José Azocar

CF Gwinnett Stripers
Age 31 R/R 5'11" / 181 lbs AAA Svc 0.952 · Ctrl thru 2032
Overview
AAAPre-ArbFA 2033
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202428AAANYM281.296/.332/.43863079—.259/.288/.369
202428MLBSD79.219/.269/.2470549-0.5
202529AAANYM291.241/.315/.35241752—.204/.260/.279
202529MLBATL21.263/.333/.2630177-0.5
202630AAAATL411.260/.305/.34452450—.227/.261/.289
202630MLBATL18.353/.389/.471011450.3
2027PROJ10% MLB31MLBATL24.247/.292/.34901800.0
2028PROJ27% MLB32MLBATL68.241/.286/.3361375-0.1
Last 3 seasons WAR -0.7  ·  Next 2 projected WAR -0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2032Service0.952First FA2033
2027Pre-Arb$0.8M2028Pre-Arb$0.8M2029Ext$0.8M2030Ext$0.2M2031Ext$0.4M2032Ext$0.6M
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AAA
Max EV84
K%77
Speed75
Whiff%63
Z-Con%63
BB%14
CompsBilly Hamilton (age 31) · Craig Gentry (age 32) · Jonathan Davis (age 31)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†80
AVG/OBP/SLG.247 / .292 / .349
PA24
HR0
K%21
BB%4
BABIP303
ISO43
MLB%10%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -5.6 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-6BATRUN: +2.7 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+3RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +0.8 runs (Positional adjustment)+1POSREP: +5.2 runs (Replacement-level credit)+5REPTotal WAR: -0.10-0.1WAR
0.00.51.00.00.027282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$2M ctrl surplus
Tools · Splits · ContractCON 50 / POW 40
Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026
CONTACT50
xAVG
540.255
POWER40
Barrel%
102.4
Avg EV
1786.6
Bat Spd
3970.2
EYE40
scouting grade only
SPEED60
Sprint
7328.4
Platoon Splits2024 · 79 PA
vs LHP
vs RHP
Edge
PA
44
35
—
wRC+
26
71
▶▶R
wOBA
207
273
▶▶R
ISO
024
031
▶▶R
BABIP
258
348
▶▶R
K%
22.7%
25.7%
◀L
BB%
4.5%
8.6%
▶▶R
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   Pre-Arb
MLB Debut   2022
Service   0.952 yrs.days
Team Control Through   2032
First FA Year   2033
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027Pre-Arb$0.8M———
2028Pre-Arb$0.8M———
2029Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $-0.4M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
201317 ROKVSL Tigers — 212205 481120 3432 52 234252307560 73294 201 248 -6 — — — — — —
201418 ROKVSL Tigers — 269250 85761 11484 135 340377428805 88412 184 355 42 — — — — — —
201519 ROKGCL Tigers — 211194 631050 7312 64 325355428783 103380 153 335 59 — — — — — —
201620 AWest Michigan Whitecaps — 532501 1411180 251191 145 281317335652 54366 225 293 51 — — — — — —
201721 A+Lakeland Flying Tigers — 456431 951063 141222 126 220248292541 72297 273 239 15 — — — — — —
201822 A+Lakeland Flying Tigers — 318300 871431 9642 52 290315367682 77355 203 299 67 — — — — — —
201822 AWest Michigan Whitecaps — 110104 33361 5211 62 317355490845 173390 195 370 86 — — — — — —
201923 AAErie SeaWolves — 538504 14421310 211325 103 286321399720 113363 254 317 62 — — — — — —
201923 INTLMesa Solar Sox — 6861 17100 7170 53 279353295648 16386 2510 304 92 — — — — — —
202125 AAAEl Paso Chihuahuas — 201190 551480 6451 173 289315447762 158369 223 327 75 — — — — — —
202125 AASan Antonio Missions — 343301 83869 35715 1511 276361432793 156333 2110 353 89 — — — — — —
202226 MLBSan Diego Padres — 216202 52930 12440 56 257299332631 74327 206 282 81 -5 -1 +4 +2 +5 0.4
202226 AAAEl Paso Chihuahuas — 10598 30605 7240 31 306352520873 214362 237 383 69 — — — — — —
202226 INTLCaribes de Anzoategui — 131119 35611 6234 21 294349387735 92351 185 328 108 — — — — — —
202327 MLBSan Diego Padres — 10291 21602 4242 82 231278363641 132292 244 273 75 -3 +1 -2 -5 +2 -0.6
202327 AAAEl Paso Chihuahuas — 212201 54905 9452 185 269307388695 119325 214 311 57 — — — — — —
202327 INTLCaribes de Anzoategui — 124113 31811 7252 22 274328389717 115337 206 317 101 — — — — — —
202428 MLBSan Diego Padres — 7973 16200 5190 51 219269247516 27296 246 237 49 -5 +1 +1 -4 +2 -0.5
202428 AAASyracuse Mets — 281260 771336 9425 306 296332438771 142326 153 334 79 — — — — — —
202529 MLBAtlanta Braves — 2119 5000 210 10 263333263596 278 510 282 77 -1 +0 -1 -3 +0 -0.5
202529 AAASyracuse Mets — 291261 631324 24594 176 241315352667 111296 208 302 52 — — — — — —
202630 MLBAtlanta Braves — 1817 6200 140 10 353389471859 118462 226 383 145 +1 +0 +0 +2 +0 0.3
202630 AAAGwinnett Stripers — 411381 991325 22723 247 260305344649 84305 185 290 50 — — — — — —
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career— — 436402 1001932 24922 209 249294326620 77317 216 276 73 -14 +0 +2 -9 +9 -1.1
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
201317 ROK MLEVSL Tigers — 212206 32710 2522 52 155171199370 44202 251 160 -6 — — — — — —
201418 ROK MLEVSL Tigers — 269255 56440 6594 135 220249267516 47276 222 231 42 — — — — — —
201519 ROK MLEGCL Tigers — 211197 50740 4452 64 254276330606 76306 212 256 59 — — — — — —
201620 A MLEWest Michigan Whitecaps — 532509 123970 171641 145 242268287554 45347 313 243 51 — — — — — —
201721 A+ MLELakeland Flying Tigers — 456435 791041 101742 126 182204230433 48287 382 191 15 — — — — — —
201822 A+ MLELakeland Flying Tigers — 318303 801321 6922 52 264283330613 66354 292 267 67 — — — — — —
201822 A MLEWest Michigan Whitecaps — 110105 28251 4291 62 267300410710 143356 264 295 86 — — — — — —
201923 AA MLEErie SeaWolves — 538512 1261626 131625 103 246272320592 74336 302 260 62 — — — — — —
202125 AAA MLEEl Paso Chihuahuas — 201192 491170 4561 173 255274385660 130338 282 279 75 — — — — — —
202125 AA MLESan Antonio Missions — 343313 78858 23915 1511 249311383694 134320 277 300 89 — — — — — —
202226 MLB MLESan Diego Padres — 216202 531030 12440 56 262304342645 79327 206 288 81 -5 -1 +4 +2 +5 0.4
202226 AAA MLEEl Paso Chihuahuas — 105100 23403 5300 31 230267360627 130296 295 270 69 — — — — — —
202327 MLB MLESan Diego Padres — 10291 21602 4242 82 231278363641 132292 244 279 75 -3 +1 -2 -5 +2 -0.6
202327 AAA MLEEl Paso Chihuahuas — 212204 47703 6552 185 230259309568 78302 263 253 57 — — — — — —
202428 MLB MLESan Diego Padres — 7973 16200 5190 51 219269247516 27296 246 241 49 -5 +1 +1 -4 +2 -0.5
202428 AAA MLESyracuse Mets — 281263 681134 6525 306 259288369657 110292 192 285 79 — — — — — —
202529 MLB MLEAtlanta Braves — 2119 5000 210 10 263333263596 278 510 282 77 -1 +0 -1 -3 +0 -0.5
202529 AAA MLESyracuse Mets — 291269 551022 16724 176 204260279538 74273 255 245 52 — — — — — —
202630 MLB MLEAtlanta Braves — 1817 6200 140 10 353389471859 118462 226 383 145 +1 +0 +0 +2 +0 0.3
202630 AAA MLEGwinnett Stripers — 411388 881123 15863 247 227261289550 62275 214 242 50 — — — — — —
201317 ROK MLEVSL Tigers — 212206 32710 2522 52 155171199370 44206 251 160 -6 — — — — — —
201317 ROK RAWVSL Tigers — 212205 481120 3432 52 234252307560 73294 201 248 -6 — — — — — —
201418 ROK MLEVSL Tigers — 269255 56440 6594 135 220249267516 47281 222 231 42 — — — — — —
201418 ROK RAWVSL Tigers — 269250 85761 11484 135 340377428805 88412 184 355 42 — — — — — —
201519 ROK MLEGCL Tigers — 211197 50740 4452 64 254276330606 76323 212 256 59 — — — — — —
201519 ROK RAWGCL Tigers — 211194 631050 7312 64 325355428783 103380 153 335 59 — — — — — —
201620 A MLEWest Michigan Whitecaps — 532509 123970 171641 145 242268287554 45353 313 243 51 — — — — — —
201620 A RAWWest Michigan Whitecaps — 532501 1411180 251191 145 281317335652 54366 225 293 51 — — — — — —
201721 A+ MLELakeland Flying Tigers — 456435 791041 101742 126 182204230433 48295 382 191 15 — — — — — —
201721 A+ RAWLakeland Flying Tigers — 456431 951063 141222 126 220248292541 72297 273 239 15 — — — — — —
201822 A+ MLE2 teams — 428408 1081671 101223 114 265287346633 81366 292 274 72 — — — — — —
201822 A+ RAW2 teams — 428404 1201792 14853 114 297325399724 101364 203 317 72 — — — — — —
201923 AA MLE2 teams — 606578 1431837 151825 156 247273325598 78343 302 260 62 — — — — — —
201923 AA RAW2 teams — 606565 16122310 281495 156 285324388712 103366 255 315 62 — — — — — —
202125 AA MLE2 teams — 544504 12618128 281486 3214 250297381678 131334 275 292 84 — — — — — —
202125 AA RAW2 teams — 544491 13822149 411166 3214 281344438782 157348 218 343 84 — — — — — —
202226 MLB MLE3 teams — 452420 1061944 241044 108 252299345644 93324 235 282 77 -12 -1 +4 +2 +10 0.2
202226 MLB RAW3 teams — 452419 1172146 25914 108 279326391717 112342 206 319 77 -12 -1 +4 +2 +10 0.2
202327 AAA MLE3 teams — 438411 961907 141106 289 234269331600 97301 253 261 63 — — — — — —
202327 AAA RAW3 teams — 438405 1062318 20946 289 262306383689 121321 215 304 63 — — — — — —
202428 AAA MLE2 teams — 360336 841334 11715 357 250284342626 92300 203 275 72 — — — — — —
202428 AAA RAW2 teams — 360333 931536 14615 357 279318396715 117320 174 312 72 — — — — — —
202529 AAA MLE2 teams — 312288 601022 18734 186 208265278542 69271 236 247 54 — — — — — —
202529 AAA RAW2 teams — 312280 681324 26604 186 243316346663 104295 198 300 54 — — — — — —
202630 AAA MLE2 teams — 429405 941323 16903 257 232267296563 64288 214 248 54 — — — — — —
202630 AAA RAW2 teams — 429398 1051525 23763 257 264309349658 85312 185 294 54 — — — — — —
201317 ROK MLEVSL Tigers — 212206 32710 2522 52 155171199370 44202 251 160 -6 — — — — — —
201418 ROK MLEVSL Tigers — 269257 56440 6594 135 218249265514 47276 222 231 42 — — — — — —
201519 ROK MLEGCL Tigers — 211203 50740 4452 64 246276320596 74306 212 256 59 — — — — — —
201620 A MLEWest Michigan Whitecaps — 532509 123970 171641 145 242268287554 45347 313 243 51 — — — — — —
201721 A+ MLELakeland Flying Tigers — 456441 791041 101742 126 179204227430 48287 382 191 15 — — — — — —
201822 A+ MLE2 teams — 428412 1081671 101223 114 262287342630 80355 292 274 72 — — — — — —
201923 AA MLE2 teams — 606581 1431837 151825 156 246273324596 77336 302 260 62 — — — — — —
202125 AA MLE2 teams — 544505 12618128 281486 3214 250297380678 131327 275 292 84 — — — — — —
202226 MLB MLE3 teams — 452421 1061944 241044 108 252299344644 93317 235 282 77 — — — — — —
202327 AAA MLE3 teams — 438415 961907 141106 289 231269328597 96299 253 261 63 — — — — — —
202428 AAA MLE2 teams — 360341 841334 11715 357 246284337621 91293 203 275 72 — — — — — —
202529 AAA MLE2 teams — 312287 601022 18734 186 209265279543 70273 236 247 54 — — — — — —
202630 AAA MLE2 teams — 429407 941323 16903 257 231267295561 64283 214 248 54 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202428 AAA MLE2 teams — 360341 841334 11715 357 246284337621 91293 203 275 72 — — — — — —
202529 AAA MLE2 teams — 312287 601022 18734 186 209265279543 70273 236 247 54 — — — — — —
202630 AAA MLE2 teams — 429407 941323 16903 257 231267295561 64283 214 248 54 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202731 MLB MLEATL 10% 380354 881426 19834 214 247292349642 102303 225 287 80 -9 +3 +0 +1 +8 -0.1
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202731 MLB CTXATL 10% 2423 5100 150 10 247292349642 102303 214 287 80 -1 +0 +0 +0 +1 0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202832 MLB MLEATL 27% 250234 57914 12562 102 241286336622 95299 225 279 75 -8 +1 -3 +1 +5 -0.4
202832 MLB CTXATL 27% 6864 15201 3151 31 241286336622 95299 224 279 75 -2 +0 -1 +0 +1 -0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 504466 1152133 271073 2310 247292324616 77314 215 276 59 -16 +1 +1 -9 +11 -1.2
/ 162G— A+C — 650601 1482744 351384 3013 246292324617 78313 215 276 59 -21 +1 +2 -11 +14 -1.5
Career— MLE — 57375408 12691815545 199150251 24787 235268313582 79313 263 255 59 -27 +3 -1 -7 +20 -1.2
/ 162G— MLE — 650613 1442165 231706 2810 235270313583 78313 264 255 59 -19 +2 -1 -5 +14 -0.8

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AAAGwinnett Stripers · 411 PAwOBA .286 → .242 (−44)K% 17.5% → 21.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA17.52%÷1.000×1.200——21.02%
BB% (unintentional) /PA5.35%÷1.000×0.690—×0.9723.59%
HBP% /PA0.73%—×0.940—×0.9720.67%
Singles /BIP25.57%÷1.000×0.930×1.014×0.97223.45%
Doubles /BIP4.21%÷1.000×0.830×1.014×0.9723.44%
Triples /BIP0.65%÷1.000×0.970×1.014×0.9720.62%
Home runs /BIP1.62%÷1.000×0.700—×0.9721.10%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 27.2 → −2.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.014.

Result: wOBA .286 → .242; ISO .084 → .064; BABIP .305 → .275. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 AAASyracuse Mets · 291 PAwOBA .295 → .245 (−50)K% 20.3% → 24.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA20.27%÷0.981×1.200——24.81%
BB% (unintentional) /PA8.25%÷1.005×0.690—×0.9825.56%
HBP% /PA1.37%—×0.940—×0.9821.27%
Singles /BIP21.78%÷0.975×0.930×1.023×0.98220.86%
Doubles /BIP6.44%÷1.022×0.830×1.023×0.9825.25%
Triples /BIP0.99%÷0.959×0.970×1.023×0.9821.01%
Home runs /BIP1.98%÷1.167×0.700—×0.9821.17%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 133, 1B 95, 2B 104, 3B 92, K 96, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.023.

Result: wOBA .295 → .245; ISO .111 → .082; BABIP .296 → .273. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 AAASyracuse Mets · 281 PAwOBA .330 → .285 (−45)K% 14.9% → 18.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA14.95%÷0.968×1.200——18.54%
BB% (unintentional) /PA2.85%÷0.933×0.690—×0.9922.09%
HBP% /PA1.78%—×0.940—×0.9921.66%
Singles /BIP25.23%÷1.006×0.930×0.993×0.99222.99%
Doubles /BIP5.96%÷0.972×0.830×0.993×0.9925.02%
Triples /BIP1.38%÷0.900×0.970×0.993×0.9921.46%
Home runs /BIP2.75%÷1.059×0.700—×0.9921.80%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 112, 1B 101, 2B 94, 3B 80, K 94, BB 87 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.993.

Result: wOBA .330 → .285; ISO .142 → .112; BABIP .326 → .292. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 AAAEl Paso Chihuahuas · 212 PAwOBA .302 → .253 (−49)K% 21.2% → 25.9%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA21.23%÷0.985×1.200——25.87%
BB% (unintentional) /PA4.25%÷0.963×0.690—×1.0033.05%
HBP% /PA0.94%—×0.940—×1.0030.89%
Singles /BIP25.64%÷0.958×0.930×0.990×1.00324.72%
Doubles /BIP5.77%÷0.975×0.830×0.990×1.0034.88%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.150×0.970×0.990×1.0030.00%
Home runs /BIP3.21%÷1.052×0.700—×1.0032.14%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 110, 1B 92, 2B 95, 3B 130, K 97, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.990.

Result: wOBA .302 → .253; ISO .119 → .084; BABIP .325 → .302. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 AAAEl Paso Chihuahuas · 105 PAwOBA .372 → .270 (−102)K% 22.9% → 28.6%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA22.86%÷0.959×1.200——28.62%
BB% (unintentional) /PA6.67%÷0.990×0.690—×1.0184.73%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.940—×1.0180.00%
Singles /BIP25.68%÷1.047×0.930×0.969×1.01822.51%
Doubles /BIP8.11%÷1.133×0.830×0.969×1.0185.86%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.002×0.970×0.969×1.0180.00%
Home runs /BIP6.76%÷1.138×0.700—×1.0184.23%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 128, 1B 109, 2B 127, 3B 100, K 92, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.969.

Result: wOBA .372 → .270; ISO .214 → .133; BABIP .362 → .296. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2021 AASan Antonio Missions · 343 PAwOBA .345 → .300 (−45)K% 20.7% → 26.6%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA20.70%÷0.949×1.220——26.62%
BB% (unintentional) /PA10.20%÷1.028×0.690—×0.9986.84%
HBP% /PA1.46%—×0.850—×0.9981.24%
Singles /BIP26.09%÷0.989×0.940×1.027×0.99825.41%
Doubles /BIP3.48%÷0.925×0.870×1.027×0.9983.35%
Triples /BIP2.61%÷1.071×0.920×1.027×0.9982.30%
Home runs /BIP3.91%÷0.868×0.780—×0.9983.51%

Factors used: level-wide AA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 74, 1B 98, 2B 85, 3B 114, K 90, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.027.

Result: wOBA .345 → .300; ISO .156 → .138; BABIP .333 → .320. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2021 AAAEl Paso Chihuahuas · 201 PAwOBA .324 → .279 (−46)K% 22.4% → 28.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA22.39%÷0.960×1.200——27.99%
BB% (unintentional) /PA2.99%÷0.980×0.690—×1.0332.17%
HBP% /PA0.50%—×0.940—×1.0330.48%
Singles /BIP22.76%÷1.003×0.930×1.023×1.03322.29%
Doubles /BIP9.66%÷1.116×0.830×1.023×1.0337.58%
Triples /BIP5.52%÷1.099×0.920×1.023×1.0334.88%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.154×0.700—×1.0330.00%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 131, 1B 101, 2B 123, 3B 120, K 92, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.023.

Result: wOBA .324 → .279; ISO .158 → .127; BABIP .369 → .338. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2019 AAErie SeaWolves · 538 PAwOBA .312 → .260 (−51)K% 24.5% → 30.1%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA24.54%÷0.994×1.220——30.10%
BB% (unintentional) /PA3.72%÷1.050×0.700—×1.0272.54%
HBP% /PA0.93%—×0.850—×1.0270.81%
Singles /BIP29.57%÷0.978×0.970×0.950×1.02728.61%
Doubles /BIP5.65%÷1.077×0.860×0.950×1.0274.40%
Triples /BIP0.81%÷1.127×0.950×0.950×1.0270.66%
Home runs /BIP2.69%÷1.294×0.780—×1.0271.66%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 159, 1B 96, 2B 115, 3B 125, K 99, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .312 → .260; ISO .113 → .076; BABIP .363 → .336. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .