Connor Wong

C Boston Red Sox
Age 31 R/R 5'10" / 190 lbs MLB HR -5%K -4% Svc 4.459 · Ctrl thru 2028
Overview
MLB40-MANArb-2FA 2029
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WAR
202428MLBBOS487.280/.335/.4251381081.3
202529MLBBOS188.190/.265/.2380239-0.5
202630MLBBOS238.233/.309/.34843790.4
2027PROJ31MLBBOS183.238/.307/.35633830.2
2028PROJ65% MLB32MLBBOS103.232/.300/.3422178-0.2
Last 3 seasons WAR 1.2  ·  Next 2 projected WAR -0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2028Service4.459First FA2029
2027Arb-2$0.6M2028Arb-3$0.6M
Skills · percentileStatcast 2024-2026
Bat Spd59
Speed52
xwOBA28
Barrel%26
Avg EV11
Form.222/.283/.323 ▼ rolling true talent (60d window) · proj .230/.298/.345
CompsGarrett Stubbs (age 31) · Pedro Severino (age 30) · Austin Wynns (age 31)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†vL 8583vR 77
AVG/OBP/SLG.238 / .307 / .356
PA183
HR3
K%23
BB%7
BABIP296
ISO103
MLB%100%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -3.6 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-4BATRUN: +0.3 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: -2.3 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)-2FLDPOS: +3.3 runs (Positional adjustment)+3POSREP: +4.0 runs (Replacement-level credit)+4REPTotal WAR: +0.20+0.2WAR
0.00.51.00.20.027282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$0M ctrl surplus
Tools · Recent Form · Splits · ContractCON 45 / POW 40
Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026
CONTACT45
xAVG
180.225
POWER40
Barrel%
265.1
Avg EV
1186.1
Bat Spd
5972.2
EYE45
scouting grade only
SPEED55
Sprint
5227.6
Recent Formrolling true talent ⓘ
K%25%▼28% over 32 PA (60d) · proj 23%
BB%6%▼3% over 32 PA (60d) · proj 7%
ISO.101▼.032 over 31 AB (60d) · proj .115
BABIP.284·.227 over 22 BIP (60d) · proj .286
SLASH.222/.283/.323▼proj .230/.298/.345
Platoon Splits2024-2026 · 700 PA
vs LHP
vs RHP
Edge
PA
198
502
—
wRC+
122
88
◀◀L
wOBA
349
298
◀L
ISO
142
115
◀◀L
BABIP
345
322
◀L
K%
21.7%
23.3%
◀L
BB%
10.6%
4.8%
◀◀L
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   Arb-2
MLB Debut   2022
Service   4.459 yrs.days
Team Control Through   2028
First FA Year   2029
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027Arb-2$0.6M+0.2$0.8M+$0.2M
2028Arb-3$0.6M———
Totals $0.6M $0.1M +$0.2M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
201721 AGreat Lakes Loons — 10797 27605 7262 11 278340495834 216328 247 364 84 — — — — — —
201822 A+Rancho Cucamonga Quakes — 431383 10320219 3813810 62 269350480831 211372 329 368 57 — — — — — —
201923 AATulsa Drillers — 163149 52919 11501 21 3493986041.002 255467 317 431 121 — — — — — —
201923 A+Rancho Cucamonga Quakes — 302274 6715615 21934 92 245308507815 263310 317 350 59 — — — — — —
202125 AAAWorcester Red Sox — 208199 511308 9580 71 256288442731 186323 284 321 47 — — — — — —
202226 MLBBoston Red Sox — 5648 9301 5161 00 188278312590 125250 299 262 58 -3 +0 +1 +7 +1 0.7
202226 AAAWorcester Red Sox — 355323 9320015 27804 73 288350489839 201341 238 369 81 — — — — — —
202327 MLBBoston Red Sox — 403371 872529 221346 82 235288385674 151341 335 298 82 -9 +1 -1 +7 +9 0.8
202428 MLBBoston Red Sox — 487447 12524113 281149 87 280335425760 145348 236 338 108 +5 -1 -10 +9 +11 1.3
202529 MLBBoston Red Sox — 188168 32800 16421 21 190265238503 48250 229 233 39 -14 +0 +2 +3 +4 -0.5
202630 MLBBoston Red Sox — 238210 491204 17576 31 233309348657 114300 247 294 79 -6 +0 +1 +4 +5 0.4
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career— — 13721244 30272327 8836323 2111 243305371675 128319 266 301 90 -17 -0 -8 +31 +30 3.6
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
201721 A MLEGreat Lakes Loons — 10799 24504 5362 11 242292414707 172315 345 293 84 — — — — — —
201822 A+ MLERancho Cucamonga Quakes — 431396 7313114 2519310 62 184251328579 144309 456 252 57 — — — — — —
201923 AA MLETulsa Drillers — 163153 44717 7641 21 288323484807 196427 394 347 121 — — — — — —
201923 A+ MLERancho Cucamonga Quakes — 302279 4911412 161264 92 176231373604 197250 425 255 59 — — — — — —
202125 AAA MLEWorcester Red Sox — 208202 411004 6680 71 203226312538 109290 333 238 47 — — — — — —
202226 MLB MLEBoston Red Sox — 5648 9301 5161 00 188278312590 125250 299 254 58 -3 +0 +1 +7 +1 0.7
202226 AAA MLEWorcester Red Sox — 355331 7814011 19954 73 236285378663 142294 275 288 81 — — — — — —
202327 MLB MLEBoston Red Sox — 403371 832229 221346 82 224278367645 143341 335 289 82 -9 +1 -1 +7 +9 0.8
202428 MLB MLEBoston Red Sox — 487448 12121113 271149 87 270324408733 138348 236 328 108 +5 -1 -10 +9 +11 1.3
202529 MLB MLEBoston Red Sox — 188168 31700 16421 21 185259226486 42250 229 226 39 -14 +0 +2 +3 +4 -0.5
202630 MLB MLEBoston Red Sox — 238210 481104 17576 31 229305338643 110300 247 285 79 -6 +0 +1 +4 +5 0.4
201721 A MLEGreat Lakes Loons — 10799 24504 5362 11 242292414707 172333 345 293 84 — — — — — —
201721 A RAWGreat Lakes Loons — 10797 27605 7262 11 278340495834 216328 247 364 84 — — — — — —
201822 A+ MLERancho Cucamonga Quakes — 431396 7313114 2519310 62 184251328579 144312 456 252 57 — — — — — —
201822 A+ RAWRancho Cucamonga Quakes — 431383 10320219 3813810 62 269350480831 211372 329 368 57 — — — — — —
201923 A+ MLE2 teams — 465432 9418520 231905 113 218265421687 204327 415 287 81 — — — — — —
201923 A+ RAW2 teams — 465423 11924724 321435 113 281339541881 260365 317 378 81 — — — — — —
202125 AAA MLEWorcester Red Sox — 208202 411004 6680 71 203226312538 109285 333 238 47 — — — — — —
202125 AAA RAWWorcester Red Sox — 208199 511308 9580 71 256288442731 186323 284 321 47 — — — — — —
202226 AAA MLE2 teams — 411379 8717012 241115 73 230284369654 140291 276 283 78 — — — — — —
202226 AAA RAW2 teams — 411371 10223016 32965 73 275341466807 191330 238 355 78 — — — — — —
202327 MLB MLEBoston Red Sox — 403371 832229 221346 82 224278367645 143323 335 289 82 -9 +1 -1 +7 +9 0.8
202327 MLB RAWBoston Red Sox — 403371 872529 221346 82 235288385674 151341 335 298 82 -9 +1 -1 +7 +9 0.8
202428 MLB MLEBoston Red Sox — 487448 12121113 271149 87 270324408733 138334 236 328 108 +5 -1 -10 +9 +11 1.3
202428 MLB RAWBoston Red Sox — 487447 12524113 281149 87 280335425760 145348 236 338 108 +5 -1 -10 +9 +11 1.3
202529 MLB MLEBoston Red Sox — 188168 31700 16421 21 185259226486 42242 229 226 39 -14 +0 +2 +3 +4 -0.5
202529 MLB RAWBoston Red Sox — 188168 32800 16421 21 190265238503 48250 229 233 39 -14 +0 +2 +3 +4 -0.5
202630 MLB MLEBoston Red Sox — 238210 481104 17576 31 229305338643 110293 247 285 79 -6 +0 +1 +4 +5 0.4
202630 MLB RAWBoston Red Sox — 238210 491204 17576 31 233309348657 114300 247 294 79 -6 +0 +1 +4 +5 0.4
201721 A MLEGreat Lakes Loons — 10799 24504 5362 11 242292414707 172315 345 293 84 — — — — — —
201822 A+ MLERancho Cucamonga Quakes — 431393 7313114 2519310 62 186251331581 145309 456 252 57 — — — — — —
201923 A+ MLE2 teams — 465434 9418520 231905 113 217265419685 203312 415 287 81 — — — — — —
202125 AAA MLEWorcester Red Sox — 208200 411004 6680 71 205226315541 110290 333 238 47 — — — — — —
202226 AAA MLE2 teams — 411379 8717012 241115 73 230284369654 140288 276 283 78 — — — — — —
202327 MLB MLEBoston Red Sox — 403372 832229 221346 82 223278366644 142341 335 289 82 — — — — — —
202428 MLB MLEBoston Red Sox — 487448 12121113 271149 87 270324408733 138348 236 328 108 — — — — — —
202529 MLB MLEBoston Red Sox — 188169 31700 16421 21 183259225484 41250 229 226 39 — — — — — —
202630 MLB MLEBoston Red Sox — 238213 481104 17576 31 225305333638 108300 247 285 79 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202428 MLB MLEBoston Red Sox — 487448 12121113 271149 87 270324408733 138348 236 328 108 — — — — — —
202529 MLB MLEBoston Red Sox — 188169 31700 16421 21 183259225484 41250 229 226 39 — — — — — —
202630 MLB MLEBoston Red Sox — 238213 481104 17576 31 225305333638 108300 247 285 79 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202731 MLB MLEBOS 100% 291263 611216 21675 51 231300345646 115286 237 292 83 -6 +1 -4 +5 +6 0.2
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202731 MLB CTXBOS 100% 183165 38803 13423 31 238307356663 118296 237 299 83 -4 +0 -2 +3 +4 0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202832 MLB MLEBOS 65% 159144 32603 11373 10 225293331625 107281 237 283 78 -4 +0 -6 +3 +3 -0.3
202832 MLB CTXBOS 65% 10393 22502 7242 10 232300342642 110291 237 290 78 -3 +0 -4 +2 +2 -0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 14751337 32477329 9538725 2211 242305369674 127318 266 300 77 -19 +0 -11 +33 +32 3.4
/ 162G— A+C — 650589 14334113 4217111 105 243305370675 127318 266 300 77 -9 +0 -5 +14 +14 1.5
Career— MLE — 32803014 673138987 189102450 5722 223280362642 138306 316 282 77 -25 +0 -16 +37 +37 3.5
/ 162G— MLE — 650597 13327217 3720310 114 223279360639 137305 316 282 77 -9 +0 -6 +14 +14 1.3

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2022 AAAWorcester Red Sox · 355 PAwOBA .360 → .288 (−72)K% 22.5% → 26.7%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA22.54%÷1.013×1.200——26.70%
BB% (unintentional) /PA7.61%÷0.987×0.690—×1.0185.41%
HBP% /PA1.13%—×0.940—×1.0181.08%
Singles /BIP23.87%÷1.010×0.930×0.995×1.01822.25%
Doubles /BIP8.23%÷1.179×0.830×0.995×1.0185.87%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.970×0.995×1.0180.00%
Home runs /BIP6.17%÷0.939×0.700—×1.0184.68%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 88, 1B 102, 2B 136, 3B 100, K 103, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.995.

Result: wOBA .360 → .288; ISO .201 → .146; BABIP .341 → .294. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2021 AAAWorcester Red Sox · 208 PAwOBA .312 → .238 (−74)K% 27.9% → 32.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA27.88%÷1.021×1.200——32.79%
BB% (unintentional) /PA4.33%÷1.008×0.690—×1.0333.06%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.940—×1.0330.00%
Singles /BIP21.28%÷0.974×0.930×0.970×1.03320.36%
Doubles /BIP9.22%÷0.992×0.830×0.970×1.0337.73%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.023×0.920×0.970×1.0330.00%
Home runs /BIP5.67%÷1.318×0.700—×1.0333.11%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 164, 1B 95, 2B 98, 3B 105, K 104, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.970.

Result: wOBA .312 → .238; ISO .186 → .114; BABIP .323 → .290. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2019 A+Rancho Cucamonga Quakes · 302 PAwOBA .343 → .255 (−87)K% 30.8% → 41.6%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA30.79%÷0.991×1.340——41.65%
BB% (unintentional) /PA6.95%÷0.948×0.710—×0.9985.20%
HBP% /PA1.32%—×0.790—×0.9981.04%
Singles /BIP17.13%÷1.043×0.910×0.950×0.99814.16%
Doubles /BIP8.29%÷0.935×0.820×0.950×0.9986.89%
Triples /BIP3.31%÷1.049×0.760×0.950×0.9982.28%
Home runs /BIP8.29%÷0.969×0.920—×0.9987.85%

Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 94, 1B 109, 2B 87, 3B 110, K 98, BB 90 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .343 → .255; ISO .263 → .201; BABIP .310 → .250. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2019 AATulsa Drillers · 163 PAwOBA .423 → .347 (−76)K% 30.7% → 39.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA30.67%÷0.954×1.220——39.24%
BB% (unintentional) /PA6.75%÷1.063×0.700—×1.0274.56%
HBP% /PA0.61%—×0.870—×1.0270.55%
Singles /BIP33.33%÷0.997×0.920—×1.02731.58%
Doubles /BIP9.09%÷1.048×0.840—×1.0277.49%
Triples /BIP1.01%÷0.925×0.940—×1.0271.05%
Home runs /BIP9.09%÷0.909×0.800—×1.0278.21%

Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 82, 1B 99, 2B 110, 3B 85, K 91, BB 113 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .423 → .347; ISO .255 → .208; BABIP .467 → .427. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2018 A+Rancho Cucamonga Quakes · 431 PAwOBA .358 → .252 (−106)K% 32.0% → 44.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA32.02%÷0.957×1.340——44.84%
BB% (unintentional) /PA8.82%÷1.066×0.710—×1.0125.94%
HBP% /PA2.32%—×0.790—×1.0121.85%
Singles /BIP25.31%÷1.025×0.910×0.974×1.01222.15%
Doubles /BIP8.16%÷1.076×0.820×0.974×1.0126.13%
Triples /BIP0.82%÷1.150×0.760×0.974×1.0120.53%
Home runs /BIP7.76%÷1.058×0.920—×1.0126.83%

Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 112, 1B 105, 2B 115, 3B 130, K 91, BB 113 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.974.

Result: wOBA .358 → .252; ISO .211 → .147; BABIP .372 → .309. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2017 AGreat Lakes Loons · 107 PAwOBA .357 → .293 (−64)K% 24.3% → 33.4%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA24.30%÷0.990×1.360——33.39%
BB% (unintentional) /PA6.54%÷1.048×0.690—×1.0154.37%
HBP% /PA1.87%—×0.780—×1.0151.48%
Singles /BIP22.54%÷0.965×0.920×1.046×1.01522.81%
Doubles /BIP8.45%÷1.013×0.830×1.046×1.0157.36%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.013×0.910×1.046×1.0150.00%
Home runs /BIP7.04%÷0.970×0.800—×1.0155.90%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 94, 1B 93, 2B 103, 3B 103, K 98, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.046.

Result: wOBA .357 → .293; ISO .216 → .168; BABIP .328 → .315. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).