Bryan Lavastida
C Las Vegas Aviators| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 25 | AAA/INTL2 orgs | 363 | .235/.332/.381 | 8 | 28 | 67 | — | .204/.283/.317 |
| 2025 | 26 | AAA/AA2 orgs | 362 | .279/.361/.438 | 10 | 21 | 87 | — | .243/.308/.362 |
| 2026 | 27 | AAAOAK | 346 | .250/.327/.364 | 7 | 9 | 63 | — | .223/.280/.308 |
| 2027PROJ10% MLB | 28 | MLBOAK | 16 | .233/.296/.342 | 0 | 1 | 76 | 0.0 | |
| 2028PROJ33% MLB | 29 | MLBOAK | 89 | .232/.294/.340 | 1 | 3 | 75 | 0.1 | |
| 2029PROJ46% MLB | 30 | MLBOAK | 125 | .230/.292/.336 | 2 | 3 | 73 | 0.0 |
Tools · ContractCON 60 / POW 50
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2018 | 19 | ROK | AZL Indians 1 | — | 149 | 120 | 35 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 23 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 292 | 418 | 367 | 784 | 75 | 351 | 15 | 15 | 358 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | AAA | Columbus Clippers | — | 21 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 158 | 238 | 316 | 554 | 158 | 250 | 48 | 10 | 252 | 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | AA | Akron RubberDucks | — | 119 | 103 | 30 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 28 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 291 | 376 | 466 | 842 | 175 | 370 | 24 | 10 | 369 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | A+ | Lake County Captains | — | 198 | 165 | 50 | 12 | 0 | 5 | 26 | 30 | 3 | 14 | 5 | 303 | 407 | 467 | 874 | 164 | 336 | 15 | 13 | 384 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | MLB | Cleveland Guardians | — | 15 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 83 | 267 | 83 | 350 | 125 | 27 | 20 | 200 | 21 | -1 | +0 | -0 | +7 | +0 | 0.6 | |
| 2022 | 23 | AAA | Columbus Clippers | — | 168 | 147 | 33 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 35 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 224 | 317 | 374 | 692 | 150 | 266 | 21 | 10 | 312 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | AA | Akron RubberDucks | — | 191 | 174 | 34 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 45 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 195 | 259 | 328 | 587 | 132 | 230 | 24 | 6 | 263 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | AAA | Columbus Clippers | — | 218 | 189 | 44 | 9 | 0 | 8 | 22 | 47 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 233 | 316 | 407 | 723 | 175 | 261 | 22 | 10 | 315 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | AA | Akron RubberDucks | — | 247 | 203 | 50 | 9 | 0 | 4 | 34 | 38 | 6 | 9 | 4 | 246 | 367 | 350 | 717 | 103 | 282 | 15 | 14 | 330 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | INTL | Estrellas Orientales | — | 47 | 43 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 233 | 298 | 326 | 623 | 93 | 273 | 19 | 6 | 286 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 25 | AAA | Columbus Clippers | — | 345 | 297 | 69 | 18 | 2 | 8 | 37 | 79 | 9 | 27 | 5 | 232 | 335 | 387 | 722 | 155 | 289 | 23 | 11 | 326 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 25 | INTL | Estrellas Orientales | — | 18 | 18 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 278 | 278 | 278 | 556 | 357 | 22 | 0 | 251 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2025 | 26 | AAA | Las Vegas Aviators | — | 199 | 169 | 51 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 24 | 34 | 2 | 9 | 5 | 302 | 391 | 467 | 858 | 166 | 348 | 17 | 12 | 377 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 26 | AA | Corpus Christi Hooks | — | 163 | 146 | 37 | 7 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 33 | 4 | 12 | 2 | 253 | 325 | 404 | 729 | 151 | 296 | 20 | 7 | 327 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 27 | AAA | Las Vegas Aviators | — | 346 | 308 | 77 | 14 | 0 | 7 | 32 | 54 | 3 | 9 | 5 | 250 | 327 | 364 | 690 | 114 | 280 | 16 | 9 | 311 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 15 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 83 | 267 | 83 | 350 | 125 | 27 | 20 | 200 | 21 | -1 | +0 | -0 | +7 | +0 | 0.6 | |||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2018 | 19 | ROK MLE | AZL Indians 1 | — | 149 | 128 | 30 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 33 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 234 | 329 | 297 | 626 | 62 | 290 | 22 | 9 | 271 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | AAA MLE | Columbus Clippers | — | 21 | 20 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 150 | 190 | 300 | 490 | 150 | 248 | 57 | 5 | 177 | 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | AA MLE | Akron RubberDucks | — | 119 | 106 | 28 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 35 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 264 | 333 | 425 | 758 | 160 | 344 | 29 | 8 | 314 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | A+ MLE | Lake County Captains | — | 198 | 174 | 45 | 11 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 39 | 3 | 14 | 5 | 259 | 335 | 374 | 709 | 115 | 305 | 20 | 9 | 323 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | MLB MLE | Cleveland Guardians | — | 15 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 83 | 267 | 83 | 350 | 125 | 27 | 20 | 200 | 21 | -1 | +0 | -0 | +7 | +0 | 0.6 | |
| 2022 | 23 | AAA MLE | Columbus Clippers | — | 168 | 151 | 33 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 40 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 219 | 293 | 338 | 631 | 119 | 277 | 24 | 7 | 284 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | AA MLE | Akron RubberDucks | — | 191 | 177 | 31 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 57 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 175 | 228 | 288 | 516 | 113 | 218 | 30 | 5 | 218 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | AAA MLE | Columbus Clippers | — | 218 | 196 | 42 | 8 | 0 | 6 | 15 | 56 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 214 | 274 | 347 | 621 | 133 | 246 | 26 | 7 | 266 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | AA MLE | Akron RubberDucks | — | 247 | 215 | 51 | 9 | 0 | 4 | 24 | 47 | 6 | 9 | 4 | 237 | 331 | 335 | 665 | 98 | 276 | 19 | 10 | 292 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 25 | AAA MLE | Columbus Clippers | — | 345 | 309 | 63 | 16 | 2 | 5 | 25 | 101 | 9 | 27 | 5 | 204 | 283 | 317 | 600 | 113 | 282 | 29 | 7 | 268 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 26 | AAA MLE | Las Vegas Aviators | — | 199 | 179 | 46 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 40 | 2 | 9 | 5 | 257 | 325 | 374 | 699 | 117 | 310 | 20 | 8 | 314 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 26 | AA MLE | Corpus Christi Hooks | — | 163 | 150 | 34 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 39 | 4 | 12 | 2 | 227 | 288 | 347 | 635 | 120 | 277 | 24 | 6 | 274 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 27 | AAA MLE | Las Vegas Aviators | — | 346 | 318 | 71 | 12 | 0 | 5 | 22 | 65 | 3 | 9 | 5 | 223 | 280 | 308 | 588 | 85 | 261 | 19 | 6 | 262 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 19 | ROK MLE | AZL Indians 1 | — | 149 | 128 | 30 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 33 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 234 | 329 | 297 | 626 | 62 | 305 | 22 | 9 | 271 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 19 | ROK RAW | AZL Indians 1 | — | 149 | 120 | 35 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 23 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 292 | 418 | 367 | 784 | 75 | 351 | 15 | 15 | 358 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 338 | 300 | 76 | 17 | 1 | 7 | 27 | 86 | 5 | 16 | 8 | 253 | 325 | 387 | 712 | 133 | 325 | 25 | 8 | 311 | 96 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | A+ RAW | 3 teams | — | 338 | 287 | 83 | 19 | 1 | 9 | 40 | 68 | 5 | 16 | 8 | 289 | 386 | 456 | 842 | 167 | 344 | 20 | 12 | 370 | 96 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 374 | 340 | 65 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 24 | 101 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 191 | 259 | 303 | 562 | 112 | 247 | 27 | 6 | 247 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | AA RAW | 3 teams | — | 374 | 333 | 68 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 31 | 84 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 204 | 286 | 339 | 625 | 135 | 243 | 22 | 8 | 282 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 512 | 453 | 100 | 18 | 0 | 10 | 43 | 114 | 8 | 19 | 5 | 221 | 300 | 327 | 626 | 106 | 269 | 22 | 8 | 280 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | AA RAW | 3 teams | — | 512 | 435 | 104 | 19 | 0 | 13 | 59 | 94 | 8 | 19 | 5 | 239 | 339 | 372 | 712 | 133 | 272 | 18 | 12 | 320 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 25 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 363 | 326 | 65 | 16 | 2 | 5 | 26 | 106 | 9 | 28 | 5 | 199 | 277 | 307 | 584 | 107 | 278 | 29 | 7 | 268 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 25 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 363 | 315 | 74 | 18 | 2 | 8 | 37 | 83 | 9 | 28 | 5 | 235 | 332 | 381 | 713 | 146 | 293 | 23 | 10 | 322 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 26 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 362 | 329 | 81 | 13 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 79 | 6 | 21 | 7 | 246 | 311 | 368 | 679 | 122 | 302 | 22 | 7 | 296 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 26 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 362 | 315 | 88 | 14 | 3 | 10 | 36 | 67 | 6 | 21 | 7 | 279 | 361 | 438 | 799 | 159 | 325 | 19 | 10 | 355 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 27 | AAA MLE | Las Vegas Aviators | — | 346 | 318 | 71 | 12 | 0 | 5 | 22 | 65 | 3 | 9 | 5 | 223 | 280 | 308 | 588 | 85 | 263 | 19 | 6 | 262 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 27 | AAA RAW | Las Vegas Aviators | — | 346 | 308 | 77 | 14 | 0 | 7 | 32 | 54 | 3 | 9 | 5 | 250 | 327 | 364 | 690 | 114 | 280 | 16 | 9 | 311 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 19 | ROK MLE | AZL Indians 1 | — | 149 | 130 | 30 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 33 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 231 | 329 | 292 | 621 | 62 | 290 | 22 | 9 | 271 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 338 | 303 | 76 | 17 | 1 | 7 | 27 | 86 | 5 | 16 | 8 | 251 | 325 | 383 | 708 | 132 | 315 | 25 | 8 | 311 | 96 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 374 | 340 | 65 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 24 | 101 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 191 | 259 | 303 | 562 | 112 | 241 | 27 | 6 | 247 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 512 | 456 | 100 | 18 | 0 | 10 | 43 | 114 | 8 | 19 | 5 | 219 | 300 | 325 | 624 | 105 | 262 | 22 | 8 | 280 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 25 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 363 | 325 | 65 | 16 | 2 | 5 | 26 | 106 | 9 | 28 | 5 | 200 | 277 | 308 | 585 | 108 | 282 | 29 | 7 | 268 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 26 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 362 | 328 | 81 | 13 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 79 | 6 | 21 | 7 | 247 | 311 | 369 | 680 | 122 | 295 | 22 | 7 | 296 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 27 | AAA MLE | Las Vegas Aviators | — | 346 | 318 | 71 | 12 | 0 | 5 | 22 | 65 | 3 | 9 | 5 | 223 | 280 | 308 | 588 | 85 | 261 | 19 | 6 | 262 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 25 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 363 | 325 | 65 | 16 | 2 | 5 | 26 | 106 | 9 | 28 | 5 | 200 | 277 | 308 | 585 | 108 | 282 | 29 | 7 | 268 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 26 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 362 | 328 | 81 | 13 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 79 | 6 | 21 | 7 | 247 | 311 | 369 | 680 | 122 | 295 | 22 | 7 | 296 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 27 | AAA MLE | Las Vegas Aviators | — | 346 | 318 | 71 | 12 | 0 | 5 | 22 | 65 | 3 | 9 | 5 | 223 | 280 | 308 | 588 | 85 | 261 | 19 | 6 | 262 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB MLE | OAK | 10% | 380 | 346 | 78 | 14 | 2 | 6 | 26 | 82 | 5 | 13 | 5 | 227 | 290 | 331 | 621 | 104 | 277 | 22 | 7 | 280 | 76 | -11 | +1 | -0 | +7 | +8 | 0.3 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB CTX | OAK | 10% | 16 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 233 | 296 | 342 | 638 | 109 | 286 | 19 | 6 | 287 | 76 | -0 | +0 | -0 | +0 | +0 | 0.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 29 | MLB MLE | OAK | 33% | 272 | 248 | 55 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 19 | 59 | 3 | 8 | 3 | 226 | 289 | 329 | 618 | 103 | 276 | 22 | 7 | 279 | 75 | -8 | +0 | -1 | +5 | +6 | 0.2 |
| 2029 | 30 | MLB MLE | OAK | 46% | 272 | 248 | 55 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 19 | 60 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 224 | 287 | 325 | 612 | 102 | 275 | 22 | 7 | 277 | 73 | -9 | +0 | -2 | +5 | +6 | -0.0 |
| 2028 | 29 | MLB CTX | OAK | 33% | 89 | 82 | 18 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 232 | 294 | 340 | 634 | 108 | 285 | 21 | 7 | 286 | 75 | -3 | +0 | -0 | +2 | +2 | 0.1 |
| 2029 | 30 | MLB CTX | OAK | 46% | 125 | 114 | 27 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 28 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 230 | 292 | 336 | 628 | 106 | 284 | 22 | 7 | 283 | 73 | -4 | +0 | -1 | +2 | +3 | 0.0 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 229 | 208 | 46 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 51 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 221 | 289 | 317 | 607 | 96 | 277 | 22 | 8 | 279 | 74 | -8 | +0 | -2 | +10 | +5 | 0.6 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 590 | 132 | 26 | 3 | 9 | 51 | 145 | 6 | 17 | 6 | 224 | 292 | 324 | 616 | 100 | 280 | 22 | 8 | 279 | 74 | -23 | +1 | -5 | +30 | +14 | 1.8 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 3143 | 2831 | 631 | 114 | 14 | 53 | 230 | 736 | 50 | 124 | 45 | 223 | 293 | 329 | 622 | 106 | 280 | 23 | 7 | 277 | 74 | -23 | +1 | -4 | +19 | +15 | 0.9 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 585 | 131 | 24 | 3 | 11 | 48 | 152 | 10 | 26 | 9 | 224 | 294 | 332 | 626 | 108 | 281 | 23 | 7 | 277 | 74 | -21 | +1 | -3 | +17 | +14 | 0.8 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 AAALas Vegas Aviators · 346 PAwOBA .306 → .262 (−44)K% 15.6% → 18.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.61% | ÷1.000 | ×1.200 | — | — | 18.73% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.25% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.992 | 6.33% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.87% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.992 | 0.81% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.05% | ÷1.000 | ×0.930 | ×1.043 | ×0.992 | 21.22% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.51% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×1.043 | ×0.992 | 4.73% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | ×1.043 | ×0.992 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.76% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.992 | 1.91% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.043.
Result: wOBA .306 → .262; ISO .114 → .087; BABIP .280 → .261. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AAALas Vegas Aviators · 199 PAwOBA .370 → .314 (−56)K% 17.1% → 20.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.09% | ÷1.027 | ×1.200 | — | — | 19.97% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.56% | ÷0.970 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.003 | 8.24% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.01% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.003 | 0.95% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.67% | ÷1.052 | ×0.930 | ×1.020 | ×1.003 | 24.10% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.19% | ÷0.988 | ×0.830 | ×1.020 | ×1.003 | 4.45% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.22% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | ×1.020 | ×1.003 | 2.20% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.70% | ÷1.183 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.003 | 2.20% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 137, 1B 110, 2B 98, 3B 100, K 105, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.020.
Result: wOBA .370 → .314; ISO .166 → .129; BABIP .348 → .310. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AACorpus Christi Hooks · 163 PAwOBA .318 → .274 (−45)K% 20.2% → 23.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.25% | ÷1.036 | ×1.220 | — | — | 23.85% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.36% | ÷0.948 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.978 | 5.31% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.45% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×0.978 | 2.09% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.12% | ÷0.982 | ×0.920 | ×1.042 | ×0.978 | 21.13% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.19% | ÷0.930 | ×0.840 | ×1.042 | ×0.978 | 5.71% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.949 | ×0.940 | ×1.042 | ×0.978 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.42% | ÷1.057 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.978 | 3.28% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 111, 1B 96, 2B 86, 3B 90, K 107, BB 90 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 24.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.042.
Result: wOBA .318 → .274; ISO .151 → .119; BABIP .296 → .277. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AAAColumbus Clippers · 345 PAwOBA .319 → .268 (−51)K% 22.9% → 29.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.90% | ÷0.939 | ×1.200 | — | — | 29.27% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.72% | ÷1.036 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.018 | 7.27% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.61% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.018 | 2.50% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.81% | ÷0.977 | ×0.930 | ×1.050 | ×1.018 | 19.13% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.26% | ÷0.985 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×1.018 | 7.44% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.92% | ÷0.900 | ×0.970 | ×1.050 | ×1.018 | 1.06% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.67% | ÷1.060 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.018 | 2.47% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 112, 1B 95, 2B 97, 3B 80, K 88, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .319 → .268; ISO .155 → .120; BABIP .289 → .282. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AAAkron RubberDucks · 247 PAwOBA .325 → .292 (−33)K% 15.4% → 19.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.38% | ÷0.977 | ×1.220 | — | — | 19.20% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.77% | ÷0.988 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.998 | 9.73% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.43% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.998 | 2.06% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.42% | ÷0.995 | ×0.970 | ×1.019 | ×0.998 | 22.22% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.45% | ÷0.933 | ×0.860 | ×1.019 | ×0.998 | 5.11% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.053 | ×0.950 | ×1.019 | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.42% | ÷0.909 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.998 | 2.08% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 82, 1B 99, 2B 87, 3B 111, K 95, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.019.
Result: wOBA .325 → .292; ISO .103 → .095; BABIP .282 → .276. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AAAColumbus Clippers · 218 PAwOBA .311 → .266 (−45)K% 21.6% → 25.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.56% | ÷1.008 | ×1.200 | — | — | 25.67% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.63% | ÷0.994 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.033 | 6.90% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.46% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.033 | 0.45% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.01% | ÷0.963 | ×0.930 | ×0.999 | ×1.033 | 18.95% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.34% | ÷1.018 | ×0.830 | ×0.999 | ×1.033 | 5.34% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.970 | ×0.999 | ×1.033 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.63% | ÷1.037 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.033 | 3.93% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 107, 1B 93, 2B 104, 3B 80, K 102, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.999.
Result: wOBA .311 → .266; ISO .175 → .132; BABIP .261 → .246. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AAAkron RubberDucks · 191 PAwOBA .258 → .218 (−40)K% 23.6% → 29.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.56% | ÷0.969 | ×1.220 | — | — | 29.66% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.28% | ÷0.995 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.012 | 4.47% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.57% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.012 | 1.35% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.83% | ÷1.052 | ×0.970 | ×1.022 | ×1.012 | 17.01% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.10% | ÷0.926 | ×0.860 | ×1.022 | ×1.012 | 2.98% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.55% | ÷0.980 | ×0.950 | ×1.022 | ×1.012 | 1.55% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.88% | ÷1.014 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.012 | 3.02% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 103, 1B 110, 2B 85, 3B 96, K 94, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.022.
Result: wOBA .258 → .218; ISO .132 → .107; BABIP .230 → .218. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AAAColumbus Clippers · 168 PAwOBA .306 → .284 (−22)K% 20.8% → 24.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.83% | ÷1.036 | ×1.200 | — | — | 24.14% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.52% | ÷0.930 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.048 | 7.40% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.38% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.048 | 2.35% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.75% | ÷0.941 | ×0.930 | ×1.050 | ×1.048 | 20.40% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.36% | ÷1.040 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×1.048 | 4.70% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.79% | ÷0.900 | ×0.970 | ×1.050 | ×1.048 | 2.12% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.57% | ÷1.001 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.048 | 2.62% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 100, 1B 88, 2B 108, 3B 80, K 107, BB 86 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .306 → .284; ISO .150 → .127; BABIP .266 → .277. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .