José Rodríguez
SS Reading Fightin Phils| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 22 | AAA/AACWS | 493 | .262/.294/.437 | 21 | 31 | 61 | — | .223/.247/.362 |
| 2024 | 23 | AAPHI | 164 | .265/.333/.422 | 4 | 12 | 80 | — | .245/.296/.371 |
| 2025 | 24 | AA/A/INTL2 orgs | 193 | .296/.337/.374 | 1 | 6 | 85 | — | .277/.300/.339 |
| 2027PROJMLE | 26 | MLBPHI | 2 | .227/.286/.345 | 0 | 0 | 76 | 0.0 | |
| 2028PROJ27% MLB | 27 | MLBPHI | 44 | .227/.287/.346 | 1 | 1 | 77 | 0.0 | |
| 2029PROJ40% MLB | 28 | MLBPHI | 82 | .226/.286/.345 | 2 | 1 | 76 | 0.0 |
Tools · Contract
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2018 | 17 | ROK | DSL White Sox | — | 240 | 227 | 66 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 29 | 1 | 16 | 4 | 291 | 321 | 401 | 722 | 110 | 323 | 12 | 4 | 317 | 25 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 18 | ROK | ACL White Sox | — | 200 | 188 | 55 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 45 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 293 | 328 | 505 | 834 | 213 | 343 | 22 | 4 | 361 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 20 | A+ | Winston-Salem Dash | — | 126 | 119 | 43 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 0 | 10 | 5 | 361 | 387 | 538 | 925 | 176 | 369 | 10 | 4 | 401 | 135 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 20 | A | Kannapolis Cannon Ballers | — | 361 | 336 | 95 | 22 | 4 | 9 | 21 | 57 | 2 | 20 | 5 | 283 | 328 | 452 | 780 | 170 | 317 | 16 | 6 | 343 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 20 | INTL | Glendale Desert Dogs | — | 66 | 62 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 226 | 273 | 323 | 595 | 97 | 255 | 15 | 6 | 269 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 21 | AA | Birmingham Barons | — | 484 | 440 | 123 | 21 | 6 | 11 | 38 | 66 | 3 | 40 | 10 | 280 | 340 | 430 | 770 | 150 | 308 | 14 | 8 | 341 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 21 | INTL | Aguilas Cibaenas | — | 18 | 18 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 111 | 111 | 111 | 222 | 125 | 11 | 0 | 101 | -46 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2023 | 22 | AAA | Charlotte Knights | — | 89 | 87 | 22 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 253 | 270 | 379 | 649 | 126 | 268 | 15 | 2 | 288 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | AA | Birmingham Barons | — | 404 | 382 | 101 | 17 | 0 | 18 | 18 | 95 | 1 | 28 | 6 | 264 | 299 | 450 | 750 | 186 | 305 | 24 | 4 | 327 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 23 | AA | Reading Fightin Phils | — | 164 | 147 | 39 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 21 | 2 | 12 | 2 | 265 | 333 | 422 | 755 | 156 | 282 | 13 | 8 | 333 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 24 | AA | Reading Fightin Phils | — | 108 | 99 | 30 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 303 | 349 | 384 | 733 | 81 | 333 | 12 | 6 | 325 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 24 | A | Clearwater Threshers | — | 44 | 44 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 273 | 273 | 318 | 591 | 45 | 324 | 16 | 0 | 263 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 24 | INTL | Aguilas Cibaenas | — | 41 | 36 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 306 | 375 | 417 | 792 | 111 | 344 | 12 | 10 | 347 | 121 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2018 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL White Sox | — | 240 | 230 | 44 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 35 | 1 | 16 | 4 | 191 | 215 | 257 | 472 | 65 | 217 | 15 | 2 | 205 | 25 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 18 | ROK MLE | ACL White Sox | — | 200 | 191 | 38 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 65 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 199 | 227 | 335 | 562 | 136 | 263 | 32 | 3 | 243 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 20 | A+ MLE | Winston-Salem Dash | — | 126 | 121 | 41 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 0 | 10 | 5 | 339 | 355 | 488 | 842 | 149 | 357 | 14 | 2 | 367 | 135 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 20 | A MLE | Kannapolis Cannon Ballers | — | 361 | 345 | 83 | 17 | 3 | 8 | 13 | 79 | 2 | 20 | 5 | 241 | 272 | 377 | 649 | 136 | 289 | 22 | 4 | 280 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 21 | AA MLE | Birmingham Barons | — | 484 | 452 | 119 | 21 | 6 | 9 | 27 | 81 | 3 | 40 | 10 | 263 | 309 | 396 | 705 | 133 | 302 | 17 | 6 | 305 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | AAA MLE | Charlotte Knights | — | 89 | 88 | 21 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 239 | 247 | 330 | 577 | 91 | 265 | 18 | 1 | 242 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | AA MLE | Birmingham Barons | — | 404 | 387 | 85 | 16 | 0 | 14 | 13 | 124 | 1 | 28 | 6 | 220 | 247 | 370 | 616 | 150 | 275 | 31 | 3 | 261 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 23 | AA MLE | Reading Fightin Phils | — | 164 | 151 | 37 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 26 | 2 | 12 | 2 | 245 | 296 | 371 | 667 | 126 | 268 | 16 | 5 | 287 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 24 | AA MLE | Reading Fightin Phils | — | 108 | 101 | 30 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 297 | 330 | 366 | 697 | 69 | 329 | 15 | 4 | 306 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 24 | A MLE | Clearwater Threshers | — | 44 | 44 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 227 | 227 | 273 | 500 | 45 | 286 | 20 | 0 | 215 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL White Sox | — | 240 | 230 | 44 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 35 | 1 | 16 | 4 | 191 | 215 | 257 | 472 | 65 | 219 | 15 | 2 | 205 | 25 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 17 | ROK RAW | DSL White Sox | — | 240 | 227 | 66 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 29 | 1 | 16 | 4 | 291 | 321 | 401 | 722 | 110 | 323 | 12 | 4 | 317 | 25 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 18 | ROK MLE | ACL White Sox | — | 200 | 191 | 38 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 65 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 199 | 227 | 335 | 562 | 136 | 267 | 32 | 3 | 243 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 18 | ROK RAW | ACL White Sox | — | 200 | 188 | 55 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 45 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 293 | 328 | 505 | 834 | 213 | 343 | 22 | 4 | 361 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 20 | A MLE | 3 teams | — | 553 | 530 | 142 | 24 | 5 | 14 | 18 | 110 | 2 | 32 | 10 | 268 | 295 | 411 | 706 | 143 | 313 | 20 | 3 | 303 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 20 | A RAW | 3 teams | — | 553 | 517 | 152 | 27 | 6 | 15 | 30 | 80 | 2 | 32 | 10 | 294 | 335 | 456 | 791 | 162 | 322 | 14 | 5 | 347 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 21 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 502 | 469 | 123 | 22 | 6 | 9 | 28 | 84 | 3 | 42 | 10 | 262 | 308 | 392 | 700 | 130 | 302 | 17 | 6 | 305 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 21 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 502 | 458 | 125 | 21 | 6 | 11 | 38 | 68 | 3 | 42 | 10 | 273 | 332 | 417 | 749 | 144 | 300 | 14 | 8 | 333 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 493 | 475 | 105 | 17 | 0 | 16 | 14 | 140 | 1 | 31 | 9 | 221 | 245 | 358 | 603 | 137 | 276 | 28 | 3 | 258 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 493 | 469 | 123 | 19 | 0 | 21 | 20 | 108 | 1 | 31 | 9 | 262 | 294 | 437 | 731 | 175 | 297 | 22 | 4 | 320 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 23 | AA MLE | Reading Fightin Phils | — | 164 | 151 | 37 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 26 | 2 | 12 | 2 | 245 | 296 | 371 | 667 | 126 | 274 | 16 | 5 | 287 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 23 | AA RAW | Reading Fightin Phils | — | 164 | 147 | 39 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 21 | 2 | 12 | 2 | 265 | 333 | 422 | 755 | 156 | 282 | 13 | 8 | 333 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 24 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 193 | 184 | 51 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 31 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 277 | 300 | 337 | 637 | 60 | 323 | 16 | 3 | 280 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 24 | AA RAW | 3 teams | — | 193 | 179 | 53 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 25 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 296 | 337 | 374 | 711 | 78 | 333 | 13 | 5 | 316 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL White Sox | — | 240 | 231 | 44 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 35 | 1 | 16 | 4 | 190 | 215 | 255 | 471 | 65 | 217 | 15 | 2 | 205 | 25 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 18 | ROK MLE | ACL White Sox | — | 200 | 191 | 38 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 65 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 199 | 227 | 335 | 562 | 136 | 263 | 32 | 3 | 243 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 20 | A MLE | 3 teams | — | 553 | 528 | 142 | 24 | 5 | 14 | 18 | 110 | 2 | 32 | 10 | 269 | 295 | 413 | 707 | 144 | 307 | 20 | 3 | 303 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 21 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 502 | 466 | 123 | 22 | 6 | 9 | 28 | 84 | 3 | 42 | 10 | 264 | 308 | 395 | 703 | 131 | 302 | 17 | 6 | 305 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 493 | 475 | 105 | 17 | 0 | 16 | 14 | 140 | 1 | 31 | 9 | 221 | 245 | 358 | 603 | 137 | 273 | 28 | 3 | 258 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 23 | AA MLE | Reading Fightin Phils | — | 164 | 152 | 37 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 26 | 2 | 12 | 2 | 243 | 296 | 368 | 665 | 125 | 268 | 16 | 5 | 287 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 24 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 193 | 185 | 51 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 31 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 276 | 300 | 335 | 635 | 59 | 317 | 16 | 3 | 280 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 23 | AA MLE | Reading Fightin Phils | — | 164 | 152 | 37 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 26 | 2 | 12 | 2 | 243 | 296 | 368 | 665 | 125 | 268 | 16 | 5 | 287 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 24 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 193 | 185 | 51 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 31 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 276 | 300 | 335 | 635 | 59 | 317 | 16 | 3 | 280 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB MLE | PHI | 2% | 202 | 185 | 42 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 48 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 225 | 285 | 341 | 625 | 115 | 281 | 24 | 6 | 281 | 76 | -6 | +1 | +0 | +2 | +4 | 0.1 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB CTX | PHI | 2% | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 227 | 286 | 345 | 631 | 119 | 281 | 0 | 0 | 283 | 76 | -0 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +0 | 0.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 27 | MLB MLE | PHI | 27% | 163 | 149 | 33 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 38 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 225 | 285 | 341 | 627 | 116 | 281 | 23 | 7 | 281 | 77 | -5 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +4 | 0.1 |
| 2029 | 28 | MLB MLE | PHI | 40% | 205 | 187 | 42 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 49 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 225 | 285 | 340 | 626 | 116 | 281 | 24 | 7 | 281 | 76 | -6 | +0 | -1 | +2 | +4 | 0.1 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB CTX | PHI | 27% | 44 | 41 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 227 | 287 | 346 | 633 | 119 | 281 | 23 | 7 | 284 | 77 | -1 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +1 | 0.0 |
| 2029 | 28 | MLB CTX | PHI | 40% | 82 | 75 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 226 | 286 | 345 | 632 | 119 | 281 | 23 | 7 | 283 | 76 | -2 | +0 | -0 | +1 | +2 | 0.0 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 126 | 116 | 26 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 29 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 224 | 286 | 345 | 631 | 121 | 274 | 23 | 7 | 283 | 73 | -4 | +0 | -0 | +1 | +3 | 0.1 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 598 | 134 | 26 | 0 | 15 | 46 | 150 | 5 | 10 | 0 | 224 | 285 | 343 | 627 | 119 | 275 | 23 | 7 | 283 | 73 | -18 | +2 | -1 | +7 | +14 | 0.3 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2820 | 2664 | 637 | 107 | 20 | 59 | 118 | 603 | 16 | 155 | 44 | 239 | 276 | 361 | 636 | 122 | 286 | 21 | 4 | 276 | 73 | -13 | +1 | -1 | +5 | +10 | 0.2 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 614 | 148 | 25 | 5 | 14 | 27 | 139 | 4 | 36 | 10 | 241 | 278 | 366 | 644 | 125 | 288 | 21 | 4 | 276 | 73 | -18 | +1 | -1 | +7 | +14 | 0.3 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2025 AAReading Fightin Phils · 108 PAwOBA .323 → .306 (−17)K% 12.0% → 14.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 12.04% | ÷1.016 | ×1.220 | — | — | 14.45% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.56% | ÷0.982 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.012 | 4.01% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.93% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.012 | 0.80% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.91% | ÷0.968 | ×0.970 | ×1.002 | ×1.012 | 28.36% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.81% | ÷1.004 | ×0.860 | ×1.002 | ×1.012 | 5.05% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.959 | ×0.950 | ×1.002 | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.16% | ÷1.036 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.012 | 0.89% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 107, 1B 94, 2B 101, 3B 92, K 103, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.002.
Result: wOBA .323 → .306; ISO .081 → .068; BABIP .333 → .329. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AClearwater Threshers · 44 PAwOBA .256 → .215 (−41)K% 15.9% → 20.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.91% | ÷1.065 | ×1.360 | — | — | 20.31% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 0.00% | ÷0.975 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.980 | 0.00% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×0.980 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 29.73% | ÷1.030 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.980 | 26.02% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.975 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.980 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.70% | ÷0.923 | ×0.910 | — | ×0.980 | 2.61% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.083 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.980 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 117, 1B 106, 2B 95, 3B 85, K 113, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.0 → −2.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .256 → .215; ISO .045 → .042; BABIP .324 → .286. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AAReading Fightin Phils · 164 PAwOBA .328 → .287 (−41)K% 12.8% → 16.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 12.80% | ÷0.974 | ×1.220 | — | — | 16.04% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.93% | ÷1.013 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.027 | 5.63% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.22% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.027 | 1.06% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.84% | ÷0.997 | ×0.970 | ×0.994 | ×1.027 | 19.72% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.14% | ÷1.022 | ×0.860 | ×0.994 | ×1.027 | 6.14% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.79% | ÷0.983 | ×0.950 | ×0.994 | ×1.027 | 0.78% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.17% | ÷1.137 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.027 | 2.24% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 127, 1B 99, 2B 104, 3B 97, K 95, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.994.
Result: wOBA .328 → .287; ISO .156 → .124; BABIP .282 → .268. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AABirmingham Barons · 404 PAwOBA .320 → .261 (−60)K% 23.5% → 30.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.51% | ÷0.938 | ×1.220 | — | — | 30.60% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.46% | ÷0.995 | ×0.680 | — | ×1.042 | 3.17% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.25% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×1.042 | 0.22% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.00% | ÷1.069 | ×0.920 | ×0.996 | ×1.042 | 20.54% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.92% | ÷0.961 | ×0.910 | ×0.996 | ×1.042 | 5.82% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.967 | ×0.880 | ×0.996 | ×1.042 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.27% | ÷1.013 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.042 | 5.16% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 103, 1B 114, 2B 92, 3B 93, K 88, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 24.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.996.
Result: wOBA .320 → .261; ISO .186 → .149; BABIP .305 → .275. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AAACharlotte Knights · 89 PAwOBA .279 → .242 (−37)K% 14.6% → 17.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.61% | ÷0.978 | ×1.200 | — | — | 17.93% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 2.25% | ÷1.078 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.050 | 1.51% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.97% | ÷0.967 | ×0.930 | ×1.008 | ×1.050 | 23.38% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.70% | ÷0.971 | ×0.830 | ×1.008 | ×1.050 | 2.44% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.996 | ×0.970 | ×1.008 | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.05% | ÷1.152 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.050 | 2.59% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 130, 1B 93, 2B 94, 3B 99, K 96, BB 116 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.008.
Result: wOBA .279 → .242; ISO .126 → .084; BABIP .268 → .265. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AABirmingham Barons · 484 PAwOBA .332 → .305 (−28)K% 13.6% → 16.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 13.64% | ÷0.988 | ×1.220 | — | — | 16.84% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.64% | ÷0.993 | ×0.680 | — | ×1.050 | 5.50% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.62% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×1.050 | 0.55% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.73% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×1.017 | ×1.050 | 22.33% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.61% | ÷0.947 | ×0.910 | ×1.017 | ×1.050 | 5.76% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.60% | ÷0.987 | ×0.880 | ×1.017 | ×1.050 | 1.53% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.94% | ÷1.056 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.050 | 2.34% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 111, 1B 100, 2B 89, 3B 97, K 98, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 24.8 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.017.
Result: wOBA .332 → .305; ISO .150 → .134; BABIP .308 → .302. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 AKannapolis Cannon Ballers · 361 PAwOBA .334 → .280 (−54)K% 15.8% → 21.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.79% | ÷0.984 | ×1.360 | — | — | 21.82% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.54% | ÷1.085 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.030 | 3.63% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.55% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.030 | 0.45% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.51% | ÷1.003 | ×0.920 | ×1.008 | ×1.030 | 20.48% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.89% | ÷1.049 | ×0.830 | ×1.008 | ×1.030 | 6.48% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.43% | ÷1.122 | ×0.910 | ×1.008 | ×1.030 | 1.21% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.23% | ÷0.925 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.030 | 2.87% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 85, 1B 101, 2B 110, 3B 124, K 97, BB 117 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.008.
Result: wOBA .334 → .280; ISO .170 → .139; BABIP .317 → .289. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 A+Winston-Salem Dash · 126 PAwOBA .393 → .367 (−26)K% 10.3% → 14.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 10.32% | ÷0.974 | ×1.350 | — | — | 14.30% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 3.17% | ÷1.079 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.042 | 2.18% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.810 | — | ×1.042 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 31.13% | ÷1.000 | ×0.910 | ×1.036 | ×1.042 | 30.59% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.77% | ÷0.976 | ×0.830 | ×1.036 | ×1.042 | 3.47% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.94% | ÷1.012 | ×0.820 | ×1.036 | ×1.042 | 0.83% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.72% | ÷0.956 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.042 | 4.27% |
Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 91, 1B 100, 2B 95, 3B 102, K 95, BB 116 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.036.
Result: wOBA .393 → .367; ISO .176 → .158; BABIP .369 → .357. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .