Braxton Fulford
C Albuquerque Isotopes| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 25 | AACOL | 379 | .241/.344/.412 | 10 | 10 | 65 | — | .196/.277/.326 |
| 2025 | 26 | AAACOL | 171 | .354/.438/.714 | 13 | 3 | 128 | — | .263/.337/.513 |
| 2025 | 26 | MLBCOL | 120 | .213/.274/.324 | 1 | 1 | 55 | 0.0 | |
| 2026 | 27 | AAACOL | 201 | .251/.363/.468 | 8 | 7 | 73 | — | .191/.284/.331 |
| 2026 | 27 | MLBCOL | 85 | .176/.265/.270 | 1 | 4 | 48 | 0.3 | |
| 2027PROJ45% MLB | 28 | MLBCOL | 101 | .226/.303/.415 | 4 | 5 | 89 | 0.2 | |
| 2028PROJ53% MLB | 29 | MLBCOL | 126 | .223/.300/.408 | 5 | 5 | 87 | 0.2 |
Tools · Splits · ContractCON 60 / POW 60
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 22 | ROK | ACL Rockies | — | 44 | 30 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 267 | 488 | 400 | 888 | 133 | 500 | 32 | 23 | 408 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | A | Fresno Grizzlies | — | 440 | 366 | 98 | 17 | 2 | 15 | 51 | 92 | 18 | 13 | 2 | 268 | 384 | 448 | 832 | 180 | 316 | 21 | 12 | 370 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | INTL | Salt River Rafters | — | 42 | 37 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 162 | 262 | 216 | 478 | 54 | 231 | 26 | 10 | 231 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | AA | Hartford Yard Goats | — | 125 | 105 | 23 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 36 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 219 | 333 | 381 | 714 | 162 | 299 | 29 | 12 | 320 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | A+ | Spokane Indians | — | 162 | 137 | 42 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 35 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 307 | 403 | 511 | 913 | 204 | 367 | 22 | 9 | 398 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | ROK | ACL Rockies | — | 15 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 111 | 429 | 111 | 540 | 111 | 7 | 13 | 300 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2024 | 25 | AA | Hartford Yard Goats | — | 379 | 323 | 78 | 21 | 2 | 10 | 38 | 95 | 13 | 10 | 2 | 241 | 344 | 412 | 756 | 170 | 306 | 25 | 10 | 337 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 26 | MLB | Colorado Rockies | — | 120 | 108 | 23 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 36 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 213 | 274 | 324 | 598 | 111 | 297 | 30 | 6 | 264 | 55 | -6 | +0 | -1 | +5 | +3 | 0.0 |
| 2025 | 26 | AAA | Albuquerque Isotopes | — | 171 | 147 | 52 | 10 | 2 | 13 | 17 | 40 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 354 | 438 | 714 | 1.152 | 361 | 406 | 23 | 10 | 486 | 128 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 27 | MLB | Colorado Rockies | — | 85 | 74 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 34 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 176 | 265 | 270 | 535 | 95 | 293 | 40 | 9 | 244 | 48 | -5 | +1 | +0 | +5 | +2 | 0.3 |
| 2026 | 27 | AAA | Albuquerque Isotopes | — | 201 | 171 | 43 | 13 | 0 | 8 | 23 | 52 | 7 | 7 | 1 | 251 | 363 | 468 | 831 | 216 | 315 | 26 | 11 | 370 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 205 | 182 | 36 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 70 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 198 | 270 | 302 | 572 | 104 | 296 | 34 | 7 | 256 | 59 | -10 | +1 | -1 | +10 | +4 | 0.5 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 22 | ROK MLE | ACL Rockies | — | 44 | 34 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 20 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 176 | 349 | 265 | 614 | 88 | 364 | 45 | 14 | 262 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | A MLE | Fresno Grizzlies | — | 440 | 383 | 82 | 13 | 2 | 12 | 34 | 130 | 18 | 13 | 2 | 214 | 308 | 352 | 661 | 138 | 276 | 30 | 8 | 287 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | AA MLE | Hartford Yard Goats | — | 125 | 110 | 20 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 42 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 182 | 268 | 300 | 568 | 118 | 249 | 34 | 8 | 251 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | A+ MLE | Spokane Indians | — | 162 | 142 | 35 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 48 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 246 | 327 | 408 | 735 | 162 | 306 | 30 | 6 | 302 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | ROK MLE | ACL Rockies | — | 15 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 100 | 357 | 100 | 457 | 91 | 7 | 7 | 228 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2024 | 25 | AA MLE | Hartford Yard Goats | — | 379 | 337 | 66 | 16 | 2 | 8 | 25 | 117 | 13 | 10 | 2 | 196 | 277 | 326 | 604 | 131 | 261 | 31 | 7 | 265 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 26 | MLB MLE | Colorado Rockies | — | 120 | 108 | 22 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 36 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 204 | 265 | 296 | 561 | 93 | 297 | 30 | 6 | 249 | 55 | -6 | +0 | -1 | +5 | +3 | 0.0 |
| 2025 | 26 | AAA MLE | Albuquerque Isotopes | — | 171 | 152 | 40 | 7 | 2 | 9 | 12 | 51 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 263 | 337 | 513 | 850 | 250 | 323 | 30 | 7 | 357 | 128 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 27 | MLB MLE | Colorado Rockies | — | 85 | 74 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 34 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 176 | 265 | 270 | 535 | 95 | 293 | 40 | 9 | 239 | 48 | -5 | +1 | +0 | +5 | +2 | 0.3 |
| 2026 | 27 | AAA MLE | Albuquerque Isotopes | — | 201 | 178 | 34 | 10 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 62 | 7 | 7 | 1 | 191 | 284 | 331 | 615 | 140 | 260 | 31 | 8 | 276 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | ROK MLE | ACL Rockies | — | 44 | 34 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 20 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 176 | 349 | 265 | 614 | 88 | 429 | 45 | 14 | 262 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | ROK RAW | ACL Rockies | — | 44 | 30 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 267 | 488 | 400 | 888 | 133 | 500 | 32 | 23 | 408 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 482 | 420 | 90 | 15 | 2 | 13 | 38 | 143 | 19 | 16 | 2 | 214 | 308 | 352 | 661 | 138 | 287 | 30 | 8 | 287 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 482 | 403 | 104 | 19 | 2 | 15 | 55 | 103 | 19 | 16 | 2 | 258 | 373 | 427 | 800 | 169 | 308 | 21 | 11 | 358 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 302 | 262 | 55 | 13 | 1 | 7 | 21 | 91 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 210 | 301 | 347 | 648 | 137 | 286 | 30 | 7 | 277 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | A+ RAW | 3 teams | — | 302 | 251 | 66 | 16 | 1 | 9 | 32 | 72 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 263 | 375 | 442 | 817 | 179 | 328 | 24 | 11 | 361 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 25 | AA MLE | Hartford Yard Goats | — | 379 | 337 | 66 | 16 | 2 | 8 | 25 | 117 | 13 | 10 | 2 | 196 | 277 | 326 | 604 | 131 | 269 | 31 | 7 | 265 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 25 | AA RAW | Hartford Yard Goats | — | 379 | 323 | 78 | 21 | 2 | 10 | 38 | 95 | 13 | 10 | 2 | 241 | 344 | 412 | 756 | 170 | 306 | 25 | 10 | 337 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 26 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 291 | 260 | 62 | 12 | 3 | 10 | 19 | 87 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 238 | 308 | 423 | 731 | 185 | 310 | 30 | 7 | 313 | 98 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 26 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 291 | 255 | 75 | 15 | 4 | 14 | 24 | 76 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 294 | 371 | 549 | 920 | 255 | 359 | 26 | 8 | 394 | 98 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 27 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 286 | 252 | 47 | 14 | 0 | 6 | 24 | 96 | 8 | 11 | 1 | 187 | 278 | 313 | 592 | 127 | 270 | 34 | 8 | 265 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 27 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 286 | 245 | 56 | 17 | 0 | 9 | 31 | 86 | 8 | 11 | 1 | 229 | 335 | 408 | 743 | 180 | 309 | 30 | 11 | 333 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | ROK MLE | ACL Rockies | — | 44 | 35 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 20 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 171 | 349 | 257 | 606 | 86 | 364 | 45 | 14 | 262 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 482 | 422 | 90 | 15 | 2 | 13 | 38 | 143 | 19 | 16 | 2 | 213 | 308 | 351 | 659 | 137 | 276 | 30 | 8 | 287 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 302 | 265 | 55 | 13 | 1 | 7 | 21 | 91 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 208 | 301 | 343 | 644 | 136 | 272 | 30 | 7 | 277 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 25 | AA MLE | Hartford Yard Goats | — | 379 | 338 | 66 | 16 | 2 | 8 | 25 | 117 | 13 | 10 | 2 | 195 | 277 | 325 | 603 | 130 | 261 | 31 | 7 | 265 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 26 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 291 | 263 | 62 | 12 | 3 | 10 | 19 | 87 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 236 | 308 | 418 | 726 | 183 | 312 | 30 | 7 | 313 | 98 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 27 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 286 | 252 | 47 | 14 | 0 | 6 | 24 | 96 | 8 | 11 | 1 | 187 | 278 | 313 | 592 | 127 | 270 | 34 | 8 | 265 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 25 | AA MLE | Hartford Yard Goats | — | 379 | 338 | 66 | 16 | 2 | 8 | 25 | 117 | 13 | 10 | 2 | 195 | 277 | 325 | 603 | 130 | 261 | 31 | 7 | 265 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 26 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 291 | 263 | 62 | 12 | 3 | 10 | 19 | 87 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 236 | 308 | 418 | 726 | 183 | 312 | 30 | 7 | 313 | 98 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 27 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 286 | 252 | 47 | 14 | 0 | 6 | 24 | 96 | 8 | 11 | 1 | 187 | 278 | 313 | 592 | 127 | 270 | 34 | 8 | 265 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB MLE | COL | 45% | 336 | 299 | 65 | 13 | 2 | 12 | 27 | 100 | 7 | 16 | 3 | 213 | 291 | 382 | 673 | 169 | 274 | 30 | 8 | 300 | 89 | -4 | +2 | -3 | +6 | +7 | 0.7 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB CTX | COL | 45% | 101 | 90 | 21 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 30 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 226 | 303 | 415 | 718 | 189 | 289 | 30 | 8 | 318 | 89 | -1 | +1 | -1 | +2 | +2 | 0.2 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 29 | MLB MLE | COL | 53% | 238 | 212 | 45 | 9 | 1 | 8 | 19 | 72 | 5 | 10 | 2 | 211 | 289 | 376 | 664 | 165 | 273 | 30 | 8 | 297 | 87 | -4 | +1 | -4 | +4 | +5 | 0.3 |
| 2028 | 29 | MLB CTX | COL | 53% | 126 | 113 | 26 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 38 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 223 | 300 | 408 | 708 | 185 | 287 | 30 | 8 | 314 | 87 | -2 | +1 | -2 | +2 | +3 | 0.2 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 331 | 295 | 62 | 14 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 108 | 5 | 10 | 1 | 210 | 283 | 349 | 632 | 139 | 296 | 33 | 8 | 278 | 79 | -12 | +2 | -3 | +13 | +7 | 0.6 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 579 | 122 | 27 | 6 | 14 | 49 | 212 | 10 | 20 | 2 | 211 | 284 | 351 | 634 | 140 | 296 | 33 | 8 | 278 | 79 | -23 | +3 | -6 | +25 | +14 | 1.2 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2247 | 1978 | 414 | 91 | 10 | 60 | 170 | 693 | 72 | 70 | 14 | 209 | 295 | 356 | 652 | 147 | 284 | 31 | 8 | 284 | 79 | -17 | +4 | -7 | +19 | +14 | 1.3 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 572 | 119 | 26 | 3 | 17 | 49 | 200 | 21 | 20 | 4 | 208 | 294 | 353 | 648 | 145 | 283 | 31 | 8 | 284 | 79 | -16 | +4 | -7 | +18 | +14 | 1.3 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 AAAAlbuquerque Isotopes · 201 PAwOBA .361 → .276 (−85)K% 25.9% → 31.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.87% | ÷1.000 | ×1.200 | — | — | 31.04% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.44% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.992 | 7.83% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.48% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.992 | 3.25% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.49% | ÷1.000 | ×0.930 | ×0.953 | ×0.992 | 16.25% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.92% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×0.953 | ×0.992 | 8.57% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | ×0.953 | ×0.992 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.72% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.992 | 4.67% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.953.
Result: wOBA .361 → .276; ISO .216 → .154; BABIP .315 → .260. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AAAAlbuquerque Isotopes · 171 PAwOBA .478 → .357 (−120)K% 23.4% → 29.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.39% | ÷0.945 | ×1.200 | — | — | 29.71% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.94% | ÷1.019 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.003 | 6.75% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.92% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.003 | 2.76% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.23% | ÷1.047 | ×0.930 | ×0.950 | ×1.003 | 21.35% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.35% | ÷1.029 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×1.003 | 7.19% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.87% | ÷1.028 | ×0.970 | ×0.950 | ×1.003 | 1.68% |
| Home runs /BIP | 12.15% | ÷1.017 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.003 | 8.39% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 103, 1B 109, 2B 106, 3B 106, K 89, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .478 → .357; ISO .361 → .253; BABIP .406 → .323. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AAHartford Yard Goats · 379 PAwOBA .332 → .265 (−67)K% 25.1% → 31.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.07% | ÷0.987 | ×1.220 | — | — | 31.00% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.03% | ÷1.066 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.988 | 6.50% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.43% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.988 | 2.88% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.74% | ÷1.041 | ×0.970 | ×0.976 | ×0.988 | 17.74% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.21% | ÷1.102 | ×0.860 | ×0.976 | ×0.988 | 6.93% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.88% | ÷0.900 | ×0.950 | ×0.976 | ×0.988 | 0.89% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.39% | ÷0.916 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.988 | 3.69% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 83, 1B 108, 2B 120, 3B 80, K 97, BB 113 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.976.
Result: wOBA .332 → .265; ISO .170 → .138; BABIP .306 → .261. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 A+Spokane Indians · 162 PAwOBA .392 → .302 (−90)K% 21.6% → 29.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.60% | ÷0.983 | ×1.350 | — | — | 29.66% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.26% | ÷1.075 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.978 | 5.98% |
| HBP% /PA | 4.32% | — | ×0.810 | — | ×0.978 | 3.42% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.47% | ÷1.019 | ×0.910 | ×0.988 | ×0.978 | 22.85% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.84% | ÷1.026 | ×0.830 | ×0.988 | ×0.978 | 6.13% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.98% | ÷0.936 | ×0.820 | ×0.988 | ×0.978 | 0.83% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.88% | ÷1.047 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.978 | 4.56% |
Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 109, 1B 104, 2B 105, 3B 87, K 97, BB 115 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 22.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.988.
Result: wOBA .392 → .302; ISO .204 → .155; BABIP .367 → .306. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AAHartford Yard Goats · 125 PAwOBA .315 → .251 (−64)K% 28.8% → 33.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 28.80% | ÷1.052 | ×1.220 | — | — | 33.39% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.00% | ÷1.009 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.998 | 8.31% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.40% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.998 | 2.04% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.39% | ÷1.065 | ×0.970 | ×0.950 | ×0.998 | 15.02% |
| Doubles /BIP | 11.59% | ÷1.000 | ×0.860 | ×0.950 | ×0.998 | 9.45% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.950 | ×0.950 | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.35% | ÷1.040 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.998 | 3.25% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 108, 1B 113, 2B 100, 3B 80, K 110, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .315 → .251; ISO .162 → .129; BABIP .299 → .249. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 ROKACL Rockies · 15 PAwOBA .316 → .228 (−89)K% 6.7% → 9.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 6.67% | ÷0.996 | ×1.440 | — | — | 9.63% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.33% | ÷0.999 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.945 | 7.82% |
| HBP% /PA | 20.00% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.945 | 13.61% |
| Singles /BIP | 12.50% | ÷0.976 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.945 | 9.93% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.006 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.945 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.137 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.945 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.031 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.945 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 106, 1B 95, 2B 101, 3B 127, K 99, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 19.5 → −5.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .316 → .228; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .111 → .091. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AFresno Grizzlies · 440 PAwOBA .364 → .287 (−78)K% 20.9% → 29.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.91% | ÷0.961 | ×1.360 | — | — | 29.60% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.59% | ÷1.011 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.980 | 7.75% |
| HBP% /PA | 4.09% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×0.980 | 3.13% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.36% | ÷0.983 | ×0.920 | ×0.979 | ×0.980 | 20.97% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.20% | ÷0.974 | ×0.830 | ×0.979 | ×0.980 | 5.07% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.73% | ÷0.937 | ×0.910 | ×0.979 | ×0.980 | 0.68% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.47% | ÷0.947 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.980 | 4.53% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 89, 1B 97, 2B 95, 3B 87, K 92, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.0 → −2.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.979.
Result: wOBA .364 → .287; ISO .180 → .143; BABIP .316 → .276. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 ROKACL Rockies · 44 PAwOBA .399 → .262 (−137)K% 31.8% → 46.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 31.82% | ÷0.997 | ×1.440 | — | — | 45.98% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 22.73% | ÷1.061 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.965 | 12.81% |
| HBP% /PA | 6.82% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.965 | 4.74% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.00% | ÷1.033 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.965 | 19.15% |
| Doubles /BIP | 25.00% | ÷1.009 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.965 | 17.22% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.965 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.029 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.965 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 106, 1B 107, 2B 102, 3B 130, K 99, BB 112 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 19.5 → −3.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .399 → .262; ISO .133 → .092; BABIP .500 → .364. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .