Quincy McAfee — OGILVIE

Quincy McAfeeSS Chattanooga Lookouts

Age 28 R/R 5'10" / 185 lbs AA HR +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 250 proj PA

wRC+†83

AVG/OBP/SLG.221 / .287 / .366

PA250

HR7

SB5

K%23

BB%6

ISO146

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 49 / POW 47

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT49

scouting grade only

POWER47

scouting grade only

EYE39

scouting grade only

SPEED49

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.7M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.2	$0.6M	+$0.0M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$2M		$2M	+$0.7M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	23	A+	2 teams	—	326	277	53	14	1	6	33	83	12	7	3	191	304	314	618	123	246	25	10	271	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	A+	2 teams	—	326	266	61	18	1	6	44	64	12	7	3	229	363	372	736	143	276	20	13	335	115	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AA	2 teams	—	384	336	57	8	1	7	32	125	11	2	4	170	264	262	526	92	239	33	8	238	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AA	2 teams	—	384	322	68	12	1	8	46	99	11	2	4	211	330	329	659	118	273	26	12	303	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AA	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	385	335	67	15	3	12	28	106	16	10	4	200	293	370	663	170	250	28	7	284	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AA	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	385	317	76	18	4	14	46	76	16	10	4	240	364	454	818	215	270	20	12	360	134	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AA	3 teams	—	283	256	45	8	0	7	16	64	9	8	3	176	249	289	538	113	204	23	6	239	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AA	3 teams	—	283	249	52	12	0	9	23	50	9	8	3	209	299	365	664	157	225	18	8	300	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	28	MLB	CIN	—	250	226	50	10	1	7	16	59	6	5	2	221	290	367	658	146	268	24	6	294	83	-5	+0	+0	+3	+7	0.5
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	29	MLB	CIN	28%	296	269	60	12	1	8	19	70	6	5	2	223	289	364	653	141	270	24	6	296	84	-5	+0	-1	+3	+8	0.5
2028	30	MLB	CIN	43%	323	291	65	13	1	9	22	77	7	5	2	223	294	368	661	144	271	24	7	295	84	-6	+0	-2	+3	+9	0.5
2029	31	MLB	CIN	52%	321	290	64	13	1	8	22	77	6	4	1	221	289	355	644	134	270	24	7	293	82	-6	+0	-3	+3	+9	0.4
2030	32	MLB	CIN	57%	311	281	61	12	1	8	21	76	6	4	1	217	286	352	638	135	267	24	7	288	79	-7	+0	-4	+3	+9	0.2
2031	33	MLB	CIN	60%	286	260	55	11	1	7	19	71	5	3	1	212	278	342	620	131	263	25	7	281	74	-9	+0	-4	+3	+8	-0.1
2027	29	MLB	CIN	28%	83	76	16	3	0	2	5	20	2	1	0	211	277	329	606	118	273	24	6	283	75	-2	+0	-0	+1	+2	0.1
2028	30	MLB	CIN	43%	139	126	29	6	1	4	9	33	3	2	1	230	297	389	686	159	273	24	6	283	75	-4	+0	-1	+1	+4	0.1
2029	31	MLB	CIN	52%	167	151	35	7	1	5	11	40	3	2	1	232	297	391	688	159	272	24	7	281	74	-5	+0	-1	+2	+5	0.0
2030	32	MLB	CIN	57%	178	161	36	7	1	5	12	43	3	2	1	224	290	373	662	149	270	24	7	277	70	-6	+0	-2	+2	+5	-0.1
2031	33	MLB	CIN	60%	172	155	34	7	1	4	12	43	3	2	0	219	288	355	643	135	266	25	7	270	65	-7	+0	-3	+2	+5	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	739	669	150	30	4	20	49	179	14	9	3	224	291	371	662	146	274	24	7	278	71	-24	+1	-7	+8	+21	-0.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	588	132	26	4	18	43	157	12	8	3	224	291	374	665	150	273	24	7	278	71	-21	+0	-6	+7	+18	-0.2
Career	—			—	3165	2821	577	116	11	79	228	808	84	53	23	205	284	337	621	133	255	26	7	277	70	-106	+1	-14	+34	+90	0.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	579	118	24	2	16	47	166	17	11	5	204	283	335	618	131	254	26	7	277	70	-22	+0	-3	+7	+18	0.1

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	23	AA	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	156	122	29	5	1	2	22	32	9	5	2	238	392	344	736	107	300	21	14	341	119	+3	+0	—	—	+4	0.8
2021	23	A+	Dayton Dragons	—	170	144	32	13	0	4	22	32	3	2	1	222	337	396	733	174	257	19	13	330	111	+2	+0	—	—	+5	0.7
2022	24	AA	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	301	254	55	11	1	6	34	82	8	2	4	217	328	339	666	122	287	27	11	303	90	-3	-1	—	—	+9	0.4
2022	24	A+	Dayton Dragons	—	83	68	13	1	0	2	12	17	3	0	0	191	337	294	631	103	224	20	14	302	89	-1	+0	—	—	+2	0.1
2023	25	AA	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	385	317	76	18	4	14	46	76	16	10	4	240	364	454	818	215	270	20	12	360	134	+15	+0	—	—	+11	2.7
2024	26	AAA	Louisville Bats	—	29	24	6	4	0	0	3	5	1	1	0	250	357	417	774	167	316	17	10	337	116	+1	+0	—	—	+1	0.2
2024	26	AA	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	234	210	43	7	0	9	16	42	7	5	3	205	283	367	650	162	212	18	7	293	82	-5	-0	—	—	+7	0.2
2024	26	ROK	ACL Reds	—	20	15	3	1	0	0	4	3	1	2	0	200	400	267	667	67	250	15	20	331	111	+0	+0	—	—	+1	0.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	8	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
	/162	664	20	13	221	297	378	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#2Mike Mathenylast yr '06 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA	7	2,830	45	2	244	301	351	+21	+31	7.2	7.2
	/162	664	11	0	244	301	351	+4.9	+7.2	1.7	pk7: 7
#3Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	9	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
	/162	664	10	9	246	289	354	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#4Yolmer Sánchezlast yr '19 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,438 PA	6	2,438	31	30	244	299	357	+9	+26	5.4	5.4
	/162	664	8	8	244	299	357	+2.4	+7.2	1.5	pk7: 5
#5Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#5Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#6Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#6Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	2	744	19	10	221	286	360	+8	+6	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	17	9	221	286	360	+7.1	+5.4	0.8	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Quincy McAfee (OGILVIE)	28	49	47	49	39	221/287/366	145	268	7	5	23%	6%	83	+0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Pedro Severino 2021 · MLB	28	46→48	49→50	48→45	49	233/301/374	141	274	17	6	22%	8%	90	+1.0	239/299/374	135	304	15	6	25%	8%	89	+1.0	230/288/355	125	295	14	6	26%	7%	76	+0.0
✕Scott Kingery 2021 · MLB	27	45→51	50→55	51→55	43	229/285/393	164	294	17	13	28%	7%	89	+0.9	197/266/322	125	295	12	18	35%	8%	62	-0.9	198/239/341	143	265	19	17	33%	5%	52	-0.8
✕Chris Owings 2020 · MLB	28	43→53	47→50	48→55	41	219/272/353	134	292	14	16	30%	6%	72	-0.2	214/278/359	145	296	16	14	31%	8%	76	+0.1	184/261/307	123	264	15	11	35%	8%	53	-0.8
✕Tim Olson 2006 · MLB	27	46	48→50	45→50	45	232/289/379	147	283	15	12	24%	7%	86	+0.8	225/268/357	132	293	15	12	27%	5%	71	-0.3	205/244/322	117	273	14	12	30%	5%	50	-0.7
✕Chris Nelson 2014 · MLB	28	50→52	45→50	49→50	42	245/289/372	127	308	12	8	24%	6%	83	+0.6	221/273/316	95	277	9	5	22%	6%	63	-0.9	205/258/278	72	255	6	2	21%	6%	43	-1.1
✕John Hester 2011 · MLB	27	50	48→55	48→50	42	249/296/406	157	318	14	11	26%	6%	95	+1.4	208/266/322	114	288	12	5	30%	7%	62	-0.9	184/244/291	107	269	11	4	34%	7%	42	-1.0
✕Austin Romine 2017 · MLB	28	47→53	45	45	42	234/269/358	124	270	12	4	19%	4%	72	-0.2	235/281/361	126	287	14	4	22%	6%	78	+0.2	252/290/392	140	316	18	2	26%	5%	88	+0.3
✕Christian Arroyo 2023 · MLB	28	50→54	47→45	50→45	43	251/300/388	137	292	15	9	20%	5%	93	+1.3	226/273/341	115	282	11	7	23%	5%	69	-0.4	237/285/353	116	300	12	7	25%	5%	75	-0.0
✕Jayson Nix 2011 · MLB	28	43→49	54→55	46→55	46	230/296/403	173	266	22	10	23%	7%	96	+1.5	216/281/350	134	275	14	13	26%	7%	76	+0.0	207/276/316	109	275	10	18	27%	7%	61	-0.5
✕Austin Wynns 2019 · MLB	28	47→51	45	47→30	44	235/285/349	114	286	14	3	23%	6%	76	+0.1	223/276/327	104	271	13	4	22%	6%	66	-0.6	235/302/338	104	290	12	3	22%	7%	78	+0.1
✕Tommy Field 2015 · MLB	28	46→53	45	50→45	46	229/291/357	128	287	12	8	24%	7%	81	+0.4	205/270/329	124	253	13	7	24%	7%	66	-0.6	186/250/298	112	228	12	5	24%	6%	46	-1.4
✕Brad Davis 2011 · MLB	28	43	48→50	44→45	45	219/279/365	145	272	15	5	25%	7%	79	+0.3	213/262/323	110	282	10	6	27%	6%	59	-1.1	198/242/289	91	267	7	4	28%	5%	40	-1.0
✕Ronny Cedeno 2011 · MLB	28	49→57	45	51→50	44	241/284/366	125	287	12	12	21%	5%	79	+0.3	244/293/355	111	305	8	7	22%	6%	81	+0.4	243/295/341	98	309	6	4	22%	6%	71	-0.1
✕Tim Lopes 2022 · MLB	28	44→54	47→45	52→55	44	223/282/361	138	282	14	17	26%	7%	79	+0.3	219/286/337	118	300	12	24	29%	8%	74	-0.1	218/291/320	101	306	10	31	30%	9%	68	-0.3
✕Carlos Pérez 2019 · MLB	28	48→47	46→60	47→45	45	239/287/366	127	278	14	6	20%	6%	82	+0.5	215/260/389	174	234	23	4	20%	4%	77	+0.1	218/290/403	184	239	24	0	21%	8%	90	+0.7
✕John Mayberry Jr. 2013 · MLB	29	48	51→55	49→50	46	245/298/407	162	287	19	9	22%	7%	97	+1.5	223/287/385	162	268	18	6	23%	8%	87	+0.8	203/272/364	161	242	17	5	24%	8%	73	-0.0
✕Jett Bandy 2018 · MLB	28	44	49→50	44→45	43	225/287/369	144	265	18	5	23%	5%	83	+0.6	211/274/352	141	265	18	6	27%	5%	74	-0.1	186/251/306	120	242	16	2	29%	4%	50	-0.6
✕Nick Dini 2021 · MLB	28	41	51→50	49→50	42	220/270/377	157	256	20	12	24%	5%	79	+0.3	219/286/373	154	263	20	9	24%	7%	84	+0.6	177/272/313	136	213	19	8	27%	9%	61	-0.4
✕Lewis Brinson 2022 · MLB	28	44→52	48→55	49→50	39	224/271/363	139	294	16	10	29%	5%	74	-0.1	238/286/422	184	328	24	9	34%	6%	97	+1.5	230/278/435	205	328	28	8	38%	5%	92	+0.8
✕JaCoby Jones 2020 · MLB	28	46	50	51→50	42	228/293/393	165	308	16	14	30%	7%	92	+1.2	219/280/368	149	328	16	9	36%	6%	79	+0.3	192/246/312	120	316	14	5	42%	6%	48	-0.7