Nick Sogard — OGILVIE

Nick Sogard1B Worcester Red Sox

Age 28 S/R 6'1" / 189 lbs MLB H +3% Svc 2.000S2 · Ctrl thru 2029 ILReassigned to Minors (RM)

2026 ROS PROJECTION225 act + 150 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†vL 153131vR 76

AVG/OBP/SLG.242 / .329 / .379

PA150

HR3

K%21

BB%11

BABIP293

ISO136

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 55 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026

CONTACT55

Whiff%

807.9%

xwOBA

460.304

POWER40

Barrel%

113.2

Avg EV

1085.7

Bat Spd

1867.9

EYE55

Chase%

8924.1%

SPEED55

Sprint

6628.1

Platoon Splits2024-2025 · 171 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

136

—

wRC+

144

◀◀L

wOBA

374

276

◀◀L

ISO

114

058

◀◀L

BABIP

500

332

◀◀L

25.7%

—

BB%

0.0%

7.4%

—

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb SUPER-2

MLB Debut 2024

Service 2.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2029

First FA Year 2030

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Arb-1	$0.1M	+0.6	$2M	+$2M
2027	Arb-2	$3M	+1.5	$11M	+$8M
2028	Arb-3	$4M	+1.2	$8M	+$5M
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$7M		$22M	+$15M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	23	A+	2 teams	—	338	308	70	8	2	14	21	78	3	8	4	227	283	403	686	175	252	23	6	292	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	A+	2 teams	—	338	297	82	12	2	13	32	59	3	8	4	276	352	461	814	185	299	17	9	355	130	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AAA	3 teams	—	502	447	96	16	2	4	44	116	7	20	4	215	295	286	582	72	279	23	9	261	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AAA	3 teams	—	502	429	109	22	2	4	62	97	7	20	4	254	357	343	700	89	317	19	12	322	104	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AAA	Worcester Red Sox	—	460	410	91	10	5	6	44	91	3	17	7	222	302	315	617	93	270	20	10	276	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AAA	Worcester Red Sox	—	460	391	104	20	4	7	63	79	3	17	7	266	372	391	763	125	316	17	14	345	123	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AAA	2 teams	—	526	469	116	22	1	12	47	132	3	13	6	247	320	375	695	128	314	25	9	301	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AAA	2 teams	—	526	445	125	23	1	13	71	115	3	13	6	281	383	425	808	144	347	22	13	360	134	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	AAA	2 teams	—	513	459	105	26	0	5	46	109	5	18	5	229	306	318	624	89	289	21	9	278	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	AAA	2 teams	—	513	436	119	30	0	5	69	97	5	18	5	273	378	376	755	103	340	19	13	345	122	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	28	AAA	BOS	—	225	190	46	11	2	5	30	42	1	5	3	242	348	400	748	158	281	19	13	323	106	+1	-0	+0	+1	+6	0.9
YTD	28	AAA	BOS	—	225	179	48	12	2	5	41	36	1	5	3	268	407	441	849	173	305	16	18	376	146	+12	-0	+0	+1	+6	1.9
ROS	28	AAA	BOS	100%	150	132	32	7	1	3	16	31	1	4	1	242	329	379	708	136	293	21	11	315	99	-0	+0	-0	+1	+4	0.5
ROS	28	MLB	BOS	100%	150	132	33	7	1	3	16	31	1	4	1	250	336	386	722	136	299	21	11	314	99	-0	+0	-0	+1	+4	0.5
FULL	28	AAA	BOS	—	375	322	79	18	3	8	46	73	2	9	4	245	343	394	738	149	290	19	12	320	103	+1	+0	-0	+1	+11	1.4
TOT	28	AAA	BOS	—	375	322	78	18	3	8	46	73	2	9	4	242	341	391	732	149	286	19	12	320	103	+1	+0	-0	+1	+11	1.4
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	29	MLB	BOS	65%	550	482	116	25	3	10	59	117	4	13	4	241	328	367	696	127	291	21	11	310	95	-3	+1	-2	+2	+16	1.4
2028	30	MLB	BOS	65%	539	472	111	24	2	9	58	116	4	11	4	235	324	352	676	117	289	22	11	307	93	-4	+1	-3	+2	+15	1.1
2027	29	MLB	BOS	65%	358	315	76	17	2	6	38	76	2	8	3	241	327	365	692	124	297	21	11	310	95	-2	+0	-1	+1	+10	0.9
2028	30	MLB	BOS	65%	350	308	73	16	1	6	37	75	2	7	2	237	323	354	677	117	296	21	11	307	93	-3	+1	-2	+1	+10	0.7
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1048	928	228	52	4	15	103	231	8	24	7	246	326	359	685	113	309	22	10	308	94	-8	+2	-2	-4	+30	1.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	576	140	32	2	9	64	143	5	15	4	243	324	352	676	109	306	22	10	308	94	-5	+1	-2	-3	+18	1.1
Career	—			—	3578	3179	737	138	16	63	335	790	30	104	35	232	311	345	656	113	287	22	9	291	81	-78	+7	-4	+2	+101	2.9
/ 162G	—			—	650	578	133	25	3	11	61	144	5	19	6	230	309	341	650	111	285	22	9	291	81	-14	+1	-1	+0	+18	0.5

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	23	AA	Portland Sea Dogs	—	63	57	15	0	1	0	5	11	1	1	1	263	333	298	632	35	326	17	8	294	83	-1	-0	—	—	+2	0.0
2021	23	A+	Greenville Drive	—	275	240	67	12	1	13	27	48	2	7	3	279	357	500	857	221	292	17	10	369	141	+13	+0	—	—	+8	2.1
2022	24	AAA	Worcester Red Sox	—	237	201	52	13	1	0	30	45	2	9	1	259	361	333	694	75	327	19	13	317	101	+0	+1	—	—	+7	0.8
2022	24	AA	Portland Sea Dogs	—	235	200	50	9	1	4	31	43	4	9	3	250	362	365	727	115	301	18	13	335	114	+4	+1	—	—	+7	1.1
2022	24	INTL	Toros del Este	—	30	28	7	0	0	0	1	9	1	2	0	250	300	250	550		368	30	3	259	56	-1	+0	—	—	+1	-0.0
2023	25	AAA	Worcester Red Sox	—	460	391	104	20	4	7	63	79	3	17	7	266	372	391	763	125	316	17	14	345	123	+12	+1	—	—	+13	2.6
2024	26	MLB	Boston Red Sox	—	86	77	21	4	0	0	7	25	0	3	0	273	333	325	658	52	389	29	8	295	84	-2	+1	+2	+2	+2	0.5
2024	26	AAA	Worcester Red Sox	—	440	368	104	19	1	13	64	90	3	10	6	283	393	446	839	163	338	20	15	373	144	+22	-0	—	—	+12	3.4
2025	27	MLB	Boston Red Sox	—	104	96	25	8	0	0	5	24	3	2	1	260	317	344	661	83	347	23	5	301	89	-1	+0	-1	-9	+3	-0.9
2025	27	AAA	Worcester Red Sox	—	409	340	94	22	0	5	64	73	2	16	4	276	394	385	779	109	338	18	16	356	130	+14	+2	—	—	+12	2.8
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	190	173	46	12	0	0	12	49	3	5	1	266	324	335	660	69	365	26	6	299	87	-3	+1	+1	-7	+5	-0.4

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Gabe Grosslast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,682 PA	7	1,682	40	22	239	330	385	-14	+11	5.1	5.1
#1Gabe Grosslast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,682 PA	/162	664	16	9	239	330	385	-5.7	+4.4	2.0	pk7: 5
#2Tony Kemplast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,198 PA	7	2,198	35	52	238	326	354	-4	-3	4.3	4.3
#2Tony Kemplast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,198 PA	/162	664	11	16	238	326	354	-1.3	-0.8	1.3	pk7: 4
#3Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	6	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
	/162	664	13	9	241	304	367	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
#4Jose Offermanlast yr '05 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,767 PA	5	1,767	27	15	253	342	362	-14	-2	3.2	3.2
	/162	664	10	6	253	342	362	-5.4	-0.7	1.2	pk7: 3
#5Travis Sniderlast yr '15 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,971 PA	8	1,971	54	22	244	311	399	-21	-17	1.4	1.8
	/162	664	18	7	244	311	399	-7.1	-5.8	0.5	pk7: 2
#6Jose Maciaslast yr '05 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,785 PA	6	1,785	25	43	256	298	370	-8	+2	1.4	1.4
	/162	664	9	16	256	298	370	-3.1	+0.6	0.5	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	4	1,153	17	28	244	320	356	-11	+1	0.6	0.6
	/162	664	10	16	244	320	356	-6.4	+0.7	0.4	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Nick Sogard (OGILVIE)	28	55	40	55	55	242/341/391	149	286	8	9	19%	12%	103	+1.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Leury García 2019 · MLB	28	54→60	45	55→60	40	264/303/387	124	327	12	20	23%	4%	93	+1.3	264/306/373	109	330	10	13	22%	5%	91	+1.1	251/295/339	88	315	7	10	21%	5%	75	+0.0
✕Manuel Margot 2023 · MLB	28	53	43→50	48→60	50	257/313/372	115	297	10	15	17%	8%	94	+1.3	247/300/355	108	290	9	11	17%	6%	84	+0.6	240/293/335	95	283	7	10	17%	6%	73	-0.1
✕Bryan Petersen 2014 · MLB	28	51→60	40→45	49→50	49	241/309/338	97	310	6	13	23%	8%	83	+0.6	206/259/308	102	311	9	8	34%	6%	54	-1.4	185/231/283	98	293	9	5	39%	5%	33	-1.5
✕Adron Chambers 2015 · MLB	28	51→61	42→45	47→55	45	248/304/349	102	315	9	13	24%	7%	84	+0.6	238/294/339	101	301	8	13	22%	7%	77	+0.1	241/296/340	99	324	2	14	25%	7%	74	-0.0
✕Joshua Palacios 2023 · MLB	28	52	42→50	52→55	46	249/313/355	106	306	10	22	21%	7%	89	+1.0	242/303/389	147	291	17	15	22%	7%	95	+1.4	231/297/381	150	276	18	11	23%	7%	88	+0.5
✕Xavier Paul 2013 · MLB	28	52→58	45	53→55	43	255/298/383	128	313	11	21	22%	6%	90	+1.0	222/282/350	128	292	14	8	27%	7%	76	+0.0	192/261/308	115	257	14	1	30%	8%	51	-0.8
✕Cole Gillespie 2012 · MLB	28	46→56	44→50	56→50	48	225/297/347	122	287	10	17	24%	8%	81	+0.4	233/301/357	124	291	12	13	23%	8%	85	+0.7	256/320/365	109	307	9	13	19%	8%	94	+0.7
✕Drew Ferguson 2021 · AAA	28	50→49	44→45	54→55	48	240/322/359	120	321	12	21	27%	9%	95	+1.4	213/282/319	106	334	10	21	36%	8%	68	-0.5	147/237/187	40	274	4	35	43%	11%	12	-0.8
✕Ben Copeland 2012 · AAA	28	50→55	43→45	54→55	46	244/296/365	121	304	9	19	22%	7%	85	+0.7	212/258/327	115	273	10	19	25%	6%	59	-1.1	156/192/240	84	201	7	28	26%	4%	4	-1.6
✕Raimel Tapia 2022 · MLB	28	51→61	40→45	53→55	50	244/298/334	90	281	7	19	16%	7%	77	+0.1	246/297/354	108	296	10	19	20%	7%	82	+0.5	247/295/355	107	303	11	20	21%	6%	79	+0.2
✕Jermaine Mitchell 2013 · AAA	28	52→57	44→50	53→55	47	249/314/379	129	332	10	17	27%	8%	95	+1.4	235/288/363	128	334	11	20	31%	7%	81	+0.4	232/281/373	141	342	10	27	34%	6%	76	+0.0
✕Matthew den Dekker 2016 · MLB	28	49→57	45→50	51→55	46	238/296/368	130	296	11	14	23%	7%	85	+0.7	204/257/332	128	278	13	17	30%	6%	60	-1.0	191/240/320	130	267	13	18	33%	5%	47	-1.2
✕Jeff Salazar 2009 · MLB	28	49→51	46→50	54→55	53	240/315/380	141	284	11	13	19%	9%	97	+1.5	217/278/333	116	261	13	22	21%	8%	69	-0.4	202/265/306	104	242	13	28	22%	7%	55	-1.0
✕Joey Rickard 2018 · MLB	27	50→60	42→45	52→55	47	243/301/348	105	298	9	14	21%	7%	82	+0.5	239/304/375	136	294	13	9	22%	8%	92	+1.2	240/311/383	144	295	14	8	22%	8%	95	+1.0
✕Vinny Rottino 2008 · MLB	28	51→57	43→45	47→55	46	247/300/355	109	291	10	13	19%	6%	84	+0.6	239/293/339	100	280	8	14	17%	6%	76	+0.1	260/311/379	119	294	10	19	15%	6%	92	+1.0
●Abraham Almonte 2017 · MLB	28	52→55	43→55	56→55	45	248/297/379	130	308	8	17	22%	6%	89	+0.9	226/296/369	143	281	12	13	23%	9%	86	+0.8	227/326/416	190	273	22	11	24%	13%	108	+1.4
✕Collin Cowgill 2014 · MLB	28	49→56	45→50	52→55	44	241/293/364	122	298	13	16	23%	6%	83	+0.6	230/289/339	109	297	11	10	25%	7%	76	+0.0	217/278/300	83	287	7	9	26%	6%	58	-0.5
●Moisés Sierra 2017 · MLB	28	55	41→50	49→50	43	263/311/365	102	331	8	14	22%	6%	91	+1.1	249/307/372	123	310	12	14	23%	6%	92	+1.2	248/314/378	130	302	14	15	22%	7%	93	+0.9
✕Dalton Pompey 2021 · AAA	28	47→57	42→45	48→55	45	227/294/333	106	310	10	14	29%	8%	76	+0.1	229/286/351	122	298	13	10	26%	7%	78	+0.2	223/283/334	111	284	13	7	25%	6%	69	-0.1
✕Matt Szczur 2017 · MLB	28	48→57	44→45	51→55	44	238/285/351	113	282	12	20	20%	6%	76	+0.1	233/312/364	131	285	12	8	21%	10%	92	+1.2	222/314/353	131	274	11	3	21%	11%	89	+0.3