JaCoby Jones
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | 28 | MLBDET | 108 | .268/.336/.515 | 5 | 1 | 142 | 0.9 | ||
| 2021 | 29 | AAADET | 301 | .230/.312/.361 | 7 | 1 | 41 | — | .183/.243/.265 | |
| 2021 | 29 | MLBDET | 105 | .170/.210/.250 | 2 | 2 | 30 | -0.6 | ||
| 2022 | 30 | AAAKC | 137 | .214/.272/.357 | 4 | 2 | 13 | — | .147/.191/.225 | |
| 2023 | 31 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2024 | 32 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2025 | 33 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2026 | 34 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2014 | 22 | A | West Virginia Power | — | 501 | 445 | 128 | 21 | 3 | 23 | 33 | 132 | 12 | 17 | 9 | 288 | 353 | 503 | 856 | 216 | 352 | 26 | 7 | 369 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 23 | AA | Erie SeaWolves | — | 171 | 146 | 39 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 18 | 52 | 2 | 11 | 3 | 267 | 355 | 466 | 821 | 199 | 355 | 30 | 11 | 354 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 23 | A+ | Bradenton Marauders | — | 423 | 379 | 96 | 18 | 3 | 10 | 31 | 113 | 4 | 14 | 4 | 253 | 316 | 396 | 712 | 142 | 330 | 27 | 7 | 312 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 23 | INTL | Scottsdale Scorpions | — | 54 | 50 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 280 | 333 | 400 | 733 | 120 | 387 | 31 | 6 | 331 | 110 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 24 | MLB | Detroit Tigers | — | 28 | 28 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 214 | 214 | 321 | 536 | 107 | 375 | 43 | 0 | 235 | 48 | -2 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +1 | 0.1 |
| 2016 | 24 | AAA | Toledo Mud Hens | — | 324 | 292 | 71 | 14 | 5 | 3 | 25 | 97 | 4 | 11 | 4 | 243 | 312 | 356 | 668 | 113 | 349 | 30 | 8 | 299 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 24 | AA | Erie SeaWolves | — | 89 | 77 | 24 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 23 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 312 | 398 | 597 | 995 | 286 | 392 | 26 | 11 | 425 | 116 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 24 | INTL | Salt River Rafters | — | 92 | 82 | 27 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 16 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 329 | 396 | 427 | 822 | 98 | 394 | 17 | 8 | 368 | 135 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 25 | MLB | Detroit Tigers | — | 154 | 141 | 24 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 65 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 170 | 240 | 270 | 510 | 99 | 288 | 42 | 6 | 236 | 48 | -9 | +0 | -0 | +2 | +3 | -0.4 |
| 2017 | 25 | AAA | Toledo Mud Hens | — | 393 | 351 | 86 | 19 | 2 | 9 | 33 | 104 | 3 | 12 | 4 | 245 | 315 | 387 | 703 | 142 | 322 | 26 | 8 | 311 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 26 | MLB | Detroit Tigers | — | 467 | 429 | 89 | 22 | 6 | 11 | 24 | 142 | 11 | 13 | 5 | 207 | 267 | 364 | 631 | 156 | 281 | 30 | 5 | 280 | 79 | -12 | +1 | +4 | +2 | +10 | 0.5 |
| 2019 | 27 | MLB | Detroit Tigers | — | 333 | 298 | 70 | 19 | 3 | 11 | 27 | 94 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 235 | 311 | 430 | 741 | 195 | 304 | 28 | 8 | 327 | 109 | +3 | +1 | -1 | +1 | +7 | 1.2 |
| 2019 | 27 | AAA | Toledo Mud Hens | — | 24 | 21 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 429 | 500 | 571 | 1.071 | 143 | 600 | 25 | 4 | 475 | 160 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 27 | A+ | Lakeland Flying Tigers | — | 23 | 19 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 211 | 348 | 316 | 664 | 105 | 333 | 30 | 17 | 312 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 28 | MLB | Detroit Tigers | — | 108 | 97 | 26 | 9 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 34 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 268 | 336 | 515 | 852 | 247 | 356 | 31 | 6 | 370 | 142 | +5 | -0 | +1 | +0 | +2 | 0.9 |
| 2021 | 29 | MLB | Detroit Tigers | — | 105 | 100 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 42 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 170 | 210 | 250 | 460 | 80 | 268 | 40 | 5 | 209 | 30 | -9 | -0 | -1 | +1 | +2 | -0.6 |
| 2021 | 29 | AAA | Toledo Mud Hens | — | 301 | 269 | 62 | 14 | 0 | 7 | 28 | 103 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 230 | 312 | 361 | 673 | 130 | 346 | 34 | 9 | 306 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 30 | AAA | Omaha Storm Chasers | — | 137 | 126 | 27 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 55 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 214 | 272 | 357 | 629 | 143 | 338 | 40 | 7 | 280 | 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 1195 | 1093 | 232 | 58 | 10 | 32 | 72 | 389 | 24 | 29 | 12 | 212 | 276 | 371 | 647 | 159 | 296 | 33 | 6 | 288 | 81 | -27 | +1 | +3 | +9 | +26 | 1.2 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2014 | 22 | A MLE | West Virginia Power | — | 501 | 457 | 106 | 15 | 2 | 19 | 21 | 169 | 12 | 17 | 9 | 232 | 284 | 398 | 682 | 166 | 301 | 34 | 4 | 292 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 23 | AA MLE | Erie SeaWolves | — | 171 | 152 | 35 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 66 | 2 | 11 | 3 | 230 | 295 | 375 | 670 | 145 | 335 | 39 | 7 | 291 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 23 | A+ MLE | Bradenton Marauders | — | 423 | 388 | 80 | 14 | 2 | 8 | 22 | 157 | 4 | 14 | 4 | 206 | 256 | 314 | 570 | 108 | 307 | 37 | 5 | 252 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 24 | MLB MLE | Detroit Tigers | — | 28 | 28 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 214 | 214 | 321 | 536 | 107 | 375 | 43 | 0 | 239 | 48 | -2 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +1 | 0.1 |
| 2016 | 24 | AAA MLE | Toledo Mud Hens | — | 324 | 300 | 66 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 17 | 115 | 4 | 11 | 4 | 220 | 271 | 313 | 584 | 93 | 340 | 35 | 5 | 262 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 24 | AA MLE | Erie SeaWolves | — | 89 | 80 | 21 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 28 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 263 | 330 | 487 | 817 | 225 | 350 | 31 | 8 | 340 | 116 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 25 | MLB MLE | Detroit Tigers | — | 154 | 141 | 24 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 65 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 170 | 240 | 270 | 510 | 99 | 288 | 42 | 6 | 240 | 48 | -9 | +0 | -0 | +2 | +3 | -0.4 |
| 2017 | 25 | AAA MLE | Toledo Mud Hens | — | 393 | 362 | 79 | 18 | 2 | 7 | 22 | 124 | 3 | 12 | 4 | 218 | 269 | 337 | 606 | 119 | 302 | 32 | 6 | 264 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 26 | MLB MLE | Detroit Tigers | — | 467 | 429 | 91 | 23 | 6 | 11 | 24 | 142 | 11 | 13 | 5 | 212 | 272 | 371 | 642 | 159 | 281 | 30 | 5 | 285 | 79 | -12 | +1 | +4 | +2 | +10 | 0.5 |
| 2019 | 27 | MLB MLE | Detroit Tigers | — | 333 | 300 | 70 | 19 | 3 | 11 | 25 | 94 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 233 | 305 | 427 | 732 | 193 | 304 | 28 | 8 | 329 | 109 | +3 | +1 | -1 | +1 | +7 | 1.2 |
| 2019 | 27 | AAA MLE | Toledo Mud Hens | — | 24 | 21 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 381 | 458 | 524 | 982 | 143 | 545 | 29 | 4 | 405 | 160 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 27 | A+ MLE | Lakeland Flying Tigers | — | 23 | 20 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 100 | 217 | 150 | 367 | 50 | 291 | 43 | 13 | 226 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 28 | MLB MLE | Detroit Tigers | — | 108 | 97 | 26 | 9 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 34 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 268 | 336 | 515 | 852 | 247 | 356 | 31 | 6 | 378 | 142 | +5 | -0 | +1 | +0 | +2 | 0.9 |
| 2021 | 29 | MLB MLE | Detroit Tigers | — | 105 | 100 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 42 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 170 | 210 | 250 | 460 | 80 | 268 | 40 | 5 | 213 | 30 | -9 | -0 | -1 | +1 | +2 | -0.6 |
| 2021 | 29 | AAA MLE | Toledo Mud Hens | — | 301 | 279 | 51 | 11 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 124 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 183 | 243 | 265 | 508 | 82 | 310 | 41 | 6 | 229 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 30 | AAA MLE | Omaha Storm Chasers | — | 137 | 129 | 19 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 69 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 147 | 191 | 225 | 416 | 78 | 278 | 50 | 4 | 188 | 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 22 | A MLE | West Virginia Power | — | 501 | 457 | 106 | 15 | 2 | 19 | 21 | 169 | 12 | 17 | 9 | 232 | 284 | 398 | 682 | 166 | 314 | 34 | 4 | 292 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 22 | A RAW | West Virginia Power | — | 501 | 445 | 128 | 21 | 3 | 23 | 33 | 132 | 12 | 17 | 9 | 288 | 353 | 503 | 856 | 216 | 352 | 26 | 7 | 369 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 23 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 648 | 590 | 128 | 22 | 5 | 14 | 37 | 243 | 7 | 26 | 7 | 217 | 271 | 342 | 614 | 125 | 332 | 38 | 6 | 263 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 23 | A+ RAW | 3 teams | — | 648 | 575 | 149 | 25 | 5 | 18 | 52 | 182 | 7 | 26 | 7 | 259 | 328 | 414 | 742 | 155 | 340 | 28 | 8 | 325 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 24 | AAA MLE | 4 teams | — | 533 | 492 | 113 | 24 | 7 | 7 | 29 | 188 | 7 | 18 | 8 | 230 | 282 | 350 | 632 | 120 | 351 | 35 | 5 | 276 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 24 | AAA RAW | 4 teams | — | 533 | 479 | 128 | 28 | 7 | 8 | 42 | 148 | 7 | 18 | 8 | 267 | 335 | 405 | 740 | 138 | 366 | 28 | 8 | 329 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 25 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 547 | 503 | 103 | 21 | 3 | 10 | 31 | 189 | 7 | 18 | 6 | 205 | 261 | 318 | 579 | 113 | 305 | 35 | 6 | 257 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 25 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 547 | 492 | 110 | 22 | 3 | 12 | 42 | 169 | 7 | 18 | 6 | 224 | 294 | 354 | 648 | 130 | 314 | 31 | 8 | 290 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 26 | MLB MLE | Detroit Tigers | — | 467 | 429 | 91 | 23 | 6 | 11 | 24 | 142 | 11 | 13 | 5 | 212 | 272 | 371 | 642 | 159 | 288 | 30 | 5 | 285 | 79 | -12 | +1 | +4 | +2 | +10 | 0.5 |
| 2018 | 26 | MLB RAW | Detroit Tigers | — | 467 | 429 | 89 | 22 | 6 | 11 | 24 | 142 | 11 | 13 | 5 | 207 | 267 | 364 | 631 | 156 | 281 | 30 | 5 | 280 | 79 | -12 | +1 | +4 | +2 | +10 | 0.5 |
| 2019 | 27 | MLB MLE | 3 teams | — | 380 | 341 | 82 | 22 | 4 | 11 | 29 | 111 | 8 | 7 | 3 | 240 | 315 | 425 | 740 | 185 | 323 | 29 | 8 | 328 | 108 | +4 | +0 | -1 | +1 | +8 | 1.3 |
| 2019 | 27 | MLB RAW | 3 teams | — | 380 | 338 | 83 | 22 | 4 | 11 | 32 | 107 | 8 | 7 | 3 | 246 | 325 | 432 | 757 | 186 | 326 | 28 | 8 | 335 | 108 | +4 | +0 | -1 | +1 | +8 | 1.3 |
| 2020 | 28 | MLB MLE | Detroit Tigers | — | 108 | 97 | 26 | 9 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 34 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 268 | 336 | 515 | 852 | 247 | 356 | 31 | 6 | 378 | 142 | +5 | -0 | +1 | +0 | +2 | 0.9 |
| 2020 | 28 | MLB RAW | Detroit Tigers | — | 108 | 97 | 26 | 9 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 34 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 268 | 336 | 515 | 852 | 247 | 356 | 31 | 6 | 370 | 142 | +5 | -0 | +1 | +0 | +2 | 0.9 |
| 2021 | 29 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 406 | 379 | 68 | 13 | 0 | 6 | 23 | 166 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 179 | 234 | 261 | 495 | 82 | 300 | 41 | 6 | 225 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 29 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 406 | 369 | 79 | 16 | 0 | 9 | 33 | 145 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 214 | 286 | 331 | 616 | 117 | 326 | 36 | 8 | 281 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 30 | AAA MLE | Omaha Storm Chasers | — | 137 | 129 | 19 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 69 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 147 | 191 | 225 | 416 | 78 | 288 | 50 | 4 | 188 | 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 30 | AAA RAW | Omaha Storm Chasers | — | 137 | 126 | 27 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 55 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 214 | 272 | 357 | 629 | 143 | 338 | 40 | 7 | 280 | 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 22 | A MLE | West Virginia Power | — | 501 | 463 | 106 | 15 | 2 | 19 | 21 | 169 | 12 | 17 | 9 | 229 | 284 | 393 | 677 | 164 | 301 | 34 | 4 | 292 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 23 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 648 | 599 | 128 | 22 | 5 | 14 | 37 | 243 | 7 | 26 | 7 | 214 | 271 | 337 | 609 | 124 | 315 | 38 | 6 | 263 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 24 | AAA MLE | 4 teams | — | 533 | 492 | 113 | 24 | 7 | 7 | 29 | 188 | 7 | 18 | 8 | 230 | 282 | 350 | 632 | 120 | 344 | 35 | 5 | 276 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 25 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 547 | 504 | 103 | 21 | 3 | 10 | 31 | 189 | 7 | 18 | 6 | 204 | 261 | 317 | 578 | 113 | 298 | 35 | 6 | 257 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 26 | MLB MLE | Detroit Tigers | — | 467 | 429 | 91 | 23 | 6 | 11 | 24 | 142 | 11 | 13 | 5 | 212 | 272 | 371 | 642 | 159 | 281 | 30 | 5 | 285 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 27 | MLB MLE | 3 teams | — | 380 | 340 | 82 | 22 | 4 | 11 | 29 | 111 | 8 | 7 | 3 | 241 | 315 | 426 | 741 | 185 | 319 | 29 | 8 | 328 | 108 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 28 | MLB MLE | Detroit Tigers | — | 108 | 97 | 26 | 9 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 34 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 268 | 336 | 515 | 852 | 247 | 356 | 31 | 6 | 378 | 142 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 29 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 406 | 376 | 68 | 13 | 0 | 6 | 23 | 166 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 181 | 234 | 263 | 497 | 82 | 299 | 41 | 6 | 225 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 30 | AAA MLE | Omaha Storm Chasers | — | 137 | 129 | 19 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 69 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 147 | 191 | 225 | 416 | 78 | 278 | 50 | 4 | 188 | 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 1195 | 1093 | 232 | 58 | 10 | 32 | 72 | 389 | 24 | 29 | 12 | 212 | 276 | 371 | 647 | 159 | 296 | 33 | 6 | 288 | 71 | -27 | +1 | +3 | +9 | +26 | 1.2 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 595 | 126 | 32 | 5 | 17 | 39 | 212 | 13 | 16 | 7 | 212 | 275 | 368 | 643 | 156 | 296 | 33 | 6 | 288 | 71 | -14 | +1 | +1 | +5 | +14 | 0.6 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 3727 | 3417 | 736 | 153 | 27 | 85 | 207 | 1311 | 60 | 105 | 43 | 215 | 272 | 351 | 623 | 135 | 318 | 35 | 6 | 274 | 71 | -27 | +1 | +3 | +9 | +26 | 1.2 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 596 | 129 | 27 | 5 | 15 | 36 | 229 | 10 | 18 | 7 | 216 | 272 | 354 | 626 | 138 | 319 | 35 | 6 | 274 | 71 | -14 | +1 | +1 | +5 | +14 | 0.6 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2022 AAAOmaha Storm Chasers · 137 PAwOBA .275 → .188 (−86)K% 40.1% → 50.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 40.15% | ÷0.957 | ×1.200 | — | — | 50.33% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.57% | ÷1.001 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.972 | 4.40% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.73% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.972 | 0.67% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.94% | ÷1.016 | ×0.930 | ×0.975 | ×0.972 | 20.77% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.45% | ÷1.041 | ×0.830 | ×0.975 | ×0.972 | 6.38% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | ×0.975 | ×0.972 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.63% | ÷0.984 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.972 | 3.90% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 97, 1B 103, 2B 108, 3B 130, K 91, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 27.2 → −2.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.975.
Result: wOBA .275 → .188; ISO .143 → .088; BABIP .338 → .278. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 AAAToledo Mud Hens · 301 PAwOBA .298 → .229 (−69)K% 34.2% → 41.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 34.22% | ÷1.000 | ×1.200 | — | — | 41.07% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.30% | ÷1.038 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.982 | 6.07% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.33% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.982 | 1.23% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.70% | ÷0.991 | ×0.930 | ×1.020 | ×0.982 | 23.23% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.43% | ÷1.013 | ×0.830 | ×1.020 | ×0.982 | 6.92% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.981 | ×0.920 | ×1.020 | ×0.982 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.22% | ÷1.052 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.982 | 2.76% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 110, 1B 98, 2B 103, 3B 96, K 100, BB 108 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.020.
Result: wOBA .298 → .229; ISO .130 → .088; BABIP .346 → .310. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 AAAToledo Mud Hens · 24 PAwOBA .463 → .405 (−57)K% 25.0% → 28.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.00% | ÷1.056 | ×1.200 | — | — | 28.42% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.17% | ÷1.004 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.003 | 2.87% |
| HBP% /PA | 8.33% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.003 | 7.86% |
| Singles /BIP | 46.67% | ÷1.013 | ×0.930 | — | ×1.003 | 42.98% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.67% | ÷0.995 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.003 | 5.58% |
| Triples /BIP | 6.67% | ÷1.096 | ×0.970 | — | ×1.003 | 5.92% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.888 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 78, 1B 103, 2B 99, 3B 119, K 111, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .463 → .405; ISO .143 → .121; BABIP .600 → .545. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 A+Lakeland Flying Tigers · 23 PAwOBA .305 → .226 (−79)K% 30.4% → 43.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 30.43% | ÷1.005 | ×1.420 | — | — | 43.01% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 17.39% | ÷0.958 | ×0.750 | — | ×0.958 | 13.04% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.930 | — | ×0.958 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 16.67% | ÷1.026 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.958 | 14.32% |
| Doubles /BIP | 16.67% | ÷1.037 | ×0.960 | — | ×0.958 | 14.78% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.004 | ×0.810 | — | ×0.958 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.963 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.958 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 93, 1B 105, 2B 107, 3B 101, K 101, BB 92 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 22.8 → −4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .305 → .226; ISO .105 → .079; BABIP .333 → .291. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 AAAToledo Mud Hens · 393 PAwOBA .302 → .264 (−38)K% 26.5% → 31.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.46% | ÷1.004 | ×1.200 | — | — | 31.63% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.89% | ÷0.996 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.033 | 5.64% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.76% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.033 | 0.74% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.67% | ÷1.054 | ×0.930 | ×1.029 | ×1.033 | 21.28% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.69% | ÷0.916 | ×0.830 | ×1.029 | ×1.033 | 7.41% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.81% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | ×1.029 | ×1.033 | 0.73% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.64% | ÷1.049 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.033 | 3.01% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 110, 1B 111, 2B 83, 3B 130, K 101, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.029.
Result: wOBA .302 → .264; ISO .142 → .124; BABIP .322 → .302. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AAAToledo Mud Hens · 324 PAwOBA .293 → .262 (−32)K% 29.9% → 35.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 29.94% | ÷1.009 | ×1.200 | — | — | 35.60% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.41% | ÷1.004 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.048 | 5.34% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.23% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.048 | 1.22% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.13% | ÷1.001 | ×0.930 | ×1.049 | ×1.048 | 25.67% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.18% | ÷1.092 | ×0.830 | ×1.049 | ×1.048 | 6.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.56% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | ×1.049 | ×1.048 | 2.38% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.54% | ÷0.899 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.048 | 1.51% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 80, 1B 100, 2B 118, 3B 130, K 102, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.049.
Result: wOBA .293 → .262; ISO .113 → .098; BABIP .349 → .340. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AAErie SeaWolves · 89 PAwOBA .418 → .340 (−78)K% 25.8% → 31.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.84% | ÷0.998 | ×1.220 | — | — | 31.60% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.24% | ÷1.027 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.012 | 7.75% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.12% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.012 | 0.97% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.22% | ÷1.045 | ×0.970 | ×0.995 | ×1.012 | 20.77% |
| Doubles /BIP | 11.11% | ÷0.973 | ×0.860 | ×0.995 | ×1.012 | 9.89% |
| Triples /BIP | 3.70% | ÷1.127 | ×0.950 | ×0.995 | ×1.012 | 3.14% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.41% | ÷1.095 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.012 | 5.34% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 119, 1B 109, 2B 95, 3B 125, K 100, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.995.
Result: wOBA .418 → .340; ISO .286 → .222; BABIP .392 → .350. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 A+Bradenton Marauders · 423 PAwOBA .308 → .252 (−56)K% 26.7% → 37.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.71% | ÷1.027 | ×1.420 | — | — | 36.95% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.33% | ÷1.051 | ×0.750 | — | ×0.998 | 5.22% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.95% | — | ×0.930 | — | ×0.998 | 0.88% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.44% | ÷0.981 | ×0.920 | ×1.020 | ×0.998 | 23.31% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.77% | ÷1.117 | ×0.960 | ×1.020 | ×0.998 | 5.92% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.13% | ÷0.900 | ×0.810 | ×1.020 | ×0.998 | 1.03% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.76% | ÷0.974 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.998 | 3.39% |
Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 95, 1B 96, 2B 123, 3B 80, K 105, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.020.
Result: wOBA .308 → .252; ISO .142 → .115; BABIP .330 → .307. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .