Victor Robles — OGILVIE

Victor RoblesRF Seattle Mariners

Age 29 R/R 6'0" / 193 lbs MLB HR -5% Svc 7.192 · Ctrl thru 2026

2026 ROS PROJECTION160 act + 106 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†vL 8094vR 133

AVG/OBP/SLG.251 / .322 / .355

PA106

HR1

SB7

K%21

BB%7

BABIP312

ISO105

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 50 / POW 45

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026

CONTACT50

Whiff%

5610.4%

xwOBA

400.297

POWER45

Barrel%

265.2

Avg EV

1086.1

Bat Spd

2168.2

EYE40

Chase%

6029.8%

SPEED55

Sprint

8128.7

Platoon Splits2024-2025 · 409 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

151

258

—

wRC+

135

▶▶R

wOBA

291

361

▶▶R

ISO

061

146

▶▶R

BABIP

304

381

▶▶R

16.6%

20.9%

◀◀L

BB%

7.9%

4.7%

◀◀L

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status FA

MLB Debut 2017

Service 7.192 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2026

First FA Year 2027

OPT

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext	$2M	—	—	—
Totals		$2M		$-0.5M	-$2M

Options · projected decision
2027	CLUB OPT	$4.9M / $0.0M buyout	DECLINE
2028	CLUB OPT	$9.0M / $0.0M buyout	DECLINE
2029	CLUB OPT	$4.9M / $0.0M buyout	DECLINE
2030	CLUB OPT	$3.3M / $0.0M buyout	DECLINE

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2014	17	ROK	DSL Nationals	—	213	188	46	10	3	2	10	37	13	22	9	245	327	362	689	117	295	17	5	295	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	17	ROK	DSL Nationals	—	213	182	57	14	4	3	16	26	13	22	9	313	408	484	891	170	353	12	8	394	160	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	18	ROK	GCL Nationals	—	94	77	24	5	1	2	6	17	7	12	1	312	411	481	892	169	373	18	6	343	121	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	18	ROK	GCL Nationals	—	94	73	27	6	1	2	10	12	7	12	1	370	489	562	1.051	192	417	13	11	446	199	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	19	A	3 teams	—	504	432	115	15	8	6	21	109	34	37	14	266	349	380	729	113	341	22	4	306	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	19	A	3 teams	—	504	421	118	17	8	9	32	77	34	37	14	280	378	423	801	143	322	15	6	351	127	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	20	A+	4 teams	—	577	515	121	34	8	7	27	141	24	34	11	235	304	373	677	138	308	24	5	289	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	20	A+	4 teams	—	577	495	145	39	10	13	47	99	24	34	11	293	382	491	873	198	342	17	8	379	148	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	21	AAA	4 teams	—	385	345	87	18	3	6	29	65	7	25	10	252	323	374	697	122	292	17	8	309	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	21	AAA	4 teams	—	385	333	93	15	2	6	40	62	7	25	10	279	367	390	758	111	325	16	10	341	119	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	22	MLB	Washington Nationals	—	617	546	139	33	3	17	35	140	25	28	9	255	328	419	748	165	310	23	6	322	105	+3	+2	+18	+2	+17	4.4
2019	22	MLB	Washington Nationals	—	617	546	139	33	3	17	35	140	25	28	9	255	328	419	748	165	310	23	6	329	110	+7	+2	+18	+2	+17	4.8
2020	23	MLB	2 teams	—	248	218	49	7	1	4	12	70	13	7	4	225	305	321	626	96	306	28	5	275	68	-9	-0	+1	+1	+7	-0.0
2020	23	MLB	2 teams	—	248	215	48	7	1	5	15	61	13	7	4	223	313	335	648	112	283	25	6	293	83	-5	-0	+1	+1	+7	0.4
2021	24	MLB	2 teams	—	462	400	84	27	2	5	38	118	18	14	7	210	307	325	632	115	284	26	8	280	72	-15	+0	+1	+2	+13	0.2
2021	24	MLB	2 teams	—	462	398	89	29	2	6	40	111	18	14	7	224	322	352	674	128	294	24	9	306	92	-4	+0	+1	+2	+13	1.2
2022	25	MLB	2 teams	—	468	420	94	11	2	7	20	120	13	22	4	224	280	310	590	86	293	26	4	255	53	-25	+3	+4	+2	+13	-0.3
2022	25	MLB	2 teams	—	468	420	93	10	2	7	20	118	13	22	4	221	278	305	583	83	288	25	4	259	56	-23	+3	+4	+2	+13	-0.1
2023	26	MLB	2 teams	—	152	130	38	6	1	0	13	22	5	8	1	292	378	354	732	62	352	14	9	331	112	+2	+1	-4	+1	+4	0.4
2023	26	MLB	2 teams	—	152	128	37	6	1	0	15	21	5	8	1	289	385	352	737	62	346	14	10	333	113	+2	+1	-4	+1	+4	0.4
2024	27	MLB	2 teams	—	318	275	86	22	1	4	23	61	11	35	2	313	388	444	832	131	385	19	7	357	131	+11	+6	+0	+1	+9	2.8
2024	27	MLB	2 teams	—	318	274	85	21	1	4	24	59	11	35	2	310	388	438	826	128	379	19	8	362	135	+13	+6	+0	+1	+9	3.0
2025	28	MLB	2 teams	—	146	135	33	6	1	2	3	37	6	8	3	244	292	348	640	104	316	25	2	280	72	-5	+0	-2	-2	+4	-0.4
2025	28	MLB	2 teams	—	146	135	35	7	1	2	3	35	6	8	3	259	306	370	676	111	330	24	2	301	88	-2	+0	-2	-2	+4	-0.1
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	29	MLB	SEA	—	160	143	30	6	0	0	11	35	3	8	1	210	280	252	532	42	273	22	7	248	48	-9	+1	-0	-2	+5	-0.6
YTD	29	MLB	SEA	—	160	140	32	7	0	0	14	31	3	8	1	229	312	279	591	50	288	19	9	272	67	-6	+1	-0	-2	+5	-0.2
ROS	29	MLB	SEA	100%	106	95	24	5	1	1	7	22	3	7	1	251	322	355	677	105	309	21	7	299	87	-2	+1	-0	+0	+3	0.3
ROS	29	MLB	SEA	100%	107	96	24	5	1	1	7	22	3	7	1	250	321	354	675	104	306	21	7	276	69	-4	+1	-0	+0	+3	0.0
FULL	29	MLB	SEA	—	267	239	54	11	1	1	18	57	6	15	2	226	297	293	589	67	288	21	7	259	57	-13	+2	-1	-1	+8	-0.5
TOT	29	MLB	SEA	—	266	238	54	11	1	1	18	57	6	15	2	226	297	293	590	67	289	21	7	269	64	-11	+2	-1	-1	+8	-0.3
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	30	MLB	SEA	100%	302	271	68	15	2	3	19	64	9	17	4	251	321	354	675	103	309	21	6	298	86	-5	+2	-3	+1	+9	0.4
2028	31	MLB	SEA	100%	287	259	62	14	1	2	18	62	8	14	3	239	309	324	633	85	306	22	6	293	83	-6	+2	-3	+1	+8	0.2
2027	30	MLB	SEA	100%	302	271	67	14	2	3	19	64	9	17	4	247	318	347	665	100	307	21	6	275	69	-11	+2	-3	+1	+9	-0.2
2028	31	MLB	SEA	100%	287	259	61	13	1	2	18	62	8	14	3	236	305	317	622	81	304	22	6	270	65	-11	+2	-3	+1	+8	-0.4
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	2906	2571	633	134	16	42	177	645	101	144	36	246	320	360	680	114	310	22	6	298	87	-44	+14	+13	+4	+82	7.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	575	142	30	4	9	40	144	23	32	8	247	322	360	682	113	311	22	6	298	87	-10	+3	+3	+1	+18	1.6
Career	—			—	4879	4306	1070	228	38	68	281	1085	196	290	83	248	323	366	690	118	315	22	6	300	87	-70	+25	+13	+7	+138	11.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	574	142	30	5	9	37	145	26	39	11	247	322	364	686	117	314	22	6	300	87	-9	+3	+2	+1	+18	1.6

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2014	17	ROK	DSL Nationals	—	213	182	57	14	4	3	16	26	13	22	9	313	408	484	891	170	353	12	8	394	160	+14	+1	—	—	+6	2.2
2015	18	ROK	GCL Nationals	—	94	73	27	6	1	2	10	12	7	12	1	370	489	562	1.051	192	417	13	11	446	199	+11	+2	—	—	+3	1.6
2016	19	A+	Potomac Nationals	—	198	168	44	8	2	3	14	32	11	18	5	262	358	387	744	125	304	16	7	332	112	+3	+2	—	—	+6	1.0
2016	19	A	Hagerstown Suns	—	285	233	71	9	6	5	18	38	22	19	8	305	407	459	866	155	346	13	6	374	144	+14	+1	—	—	+8	2.3
2016	19	ROK	GCL Nationals	—	21	20	3	0	0	1	0	7	1	0	1	150	190	300	490	150	167	33	0	220	27	-2	-0	—	—	+1	-0.2
2017	20	MLB	Washington Nationals	—	27	24	6	1	2	0	0	6	2	0	1	250	308	458	766	208	333	22	0	322	105	+0	-0	+0	-6	+1	-0.6
2017	20	AA	Harrisburg Senators	—	158	139	45	12	1	3	12	22	4	11	3	324	394	489	883	165	368	14	8	385	153	+9	+1	—	—	+4	1.5
2017	20	A+	Potomac Nationals	—	338	291	84	25	7	7	25	62	17	16	7	289	378	495	873	206	345	18	7	381	149	+19	+0	—	—	+10	2.9
2017	20	INTL	Mesa Solar Sox	—	54	41	10	1	0	3	10	9	1	7	0	244	404	488	892	244	226	17	19	383	151	+3	+1	—	—	+2	0.6
2018	21	MLB	Washington Nationals	—	66	59	17	3	1	3	4	12	2	3	2	288	354	525	879	237	311	18	6	379	148	+4	-0	+2	+1	+2	0.8
2018	21	AAA	Syracuse Chiefs	—	182	158	44	9	1	2	18	26	2	14	6	278	358	386	744	108	318	14	10	331	112	+2	+0	—	—	+5	0.8
2018	21	ROK	GCL Nationals	—	27	18	6	1	0	0	7	4	2	4	1	333	556	389	944	56	429	15	26	450	203	+3	+0	—	—	+1	0.4
2018	21	INTL	Aguilas Cibaenas	—	110	98	26	2	0	1	11	20	1	4	1	265	345	316	662	51	325	18	10	308	94	-1	+0	—	—	+3	0.3
2019	22	MLB	Washington Nationals	—	617	546	139	33	3	17	35	140	25	28	9	255	328	419	748	165	310	23	6	329	110	+7	+2	+18	+2	+17	4.8
2020	23	MLB	Washington Nationals	—	189	168	37	5	1	3	9	53	9	4	1	220	296	315	611	95	298	28	5	278	71	-6	+0	+1	+1	+5	0.1
2020	23	INTL	Aguilas Cibaenas	—	59	47	11	2	0	2	6	8	4	3	3	234	368	404	773	170	237	14	10	342	120	+1	-1	—	—	+2	0.2
2021	24	MLB	Washington Nationals	—	369	315	64	21	1	2	33	85	16	8	6	203	310	295	606	92	271	23	9	281	73	-11	-1	+1	+2	+10	0.1
2021	24	AAA	Rochester Red Wings	—	93	83	25	8	1	4	7	26	2	6	1	301	370	566	936	265	396	28	8	402	166	+7	+1	—	—	+3	1.1
2022	25	MLB	Washington Nationals	—	407	366	82	10	2	6	17	104	9	15	4	224	276	311	587	87	292	26	4	258	56	-20	+1	+4	+2	+12	-0.2
2022	25	INTL	Aguilas Cibaenas	—	61	54	11	0	0	1	3	14	4	7	0	204	295	259	554	56	256	23	5	265	61	-3	+1	—	—	+2	0.0
2023	26	MLB	Washington Nationals	—	126	107	32	5	1	0	11	18	4	8	1	299	385	364	750	65	360	14	9	335	114	+2	+1	-4	+1	+4	0.3
2023	26	INTL	Toros del Este	—	26	21	5	1	0	0	4	3	1	0	0	238	385	286	670	48	278	12	15	324	106	+0	+0	—	—	+1	0.1
2024	27	MLB	Seattle Mariners	—	295	254	78	20	0	4	21	53	11	34	2	307	385	433	818	126	370	18	7	358	132	+11	+6	+0	+1	+8	2.7
2024	27	AAA	Rochester Red Wings	—	23	20	7	1	1	0	3	6	0	1	0	350	435	500	935	150	500	26	13	414	175	+2	+0	—	—	+1	0.3
2025	28	MLB	Seattle Mariners	—	114	106	26	4	1	1	3	26	3	6	2	245	286	330	616	85	309	23	3	274	68	-4	+0	-2	-2	+3	-0.4
2025	28	AAA	Tacoma Rainiers	—	32	29	9	3	0	1	0	9	3	2	1	310	375	517	892	207	421	28	0	396	161	+2	+0	—	—	+1	0.3
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	2210	1945	481	102	12	36	133	497	81	106	28	247	322	368	690	120	311	22	6	306	93	-18	+10	+20	+2	+63	7.7

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Cameron Maybinlast yr '20 ASSS career totals — 13 seasons, 4,182 PA	13	4,182	72	182	254	322	375	+9	+6	13.1	12.8
	/162	664	11	29	254	322	375	+1.4	+1.0	2.1	pk7: 13
#2Alex Coralast yr '11 career totals — 12 seasons, 3,756 PA	12	3,756	35	47	245	312	341	+8	+29	7.8	8.1
#2Alex Coralast yr '11 career totals — 12 seasons, 3,756 PA	/162	664	6	8	245	312	341	+1.4	+5.2	1.4	pk7: 9
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 12 projected seasons	12	3,062	43	156	244	312	352	+3	+23	6.7	7.0
	/162	664	9	34	244	312	352	+0.5	+5.1	1.5	pk7: 7
#3Eric Sogardlast yr '21 career totals — 10 seasons, 2,484 PA	10	2,484	26	46	246	312	337	+10	+22	6.0	6.6
	/162	664	7	12	246	312	337	+2.7	+5.9	1.6	pk7: 7
#4Willie Harrislast yr '11 career totals — 10 seasons, 2,743 PA	10	2,743	39	106	241	331	351	-11	-2	5.3	6.2
	/162	664	9	26	241	331	351	-2.7	-0.5	1.3	pk7: 7
#5Jace Petersonlast yr '23 career totals — 10 seasons, 2,753 PA	10	2,753	42	77	228	318	337	+4	+5	5.3	6.0
	/162	664	10	19	228	318	337	+1.0	+1.3	1.3	pk7: 7
#6Miguel Cairolast yr '12 career totals — 12 seasons, 3,217 PA	12	3,217	32	98	259	312	359	-9	+1	4.6	5.2
	/162	664	7	20	259	312	359	-1.9	+0.2	1.0	pk7: 6

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Victor Robles (OGILVIE)	29	50	45	55	40	226/297/293	67	289	1	15	21%	7%	64	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jason Bourgeois 2011 · MLB	29	55→58	39→45	59→65	46	261/301/345	84	294	6	34	14%	5%	81	+0.4	254/294/332	78	285	5	35	12%	5%	74	-0.1	253/291/320	67	282	3	37	11%	5%	67	-0.3
✕Darin Mastroianni 2013 · MLB	27	51→58	38→40	63→60	48	240/299/327	87	300	5	37	21%	8%	76	+0.0	223/278/299	76	287	5	28	23%	6%	60	-1.0	215/267/279	63	275	4	25	22%	6%	46	-1.2
✕Craig Gentry 2012 · MLB	28	50→56	39→40	61→60	47	240/304/326	86	288	7	31	19%	6%	78	+0.2	259/329/345	86	314	4	33	18%	7%	93	+1.3	272/345/345	73	330	2	40	17%	7%	95	+0.7
✕Billy Hamilton 2020 · MLB	29	49→59	38→40	62→70	49	230/293/313	83	300	4	37	23%	8%	69	-0.4	207/263/305	98	292	7	34	30%	7%	55	-1.4	161/212/239	78	258	4	47	37%	6%	14	-0.9
✕Tyler Graham 2013 · AAA	29	52→56	37→40	62→65	44	245/299/321	76	308	3	42	21%	6%	74	-0.1	231/281/311	80	290	6	31	22%	5%	64	-0.8	234/273/287	53	289	4	38	20%	4%	50	-1.3
✕Todd Donovan 2008 · AAA	29	50→53	39→40	61→65	46	236/293/324	88	288	6	38	20%	6%	72	-0.2	233/306/311	78	304	4	35	22%	9%	75	-0.0	234/314/303	69	308	3	42	23%	10%	74	-0.1
✕Eury Pérez 2019 · AAA	29	55→65	39→40	60→65	41	260/294/353	94	314	5	35	19%	4%	80	+0.4	255/297/367	112	308	9	16	19%	5%	85	+0.7	306/345/417	111	368	5	7	17%	4%	112	+0.6
✕Eric Young Jr. 2014 · MLB	29	53→58	39→45	64→65	52	250/314/344	95	298	4	41	17%	8%	87	+0.8	225/289/305	80	278	4	40	19%	7%	66	-0.6	240/297/354	114	300	9	24	22%	6%	79	+0.2
✕Darren Ford 2014 · MLB	28	47→53	39→45	58→65	41	223/269/309	86	300	7	41	27%	6%	59	-1.1	224/273/305	81	298	7	37	26%	6%	59	-1.1	223/273/294	71	292	6	37	24%	6%	52	-1.0
✕Delino DeShields 2020 · MLB	27	49→55	40→45	58→65	52	233/312/327	94	301	7	32	24%	10%	82	+0.5	224/309/310	86	306	6	28	26%	10%	76	+0.1	207/307/267	61	307	3	31	30%	12%	63	-0.5
✕Tim Locastro 2020 · MLB	28	49→53	42→45	60	44	236/324/349	114	285	8	29	19%	5%	95	+1.4	222/308/343	121	268	10	25	21%	6%	86	+0.8	207/296/319	112	263	11	36	24%	5%	73	-0.1
✕Travis Jankowski 2019 · MLB	28	53→62	38→40	56→65	52	249/324/330	81	323	6	30	23%	10%	87	+0.8	242/317/321	79	312	5	23	22%	9%	82	+0.5	243/344/307	64	306	2	35	19%	13%	86	+0.3
✕Willy Taveras 2010 · MLB	28	53→63	35→45	63→65	47	248/294/304	56	286	3	46	14%	6%	67	-0.5	222/262/308	86	260	7	25	17%	5%	55	-1.4	247/300/363	116	302	11	27	21%	4%	83	+0.4
✕Justin Christian 2008 · AAA	28	51→57	41→45	65	44	245/287/347	102	289	7	40	18%	5%	76	+0.0	249/289/354	105	288	8	33	16%	5%	79	+0.3	261/315/390	129	290	11	30	14%	6%	96	+1.2
✕Willie Bloomquist 2007 · MLB	29	52→56	37→40	59→60	49	244/301/322	78	286	4	28	16%	7%	75	-0.0	258/319/329	71	306	6	27	16%	8%	85	+0.7	284/325/360	76	328	3	18	13%	5%	90	+0.5
✕Jon Berti 2019 · MLB	29	50→60	44→45	62→60	45	244/305/368	124	304	10	34	22%	6%	89	+1.0	255/337/382	127	325	12	28	23%	10%	107	+2.2	270/339/373	102	338	9	39	21%	9%	102	+1.0
✕Ben DeLuzio 2023 · MLB	28	45→49	42→45	59→60	40	217/273/330	112	295	9	29	29%	6%	66	-0.6	207/268/318	111	304	11	20	33%	6%	62	-0.9	148/223/226	79	244	8	18	40%	7%	18	-1.1
✕Tommy Murphy 2009 · MLB	29	50→54	40→50	56→60	42	239/285/335	96	313	7	29	25%	6%	72	-0.2	220/276/313	93	293	7	25	26%	7%	63	-0.9	192/254/259	67	258	4	26	26%	7%	36	-1.4
✕Tony Gwynn Jr. 2012 · MLB	29	52→57	39→40	59→60	54	245/315/339	94	288	5	28	16%	9%	85	+0.7	235/296/311	76	291	4	22	19%	8%	70	-0.3	227/291/283	56	284	2	20	19%	8%	57	-0.7
✕Mike McCoy 2011 · MLB	30	53→58	39→40	59→60	54	252/322/344	92	300	6	29	18%	9%	90	+1.0	233/315/312	79	283	6	30	18%	10%	79	+0.3	226/313/292	66	275	5	33	18%	11%	71	-0.2