Connor Wong — OGILVIE

Connor WongC Boston Red Sox

Age 30 R/R 5'10" / 190 lbs MLB HR -5%K -4% Svc 3.459 · Ctrl thru 2028

2026 ROS PROJECTION229 act + 29 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†vL 9896vR 89

AVG/OBP/SLG.269 / .345 / .462

PA29

HR1

K%24

BB%7

BABIP317

ISO192

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

2026 MLB RUNS · solid = so far · light = projected ROS (park-applied)

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control-$4M ctrl surplus

Tools · Recent Form · Splits · ContractCON 45 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026

CONTACT45

Whiff%

629.7%

xAVG

170.225

POWER40

Barrel%

275.2

Avg EV

1186.1

Bat Spd

5972.2

EYE45

Chase%

8325.2%

SPEED55

Sprint

5227.6

Recent Formrolling true talent ⓘ

K%25%▼26% over 70 PA (45d) · proj 24%

BB%5%▼▼3% over 95 PA (60d) · proj 7%

ISO.130·.133 over 90 AB (60d) · proj .128xISO .112 vs .117 prior

HR/BB3.8%·4.8% over 63 BBE (60d) · proj 3.3%barrel% 4.6% vs 5.4% prior

BABIP.291▼.200 over 60 BIP (60d) · proj .297xBABIP .237 vs .277 prior — approach backs the move

SLASH.234/.285/.364▼proj .237/.302/.366

Platoon Splits2024-2026 · 700 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

198

502

—

wRC+

122

◀◀L

wOBA

349

298

◀L

ISO

142

115

◀◀L

BABIP

345

322

◀L

21.7%

23.3%

◀L

BB%

10.6%

4.8%

◀◀L

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Arb-1

MLB Debut 2022

Service 3.459 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2028

First FA Year 2029

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext	$0.1M	+0.0	$0.2M	+$0.1M
2027	Arb-2	$1M	—	—	—
2028	Arb-3	$3M	—	—	—
Totals		$0.1M		$-0.5M	+$0.1M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2017	21	A	Great Lakes Loons	—	107	97	27	6	0	5	7	26	2	1	1	278	340	495	834	216	328	24	7	364	132	+4	-0	—	—	+2	0.6
2018	22	A+	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	—	431	383	103	20	2	19	38	138	10	6	2	269	350	480	831	211	372	32	9	368	135	+18	+0	—	—	+9	2.8
2019	23	AA	Tulsa Drillers	—	163	149	52	9	1	9	11	50	1	2	1	349	398	604	1.002	255	467	31	7	431	177	+15	+0	—	—	+4	1.9
2019	23	A+	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	—	302	274	67	15	6	15	21	93	4	9	2	245	308	507	815	263	310	31	7	350	123	+8	+1	—	—	+7	1.6
2021	25	AAA	Worcester Red Sox	—	208	199	51	13	0	8	9	58	0	7	1	256	288	442	731	186	323	28	4	321	103	+1	+1	—	—	+5	0.6
2022	26	MLB	Boston Red Sox	—	56	48	9	3	0	1	5	16	1	0	0	188	278	312	590	125	250	29	9	262	64	-2	+0	+1	+7	+1	0.7
2022	26	AAA	Worcester Red Sox	—	355	323	93	20	0	15	27	80	4	7	3	288	350	489	839	201	341	23	8	369	136	+15	+0	—	—	+8	2.4
2023	27	MLB	Boston Red Sox	—	403	371	87	25	2	9	22	134	6	8	2	235	288	385	674	151	341	33	5	298	88	-6	+1	-1	+7	+9	1.0
2024	28	MLB	Boston Red Sox	—	487	447	125	24	1	13	28	114	9	8	7	280	335	425	760	145	348	23	6	338	115	+8	-1	-10	+9	+11	1.6
2025	29	MLB	Boston Red Sox	—	188	168	32	8	0	0	16	42	1	2	1	190	265	238	503	48	250	22	9	233	44	-12	+0	+2	+3	+4	-0.4
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	1134	1034	253	60	3	23	71	306	17	18	10	245	304	375	679	131	323	27	6	302	91	-12	-0	-9	+27	+25	3.0
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2017	21	A MLE	Great Lakes Loons	—	107	99	24	5	0	4	5	36	2	1	1	242	292	414	707	172	310	34	5	289	82	-2	-0	—	—	+2	-0.0
2018	22	A+ MLE	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	—	431	396	72	12	1	14	25	193	10	6	2	182	248	323	571	141	305	45	6	249	55	-23	+0	—	—	+9	-1.4
2019	23	AA MLE	Tulsa Drillers	—	163	153	44	7	1	7	7	64	1	2	1	288	323	484	807	196	423	39	4	341	117	+3	+0	—	—	+4	0.7
2019	23	A+ MLE	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	—	302	279	49	11	4	12	16	126	4	9	2	176	231	373	604	197	250	42	5	256	59	-15	+1	—	—	+7	-0.7
2021	25	AAA MLE	Worcester Red Sox	—	208	202	40	10	0	4	6	68	0	7	1	198	221	307	528	109	280	33	3	231	42	-14	+1	—	—	+5	-0.9
2022	26	MLB MLE	Boston Red Sox	—	56	48	9	3	0	1	5	16	1	0	0	188	278	312	590	125	250	29	9	255	59	-3	+0	+1	+7	+1	0.7
2022	26	AAA MLE	Worcester Red Sox	—	355	331	77	14	0	11	19	95	4	7	3	233	282	375	657	142	288	27	5	284	78	-9	+0	—	—	+8	-0.1
2023	27	MLB MLE	Boston Red Sox	—	403	371	85	24	2	9	22	134	6	8	2	229	283	377	661	148	341	33	5	291	83	-8	+1	-1	+7	+9	0.8
2024	28	MLB MLE	Boston Red Sox	—	487	447	123	23	1	13	28	114	9	8	7	275	331	418	749	143	348	23	6	328	108	+5	-1	-10	+9	+11	1.3
2025	29	MLB MLE	Boston Red Sox	—	188	168	32	8	0	0	16	42	1	2	1	190	265	238	503	48	250	22	9	226	39	-14	+0	+2	+3	+4	-0.5
2017	21	A MLE	Great Lakes Loons	—	107	99	24	5	0	4	5	36	2	1	1	242	292	414	707	172	333	34	5	289	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	21	A RAW	Great Lakes Loons	—	107	97	27	6	0	5	7	26	2	1	1	278	340	495	834	216	328	24	7	364	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	22	A+ MLE	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	—	431	396	72	12	1	14	25	193	10	6	2	182	248	323	571	141	307	45	6	249	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	22	A+ RAW	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	—	431	383	103	20	2	19	38	138	10	6	2	269	350	480	831	211	372	32	9	368	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	23	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	465	432	93	18	5	19	23	190	5	11	3	215	263	412	675	197	326	41	5	286	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	23	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	465	423	119	24	7	24	32	143	5	11	3	281	339	541	881	260	365	31	7	378	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	25	AAA MLE	Worcester Red Sox	—	208	202	40	10	0	4	6	68	0	7	1	198	221	307	528	109	277	33	3	231	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	25	AAA RAW	Worcester Red Sox	—	208	199	51	13	0	8	9	58	0	7	1	256	288	442	731	186	323	28	4	321	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	411	379	86	17	0	12	24	111	5	7	3	227	282	367	649	140	287	27	6	280	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	26	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	411	371	102	23	0	16	32	96	5	7	3	275	341	466	807	191	330	23	8	355	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	27	MLB MLE	Boston Red Sox	—	403	371	85	24	2	9	22	134	6	8	2	229	283	377	661	148	332	33	5	291	83	-8	+1	-1	+7	+9	0.8
2023	27	MLB RAW	Boston Red Sox	—	403	371	87	25	2	9	22	134	6	8	2	235	288	385	674	151	341	33	5	298	83	-8	+1	-1	+7	+9	0.8
2024	28	MLB MLE	Boston Red Sox	—	487	447	123	23	1	13	28	114	9	8	7	275	331	418	749	143	342	23	6	328	108	+5	-1	-10	+9	+11	1.3
2024	28	MLB RAW	Boston Red Sox	—	487	447	125	24	1	13	28	114	9	8	7	280	335	425	760	145	348	23	6	338	108	+5	-1	-10	+9	+11	1.3
2025	29	MLB MLE	Boston Red Sox	—	188	168	32	8	0	0	16	42	1	2	1	190	265	238	503	48	250	22	9	226	39	-14	+0	+2	+3	+4	-0.5
2025	29	MLB RAW	Boston Red Sox	—	188	168	32	8	0	0	16	42	1	2	1	190	265	238	503	48	250	22	9	233	39	-14	+0	+2	+3	+4	-0.5
2017	21	A MLE	Great Lakes Loons	—	107	99	24	5	0	4	5	36	2	1	1	242	292	414	707	172	310	34	5	289	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	22	A+ MLE	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	—	431	393	72	12	1	14	25	193	10	6	2	183	248	326	574	142	305	45	6	249	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	23	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	465	434	93	18	5	19	23	190	5	11	3	214	263	410	673	196	311	41	5	286	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	25	AAA MLE	Worcester Red Sox	—	208	200	40	10	0	4	6	68	0	7	1	200	221	310	531	110	280	33	3	231	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	411	379	86	17	0	12	24	111	5	7	3	227	282	367	649	140	283	27	6	280	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	27	MLB MLE	Boston Red Sox	—	403	372	85	24	2	9	22	134	6	8	2	228	283	376	660	148	341	33	5	291	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	28	MLB MLE	Boston Red Sox	—	487	447	123	23	1	13	28	114	9	8	7	275	331	418	749	143	348	23	6	328	108	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	29	MLB MLE	Boston Red Sox	—	188	169	32	8	0	0	16	42	1	2	1	189	265	237	502	47	250	22	9	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	27	MLB MLE	Boston Red Sox	—	403	372	85	24	2	9	22	134	6	8	2	228	283	376	660	148	341	33	5	291	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	28	MLB MLE	Boston Red Sox	—	487	447	123	23	1	13	28	114	9	8	7	275	331	418	749	143	348	23	6	328	108	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	29	MLB MLE	Boston Red Sox	—	188	169	32	8	0	0	16	42	1	2	1	189	265	237	502	47	250	22	9	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	30	MLB MLE	BOS	—	229	201	46	10	0	4	17	55	6	3	1	229	308	338	646	109	294	24	7	288	81	-5	+0	+1	+4	+5	0.5
▸ 2026 season
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
SO FAR	30	MLB RAW	BOS	—	229	201	47	11	0	4	17	55	6	3	1	234	312	348	661	114	301	24	7	296	81	-5	+0	+1	+4	+5	0.5
YTD	30	MLB RAW	BOS	—	229	201	47	11	0	4	17	55	6	3	1	234	312	348	661	114	301	24	7	296	86	-4	+0	+1	+4	+5	0.6
ROS	30	MLB MLE	BOS	100%	29	26	6	1	0	1	2	7	1	0	0	231	310	385	695	154	310	24	7	310	96	-0	+0	-0	+1	+1	0.1
ROS	30	MLB CTX	BOS	100%	29	26	7	2	0	1	2	7	1	0	0	269	345	462	806	192	317	24	7	300	96	-0	+0	-0	+1	+1	0.1
FULL	30	MLB A+C	BOS	—	258	227	54	13	0	5	19	62	7	3	1	238	316	361	677	123	304	24	7	296	83	-5	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.5
TOT	30	MLB MLE	BOS	—	258	227	52	11	0	5	19	62	7	3	1	229	308	344	652	115	292	24	7	290	83	-5	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.5
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	31	MLB MLE	BOS	82%	318	286	67	16	1	6	23	78	6	4	1	234	305	360	665	126	294	25	7	298	88	-5	+0	-8	+6	+7	0.0
2028	32	MLB MLE	BOS	82%	290	262	61	14	1	6	21	72	5	3	1	233	302	363	665	130	290	25	7	292	84	-6	+0	-8	+5	+6	-0.2
2029	33	MLB MLE	BOS	82%	254	229	50	11	0	5	18	64	5	2	1	218	290	332	622	114	284	25	7	284	78	-7	+0	-8	+5	+6	-0.5
2027	31	MLB CTX	BOS	82%	261	235	56	14	0	5	19	64	5	4	1	238	309	362	671	123	301	25	7	288	88	-4	+0	-6	+5	+6	0.0
2028	32	MLB CTX	BOS	82%	238	215	49	12	0	4	17	59	4	3	1	228	297	340	636	112	297	25	7	282	84	-5	+0	-7	+4	+5	-0.2
2029	33	MLB CTX	BOS	82%	208	187	42	10	0	4	15	53	4	2	0	225	296	342	638	118	291	25	7	274	78	-5	+0	-7	+4	+5	-0.4
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1870	1697	407	98	3	37	124	489	31	27	12	240	303	367	670	127	314	26	7	295	77	-26	+1	-29	+40	+41	2.6
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	590	142	34	1	13	43	170	11	9	4	241	304	368	672	127	315	26	7	295	77	-9	+0	-10	+14	+14	0.9
Career	—	MLE		—	3591	3297	739	159	11	93	213	1109	55	59	23	224	282	364	646	140	306	31	6	282	77	-29	+0	-33	+43	+44	2.4
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	597	134	29	2	17	39	201	10	11	4	224	284	365	649	141	306	31	6	282	77	-9	+0	-11	+14	+14	0.8

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Dioner Navarrolast yr '16 career totals — 12 seasons, 3,544 PA	5.3	3,544	77	14	250	308	370	+63	-1	12.1	11.6
/162	664	14	3	+11.9	-0.2	2.3	pk7: 11
#2Nick Hundleylast yr '19 career totals — 12 seasons, 3,373 PA	5.1	3,373	93	15	247	299	405	+60	-31	10.3	10.8
/162	664	18	3	+11.9	-6.0	2.0	pk7: 11
#3Stephen Vogtlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,571 PA	3.9	2,571	82	5	241	303	410	+36	-11	9.3	9.4
/162	664	21	1	+9.2	-2.8	2.4	pk7: 9
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	3.6	2,413	48	35	238	300	364	+43	-10	7.5	7.7
/162	664	13	10	+11.9	-2.8	2.1	pk7: 8
#4Angel Berroalast yr '09 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,794 PA	4.2	2,794	46	50	259	303	375	+27	-6	6.7	7.1
/162	664	11	12	+6.5	-1.4	1.6	pk7: 7
#5Devin Mesoracolast yr '18 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,574 PA	2.4	1,574	58	4	232	309	406	+28	-13	6.0	6.2
/162	664	24	2	+11.9	-5.3	2.5	pk7: 6
#6Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Connor Wong (OGILVIE)	30	45	40	55	45	243/313/372	129	310	7	5	24%	7%	96	+0.6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕P.J. Higgins 2023 · MLB	30	52→54	47→45	49→40	50	251/326/391	140	322	13	5	25%	9%	104	+1.6	233/289/346	113	307	11	3	26%	7%	80	-0.2	220/270/316	96	289	9	0	26%	6%	63	-1.0
✕Tim Federowicz 2018 · MLB	30	47→50	47→50	50→40	42	233/282/363	130	300	15	7	27%	6%	81	-0.1	218/271/348	130	291	14	5	29%	7%	74	-0.6	200/253/323	123	265	14	1	29%	6%	59	-0.7
✕Austin Nola 2020 · MLB	30	50→53	46→45	48→45	49	248/318/382	135	301	14	6	22%	8%	99	+1.3	258/331/393	135	301	14	5	18%	8%	106	+1.8	258/335/367	109	294	10	1	15%	9%	99	+0.6
✕Pedro Severino 2023 · MLB	30	51→49	46→50	49→45	46	249/308/381	132	317	14	5	26%	8%	95	+0.9	224/282/358	134	284	15	11	26%	7%	80	-0.1	189/246/306	117	235	15	13	26%	7%	51	-1.0
✕Kevin Plawecki 2021 · MLB	30	51→56	46→45	46→30	50	250/322/389	139	294	13	5	19%	8%	102	+1.5	248/312/354	106	294	9	4	18%	7%	90	+0.6	238/301/321	83	290	7	0	19%	7%	76	-0.2
✕Tyler Heineman 2021 · MLB	30	49→46	46→45	52→50	49	240/303/371	131	271	13	9	17%	7%	91	+0.7	224/290/306	82	273	6	8	19%	7%	71	-0.8	221/317/317	95	275	9	14	21%	10%	83	+0.0
✕Matt Treanor 2005 · MLB	29	49	43→40	49→40	48	239/312/353	114	293	11	8	22%	8%	91	+0.6	231/319/331	100	278	8	4	18%	10%	88	+0.5	240/327/332	92	291	8	1	19%	9%	86	+0.1
✕Matt Reynolds 2021 · AAA	30	47→57	47→45	50	49	231/307/379	148	305	13	9	27%	9%	95	+0.9	227/298/341	114	322	10	9	30%	9%	82	+0.0	221/292/343	122	313	11	8	31%	9%	79	-0.1
✕Garrett Stubbs 2023 · MLB	30	48	47→45	53→50	55	238/324/377	138	296	15	11	24%	11%	100	+1.3	224/299/329	105	290	10	12	25%	8%	80	-0.2	212/285/298	86	275	9	12	25%	7%	66	-0.4
✕Royce Huffman 2007 · AAA	30	50→52	44→45	46→45	51	241/314/363	122	290	10	7	20%	8%	93	+0.8	229/300/331	102	285	8	6	21%	8%	81	-0.1	227/298/317	91	284	7	5	21%	8%	74	-0.5
✕Johnny Monell 2016 · MLB	30	48→44	44→50	48→45	46	235/290/350	115	289	11	9	23%	7%	81	-0.1	231/282/356	125	287	13	6	24%	6%	79	-0.2	222/273/349	126	279	14	2	25%	6%	72	-0.4
✕David Bote 2023 · MLB	30	44→49	48→50	49→45	43	220/289/360	140	285	15	8	28%	7%	84	+0.1	226/294/374	148	287	15	8	26%	7%	88	+0.5	218/290/367	150	272	15	6	25%	8%	83	+0.1
✕Joshua Rodriguez 2016 · AAA	31	47→54	45	48→50	46	230/292/356	126	293	12	9	25%	8%	84	+0.1	214/276/335	121	293	13	7	30%	8%	73	-0.6	221/283/347	126	296	15	4	29%	8%	75	-0.4
✕Seth Mejias-Brean 2021 · MLB	30	48→53	44→45	47→45	43	236/285/352	116	292	12	7	23%	6%	79	-0.2	222/280/346	124	292	14	13	27%	7%	76	-0.4	199/259/306	107	261	13	14	28%	7%	57	-0.7
✕Ed Lucas 2012 · AAA	30	46→56	45	51→50	45	227/287/345	118	289	12	9	25%	7%	79	-0.2	231/280/328	97	294	9	6	24%	6%	72	-0.7	257/307/329	73	332	6	3	23%	6%	79	-0.1
✕Luke Maile 2021 · MLB	30	44→50	45→40	51→40	48	217/287/339	122	281	12	8	26%	8%	78	-0.3	230/309/350	120	319	11	6	29%	9%	89	+0.5	228/311/347	119	313	11	4	28%	9%	87	+0.1
✕Tyler Saladino 2019 · MLB	30	45→47	43→45	51→55	46	222/287/329	107	284	11	16	25%	8%	75	-0.5	220/290/381	161	284	20	14	29%	8%	89	+0.5	199/274/379	180	248	24	14	30%	9%	80	-0.1
✕Steve Tolleson 2014 · MLB	30	49→53	41→45	49→50	49	234/301/333	99	294	8	15	22%	8%	81	-0.1	228/295/332	104	296	8	15	24%	8%	79	-0.2	233/295/334	101	302	8	18	24%	7%	76	-0.2
✕Charlie Culberson 2019 · MLB	30	48→52	46→45	47→50	42	240/285/369	129	300	13	9	24%	6%	83	+0.1	246/296/401	155	315	17	9	26%	6%	95	+1.0	242/286/377	135	312	13	10	26%	5%	83	+0.0
✕Christian Lopes 2022 · AAA	29	44→51	47→45	49→50	46	218/300/356	138	295	15	11	30%	9%	87	+0.4	214/288/327	113	314	10	11	32%	8%	76	-0.4	188/264/265	77	288	4	9	33%	8%	51	-0.8

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps