Hunter Stovall
2B Montgomery Biscuits| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 26 | AAACOL | 432 | .278/.349/.408 | 8 | 15 | 72 | — | .237/.290/.327 |
| 2024 | 27 | AAACOL | 431 | .271/.320/.373 | 7 | 12 | 61 | — | .240/.273/.311 |
| 2025 | 28 | AAA/AATB | 335 | .227/.298/.328 | 7 | 10 | 43 | — | .202/.253/.290 |
| 2027PROJMLE | 30 | MLBTB | 3 | .233/.277/.321 | 0 | 0 | 67 | -0.0 | |
| 2028PROJ23% MLB | 31 | MLBTB | 45 | .229/.274/.315 | 1 | 1 | 65 | -0.1 |
Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 40
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2018 | 21 | ROK | Grand Junction Rockies | — | 216 | 199 | 59 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 8 | 22 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 296 | 330 | 588 | 918 | 291 | 283 | 10 | 4 | 382 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 22 | A | Lakewood BlueClaws | — | 330 | 285 | 69 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 34 | 44 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 242 | 333 | 333 | 667 | 91 | 279 | 13 | 10 | 302 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 24 | A+ | Spokane Indians | — | 367 | 320 | 101 | 13 | 4 | 6 | 40 | 69 | 2 | 25 | 7 | 316 | 395 | 438 | 833 | 122 | 385 | 19 | 11 | 369 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 25 | AA | Hartford Yard Goats | — | 435 | 393 | 105 | 27 | 3 | 9 | 34 | 91 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 267 | 327 | 420 | 747 | 153 | 325 | 21 | 8 | 327 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 26 | AAA | Albuquerque Isotopes | — | 432 | 385 | 107 | 18 | 4 | 8 | 39 | 62 | 3 | 15 | 6 | 278 | 349 | 408 | 757 | 130 | 311 | 14 | 9 | 336 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 27 | AAA | Albuquerque Isotopes | — | 431 | 399 | 108 | 18 | 1 | 7 | 29 | 50 | 0 | 12 | 4 | 271 | 320 | 373 | 694 | 103 | 294 | 12 | 7 | 310 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 28 | AAA | Durham Bulls | — | 100 | 86 | 23 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 22 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 267 | 351 | 349 | 699 | 81 | 338 | 22 | 10 | 312 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 28 | AA | Montgomery Biscuits | — | 235 | 213 | 45 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 40 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 211 | 276 | 319 | 595 | 108 | 229 | 17 | 7 | 268 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2018 | 21 | ROK MLE | Grand Junction Rockies | — | 216 | 202 | 43 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 32 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 213 | 239 | 411 | 650 | 198 | 203 | 15 | 2 | 274 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 22 | A MLE | Lakewood BlueClaws | — | 330 | 296 | 58 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 23 | 60 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 196 | 265 | 267 | 532 | 71 | 233 | 18 | 7 | 238 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 24 | A+ MLE | Spokane Indians | — | 367 | 334 | 88 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 97 | 2 | 25 | 7 | 263 | 320 | 350 | 671 | 87 | 351 | 26 | 7 | 295 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 25 | AA MLE | Hartford Yard Goats | — | 435 | 404 | 93 | 22 | 2 | 7 | 23 | 110 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 230 | 273 | 347 | 620 | 116 | 293 | 25 | 5 | 269 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 26 | AAA MLE | Albuquerque Isotopes | — | 432 | 397 | 94 | 15 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 79 | 3 | 15 | 6 | 237 | 290 | 327 | 618 | 91 | 278 | 18 | 6 | 275 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 27 | AAA MLE | Albuquerque Isotopes | — | 431 | 409 | 98 | 15 | 1 | 4 | 19 | 61 | 0 | 12 | 4 | 240 | 273 | 311 | 584 | 71 | 269 | 14 | 4 | 259 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 28 | AAA MLE | Durham Bulls | — | 100 | 89 | 24 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 25 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 270 | 330 | 348 | 678 | 79 | 328 | 25 | 7 | 282 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 28 | AA MLE | Montgomery Biscuits | — | 235 | 219 | 38 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 48 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 174 | 220 | 265 | 485 | 91 | 187 | 20 | 5 | 210 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 21 | ROK MLE | Grand Junction Rockies | — | 216 | 202 | 43 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 32 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 213 | 239 | 411 | 650 | 198 | 213 | 15 | 2 | 274 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 21 | ROK RAW | Grand Junction Rockies | — | 216 | 199 | 59 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 8 | 22 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 296 | 330 | 588 | 918 | 291 | 283 | 10 | 4 | 382 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 22 | A MLE | Lakewood BlueClaws | — | 330 | 296 | 58 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 23 | 60 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 196 | 265 | 267 | 532 | 71 | 238 | 18 | 7 | 238 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 22 | A RAW | Lakewood BlueClaws | — | 330 | 285 | 69 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 34 | 44 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 242 | 333 | 333 | 667 | 91 | 279 | 13 | 10 | 302 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 24 | A+ MLE | Spokane Indians | — | 367 | 334 | 88 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 97 | 2 | 25 | 7 | 263 | 320 | 350 | 671 | 87 | 357 | 26 | 7 | 295 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 24 | A+ RAW | Spokane Indians | — | 367 | 320 | 101 | 13 | 4 | 6 | 40 | 69 | 2 | 25 | 7 | 316 | 395 | 438 | 833 | 122 | 385 | 19 | 11 | 369 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 25 | AA MLE | Hartford Yard Goats | — | 435 | 404 | 93 | 22 | 2 | 7 | 23 | 110 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 230 | 273 | 347 | 620 | 116 | 298 | 25 | 5 | 269 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 25 | AA RAW | Hartford Yard Goats | — | 435 | 393 | 105 | 27 | 3 | 9 | 34 | 91 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 267 | 327 | 420 | 747 | 153 | 325 | 21 | 8 | 327 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 26 | AAA MLE | Albuquerque Isotopes | — | 432 | 397 | 94 | 15 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 79 | 3 | 15 | 6 | 237 | 290 | 327 | 618 | 91 | 282 | 18 | 6 | 275 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 26 | AAA RAW | Albuquerque Isotopes | — | 432 | 385 | 107 | 18 | 4 | 8 | 39 | 62 | 3 | 15 | 6 | 278 | 349 | 408 | 757 | 130 | 311 | 14 | 9 | 336 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 27 | AAA MLE | Albuquerque Isotopes | — | 431 | 409 | 98 | 15 | 1 | 4 | 19 | 61 | 0 | 12 | 4 | 240 | 273 | 311 | 584 | 71 | 272 | 14 | 4 | 259 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 27 | AAA RAW | Albuquerque Isotopes | — | 431 | 399 | 108 | 18 | 1 | 7 | 29 | 50 | 0 | 12 | 4 | 271 | 320 | 373 | 694 | 103 | 294 | 12 | 7 | 310 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 28 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 335 | 308 | 61 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 73 | 3 | 10 | 2 | 198 | 249 | 282 | 532 | 84 | 235 | 22 | 5 | 231 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 28 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 335 | 299 | 68 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 27 | 62 | 3 | 10 | 2 | 227 | 298 | 328 | 626 | 100 | 260 | 19 | 8 | 281 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 21 | ROK MLE | Grand Junction Rockies | — | 216 | 207 | 43 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 32 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 208 | 239 | 401 | 640 | 193 | 203 | 15 | 2 | 274 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 22 | A MLE | Lakewood BlueClaws | — | 330 | 299 | 58 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 23 | 60 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 194 | 265 | 264 | 530 | 70 | 233 | 18 | 7 | 238 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 24 | A+ MLE | Spokane Indians | — | 367 | 336 | 88 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 97 | 2 | 25 | 7 | 262 | 320 | 348 | 669 | 86 | 351 | 26 | 7 | 295 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 25 | AA MLE | Hartford Yard Goats | — | 435 | 408 | 93 | 22 | 2 | 7 | 23 | 110 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 228 | 273 | 343 | 617 | 115 | 293 | 25 | 5 | 269 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 26 | AAA MLE | Albuquerque Isotopes | — | 432 | 399 | 94 | 15 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 79 | 3 | 15 | 6 | 236 | 290 | 326 | 616 | 90 | 278 | 18 | 6 | 275 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 27 | AAA MLE | Albuquerque Isotopes | — | 431 | 409 | 98 | 15 | 1 | 4 | 19 | 61 | 0 | 12 | 4 | 240 | 273 | 311 | 584 | 71 | 269 | 14 | 4 | 259 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 28 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 335 | 311 | 61 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 73 | 3 | 10 | 2 | 196 | 249 | 280 | 529 | 84 | 229 | 22 | 5 | 231 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 27 | AAA MLE | Albuquerque Isotopes | — | 431 | 409 | 98 | 15 | 1 | 4 | 19 | 61 | 0 | 12 | 4 | 240 | 273 | 311 | 584 | 71 | 269 | 14 | 4 | 259 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 28 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 335 | 311 | 61 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 73 | 3 | 10 | 2 | 196 | 249 | 280 | 529 | 84 | 229 | 22 | 5 | 231 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 30 | MLB MLE | TB | 2% | 380 | 356 | 81 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 75 | 2 | 9 | 2 | 230 | 274 | 320 | 594 | 90 | 274 | 20 | 5 | 267 | 67 | -15 | +1 | +0 | +1 | +8 | -0.1 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 30 | MLB CTX | TB | 2% | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 233 | 277 | 321 | 598 | 88 | 278 | 33 | 0 | 268 | 67 | -0 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +0 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 31 | MLB MLE | TB | 23% | 200 | 187 | 43 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 40 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 227 | 271 | 315 | 586 | 88 | 272 | 20 | 5 | 264 | 65 | -8 | +0 | -3 | +1 | +4 | -0.6 |
| 2028 | 31 | MLB CTX | TB | 23% | 45 | 43 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 229 | 274 | 315 | 589 | 86 | 276 | 20 | 4 | 265 | 65 | -2 | +0 | -1 | +0 | +1 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 45 | 43 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 209 | 244 | 302 | 547 | 93 | 242 | 20 | 4 | 265 | 65 | -2 | +0 | -1 | +0 | +1 | -0.1 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 621 | 129 | 14 | 0 | 14 | 29 | 130 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 208 | 243 | 298 | 541 | 90 | 241 | 20 | 4 | 265 | 65 | -27 | +3 | -9 | +2 | +14 | -1.8 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2901 | 2682 | 611 | 104 | 19 | 39 | 159 | 582 | 18 | 89 | 40 | 228 | 276 | 324 | 600 | 97 | 274 | 20 | 5 | 264 | 65 | -15 | +0 | -3 | +1 | +8 | -0.8 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 601 | 137 | 23 | 4 | 9 | 36 | 130 | 4 | 20 | 9 | 228 | 277 | 324 | 601 | 97 | 274 | 20 | 6 | 264 | 65 | -27 | +1 | -5 | +2 | +14 | -1.5 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2025 AAMontgomery Biscuits · 235 PAwOBA .264 → .210 (−54)K% 17.0% → 20.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.02% | ÷1.010 | ×1.220 | — | — | 20.56% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.23% | ÷0.988 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.958 | 4.77% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.85% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.958 | 0.68% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.23% | ÷1.045 | ×0.920 | ×0.973 | ×0.958 | 16.60% |
| Doubles /BIP | 1.73% | ÷0.976 | ×0.910 | ×0.973 | ×0.958 | 1.51% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.58% | ÷1.150 | ×0.880 | ×0.973 | ×0.958 | 0.41% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.47% | ÷0.922 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.958 | 2.88% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 84, 1B 109, 2B 95, 3B 130, K 102, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 24.8 → −4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.973.
Result: wOBA .264 → .210; ISO .108 → .090; BABIP .229 → .187. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AAADurham Bulls · 100 PAwOBA .311 → .282 (−29)K% 22.0% → 25.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.00% | ÷1.057 | ×1.200 | — | — | 24.97% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.00% | ÷1.030 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.982 | 6.58% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.982 | 0.92% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.12% | ÷0.956 | ×0.930 | ×1.039 | ×0.982 | 27.93% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.25% | ÷0.940 | ×0.830 | ×1.039 | ×0.982 | 5.63% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.970 | ×1.039 | ×0.982 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.56% | ÷1.380 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.982 | 0.78% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 176, 1B 91, 2B 88, 3B 80, K 111, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.039.
Result: wOBA .311 → .282; ISO .081 → .063; BABIP .338 → .328. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AAAAlbuquerque Isotopes · 431 PAwOBA .303 → .259 (−45)K% 11.6% → 14.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 11.60% | ÷0.979 | ×1.200 | — | — | 14.22% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.73% | ÷1.018 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.992 | 4.53% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.992 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.50% | ÷0.990 | ×0.930 | ×1.012 | ×0.992 | 22.16% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.16% | ÷0.988 | ×0.830 | ×1.012 | ×0.992 | 4.35% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.29% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | ×1.012 | ×0.992 | 0.24% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.01% | ÷1.096 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.992 | 1.27% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 119, 1B 98, 2B 98, 3B 130, K 96, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.012.
Result: wOBA .303 → .259; ISO .103 → .076; BABIP .294 → .269. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AAAAlbuquerque Isotopes · 432 PAwOBA .330 → .275 (−55)K% 14.4% → 18.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.35% | ÷0.947 | ×1.200 | — | — | 18.19% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.03% | ÷0.984 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.003 | 6.35% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.69% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.003 | 0.65% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.84% | ÷1.018 | ×0.930 | ×1.002 | ×1.003 | 21.88% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.57% | ÷1.002 | ×0.830 | ×1.002 | ×1.003 | 4.64% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.24% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | ×1.002 | ×1.003 | 1.05% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.48% | ÷1.062 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.003 | 1.64% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 112, 1B 104, 2B 100, 3B 130, K 89, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.002.
Result: wOBA .330 → .275; ISO .130 → .098; BABIP .311 → .278. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AAHartford Yard Goats · 435 PAwOBA .320 → .269 (−51)K% 20.9% → 25.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.92% | ÷1.006 | ×1.220 | — | — | 25.38% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.82% | ÷1.002 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.988 | 5.40% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.23% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.988 | 0.19% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.85% | ÷1.032 | ×0.970 | ×1.013 | ×0.988 | 20.54% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.94% | ÷1.035 | ×0.860 | ×1.013 | ×0.988 | 7.43% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.99% | ÷1.150 | ×0.950 | ×1.013 | ×0.988 | 0.82% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.98% | ÷0.992 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.988 | 2.31% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 98, 1B 106, 2B 107, 3B 130, K 101, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.013.
Result: wOBA .320 → .269; ISO .153 → .122; BABIP .325 → .293. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 A+Spokane Indians · 367 PAwOBA .362 → .295 (−67)K% 18.8% → 26.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.80% | ÷0.967 | ×1.350 | — | — | 26.25% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.90% | ÷1.052 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.978 | 7.19% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.54% | — | ×0.810 | — | ×0.978 | 0.43% |
| Singles /BIP | 31.08% | ÷0.966 | ×0.910 | ×1.014 | ×0.978 | 29.04% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.18% | ÷0.976 | ×0.830 | ×1.014 | ×0.978 | 4.37% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.59% | ÷0.900 | ×0.820 | ×1.014 | ×0.978 | 1.44% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.39% | ÷1.211 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.978 | 1.60% |
Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 142, 1B 93, 2B 95, 3B 80, K 93, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 22.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.014.
Result: wOBA .362 → .295; ISO .122 → .091; BABIP .385 → .351. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 ALakewood BlueClaws · 330 PAwOBA .298 → .238 (−60)K% 13.3% → 18.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 13.33% | ÷0.987 | ×1.340 | — | — | 18.11% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.30% | ÷0.975 | ×0.660 | — | ×0.990 | 6.90% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.52% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×0.990 | 1.16% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.33% | ÷1.016 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | ×0.990 | 17.32% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.22% | ÷0.991 | ×0.820 | ×0.950 | ×0.990 | 4.84% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.66% | ÷1.038 | ×0.940 | ×0.950 | ×0.990 | 1.41% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.41% | ÷0.809 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.990 | 0.42% |
Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 62, 1B 103, 2B 98, 3B 108, K 97, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .298 → .238; ISO .091 → .076; BABIP .279 → .233. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 ROKGrand Junction Rockies · 216 PAwOBA .381 → .274 (−108)K% 10.2% → 14.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 10.19% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 14.67% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 3.70% | ÷1.000 | ×0.610 | — | ×0.975 | 2.20% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.93% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.975 | 0.65% |
| Singles /BIP | 15.25% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | ×0.964 | ×0.975 | 11.76% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.04% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×0.964 | ×0.975 | 6.12% |
| Triples /BIP | 3.39% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×0.964 | ×0.975 | 2.29% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.65% | ÷1.000 | ×0.750 | — | ×0.975 | 4.13% |
Factors used: league row PIO. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 19.5 → −2.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.964.
Result: wOBA .381 → .274; ISO .291 → .207; BABIP .283 → .203. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).