Richie Martin Jr.SS Albuquerque Isotopes
Age 31 R/R 5'11" / 190 lbs AAA HR +30%H +12% Svc 7.000 · Ctrl thru 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION342 act + 228 ros · stats below = ROS only
wRC+†62
AVG/OBP/SLG.202 / .283 / .305
PA228
HR4
SB14
K%28
BB%7
BABIP270
ISO103
MLB%10%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -32.8 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-33BATRUN: +6.3 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+6RUNFLD: -0.8 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)-1FLDPOS: +6.1 runs (Positional adjustment)+6POSREP: +16.1 runs (Replacement-level credit)+16REPTotal WAR: -0.60-0.6WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
0.6-0.22627
Tools · ContractCON 50 / POW 40
Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2019-2022
CONTACT50
Whiff%
3013.3%
xwOBA
100.242
POWER40
Barrel%
102.0
Avg EV
1084.1
EYE40
Chase%
2836.0%
SPEED60
Sprint
8428.8
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   FA
MLB Debut   2019
Service   7.000 yrs.days
Team Control Through   2026
First FA Year   2027
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026ROSExt / FA-deal$1M
Totals $1M $-0.1M -$1M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
201621 A+2 teams 400360 791522 249410 149 219287289576 69288 246 259 56
201621 A+2 teams 400345 811533 397510 149 235330322652 87289 1910 298 86
201722 AA2 teams 428390 731164 2211112 134 187252277529 90248 265 234 37
201722 AA2 teams 428380 891364 327812 134 234314332645 97282 187 293 83
201823 AAMidland RockHounds 509468 1172466 291196 2510 250302365668 115321 236 291 81
201823 AAMidland RockHounds 509453 1362986 44866 2510 300370439809 139357 179 357 132
201924 MLBBaltimore Orioles 309283 58836 14836 101 205257318575 113267 275 249 49 -18 +2 +1 +3 +9 -0.3
201924 MLBBaltimore Orioles 309283 59836 14836 101 208261322582 113272 275 258 56 -15 +2 +1 +3 +9 -0.0
202025 INTLCriollos de Caguas 6255 13602 6131 21 236323455777 218275 2110
202025 INTLCriollos de Caguas 6255 13602 6131 21 236323455777 218275 2110 344 121
202126 AAA3 teams 236215 44612 14635 76 205269270539 65278 276 250 49
202126 AAA3 teams 236209 47723 20565 76 225308321628 96291 248 287 78
202227 AAA2 teams 367334 771772 23879 326 231298341639 111305 246 279 72
202227 AAA2 teams 367322 782082 35769 326 242333373706 130310 2110 319 103
202328 AAARochester Red Wings 425372 631412 3712912 296 169266228495 59251 309 231 35
202328 AAARochester Red Wings 425360 782223 4910312 296 217330314644 97293 2412 299 87
202429 INTLCriollos de Caguas 5648 7301 7151 11 146268271539 125188 2712
202429 INTLCriollos de Caguas 5648 7301 7151 11 146268271539 125188 2712 255 53
202530 AAARound Rock Express 303269 61773 186913 254 227307338645 112294 236 282 74
202530 AAARound Rock Express 303260 67673 236313 254 258343369713 112330 218 320 103
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD31 AAACOL 342306 551006 261057 233 180260271531 92251 318 238 40 -23 +3 +0 +4 +10 -0.6
YTD31 AAACOL 342290 641208 37817 233 221319345663 124279 2411 301 88 -5 +3 +0 +4 +10 1.2
ROS31 AAACOL 10% 228203 41714 17636 142 202283305589 103270 287 267 62 -10 +2 -1 +2 +6 0.0
ROS31 MLBCOL 10% 2320 4100 261 10 200304250554 50290 269 266 61 -1 +0 -0 +0 +1 0.0
FULL31 AAACOL 365326 591106 281118 243 181262270532 89254 308 240 42 -24 +4 -0 +4 +10 -0.6
TOT31 AAACOL 570509 9617110 4316813 375 189269285554 96259 298 250 49 -33 +5 -1 +6 +16 -0.6
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202732 MLBCOL 33% 334298 591025 25938 152 198278295573 97268 287 262 59 -15 +2 -5 +4 +9 -0.5
202732 MLBCOL 33% 10997 22412 8313 51 227306351656 124287 287 261 58 -5 +1 -2 +1 +3 -0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career 579528 1131569 3115811 195 214272316588 102286 275 257 55 -30 +2 -2 +9 +16 -0.5
/ 162G 650593 12717710 3517712 216 214272317589 103286 275 257 55 -33 +2 -2 +10 +18 -0.6
Career 36573295 6921283639 23693989 18752 210281306587 96280 266 252 51 -202 +17 -6 +37 +104 -5.2
/ 162G 650586 1232367 4216716 339 210281305587 96280 266 252 51 -36 +3 -1 +6 +18 -0.9

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
201621 AAMidland RockHounds 1815 5110 320 21 333444533978 200385 1117 428 186 +2 +0 +1 0.2
201621 A+Stockton Ports 382330 761423 367310 128 230324312637 82284 199 292 82 -8 -1 +11 0.2
201722 AAMidland RockHounds 325286 641133 245711 123 224308315623 91266 187 285 76 -9 +1 +9 0.2
201722 A+Stockton Ports 10394 25231 8211 11 266330383713 117333 208 320 103 +0 -0 +3 0.3
201823 AAMidland RockHounds 509453 1362986 44866 2510 300370439809 139357 179 357 132 +18 +1 +14 3.4
201924 MLBBaltimore Orioles 309283 59836 14836 101 208261322582 113272 275 258 56 -15 +2 +1 +3 +9 -0.0
202025 INTLCriollos de Caguas 6255 13602 6131 21 236323455777 218275 2110 344 121 +1 +0 +2 0.3
202126 MLBBaltimore Orioles 10598 23201 4281 02 235272286558 51314 274 250 50 -6 -1 -4 +3 +3 -0.5
202126 AAANorfolk Tides 11296 20421 14252 53 208321323644 115271 2212 299 87 -2 -0 +3 0.1
202126 AABowie Baysox 1915 4101 232 21 267421533954 267273 1611 423 182 +2 +0 +1 0.2
202227 MLBBaltimore Orioles 3330 5020 3100 31 167242300542 133250 309 244 45 -2 +0 +2 +1 +1 0.2
202227 AAANorfolk Tides 334292 732062 32669 295 250342380722 130316 2010 327 108 +3 +4 +9 1.7
202328 AAARochester Red Wings 425360 782223 4910312 296 217330314644 97293 2412 299 87 -6 +3 +12 0.9
202429 INTLCriollos de Caguas 5648 7301 7151 11 146268271539 125188 2712 255 53 -3 -0 +2 -0.2
202530 AAARound Rock Express 303260 67673 236313 254 258343369713 112330 218 320 103 +1 +3 +9 1.3
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career 447411 871057 211217 134 212262311573 100281 275 255 54 -23 +1 -1 +7 +13 -0.3

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Chris Owingslast yr '22
career totals — 9 seasons, 2,420 PA
92,4203578239286365+13-03.74.5
/1626641021+3.6-0.11.0pk7: 5
#2Adam Engellast yr '22
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA
61,5403047225280350+4+334.24.2
/1626641320+1.8+14.41.8pk7: 4
#3Gary Bennettlast yr '07
career totals — 8 seasons, 1,703 PA
81,703206239301327+17+62.62.6
/16266482+6.7+2.41.0pk7: 3
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA
71,680226230279335+9+212.02.0
/16266492+3.7+8.50.8pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA
61,6334033232299363+6-140.90.9
/1626641613+2.4-5.80.4pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons
2558917211264308+6+1-0.3-0.2
/1626641120+7.1+1.2-0.3pk7: -0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA
71,9012139231275323+14-6-1.1-1.1
/162664714+4.9-2.1-0.4pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Richie Martin Jr. (OGILVIE) 31 50 40 60 40 189/269/285 96259 1037 29% 8% 49 -0.6
Tyler Graham
2014 · AAA
30 48→56 39→40 60→65 44 230/292/318 89291 633 22% 6% 71 -0.3 230/274/310 80286 728 21% 4% 61 -1.0 234/273/2875328943820%4%50-1.3
Chase d'Arnaud
2018 · MLB
31 47→50 40→45 57→60 46 227/282/319 93275 726 20% 6% 67 -0.5 214/277/346 132293 1419 30% 7% 72 -0.2 200/266/335135278161933%7%63-0.5
Elliot Johnson
2014 · MLB
30 45→53 42→45 59→60 45 219/274/323 104281 1033 25% 7% 65 -0.7 206/265/318 112272 917 26% 7% 59 -1.1 186/247/29410824981227%7%44-1.0
Trent Durrington
2006 · MLB
30 52→45 41→40 58→60 47 247/308/350 102310 836 22% 7% 85 +0.7 223/279/301 78288 632 23% 6% 61 -1.0 210/266/2705927533623%6%45-1.2
Jonathan Davis
2023 · MLB
31 47→52 41→45 57→55 51 224/319/322 98304 927 27% 10% 85 +0.7 224/300/352 128310 1217 30% 8% 84 +0.6 213/288/347134298131431%7%74-0.0
Billy Hamilton
2022 · MLB
31 44→54 42→40 61→70 41 212/262/323 111292 832 30% 6% 59 -1.1 191/251/285 94294 832 35% 7% 46 -2.0 134/203/1733922525238%8%-6-1.1
Wynton Bernard
2021 · AAA
30 45→55 42→45 56→60 43 220/268/329 110279 925 24% 6% 63 -0.8 222/272/341 119283 1129 24% 6% 69 -0.4 241/291/361120296113722%6%78+0.2
Darren Ford
2016 · AAA
30 46→53 41→45 58→65 44 222/275/316 94285 939 25% 6% 63 -0.8 223/272/305 82291 624 24% 6% 58 -1.2 221/267/2694829612324%5%43-1.6
Willie Bloomquist
2010 · MLB
32 55→56 38→40 59→60 50 261/316/342 81305 629 16% 7% 86 +0.8 262/307/356 94303 724 15% 6% 86 +0.8 284/325/3607632831813%5%90+0.5
Todd Donovan
2009 · AAA
30 51→53 37→40 61→65 48 239/299/311 72305 438 22% 8% 72 -0.2 229/308/315 86300 531 23% 10% 78 +0.2 220/315/2977728743822%12%74-0.0
Adam Engel
2023 · MLB
31 47→48 46→50 54→60 41 233/288/362 129303 1323 27% 5% 82 +0.5 212/289/343 131316 1323 34% 9% 77 +0.1 180/271/306126285133038%10%56-0.8
Andrew Romine
2017 · MLB
31 50→56 40→45 55 46 242/301/332 90299 822 21% 7% 79 +0.3 235/290/339 104290 915 21% 6% 76 +0.0 232/283/3309828391721%6%67-0.3
Damian Jackson
2004 · MLB
30 52→54 40→45 55 49 248/306/345 97298 630 18% 7% 83 +0.6 241/313/362 121284 1222 18% 9% 92 +1.2 241/328/365124282132019%10%96+0.6
Matt Lipka
2022 · AAA
30 51→56 46→45 58→60 39 249/298/381 131340 1431 30% 5% 90 +1.0 227/285/340 113331 1134 32% 7% 74 -0.1 191/259/2687829955935%8%40-0.9
Jason Bourgeois
2013 · MLB
31 53→58 38→45 57→65 49 249/293/330 81274 533 12% 6% 73 -0.1 242/282/317 75273 521 13% 5% 65 -0.7 249/285/3298028451414%4%67-0.3
Eugenio Velez
2013 · MLB
31 51→58 43→50 55→65 43 245/292/366 121307 929 23% 6% 83 +0.6 263/310/380 117326 1030 21% 6% 94 +1.3 278/324/38410634183420%6%97+1.1
Willy Taveras
2015 · AAA
33 46→56 43→45 60→65 43 225/279/338 113276 1027 22% 5% 71 -0.3 242/294/355 113296 1024 21% 5% 82 +0.5 256/309/371115312102220%4%88+0.7
Jack Reinheimer
2023 · AAA
31 46→51 40 55 41 222/271/314 93299 820 28% 6% 61 -1.0 188/232/271 83274 716 32% 5% 33 -2.9 144/183/1945019831228%5%-9-1.3
Craig Gentry
2016 · MLB
32 51→56 38→40 57→60 46 242/298/315 73296 629 20% 6% 72 -0.2 225/286/308 83285 724 22% 7% 66 -0.6 221/287/2957428342922%7%60-0.3
Doug Glanville
2002 · MLB
31 53→56 43→45 56→55 44 260/290/369 109281 1124 13% 4% 82 +0.5 247/283/346 99270 1120 13% 5% 74 -0.1 240/277/3218126292112%5%59-0.5