Junior Lake

PosLF

B/TR/R

Born1990-03-27

Age (2027)37

No MLB projection yet. Career stats below are historical.

Overview

INTL

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR
2024	34	INTLDominican Rep…	205	.240/.320/.341	3	16	86	—
2025	35	INTLDominican Rep…	216	.294/.383/.396	2	21	124	—
2026	36	INTLLeones del Es…	35	.167/.286/.200	0	1	48	—

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2007	17	ROK	DSL Cubs	—	249	223	61	16	2	3	16	53	7	9	3	274	341	404	745	130	347	21	6	331	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	18	ROK	AZL Cubs	—	185	168	48	4	6	2	13	42	1	12	2	286	341	417	757	131	362	23	7	332	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	19	A	Peoria Chiefs	—	491	463	115	19	7	7	18	138	2	10	7	248	280	365	645	117	335	28	4	282	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	20	A+	Daytona Cubs	—	447	394	104	18	4	9	35	99	7	13	9	264	335	398	733	135	329	22	8	322	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	21	AA	Tennessee Smokies	—	262	242	60	10	2	6	13	60	5	19	2	248	300	380	680	132	307	23	5	303	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	21	A+	Daytona Cubs	—	216	203	64	11	4	6	6	49	2	19	4	315	341	498	839	182	384	23	3	359	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	21	INTL	Estrellas de Oriente	—	133	122	37	8	3	6	9	33	2	21	0	303	361	566	926	262	373	25	7	402	158	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	22	AA	Tennessee Smokies	—	448	405	113	26	3	10	35	105	4	21	12	279	342	432	774	153	353	23	8	342	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	22	INTL	Estrellas de Oriente	—	175	154	48	8	1	5	15	46	3	11	3	312	384	474	858	162	413	26	9	376	140	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	23	MLB	Chicago Cubs	—	254	236	67	16	0	6	13	68	4	4	4	284	332	428	760	144	377	27	5	338	114	+4	-1	-1	-6	+6	0.3
2013	23	AAA	Iowa Cubs	—	170	156	46	10	2	4	10	33	2	14	5	295	345	462	807	167	347	19	6	353	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	23	INTL	Estrellas de Oriente	—	114	105	36	4	1	2	7	29	1	6	3	343	389	457	847	114	453	25	6	375	140	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	24	MLB	Chicago Cubs	—	326	308	65	10	3	9	14	110	1	7	3	211	248	351	598	140	293	34	4	263	63	-14	+0	-2	-6	+7	-1.6
2014	24	AAA	Iowa Cubs	—	71	65	17	3	0	2	6	15	0	2	1	262	324	400	724	138	312	21	8	325	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	24	INTL	Estrellas de Oriente	—	180	140	34	6	1	2	30	51	7	21	2	243	401	343	744	100	364	28	17	345	120	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	25	MLB	Baltimore Orioles	—	84	80	16	7	0	1	4	29	0	4	0	200	238	325	563	125	300	35	5	251	55	-4	+1	-3	-6	+2	-1.1
2015	25	AAA	Norfolk Tides	—	292	247	77	13	0	7	40	69	1	12	11	312	410	449	859	138	402	24	14	382	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	25	INTL	Dominican Republic	—	147	125	32	4	1	5	19	36	2	8	3	256	363	424	787	168	321	24	13	352	125	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	26	MLB	Toronto Blue Jays	—	39	35	7	3	0	1	4	11	0	1	0	200	282	371	653	171	261	28	10	293	85	-1	+0	-2	-6	+1	-0.8
2016	26	AAA	Buffalo Bisons	—	318	281	65	12	2	6	33	77	2	10	4	231	316	352	669	121	295	24	10	303	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	26	INTL	Estrellas Orientales	—	198	174	46	10	2	2	23	33	1	7	7	264	354	379	733	115	317	17	12	333	112	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	27	AAA	Bravos de Leon	—	251	214	59	14	3	6	34	45	2	6	0	276	380	453	833	178	325	18	14	371	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	27	INTL	Dominican Republic	—	161	142	43	6	1	4	19	25	0	8	1	303	385	444	829	141	345	16	12	372	138	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	28	INTL	Dominican Republic	—	224	189	55	8	0	4	33	32	2	13	4	291	402	397	799	106	333	14	15	366	134	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	29	AAA	Toros de Tijuana	—	507	428	131	30	1	21	71	93	6	25	10	306	412	528	940	222	348	18	14	413	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	29	INTL	Dominican Republic	—	227	189	41	4	0	0	33	43	1	7	4	217	336	238	574	21	275	19	15	275	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	30	INTL	Dominican Republic	—	123	103	24	2	0	4	18	16	1	3	0	233	352	369	721	136	238	13	15	329	109	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	31	INTL	Estrellas Orientales	—	146	126	33	6	1	3	19	28	1	10	0	262	363	397	760	135	316	19	13	345	120	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	32	INTL	Dominican Republic	—	175	143	22	3	0	1	30	37	0	4	6	154	301	196	496	42	200	21	17	247	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	33	INTL	Dominican Republic	—	235	198	44	6	0	4	32	46	2	10	5	222	336	313	649	91	265	20	14	300	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	34	INTL	Dominican Republic	—	205	179	43	5	2	3	19	46	2	16	3	240	320	341	661	101	305	22	9	295	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	35	INTL	Dominican Republic	—	216	187	55	9	2	2	22	33	5	21	3	294	383	396	779	102	344	15	10	352	124	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	36	INTL	Leones del Escogido	—	35	30	5	1	0	0	5	5	0	1	0	167	286	200	486	33	200	14	14	240	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	703	659	155	36	3	17	35	218	5	16	7	235	279	376	655	141	324	31	5	290	83	-15	+0	-8	-23	+15	-3.1
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2007	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs	—	249	228	40	10	1	1	11	65	7	9	3	175	236	241	477	66	234	26	4	213	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	18	ROK MLE	AZL Cubs	—	185	173	36	3	4	1	8	60	1	12	2	208	247	289	536	81	295	32	4	238	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	19	A MLE	Peoria Chiefs	—	491	468	98	15	6	5	13	188	2	10	7	209	234	299	533	90	322	38	3	229	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	20	A+ MLE	Daytona Cubs	—	447	400	92	16	3	7	29	139	7	13	9	230	294	338	631	108	315	31	6	274	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	21	AA MLE	Tennessee Smokies	—	262	246	55	9	2	5	9	77	5	19	2	224	265	337	603	114	296	29	3	257	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	21	A+ MLE	Daytona Cubs	—	216	205	56	10	3	4	4	65	2	19	4	273	294	410	704	137	365	30	2	303	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	22	AA MLE	Tennessee Smokies	—	448	415	103	23	2	8	25	131	4	21	12	248	297	371	668	123	339	29	6	291	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	23	MLB MLE	Chicago Cubs	—	254	236	67	16	0	6	13	68	4	4	4	284	332	428	760	144	377	27	5	337	114	+4	-1	-1	-6	+6	0.3
2013	23	AAA MLE	Iowa Cubs	—	170	159	40	8	2	3	7	42	2	14	5	252	292	384	675	132	316	25	4	291	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	24	MLB MLE	Chicago Cubs	—	326	308	65	10	3	9	14	110	1	7	3	211	248	351	598	140	293	34	4	262	63	-14	+0	-2	-6	+7	-1.6
2014	24	AAA MLE	Iowa Cubs	—	71	67	15	2	0	2	4	19	0	2	1	224	268	343	611	119	286	27	6	258	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	25	MLB MLE	Baltimore Orioles	—	84	80	16	7	0	1	4	29	0	4	0	200	238	325	563	125	300	35	5	250	55	-4	+1	-3	-6	+2	-1.1
2015	25	AAA MLE	Norfolk Tides	—	292	260	75	12	0	6	27	86	1	12	11	288	358	404	761	115	389	29	9	327	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	26	MLB MLE	Toronto Blue Jays	—	39	35	7	3	0	1	4	11	0	1	0	200	282	371	653	171	261	28	10	293	85	-1	+0	-2	-6	+1	-0.8
2016	26	AAA MLE	Buffalo Bisons	—	318	292	58	11	2	4	22	99	2	10	4	199	259	291	551	92	274	31	7	243	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	27	AAA MLE	Bravos de Leon	—	251	225	54	13	3	4	23	57	2	6	0	240	316	378	694	138	297	23	9	301	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	29	AAA MLE	Toros de Tijuana	—	507	454	113	23	1	15	45	100	6	25	10	249	325	403	728	154	286	20	9	321	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs	—	249	228	40	10	1	1	11	65	7	9	3	175	236	241	477	66	241	26	4	213	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	17	ROK RAW	DSL Cubs	—	249	223	61	16	2	3	16	53	7	9	3	274	341	404	745	130	347	21	6	331	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	18	ROK MLE	AZL Cubs	—	185	173	36	3	4	1	8	60	1	12	2	208	247	289	536	81	304	32	4	238	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	18	ROK RAW	AZL Cubs	—	185	168	48	4	6	2	13	42	1	12	2	286	341	417	757	131	362	23	7	332	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	19	A MLE	Peoria Chiefs	—	491	468	98	15	6	5	13	188	2	10	7	209	234	299	533	90	333	38	3	229	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	19	A RAW	Peoria Chiefs	—	491	463	115	19	7	7	18	138	2	10	7	248	280	365	645	117	335	28	4	282	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	20	A+ MLE	Daytona Cubs	—	447	400	92	16	3	7	29	139	7	13	9	230	294	338	631	108	331	31	6	274	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	20	A+ RAW	Daytona Cubs	—	447	394	104	18	4	9	35	99	7	13	9	264	335	398	733	135	329	22	8	322	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	21	AA MLE	3 teams	—	611	578	142	25	6	12	17	182	9	59	6	246	278	372	650	126	336	30	3	278	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	21	AA RAW	3 teams	—	611	567	161	29	9	18	28	142	9	59	6	284	328	462	790	178	349	23	5	344	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	22	AA MLE	2 teams	—	623	574	143	32	3	11	35	183	7	32	15	249	300	373	673	124	345	29	6	291	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	22	AA RAW	2 teams	—	623	559	161	34	4	15	50	151	7	32	15	288	354	444	798	156	369	24	8	352	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	23	MLB MLE	3 teams	—	538	501	135	30	2	11	26	140	7	24	12	269	315	403	718	134	351	26	5	318	102	+1	+0	-1	-6	+12	0.7
2013	23	MLB RAW	3 teams	—	538	497	149	30	3	12	30	130	7	24	12	300	348	445	793	145	383	24	6	350	102	+1	+0	-1	-6	+12	0.7
2014	24	MLB MLE	3 teams	—	577	537	115	17	4	16	26	188	8	30	6	214	261	350	611	136	295	33	5	261	63	-25	+4	-2	-6	+13	-1.8
2014	24	MLB RAW	3 teams	—	577	513	116	19	4	13	50	176	8	30	6	226	305	355	660	129	315	31	9	296	63	-25	+4	-2	-6	+13	-1.8
2015	25	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	523	472	125	26	0	9	43	160	3	24	14	265	330	377	707	112	379	31	8	310	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	25	AAA RAW	3 teams	—	523	452	125	24	1	13	63	134	3	24	14	277	369	420	789	144	364	26	12	353	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	26	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	555	510	100	21	3	8	40	170	3	18	11	196	259	296	555	100	275	31	7	248	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	26	AAA RAW	3 teams	—	555	490	118	25	4	9	60	121	3	18	11	241	327	363	691	122	301	22	11	313	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	27	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	412	372	87	21	4	7	37	94	2	14	1	234	307	368	675	134	295	23	9	301	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	27	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	412	356	102	20	4	10	53	70	2	14	1	287	382	449	831	163	333	17	13	371	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	28	INTL MLE	Dominican Republic	—	224	189	55	8	0	4	33	32	2	13	4	291	402	397	799	106	333	14	15	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	28	INTL RAW	Dominican Republic	—	224	189	55	8	0	4	33	32	2	13	4	291	402	397	799	106	333	14	15	366	134	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	29	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	734	656	164	34	1	22	65	145	7	32	14	250	324	405	730	155	287	20	9	321	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	29	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	734	617	172	34	1	21	104	136	7	32	14	279	389	439	828	160	325	19	14	370	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	30	INTL MLE	Dominican Republic	—	123	103	24	2	0	4	18	16	1	3	0	233	352	369	721	136	238	13	15	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	30	INTL RAW	Dominican Republic	—	123	103	24	2	0	4	18	16	1	3	0	233	352	369	721	136	238	13	15	329	109	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	31	INTL MLE	Estrellas Orientales	—	146	126	33	6	1	3	19	28	1	10	0	262	363	397	760	135	316	19	13	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	31	INTL RAW	Estrellas Orientales	—	146	126	33	6	1	3	19	28	1	10	0	262	363	397	760	135	316	19	13	345	120	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	32	INTL MLE	Dominican Republic	—	175	143	22	3	0	1	30	37	0	4	6	154	301	196	496	42	200	21	17	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	32	INTL RAW	Dominican Republic	—	175	143	22	3	0	1	30	37	0	4	6	154	301	196	496	42	200	21	17	247	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	33	INTL MLE	Dominican Republic	—	235	198	44	6	0	4	32	46	2	10	5	222	336	313	649	91	265	20	14	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	33	INTL RAW	Dominican Republic	—	235	198	44	6	0	4	32	46	2	10	5	222	336	313	649	91	265	20	14	300	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	34	INTL MLE	Dominican Republic	—	205	179	43	5	2	3	19	46	2	16	3	240	320	341	661	101	305	22	9	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	34	INTL RAW	Dominican Republic	—	205	179	43	5	2	3	19	46	2	16	3	240	320	341	661	101	305	22	9	295	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	35	INTL MLE	Dominican Republic	—	216	187	55	9	2	2	22	33	5	21	3	294	383	396	779	102	344	15	10	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	35	INTL RAW	Dominican Republic	—	216	187	55	9	2	2	22	33	5	21	3	294	383	396	779	102	344	15	10	352	124	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	36	INTL MLE	Leones del Escogido	—	35	30	5	1	0	0	5	5	0	1	0	167	286	200	486	33	200	14	14	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	36	INTL RAW	Leones del Escogido	—	35	30	5	1	0	0	5	5	0	1	0	167	286	200	486	33	200	14	14	240	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs	—	249	229	40	10	1	1	11	65	7	9	3	175	236	240	476	66	234	26	4	213	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	18	ROK MLE	AZL Cubs	—	185	174	36	3	4	1	8	60	1	12	2	207	247	287	535	80	295	32	4	238	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	19	A MLE	Peoria Chiefs	—	491	473	98	15	6	5	13	188	2	10	7	207	234	296	530	89	322	38	3	229	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	20	A+ MLE	Daytona Cubs	—	447	408	92	16	3	7	29	139	7	13	9	225	294	331	624	105	315	31	6	274	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	21	AA MLE	3 teams	—	611	580	142	25	6	12	17	182	9	59	6	245	278	371	649	126	327	30	3	278	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	22	AA MLE	2 teams	—	623	576	143	32	3	11	35	183	7	32	15	248	300	372	672	123	339	29	6	291	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	23	MLB MLE	3 teams	—	538	500	135	30	2	11	26	140	7	24	12	270	315	404	719	134	352	26	5	318	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	24	MLB MLE	3 teams	—	577	538	115	17	4	16	26	188	8	30	6	214	261	349	610	136	292	33	5	261	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	25	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	523	472	125	26	0	9	43	160	3	24	14	265	330	377	707	112	369	31	8	310	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	26	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	555	507	100	21	3	8	40	170	3	18	11	197	259	298	556	101	273	31	7	248	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	27	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	412	370	87	21	4	7	37	94	2	14	1	235	307	370	677	135	297	23	9	301	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	29	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	734	656	164	34	1	22	65	145	7	32	14	250	324	405	730	155	286	20	9	321	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	703	659	155	36	3	17	35	218	5	16	7	235	279	376	655	141	324	31	5	290	40	-15	+0	-8	-23	+15	-3.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	609	144	33	3	16	32	202	5	15	6	236	280	379	659	143	326	31	5	290	40	-13	+0	-7	-22	+14	-2.8
Career	—	MLE		—	7304	6624	1558	290	42	131	528	1957	76	355	121	235	299	351	650	116	312	27	7	228	40	-15	+0	-8	-23	+15	-3.1
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	589	139	26	4	12	47	174	7	32	11	236	300	355	655	119	313	27	7	228	40	-13	+0	-7	-22	+14	-2.8

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2019 AAAToros de Tijuana · 507 PAwOBA .401 → .321 (−81)K% 18.3% → 19.8%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	18.34%	÷1.111	×1.200	—	—	19.81%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	13.21%	÷1.007	×0.690	—	×0.982	8.89%
HBP% /PA	1.18%	—	×0.940	—	×0.982	1.09%
Singles /BIP	23.58%	÷0.989	×0.930	×0.950	×0.982	20.68%
Doubles /BIP	8.96%	÷1.051	×0.830	×0.950	×0.982	6.60%
Triples /BIP	0.30%	÷0.993	×0.920	×0.950	×0.982	0.26%
Home runs /BIP	6.27%	÷1.023	×0.700	—	×0.982	4.21%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 105, 1B 98, 2B 110, 3B 99, K 122, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .401 → .321; ISO .222 → .164; BABIP .348 → .286. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2017 AAABravos de Leon · 251 PAwOBA .359 → .301 (−57)K% 17.9% → 22.8%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	17.93%	÷0.942	×1.200	—	—	22.84%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	12.75%	÷0.968	×0.690	—	×1.003	9.11%
HBP% /PA	0.80%	—	×0.940	—	×1.003	0.75%
Singles /BIP	21.30%	÷1.036	×0.930	×1.041	×1.003	19.96%
Doubles /BIP	8.28%	÷0.960	×0.830	×1.041	×1.003	7.48%
Triples /BIP	1.78%	÷1.150	×0.920	×1.041	×1.003	1.48%
Home runs /BIP	3.55%	÷0.981	×0.700	—	×1.003	2.54%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 96, 1B 107, 2B 92, 3B 130, K 88, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.041.

Result: wOBA .359 → .301; ISO .178 → .143; BABIP .325 → .297. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2016 AAABuffalo Bisons · 318 PAwOBA .296 → .243 (−53)K% 24.2% → 31.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	24.21%	÷0.937	×1.200	—	—	31.00%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	10.06%	÷1.034	×0.690	—	×1.018	6.84%
HBP% /PA	0.63%	—	×0.940	—	×1.018	0.60%
Singles /BIP	22.06%	÷1.008	×0.930	×1.004	×1.018	20.80%
Doubles /BIP	5.88%	÷0.917	×0.830	×1.004	×1.018	5.44%
Triples /BIP	0.98%	÷1.150	×0.970	×1.004	×1.018	0.85%
Home runs /BIP	2.94%	÷1.164	×0.840	—	×1.018	2.16%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 133, 1B 102, 2B 83, 3B 130, K 87, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.004.

Result: wOBA .296 → .243; ISO .121 → .095; BABIP .295 → .274. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2015 AAANorfolk Tides · 292 PAwOBA .376 → .327 (−49)K% 23.6% → 29.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	23.63%	÷0.961	×1.200	—	—	29.50%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	13.70%	÷1.060	×0.690	—	×1.033	9.21%
HBP% /PA	0.34%	—	×0.940	—	×1.033	0.33%
Singles /BIP	32.02%	÷0.989	×0.930	×1.022	×1.033	31.78%
Doubles /BIP	7.30%	÷0.979	×0.830	×1.022	×1.033	6.54%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.150	×0.970	×1.022	×1.033	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	3.93%	÷1.097	×0.840	—	×1.033	3.11%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 119, 1B 98, 2B 96, 3B 130, K 92, BB 112 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.022.

Result: wOBA .376 → .327; ISO .138 → .114; BABIP .402 → .389. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2014 AAAIowa Cubs · 71 PAwOBA .316 → .258 (−58)K% 21.1% → 27.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	21.13%	÷0.996	×1.290	—	—	27.36%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	8.45%	÷1.249	×0.710	—	×1.048	5.03%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.980	—	×1.048	0.00%
Singles /BIP	24.00%	÷1.021	×0.900	×1.032	×1.048	22.89%
Doubles /BIP	6.00%	÷1.111	×0.810	×1.032	×1.048	4.73%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.150	×0.810	×1.032	×1.048	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	4.00%	÷0.929	×0.780	—	×1.048	3.52%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 86, 1B 104, 2B 122, 3B 130, K 99, BB 150 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.032.

Result: wOBA .316 → .258; ISO .138 → .113; BABIP .312 → .286. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2013 AAAIowa Cubs · 170 PAwOBA .347 → .291 (−57)K% 19.4% → 25.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	19.41%	÷1.004	×1.290	—	—	24.95%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	5.88%	÷1.000	×0.710	—	×1.050	4.38%
HBP% /PA	1.18%	—	×0.980	—	×1.050	1.21%
Singles /BIP	24.39%	÷1.009	×0.900	×1.019	×1.050	23.27%
Doubles /BIP	8.13%	÷1.050	×0.810	×1.019	×1.050	6.71%
Triples /BIP	1.63%	÷1.012	×0.810	×1.019	×1.050	1.39%
Home runs /BIP	3.25%	÷1.130	×0.780	—	×1.050	2.36%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 126, 1B 102, 2B 110, 3B 102, K 101, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.019.

Result: wOBA .347 → .291; ISO .167 → .125; BABIP .347 → .316. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2012 AATennessee Smokies · 448 PAwOBA .335 → .291 (−43)K% 23.4% → 29.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	23.44%	÷0.976	×1.220	—	—	29.30%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	7.81%	÷0.983	×0.680	—	×1.042	5.63%
HBP% /PA	0.89%	—	×0.840	—	×1.042	0.78%
Singles /BIP	24.67%	÷0.991	×0.920	×1.017	×1.042	24.27%
Doubles /BIP	8.67%	÷1.033	×0.910	×1.017	×1.042	8.09%
Triples /BIP	1.00%	÷1.082	×0.880	×1.017	×1.042	0.86%
Home runs /BIP	3.33%	÷1.028	×0.800	—	×1.042	2.70%

Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 106, 1B 98, 2B 107, 3B 116, K 95, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 24.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.017.

Result: wOBA .335 → .291; ISO .153 → .127; BABIP .353 → .339. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2011 AATennessee Smokies · 262 PAwOBA .294 → .257 (−38)K% 22.9% → 29.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	22.90%	÷0.951	×1.220	—	—	29.39%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	4.96%	÷1.090	×0.680	—	×1.050	3.25%
HBP% /PA	1.91%	—	×0.840	—	×1.050	1.68%
Singles /BIP	23.08%	÷1.029	×0.920	×1.034	×1.050	22.39%
Doubles /BIP	5.49%	÷1.001	×0.910	×1.034	×1.050	5.42%
Triples /BIP	1.10%	÷1.150	×0.880	×1.034	×1.050	0.91%
Home runs /BIP	3.30%	÷0.937	×0.800	—	×1.050	2.95%

Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 87, 1B 106, 2B 100, 3B 130, K 90, BB 118 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 24.8 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.034.

Result: wOBA .294 → .257; ISO .132 → .115; BABIP .307 → .296. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .