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 AAAWorcester Red Sox · 460 PAwOBA .338 → .279 (−58)K% 17.2% → 20.1%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA17.17%÷1.023×1.200——20.15%
BB% (unintentional) /PA13.48%÷0.986×0.690—×1.0189.61%
HBP% /PA0.65%—×0.940—×1.0180.62%
Singles /BIP23.40%÷0.996×0.930×0.986×1.01821.91%
Doubles /BIP6.41%÷1.309×0.830×0.986×1.0184.08%
Triples /BIP1.28%÷0.905×0.970×0.986×1.0181.38%
Home runs /BIP2.24%÷1.008×0.700—×1.0181.59%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 102, 1B 99, 2B 162, 3B 81, K 105, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.986.

Result: wOBA .338 → .279; ISO .125 → .095; BABIP .316 → .276. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 AAAWorcester Red Sox · 237 PAwOBA .313 → .269 (−45)K% 19.0% → 22.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA18.99%÷1.013×1.200——22.49%
BB% (unintentional) /PA12.66%÷0.987×0.690—×1.0339.14%
HBP% /PA0.84%—×0.940—×1.0330.82%
Singles /BIP24.36%÷1.010×0.930×1.003×1.03323.24%
Doubles /BIP8.33%÷1.179×0.830×1.003×1.0336.08%
Triples /BIP0.64%÷1.000×0.970×1.003×1.0330.64%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷0.939×0.700—×1.0330.00%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 88, 1B 102, 2B 136, 3B 100, K 103, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.003.

Result: wOBA .313 → .269; ISO .075 → .059; BABIP .327 → .294. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 AAPortland Sea Dogs · 235 PAwOBA .327 → .273 (−54)K% 18.3% → 22.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA18.30%÷0.994×1.220——22.47%
BB% (unintentional) /PA13.19%÷1.026×0.700—×0.9988.98%
HBP% /PA1.70%—×0.850—×0.9981.44%
Singles /BIP22.93%÷0.983×0.970×0.979×0.99822.11%
Doubles /BIP5.73%÷1.066×0.860×0.979×0.9984.52%
Triples /BIP0.64%÷1.150×0.950×0.979×0.9980.51%
Home runs /BIP2.55%÷1.004×0.780—×0.9981.98%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 101, 1B 97, 2B 113, 3B 130, K 99, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.979.

Result: wOBA .327 → .273; ISO .115 → .090; BABIP .301 → .277. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2021 A+Greenville Drive · 275 PAwOBA .367 → .296 (−71)K% 17.5% → 23.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA17.45%÷1.004×1.350——23.48%
BB% (unintentional) /PA9.82%÷1.004×0.710—×0.9886.86%
HBP% /PA0.73%—×0.810—×0.9880.58%
Singles /BIP21.35%÷1.032×0.910×0.963×0.98817.92%
Doubles /BIP6.25%÷1.104×0.830×0.963×0.9884.47%
Triples /BIP0.52%÷1.094×0.820×0.963×0.9880.37%
Home runs /BIP6.77%÷0.891×0.830—×0.9886.23%

Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 78, 1B 106, 2B 121, 3B 119, K 101, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.963.

Result: wOBA .367 → .296; ISO .221 → .189; BABIP .292 → .235. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2021 AAPortland Sea Dogs · 63 PAwOBA .280 → .252 (−28)K% 17.5% → 20.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA17.46%÷1.025×1.220——20.78%
BB% (unintentional) /PA6.35%÷1.078×0.690—×1.0124.11%
HBP% /PA1.59%—×0.850—×1.0121.37%
Singles /BIP30.43%÷1.047×0.940×1.023×1.01228.29%
Doubles /BIP0.00%÷1.064×0.870×1.023×1.0120.00%
Triples /BIP2.17%÷0.900×0.920×1.023×1.0122.30%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷0.900×0.780—×1.0120.00%

Factors used: level-wide AA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 80, 1B 109, 2B 113, 3B 80, K 105, BB 116 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.023.

Result: wOBA .280 → .252; ISO .035 → .038; BABIP .326 → .306. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .